TURN OUT THE LIGHTS
(THE TWILIGHTÕS MOST RECENT GLEAMING):
THE METAPHYSICAL CAUSES OF ECONOMIC CYCLES
The party's over,
It's time to call it a day
They've burst your pretty balloon
And taken the moon away.
It's time to wind up the masquerade
Just make your mind up
The piper must be paid.
The party's over
The candles flicker and dim
You danced and dreamed through the night
It seemed to be right
Just being with him.
Now you must wake up,
All dreams must end
Take off your makeup,
The party's over
It's all over, my friend
-Words by Betty Comden and Adolph
Green and Music by Jule Styne
By
Michael J. Clark
House
35a
Alley
31/46
Xuan
Dieu Road
HoTay
District
Hanoi, Vietnam
Tel 84 04 2219 2210
Cell phone 01219069743
mclark7@mindspring.com
16 March 2011
TURN OUT THE LIGHTS:
THE TWILIGHTÕS MOST RECENT GLEAMING
THE METAPHYSICAL
CAUSES OF ECONOMIC CYCLES
For Alan Greenspan,
the last of the great white
whaleboat captains.
The White
Whale swam before him as the monomaniac incarnation of all those malicious
agencies which some deep men feel eating in them, till they are left living on
with half a heart and half a lung.
That intangible malignity which has been from the beginning; to whose
dominion even the modern Christians ascribe one-half of the worlds; which the
ancient Ophites of the east reverenced in their statue devil; -- Ahab did not
fall down and worship it like them; but deliriously transferring its idea to
the abhorred white whale, he pitted himself, all mutilated, against it. All that most maddens and torments; all
that stirs up the lees of things; all truth with malice in it; all that cracks
the sinews and cakes the brain; all the subtle demonisms of life and thought;
all evil, to crazy Ahab, were visibly personified, and made practically
assailable in Moby Dick. He piled
upon the whale's white hump the sum of all the general rage and hate felt by
his whole race from Adam down; and then, as if his chest had been a mortar, he
burst his hot heart's shell upon it.
Herman
Melville, Moby-Dick, p. 200.
ÒÉrepeal of Glass-Steagall
would provide significant public benefits consistent with a manageable increase
in risk.Ó[
Alan Greenspan, November 18, 1987
INTRODUCTION
ÒI found a flaw in the model that I perceived as the critical
functioning structure that defines how the world works"
ALAN GREENSPAN, 2008
Man Is
Instructed Through Writing
Writing, for me, is an act of discovery. It is a turning of the mindÕs
occasionally-lucid light on a darkened landscape of ideas, hoping (and
sometimes trusting) that illumination will occur. I write in order to see reality more
clearly. Writing is an act of
focusing the mind through a high-powered lens (vision) on things hidden in
nature, images existent in dark energy, dream matter – using the mind to
draw these hidden things out into the open.
Writing, for me, is not a linear
experience – it sometimes involves wandering from object to object
– this can be maddening for some readers who appreciate the diameter more
than the circle. Writing, for me,
is a weaving in and out of ideas, in and out of symbols, in and out of
meanings, which, when stitched together, create a visible object, a tapestry
built by metaphor into a recognizable form.
In this way poetry is different than
prose. Poetry leaps from idea to
idea; poetry wanders, gets lost sometimes.
Prose is causal, building an argument in a linear fashion, laying out a
matrix based on temporal logic of cause and effect.
This books is a poetÕs view of history, a poetÕs view of the real (non-linear) causes of historic
manifestations. As such, a reader
must allow for the occasional drifting in and out of what may seem like
foreign, unrelated landscapes,
These landscapes are, trust
me, connected, but perhaps not connected in a linear fashion. A spider spins a web as a whole
structure, each part necessary to the whole – but not every strand of the
structure is directly connected to every other strand. The structure of this book is somewhat
like the structure of a spiderÕs web.
I began this book as an
attempt to rationalize (clarify) my own understanding of my immediate
environment, which had been darkened suddenly by a constellation of events: my
own retirement surely (2008); also the sudden capital destruction of Western
Civilization through the devastation of a top-heavy financial system (called a
ÔcrisisÕ by those attempting to transmute it) seemingly constructed with great
care by the self-congratulating Ômasters of the universeÕ on Wall Street, in
London and in other western world capitals.
How had this happened? Where would it lead?
Did I retire at almost exactly the wrong
moment, considering this financial system implosion?
I had a fairly clear
understanding when I began this book of the metaphysical engine driving
HistoryÕs constructions (erections) and de-constructions (flaccidations): that
human and historical manifestations on earth were divided into periods of Day
(activity, building, masculine solar organizing physical energy) and periods of
Night (relative inactivity, de-construction, feminine lunar dis-organizing
metaphysical energy) – anti-entropy (negentropy) and entropy. Yin and yang; Days of Brahma/Nights of
Brahma: these ideas were not new.
In fact, all great poetry, poetry of scale,
is about the true structure of reality, both visible and invisible
realities. Poetry is the language of
the Night-Cycle. One who cannot
comprehend poetry will not comprehend
the Book of Nature, for the poetric mind puts together all the parts of reality that the causal
mind, the Day-Cycle mind, has taken apart.
The Day-Cycle mind dismantles to study, isolates
to understand, specializes to conquer smaller and smaller bits of
territory. To the Day-Cycle mind,
every thing is different, unique, and separate. The Night-Cycle mind views everything as
being similar, of like nature; to the metaphorical mind, this is like that in
this way or that way. The Day-Cycle
mind isolates, cleaves, and, ultimately, alienates, conquering through division
and separation – we must remember that the Day-Cycle mind gets his truth,
his bearings, by moving away from God, out of the Night, into the Light, the
light of independence and individuality.
The Night-Cycle mind conquers by reassembling the jig-saw puzzle, moving
back toward God, back toward the Unity that the Day-Cycle mind has abandoned.
I did not expect, however, when I began
writing this book, for this Day/Night sequence to appear in history with such
regularity as to make it predictable.
In the process of writing
this book, I discovered or uncovered a 36-year cycle in American economic
expansions (top to top) and an 18-year half-cycle (top to bottom). Was this kind of precision possible in
Nature?
The mind will try to organize chaos into a
rational system in order to give itself some security in confronting the
shapelessness, the nothingness, the chaos, of reality. Perhaps these precise cycles are nothing
more than an example of manÕs mania for mental organization which gives the
human mind the illusion of ÔknowingÕ.
Still, I have come to believe or understand
– through seeing – that the most recent Day-Cycle of Western
Economic Expansion ended (or should have ended) in 2001, when the Dot Com
Bubble burst. At this point Alan
Greenspan should have begun slowly raising interest rates in order to begin
squeezing excess liquidity out of the system. Instead, of course, he did the opposite,
lowering rates in order to increase credit, increase liquidity.
Day-Cycles, metaphorically-speaking, are a
process of filling an empty glass.
Financially-speaking, one fills an empty glass by lowering interest
rates, by investing cash to fund company expansion, and, eventually, by taking
on debt to continue the expansion. This is the Growth Season of the Business
Cycle. The debt-building cycle signals the late season of the Business CycleÕs
expansion season. This began in
America most recently in 1983 and ended in 2001.
Day-Cycles fill the empty glass. Greenspan, in 2001, and Ben Bernanke,
after Greenspan, in an even more irresponsible manner (borne out of greed and
fear), by attempting to further fill an empty glass, causing the glass to
overflow, caused the flood in the global financial system from which we still
have not recovered, no matter what Ben Bernanke tells us.
Day-Cycles fill the empty glass. Night-Cycles empty the full glass. Both seasons are necessary. Both seasons have their logic and reason
and, if followed, become the process by which a temporal form of Ôeternal
durationÕ – eternal life – becomes possible.
Day-Cycles illustrate the
process of an expanding universe, debt being the ÔmatterÕ aspect, which grows
more and more dense until it reaches critical mass, and collapses the creation
(construction transforms in to deconstruction).
Day-Cycles are the Big Bang season, and the
subsequent expansion. Night-Cycles
are the Big Crunch season, when the universe, under the pressure of collapsing
matter, implodes back into the seed, prior to the next Big Bang and
re-expansion.
The Big Bang fills the glass. The Big Crunch empties the glass.
As Above, So Below
A strong, sane Fed Chair
would have begun slowly raising rates in 2001 in order to begin an orderly
debt-emptying process. This would
have led, of course, to a contraction of the economy – contractions are
inevitable, built in to the system, as Nights are built in to the system which
governs growth on the Earth. Had
the Fed Chair begun slowly raising rates in 2001, almost every problem we have
had since 2001 would have been avoided.
Bubbles in the financial system (think of
this as a smooth fabric with sudden extrusions) are disturbances, signs of
Over-Expansion, signs of naked desperation, panic buying, hoarding, floods.
Rates should have been raised slowly
beginning in 2001, and should continue higher until about 2019. Depressions – and make no mistake,
we are in a depression – bubbles do not negate depressions, they only
make them more violent and more destructive – exist in order to wring
execessive and bad debts out of the system. Depressions are ultimately acts of
de-construction, implosion, subtraction, emptying out, returning ÔnatureÕ from
the Ôfruiting seasonÕ – the ultimate extension of the Day-Cycle, the
Business CycleÕs Growth Season – back to the sterile, cold, Winter: the
Ôseed seasonÕ. The Big Crunch
indeed.
We get depressions every 36 years whether we
like them or not. They are the
Winter of the human social seasons, the emptying of the full glass.
My intent in this book is to
examine both sides of this historical process: the ÔLord givesÕ side, the
expansion, the filling-up, the becoming Lord of the Physical World (Light), and
the ÔLord takes awayÕ side, the contraction, the emptying-out, the becoming
Lord of the Metaphysical World (Darkness).
I will also examine the concept in light of
modern physics: the Day-Cycle involves the expansion of Phuysical Matter; the
Night-Cycle involves the expansion of Anti-Matter. The emptying out of the Physical Glass (the Physical Body)
is, at the same time, the filling up of the Metaphysical Glass (the Soul). These opposite forces
(expansion-contraction) evolve one another; they appear to be adversaries; they
are, in truth, partners, helping one another evolve through enforced periods of
rest (dreaming, or imagining a new reality, first, in metaphysical or dream
matter, anti-matter) and activity (attempting to build the dream in physical
reality, physical matter).
I say the Fed Chair should have begun raising rates
in 2001 – instead, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan – in
a kind of mad positivistic ideological reaction, reminiscent of Ahab in
MelvilleÕs classic novel, Moby Dick
– began devaluing the American Dollar hand-over-fist in an attempt to
avert the deflation that America, in
fact, needed in order to re-balance the inflationary financial
bubble-factory that was driving America toward an economic precipice.
Greenspan made his colleagues on Wall Street
billions of dollars in the process of course -- before it all came crashing
down. Greenspan then took a job
(clearly paying him millions) with John Paulson, an international speculator,
who made billions from the American housing bubble that Greenspan helped to
create and nurture – by shorting housing and profiting from its collapse.
If politics make strange bedfellows, finance
makes creepty trysts – none seem more creepy at the moment than Alan
Greenspan married to the hip of John Paulson.
Bernanke, today, is doing the same –
and is even more villainous than Greenspan was, conscious now that he is a
serial bubble-blower – greed boom-cycles, followed by horrid bust
implosions – all in order to protect the wealth-centers of the world, the
Ôrisk-takersÕ on Wall Street an din financial capitols around the world, who
are swimming in bad debt and would be ruined by higher interest rates. Bernanke is slaughtering the US Dollar
in order to protect the rich and their bad debts. Bernanke is sacrificing the American
public and helping crucify the worldÕs poor by using devaluatio of the Dollar
to create asset bubbles in commodities and stock markets, forcing food prices
up to all time highs. Forty
million families are receiving food stamps in American in 2011, of roughly 110
million total households – meaning almost 50% of households need state
help in order to eat. Food riots
are breaking out all ove the world.
Governments are falling in the Middle East because of food-price
inflation combined with contracting economies.
Cheap money; more debt; higher unemployment
– how, again, did this formula translate into a stronger, leaner, more
competitive America? It
didnÕt. It translated only into
more debt for most Americans and for the American government – and more
wealth – an obscene amount of wealth in fact – for a handful of
AmericaÕs ruling class, those in banking, finance, and insurance especially,
but also in housing and energy.
The Day-Cycle expansion sees an increase in
the gap between rich and poor. The
Day-Cycle is pro-business, pro-rich, pro-empire. The Night-Cycle, of course, reverses all
of this, reduces the gap between rich and poor, usually through confiscatory
tax policies – but also by revolusions where tax reforms and redistrubtion
of wealth are resisted by the wealthy (and the governments they seek and usuall
come to own – as Wall Street has come to own our government).
During Night-Cycles, the poor Ôget evenÕ
with the rich.
The Rich and Powerful Suddenly Become Naked
An example of this obscene
level of wealth is former Secretary of the Treasury (and CEO of Goldman Sachs)
Henry Paulson who made, it has been reported, more than $400 million dollars in
his position at Goldman Sachs, then transferred his power seat to the Bush Administration,
then blackmailed the U.S. Congress (and through them the American citizen) for
trillions of dollars of taxpayer money to bail out his friends at Goldman Sachs
and other power-centers on Wall Street when the pyramid scheme they had
collectively constructed collapsed in 2008.
I remember reading what a great Ômaster of
the universeÕ Hank Paulson, a giant of finance, a titan of American commercial
life – a genius, indeed.
Really? And I had been
wondering why this titan of finance was not sharing a prison cell with
everyoneÕs favorite thief, Bernard Madoff?
PaulsonÕs plundering of the American Treasury is the greatest act of
thievery in the history of the Earth – that is, until Ben Bernanke came to
power.
PaulsonÕs billions are impressive (ÒIt didnÕt
have to be a trillion, it just had to be a big number,Ó Plaulson is reported to
have said. Intimidation was the key
– intimidation of the American government and the American people –
and free money for his friends on Wall Street.) No wonder they love Hank Paulson on Wall
Street – heÕs the kind of man legends are made of.
But then came along the squirrely Bernanke
– looking like Wally Cox jacked up on some kind of Viagra or steroid
treatment. He outdid Paulson. He reasoned that a terminal sickness of
too much debt could be cured with more debt. The full glass he saw sitting on his
desk neaar his microphone did not need to be emptied – he, Bernanke,
needed to keep over-filling the glass so that the emptying process could not
succeed.
Why must the emptying process fail? Because he and all his friends –
the white prostetant mafia on Wall Street – would be ruined if the glass
was emptied. They owned the glass;
they owned the water in the glass; and less wter, instead of more eater, would
destroy they financially.
Bernanke reasoned that stalling was the
FedÕs only option – stall, tread water (again the water image), extend
and pretend, take on more debt, keep the glass always full, until ÔnormalÕ
economic growth returned and lifted prices back up to their optimal levels,
where the growth-led expansion would take asset prices up to another level
– always higher, always higher. What Bernanked did not understand
was – like the Japanese before him – high levels of debt retard
growth. Debt is like the weeds in
the garden. Unless one destroys the
weeds, plants will continue to be strangled by debts. Economies cannot grow after the
debt-level reaches a critical-mass, the chemically ÔcriticalÕ point, after
which debts in to lead, creating a goxic disintegration.
With his Quantative Easing policies (ÔQEÕ
– has there ever been a more nauseating euphemism, bland and technical,
so much more ÔintellectualÕ than the term it replaced, ÔbailoutÕ? How many QEÕs must there be before we
understand what it really is?) Bernanke has essentially continued the trillion
dollar bail-outs – changing the word ÔbailoutÕ to ÔQuantataive EasingÕ
– like Goebbels he is insisting on the Big Lie) by funneling taxpayer
money to Wall Street (free money, loans at 0% interst), guaranteeing the same
banks and entrepreneurs and Ôrisk-takersÕ – the former ÒMasters of the
UniverseÓ -- profits by promising to buy every US Treasury Bond no one else
would buy, keeping a lid on interest rate levitation, and working with the
banks to ÔguaranteeÕ a stock market rally.
The stock market rallies since 2008 have all been purchased by the
Federal Reserve using taxpayer money to generate a facsimile of a real bull
market rally. These rallies –
BernankeÕs Bull Runs – will Ôpeter-outÕ as soon as BernankeÕs game of
financing asset inflation from the American treasury is seen for what it really
is: monetizing debt through the attempted destruction of the US Dollar, which
is just another asset-bubble building exercise.
As long as we have Fed Chairs who are afraid
of recognizing both sides of the equation
-- The Day side of expansion (lower rates, leading to prosperity and
material power) AND the Night side of contraction (higher rates, leading to
less properity and material power, but returning power to the local currency
through, eventually, increased solvency) we will have monetary policy that
regulates nothing but the speed of the (mostly hidden) rate of inflation.
Day-Cycle Leadership That is Philosophicaly Bankrupt
Our current leaders –
Day-Cycle leadership -- are philosophically bankrupt, devoid of a comprehensive
understanding of nature. Of course,
our leaders own the world – and they are not really interested in a
blanced view: they want more and more; they always want more and more.
Not only have Geenspan and Bernanke been
remiss and philosophically bereft, I believe they have also been criminal. Funding stock market rallies, in
collusion with Wall Street, is insider trading running wild. Both men should be investigated for
crimes of graft and misuse of power.
Bernanke should be impeached.
And Wall Street should be forced to pay back all of the free money they
have received from Federal Reserve policy that ÔstoleÕ money from bank
depositors through forced 0% interest payment policies, but also filled up bank
coffers with artificial Ôbail-outÕ disguised as attempts at Ôcredit crunchÕ
medicine.
The credit crisis has never really been a
credit crisis. It has always been a
solvency crisis.
We have too much debt – and we are
lying to ourselves, pretending this is not the problem. If we eliminate the Fed subterfuge,
rject the smoke and mirrors, and the unspeakable lies dressed up in fancy
euphemisms (QE, for example), we will see that our glass has been filled to the
top – we need to empty the debt glass.
We empty the glass (1) by
raising taxes, especially on rich Americans and corporations; (2) by cutting
government spending – and, during Night-Cycles, during depressions, when public
services are more needed than ever, this means cutting government spending on
non-human support services, including military spending; (3) by raising
interest rates, encouraging saving, and forcing bad debt out into the open,
forcing it to be paid down, where possible, or forcing default on bad
debts. The rich donÕt want higher
rates because they both own bad debt and will be hurt by such defaults, and
they also hold bad debt and will be forced to default themselves.
When Alan Greenspan admitted that he found a
flaw in his reasoning in 2008 – Ôa flaw in the model that I perceived as
the critical functioning structure that defines how the world worksÕ
– he was referring to his
opposition to regulation of derivatives and to his assumption that financial
institutions could be expected to police themselves. I believe he is correct in this
assessment – Greenspan clarified that he was only Ôpartially wrongÕ
however – not enunciating what ÔpartiallyÕ really meant in the context of
his confession.
Actually, I think the Ôfatal flawÕ in
GreenspanÕs logic had more to do with the lack of recognition that one cannot
fill and empty glass – and should not try to. This is a philosophical flaw – one
that distorts the foundation of oneÕs assumptions about reality.
The FedÕs job – if America decides she
really wants and needs a Fed – at the moment I would say America
certainly does not need a Fed any longer with current dictatorial powers and
with almost no effective oversight – must be BOTH the filling of the
glass when it is empty and the emptying of the glass when it is full. GreenspanÕs argument that it is hard to
tell when a bubble is forming is disingenuous palaver. Hundreds if not thousands of American
financial analysts warned about the dangers of the Housing bbubble years before
the bubble actually popped. The
Fed, as currently constituted, works for the invisible government of the
international banking system, first and foremost, – and puts the banking
systemÕs needs ahead of AmericaÕs needs.
This is unacceptable.
The Fed should be audited immediately no
matter how much enbarassment this may cause for the Fed or the government. If an audit shows that Fed officials
broke the law by giving Aemrican taxpayer money to non-American banks during
the trillion dollar bailouts (the first or the continuing bailout) or if they
used taxpayer money to juice stock markets over the years (American or foreign
markets) to prevent losses for investors (especially for Wall Street
corporations) then arrests should be made, even if this means Messers Greenspan
or Bernanke go down with the ship.
The Most Recent Day-Cycle Ended in 2001
I have written that the most
recent Day-Cycle ended in 2001.
I need to clarify this expression Day-Cycle,
which I am misusing now, in a sense.
There are two dimensions to these cycle descriptions: a vertical
dimension, and a horizontal dimension.
The Day-Cycle, more accurately, runs from
Dawn to Dusk, from Morning (Mourning) to Evening (as in Ôevening out ofÕ). So, literally, the most recent Day-Cycle
ran from Dawn (1992) to Dusk (2010).
It is instructive that we began to see poor-against-rich demonstrations
right on time in 2010, first in Bangkok, and then through the Middle East. In this sense, the Darkness has only now
begun to ÔwinÕ, and will continue to ÔwinÕ until 2028, at which time the ÒDayÓ
will begin again.
This is the ÔhorizontalÕ dimension, East and
West, the Human Dimension, as opposed to the Divine Dimension, North and South.
The Horizontal Dimension is
secular by definition. The battle
fought out here is between the Female and Male secularisms, Communism and
Capitalism.
The Vertical Dimension is actually more what
I have been addressing up to this point, using misleading nomenclature until
now. The Ôfilling upÕ process, in
fact, occurs in the Winter-Summer Growth Cycle, during which time period
ÔlightÕ (remember, light is matter) begins in a seed-like condition (buried in
the Earth at Winter), which is the basis of the pagan ritual of Christmas and
of the Christian myth of ChristÕs birth, the Solar Hero, who, after emptying
out, is re-born as a child and
begins his ascension into heaven – this, in fact, is the Ôfilling upÕ
process.
The Ôemptying outÕ process is the
Summer-Winter contraction season, the fall of the Sun Hero, beginning in Summer
and concluding at the end of Autumn, when the ÔfallÕ ends.
Words have esoteric meanings, descriptions
of time-processes, hidden in their etymologies.
The Vertical Dimension involves a
Seed-to-Fruit time-process, the Ôfilling upÕ movement from Earth to Sky, from
Earth to Air. It also involves a
reverse Fruit-to-Seed decline, an Ôemptying outÕ movement from Sky back down to
ÔburialÕ in the Earth, a movement of Sun – the Crown of Creation –
of Fire into Water, of Man back into Woman, back into the Womb, precedent to
re-birth.
The reader will notice that
I begin to include zodiacal markers in my Time-Wheel – for the zodiac was
the earliest human macro-clock – as the atom is now the most recent human
version of the micro-clock. In the
study of Darkness and Light, ancient human culture has excavated deep and
enduring understandings which have been lost by modern man. Overthrown in fact. Modern Man is the Day-Cycle; Ancient
Culture (the Primitives) are the Night-Cycle.
The Day-Cycle buildings civilizations
– that is its calling. The
Night-Cycle destroys civilizations – that is its calling.
The Day-Cycle builds civilizations,
establishes empires – is empirical in doing this, in fact -- ManÕs
Monuments to himself -- by trying to exorcise Death from its vocabulary. The Night-Cycle is tribal by nature, and
worships Nature and NatureÕs Monuments (GodÕs creation), which is Death to the empire-builder.
In the City, Man can be huge, the center of
the universe.
In Nature, Man is small, man is on his knees
before God, empty, asking God to protect and guide him.
The Day-Cycle is the locus of ambition, and
pride, and self-worship.
Hubris. Sin. Imbalance. Greed. Political Tyranny. Physical Power. Love of Pleasure. The Day-Cycle is the King.
The Night-Cycle is the locus of contrition,
self-sacrifice, confession of sins, death, alchemical transmutation,
purification, poverty of spirit, love of humiliation and desereved pain. The Night-Cycle is the Priest or the
Monk.
The almost-perfect human emblem of the
Day-Cycle is Julius Caesar. The
almost-perfect human emblem of the Night-Cycle is Jesus Christ.
God the Father lives in Heaven and sends his
Son down to Earth seeking redemption – for the FatherÕs own sins.
It is the Son who gives the Father Eternal
Life by going down into the dark sea, the valley of death, taking up residence
in the womb again, the Mother Principle, Nature, assenting to his own
martyrdom, dying so that the world might live: to bring Light again to the
world, after it endures the Darkness of another Night-Cycle again for almost
too long. But nothing lasts too
long. Everything is right on time.
Events in Physical Reality Are Time-Element Symbols
We look at events in
physical reality as symbols defining Ôthe timeÕ we are passing through. 2001 was the culmination of the
ÔpositiveÕ energy of Day-Cycle civilization-building and the advent of the
ÔnegativeÕ energy as nascent Night-Cycle activity begins condensing from its
point or seed again. Of course,
September 11 is the almost perfect symbol of this Ôchanging of the guardÕ, or
changing of the alternative electrical current from positive to negative. Fundamentalist, Extremist Muslims
– crusaders for the Antimatter Cause – anti-heroes hating the
corrupt civilization, acting on behalf of God and Nature-- attacked American
commercial, cultural, political and military symbols, the utter destruction of
the Twin Towers in New York City being the most devastating of these attacks
– and the most symbolically potent – an undisguished castration
symbolism, evisceration of the Sun Hero, of creeping civilization, global
trade, and the cancerous, ruthless spread of the international monetary empire
-- with attacks or planned attacks also targeting the Pentagon and the White
House.
The Day-Cycle is white. The Day-Cycle fruiting (the fruiting of
the plant, the idea, is civilization itself) is recklessly anti-religious and
secular and ÔfreeÕ. The Day-Cycle
finds its resource in human and divine Will, and its activity in positive
electrical currency.
The Night-Cycle is black. The Night-Cycle seeding (the seeding of
the plant, the idea, happens in the darkest part of the year, in the womb of
Nature, for gestation cannot occur except in Darkness) is recklessly
fundamentalist and religious and occurs in the valley of the shadow of
Death. The Night-Cycle finds its
resource in human and divine Love, and finds its activity (or non-activity) in
negative electrical currency.
These attacks in 2001 on
landmarks of the American empire symbolically marked the end of the 18-year
economic expansion of Western Civilization (with its ideal of the ÔindividualÕ
and the triumph of ÔprivateÕ enterprise) that began with Ronald ReaganÕs
counter-attacking capitalist revolution in 1983.
Day-Cycles exemplify Ôprivate enterpriseÕ,
and focus on private gain, individual activity, individual destiny: personal
and cultural and national empires are then built. Night-Cycles have a social conscience; Day-Cycles
do not.
Day-Cycles honor ÔdevelopmentÕ,
accumulation, practical intelligence, achievement, and problem-solving. Night-Cycles honor decency, generosity,
beauty, wisdom, grace.
Night-Cycle: 1965-1983; Day-Cycle: 1983-2001
The period of 1983-2001
marked the 18-year period of economic expansion that followed the 18 year
period of economic stagflation or Night-Cycle, 1965-1983, during which era
America endured both high unemployment and high inflation, a flat investment
market on Wall Street, and the spiritual death experience that characterizes
Night-Cycles: the anti-patriarchal Counter-Culture and feminist movements, the
anti-white civil rights rebellion – the poor rising up against the rich
-- the ÔlostÕ war in Vietnam and the general anti-capitalist flavor of this
period – Night-Cycles are anti-materialistic in nature and
anti-capitalist in spirit and in doctrine -- cast rocks at the sins of
AmericaÕs history, exposing racial atrocity, economic bullying, and
militaristic terrorism in Asia and Latin America. Clearly, this period produced the
deflation of the American Ego (the self-image of the Conquering Hero) –
self-accusation, social fragmentation and polarization, civil disaffection and
even armed conflict against the white, male power structure.
Day-Cycles are times of action; Night-Cycles
are times of judgment, and especially, self-judgment. Night=Cycles see only the negative
aspect, the shadow aspect, of the Day-Cycles. Hence, the hatred of their opposite
grows as their sense of being abused and victimized increases.
From 1965-1983, communism
nearly won, winning in Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Nicaragua; nearly winning in El
Salvador and Honduras; making deep inroads into the hearts and minds of
ÔguiltyÕ white culture in Europe, America, England, and Australia. Drug use increased in white cultures (as
white cultures turned black); hippie movements, Ôback to NatureÕ movements,
Ômake love not warÕ movements proliferated. Men grew their hair long and idealized
the female nature. Massive
demonstrations against the ÔestablishmentÕ – the white patriarchal
leadership cult – shook Western Civilization. Political power swung to the Labor Party
in many Western countries, including America, who went with Democratic
leadership or, in Nixon, moderate ÔpragmaticÕ Republican leadership –
fundamentalist pro-business ideology was exile on the far-right fringe of the
Republican Party. In a similar way,
the Republicans dominated the Day-Cycle, 1983-2001, with only Bill Clinton,
this eraÕs Nixon, serving as the leader of a Demoratic presidency – but
Clinton was a ÔnewÕ Democrat, ÔpragmaticÕ, a friend of business, a friend of
Wall Street.
The Day-Cycle is about the
rich oppressing the poor through the powers of a racial(ist) fundamental religiousness – the
Light casting the Darkness out of Heaven, easily interpreted, with many such
historical precedents, as the dark-skinned races being cast out of heaven by
the light-skinned races -- married to economic empiricism and Darwinian
morality married to subtle processes of self-adoration (that is, inflation of
the Ego-Bubble, both ÔinflationÕ and ÔbubbleÕ being especially illuminating
words considering our context). The
Hero-as-Conqueror is the master figure
of the Day-Cycle. The Knight
protecting the Woman threatened by Darkness, and building the City for her, the
House, the Bank Account, the Militiary Force to keep poverty, Darkness, and
Death at a distance. He builds the
wall for her, keeping invaders and intruders on the outside.
The Night-Cycle, in contrast, is about the
poor getting even with the rich. No
wonder Misters Greenspan and Bernanke are desperate to keep the Ego Bubble
inflalted. They thrive during the
Day-Cycles; and they are considered immoral outlaws during the Night-Cycles.
The Day has no Soul. The Night has no Body. The Day and the Night, like Matter and
Anti-Matter, approach one another (at Dawn and at Dusk), annihilate one
another, and exchange positons: the High becme Low; the Low become High.
The Night gets a Body suddenly and becomes
ÔcleansedÓ, rising up in to Heaven; the Day gets a Soul and becomes ÔblackÕ,
aware suddenly of its own sins committed when it had no Soul.
The Earth (the Dark Woman)
loves and gives herself to the Purified ÒWhiteÓ Man, – opposites always attract. The Moon (the White Woman) loves and
gives herself to the Dark, Corrupt Man – the Negative Man – who
turns his back on the Human Life, returns to Nature seeking to be purified,
cleansed, finds his way in the Dark by the light of the Moon (the love of the
woman he cannot marry) who watches over him from a distance.
I realize this may seem to be nonsensical to
the reader who has lost undertanding of the symbolic language. The Day-Cycle, scientific logic, does
not speak the language of the Night-Cycle, poetic symbolism and metaphor. The Day-Cycle is blind during the Night;
and the Night-Cycle is blind during the Day. This book will attempt to re-instruct
the Modern reader in the principles of the symbolic language, to enable him or
her access to the ancient wisdom hidden in the glyphs of metaphorical thinking.
Metaphor is, in some sense, non-sense, in
that it relies on intuition and inspiration – the breath of the gods
– to enlighten the mind. The
Day-Cycle tends to use the mind as an adding-machine, taking information in
from the senses, running the data through the machine, the mind, generating,
through this sensate process, a picture of what reality is. The mind crunches reality, as the adding
machine crunches numbers.
The Night-Cycle tends to use the mind directly
as an organ of perception. The mind
sees the world directly, without the intercession of the senses: using the mind
as a Third Eye, which looks directly at the world, at the worldÕs Ômental
principlesÕ, by-passing the senses, and, thus, becoming Ônon-senseÕ, as the
dream is non-sense – however the dream in not without meaning, not
without structure.
I will show, through my own
experience, the meaning of the Two Woman who guide men, who stand one at the
Gate of Heaven and the other at the Gate of Hell, leading men and cultures and
planets sequentially through adventures on Earth, one guiding material
evolution, the other guiding spiritual evolution. We will recall, in mythology, that Venus
had at least two aspects, one as Morning Star, and one as Evening Star. This idea gives us a clue to the meaning
of our Two Women who guides the man in his life.
Looking at the diagram below, we see that
Venus, the Goddess of Love, is stationed at two points on the Time-Wheel, once
at Autumn, at Dusk, in the sign of Libra, the balance – Venus, the
Evening Star -- and also in the Spring, in the sign of Taurus, the Bull –
Venus, the Morning Star. This
symbolism suggests what I will analyze more fully in this book, and explain by
using my own life experience.
God ÒBreathesÓ Life in to Man: Day-Cycle.
God ÒBreathesÓ Life out of Man: Night-Cycle, Stealing Away ManÕs Power
to Control Events.
Most religious literature
speaks of the deitiesÕ Breath, the creative gods as being the Winds, the Holy
Ghost breathing fire in to the souls of those chosen to be disciples of the
Unseen Truth. The gods breathe
forth the created world and then breathe in the world of form at the end of
Time, essentially deconstructing what they have earlier built. The literature rarely speaks of exact
time cycles, but speaks more mystically about numbers. In the context of our Time-Wheel, the
out-breathing cycle, the creation of the World of Form, is our Day-Cycle; and
the In-Breathing cycle, which destroys the forms it has created, the reign of
the gods of anti-matter (Shiva in Hinduism) is our Night-Cycle. Language is instructive: another word
for Out-Breathing is Expiration;
another world for In-Breathing is Inspiration. The mortal world is breathed-out; the
mortal world is light and matter (we must remember than physical light is matter). I have stated earlier that Night-Cycles
are vital, because Night-Cycles give us dreams, the same dreams we will attempt
to build in matter when the following Day-Ccyle begins.
God speaks to Hammurabi, Moses, Plato during
Night-cycles, giving man ÔlawsÕ to bring back with him from the
mountain-top. These ÔlawsÕ are, of
course, ÔLaws of NatureÕ –the Material World evolves; and the Spiritual
World evolves – although when one watch the fundamentalists who clint to
a literl intepretation of a metaphorical doctrine, one wonders if evolution is
just an illusion. Honor killing,
creationism, and other forms of fanatic literalism deservedly give religion a
bad name.
God did NOT build the world in six
days. ÔSix DaysÕ is a
metaphor. The Lord (Elohim) created
the world in six days; and on the seventh day He (they) rested – that is,
the ÔbuildersÕ created the world during the ÒDay-CycleÓ, and then came the
ÔNight-CycleÓ.
Man meets God face-to-face
during Night-Cycles on Mount Sinai, Mount Meru, Olympus, Mount Telemachus, The Mountain is the spex of the
Nature-Worship, the Night-Cycle.
There are two mountains, in fact. One is the reflection of the other
mountain. Reflections exist in
Water. Which moutain is the real mountain? And are both mountains illusions? In one mountain disappears, does the
other disappear as well? Is it
simply a magic show? One illusion
existing because the other illusion also exists?
The mountains are also triangles. The two triangles point in opposite
directions, leading to apexes in Northern and Southern Hemisphers – in
six different directions, as a matter of fact. (think of the Jewish Star of
David). An older version of the Star of David exists in Hindu and Buddhist
texts, and is called Sat-Kona, the hexagram – a symbol of the union of
Day-Cycle and Night-Cycle. This
symbol later was considered a talisman of Saturn, on Jehovah, the Old Testament
Jewish God.
The idea that Nothingness is
the only ÔrealityÕ – that is, Etern Time before the light created the
illusion – is very much a part of Hinduism and Taoism. Everything but the Nothinness –
being the Darkness before the Light is born, the profound Unity in the Dark
Age, before thought, before sound, before differentiation -- is mortal and, therefore an illusion
– is temporary. Nothingnessis
Eternal, the seed-bed from which all forms come, and the seed-bed to which all
things return.
Like the Dark Matter of the universe,
Nothingness is, in fact, Somethingness.
We are just not sure what it is.
Fullness, perhaps: Fullness before Fullness is breathed out and become
differentiated parts only remembering Fullness.
Inspiration comes out of
restful repose, out of the act of dreaming during the Night-Cycle. Expiration comes out of activity, out of
Day-Cycle energy, which is limited by Time and must be replenished byÉrest and
respose, and by Inspiration gained from dreaming.
It is interesting to note
– and we will examinute this more fully later -- that Mars, the God of
War, is also stationed in both the Spring and the Autumn. It is interesting to note in the diagram
above that the year 1941 on our Time-Wheel falls in Scorpio which is one of the
signs that is ruled by Mars, the War God.
Of course, America was attacked by Japan and entered World War II in the
year 1941.
Night-Cycles Are About the Dis-Integration of the Current Structure,
and the Re-Integration of the Dream For the Sake of the Next Structure
Ego expansion, inflation,
requires and assumes a form of social unity, either through a shared sense of
danger, or through enforced conformism – Law and Order, which is a prime
logic and motivation during the Day-Cycle -- and a jeer at fascist autocracy –
police states -- when seen from the perspective of the Night-Cycle. Ego contraction, deflation, and material
implosion produces a climate of social division that threatens the government,
the dominance of the ruling monied class, and the economic hierarchy of the ruling
civilizations: the very fabric of the society is ripped asunder. Riots in Egypt, and throughout the
Middle East in early 2011, earlier riots and streek killings in Thailand in
early 2010, and worker and student riots in European cities in late 2010
– in Greece – in England, Italy and Germany -- are all identifiers
and outcroppings of Night-Cycle class warfare.
This is where we are headed, straight into
social division, polarization, between the rich and the poor, between the haves
and have-nots, anger at the government and their masters in the Ruling Class
(mostly white, mostly men), perhaps revolution.
This disintegration will continue until
around 2019, at which point the potent negative energy of the deflation period
(Ôemptying outÕ) – seeing the shadow-side of the Day-Cycle instead of the
light-side -- will begin, slowly at first, to give way to the more positive
energy of the inflation experience (Ôfilling upÕ), which inflation will gain
majority control in 2028, and will culminate in 1937 in another banking crisis,
another corruption scandal, and another nascent economic depression that
authorities again, unless we change our thinking, try to ignore, try to defeat
throught expanding credit (instead of contracting credit), making deflation the
enemy instead of the savior of the bursting bubble of another economic bubble
expansion.
We Need A New Economic Definition of ÒInflationÓ: Inflaltion is
Economic Growth
Note: I use the word
ÔinflationÕ interchangeably with the words and concepts of ÔgrowthÕ and
ÔexpansionÕ. In my mind, Ôeconomic
growthÕ is ÔinflationÕ. Most ecnomists will dismiss this
interpretation, instead referring to inflation as some phenomenon connected
with increasing money supply, or increasing costs of doing business and consumer
prices and incomes, which they might even claim is measured (and even claim
accurately of such measurements?) by two government gauges: the Consumer Price
Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI).
I suggest we think differently about
inflation. In one studies various
types of ÔinflationÕ during the last Day-Cycle, 1983-2001, as an example, one
will find that the Day-Cycle expansion always
includes a massive amount to price inflation, cost inflation, and expansion of
the money supply. Salaries did not
inflate much, in fact, during this period, and we will try to explain why this
happened or didnÕt happen later in the book.
Growth is inflation – but growth is ÔgoodÕ inflation. Growth, ÔgoodÕ inflation, is the filling
up of the empty glass. ÔBadÕ
inflation is caused by attempts to overfill the full glass, which happened,
also, from 1965-1983, until Paul Volcker put an end to it in the early 1980Õs,
by raising the Fed Funds interest rate to more than 20% to dry out the system
(rates should have been raised slowly and steadily from 1965-1983). Bubble-creation – the very thing
Alan Greenspan did in 2001-2004 – and what Ben Bernanke is doing now
– is the ÔbadÕ inflation we desperately need to avoid.
ÔBadÕ inflation is caused by leaders devoid of
philosophy who are driven by fear or greed or both (greed is fear of poverty,
is it not?), and attempt to use monetary policy to avoid the natural and
necessary Night-Cycle deflations, which leaders
(my own euphemish, in fact) attempt to keep the party (and the addiction to
debt) going for ever, in a cancerous preoccupation – a behavior that will
eventually destroy America -- as inflation destroyed the Roman Empire. We need to come to some philosophical
understanding that both periods of growth and periods of rest are required,
periods of inflation and periods of deflation, followed by periods of
re-inflation. Rebirth is a
given. We cannot let our fear of
death drive us to make policy decisions that ruin our currency and shackle our
grandchildren with mountains of debts – the Night-Cycle is the time to
elminate debt and accumulate savings, not the time to be taking on more debt.
Life is a breathing
process. Governments need to
understand this breathing process.
The public needs to understand this breathing process (metaphor) as the
ultimate rational answer to the ebb
and flow of economic realities and historical events. Devotion to the Will (and Power) alone
is not enough. Devotion to
ÔdevelopmentÕ (what a strange euphemism), to building, expanding, conquering,
city-building is also not enough.
We need to be equally devoted to both sides of our nature: the
masculine, conquering Will, and the feminine receding, Love aspect, which in
its highest form is Wisdom. No
farmer plants his field every day of the year, demanding a constant return on
his property. Nature is not a
factory, working all day and all night, every day of the year. Nature has a planting time, a flowering
time, a growth season, a fruiting season, a harvesting time, and a fallow period,
a time when the Earth rests, when seeds germinate, getting ready for the next
growth cycle.
Farmers (in Nature) understand philosophy
more than businessmen (in the City) do.
Farmers understand the cycles of the Earth – and the philosophy
that grows up out of these cycles.
Most businessmen understand growth, growth, growth: growth in markets,
growth in profits, growth in technologies to cut costs (and require fewer
workers). We cannot give political
power over to our businessmen unless we want to be destroyed by this perpetual
growth philosophy. It is
cancerous. Profits are not the only
valuable principle in life. Life requires
balance. The perpetual growth
principle is the picture of low-quality suburban strawl, golf courses, and
mini-malls spreading everywhere, taking over all of Nature.
One thing man must always remember. Nature, ultimately, wins. Things that rise also fall, no matter
what you do, no matter how much denial you can achieve, how much temporal power
and how much money you have: Nature will not be defeated.
American Historical Day-Cycles and Night-Cycles
We will examine these
American historical Day- and Night-Cycles carefully in the first part of this
book.
Period A. 2001 – 2019: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period B. 1983 – 2001: Day
Cycle Inflation, Higher forms of Organization
Period C. 1965 – 1983: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period D. 1947 – 1965: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period E. 1929 – 1947: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period F. 1911 – 1929: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period G. 1893 – 1911: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period H. 1875 – 1893: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period I. 1857 – 1875: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period J. 1839 – 1857: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period K. 1821 – 1839: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period L. 1803 – 1821: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period M. 1785 – 1803: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period N. 1767 – 1785: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period O. 1749 – 1767: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
Period P. 1731 – 1749: Day
Cycle Inflation, higher forms of Organization
Period Q. 1713 – 1731: Night
Cycle Deflation, Social Fragmentation, Chaos
A reader with even a simple
understanding of American history will see that the periods of deflation,
outlined above, do include periods of
substantial social fragmentation, polarization and chaos, civil war, periods of
class warfare and periods of economic
dislocation and depression.
Periods of inflation (economic-growth
inflation, not necessarily monetary
inflation) include a return to national roots, a baptism, a washing clean of
the sins of the past (a drinking from the River Lethe in the sense of the Greek
Myth, a suspension of accusatory Memory and self-hatred), often a threat to
national security, a covenant given by God santctifying the expansion, and the
resurrection of the Father-Figure image – a re-unification or atonement
of the Father and the Prodigal Son – the ÔromanticÕ son who has opposed
the Father and the FatherÕs order and creation -- and a re-awakening of
religious imagery, embedded in symbols of Old Testament ÔchosenÕ people
imagery. We will look at all of
this in much more detail as we progress thorugh the book.
There is always a Promised
Land given, through covenant, to the re-born Son (Sun Hero, Fertility
God). There is always a wife given
to the Renaissance Man (as there is always a love given to the Romantic Man who
is falling on the other side of the globe, a love that does not result in
marriage or offspring: the Sun and the Earth marry; the Sun and the Moon do not
marry – the Sun and the Moon spend, in fact, very little time together,
but engage in a terrific love-affair – this fact being the basis of the
ÔvirginÕ mother mythology – which we will also examine). With a wife comes money, power, property
(the Promised Land) and a form of empire, a form of the Garden of Eden. With the loss of a wife – a lost
love, a broken heart – comes poverty, obscurity, and a form of negative
empire: self-hate, self-judgment, and sometimes civil war.
Day-Cycle Hero: the Cowboy.
Night-Cycle Anti-Hero: the Indian.
Put in a local, American
national cultural vernacular, Ego-deflation Night-Cycles empower the Indian
persona from American history.
Ego-inflation Day-Cycles empower the Cowboy persona from American
history. The ÔIndianÕ is tribal
(group-oriented), lunar, horizontal in orientation – animated mentally
and culturally by the imagistic dream content – and by the ethic of
equality. The ÔCowboyÕ is
individualistic, solar, vertical in orientation – climbing the ladder in
search of objective recognition and material rewards – animated by the
scientific Ôreal worldÕ of causality and engineering, city-building, active
god-like behavior, and by the ethic of freedom, bringing law and order to the
wind-swept town, teetering on the brink of devastation at the hands of criminal
darkness.
It is this active, god-like behavior –
pride, or the Greek idea of hubris
– that causes Adam (and Eve) to fall from the pure state of Paradise and
to be cast into darkness (death, illness, decline, depression), which is the
essence of the Night-Cycle of Ego Deflation, as the human being suddenly
awakens to his own limitations, his own mortality, his own inability to stem
the tide of the collapse through the old Cowboy logic of hard work, will power,
and positive thinking – that is, of exclusion of the shadow, the negative
energy, from the picture, creating the illusion of unity, a unity of
parts. Positive energy is not what fuels the expansion, it is the
expansion that fuels positive energy.
Positive energy does not work to stem the contraction.
Day-Cycles, being about ManÕs Glory, are
about technology, about the Machine Glory, about ManÕs Creation. Night-Cycles are about GodÕs Glory, are
about the failure of ManÕs Glory, through ManÕs machine-creation.
(Another symbolic event in February 2011 was
the failure of a NASA launch (powered by a Taurus rocket) of the satellite
ÔGloryÕ, designed to study Solar and atmospheric influences on the Earth. Glory fell back to earth, fell back in
to the sea in fact. This occurred a
few days before Japan was hit by an 8.9 strength earthquake, which triggered a
huge, 23-foot tsunami off JapanÕs northeast coast, flooding and destroying the
whole of JapanÕs upper coastline, damaging a series of Japanese nuclear
reactors that several of which subsequently suffered meltdown. Many Japanese (in the millions) were
left dead, or homeless, or without power.
Both of these events are symbolic of NatureÕs Night-Cycle domination of
Man, and the failure of ManÕs machines.
Nuclear power-plants provide Japan with 33% of its electrical
energy. At least three Japanese
nuclear powerplants have been flooded with sea-water, meaning they will never
be used again.)
The Day-Cycle is about ManÕs glory through
the powers of scientific thought.
The Night-cycle is about GodÕs glory thorugh the powers of religious or
metaphorical thought. The ferment
and yeasty-rising of the Arab World indicates that it is Dawn to their
religious season – they are waking again. The West – the Scientific Mind
– is growing tired, is not able to control events now, and in sinking in
to sleep. It is Dusk in the world
of the Western Mind.
Day falters; the Future
vanishes. The eyes – physical
Vision – go out – that is, gets weaker and more limited, the field
of vision shrinking back toward the local point, the nucleus, the center: this
is the Big Crunch. Of course, the
point of light during the Night-Cycle is the Moon, reflective light
concentrated within itself.
The man, the nation, the culture, loses
momentum, is pulled by gravity back toward Earth, turns back and falls,
discovering, as he falls, the power of reflection, and, as well, ghosts from
his Past – also taught the lesson that Nature is stronger than Man is
during the Night-Cycles. The Past
comes in to view. Day-Cycle transforms
into Night-Cycle; the Future transforms into the Past. And debt – always associated with
Kramic Debt (ÔI will do anything to get aheadÕ) – comes to be recognized
as being a problem, even a moral problem.
Sin appears: the sins one commits to fulfill his private dreams.
Pubic spending wonÕt fix this decline; manic
spending (and borrowing) by the Federal Reserve canÕt re-ignite the expansion;
engineers canÕt curb the collapse; politicians canÕt talk or cheer their way
out of the reality of the contraction.
There whill be no magic WDN (ÒWhip Deflation NowÓ) buttons to be worn to
fix the depression. Nothing but
time (a full 18 years, in fact) can resurrect the dead power-source and inflate
the ideals of civilization again.
Day-Cycle Erections, Followed by Night-Cycle Pregnancies and
Contractions
I wrote earlier that
Day-Cycles were periods of ÔerectionÕ and I meant that in the meaning of both
periods of building and construction and in periods of masculine sexual energy
–fertility -- which drives cycles of daylight expansion. Male sexual energy – the erection
– is the positive energy
– the magic wand – Number 1 as a digit and also as a form of the
king and the kingÕs unit(y) -- that drives the Darkness away and brings
fertility and growth back to the culture and to the Earth. Night-Cycles manifest the Romantic Man,
who is a failed lover, who becomes a philosopher, a saint, a poet, a monk, and
as ascetic who embraces celibacy, turning his back on the woman, considering
her the cause ofthe corruption of his own Soul, the cause of his sin, and who
refuse to vitalize the Earth sexually, refuse to give his life-energy to the
woman. The land grows fallow.
Self-sufficiency becomes the national creed
of the Night-Cycle. Taking care of
oneself. Saving; not spending. Saving energy; not spending energy. Currency is the blood-stream of the
nation; it is put in the bank; it does not circulate.
One of the most interesting symbols to
appear at the end of the most recent Day-Cycle (ending in 2001) was the advent
of Viagra, a medicine to enhance and toextend male sexual potency – which
was a kind of desperate denial of natural cycles and age in the human
life-cycle – a kind of Ôextend and pretendÕ medicinal version of
BernankeÕs monetary policy.
Viagra is an attempt to deny Nature; in the
very same way, Greenspan, first, and then Bernanke, sought to provide the
global economy with a financial panacea, cheap debt, loose credit, which was
also a form of Viagra, an attempt to ÔextendÕ the weakening masculine Day-Cycle
and ÔpretendÕ Nature did not matter.
Nature being the woman, in this case, the Dark Principle, the Moon.
I have written that these
ideas are Ônot my ownÕ but are the inheritance of humanity on Earth, and have
been examined by every human culture and every religious thinker or philosopher
since the beginning of time. The
struggle of the Light and the Darkness is the oldest drama in the world, and
the theme of every underlying literary or philosophical masterpiece since time
began.
In this book, I will look more closely at
the 18-year cycle as it fits a 4-season cycle as a paradigm of historical
development, a schema that owes something to the influence of both Gambatitsta
Vico and Oswald Spengler.
I have also been influenced in my thinking
and in the writing of this book by James Joyce (especially Finnegans Wake), Dante, Herman Melville and Marsilio Ficino, all
Medieval personalities and thinkers.
The Medieval personality (and I define the Medieval periods as being the
two ÔinterludesÓ between both
Day-Cycles and Night-Cycles, the gates between the two transitions: Spring and
Autumn. Many Western historians
like to place the Middle Ages somehow attached, often as a negative addendum,
to the Dark Ages, more closely related to the Goths than to Michaelangelo and
DaVinci. My conception is that the first of two Medieval Ages is the point
of transition from Darkness to Light and is symbolized by the Renaissance Man,
he who is still religious but who is journeying toward the Daylight, away from
the Night, journeying away from God toward Man (and toward Man, who, in his culmination.
Acts, himself, as a god). The
Renaissance Man (Medieval Positive – positive toward Man and toward the
idea of civilizing Nature) is whole, containing both Darkness and Light in his
understanding. He is Religious,
Scientific and Philsoophical. As he
journeys in to the Light he loses this wholeness, this balance.
Romantic Man, who occupies the Dusk/Autumn
point on the Time Wheel, represents the second
Medieval Age in the Round (in my mind): Medieval Negative --.negative toward
Man and toward the ideas of civilizing Nature The Romantic Man is also whole, but he
is journeying away from the Ligth, away from ManÕs Glory, away from the City,
back towards Nature. He will also
lose his wholeness, his balance, as he descends.
The Renaissance Man (Medieval One) is the
First Man, Adam, the Hero, if you will; and Romantic Man (Medieval Two) is the
Last Man, the Seventh Man, anti-Adam, the Anti-Hero.
Hinduism posits Seven Men, Seven Races,
Seven Rounds (similar to Days in the Week) that all make up a Week of
Brahma. Each Day has a Night that
is equally long as the Day; each Week has a Night (a pralaya) that is qually
long as the Day was.
We will look at these ideas more deeply
later.
Who is Marsilio Ficino, and What Is Divine Madness?
I will look at Marsilio
FicinoÕs work most carefully.
Ficino, although not writing directly about Day-Cycles and Night-Cycles
(those ideas I most directly link to ancient Hindu and Buddhist thought, Jewish
and Christian esoteric writing, Chinese philosophy), wrote extensively about
the personas one takes on while sinking into depression, while sinking into a
Night-Cycle. Ficino (many of his
ideas are linked to PlatoÕs ideas of the Ônecessary madnessÕ and the Ôfour
frenziesÕ one meets and becomes during depression, or travel in to the
Underworld) – during the Night-Cycle, a culture descends in to the
mythological underworld – the same underworld through which the Egyptian
god Osiris traveled in order to find rebirth as his son Horus.
Plato, and after him, Ficiono, wrote how the
ÔFour FrenziesÕ use us to transcend
ego concerns and materialistic unconsciousness, and that these frenzies
constellate around four symbols, personas, masks, or archetypes: poet, priest,
prophet and lover.
I have suggested that Night-Cycles are,
indeed, periods of Ônecessary madnessÕ, agreeing with Plato and Ficino. I have talked about rest, and
germination, and dreaming the next reality, and the poor chastising the selfish
rich, and the need to give the Earth a period of rest, so that all the greedy
ÔdevelopersÕ and Ôrisk-takersÕ donÕt turn the entire planet into one continuous
retirement community with country club, shopping center mall and housing
development, all for the sake of more and more money in their bank accounts.
Night-Cycles exist and are precious aand ned
to be understood and respected because Night-Cycles manifest, evolve and
emphasize Soul in the Human Kingdom.
Paraphrasing Plato and Ficino: The Four
Frenzies, the Four Archetypes, embedded in the Darkness, when constellated within
us help to provide a focus for the Ônecessary madnessÕ required for the
development of the Soul. In other
words, the developing Soul will be taken over by poetic, religious, prophetic
and erotic frenzies as a way to achieve unification and wholeness.
During the previous
Night-Cycle in America, Night-Cycle in the sense of Dusk-to-Dawn Horizontal
Night-Cycle, which ran from 1974-1992, I fell madly in love (1976-78) –
see Venus on the time Time-Wheel diagram – with a married woman (Venus, the
Evening Star; Moon Figure). This
love did not last. This sent me
into exile, leaving my home in Wyoming and traveling to Oregon, where I began a
new life, expecting, in fact, my love to join me there, when her marriage
failed. The marriage did not fail. My father died in 1980. This was the deepest depression I had
ever experienced in my life, up to that time. To survive this depression, I wrote a
major novel which became, in effect, a kind of life-raft to me. I did not understand the concept of cultural
Day- and Night-Cycles at the time.
The novel was titled Conversations
On A Dying Age – subtitled Aemrican
Book of the Dead. This book
chronicles, in fictional form, my own descent into Death, into the Underworld
– clearly the Figures of Mad Lover, Made Poet, Mad Prophet and Mad Priest
possessed me in this underworld – and are clearly present as personas in
this novel.
My own view of the sequence of the
constellations of these personals is not the same as FicinoÕs. I see the stages as : Mad Lover, Mad
Poet, Mad Prophet, Mad Priest, Mad Prophet, Mad Poet, and Mad Lover – the
first Mad Lover being the Romantic as he begins his descent into the Water,
into the Underworld – the failed love, the Sun loving the Moon –
the second Mad Love being in place to enable the SoulÕs magical escape from the
Underworld, the mystical marriage of Sun and Earth, the love that is sanctified
by God, granted by covenant, which leads directly into the Gardent of Eden, the
Golden Age, or Spring of the Day-Cycle.
In truth, all of my writings illuminate
times and themse of the Time-Cycle – and I will quote extensively from my
own unpublished writing to describe time-experiences and show how they fit in
to the seasons of the Time-Wheel.
This image below represents
a visual system of HistoryÕs stages – and applies to 18-year cycles and
to historical life cycles in a more general sense.
History begins in a love of God, then
transforms into a love of the world (of men), then returns to a love of God is
three major steps, through four major personas or guardians – personas
not to be confused with the Four Frenzies defined by Plato and Ficino. Black Giant (Nature, Dark Ages, Space:
Midnight) – an aspect of Plato/FicinoÕs Mad Priest; Renaissance Man
(First Middle Ages, Dawn); White Giant (Man, Empiricism, Time, Noon);
Revolutionary Romantic Man (Second Middle Ages, Dusk).
This process will be examined quite
thoroughly in the book that follows.
The Metaphysical Compass and Navigating the Night-Cycle
I intend for this book to
become a compass to help readers find their way through the coming (the
existing) Dark Age – DÕArk Age, for there are small Dark Ages, Large Dark
Ages, and Very Large Dark Ages, each one being defined, in an elementary sense,
by the Flood – the overfilling of the full glass – and also for
policy-makers (and, if America decides to keep the Federal Reserve Bank, Fed
officers as well) to begin rationally
planning through monetary, social services and tax policy for orderly and
inevitable cycles of both expansion and contraction. It does not pay to deny the
inevitability of the Darkness, to fight the decline, to resist it, when,
through understanding it, we can use it as preparatory ground for the
inevitable next rebirth, which always follows ÔcontractionsÕ.
The word ÔcontractionsÕ, of course, suggests
a cold shrinking of substance and also the feminine experience that comes as a
sign of impending (re-)birth.
As I have insinutated:
during every Night-Cycle, religion
comes alive: the epochs and epics of the Old Testament and, to a lesser extent,
New Testament, are not only descriptions of (idealizations of) Jewish history,
they are also a description of the living structure of mystic Nature.
The Flood (Noah was Vaivasvata Manu in early
Hindu myth), the Covenant, the Promised Land, the Chosen People designation,
David and Goliath, Moses on Mount Sinai, the Guardian Angel Michael casting
Satan out of Heaven, Saturn casting Adam and Eve out of the Garden of Eden,
sending them into exile – exile, captivity and return – the trials
of Job – JonahÕs experience of Death and of mystical Initiation inside of
the whale, the Valkyries in Norse mythologyÉthese are all glyphs representing
real events lived in the inner, more subtle world of anti-matter, all
experiences of Modern Man, today, in 2011 – or, at least 1974-1983. I will explain what I mean by this later
in the book.
Relious writing is not
really a description of the Past; it is a description of the Eternal Moment,
Eternal Time: Time not broken up into trinitary segments of Past, Present and
Future, but Time as an ever-present continuum, a web, connection by obscure,
esoteric geometry.
The Patriarchs are not dead heroes living in
a distant past, but they are alive inside of us; and we live in the same structure
that the historical patriarchs did, and the prophets, who predicted and sought
the demise of the patriarchal authority now grown corrupt when the Night-Cycle
elements illuminate this corruption (as the Low Tide illuminates junk borne by
the ocean).
Joseph Interprets PharaohÕs Dream as the Day-Cycle Followed by the
Night-Cycle
Of course, Joseph in Egypt
and his interpretation of PharaohÕs dream is another eternal-entity we should
not forget.
Then
Pharaoh said to Joseph: ÒBehold, in my dream I stood on the bank of the river.
Suddenly seven cows came up out of the river, fine looking and fat; and they
fed in the meadow. Then behold, seven other cows came up after them, poor and
very ugly and gaunt, such ugliness as I have never seen in all the land of
Egypt. And the gaunt and ugly cows ate up the first seven, the fat cows. When
they had eaten them up, no one would have known that they had eaten them, for
they were just as ugly as at the beginning. So I awoke. Also I saw in my dream,
and suddenly seven heads came up on one stalk, full and good. Then behold,
seven heads, withered, thin, and blighted by the east wind, sprang up after
them. And the thin heads devoured the seven good heads. So I told this to the
magicians, but there was no one who could explain it to me.Ó
Then Joseph
said to Pharaoh, ÒThe dreams of Pharaoh are one; God has shown Pharaoh what He
is about to do: The seven good cows are seven years, and the seven good heads are
seven years; the dreams are one. And the seven thin and ugly cows which came up
after them are seven years, and the seven empty heads blighted by the east wind
are seven years of famine. This is the thing which I have spoken to Pharaoh.
God has shown Pharaoh what He is about to do. Indeed seven years of great
plenty will come throughout all the land of Egypt; but after them seven years
of famine will arise, and all the plenty will be forgotten in the land of
Egypt; and the famine will deplete the land. So the plenty will not be known in
the land because of the famine following, for it will be very severe. And the
dream was repeated to Pharaoh twice because the thing is established by God,
and God will shortly bring it to pass.Ó
There are few descriptions
in all of literature that so clearly define the Day-Cycle/Night-Cycle time
sequence as this passage does. 7
years of Day-Cycle prosperity and expansion; followed (always) by 7 years of
Night-Cycle poverty, contraction, and despair. Our numbers differ, but not much else.
During times of plenty, during the
Day-Cycles, a culture, through its government, should store up wealth for the
inevitable Night-Cycles that follow.
These cycles come like clock-work.
America can no longer continue to deceived herself about Ôhappy days are
(always) here againÕ – pretending that thinking only postive thoughts and
allowing businessmen run the world will save us from the apocalypse. Businessmen ran the world off the cliff
in 2008.
Happy thoughts make for happy Hollywood
movies – which is another topic of conversation – but rational
planning for the ebb and flow of NatureÕs ÔgivingÕ and Ôtaking awayÕ makes more
sense as a response that attempts to anticipate and work-with (and not against)
reality. We may not like the fact
that Night-Cycles are inevitable – we my not like Winter – but not
liking this fact is not the same as elinating it.
This book is intended to be
a JosephÕs-dream-analogue for America and for the rest of the world .
There is a time for entrepreneurial
capitalism and increasing capital-gaps between rich and poor (Day-Cycle) and
there is a time for social-centered group responsibility (socialism, if you
wish – I am not afraid of the word) and a shrinking of the gap between
rich and poor (Night-Cycle). It is
not either Capitalism or Socialism – it is both Capitalism and Socialism in rational sequences.
Honor thy Father in Heaven (the
Day-Cycle); but also honor thy Mother on Earth (the Night-Cycle).
Day-Cycles are about ManaÕs glory, ManÕs triumph,
ManÕs machinery, and ManÕs pride.
Night-Cycles are about NatureÕs wrath,
viewed by ancient cultures as GodÕs wrath; and about NatureÕs de-construciton
of ManÕs glories. This means
economic disintegration, wars, civil wars, social revolt; this means floods and
tsunamis, droughts, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, as Earth attemptsÕ to
shake off the cancer cells that are threatening to destroy her.
The revolt that is
spreading throughout the entire Arab world is clear evidence of the human
social earthquake occurring on the Earth.
One thinks of Katrina, the devastating hurricane and flood that
destroyed New Orleans in 2005; one can view the major floods all over Earth in
2010 and 2011, including major destructions in Pakistan, South Africa, and in
northeast Australia; and when one sees the earthquake in New Zealand, February
2011, the devastation of Christchuirch – think symbolically of this name
– and the collapse of the spire of the Christchurch Cathedral: ChristÕs
Church is under attack, is being destroyed. The spire is a phallic form and is the
keeper of the time – the bell tower.
Of course, this all began, as I have
suggested in 2001 with the destruction of the Twin Towers.
If it seems like the white
race is under attack from the forces of Nature, then one might wonder why this
is so.
The Day persecutes the Darkness; the
Darkness seeks to get even with the Day.
Who Am I and Why Am I Writing A Book about Economics?
Do I have a Ph.D. in Economics?
This book is an examination
of metaphysical principles underlying historical manifestations that occur
regularly, repeatedly in Nature. I
am not an economist. I am a philosopher,
a poet, and a student of history.
This book is my attempt to demonsntrate how metaphysical and
philosophical underpinnings move economic and social realities wich are the
effects of the metaphysical causes.
I do not have a Ph.D in
economics. I am not a specialist in
a single, narrow discipline. I am a
generalist with a hunger to put all the broken pieces of knowledge (the glory
of specialization) back together again into a picture of the unity of Nature
(reassembling the broken pieces of narrow, deep, isolated specialist
knowledge).
In the beginning the world was
one. Then it was broken into many
pieces. In the end, the world again
becomes one.
ÒMost of the negatives in housing are
probably
behind us.
It's taking less out of the economy."
Alan
Greenspan, 2006
TURN OUT THE LIGHTS:
THE TWILIGHTÕS MOST RECENT GLEAMING
Everybody
knows that the dice are loaded
Everybody
rolls with their fingers crossed
Everybody
knows that the war is over
Everybody
knows the good guys lost
Everybody
knows the fight was fixed
The poor stay
poor, the rich get rich
That's how
it goes
Everybody
knows .
Everybody
knows that the boat is leaking
Everybody
knows that the captain lied
Everybody
got this broken feeling
Like their
father or their dog just diedÉ
ÒEverybody KnowsÓLeonard Cohen
PART ONE. THE MACROCOSM:
DAYLIGHT FALLS.
A SIP
FROM THE CUP OF PHILOSOPHY – AND THE READING OF THE INDICTMENT
CHAPTER I.
AS THE WORLD TURNSÉDOWN.
Alchemy is Really A PICTURE OF the SoulÕs
Potential For Rebirth.
In April 2008, I retired after working thirty years
as an administrative assistant in the Architecture Department at the University
of Oregon.
Almost immediately, upon retiring, my
vision of the future turned black.
I was standing before an abyss.
True, my life patterns, thirty years in the creation and preservation of
a ritual, had ended – and I was undergoing a kind of psychic death. Shiva, the God of Destruction, had
suddenly appeared.
But there was more than this. The precipice at which I was standing
was a cultural, racial gulf. The
world we had known so well – which we had taken for granted and assumed
would continue into the foreseeable future – was ending. And right on time, if one was to believe
the Millennial dogmas.
In Jungian psychological
literature, when interpreting the ÔinnerÕ meaning of medieval alchemy, this
period is called the Ôblack sunÕ, Sol
negro, and indicates the beginning of the soulÕs descent into the
underworld, the sunÕs descent into death and darkness, prior to eventual
rebirth on the other side of the Night.
The Soul descends into the Ôocean of the unconsciousÕ and undergoes a
death and purification ritual, washing itself clean of sins, facing its
judgments against its own impurities and failiings (and against its familyÕs
and cultureÕs sins as well) – and, then, enters a period of dormancy,
beomes a ÔseedÕ lying latent in the cold earth – to be awakened with a
new vision-- this new vision being the new ÔbodyÕ promised in Christian
literature, and a new personal mission -- only when stirred to life by the warm
rays of the clean, idealistic, regenerated, Spring Sun.
Understood spiritually or
psychologically, alchemy was the story of the individualÕs quest to attain
rebirth from a moral death, a popped Ego-Bubble, that occurs at the end of a
Day-Cycle of active external social living – i.e., a Day of material
growth, expansion, acquisition and attempted personal achievement.
What happened, speaking
metaphorically, to myself personally, and to the American Dream, was simply:
Time ran out.
The vas, the container inside of which the alchemist tried to transform
hard metals, lead for instance, into gold, was the individual Soul itself, a
cup, a glass, sometimes full, sometimes empty, inside of which the now
newly-isolate human being would begin to attempt to transform the heavy night
of a leaden density and depression
and loss into the new gold of Hope and Direction gained through the New Light
achieved through SpringÕs Solar regeneration.
When the Day turned into Night, the
goal ultimately, after the denial, the rage, the mourning, the bargaining
(extending and pretending), and, finally, the surrender, was to re-fashion a
new body from the remnants of the old – through the process of stripping
away the coarse outside material (Ôemptying outÕ the old, corrupter water in
the glass). The physical body
weakened and failed; and the spiritual body, the Soul, became the vehicle of
this transitory reckoning in the land of Darkness. Despair, Depression, loss of
bodily-strength and wealth, were psychic stages in this solar cleansing
process, that happense to both individuals and societies.
The Soul did not re-appear until all
the more dense natures that veiled the Soul were subtracted.
Day was a process of addition, of
adding bodies on top of the primordial Soul, the bodies of Adulthood –
Mental, Emotional, Physical bodies – which surrounded Soul to protect
it. Night was a process of
subtracting these outer bodies again, and returning to the pure state of the
Soul, Primordial Nature, the first body with which the child was born into this
life.
Apocalypse: All Parts Collapse
It became clear to me,
almost as if a light had been suddenly switched off, that the American
financial system (and the global economy that America and some of her allies
had been championing under the guise of Ôfree market capitalismÕ for so long)
was heading off a precipice. There
was nothing we could do to stop it from happening. The world we had known for so long was
slowly, irrevocably vanishing, matter being swallowed by a vast black hole that
resided in the very center of our economic galaxy. The Ôvast black holeÕ was a kind of
cosmic vas drinking in light and
drinking in matter. Matter was
light – we must not forget.
The world was ending.
And Ôpositive thinkingÕ, a
cheerleading of material markets by its political and intellectual and
practical creators and enthusiasts, with their rational, technological
ingenuity, which had helped to engender this most recent phase of the Great
American EmpireÕs expansion (and its offspring, the global economic order),
would not be able to stem the inevitable turning of Day into Night, the
irresistible transformation of Positive into Negative Energy.
This book is about
philosophical principles. It is
about how the world really works and what really led to the collapse of world
capitalism. It is not about
financial principles so much.
Writers will argue about the financial cause(s) of the collapse for
eveer now: the housing bubble, engineered by Alan Greenspan and then nourished
by his disciple Ben Bernanke; greed of Wall Street bankers, mortgage brokers
and mortgage companies; federal agencies meddling in the pure, wonderful Ôfree
marketplaceÕ; lack of federal oversight; too much federal oversight. Sophisticated mortgage bonds will be
blamed, credit swaps, mortgage insurance.
President George Bush will be blamed. American consumers will also be blamed. Also targeted will be the lust for
status and credit and consumer goods, which lust had driven the global feeding
frenzy – and which had generated personal global wealth on a scale never
before seen in human history.
Unions will be blamed. The
right wing will blame Big Government, as they always do; the left wing will
blame Big Business, as they always do.
Yes, there was a good side to this
expansion. The good side was
probably clear to everyone. Now we
will get to see the shadow-side that accrues from a global loss of balance in
values and the one-sided misuse of monetary policy.
Business is About Profits and Power, Not About Morality or Human
Dignity
In my mind, these Ôfinancial
causesÕ are all effects of the expansion rather than cause. The ecstasy of greed creates corruption,
theft, misuse of power, many forms of criminality, and desperation; shameful
human behavior is often illuminated
in much the same way as a low ocean tide reveals garbage, bones, dead bodies,
debris, pieces of broken ships, as the water retreats from its raucous and
relatively lawless period of high tide, revealing evidence of crimes committed
during the raging of the mad period of expansion of the will. Bernie Madoff is not the only criminal
who has been exposed by the receding of the water of greed. Wall Street has never behaved more
shamefully and with less responsible self-consciousness. A government, if truly interested in
prosecuting white-collar crimes, could busy itself for a decade pursuing
criminal acts in banking, investment banking, mortgage-abuse, and bribery of
government officials that have occurred in the last two decades, but especially
the last eight years.
I, personally, do not blame George
Bush for the collapse of the western financial system. He cannot control every limb of the
American political tree, control every aspect of the unwieldy, voracious, political
beast. However, the Republican
ideology which has been in power since the advent of Ronald Reagan, which
demands that Ôbusiness be allowed to do what it does bestÕ, with less and less
government scrutiny, is, without
question, responsible for both the creation and the destruction of the booming
global economy.
We must remember that what business
does best is to generate profits – the shadow side of this
profit-generation is the practice of cheating and stealing and manipulating laws
and law-makers and damaging living environments in homage to the God of Wealth,
and to the underlying ideal of plutocracy.
Business seeks to destroy or diminish competition, so that it can raise
prices and, where possible, scalp the public for necessary or unnecessary goods
and services. Higher profits and
lower costs are what make a business successful. This, during the last Day-Cycle included
exporting American jobs by the millions to cheap labor markets in Asia and
South America, Mexico, in order to break the Power of American Unions.
Business, generally speaking, has much
less loyalty to the American worker than it does to its own profits. As profits soar, a companyÕs stock
soars; and as a companyÕs stock soars, stock options and bonues make company
owners and officers rich as Croesus.
In the 1960Õs and 1970Õs
– the poor and lowly gain more power during the Night-Cycle -- organized
labor probably gained too much power in America, also becoming corrupt through
the assimilation of its leadership with organized crime. Now, labor in America is weak; and the
Republicans seem to be on a mission to destroy all remnants of labor
unions. This is another imblance that
must be addressed in the near-future.
Unions helped to create a strong
Middle Class in America, which is the basis of a true democracy. With no middle class, with only Masters
(of the Universe) and Servants (wage-earners) America will begin to resemble
the banana republics of South America – which, I do believe, is the
ultimate goal of Greed. Greed has
no conscience. Greed believes in
the absolute destruction of its competitors. Who are the competitors of Greed? Everyone. Greed is a totalitarian. Greed knows no real alliances ; and
Greed views everyone as a potential enemy.
There was a time not so long ago that
capitalism reveled in the free labor offered through slavery, and resisted
attempts to abolish this institution.
The Lords of Capitalism have opposed every piece of progressive social
legislation in America: the abolition of slavery; child labor laws; the six-day
work-week; the five-day work week; time off for holidays; womenÕs right to work
and vote; racial equality in the society and in the workplace; sick-leave;
maternity-leave; vacation for workers; minimum wage laws; health-care insurance
for workers; environmental protection.
If it had not been for the growing power of labor unions in America
– and the growing power of the middle-class -- America would still be
living in a moral and political feudalism – which is always the state of
social systems where worship of ÔtraditionÕ hostility to rights of the poor
crystallize and rigidify.
The obscene profits
generated by oil companies, insurance companies, and banks in the last decade
give us a pretty good picture of what unregulated business is all about. Regulation of business is one of the
prime jobs of government. Such
regulation needs to be rigorously set up and enforced to protect the consumer
from unscrupulous business practices.
The difference between Wall Street and the Italian Mafia across the
river (and any mafia, for tht matter) is that Wall Street owns the government
and makes the laws and the mafia only gets to borrow the laws on occasion
through bribery, extortion and terror.
There is a thin line between regulations
protecting the consumer and regulations assisting economic expansion in an
affluent society, both of these ends ultimately being the goal. GovernmentÕs job is not to strangle
legitimate business, but to discipline legitimate business to keep it from
becoming illegitimate.
Government climbing into bed with
government threatens the existence of a democratic system of government. If business interests buy both parties
in the government, as happened during the 90Õs when Bill Clinto essentially
sold the Democratic Party to Wall Street – the Democrats up to that point
having been the part of labor – then plutocracy replaces democracy. It does not matter which side wins the
elections – big business owns both parties.
This is the situation we are looking
at presently.
God Has Told Noah to Re-Build His Ark
We are emerging from –
and this will involve a very painful recalibration of our virtue and values --
a rapacious age of materialism, business expansion, glorification of the
entrepreneur, the fleecing of the consumer by banks and credit agencies –
an Age of Greed (an Age of White Collar Mafia on Wall Street) that has turned
most Americans and most Europeans and many world citizens into credit-slaves,
eager to exchange their own financial freedom for the seeming economic success
defined by unending consumption in the name of prosperity and technological
progress. Success is measured in
this type of society by the quality and quantity of objects one owns: houses,
vehicles, electronic devices, designer clothes, etc.
When I write that we, as a society and
as a globe and as a race, have turned our back on God, this is my meaning:
Human character is not the measure of the man in this age; but material goods
are the measure. In Biblical
history, God turns His back on Man when Man forgets God. Metaphorically, this is what happens
when the Night-Cycle of death and pain succeed the Day-Cycle of pride and
wealth and self-worship. Man is
knocked on to his knees. Man,
today, is being knocked on to his knees, so that he can remember that he serves
creation, life on Earth, and does not define such creation.
Nature (moral gravity) is seeking to
get even with Humanity.
When I describe the
shadow-side of the economic expansion, I am also very aware of its opposite:
the relative political peace and economic well-being that has graced the world,
more or less, since the defeat of fascism in 1945.
I am not a hater of business, or of
the business class, and their political party in America, the Republicans,
although it may seem that way from my first few statements. In my view Ronald Reagan ÔsavedÕ America
from the chaos and stagnation of a protracted democratic rule – the
surrender to the malaise of nihilism, so wonderfully exemplified by President
Jimmy Carter, with his messianic vision of self-sacrifice and the desired death
of American Exceptionalism. There
was a time for the Republicans – the personification of the Cowboy myth
in America – the prophets of free enterprise, individualism, law and
order, science and reason, survival through strength, the glory of wealth and
social hierarchy and Man above and segregated from Nature.: a rising to the
trumpet of Empire.
However, there is also a time for the
Democrats – the personification of the Indian myth in America – the
prophets of a planned economy, the community, justice, poetry, art, metaphysics
and philosophy, survival through diplomatic alliances, the glory of thought and
culture; with humanity as a wise and modest part of an integrated Nature.
The Republicans represent the Day Hero
in all its Solar bodily glory and youth today.
The Democrats represent the Night Hero
in all its Lunar glory of culture and thought and maturity.
When I speak of the real
cause of the financial meltdown in 2008, I make reference to the mechanism of
duality which drives all phenomenological expression -- at least on this Earth,
and, possibly, in this Universe.
The discovery of anti-matter in the 1920Õs seems to indicate this Law of
Duality is an essential character of
this universe. Religious thought
dating back thousands of years has assured us that duality is the guiding
principle of all creation, all processes of evolution. Some religious thought, especially that
generated in the Mediterranean, insists this duality is the manifestation of
God (light) and the Devil (darkness), two principles which are engaged in an
eternal struggle on Earth for control of the world.
Asian thought (Hindu and Buddhist
thought most clearly, and Japanese permutations of Buddhism) understand this
duality to be a secondary manifestation of the world, and, as such, an
illusion. The world is a ring, a
stage, in which the struggle or dance between light and darkness is essentially
the illusion driving all life into activity, creating passion, politics, war,
the struggle of ideas. Us against
them; I love that woman; communism is better than capitalism; Day is good and
Night is bad.
Asian philosophy says the essential
nature of reality is Whole, the One, Unity. And when the One splits in to Two, this
is where all the trouble begins.
But, this split is necessary and it is periodical.
Christians and Muslims (and
the Zoroastrians before them) have historically aligned with the illusive dualistic
view of Nature, seeing the world as a drama expressing the struggle of God
against the Devil. Typically, in
this world-view, you, are, yourself, GodÕs emissary, and your opponent, by
default, becomes the DevilÕs agent.
Christians and Muslims have a long and terrible history of arrogant
religious tyranny, oppression of differences, racist theology, and a
hyper-polarized conformist ideology.
(This structural fuel of duality is not just produced in religious
thought. Communism, an atheistic
theology, assures us, in a different diction, that communists work for God and
capitalists work for the Devil. A
different language but the same underlying mechanism.)
Christianity has had its reformation,
and its separation of church and state.
Islam is in desperate need of such a reformation if it is to evolve and
experience a true life-cycle, rather than to remain situated at the edge of the
moral world, desert-bound, itÕs identity nested somewhat comfortably within the role of World-Destroyer, the
crescent moon, the scythe, armed to try to kill the Day-Hero, who is the Devil
in their anti-material theology.
To say that Christianity has had its
reformation, is not to say that all is right and good with the Christian
world. The most likely result of
the shattering of the global economy will be a reconfiguration of political
power in the world, similar to what happened in the 1930Õs. Further polarization is guaranteed. Further manifestation of fundamental
Christianity, or a form of it, is very likely, as the conventional morality of
civilization breaks apart and racial, religious identity begins to form as an
expression of the life-and-death emotion that lives in the heart of the
primordial beast waiting inside of the civilized law-abiding modern man. Civil war in Europe, between
Christian/Aryan elements against Muslim ÔinvadersÕ, is almost guaranteed.
From the Fracturing of the World-Egg, a Real New World Order Will
Eventually Emerge
Economic collapse ensures political transformations on a
grand scale. The fracturing of the
World-Egg will allow the new stage of the Divine Idea to be born, but on the
other side of the Night Experience we are all currently entering.
This book will be, among other things,
a prophecy of the coming events on the world political scene. The Western World, and its shadow, the
global economy, is about to reap the Biblical whirlwind again. (I say ÔagainÕ,
because the Day and Night sequences of history come along at regular intervals,
intervals that seem to be calculable also, and will continue to do so,
apparently, until our universe disappears.)
In American politics, this
current duality is expressed through the two forces of Republican and
Democrat. The Republicans
tend to see themselves as GodÕs party, the party of the Father, the party with
Christian roots. Democrats also
claim Christian roots – in truth, the Democrats are the party with New
Testament roots, roots in the theology of the Son, Jesus Christ, the advocate
of Universal Love and universal tolerance.
The Republicans, famous for their righteous intolerance, are the party
with Old Testament roots, worshipers fo the Jewish God, the Father, the ÔAngryÕ
God, the vengeful God, the God of the Promised Land, the Covenant, literalist
theology, an eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth.
Many Republicans (especially those
with evangelical ties) tend to view liberal Democrats as agents of Satan, as
agents of social license, political and moral decay, the party of
homosexuality, drug use, broken families,
witchcraft, willful degeneration – in essence, the party of the
antichrist.
Many polarized Democrats, for their
part, tend to view Republicans as soulless materialists, agents of patriarchal
oppression, racists, militarists, fascists, perfectly willing and even eager to
destroy Nature for the sake of personal, racial and national profit, using
religion as a pretext for aggression, greed, selfish virtue, and mindless
conformity to fundamental, literal Christian doctrine, which they see as an
Ôin-bredÕ form of ignorance.
Each of these views is accurate from
only one perspective. Each is a
half-truth. That is, an illusion.
The polarized nature can see
only two of four moral dimensions of Nature: each can see their own virtue and
their enemyÕs vice. They cannot
see, during their own period of emotionalized manifestation or polarization or
incarnation, their own shadow, their vice, or the virtuous side of their
enemy. These ÔotherÕ dimensions are very real also. The Republicans are good and bad, light
and dark; the Democrats are the same, to put it in rather mundane terminology.
This partial picture of moral reality
makes it possible for Republicans to hate Democrats and for Democrats to hate
Republicans, for Muslims to hate and kill Christians, for Christians to hate and
kill American IndiansÉ.as the wheel of karmic retribution goes round and
round.
Duality is the engine of incarnation,
and drives the manifestation of natureÕs higher kingdoms (of which humanity is
one part). It is also, as I have
suggested, the motor of the Wheel of Karma, in the Buddhist theology, for
incarnation is the stage upon and
during which sins are committed through the agency of a desire for life, a
desire for a separate existence, and a desire for power, a desire for wealth.
There would be a constant
state of war (international and civil war) in the world of men if God –
atheist readers please allow me this assumption -- had not also built in to
this system (the Laws of Nature, which are both physical and metaphysical) a
mediating Middle Principle which seeks to bring peace between the two animating
polarities. In one human, social
aspect, the Middle Principle is the Middle Class of a given society, situated
between perpetual enemies, the rich and the poor, patricians and plebians,
republicans and democrats, whites and blacks, men and women, north and south,
east and westÉ.
What is it Leonard Cohen sings?
There is a war between the rich and poor,
A war between the man and the woman.
There is a war between the ones who say there is a war
And the
ones who say there isn't.
The Middle Principle – and the Middle Class – Is Life.
Disappearance of the Middle Principle is Death.
When the Middle Class is
large and vital, this class acts as the creative principle of the society. The middle pillar, the middle class, as a kind of
social organism, joins the rich when the power of the poor needs to be reduced,
when the chaos of rebellion and resistance to order becomes too dangerous to
the life of the society – and when the individual members of the middle
class believe they can gain a more comfortable, secure life by joining the
ruling class – that is, when they get greedy. The middle class joins the poor when the
power of the rich needs to be reduced (as we saw happen in 2008, with the
election of Barak Obama), when the ruthless Ôsurvival of the fittestÕ
capitalistic, individualistic ideology turns a blind eye on the sufferings of
the poor, and when capitalist greed sinks the boats of society, and endangers
the continued free existence of the society. When the individual members of the
middle class dream about becoming rich, they join the ruling class politically,
creating Republican rule (1983, for example); when they dream about becoming
poor – which is the shadow side of the ÔAmerican DreamÕ, the
nightmare-side -- they join the working class politically, creating Democratic
rule (this is happening today).
Guilt can also drive the middle-class into the arms of the poor –
guilt for the sins committed by their fathers – as happened in the 1960Õs
and 1970Õs.
When there is no middle
class, there is no creation in the society – the Ôwater of lifeÕ has been
withdrawn from the system – and the two poles are fixed in deadly
opposition and civil war. When there
is no viable middle class, the society is essentially dead. It has lost its animating heart, itÕs
vital and mediating principle. Then
there is no evolution. All thatÕs
left is conflict, and, ultimately, the triumph of either the Fascist Father or
the Communist Mother principles.
In a living society, the middle class
(the mediating middle ÔLifeÕ principle – the Demiurgos in some
mythologies) creates the Heavens and creates the Earth sequentially, by cycling
(via the infamous Figure 8) both above and below, informing gods about the nature
of Earth and informing men about the nature of Heaven.
In one sense, this Middle Principle is
a ÔmirrorÕ which kills or neutralizes the polarization of both Heaven and Earth
by presenting a picture of the
Ôvirtuous sideÕ of the opposition to each of the polar opposites. It pictures ÔwholenessÕ, which kills the
fragmented part it encounters, thereby educating it into a larger scale of
perception.
We recognize this mediating middle
principle in the intellectual mechanism (dialectics) by which opposites (Thesis
and Antithesis) are synthesized into a new idea or entity incorporating, in
itself, both views, ideas and values of the original polarity. The middle principle arms both sides
with ideas they can use against the other, but always acts as a balance against
too much power being gained by either side.
The clearest form of the manifestation
of this Middle Principle in politics is democracy, in which system Right and
Left wings of political power are held together as a unity by the informing
Middle Principle which is ÒRepublicanÓ during the Day Period of political
manifestation and ÒDemocraticÓ during the Night Period of political
dematerialization. The Middle
Principle in a viable democracy keeps both sides from gaining absolute
power. When either side gains
absolute power, the society is no longer alive and evolving.
The Middle Principle, by educating and
evolving both sides of the polarity, is Life, itself, whose behavior, thus,
ensures the circulation of the life-force between the Head and the Body,
between the North and South, between the Abstract and the Concrete Physical
– between the East and the West, between Social Obligation and Individual
Will -- much as the heart in the body circulates blood throughout the body,
north and south and east and west.
The Middle Principle, the Soul, is the
guiding force of evolution, educating the Body of Life during the Day-Cycle and
educating the Mind of Life during the Night-Cycle. Material Science evolves; Spiritual Science
also evolves. Each cycle is an
attempt to update the world-form that preceded it, expand it, reconfigure it,
and take it a step or two further in Time.
Science evolves; Religion evolves – but, without the Middle
Principle, the Soul, nothing evolves, everything becomes frozen in time.
Without the Middle Principle, Eden is
turned in to a desert.
Does the Anti-Universe Exist Inside the Universe, Folded and Turned,
And Composed of Anti-Matter?
The discovery of antimatter
in the 1930Õs (the discovery of anything in science is almost always the work
of many people spread over many years – so whether Paul Dirac or Carl
David Anderson is given credit for the ÔdiscoveryÕ of matterÕs magical
mirror-world seems relatively inconsequential now) opened a new door to the
scientific understanding of the nature of the universe, and the illusive
quality of the natureÕs duality.
Anti-matter is a mirror-image of matter. An atom of matter is composed of a
positive nucleus -- a positive proton and a neutral neutron -- and orbiting
negative electrons. An atom of
anti-matter (the anti-atom) is composed of a negative nucleus -- negative
anti-proton and a neutral anti-neutron -- and orbiting positive
anti-electrons. An atom of Hydrogen
is mirrored by an anti-atom of anti-Hydrogen – although there is no real
scientific concensus as to where this anti-atom of anti-Hydrogen may be hiding
at any given moment.
If our physical universe is composed
mostly of material atoms, is it not likely that antimaterial-atoms probably
compose an anti-universe that ÔreflectsÕ our material universe? Even if we use this description only as
a metaphor at this point, it is not painful on the imagination to see the
Republican Party as the masters of the Material Universe and the Democrats as
the anti-masters of the Anti-Material Universe.
I am not making value judgments about
these different seasons and universes.
As I have written, each universe has both a positive and a negative
aspect. In a similar way, the North
is the material world, and the South is the antimaterial world, with the
magnetic field of perception reversing at the equator, which divides the Earth
in to two equal halves. A metaphor
of this Ômirror reflectionÕ shows that water runs down a drain counterclockwise
in the Northern Hemisphere, and clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere.
When the ÔIdealÕ Republican
raises his right hand, the ideal Democrat (the reflection in the mirror) raises
his left. To the Republican
(especially as manifest through the so-called ÔReligious RightÕ of fundamentalist
Christians) white is good and black is bad. To the Ideal Democrat, black is good and
white is bad. The dark-skinned
(southern) races have been persecuted by the Christian-driven (northern) white
races for so long that the Ômoral balanceÕ is now tipped toward the southern
races for the sake of balance.
The Republican sees wealth as a sign
of GodÕs personal reward. The
Democrat is suspicious of wealth, and feels guilt associated with wealth,
assuming that success in business is a form of successful corruption, which
suggests a metaphorical Ôcontract with the DevilÕ. This, too, is more in line with the
theology of the Sun, Jesus Christ, who warned the rich could not get in to
heaven.
The Democrat is against matter,
against the corporation, which is a manifestation of the body-life. The Republican is for matter, for the
corporation, for the body, as a manifestation of power in the world – and
against spirit (or antimatter) as a manifestation of weakness, weak-willed
female weakness, abstract weakness, poverty, death, darkness.
I am not suggesting that the
atoms composing the poles of matter and antimatter are stationary and
fixed. These poles evolve and
change, as long as the middle principle exists and continues to educate the
poles. The wheel turns and individual
atoms ride the wheel into heaven and back down to earth.
The Republican becomes a Democrat; and
a Democrat is transformed into a Republican. Evolution involves the weight of the
fulcrum changing its orientation, tilting toward the Father or tilting toward
the Mother.
In the second half of this book, I
will focus on my own life, through the books I have written, showing how
perception evolves with the transition from Day to Night and from Night back to
Day again.
We do
change. That is how we survive.
Europe Slouches Toward Bethlehem, Toward the Fatherland, To Be Re-Born
Europe has tilted toward the
Mother for many years now, since America has been willing to play the
Father-Role for Europe (for American gain surely, not out of the goodness of
her heart). Now Europe will swing
back toward the Father-Worship that got Europe in so much trouble 72 years
ago. Recent European elections show
that socialists are beint eased out of power now and center-right and far-right
parties are gaining power, blaming immigrants for social problems, blaming
dark-skinned natives for the ruination of culture. This is just the beginning. Europe will be fighting for her racial
life, as Islam has moved in, threatening to throw its blanket of submission to
Allah over the heads of European States and suffocate them with ideological
righteousness – which is another form of fascism.
As Europe swings to the Father again,
America swings back to the Mother.
This happened in the 1930Õs as well.
The news in 2011 that the Marine Le
Pen, leader of the Far Right party, Front National, formerly considered a
Neo-Nazi party when her own father was the party leader, was leading all other
candidates to become FranceÕs next president indicates exactly what is
happening in mainstream Europe.
If this social metaphor I
have introduced is an accurate picture of reality, then I would expect science
to discover, at some point soon, the method by which the Middle Principle
(composed of both matter and anti-matter) can ÔbecomeÕ matter at one phase and
anti-matter at the next. In fact,
in 2006, science did discover a particle, far smaller than any atom, that
switches itself back and forth between being a piece of matter and a piece of
anti-matter, 18 trillion times each second. The back-and-forth switching appears to
be one of the fastest processes in nature.
In the world of mythology, Mercury was
the messenger between the gods and men, carrying messages back and forth
between Heaven and Earth. Mercury
was associated in Western theology with Michael the Archangel; and Michael the
Archangel was associated with Jesus Christ (Michael was Jesus when in Heaven;
Jesus was Michael when on Earth).
What does all this have to
do with the collapse of the American-driven capital market system? And where is this collapse leading
America, Europe and the world?
Those are questions we will examine as
we progress through this book.
I am not of the opinion that the most recent collapse of the
Republican-engineered global American Empire expansion, and its form, the
global economy, signals the end of the American empire and will propel America
into the state of a lost nation or a second-rate power. Many wish for this. Many Europeans speak gleefully of this
vision as a wish the result of which would catapult European nations back into
a position of empirical rule and global dominance, a destiiny for which many of
the European Ruling Class are pining, remembering the good old days of their
own ÔunlimitedÕ poweer and wealth through oppression of Africans, Asians, South
Americans and even North Americans.
But history does not limp backwards. The days of European youth are
gone. But Europe will play a large
role in the coming apocalyptic events, which role I will consider later in this
book.
This current economic collapse will
last for many years and will dramatically alter the face of global political
alliances and power. If there is
any accuracy in the numbers I will introduce later in the book, this Great
Depression will last through, approximately, the year 2019 and will be
accompanied by earth-shattering wars and political re-alignments.
2019 is not the end of the power of
darkness (anti-matter); but it will be the end of the powerful contraction, the
condensing of the Light Principle into the seed formation and the first
appearance of weak growth – the ultimate apex of power of the Night
Principle. Defeat of the Darkness
will occur in 2028.
We need to understand that
the current crisis is not primarily
an economic crisis – the effect
of the crisis is a collapse of the global economic system. What has caused this economic collapse
is a spiritual crisis resulting in a
loss of identity, as Western Ego-Inflation (in the words of Jungian analysts) has
popped, is deflating and is entering the formless world of Night, or Material
Darkness. If Ben Bernanke succeeds
in injecting a destructive dose of inflation into this deflation, then the
world will get both deflation and inflation (remember Weimar?), the worst of
both worlds: the disappearance of jobs and consumer-capital, and the hoarding
of food and raw materials, making these too expensive, kill the phantom global
economic ÔrecoveryÕ and triggering food riots and social revolutions.
Economic Depressions as the ÔWoundingÕ of the Sun-Hero
Economic depressions come
regularly in the history of living human systems as the male identity (the Ego,
the Solar Hero) ÔdiesÕ or is defeated, turns inward and descends into the
formless darkness of chaos and self-judgment in an attempt to gain
self-understanding, peace and comprehension of the meaning of life – to
find his God, in other words. The
Ego (now Non-Ego) also seeks in the Darkness the identity of its next
incarnation, its next life, its next phase of bubble-creation – Seed
Time. The convex bubble
(extroversion) becomes a concave bubble (introversion), digging a hole in the
inner nature similar in extent and opposite in moral dimension to the dome it
has built in its previous Day-time incarnation. The Day-Ego builds a dome in the world
of matter; and the Night-Anti-Ego builds an anti-dome in the world of
antimatter.
In nearly every religious system,
creation of the world begins with the breath of God. The Creative God(s) Ôbreathes Life in
toÕ – i.e., blows a bubble --
in the fabric of eternity.
This bubble becomes a separate particle of Time (a mortal phenomenon
with a defined length of existence) inside of which, and through which, Life
expresses itself, experiencing objectivity, until the innate alarm clock goes
off and the particle bursts or collides with its opposite. The Male Expansionary Energy pops and
vanishes into the Darkness, in much the same way that Icarus, after flying at
the Sun, singes his wax wings and falls into the ocean. Death/Dissolution is a falling back in
to the waters of the Unconscious.
Day-Energy builds the positive world; Night-Energy builds the negative
world, destroying the world that the Day-Energy has created.
This is the real cause of the collapse of the global economy. The alarm clock went off. Energy changed its form and
direction. The Sun-Hero was wounded,
fell back toward earth, and was transformed in to the Night. And now the mythological Darkness, the
Power of Chaos, has taken control.
About times and dates,
brothers, there is no need to write to you for you are well aware in any case
that the Day of the Lord is going to come like a thief in the night. It is when people are saying ÒHow quiet and
peaceful it isÓ that sudden destruction falls upon them, as suddenly as labor
pains come on a pregnant woman; and there is no escape.
1 Thessalonians: 5: 1-3
Night-Cycles: When the Problem-Solvers CanÕt Solve the Problems, Chaos
Results.
What can we do about this
contraction of matter, this expansion of debt that broke the camelÕs back?
Very little really. We cannot ÔfixÕ the problem. Only Time can fix this problem. And a steady and clear-minded unwinding
of our national debt is the mechanism by which we empty the glass so that we
will be able to again begin filling the ÔemptyÕ glass when the new Day arrives
around 2019.
We need to tighten interest rates, to
discourage more borrowing and to encourage saving and paying off of debt
– but these will all come with time.
Most economists fear that tightening rates will choke off economic
growth – but no growth is possible during the Winter economic season.
There is no easy path. The Night-Cycle is painful. The Night-Cycle is filled with fear,
with insecurity, with the defeat of those thinkers trying to engineer a
recovery.
The Night-Cycle is the Day of the
Lord, the Day of the Sabbath, when rest happens, when rest rules.
The Republican, masculine
Day-Force, wants to ÔfixÕ things.
The Republican is essentially a Cowboy, an Engineer, a
Problem-Solver. ÔGive me a problem
to solve; and letÕs keep it simple.Õ
In the (paraphrased) words of John McCain: ÔLetÕs fight, fight, fight!Õ LetÕs fight chaos; letÕs fight
complexity; letÕs fight pessimism.
If we are willing to fight, we can overcome anything.Õ
That is the Day-Hero speaking.
But the Day-Hero has no power in the
world of the Night-Cycle.
This wrrior-approach works wonderfully
in the world of matter. But it does
not work in the world of antimatter.
Matter, rational coherence, male externalized energy literally
disintegrates as it approaches the horizon of the black hole, the Female
Reality of the Night-Cycle.
Everything that worked for male energy
in the Day Cycle tends to not work in the Night-Cycle, for male energy has lost
its electrical erection that dominates matter.
There are new Laws of Nature in the
anti-dome of anti-matter, laws which are based on the laws of Metaphor and
Analogy, not upon the Day-Nature laws of Cause and Effect. Day-Nature is measured from the outside;
Night-Nature must be measured from the inside. Day-Nature measures from the outside in
a controlled environment; Night-Nature measures from the inside with tools of
metaphor, analogy, symbolism.
The tools that work in the sunlight do
not work in the moonlight.
The next decade promises to
be very difficult; but it will also have its rewards. What can individuals do now? Each person must find his own God
– and seek to make himself Whole, make himself the Middle Principle. It is time to build an ark, to
acknowledge the Moon as the counterpart of the Sun, to paint blood on the door,
and to prepare for the Force of Death to pass over the world community once
again. Fear of God is a good thing. Modesty is a positive value. Generosity and understanding and the
community of shared suffering are virtues.
If there were only these two in the world –
intellect and body –
but there were no soul, then the intellect would not
be drawn to the
body (for it is entirely immobile and is not supplied
with a principle
of movement, although it is far distant from the
body), nor would the
body be drawn to the intellect since it is just as
incapable and ineffective
in moving by itself, and is far removed from the
intellect. But if soul
is interposed, conforming to both, there may be an
easy attraction
from one to the other.
The Planets, Marsilio Ficino
CHAPTER TWO.
ANATOMY OF A CRIME
A Lust for Life is Also (Somewhere Below) A Fear of Death
"We're breaking the law, okay?
We're breaking the law.
You know we're breaking the law. I know we're breaking the law.
What the hell do you think is going on here? We're sitting on an Enron.
This isÉbigger than Enron. I mean, weÕre doing four billion a month in
loans.
If housing drops, housing value
drops, people start to default, you know?
This is a nightmare. These people will not survive it,"
Banker Paul Bishop to
Executives at World Savings Bank
The Historical Low Tide Reveals
the Historical Crimes of Humanity
Can one speak of a ÔcrimeÕ
having been committed in the context of inevitability? Is there free will to act against
the concords of oneÕs own nature?
Is Fate absolute? Is Destiny
a loose-fitted garment that allows the individual the authority to choose an
act that deviates from the harmony of history, from the logic of the path of oneÕs own Destiny?
These are all large questions that
have been debated for millennia.
The electron beam is destined by its
momentum and by its very definition to act in a certain manner (the Laws of
Nature). But the electron beam is
composed of myriad electrons, each free to act according to its own persuasion,
apparently, but also to be balanced by some other electron in the beam so that
the destiny and definition of that electron beam is not violated. Destiny does not pick which electron
seeks freedom and which electron exercises balance. Apparently there is chance, and, at the
same time, there is necessity and order.
Is this a scientific model which
describes a solution to the dilemma of human fate, destiny, and free will?
So, there was a crime
committed. There were many crimes
committed. Corruption is a loss of
balance between Ôhuman natureÕ and the laws that govern the boundaries of human
activities. Many of the human laws
that have been in effect since the Great Depression in the 1930Õs and that were
designed to limit the crimes of banks and businesses and to protect American
consumers from commercial robbery were rigorously stripped away by Republicans
and Democrats alike, Democrats falling in to line with Republican dogma which
essentially turned over all business-related policy-making decisions to
American business-leaders, the implication being that the Ôreal worldÕ of
material profit was really the only
world that really mattered.
The ideology of the Ôrugged
individualÕ is the essence of modern Republicanism: God rewards those who work
hard, who innovate, who conquer the world; and those who donÕt should (there was a moral imperative in
all of this) be condemned to poverty and loss. Selfishness and ÔEgo ExpansionÕ
(Self-Actualization) become positive values that drive the world into the
future and are the mark of societyÕs ÔwinnersÕ: risk-takers, evolutionary
titans, entrepreneurs: those who dare, who lead society in to the future by
being willing to take a chance – or break a law, cut a corner, exploit an
opportunity or perhaps a race of people.
This ego-expansion (ÒI am Number One
– I am, in fact, like a god!Ó) was the doctrine of manifest destiny
expressed on the psycho-sexual and economic planes. ÔLosersÕ are those with too much
conscience, too much modesty, too much subjectivity, too much introversion
– not enough aggression, talent or ambition – or, if necessary
apparently, cunning, even criminality.
If one lives in a big house,
apparently he has achieved the American Dream, even if he is rich because of
thievery and corruption.
Tony Soprano is well-loved in
America. We know that he is a
murderer, a cheat, and lives off of other peopleÕs labor. But being rich is sometimes enough. Why should we judge him. NobodyÕs perfect.
NobodyÕs Perfect: Are ÔLosersÕ In This World Actually ÔWinnersÕ in the
Next?
America, as a culture, has
always had ultimate respect for ÔwinnersÕ, ambition and success. Losers were the shadow side of this
bright light: lazy, shiftless, criminal, drug-addicted, stupid. For centuries these descriptions were
generally reserved for the under-class of dark-skinned Americans:
American-Indians, African-Americans, Latinos, Asians (although Asians did much
through hard work and discipline to elevate themselves as a race of
competitors, though mostly through the arts of mimicry and doubled or tripled
effort)É
American success was once defined, as
a reflection of the same European success and world-dominance, as the triumph
of the White Race. In persecuting
the dark-skinned races of the world, the White Man was suppressing the Shadow,
and performing his religious duty by dominating the devil.
Expansion of the Ego
separates the races into a hierarchy of values (ÔcolorsÕ as well as moral
virtues), with Will, the Will to Success, the Will to Rule, the Will to be
White, rising above all other values.
The Ego is separated from the Shadow as the Individual Hero, the Ego,
climbs the ladder of Power (to whiter and whiter rays of light) and takes his
place in the Sun, with the Sun, becoming one with the Father.
And, certainly, there are many
positive repercussions to this isolate Will climbing the ladder of success: climbing
to power, ruling the world, bringing innovation, technics, new ideas, and
prosperity with him on his cosmic adventure.
The Sun Hero climbs out of Darkness
and brings light and fertility to the whole world, warmth and expansion,
wealth, cities, human culture, technology.
But there is a shadow-side also.
Human pride, and Ego-inflation, result when the human being attempts to
become a god, attempts to become the Human Sun, seeks to control the world,
make it submit to his own will, as if he were God.
For this sin of human pride,
Ego-Inflation, there is the punishment of Ego-Deflation, a kind of psychic or
moral death, at which time the prideful human, having fallen from the realm of
power and immortality, must face his own Shadow, must face his own sins, his
human limitations, the small side of his own nature, which he has condemned,
and which now waits for its chance to judge him.
The sin or crime of Economic-Inflation
results, ultimately, in Economic-Deflation. The Day of success, and wealth and power
must become, in time, the Night of
failure, poverty and recognition of oneÕs limitations.
Orthodox religion, by
definition, has racist implications.
The Light of Day, with its heavenly qualities, joy, security, wealth,
power, child-generating fertility, triumphs over the chaos of Darkness, over
the uncertainty of women and over the unproductiveness of Old-World tribal
culture, Moon-worshipers, non-productive and non-generative. Modernity triumphs over Antiquity.
In
all cultures,
such ÔLightÕ represents GodÕs blessings.
God is Light; and the Devil is Dark. By implication, God is White; and the
Devil is Black. Humans in the grip
of fundamental religious passion naturally associate color with theocratic
meaning. It is in their own interest
to do this, for survival becomes an issue, survival of race, nation, family,
self. In nature, light fights
darkness; darkness triumphs over light; light triumphs over darkness.
Oddly, and this fact is seldom
recognized by fundamental/evangelistic Christianity, Christian tenets espoused
by their founder, Jesus Christ, implore peace, generosity, modesty, poverty,
non-violence are ÔvirtuesÕ typically possessed by the non-white ÔlosersÕ, the
shadows of the white-driven feeding-frenzy for moral absoluteness, material
success and world domination. In
fact, if I remember my Catholic litany of evils correctly: avarice, ambition,
violence, greed for worldly power and status --the Ôpeace and prosperityÕ
factor -- were considered evil values and indicated an alliance with the
Devil. Worldly Power did not imply
GodÕs blessing. Instead, worldly
power and worldly success implied GodÕs curse, and the DevilÕs insidious
contract with the lost soul.
In fact, the historical animosity
between Christian and Muslim stems mostly from these opposite views as to the
toleration of worldly values. The
Muslim (especially Arab Muslim) has almost no generosity toward the Earth. As such, the Muslim tends to spread a
desert wherever he goes. Muslims
seem to view the brutalization of the woman as a positive virtue –
linking the female and the earth.
The lack of water (the desertification of the Earth), poverty, and the
oppression of the female-shadow are all part of the same paradigm, no
doubt. The hatred and mistreatment
of Jews are also a part of this same thought-structure. But that is a theme that I will be
looking at later.
In the World of Perceptions,
Half-Truths are Forms of Ignorance.
Are ÔWinnersÕ Actually Doing
the Work of the Devil?
I am writing, here, about
perceptions, of course. The
inability of the human being to see all four moral dimensions at the same time
can be a fatal limitation. The
illusion that one is right, God-instilled and God-installed, brings about war
between the opposites and is the mechanism that drives history, as we have
discussed. Here again, the world
appears as the object and the anti-object, each a mirror-image of the other,
seeking to kill out the evil Other it finds standing accusatorily before it,
reflected.
Each two-dimensional perception is a
half-truth. By the same token, each
two-dimensional perception is a half-lie also, by mathematical necessity.
Humans labor in a vale of
darkness. Sometimes we see the
world not at all: everything is dark.
When we see the world very clearly, with a bright light of
understanding, we are most often, at this point, seeing but that half-truth
that gives us security in identity: seeing what we need or want to see, for our
own psychic or spiritual reasons.
Only through complete detachment from both sides is clarity of vision
possible. But clear-sighted
detachment is also a stage, one that decays into a state of incarnation as the
soul is thrust into action on the side of either the Earth or Heaven, on the
side of either the poor or the rich, on the side of either the woman or the
man.
We donÕt wish to lose our
focus.
The ÔAnatomy of a CrimeÕ. A crime was committed. Many crimes were committed. Many trillions of dollars of global
wealth were wiped out (some would say stolen) in a matter of months. Lives of millions of human beings were
destroyed or at least significantly damaged in many countries throughout the
world – in the blink of an eye.
Retirement savings vanished.
Frozen credit -- and absolute terror brought about by a failing financial
system -- led to a constriction of the circulation of currency, causing death
in the body politic. Millions of
jobs were wiped away, creating a world-wide panic, which led to a further
constriction of spending.
History will look at the
Great Credit Crunch beginning in 2008 as the greatest looting of private and
public wealth by officers of public corporations colluding with their
sycophants in the government in the history of the world. Wall Street has proven itself again to
be a nest of vipers. The great
Robber Barons of the nineteenth century – Rockefeller, Dale Carnegie, Jay
Gould, J.P. Morgan, Cornelius Vanderbilt, Henry Frick, Edward Harriman –
had nothing on todayÕs crooks, scammers and enablers: Christopher Cox, Joseph
Cassano, Dick Fuld, Ian McCarthy, Stan OÕNeal, Lewis Rainieri, Angelo Mozilo
(who ÔearnedÕ over $400 million in five years overseeing Countrywide CreditÕs
mortgage factory), Chuck Prince, Jimmy Cayne, Christopher Dodd, Ralph Cioffi, Matthew Tannin, Steve
Crenshaw, Sir Fred Goodwin, Andy Hornby, Franklin Raines, Hank Paulson, Phil
Gramm, Bernie Madoff, ÒSirÓ R. Allen Stanford, Bill Clinton, Kathleen Corbet,
Marion and Herb Sandler, John Devaney, David Lereah, Ben Bernanke, David
Oddson, Burton Jablin, Donald Trump, Paul Greenwood, Stephen Walsh, James
Nicholson, Mark Bloom, Neal Kashkari – bag-man extraordinarie (i.e.,
ÔKneel; and Carry away the CashÕ) – and, the inimitable Lloyd Blankfein,
of Goldman Sachs, who claims heÕs just
Òa banker doing GodÕs workÕ.
ÒIs it
possible to make too much money? Is
it possible to have too much ambition? Is it possible to be too
successful? I donÕt want people in
this firm to think that they have accomplished as much for themselves as they
can and go on vacation. As the guardian of the interests of the shareholders
and, by the way, for the purposes of society, IÕd like them to continue to do
what they are doing. I donÕt want to put a cap on their ambition. ItÕs hard for
me to argue for a cap on their compensation.Ó
Mister Blankfein would be hillalrious
if he was doing stand-up comedy, like Rodney Dangerfield. Instead he is merely defining the
automatic response of the all-conquering Alpha Male when he confronts a full
glass: he just keeps pouring. He
doesnÕt know what else to do but attack.
The world is a challenge to the strength of his will-power. He does not back down. He charges straight-ahead, always.
The people I have listed above (and
there are many, many more who should be
on the list) are all people who helped to kill the golden goose that has been
laying millions of golden eggs for many years so that we Americans (and many
world citizens) could live more comfortably, if, indeed, more dangerously
indebted. But now the goose is
dead. The goose is dead.
But the goose will be re-born aagain,
in some form, in some place on Earth, perhaps even again in New York City. Nothing is impossible, right? And you canÕt keep a bad man down.
NobodyÕs Perfect: The White Protestant Mafia on Wall Street
How do we define
looting?
ÔLootingÕ is defined by Nobel Prize
winner George Akerlof and co-author Paul Romer – in their article
published in 1995, ÒLooting: The Economic Underworld of Bankruptcy for ProfitÓ
-- as making loans Ôwith a total disregard for even the most basic principles
of lendingÉacting as if future losses would be someone elseÕs problemsÕ –
which they have become clearly, the problem of the American taxpayer, through
government (bank-engineered) bail-outs.
Even then, after losing billions, and
surviving as an entity only after government intervention to the tune of some
$170 billion in taxpayer bailout money, AIG, American Insurance Group,
announced intentions to pay executives $450 million, including bonuses of $165
million, this after announcing a loss of $61.7 billion for the fourth quarter
of 2008, the worst corporate loss in history.
What is the difference between an AIG
executive and a Mafioso? Not much
apparently. Except the mafiosos
donÕt get to raid the national treasury when their bad judgment leads to a loss
of their own money, humiliation and public disgrace.
The troubling truth is that AIG is
probably not much different than most international corporations. The anti-corporate mentality that
manifested so potently in America in the last Ego-Deflation Night-Cycle period
(1965-1982) should return with a vengeance after this arrogant, callous looting
of the public coffers by American businessmen and women (mostly men, in fact). If a very public dressing-down of
American business does not occur – where have you been Barak Obama?
– then Wall Street will assume that such unethical (illegal?) behaviors
will be supported by Americans every time it happens.
The American Treassury is not the
slush fund of Wall Street high-finance gamblers. I cannot believe that I or anyone would
have to make this statement.
Wall StreetÕs cry since the 1970Õs has
been: ÔGet out of our way and let us sink on swim on the basis of our own
talent and judgment.Ó We can police
ourselves, they insisted. When they
failed in 2008, they did not bite their lip, lower their collective head in
shame, accept their guilt and their failure, and take their medicine like men
– which is what they seem to demand from Ôaverage AmericansÕ who fail
– they went whining to Washington, sniveling (their lackies, who now
always seem be be running the Treasury Department, did their sniveling for
them, in fact) – ÔGive us another chance! Please give us a second chance!Ó.
Wall Street whines about having to pay
taxes; pays billions to elect politicians from both parties who promise to keep
taxes low and keep laws beneficial to Wall Street. When they make profits they refuse to
share their profits with Ôaverage AmericanÕ taxpayers – they are
exceptional, remember; they are ÔMasters of the UniverseÕ; they are winners,
donÕt believe in losing, and never will be losers – because they are all
doing GodÕs work.
When they do fail, they fail BIG. When they lost everything in 2008, they
did not take the pain like the stolid, wounded cowboy they claim they are --
they sent their lackies to the owners of the casino and BEGGED for a new line
of credit, which the Top Crook gave them: free money (0% loans) coming straight
out of the pockets of the ÔaverageÓ American taxpayers they so clearly abhor.
Night-Cycle Pruning in the Garden:
Is It Time to Break-Up the Big Banks and the Big Corporations?
Is It Time to Break-Up the Fed As Well?
It is time to remember
Teddie Roosevelt and his big stick, and, even more, his gigantic pruning
sheers. American corporations need
to take a substantial haircut for the mistakes they have been allowed to make
(even Lloyd Blankfein needs a haircut, if one can imagine that?). Night-Cycles are times for pruning the
garden where the Tree of Life grows.
Nothing can grow in a garden where a few plants become too large and too
aggressive and greedily dominate the sunlight. ÔToo Big To FailÕ should mean ÔToo Big
To ExistÕ. ÔToo Big to FailÕ should
also mean ÔA Threat To DemocracyÕ.
American citizens should no
longer willing to allow Goldman Sachs or Walmart or Microsoft or what used to
be Philip Morris to make its laws or determine American labor policy.
America needs to make certain, through
new legislation, that no American company ever again has the power to threaten
the global economy with its gambling habits or to threaten AmericaÕs democracy
with the corrupting power of too much financial influence over American
politicians and legislators.
Politicians who enabled this Great Looting
should be held accountable, voted out of office, and should be scrutinized with
elaborate diligence for crimes they may have committed to abet the theft of
these trillions.
Of course, we have not
mentioned Allen Greenspan with this group of thieves, conspirators and
enablers. If all the above (mostly
white) men and (a few) woman were crew members on the Pequod, chasing the Great
White Whale of Omnipotence in the dangerous oceans of financial risk (almost
all using other peopleÕs money to make themselves obscenely wealthy, by the
way), the captain of the boat was Allen Greenspan, whose manipulation of the
money supply and whose cheerleading for Americans to take on more and more (and
riskier forms of) debt makes one question either his sanity, his level of
awareness, his capacity for denial, or his honesty.
Then, as if we might not notice, after
stepping down as the Maestro at the Federal Reserve, Greenspan – AKA Ahab
-- quietly slipped into a (one would assume) multi-million dollar annual salary
position working with John Paulson and his hedge fund, the same guy who made a
fortune in 2007 betting against the
edifice Greenspan had helped to build, the American Housing Market, shorting
the US mortgage market to a healthy $4 billion profit -- which Dear Allen
(Ôcall him Maestro, donÕt call him Bob CobbÕ) had helped to inflate to
unsustainable levels. Talk about
your conflict of interest.
One wonders if Allen may have been
talking to that Ôother Mr. PaulsonÕ long before he stepped down as the Captain
of the Pequod. (At least Ahab had
the decency to go down with his whale, with his obsession, not rise up stuck to
a billionaire gloating, without shame, about his own capturing of the white
whale – in this context, I guess, Greenspan plays Moby Dick.)
It is, indeed, a shame that Allen
Greenspan didnÕt have the decency to retire, move to the country (or to another
country) and write his memoirs, which would have promised to be the dullest
reading since Gerald Ford put pen to paper. Instead, the Maestro tried to slip
quietly in to bed with the primary beneficiary of his inept theology.
Like Ahab, in fact, Greenspan is still clinging to his whale, the
monster he helped to create, the whale which stove in his empire, stove in his
reputation for integrity and ingenuity, rendering him but a smudge on HistoryÕs
dirty linen, a smudge that may someday end up in HistoryÕs Hall of Iniquity,
next to the smudge left by Herbert Hoover, the man who ÔcausedÕ the last Great
Depression.
An American Flaw: Character, Integrity, Admired Less Than Wealth, Power
and Glamor
Since Americans tend to
honor the rich, no matter how they become rich, the political incentive to put
the crooks in jail for their crimes during the last Day-Cycle has not yet
gained much momentum. We will
tolerate a billionaire who steals an old womenÕs life savings in an investment
scam, but we will insist that a poor man who robs a bank to feed his own family
be sent to prison for the rest of his life.
This flaw in the ÔAmerican characterÕ is
an obvious immorality – honoring glamour, power and wealth more than
honesty and integrity -- that must be corrected in the core of the American
system of values – the adulation of winning at any cost, instead of
honoring the noble human character.
Nobility is greatness; wealth is not. Generosity and decency are real values;
cheating to win is a sin against the Soul and is punished by God as such. And that is what we are experiencing
now, in this Night-Cycle. God is
punishing us for our sins, for our greed, for our selfishness, for our lies and
for our indecencies, at the center of which is the ÔIÕm Number OneÕ vain
distortion of human grace, the ultimate hubris of which a human being is
capable.
Some individuals, admitting
guilt or shame as a part of misdeeds revealed by the economic low-tide, have
committed suicide: Adolph Merckle, a German industrialist, who bankrupted his
industrial empire through investment mistakes; Kirk Stephenson, director of a
London private-equity house; and Rene Thierry Magon de la Villehuchet, who lost
his entire family fortune through mismanagement – i.e., through investing
with Bernard Madoff, the New York City legend who was also, apparently, a
fraud. Madoff apparently stole $50
billion in an elaborate investment scam from many investors throughout the
world, some his friends, even from his own sons. Mr. Madoff did not commit suicide. His name has now become synonymous with
the great thieves in the history of the world. A Madoff Scheme (as in ÔI made-off with
your money, ha-haÕ) will become part of the worldÕs vocabulary, as Ponzi Scheme
did in the Roaring 1920Õs.
Mister Modoff did not commit
suicide. But his son did,
apparently out of shame for the sins and crimes his father had committed..
Who, What Caused the Economic Collapse?
What caused this
catastrophe?
The Housing Crash. Yes. The Great Housing Crash of 2007.
And the name of Alan Greenspan comes
up automatically as a footnote or as a preface to this header.
Alan Greenspan was, perhaps,
the most powerful (invisible) man in the world for the decade after Bill
ClintonÕs reputation was disfigured by his Cigar Shenannigaans –
Greenspan retired in 2006.
Greenspan was a devoted student of the causes of the Great Depression in
the 1930Õs, a devoted disciple of the Ôrugged individualismÕ espoused by
novelist Ayn Rand, and a favorite of Ronald Reagan, who appointed Greenspan as
the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board in 1987.
What was GreenspanÕs crime --
GreenspanÕs sin?
To hear Greenspan tell the tale (in
2008), as he apologized before a congressional committee, almost in tears, for
his central role in the obliteration of the American Dream, the American
Middle-Class, and the American capital system , he said simply: ÔI made a
mistake.Õ
By this utterance, Greenspan
seemed to mean that his mistake was his belief that the private business sector
had the intelligence, the wisdom and the self-restraint (integrity is a greater virtue than wealth) to
manage risk in a largely deregulated environment. Of course, Greenspan had been one of the
prime movers championing the conservative ideology claiming that America needed
less government regulation of Wall Street, not more. This all began with the Ronald Reagan Republicans
in 1983, and was a reaction to the Night-Cycle understanding/perpective that
business, without appropriate shackles, would return to raping and pillaging
the consumer, as business eventually did during every Day-Cycle.
When Clinton finally joined the Reagan
Republicans in 1999, then nothing held the banks back from sacking the consumer
and pilfering the Treasury. Well,
Democrats had to eat too.
An
agreement between the Clinton administration and congressional Republicans,
reached during all-night negotiations which concluded in the early hours of
October 22, 1999, sets the stage for passage of the most sweeping banking
deregulation bill in American history, lifting virtually all restraints on the
operation of the giant monopolies which dominate the financial system.
The
proposed Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999 would do away with
restrictions on the integration of banking, insurance and stock trading imposed
by the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, one of the central pillars of Roosevelt's
New Deal. Under the old law, banks, brokerages and insurance companies were
effectively barred from entering each others' industries, and investment
banking and commercial banking were separated.
Power and wealth are
seductive, are they not?
One of Alan GreenspanÕs Mistakes: American Business Cannot Regulate
Itself.
Alan Greenspan
over-estimated the Soul of the American (and Global) Business class. Alan Greenspan believed that, faced with
a choice between an unrestricted greed that would lead to unrestricted profits
but might imperil the life of the economic system and the democracy in which it
was housed, and a restricted greed that would lead to restricted, but
substantial, sustainable profits stretching into the foreseeable future, the
American ruling class would choose the responsible, sustainable path, the one
leading to American and global prosperity for many generations to come. Instead, the Global Business Class, led
by the Global Ruling Class, chose unrestricted greed, madness, and, ultimately,
self-destruction.
In some ways, Alan Greenspan was the
embodiment of Gordon Gecko, the financial land-shark, in Oliver StoneÕs
memorable movie, Wall Street. Gecko tells a group of shareholders:
ÔGreed – for lack of a better word – is good. Greed is right. Greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through, and
captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed, in all its forms – greed
for life, for money, for love, for knowledge, has marked the upward surge of
mankind. And greed – you mark
my words – will not only save Teldar Paper, but that other malfunctioning
corporation called the USA.Õ
A half-truth again, which looked
pretty good in 2004 but looks rather empty now in 2011.
America is not a corporation. A society is not a corporation.
Making money is not end-all of life, the only mountain, the only sacred
endeavor. Money is a necessity that
allows one to live comfortably; but money is not the ultima thule of
Life, the only or the highest quest – perhaps, because this quest is for
self-content alone, the pursuit of money may be the lowest quest of which
mankind is capable. And because we
forgot this truth, God is now punishing us. And God will punish us some more until
at least 2019.
A funny thing happened to Christianity
on the way from Catholicism to Protestantism. This also, was a kind of alchemical
process, wherein the message of Jesus Christ was magically flipped. Jesus argued that wealth, earthly power,
pleasure, worldly success were the result of a contract with the Devil. Somehow, when this message came into
contact with its anti-nature, in the magic zone of the Middle Principle –
we will amplify this later – the message was changed: being rich was a
sign that God was blessing you. The
more wealth, power, earthly success one had, the more this was a sign an
individual man had been ÔchosenÕ by God for his goodness.
This was not a Catholic idea – although the Catholic power structure
is guilty of much that is venal, is guilty of much hoarding of the worldÕs wealth,
and of ignoring the creed that their own founder emphasized, for which he gave
his life.
How did this image reversal
(think of this as a photographic
negative) happen? Clearly, the
Father trumped the son (sorry, Donald) – and pragmatism defused the sonÕs
idealism. Pragmatism was one of
those ÔhardÕ skins put over the Soul to protect the Soul in the harsh world of
men – iron-plating on top of gold, a suit of armor fitted over the Soul
– so much so as to block out the SoulÕs voice during long periods of
life, entire adulthoods for many people.
Pragmatism essentially says: do
anything you have to do in order to surive and prosper. If the act you perform is evil, cruel or
unfair, you do this before your enemies do the same to you first.
Pragmatism is one of the first skins
to be put away at the end of the Day-Cycle; and, at that time, as the
emptying-out process begins, the Soul is shocked by the BodyÕs capacity for
evil, a capacity engendered by the path and weaponry Pragmatism provided the mind
as a system of self-defense.
Materialism has no soul
– that is, the soul exists but the body dominates the soul. Materialism does not respond readily to
moral codes and ethical restrictions unless it is required to do so by legal
addendums. Afterall, the Business
Class hires lawyers and pays them terrific amounts of capital each year to
instruct that Business Class how to bend the laws without breaking them, or how
to break the laws without getting caught.
If that were not enough, the Business Class ÔinspiresÕ
lawyer-politicians in the government (how are campaign contributions repaid?)
to pass laws that make it easier for businesses to cheat and steal without
breaking the law. ItÕs a good
system, set up for the American Ruling Class, lawyers, and our politicians in
Washington and in every state, county, and city in America – and, truly,
mostly all the world over. Everyone
gets rich. ItÕs all good. ItÕs a win-win situation apparently.
The idealism of Materialism (a
practical anti-idealism in truth) is to get rich -- to get rich, without going
to jail or getting killed by competitors in the process. Laws protect the Business Class, in most
instances, from getting murdered by their competitors. Lawyers protect the Business Class from
going to jail, by providing them loopholes in the law. In fact, the basis of the legal
profession is to serve the rich with labyrinthine legal maneuvers designed to
neutralize or outflank laws designed to require more ethical business
relations. Check out lawyersÕ fees
lately? Who can afford to pay a
lawyer today but the rich and the super-rich? Lawyers exist as a class of
bottom-feeders who are paid huge sums of money to pervert American laws and
swing the balance of power against social justice, toward organized crime -- the ÔwinnersÕ in American society who
get rich by breaking the laws.
Lawyers are an army of mercenaries
working for the criminal underworld and the criminal overworld. Like prostitues, lawyers work for anyone
who can afford to pay them. (I donÕt
mean to insult prostitutes, who have more honor as a class of human beings than
lawyers do.)
Clearly, I am presenting the
negative view of the Business Culture at this point. I am aware of, and I will also present
later, the positive view of the Business Culture. The Business Culture is most positive at
the beginning of an expanding Growth Season (think 1983); the Business Culture
is most negative (most venal and greedy) at the end of the Business Growth Season
(think 2001 and after).
GreenspanÕs Crime Was Philosophical – and Spriritual.
GreenspanÕs real crime was
philosophical – and spiritual.
He, and many other academic economists, devoted huge amounts of time,
energy and intellectual resources to the proposition that the so-called Great
Depression, which ran from 1929 through 1947 (some say 1942), was not
inevitable, and was avoidable. If
the Federal Reserve and American financial and governmental institutions at the
time had only been more skilled in denial, had flooded the system with
liquidity – had apparently continued to fill the empty glass for an
eternity -- then the Great Depression could have seen avoided. Death could have been cheated. The DevilÕs return to claim the Soul he
had been guaranteed could be tricked through a form of legal or semantic
maneuvering. HadnÕt the Business
Class already proved that taxes were not inevitable? Why couldnÕt they show the same about
death, and about the the death of an idea, such as the American Dream?
This was a philosophic flaw
in Mister GreenspanÕs set of principles.
The flaw is the misunderstanding of
the nature of the Ôpositive energyÕ factor – the energy to build –
which Greenspan apparently felt was eternal and inexhaustible, and his belief
that the Ônegative energyÕ factor, the Night – the energy to disembody or
to de-construct -- could be avoided, ignored, or simply negated by an excess
amount of positive energy, literally, by flooding the financial system with
liquidity – by borrowing and borrowing and borrowing mor money –
ans spending, spending, spending.
Of course, the Bible teaches us that
too much liquidity led to the Flood, the Deluge, to the destruction of the
world, and to NoahÕs lonely survival on the top of Mount Ararat until the end
of that earlier Night-Cycle.
Alan, what you did not accept,
understand or count on was the fact that Ôpositive energyÕ runs out, and turns,
itself, into negative energy. The
force that builds the world is also the same force that destroys it.
Spiritual Writing is Only Very Rarely Literal
Biblical writing can be
understood on many levels. But
Biblical writing is very rarely literal, except in its advocation of moral
principles. The world was not created in seven days, except in the
symbolic sense: seven periods of creation, stretching over unimaginable
millennia. Ask any serious Jewish
scholar and none will claim the Seven Days of Creation in the Old Testament Book of Genesis describe ÔcreationismÕ
in seven literal days. Only
fundamental Christians insist on a literal reading of a symbolic
literature. IÕm not even sure that
fundamentalist Jews would argue in a literal interpretation of the creation of
the world.
To understand symbolic writing, the
poetic mind is needed – the dream mind – the literal, scientific,
rational mind cannot comprehend symbolic writing. The poetic mind is almost always lost
with mathematics and the scientific process. Likewise, the scientific mind cannot
crack the code of myth. The Day
misunderstands the Night; the Night is beleaguered to comprehend the Day.
In fact, it is only the Middle
Principle, the Soul – Dawn, Renaissance Man; and Dusk, Romantic Man
– that can understand both worlds.
The Renaissance Man is moving away from Religion toward Science and the
Romantic Man is moving away from Science toward Religion – but both
understand that a true understanding of reality rejects nothing from the
picture of wholenss, and tries to include every state of mind in its
recognition of the whole.
Also, the symbolic truth
embedded in religious or mythical or mystical writing is timeless, like the
dream is timeless. This
timelessness makes the symbolic message illuminatory for all time, including
the Present Time in which we currently live. Scriptural writing, and its underlying
symbolic meaning, was written, not merely for the historical time of its
composition, but also as a kind of psychic map for humans living at all
times. Symbolic writing, describing
eternal spiritual dilemmas and principles, is a guide for spiritual survival in
all historical times – is, in fact, as compelling and as relevant to the
human quest today as it was to King David or to Moses in pre-Biblical times, in
India, Egypt, Assyria, Australia, Central America, Asia and North America.
Spiritual writing is a biography of
the soul.
Eternal truths tell us about our
lives, about the eternal parts of our own lives, in the Ever-Present Time. The Flood is not just about Noah and his
Ark in ancient myth – it is about us today. Nuah (the original of Noah) was a
Chaldean word meaning ÔSpiritÕ; the Ark was a glyph for the Moon, as the Moon
was symbolic of the Womb, in which the Spirit took refuge when the emotional
element (Water) of Chaos and Night replaced the intellectual element (the Fire)
of Order and Day – when the world ÔfellÕ into the Chaos of the Flood, as
we are falling into Chaos today.
Noah (Spirit) hid in his Ark (ÔarghaÕ
in Egyptian is the crescent moon) while the Darkness of Chaos destroyed the
Material World. At the end of the
destruction, Noah was re-born, was delivered back in to Life, the new prototype
from which human evolution was patterned.
Noah is about the Night-Cycle. Noah is the Spirit living in the First
Body, the Soul, the Moon, riding on the oceans of Chaos as the Night-Cycle
played out is part, leading toward the rebirth of the world (the Day-Cycle).
We cannot avoid the Night,
the depression, simply by pretending it is not a part of the equation. By choosing Life in the World we also
choose Death. By choosing to fly
high, we also choose to fall deeply.
By choosing to be rich, we also choose to be poor. By choosing inflation of the Ego, we
also choose deflation of the Ego and all the suffering and death which goes
with the death of the personalities we have created.
There is a Middle Path, the
Path of the Soul, which is not so rich, and not so poor, not so strong, and not
so weak, not so bright, and not so dark – but we have not chosen that
path.
The Hero chooses the flamboyant path,
the path of extreme challenges – like our friend, Mr. Blankfein, suggested
– those who wanted to be too rich, too ambitious, and too successful.
The Hero chooses to become God. The Hero also chooses (perhaps
unconsciously) to become the Anti-Hero, the one who destroys everything the
Hero has constructed.
Greenspan, after the dot-com
bubble burst in 2001, lowered interest rates to flood the system with capital
to avoid the necessary Winter season
in the economic expansion.
Greenspan lowered rates to try to fight off economic death or descent
– the Big Crunch of Matter back into its seed, buried in the Earth beside
the winter-stripped, naked Tree of Life.
In the process of his denial,
Greenspan helped to ignite a furious national and international housing price
bubble. Exotic mortgages were
suddently created by bankers and brokers on both Wall Street and Main Street,
which essentially allowed unqualified home buyers with little or no money to
buy houses they could not afford, afueled the boom. Investment banks then helped further
inflate the bubble by issuing even more exotic mortgage bonds that wrapped
together high-risk and low-risk mortgages (in an attempt to neutralize the
suspect loans), which they then sold to banks and other institutions all over
the world as investment-grade instruments, which the rating institutions did
not know how to grade, and which seemed stable and profitable as long a housing
prices kept risingÉ.
But what rises also falls.
The Housing Bubble Pops.
BernankeÕs Response Fuels Dollar Wounding, First of Two Commodity
Bubbles.
As home prices fell,
mortgage defaults rose. Banks
holding the new breed of mortgage bonds did not even know how much risk they
had assumed, because different grade mortgages were all bound up together,
low-risk paper with high-risk paper.
The banking system began to implode.
Greed had trumped good judgment; and
now default and bankruptcy were going to trump the seductive intoxication of a
bull market in housing and the pure blue sky of GreenspanÕs Ôfree marketÕ
religion.
The economic catastrophe was
further exascerbated in 2007-8 by a decline in the U.S. Dollar which fueled a
wild spike in commodity prices, a third major bubble that formed under the
Greenspan-Bernanke watch. (Bernanke was a Ôgood sonÕ of Greenspan, from the
same school of thought, continuing the old manÕs prescient policies.) Oil shot up from $60 to $150 dollars a
barrel. All major commodities
followed this oil spike: copper, wheat, corn, gold, silver, aluminum, titanium,
heating oil, natural gas.
Commodity-heavy indexes and hedge funds spiked. Suddenly Canada, Russia, Australia, and
other commodity-heavy economies were markets at which professional investors
threw money. But the price of doing
business for almost all other businesses escalated dramatically. Companies, already hurt by frozen
credit-lines attendant to the banking crisis, now had to deal with escalating
materials prices. American
consumers, reeling from a popped housing bubble, now sagged under the heavy
burden of skyrocketing gas and fuel prices.
In June 2008, the dollar reversed, as
investors sought quality paper in response to the global banking crisis; and
this flight to quality burst the commodity bubble. (So much for the theory of supply and
demand regulating the marketplace.
Speculators had created a demand in commodities as a response to a
declining U.S. Dollar. But now the
investment-banking and hedge-fund giants got caught in their own trap, as the
unexpected return-flight to the dollar destroyed overnight their huge profits
in commodities.)
A deflating stock market, a deflating
housing market, and a deflating commodity bubble cut trillions of dollars out
of the global economy in a matter of months. This was just the beginning. Decades of price inflation and wage
deflation had created a top-heavy tower that was crashing. The unwinding of debt wil take a
generation to be accomplished.
Bernanke Leads: Surreptitious Bank-Bailout Continues.
QE: Quisling Enterprise?
The Attempted Destruction of the American Dollar.
(Re-reading the above
paragraph, it becomes cleaar the loop that Bernanke is caught in. Quantatative Easing is the only think
Bernanke can do, without biting the bullet and raising interest rates, which is
something he is philosophically incapable of doing. His entire life has prepared him for
this battle: what if the Federal Reserve had inflated America and the World out
of the Great Depression? He canÕt
go back. BernankeÕs current
policies are driving prices higher – in almost everything but housing,
and income . These policies are not
leading to organic business growth, which they canÕt, in fact. Remember: growth is by definition the
empty glass filling up. Inflation
is the empty glass filling up AND the full glass continuing to be filled,
over-filled.
If Bernanke allows the US Dollar to
rally again, then he risks another massive collapse, such as the one that
occurred in 2008, when his anti-dollar commodity bubble popped and dragged
everything down with it. So his
policy is to crucify the US Dollar, to knock it down and keep it from getting
up, which, is also a sneaky way of attempting to monetize US debts: taking on
more debt but devaluating the currency to try to make such actions a wash.
Of course, now we have skyrocketing
prices for food and for industrial commodities. Inflation has been exported to foreign
countries through the anti-collar policy (and the spike up in commodity
prices). Food riots are breaking
out all over the globe. Countires
are now raising interest rates to try to fight off the new inflation created by
Bernanke – China is raising rates, India, Thailand; England is next. Civil wars are breaking out in about ten
Arab countries, in Thailand, in Ivory Coast – violent class warfare
revolts are also appearing in Greece, France, Germany, England; Greece, Spain,
Ireland, Italy, Spain, Portugal – in fact, all European countries except
Germany – are approaching and will face default in the near future.
This, my friend, is the Big Crunch. The
Big Crunch cannot be avoided. Take
it like a man: raise taxes, cut spending, raise interest rates, and become a
Saver Nation. Our time as the
worldÕs great Spender Nation is over for a while.)
Watching the collapse of the
global capital markets each day in 2008 on television and through the internet
was a bit like watching the attack on the Twin Towers in New York City in 2001,
and the subsequent de-materialization of the two buildings: there was nothing
anyone could do. The world was set
on fire. People were jumping out of
windows. There were enemies of
civilization behind each attack – forces of Anti-Matter. The Muslim enemies of America knew they
had attacked the Twin Towers; but the men (mostly white men, bankers and
businessmen) who had attacked the global banking system really did not realize
what they had done. That was the
difference.
Masters of the Universe Greenspan,
Bernanke, Paulson, and their cronies at Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs, Morgan
Stanley, AIG, Countrywide Credit, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, had torpedoed the
very ship they supposedly loved and on which they had served for much of their
lives (or was the ship only serving them in their quest to amass millions for
themselves?). They had slipped a
Trojan Horse into the financial system – Collateralized Debt Obligations
– a class of investment vehicle, derivatives, that Warren Buffet called
Ôfinaancial weapons of mass destructionÕ. Why all the greed? Where did the greed lead them? All for a a few more million dollars, a
few more houses for their families, a few more luxury cars and yachts. There is never enough money. There is never enough power. There is never enough status. One could always go higher; one could
always get richer.
ÒAsk my workers to be less ambitious,
to be content with what they had?Ó Lloyd Blankfein asked, incredulous. Never!
Ask these men to police
themselves? Not very likely.
These men (ÒMasters of the
UniverseÓ) will live in AmericaÕs Hall of Infamy for having destroyed the lives
of millions of people across the globe, and for having shamed America and
AmericaÕs reputation as the leader of the Free World.
These men betrayed their own way of
life and their own people without really being cognizant of what they were
doing (at least in one sense). They
were so excited by the result they got from milking the Golden Calf that they
miled the Gold Calf to death. None
of these men and women really wanted to destroy the world.
At least the Muslim terrorists who
attacked America in 2001 had the self-awareness of understanding they were
trying to destroy America. The
Muslim terrorists failed badly at their goal, although they did inflict severe,
although impermanent, damage on the psyche of the country. But the American terrorists, the bankers
and the greedy mortgage agents, the insurance overlords, the corrupt
politicians in Washington and in the state and cities that jumped on board,
inflicted a mighty wound to the American psyche, one from which it will take a
generation or more to recover.
Greed knows no honor.
For this is
the Day of the Lord
Yahweh
Sabaoth,
A day of
vengeance
When He
takes revenge on His foes:
The sword
will devour until gorged,
Until drunk
with their blood,
For Lord
Yahweh Sabaoth
Is holding
a sacrificial feast
In the land
of the north
On the
River Euphrates.
Jeremiah 46:10
CHAPTER THREE.
READING THE INDICTMENT –
WHY WE NEED BOTH INFLATION AND DEFLATION
It didnÕt have to be this way. The big
mistake, in my view, came when the Fed condoned the equity bubble in the late
1990s. It has been playing post-bubble defense ever since, fostering an unusually
low real interest rate climate that has led to one bubble after another. And
that has given rise to the real monster -- the asset-dependent American
consumer and a co-dependent global economy that canÕt live without excess US
consumption. The real test was always the exit strategy."
Stephen Roach, ÔThe TestÕ
ÒBy a continuing process of inflation, government can
confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their
citizens.Ó
John
Maynard Keynes
"Capitalism is based on self-interest and
self-esteem; it holds integrity and trustworthiness as cardinal virtues and
makes them pay off in the marketplace, thus demanding that men survive by means
of virtue, not vices. It is this superlatively moral system that the welfare statists
propose to improve upon by means of prevent- ative law, snooping bureaucrats,
and the chronic goad of fear."
— Alan
Greenspan
ÒÉinflation is running at rates that are too
low relative to the levels that the Committee judges to be most consistent with
the Federal ReserveÕs dual mandate in the longer run.Ó
Ben Bernanke, 2008
ÒBelieve Me: There Is No Inflation In America Today.Ó
When Someone Tells you This, DonÕt Believe Them.
Deflation is a necessary season in the economic
cycle. Deflation is the necessary contraction phase, and helps
to re-balance the excesses fueled by the principles and energies of
expansion. Deflation relieves
debt-congestion, through forced repayment or default, and modifies prices that
have escalated during the expansion phase of the cycle. These two forces – Inflation and
Deflation – work together, as Day and Night work together, as Man and
Woman work together, in the relatively sane system of governance of the Earth. Day and Night – Inflation and
Deflation -- only appear to be adversaries. Their adversarial relationship –
like the relationship of Republican and Democrat – creates, in fact, a
unity of motion. Centrifugal motion
pushes energy outward from the center of a system; centripetal motion pulls
energy from the periphery back to the center. This is a breathing process.
Then everything starts over again.
The U.S. government had been
telling the American citizen for several decades now that there is no inflation
in the American economy.
Of course, Americans know this isnÕt
true. Oil prices rose from
$15/barrel to $150/barrel in twenty years.
Housing prices jumped 150-200% in only three years, after averaging an
appreciation of 2.5% per year for over a century. Health care costs exploded year after
year, averaging 9.5% growth, year-over-year, for the last decade. The cost of college tuition has gone up
by almost 2000% in thirty years.
And we are told that there is no inflation.
It finally became clear to me, after
years of musing on this phenomenon (this duplicity?), that there really is no inflation, according to government
statistics, as long as there is no wage
inflation. And there has been
little wage inflation since 1974 – that is true. As long as wages stay low and do not
chase the escalating costs of goods and services – and this is almost possible if the cost of credit stays low -- then the inflation spiral is
muted – at least how inflation is gauged by (ever-changing) government
formulae. Of course, the consumer,
in this scenario, becomes more and more indebted through this method of paying
for myriad goods and materials and service experiencing rapid price growth, not
through wages, which are stagnant or even declining, but through borrowed
money, investment gains, or through
refinanced mortgages.
Business profits grow, wages remain
low, and workers take on more and more debt. It sounds to me like a volcano that is
bound to blow. But what do I know? IÕm not an economist. Sometimes logic is only logic for those
not sophisticated enough to understand the difference between appearance and
reality.
Of course, consumers were
able to offset stagnant wage growth in the last few decades because of the
impressive stock market gains (the first bubble to pop, if youÕll remember, in 2000,
nearing the apex and intial decline of the Day-Cycle, 2001). The stock market had become a second
source of income for American consumers, to help pay for ever-increasing costs,
such as childrenÕs college education, first, second or even third homes,
medical insurance and medical treatments not covered by insurance. But then the stock market flattened out
after 2000, moving sideways for a few years, eliminating wall street as a
guaranteed source of secondary income.
In fact, Wall Street from 2000 to 2010 has been a decade of a negative
return, which is what the Night-Cycle promises to the investor.
Stocks Run Dry; Housing Becomes New Commodities Market
So, how did Greenspan and
his Fed respond to the clear sign of the full glass being overfilled in 2000
when the Nasdaq stock market crashed?
Well, they continued to try to fill the full glass, pouring water/debt
faster and faster into the full cup.
Remember, the ÔcorrectÕ response to
the phenomenon of bubbles appearing in the economic fabric (according to the
Clark Doctrine) is to slowly and steadily begin emptying the glass. How does one empty the glass? By raising interest rates of course.
Did the Fed begin raising interest
rates slowly? No. The Fed lowered rates drastically,
hurriedly, after the Nasdaq market collapsed in the year 2000, signaling to
markets, investors, and bankers that the Gold Rush was still on. America was not going to back down.
America was going to fight to the death, fight the contraction –
remember, the Hero does not surrender; the Hero goes down in flames.
The Fed Chair announced (he
did not say this literally, of course, but did so through his actions) that he
was staying in business as Chief Bubblemaker – Chief
Deflation-Dragon-Fighter -- so, everyone should get ready for a war to end all
wars in the financial circles.
Greenspan was not backing down.
This would be a battle royal.
Deflation was the Devil. And
Greenspan was working for God (yes, we would hear that litany again).
As a side note: This bubble-land would
be where the real money would be
made. Speculators must act fast; be
nimble; act ruthlessly. Bubbles do
pop; and no one wants to get caught out on a rooftop when a bubble suddenly implodes. Someone (probably late-comers, probably
small investors) would get hurt.
That could not be avoided.
No question: the Fed was
pandering to risk-takers, gamblers, con-men, and to political opportunists
whose creed was economic growth at any
cost – because only economic growth in
perpetua could save the jobs of those same political operatives (and the
good life Washington had bestowed upon them) as voters would never understand the need to slow down
the machine and prepare to withdrew fuel from the fire.
Of course, the Fed was supposed to be
independent of political expediency so that they, the Fed, as an institution,
could respond with policy that was good for America, and good for Americans,
not necessarily good for any party of American political leaders. Volcker had done this in the early
1980Õs. Greenspan could have done
this in 2000-2001 – and did not.
Greenspan chose to keep the party going.
Did Greenspan really want to be
remembered as the guy who turned out the lights on the party? Not really. Greenspan (and his buddies in the
Clinton Administration, Robert Rubin (former Goldeman Sachs man) and Lawrence
Summers) had just been christened the ÔMasters of the UniverseÓ by Time
Magazine after their response to the Asian Currency Crisis in 1999 – was
it time now to back down, to speak of philosophical necessity, and begin
tightening interest rates, to give in to the Darkness?
The ÔThree MarketeersÓ? They look more like the current version
of the ÔThree StoogesÕ, with the leader looking more like Mister Magoo than
like Mo. We were going to trust
these men to save the world? From
what? For whom? For Goldman Sachs? These men are not as mild and as clean
as they may look, to the untrained eye.
Who are the other two men lionized as
world saviors by Time Magazine? Robert Rubin, nicknamed ÔTeflon BobÕ, on
our left, is a granduate of Goldman Sachs Wall Street School For Advancement
and Treasury Secretary under Clinton.
Larry Summers, on our right, was ClintonÕs Deputey Treasury Secretary,
under Reuben, and then succeeded Reuben as Secretary of the Treasury. Clinton, of course,was the first
Democrat is history to actively sell his Soul to Wall Street.
Rubin and Summers were the point-men
in the Clinton AdministrationÕs effort to deregulate the banks – Summers
had no real formal connection to Goldman Sachs, unlike Rueben, who spent most
of his working life with Goldman (1966-1992), starting as an associate in the
risk arbitrage department and ending as Co-Chairman and Co-Senior Partner,
before joining the Clinton team in Washington. Clinton owed Goldeman Sachs for helping
him get elected – in fact, a curious mind might imagine that Reuben was
part of the COD Goldman was charging the Clinton Administration. Also, it seems pretty clear that bank
derugulation was the primary bill that Bill Clinton had to pay back to Goldman
(Mephistopheles coming back to Faust to collect his due, FaustÕs Soul). Rubin was the mechanism -- and the link between the White House
and Goldman – by which this payment would be massaged into place for Goldman
Sachs.
This act, of course, made of Clinton a
Judas who should go down in American history as one of the greatest traitors of
Democratic principles the party has ever seen. Clinton was in bed with the party of Joe
McCarthy. And he was apparently too
busy with his chasing women and
raping women and using cigars in playful molestation of women to notice that
he, in his unwholesome dalliance with Goldman Sachs was paving the way for
destruction of democracy in America.
Because, after Clnton, there really was no opposition party in America
any longer. Goldman Sachs and the
Wall Street banks (but particularly Goldman Sachs) owned both parties and
simply did what it liked.
Rubin and Summers had the job of
signing America over to Wall Street.
The illusion was maintained that the bill could be written in such a way
as to reqire banks to treat minority rights with respect – to even
attempt to use the bill to require banks to lend to minorities who really were
not good risks for loans, who did not really qualify – because of salary
requirements – for mortgage loans under existing conditions. The Community Reinvestment Act required
that banks lend money in communities in which they did business. This turned out to be another major
problem leading to the Housing Bubble a few years later. And led the banks to seek a sophistical
Ômortgage bondÕ that could wrap good and back loans together in a security that
neutralized the bad loans mandated by the CRA.
Clinton wanted to slip a Ôsocial
progress, minority rightsÕ element into the bill that was essentially selling
America to the Banking Establishment of Wall Street.
In their article ÒTeflon Bob
and Banking DeregulationÓ, Russell Mokhiber and Robert Weissman write about how
banking deregulation really worked.
Few top government officials,
whether elected or appointed, have managed to emerge as unscathed from a half
dozen years in the Washington, D.C. spotlight as former Treasury Secretary
Robert Rubin. And Rubin did better than escape without scratches -- he ended
his term of office with his image enhanced.
Wall Street and the
financial press practically beatified him for his role in overseeing the global
economy through difficult times and working in tandem with Federal Reserve Chair
Alan Greenspan to keep the U.S. economy working smoothly.
Rubin helped
precipitate the Asian financial crisis which has inflicted untold suffering on
tens of millions, orchestrated the bailout of foreign bankers and investors in
connection with the Mexican and Asian financial disasters, and crafted or
helped implement domestic policies that ensured the overwhelming portion of
benefits from economic growth would go to therich -- but none of this managed
to sully the reputation of the Secretary Rubin.
Now Teflon Bob
appears on the verge of demonstrating that his immunity to criticism makes
Ronald Reagan look like he was coated with bubble gum.
When he stepped down
from his Treasury post this past summer, Rubin left unfinished a legislative
effort to re-write the nation's banking laws. Misnamed "financial
modernization" legislation was really a deregulatory initiative --
reminiscent of the S&L deregulation that led to a corporate crime spree, the
collapse of the industry and the subsequent taxpayer bailout of epic
proportions.
The centerpiece of
the deregulatory bill, which different fragments of the finance industry have
pushed for a decade and a half, is the repeal of the revered Glass-Steagall
Act, which bars the common ownership of banks on the one hand, and insurance
companies and securities firms on the other.
Although powerful
interests have long backed the legislation, it has repeatedly failed to make it
through Congress because of a maze of intra-industry disputes, turf fights
between different parts of the federal regulatory structure, and the concerted
efforts of consumer and community development advocates.
Another failure
seemed possible or likely this fall, especially as Senate Banking Chair Phil
Gramm, R-Texas, refused to compromise on privacy and community development
issues. Another failure, however,
was not acceptable to one company above all -- Citigroup. Through the product
of the merger between Citibank and Travelers, Citigroup was operating in
apparent violation of the bar on common ownership of banking, and insurance and
securities; a loophole provides for a two-year transition period.
Enter Robert Rubin.
According to a report in the
New York Times, Rubin helped broker the final compromise language on financial
deregulation. And while he was brokering a deal between Congress and the White
House, he was also, according to the New York Times account, negotiating his
own deal with Citigroup. A few days
after the banking deal was finalized, Citigroup announced it was hiring Rubin as
a de facto co-chair of the corporation.
Filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission indicate Reuben was paid $15 million dollars in annual
salary with Citicorp, which did not include stock options for 1.5 million
shares of the stock. ItÕs good work if you can get it.
Rubin seems to haave delivered the
derugulation bill that Citicorp desperately needed and that all the other Wall
Street banks, Goldman Sachs among them, had been desiring for decades. In return, RubinÕs asking price was met
by Citibank. Extortion; or just
business?
The Mokhiber and Weissman article
continues:
This chronology and these
arrangements raise serious issues about whether federal ethics statutes and
informal Clinton administration rules have been violated.
Rubin told the New
York Times that he was proud of his work in preserving the Community
Reinvestment Act (CRA -- an important law that requires banks to make loans in
minority and lower-income communities in which they do business). In fact, the
final version of the bill significantly weakens CRA: there will be no ongoing
sanctions against holding company banks that
fail to meet CRA standards,
it will lessen the number of CRA examinations, and provisions of the bill will
discourage community groups from challenging banks' CRA records. And the weakening of the CRA is only one
element of the finance industry's deregulatory wish list which is included in
the compromise legislation.
The bill will:
* Pave the way for a
new round of record-shattering financial industry mergers, dangerously
concentrating
political and economic power;
* Create
too-big-to-fail institutions that are someday likely to drain the public
treasury as
taxpayers
bail out imperiled financial giants to protect the stability of the nation's
banking
system;
* Leave financial regulatory
authority spread among a half dozen federal and 50 state agencies, all
uncoordinated,
that will be overmatched by the soon-to-be financial goliaths;
* Facilitate the rip-off of mutual
fund insurance policy holders by permitting mutual insurance
funds
to switch domicile states – thereby enabling them to locate in states
where they can
convert
to for-profit, stockholder companies without properly reimbursing mutual
policyholders
(a conversion of tens of billions of dollars);
* Aggressively intrude on
consumer privacy (and promote a still-greater intensification of direct
marketing),
thanks to provisions permitting the new financial giants to share finance,
health,
consumer and other personalinformation among affiliates; and
* Allow banks to continue to
deny services to the poor (Congress rejected an amendment requiring
banks
to provide "lifeline accounts" to the poor, so they would have refuge
from check-
cashing
operations and the underground economy).
Robert Rubin helped deliver
this ticking time bomb of a bill to Wall Street, first while in Treasury and
then while in negotiations to land a top spot at the finance industry's largest
and highest-profile company. He may well escape unscathed yet again, but it is
sure to blow up on the rest of us.
So Bob Rubin feathered his
nest. IsnÕt that what politics is
about? Is it na•ve to expect humans
with political power not to look for
opportunities to cheat and steal?
What about Lawrence Summers?
Was he feathering his nest also?
Matt Taibbi the Rolling Stone writer, called Goldman Sachs Ôa giant vampire squid
wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into
anything that smells like moneyÕ. I
wish I had written that. Taibbi
wrote an article of Lawrence Summers entitled ÒThe Corruption of Larry SummersÓ
in April 2009.
Summers, who became President ObamaÕs
Chief Economic Advisor in 2008, had to release his financial disclosure forms in
order to serve in the federal government.
Summers had received about $5.2 million in fees from hedge fund operator
D.E. Shaw a year earlier, and was paid more than $2.7 million in speaking fees
by several troubled Wall Street firms and other organizations.
Taibbi looks at all this in his
article, which he begins by quoting the Washington
Post:
ObamaÕs Top Economic Adviser is Greedy and Highly Compromised
But Summers, a leading
architect of the administrationÕs economic policies and response to the global
recession, appears to have collected the most income. Financial institutions
including JP Morgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers and Merrill
Lynch paid Summers for speaking appearances in 2008. Fees ranged from $45,000
for a Nov. 12 Merrill Lynch appearance to $135,000 for an April 16 visit to
Goldman Sachs, according to his disclosure form.Ó — Washingtonpost.com
So I guess that $45,000
speaking fee from Merrill Lynch wasnÕt technically a bribe because Summers wasnÕt
named to ObamaÕs economic transition team until Nov. 24 — a full 12 days
later. IÕm sure Larry Summers had absolutely no inkling whatsoever that he was
going to be one of the key advisers to the new administration on Nov. 12.
It likewise makes
perfect sense that Merrill Lynch, a company just months removed from having to
be rescued from bankruptcy by an 11th-hour, pseudo-state-subsidized buyout by
Bank of America, would decide to spend $45,000 on a speaking appearance by
Summers because, well, they really valued his economic expertise and his proven
ability to rally the troops with his stirring rhetoric.
It certainly had
nothing to do with the fact that a) it was eight days after a Democrat was
elected to the presidency; b) Summers had a long history of being one of the
key policymakers in Democratic Party politics; and c) Merrill was absolutely
not going to survive more than a few more months unless taxpayers forked over
another 20 billion or so to cover the giant hole in MerrillÕs balance sheet that
was, at that time, still being hidden from Bank of America and its
shareholders.
And how about that
$135,000 appearance for Goldman Sachs in April, when Summers was already
involved with Democratic Party politics again? That wasnÕt a surreptitious
campaign contribution at all!
But you have to give
Goldman credit: it sure is thorough. It literally leaves no stone unturned.
One has to love the sequence
of events here. Back in 2004, Goldman chief Hank Paulson goes to SEC chief
William Donaldson and petitions to have lending restrictions relaxed for the
top five investment banks. Donaldson rolls over, the restrictions are relaxed,
and itÕs a disaster, as the top five banks immediately overleverage themselves
— two of the five, Bear Stearns and Lehman, would actually collapse, at
least partially as a result of being insanely overleveraged.
In the midst of this
disaster, Paulson is named Treasury secretary. He does nothing about the
worsening financial crisis until it is far too late, then allows one of GoldmanÕs
biggest competitors, Lehman, to fail while at the same time intervening on a
huge scale to save AIG, which just happens to owe Goldman a ton of money.
When AIG is bailed
out, its government regulator is not in the room, but the new chief of Goldman,
Lloyd Blankfein, is. In fact, Goldman Sachs ultimately receives about $13
billion of the money paid to AIG by the government in the bailout, reportedly
getting paid 100 cents on the dollar for its AIG exposure, despite the fact
that the bank claimed it wasnÕt going to suffer severe losses if AIG collapsed.
Later, another
former Goldman executive, Ed Liddy, is installed as head of AIG — which
just happens to get bailed out twice more, the last time to the tune of $30
billion.
The last two
bailouts of AIG take place after a former Goldman chief, Robert Rubin (who,
incidentally, helped start this mess by ramming through a series of i-banker
wet-dream deregulatory moves as Treasury secretary for Clinton in the 1990s),
is named to the Obama transition team, joining Summers (who had already taken
$135,000 from Goldman that year) and Timothy Geithner (a protege of another
Goldman alum, John Thain, former president and chief operating officer and
notorious scumbag).
When it comes time
for new Treasury Secretary Geithner to name a chief of staff, he chooses Mark
Patterson, who is less than a year removed from working as a lobbyist for É
Goldman Sachs. PattersonÕs great contribution to society as a Goldman lobbyist
was opposing a 2007 measure introduced in the Senate by presidential candidate
Barack Obama to rein in executive compensation.
I remember watching Obama the
presidential candidate give a speech in Mason City, Iowa, in 2007. Obama had
made a big show of not having registered lobbyists working for his campaign,
and he promised that lobbyists ÒwonÕt work in my White House.Ó The line was a
hit and became part of ObamaÕs stump speech. I must have heard it two dozen
times.
A little over a year
later, he put a registered lobbyist of a bailed-out investment bank into a job
whose primary responsibility is administering bailout money.
It gets worse.
According to a Glenn Greenwald piece I just read, even Gary Gensler is a former
Goldman employee. That absolutely blows my mind. Genlser is ObamaÕs choice to
head the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, whose purview is the
derivatives market. The CFTC was the battleground where ages ago Rubin,
Summers, and then-Rubin aide Gensler teamed up to whack CFTC chief Brooksley
Born, who had serious concerns about the burgeoning derivatives market, in
particular the credit-default swap market. Rubin overturned BornÕs
recommendations, and derivatives were freed from most regulation. That economic
Alamo led almost directly to the AIG disaster.
Think about this for a
moment. A former Goldman chief, Rubin, presses the CFTC to deregulate a type of
derivative contract whose chief benefit to an investment bank like Goldman is
that it allows it to lend more — the CDS being most useful as a tool to
move investment risk off a bankÕs balance sheet.
Then another Goldman
chief, Paulson, pushes for further relaxation of lending limits. Then Goldman
jumps head first into the housing bubble, buying tens of billions in CDS
protection to hedge its crazy investments. This massive explosion in lending by
banks like Goldman, fueled in part by the use of derivatives like CDS and
fueled still more by the 2004 change in rules, puts an enormous strain on the
economy, leading to giant holes blown in its hull by the end of 2007 and on
through 2008.
It follows that when
GoldmanÕs chief partner in those CDS deals, AIG, collapses as part of this wave
of crashes, Paulson — now Treasury secretary — rushes to the
rescue, pumping billions in taxpayer money into AIG that is quickly funneled to
Goldman. Then a Goldman alum is put in charge of AIG, while another bunch of
Goldman alums funnels still more bailout money to AIG, and yet another Goldman
alum is put in charge of regulating the derivatives market that is the focus of
most of the bailout efforts.
In the midst of all
of this, something amazing happens. Goldman Sachs, along with Bank of America,
Morgan Stanley and a host of other ÒtroubledÓ banks, reports a profit for its
first quarter in 2009! How and why that happened is another fascinating story,
for another time. For now, the only thing to remember is that all the ones who
got us into this mess — Rubin, Summers, Goldman in general — are
now being put in charge of the cleanup by a president who spent most of 18
months on the campaign trail pledging to end the influence of money in
politics.
Add this to the obscene
giveaway that is the toxic assets program Geithner has just devised (Goldman
Sachs Òexpressed interest in participating in the plan as an investor,Ó
according to the Wall Street Journal), and you have an amazing situation.
Between the Bush and Obama administrations, you have a bailout program that has
now figured three ways to funnel money to Goldman Sachs: via AIG, via TARP and
now via this trillion-dollar Òpublic-private investment program,Ó which
basically lends huge amounts of money to investors and provides guarantees
against heavy losses. ItÕs free money, state-subsidized profiteering at its
most naked.
I hear all the time from
people who complain that itÕs naive to wonder why we put Wall Street executives
in charge of policing Wall Street — that this is actually quite a
sensible policy, because we need people with experience in that world making
these decisions.
The reason people
say this has nothing to do with reality and everything to do with the fact that
the financial markets are intimidatingly complex. When Enron buys a seat at the
table to conduct energy policy under the Bush administration, everyone knows
what that is. When Reagan hires notorious union busters to run the National
Labor Relations Board, everyone knows what that is. And when we hire investment
bankers to run banking policy, and put investment bankers in charge of handing
out bailout money to investment banks, we ought to know what that is. But for
some reason we donÕt seem to see it the same way, not as clearly.
In my mind this officially
ends the Obama honeymoon. I can maybe see one or two of these creeps in key
positions. But this many — itÕs an undeniable pattern. He put William
Lynn, a former Raytheon lobbyist, in the Pentagon as deputy defense secretary.
A lot of people squawked about ObamaÕs early lean toward John Brennan as CIA
director because of his role in establishing the Òenhanced interrogationÓ
policies, but to me more significant was the fact that Brennan was the former
chairman of the Intelligence and National Security Alliance, which is sort of
like the chamber of commerce of intelligence contractors.
Most importantly,
IÕm sensing in these economic appointments a kind of drearily cynical parsing
of the approval-ratings situation — Obama knows heÕs still flying high
with the ÒYes We Can!Ó T-shirt crowd and knows that most people simply are not
going to give a shit if he packs his Treasury Department with Goldman alums and
lobbyists, despite the fact that he explicitly promised to do otherwise.
This is a smoking gun,
clearly, of Goldman Sachs taking over the American government. But getting back to Lawrence H. Summers,
one of President Obama's top economic advisers. Summers was paid $135,000 by Goldman
Sachs for a one-day visit: a seminar?
A conference? ThatÕs a pretty nice salary. Annualized, that comes out to about $35
million. Of course, that was
GoldmanÕs way of saying ÔthereÕs more of that to come where you leave
government also, if you continue to play ball with usÕ. Well of course Larry would play
ball. That was why he was there, in
Washington: to play ball. To get
rich. WasnÕt that what life was
about. Bernie Madoff thought that
was what life was about.
One more thing to say about
the ÒCommittee to Save the PlanetÓ: they are all Jewish. Greenspan, Rubin, Summers are all
Jewish. Bernanke is Jewish. Blankfein is Jewish. Neil Kashkari, the DevilÕs Apprentice
bagman is Jewish. Madoff is
Jewish. Thank God Paulson and
Geithner and Obama are not Jewish, or we would have to wonder what is really
going on here.
The Jews occupy a very noteworthy
position in the EarthÕs system of evolution. The Jews know about the 36-year cycle,
divided into Days and Nights of 18-years respectively. The Jew is in the center of the Wheel of
Time. The Jew is hated by the
right-wing because ÔAll Jews are MarxistsÓ; the Jew is hated by the left-wing
because ÒAll Jews are CapitalistsÓ.
In truth, all Jews are nothing.
There is no such thing as Ôall JewsÕ.
Jews are complicated, and mixed up
like the rest of us, driven by forces of Day and Night to excel and to regret
sins committed in the pursuit of excellence – which is another way of
saying the Ôfall into temptationÕ.
The Soul is tempted by the Devil to accept power over the Earth, power,
sexual pleasure, wealth, self-indulgent self-worship. We are all tempted by this. That is what Life is about: a testing
ground for loyalties to values high and selfless and values low and
selfish. We love the Earth and hate
and distrust Heaven; then we love Heaven and hat and distrust the Earth. That is the mechanism created for our
circulation, like blood, through the body of this complex world, within which
we move and live and have our being.
We, too, all have existences as both Day and Night.
For every Jew working for the Devil,
there is a Jew working for God.
Things get complicated because one is not always sure which mountain he
is climbing: the real mountain in the Air, or the reflected mountain in the
Water. Or is it the real mountain
in the Water, and the reflected mountain in the Air? The way we see the world depends upon
the element we inhabit, and how comfortable we are in that element. Illusions abound in this journey through
life. What is good and what is
bad? What is temptation and what is
reward?
Goldman Sachs does appear from this
point of perception at about 7:00 PM American Time-Cycle Time in the water
(going down) to be a cabal of conspirators working for the Devil, seeking to
steal America blind, and destroy democracy in order to install a plutocracy in
power in America. That is the
appearance here. Goldman Sachs is
not Ôthe JewÕ however. Matt Taibbi,
self-appointed enemy of Goldman Sachs, is also Jewish. There are Jews and Gentiles, Protestants
and Catholics, Mormons and Buddhists, on both sides of the wheel, condemning
each other, and also condemning themselves. The shadows they are condemning will be
themselves as the Wheel of Time keeps revolving.
Of all people, Jews should be aware of
the esoteric wisdom contained in the saying; ÒThe Lord gives and the Lord also
takes away.Ó The Lord gives power
through the awarding of the covenant of life; but the Lord also takes away when
the Son is sent by the Father to the Earth to re-voke the covenant, to judge
and to condemn. Jesus came to Earth
to cast the money-changers out of the Temple – to revoke the Day-Cycle
theology that God rewards his chosen people by making them rich. The Son comes to Earth to remind those
who have been worshipping the Golden Calf that the Devil rewards his chosen
people by making them rich; God does not do this.
I will talk more about
Israel and the Old Testament and the covenant with God and the Ôchosen peopleÕ
status later in the book, when I reflect on the Night-CycleÕs elements of
rebirth.
I donÕt want Neo-Nazis pointing to the
this book as a confirmation of the Protocols
of the Elders of Zion. However,
I do want Goldman Sachs – and their web of ÔSatanicÕ power influences
– to understand that the sins they are now committing by doing ÔGodÕs
workÕ (GodÕs work in the mirror is SatanÕs work) will require Karmic penance
when the Time-Wheel reveals how ÔGodÕs workÕ also has a profound shadow negating
and judging the work they thought was GodÕs work.
This paragraph is not addressed to the Jewish cabal in Goldman Sachs only, but to all
the White Anglo-Saxon Protestants (and the other groups, black and white and
in-between) whose greed and the power that this greed (and other forms of
hunger) bestows upon them seems remarkably like Satanic worship when viewed
from the light of the shadow, from the perspective below the equator, looking
up. We remember that the Nazis were
convinced of their own divinity.
ManÕs sense of his divinity, when it becomes a personal directive to
absolute power, appears and possesses the human soul right before the man
begins his fall from grace.
Crimes against humanity – and
stealing money from the worldÕs poor is a
crime against humanity – and undermining a democracy in order to gain
more control over the political processes that lead to more personal power is
also a crime against humanity – waging war in the world in order to
expand business opportunities for oneself also – these crimes are not
forgotten.
The 1960s and 70s Counter Culture wars
against the Establishment will come again if the Establishment continues to
pursue willful, selfish goals in an isolated context of Ôwhat I wantÕ and
Ônothing can stop me from reaching my dreamsÕ. The human being is born with a strong
Ego. The Ego is actually a war
against Death, a war for survival.
As long as the Ego views himself as alone against the world, struggling
for survival in a dog-eat-dog world, where Ôonly the strong (and the self-centered)
surviveÕ, then we will continue to be savages fighting for a dwindling piece of
meat.
The I-centered world (eye-centered
world) runs from Death, is motivated in its deepest parts, by a fear of Death,
a fear of Darkness, a fear of poverty and powerlessness, a fear of being small
again. If Death is not feared, then
many of the crimes against humanity that are the legacy of this fear of Death,
vanish. If Alan Greenspan had
simply begun to raise interest rates after the 2000 Nasdaq bubble crashed, then
all the crimes and sins committed after 2001 would not have happened –
and we would not be mired in the worst depression the world has ever seen, only
half way through but still not comprehending what we must do to resolve the
imbalances of our natures which is causing so much stress and chaos on the
Earth.
Bankers had always been
known in America to be conservative and careful with money. They had dressed and acted the
part. Bankers were boring; but that
was a good thing. One could trust
them with his money. Bankers didnÕt
have enough imagination to be criminal or even dangerous. But that era was over apparently. Fast money, big money, was now
motivating the banking sector. They
were dressing in Italian suits now, driving Italian cars, taking dope and
living large.
BankerÕs had a new anthem – not ItÕs A Wonderful Life any longer, but Bonfire of the Vanities and American Psycho. I am a Master of the Universe: ÔHear me
roar!Õ
America had a new anthem too: the new
heroes of the age were Ôrisk-takersÕ, entrepreneurs, speculators: those who
dared. Anthony Robins, the giant
self-image salesman, could teach anyone how to make millions off of nothing but
a ÔconceptÕ – image-worship.
Just copy successful people in their life-styles, how they act, how they
walk, what they eat, how they respond to certain challenges or certain
stimulus. Get rid of yourself:
mimic the surface conditions of someone elseÕs life. But, by all means, live on the surface:
afterall, the good life was like a magazine: flat, glossy, and manicured:
plastic. Anthony Robins was the
physical manifestation of the Nasdaq Internet Bubble: attractive idea, style,
style, style, and no substance; completely emptyÉ. That was what Americans
needed to become too. Hollywood had
sold them that image for nearly a century.
Good surface living.
Life was like a new suburban housing development: new and shiny; rich
and super-cool.
John Kenneth Galbraith
understood this change: ÒSpeculation on a large scale requires a pervasive sense
of confidence and optimism and conviction that ordinary people were meant to be
rich . . . Such a feeling of trust is essential for a boom. When people are
cautious, questioning, misanthropic, suspicious, or mean, they are immune to
speculative enthusiasms.Ó
America had come
to deify the con-men, the fake fast-talking ÔdeveloperÕ, the shallow procurer
who was going to make everyone rich.
Nothing really mattered much in this world except Ôthe conÕ.
When the Nasdaq
gave out, Ôday-tradersÕ moved over to housing. And the banks quickly bent over, because
Ôit was all goodÕ: everyone was getting rich.
Suddenly – encouraged
by the Greenspan Fed and by the banking/real estate cartel that was taking over
America -- housing became the new gold mine, the next secondary pipeline for
wealth generation for AmericaÕs ÔunderpaidÕ workers, after the collapse of
stocks.
As housing prices began to appreciate
-- much more than the annual historical average of 2.5% -- and interest rates
continued to fall – Greenspan clearly loved playing the role of hero --
consumers rushed into the housing and housing refinance gold mine markets. Suddenly able to refinance existing
mortgages at lower rates, to borrow
against the equity of their homes, taking a stack of cash home with them to
spend as they wished, most Americans jumped in with both feet.
Stocks, in fact, would be negative
from 2001-2010: another negative return for the first leg of the Summer-Winter
Non-Growth contraction (Night-) cycle.
Of course, the housing bubble,
in most cases at least, increased American consumersÕ indebtedness. While some Americans did use cash gained
through refinancing to pay down existing mortgages and increase equity, or even
credit card debt, most needed this infusion of cash just to stay above water as
prices of goods and services continued to rise. As long as home prices continued to
soar, the system seemed fine.
Refinancing meant Americans could continue to draw on their increasing
real estate wealth. The housing
bubble generated a kind of ATM-machine phenomenon for Americans addicted to
shopping and to debt. As one rolled
over debt from one credit card to another, now American simply rolled over debt
from one mortgage to the next, believing, all the time that the wonderful,
thrilling debt roller-coaster ride would never come to an end.
Some Americans also used refi cash to
buy second or even second and third houses, since loans were becoming now much
easier to get; exotic loans that required no money down and even, in some case,
no proof of income, were created by the banks to sustain this debt bubble as
long as was possible. In a crazy
red-hot upside housing market, homes could be flipped like pancakes for profits
even when one could not afford the mortgage payments for the new houses for
more than a couple months.
Other Americans, some of whow knew they could not afford a house, were
now being told that they could qualify for a home-loan. There were now new mortgages designed
for people who had no money and would never be able to pay off their
investments – hereÕs the money; better take it while you can.
Housing truly became a kind
of commodities market too, reminiscent of the Dot Com Nasdaq market, wherein
internet companies with an idea and three partners and no employees and no
office and no real product (but with a Ôgreat ideaÕ and a web-page) suddenly
became worth billions in market value over night.
Day-trading was transferred from the
stock to the housing markets.
The focus was on fast trades: getting
in and getting out, and riding the dragon up the mountain.
He who hesitated was lost.
Last one in was a dirty bugger.
Madness. Yes, the Night-Cycle is about madness, about the eperience of
madness.
Madness in stock market, housing
market, and commodity market appreciation; and then the depreciations that
followed. Madness in politics;
madness in love; madness in religion.
Someone close to one always dies in
the Night-Cycle also, as a reminder that objects and objective inflations of
fantasy and ecstacy are finite.
DeathÕs gravity is also there, waiting to pull the world back down to
the Earth.
Classical literature always referred
to the lunar madness of these Night-Cycles – literature overflowed with
this understanding. This phenomenon
certainly was not a new.
ÒItÕs different this timeÕ Wall Street
innovators understood. They
preached the new religion. ÔIt is
different this time. ItÕs all good – this time.Ó
This growing paper wealth
for most Americans was being fueled by a dubious policy of serial bubble-creation
that cheapened real money and turned millions of Americans (and world citizens
as well) into debt-slaves and credit-junkies. The Housing Bubble was a global
phenomenon, as world banks, trying to keep up with dauntingly successful
American bankers and bank policies, had to either get on board or get out of
the way. Most got on board, the
lure being the fabulous wealth promised for the bankers themselves, glory, and
glamor. Temptation is a
sultry dragon; and it was time to feed the beast again. HadnÕt Gordon Gecko said it: ÒGreed is
good; greed works?Ó
The dogma of unlimited growth and
unlimited wealth was being bruited about by the same bankers and financiers and
entrepreneurs and legendary Wall Street Ôrisk-takersÕ – and Fed Chairmen
and Treasury Secretaries and U.S. Presidents -- who were laying the groundwork
for the destruction of America and Europe, and all the other ÔemergingÕ nations
of the world that could not wait to jump on this miraculous bandwagon of
capitalism.
Everyone was getting
rich. This was a ÔJust Do ItÕ
generation. ÒItÕs all goodÓ –
that was the motto of the era.
Charts of debt accumulation by
American consumers, however, show pretty clearly that the ÔphantomÕ inflation of
prices was fastly, vastly accumulating on AmericanÕs credit card accounts.
Strategies to Cope with (Nonexistent) Inflation
Another way in which
Americans sought to keep up with accelerating costs of living was to have both
adults/parents working. Of course,
womenÕs liberation doctrine called upon women to pursue careers in the real
world and diminished the role of women as home-makers and child-rearers. But most Americans were not influenced
by this radical ideology of gender equality as much as they were simply by the
desire for more and more money. And
most Americans – especially traditional Americans raising a family --
were influenced by the need for two
incomes to try to keep up with escalating prices.
There was, of course, a dramatic and negative
reaction in the life of the society to this ÔcareerizingÕ of the American
family. Divorce became the norm,
drug-use accelerated; delinquency became pandemic.
Many readers will argue that
America is the greatest country in the world, the richest, the freest. Yes. But something was wrong in America, and
still is wrong. We are still
building prisons at a rapid (inflationary) rate. The number of incarcerated Americans has
increased 960% since 1950. Two in
three marriages fail.
In our greatest symbol of moral
bankruptcy of this age, our children began taking guns to grade schools and
high schools and colleges and shooting fellow students and teachers
indiscriminately.
Life must be about more than just
making money, just participating in the Gold Rush. Money was flowing; but not everything
was right in America.
More cheerleading of America
by lords of the financial press – whose livelihood depends upon Americans
throwing money after bubbles -- more honoring of the worldÕs Donald Trumps as
exemplary heroes and role models (and the many other entrepreneurs and
fast-talkers and shysters and Ôrisk-takersÕ), and more Ôkeep government off the
backs of businessÕ slogans, bumper-stickers, and philosophies of life -- will not address AmericaÕs real social
decline, and the declne of the American family. Much of this decline comes from the
inflation of costs of goods and services in the American economy, bubbles
created by the positivist ilk like Misters Greenspan and Bernanke and the
implicit misconception that the American Dream is only about making money. Our values are skewered. Greed has become a virtue. Worldly success has become a test of
oneÕs will to be self-centered enough and cruel and cold enough (resolute is a
better word, I guess; ambitious is another good word) to be a ÔwinnerÕ, to be
ÔNumber OneÕ.
When I grew up – I was born and
raised in a small town in Wyoming and educated early in a Catholic school --
greed, worldy success, worldly pleasures, and worldly power were temptations of
Man by a Devil, temptations that the man needed to resist or somehow
spiritually neutralize. By
implication, being a ÔwinnerÕ apparently involved a kind of spiritual contract
with the devil, something that would cost a man (and, by inference, a society that
worshipped the values of such worldly ÔwinnersÕ) his (and their) soul, after
all the glory began to evaporate.
Who is the God and who is the Devil?
Today, in our ÔmodernÕ
existence, these values as Ôworld-conquerorsÕ are considered virtues, positive
goals, attributes and dreams to be achieved. To be a ÔloserÕ in the ÔrealÕ physical
world was a high virtue to the medieval religious mind indicating a Soul that
had defeated temptation, a Saint, a man of faith and honor and truth; but such
a triumph was now transformed into a horrible shame, for an individual and for
his family. Being a ÔstarÕ meant
being in the spotlight, having a ÔrealÕ life. Being rich, famous, powerful in the
world of men: this was everyoneÕs highest ambition. In fact, many Americans would do almost
anything, commit crimes, sell oneÕs soul even, in order to be admired by the
world as being a winner, as being ÔNumber OneÕ.
A subtle change also happened to
religion. The medieval view that
the Devil ran the Earth, and God ran Heaven – that worldly success
implied a contract with the Devil – was twisted into a modern view: being
rich and famous and successful and glamorous was now a sign that God was
pleased with one, that God wanted one to be rich and famous and perhaps even
ruthless in business and perhaps even capable of a selfish, God-like
will-to-power, will-to-glory. Now,
suddenly, God rewarded Man for his
selfish devotion to himself, to his dreams, to his single-minded
exceptionalism, and his disregard for spiritual ideals, which were illusions
meant for the minds of children, the Ôdream worldÕ.
The beast is subtle, we had been
warned.
ÒNo guts no gloryÓ we had also been
warned. This was a Modern
warning. But what was glory
anyway? Was glory the HeroÕs path;
or was glory the ultimate vanity that led one straight into hell, the hell of
utter loneliness and loss? Or was
it both?
Jesus Christ, clearly, the
man who fell to Earth 2,000 years ago, the Son of God, would be a ÔloserÕ in
todayÕs lexicon, a bum, a failure, the chaff, who deserved no respect and
clearly had no self-respect – where was his will, his self-respect, his
entrepreneurial spirit? If he was
really the Son of God Jesus would be as rich as Croesus, wouldnÕt he?
In the language of the Old
World, America had been dancing with the Devil, whereas we were convincing
ourselves that we were actually been basking in GodÕ blessings. Everyone in the world wanted to live the
American Dream, the American lifestyle of money, power, and glamour –
didnÕt they?
Hollywood. Living in a magazine. Life was beautiful and glossy in the
magazines. Successful people
clearly wanted to live a life that was beautiful and glossy.
The Devil, in this modern view, became
the social ÔloserÕ, the Shadow who
fails, who does not work hard enough, who is not selfish enough, who is not
ambitious for worldly power.
Dark-skinned, lazy, artistic, unmotivated, the one who could not master
life, who used drugs, who liked sex too much (or didnÕt like sex at all), who
did not pursue social responsibility and did not trust marriage, family,
religion or government.
The Devil was essentially the
anti-Hero. The loner. The romantic – he who did not
trust or enjoy the company and share the values of other humans – humans
whom the loner viewed as having small lives, small ambitions, small
perceptions, who were materialistic and lacked real vision, were mesmerized by
images, the unreal world, and by small victories, and by trying to please those
in the external world, the world of phantoms, the ever-changing world where
nothing endured. The world of
eternal values was not the same as the world of disappearing and changing
values. The world of eternal values
was GodÕs world.
God was found within, not without, not
in the world of Man, not in the world of changing styles and changing creeds
and fashions. That was the DevilÕs
abode.
One can see, through this
mirror-image opposition, how incarnantion reverses oneÕs perspective of virtue,
making selfishness, moral isolation, greed, criminal activity to achieve a
singular purpose (wealth, fame and power), a virtue, a pursuit of God-like
power. Desire for God-like
influence, God-like wealth, was our primary driver, the fuel of our Will that
we used to achieve something great (something admired by the entire society,
and by the world).
Expansion and morality do not always
move in the same direction apparently.
Expansion and Soul-Awareness are often adversaries, in fact. ThatÕs why the Night-Cycles are built
into this process, so that the Soul is not forgotten for ever – so that
the Soul is not lost for ever. The
Soul is what soothes and saves the fragmented Day-Cycle mentality when this
umbalanced force falls into the horrifying Night-Cycle chaos that is always
accompanied by a profound loss of identity as the controlling Day-Cycle
mentality breaks and comes apart at the seams, breaking into small magnified
pieces.
Of course, this
ÔdisagreementÕ in moral values and spirituality is the guiding force and
mechanism of the duality that makes of Day-Cycle adherents the mortal
adversaries of the Night-Cycle adherents.
One theology builds the world; the other theology dismantles the world
because it is corrupt and built by Man, apparently in opposition to GodÕs plan.
Living the Lie of Material Success
Loans, second and third
jobs, refinancing of mortgages, dependence upon an inflated stock market gains,
credit card abuseÉ.these all helped to create a consumer who was over-extended
(over-expanded) and susceptible to bankruptcy should any of these expanding
currents of equity dry up suddenly.
And that is what happened in 2008.
Now, it seems, every current of emergency, Õsecondary incomeÕ had begun
to dry up at the same time.
With the saving rate at historic lows,
most Americans are one or two paychecks away from bankruptcy and a life on the
streets as a homeless non-statistic.
ÒServes them rightÓ, the rigid, fixed
Day-Cycler will say. ÒIf they donÕt
know how to live, they should be swept away. The government shouldnÕt save them from their
folly. ThatÕs evolution. Survival of the fittest, and all.Ó Yes, as long as the speaker is really
certain that he is on the right side of this fitness that is. But that is never so certain. Many of the same people who voted for
Reagan and Bush also voted for Obama.
They were certain they were going to be millionaires; then, suddenly, in
2007, they were just as certain they were going to be impoverished.
But there was welfare for the banks
and for General Motors, Ford, AIG, when they fell – and Goldman Sachs
– AIG seems to have been at the top of the list of bail-out targets since
they owed s significant amount of money to Mr. Blankfein and Goldman
Sachs. Apparently AIG ws doing
ÔGodÕs workÕ also.
Big Money seems to have no
problem with corporate welfare.
They just donÕt like private welfare more some morally elevated
reason. They donÕt want other
people being helped. They just want
Ôproducers of wealthÕ – the Masters of the Universe themselves --to be
helped back up if they fall down from the sky.
If my research is correct, all men
fall from the sky. That is part of
ManÕs job description: to swim, to fly, and to fall from the sky.
Republicans make icons to
the concepts of individualism, traditional religion and nationalist
patriotism. Democrats sing the
praise of the so-called international community, fairness and equality. To Republicans, the ideal of Globalism
– and we should not forget this – was and is tied to the goal, in
America if less-so than in Europe, of controlling business costs by driving
down Big LaborÕs wage demands – that is, by destroying the power of
American labor unions.
ÔGlobalismÕ was a positive-spin-word
for maximizing profits by exporting high-wage jobs to third-world countries,
first Mexico and South America, and then to Asia, transforming these high-wage
ÔAmericanÕ jobs to low-wage Ôemerging-marketÕ jobs, without benefits, reducing
costs for the corporations and increasing their profit margin. Higher profit margin meant higher stock
prices (and more valuable stock options for company offiers) and also meant
higher bonuses for company managers as a sign of Ôjob-well-doneÕ at the end of
the fiscal year.
The corollary piece of this
puzzle was to maintain the First-WorldÕs role as primary global consumer of
manufactured goods. But how could
Americans and other First-Worlders continue to buy mostly-unnecessary consumer
goods if their own salaries and wages were decreasing? That was a problem.
Debt was the answer. Easy debt. Hell, it didnÕt really matter
if Americans defaulted on their debts, as long as they continued to buy
mass-produced consumer products. If
borrowers defaulted on loans, that was someone elseÕs problems. Maybe the banks could get the government
to bail the banks out if defaults threatened the existence of the banks. That was someone elseÕs problem.
Big Money began to focus on ways to
neutralize bad debt. If bad debt
could be bundled with good debt in the right ratio, then the good debt might
balance the bad debt, thus, neutralizing it. Investors could buy securities that
essentially did this – like buying a neutralizing-risk bond, which
carried a value that was somehow greater than the sum of its parts. There would probably be a Nobel Prize
waiting for some ingenious student who could develop the formula that balanced
solvency against insolvency in a profitable admixture, turning toxic garbage
debt into a silk purse – talk about your alchemy.
The modern Western consumer
was moving toward a condition of credit serfdom, in a modern, plastic context,
at a very rapid rate. Someone would
fix this so that everything would work out fine. The First World standard of living would
not be affected by this new system of borrow and spend and forget about
solvency. No one really seemed to
think that debt was dangerous.
Nobel Prizes had been given out to economists who claimed that debt did
not matter. Spend, spend, spend: it
was good for society to give up the concept of self-restraint. Self-restraint would impoverish the
world. Self-restraint was an
understanding of borders, or limitations – self-restraint was ruining the
world in an economic sense.
The words discipline,
self-denial, restraint were being deleted from the vocabulary.
Saying ÔnoÕ to oneself was apparently a
form of madness; no one wanted to be the killjoy, or the nerd, who rained on
the ÔItÕs All GoodÕ Parade. DonÕt
remind us that we are sinking into monetary quicksand. Self-indulgence was best. Financial quicksand was not real
anyway. Financial quicksand was an
illusion.
ÒIt was all good.Ó
Greed was good too. HadnÕt Gordon Gecko said it was? And wasnÕt Gordon Gecko a real hero, a
real high priest, of the ÔItÕs All GoodÕ era?\
Greed works. Greed is good.
As long as matter kept
expanding, the future would be bright – expanding matter and a bright
future were always connected; perhaps they were the same thing. Perhaps expanding matter created
light. Now there was a concept.
Everything would be fine. In fact, wouldnÕt matter always expand? Modern physics had its proponents of
this understanding, claiming that the universe expanded for ever. If Greenspan and Bernanke had studied
astro-physics instead of Economics, they would probably have been part of the
Ôever-expandingÕ school of thought.
Would the universe just keep
expanding, for ever? Well, maybe
not.
Matter expands until its density, and
the gravity created by this density, becomes so great that it can no longer
hold the expansion (the force of out-breathing reaches its maximum strength and
extention at the perimeter), implodes, collapses back in on itself, and begins
contracting, destroying matter as it recedes, drawn ever-closer to the black
hole horizon, in which black hole anti-matter waits to destroy matter on
contact –as the bubble returns to zero, the seed, pure condensed energy.
No one wanted to hear about the
dangers of the housing bubble. No
one wants to hear that the universe is both expanding and contracting, at the same time, either.
Many writers, in truth, were writing
about the Housing Bubble and the dangers it posed for the global economy. Alan Greenspan couldnÕt see it –
but hundreds of writers in the world could see it, and many were warning the
world of the dangers, this as early as 2004.
But these writers were dark,
complainers, losers; they tended to focus on the negative side of things,
always seeing the ÔproblemsÕ, never the ÔsolutionsÕ. Everyone was getting rich. There was nothing to worry about. Things were just going to get better and
brighter all the time – you could ask anyone. Ask Alan Greenspan. This time things were different. Alan Greenspan was even encouraging Americans
holding AAA mortgages to junk those restrictive mortgages and jump on-board the
sub-prime market to get more out of their mortgages and ride the new sporty,
modern mortgages that were changing the world and saving ordinary Americans
millions of dollars.
Everything was just going to get
better and brighter.
Of course, when something sounds too
good to be true, it usually is.
And, some times, whatÕs good
for business is not good for
America.
The Ôfree-marketÕ idea, which had
dominated the American political landscape since 1983 or so, has apparently
finally run its course. We are
beginning to see the underside of this doctrine, the shadow-side, the ÔsinÕ
side. The Ôfree-marketÕ system is
very good for the owners of the world – for Big Business – but it
is not always so good for the rest of us.
Sometimes what was good for Big
Business is also not good for citizens of the world. Walmart – the favorite liberal
whipping boy – the ÔsocialistsÕ, who are the favorite whipping boy of the
conservative Repuglican -- has a dismal record all over the world for abusing
its workers through low wages and insubstantial or no benefits. In China, Honduras, Sri Lanka, and other
countries, workers are required to work long hours (8AM to 10PM), 7 days a
week, 365 days a year for less than $3 a day. A toy that Americans can buy at a U.S.
Walmart store costs $14.96 but costs Walmart only 18 cents to manufacture,
because of its mistreatment of workers in China.
Business that looks the other way when
workers are misused, abused, cheated or used and thrown away is unethical and
should be criminal. Business that
shows no legitimate concern for the quality of the environment which they use
and abuse for their own profit, leaving behind Ôtoxic debtÕ (debt in the karmic
sense of the word) for all life on Earth to absorb and be disfigured and
destroyed by, is criminal and soulless.
Business that puts profits above every
other concern is immoral. They are
also un-Christian.
Are Modern Americans, Modern Capitalists, Really More Roman Than They
Are Christians?
I emphasize the word
Ôun-ChristianÕ because – and this is my belief, not the results of scientific
investigation -- the vast majority of American business leaders who consider
themselves ÔChristiansÕ also see wealth as a sign of GodÕs blessing, Gods
rewards humans with money, power, comfort, and pleasure for a life lived well,
within the moral constraints prescribed by Christian theology. The majority of these rich Christians
also (I am surmising again) feel all is fair in business warfare, including the
skewering of potential or real business competitors, the underpaying of their
own workers – the Walton Family is probably ÔChristianÕ also – and
probably subscribe to the business world-view of Ôdog-eat-dogÕ and Ôanything
goes in love, war and commercial advantageÕ. But these ideas are decidedly not the ideas, the substance of the
philosophy, preached by the founder of Christianity, Jesus Christ.
In fact, the conservative Christian
right, which seems to share an abhorrence of government assistance for poor
citizens, health-care as a right guaranteed by the American government, and
seems to embrace the ideas of a racial and/or a national exceptionalism, are
not following the doctrines of Jesus Christ; they are following more closely
the doctrines of the Old Testament, the religious system that Jesus was trying
to reform, and the religious power structure that arranged for the Romans to
murder the dangerous, radical ÔprophetÕ.
Prophets seek to overthrow the system,
seek to pull the Sun down out of the sky, and cast a people, a society, into
the world below, through the gaping gates of Hell. Prophets endanger the comfortable life
of the people in power. Prophets
predict disaster for the society, a disaster that the society deserves –
according to these prophets, who act out of allegiance to GodÕs commands --
because the society has forgotten God, has embraced the Golden Calf and has
forgotten the reaal religion of the Soul, the religion of the Son. Prophets appear and inform common
citizens that God is angry because of the current state of affairs. Prophets are often killed by the
conservative orthodox religious adherents – the Day-Cycle principle
clinging to its own prerogative – indeed, the world has been good to them
– because the prophets are dark anti-heroes condemning the decent people,
the heavenly creatures, to a term of imprisonment in the lightless Winter World
– the Night-Cycle. The
prophets are leading the society into and, ultimately, beyond the Gates of
Hell. The prophets ultimately get the
society through the Night-Cycles – because only the prophets can see
clearly in the Night-Cycle – prophets (remember Moses) do not go on to
the New Eden with their followers.
There is no place for them in the Day-Cycle world – but they are
the saviors of the race when the light falls and blindness settles on all.
I will spend a lot of time later in
this book on the nature of the Prophet as an embodiment of the Darkness (as a
mask worn at Night by the gods).
The fact that profits and prophets are connected by sound is also
something that we will examine a bit – words that sound alike are alike, reflect one another, as the
Night-Cycle also reflects the Day-Cycle.
In fact, right wing conservative
Christians should not rightly call themselves Christians, but perhaps
Jehovites, or Fundamentalist Anti-Christians. They are more like the Romans who killed
Jesus Christ than they are like Jesus Christ.
The fact that Jesus Christ died
attempting to reform traditional Judaism – as I have suggested, he was
GodÕs ÔprophetÕ killed by Judaic fundamentalists (a murder carried out for
political reasons by the Romans who wanted peace in their colony) defending the
Old Testament ÔFatherlandÕ against Ôthe Romantic SonÕsÕ rebellion and attempted
reformation of the corrupted (practical) Old Religon – seems to suggest
that the disposition of the conservative Christians toward a hard judgment
against fellow humans and a fanatical defense of tradition and the status quo
(read: their own advantage and power, whether real or only imagined) suggests
they would probably oppose the philosophy of Jesus Christ today were he to
return to Earth espousing views similar to those who pronounced two thousand
years ago in Israel.
They would probably be the ones to
drive in the nails.
Right-wing Christians are
more Paulians, in fact, followers of the Apostle Paul, than they are followers
of Jesus Christ. Christ preached
tolerance, generosity, love, peace – Jesus was a loser, poor, humbled,
despised by those in power. Jesus
was a non-political socialist in fact -- in todayÕs vocabulary, a humanist
– a Night-Cycle personality: prophet, priest, poet and lover. Jesus was an Anti-hero who did not
marry, as far as we know – although there are stories about Jesus and
Mary Magdelaine being lovers -- did not have children, spent most of his time
with prostitutes, thieves, degenerates, the worldÕs afflicted, clearly did not
hang out on Wall Street, having power-lunches with the Big Boys; Jesus was more
comfortable with the ÔlosersÕ of the world than he would have been with the
worldÕs ÔwinnersÕ, the power brokers, the bankers, the politicians, the lawyers
and the empire-builders.
Jesus was cruficied by Day-Cycle
adherents, fascist followers of the state, of order, of law, of rigid,
literalist religious doctrine..
Fear of the Darkness drives the Day-Cycle because the Darkkness does
make an attempt to murder the Light during the depths of the Night-Cycle
(remember Herod and Jesus?) I will
show this later in the book through my own experience in 1983. The spirit of conquest drives the
Day-Cycle mentality, at least partially, because of this fear that the Darkness
is criminal and dangerous and wants to destroy the life of the Light. Which it does -- and does not -- another
half-truth in fact.
Now, I donÕt judge these
parts of our natures -- the
Renaissance ÔBuilders of the WorldÕ nor the Romantic ÔDestroyers of the WorldÕ
– I try not to judge them. I
am both Paulian and Chrsitian too – both Julius Caesar and Jesus Christ
-- both (Old Testament) Jew and
(New Testament) Christian.
In truth, I am a Roman by Day and a Christian by Night. An amoralist worshiper of the Will by
Day; and a defender of the Soul, a defender of the power of Love, by Night
– as we all are: as every one of us is: we play all the roles in the calendar of Life; but Time divides us in to one
role, at any given time, against another, against our self.
All violence, in a very real sense, is
violence against our selves. This
is the Judgment Seat.
All kindness, is also, essentially, a
forgiving of oneself, a generosity toward oneÕs self. This is the Mercy Seat.
The Day-Cycle is the Judgment Seat;
the Night-Cycle is the Mercy Seat.
Judgment Seat (Day-Cycle) and Mercy Seat (Night-Cycle)
It is my view that all
humans have dual natures, Day-sides and Night-sides, and ÔbecomeÕ each side
during different periods of their lives.
For some this transition is very subtle – times they are on the
ÔfathersÕ side in defending their own traditions, their nation, their family,
alienated from modernity and from too much ÔfeminineÕ understanding – at
other times they oppose the old ways, find traditional narrowness suffocating
and archaic, and too literal, inhibitors of imaginative living and freedom of
expression. In the Jewish mystical
terminology, sometimes they sit in the ÔJudgment SeatÕ, and sometimes they sit
in the ÔMercy SeatÕ, the right and left paths that interweave with the Central
Pillar of the Tree of Life.
Jewish mysticism has given
us a picture of the Day-Cycle and Night-Cycle Principles, in their diagram of
the Tree of Life. A more modern
version of the Tree of Life (as a subway map) is also included. Greburah,
Strength (or Judgment) is on the Right-Hand Path (or the Left-Hand Path,
depending on oneÕs perspective); and Chesed,
Mercy, is on the Left-Hand Path (or is it the Right-Hand Path?). Note: there is a right-hand path, a
left-hand path, and a central path that synthesizes the two extremes. Tiphereth,
the Principle of Beauty (or Balance) is situated in the Middle of the Tree of
Life, surrounded and protected by Judgment, Mercy, Splendor and Victory –
these four being, in one sense, the Four Guardian Angels protecting the Ark of
the Covenant, the Tabernacle or Holy of Holies of the Temple.
Tiphereth is the seat of Michael the
Archangel. Michael the Archangel
(ÔHe Who Is Like GodÕ) is to the World of Angels what Jehovah is to the world
of the Gods, the Elohim – unified, impregnable. I will make the argumentlater in this
book that Michael the Archangel is Jesus Christ in Heaven as Jesus Christ is
Michael the Archangel when on the Earth – that these are, in fact, the
two sides of the nature of the God/Man Jesus Christ.
Kabbalistic doctrine and mystical
religious understanding (Wisdom/Chochmah) the left-hand path, the same side as
Mercy, is very much a reality of the Night-Cycle, as Understanding (Practical
Understanding, Binah) and Judgment are principles guiding the Day-Cycle.
The Crown/Kether, of course, is the
summit of the mountain – but the Day-Cycle and the Night-Cycle will not
agree on whether this mountain is the apex of the Day or the apex of the
Night. This is very much as we
could expect it to be.
One should clearly view
these diagrams in the same spirit (with similar and different, and additional, meanings)
as the diagrams I have generated of the Trees of Life (Day-Cycle and Knowledge
(Night-Cycle) – the first, rising into Life, the second falling into
Decay, Death and Re-Generation.
The Mental Division of the World Into Good and Evil is the Basis of
Mental Illness.
As I have suggested, most
humans defend one side of this dual nature almost exclusively – which
they consider their ÔrealÕ nature, the ÔrealÕ world part of themselves –
in a fixed attachment to the self-image with which they are most comfortable,
or of which they are less fearful -- and they repress the other side. They attempt to repress Ôthe other sideÕ
politically; and they attempt to repress Ôthe other sideÕ of their own nature,
the sinful side, the weak side, weak physically or morally, the black side
(black with sin), the unsuccessful side, the criminal side, the shadow side,
the limp-wristed side, the artistic side, the ÔloserÕ side, the ÔbodyÕ side or
the ÔspiritÕ side.
There is a tendency to
repress the opposite – to keep the Ôdevil sideÕ locked up out of sight,
in the dungeon, where no one can see it -- but such repression is, in truth,
the cause of mental illness, and also the cause of social enmity, civil strife
(and family discomforts) as well as universal warfare.
Alienation from oneself as a whole
being – that is, the breaking of oneself up into competing parts, some
virtues, others vice, warring entities -- is
mental illness. Being ÔwholeÕ is, in fact, being sane -- the very fragmentation
of the whole nature into separate stations and isolated atoms is the psychosis. Such a state, of course, brings madness
in to the world.
Wholeness – a return
to our original whole nature, cyclical and circular –is the only cure to all modern forms of mental
illness. Exorcism is an ancient
ritual to attempt to weld the Time-fragmented psyche back into the whole jigsaw
puzzle again, which was the origin of life, and is also the destiny of life
– both the Past and the Future,
toward which and from which the Present is persistently traveling.
Madness is a spiritual problem and
must be cured by spiritual re-construction of this whole nature – ancient
and modern, masculine and feminine, scientific and religious, poetic and pragmatic
-- which is our strength and our eternal sanctuary.
The Medieval Adam, the First Man, the
Spring, the Renaissance Man, and the Medieval Second Adam, the Last Man, the
Autumn, the Romantic Man, are these complete beings, and are, themselves, the
Sanctuary, Tiphereth, the Center of
the Tree of Life, the Ark, where Noah, the Spirit, spends the Night, floating
on the Sea of Chaos, in the presence of Michael the Archangel, the Angel of the
Presence.
As I have suggested, each
man has a Day-Cycle nature, and a Night-Cycle nature. One side often dominates. Few men come to master the art of
balance or beauty. Incarnation is a
concept that denotes the loss of wholenss, the loss of balance, and the
polarized expression of allegiance to one side of this dual nature over the
other, and attempted suppression of the opposite.
I do not see the religious right as my adversary. They have a positive side –
although it is very hard to see this side (one needs to ÔrememberÕ this side
then when seeing the light is not possible) when one is living through a
Night-Cycle, on the dark half of the Earth.
Remember, the polarized man sees only
two of four moral dimensions: his own virtue, and his ÔadversariesÕ vice. In truth, the religious right has a
virtuous side, and I agree with them in many of their views. During the Night-Cycle, I see mostly
their intolerance, their lack of imagination, their fear, their small,
parochial world-view, their hysterical opposition to ideas of ÔsocialismÕ,
tribalism and naturalism – and fear of losing power to the dark forces
that inhabit the Night and gain power during the extended Night-Cycle periods.
I was born and raised, as I
have written, in a small town in southern Wyoming, Sinclair, and most of the
people with whom I grew up I could describe as being of the religious right
persuasion. These were among the
best people I have ever known. My
own father was a conservative politically, and the best man I have ever known
– my mother was a liberal Catholic democrat.
Sometimes, in my family, my father was
right; sometimes my mother was right.
The Earth is ruled by the Sun during the Day; and ruled by the Moon
during the Night. This is the ultimate
rational system, in fact: a sharing of power between the men and the women, between
the Day and the Night, the Sun and Moon, which is the basis of the ideals of
democracy: two poles of antagonistic perspectives agreeing to share power, understanding that the balance of power
and Life are, in fact, the same thing.
As Above, So Below
In the first part of this
book I am focusing on the principles of duality and, especially, the
philosophical system of Dualism, expansion and contraction, inflation and
deflation, heat and cold, Day and Night, and how these processes govern
history. This part is the
Macrocosm, the large systemic view.
In the second part of the book, I will
focus on my own experience as I lived through the last American Night Cycle,
1965-1983, and how these different stages of decline followed by growth, while
occurring in the society at large, also occur in the lives of the individual
cells or atoms that compose the society.
I intend to focus on my own manuscripts I wrote during these ÔagesÕ as
proof of the transition from Day into Night and then back into Day again.
I will focus on my own ascent from the
very bottom of the Night-Cycle (1983) – my resurrection in a skin that
became whiter and whiter as I climbed the mountain of Olympus – my skin
became darker and darker as I climbed down from the Solar Day Cycle from 1965
to 1983 -- toward the apex of white civilization, individuality, material
power, scientific reason, masculine hierarchy, which peaked, and then began
declining, in the year 2001.
I, too, was conservative and religious
in a more fundamental way during this Daylight climb out of Darkness.
I re-emphasize: I try not to
judge either side of the Day/Night equation – this is not always easy
obviously – it is hard not to judge oneself when one acts in a state of ignorance
(in possession of half-truths only) -- because I do understand that the Soul
experiences all of this movement – rising into White Fascist
totalitarianism and sinking into Black Marxist totalitarianism – and is
all things at once when Time is comprehended as a organic Whole, only separated
into half-truths when Time divides into trinitary parts, when the Whole
differentiates into component pieces for the sake of re-creation, at Dawn.
Inflation as ÔBodyÕ Growth of the Day-Cycle; Deflation as Body Dissolution,
and Return to OneÕs Roots During the Night-Cycle
I have suggested that we
adopt a new understanding of what inflation actually is. Inflation, in my view, is simply the
ÔgrowthÕ stage of any organism, during which time the Ôbody lifeÕ expands,
whether it be a universe, nation, individual, or economic system. The universe is a bubble; the nation is
an ego-bubble, as is the separate individual cell and a societyÕs economic
system.
The American government has been
adamantly claiming that there has been no ÔinflationÕ in America for
decades. These defenders of
statistical superpositioning refer to the CPI and PPI gauges, the Consumer
Price Index, and the Producer Price Index.
Of course they do not talk about the almost constant re-centering to these
gauges, along with regular seasonal and other readjustments, such as excluding
housing and energy from the statistical package, deleting the most volatile
streams of data, to ÔnormalizeÕ the output – ÔnormalizeÕ, in this case,
meaning, largely, to neutralize the data.
No one likes higher interest rates, especially politicians.
Scanning the news recently (I am
re-writing and polishing now in March 2011), I came across this internet
headline and an article written by Luca Di Leo:
US CORE INFLATION FALLS FIRST SINCE 1982
Consumer prices barely rose in January and core inflation fell for the
first time since the 1982 recession, leaving scope for the Federal Reserve to
keep supporting the economy with record-low interest rates.
The
seasonally adjusted consumer price index rose 0.2 per cent in January from the
previous month on the back of higher energy prices, the Labour Department said,
the same increase as in December 2009.
But
core consumer prices, which strip out volatile energy and food items and are
more closely watched by the Fed, fell by a monthly 0.1 per cent in
January. The last time core
consumer prices fell was in December 1982. Previous data had showed there was
month-to-month drop during October 2008. But the report Friday revised that decline
to a flat reading.
Was
deflation still winning, despite the government spending of trillions in
borrowed money to make sure it didnÕt win?
This is a different story, one we will
look at later.
The article above offers
essentially my own view of the inflation question – but not the same
conclusion the author adopts in the first paragraph. Actual growth-inflation of the economy,
after the last Night-Cycle (1965-1983) began the inflation or growth cycle
which ran from 1983-2001 and a bit beyond, since Greenspan/Bernanke spent money
like drunken sailors in an attempt to keep the inflation/expansion going.
Does this give the current Federal
Reserve ÔscopeÉto keep supporting the economy with record-low interest
ratesÕ? Well, it does it you are
not paying attention.
I am also not suggesting
that all expansions produce positive inflation and all deflations negative
inflation. That is the ideal. We have been led by Fed chairs with remarkable
lack of vision – and we have had Fed chairs mostly dumping extra money
into the system in an effort to stimulate during periods of rest.
If we follow the scheme I am
suggesting of inflating the monetary system during the Growth Cycle and
deflating the monetary system during the Contraction (No-Growth) Cycle, we will
have symmetrical seasons of inflation followed by seasons of deflation. Orderly. Well-controlled.
LetÕs Not Forget: Generally Speaking the Rich Get Rich By Cheating and
Stealing.
Generally speaking, the rich
get rich by cheating and stealing. We should not forget this.
Money is not the root of all evil; but
the love of money is the root of
all evil.
Bill Gates is one of the richest men
in the world; and he has given more than 50% of his wealth to charities. The Walton family (Walmart owners) are
perhaps the richest family in the world; and they have given less than 1% of
their wealth to charitable organizations.
This is their choice of course; and needs to continue to be their
choice.
However, governments can and do reward
companies for charitable actions, through tax benefits or other
considerations. Clearly, WalmartÕs
treatment of its workers should not be ignored by government regulators. Wage-slavery is not a corporate
right. The process of legislating
labor policy to enforce certain standards of decency that the socity at large
supports needs to be again recognized the most appropriate means of correcting
imbalances in the continuing Corporate/Labor dialogue.
A famous American shoe
company that makes a designer sneaker could export all production jobs to Asia,
pay relatively unskilled workers about $2.25 a day to manufacture these
sneakers, export the shoes back to American, European or Japanese markets for
pretty impressive profits. The
production cost per shoe might be $3 a pair in Vietnam (labor and material) and
might sell for $250.00 in First World markets. ThatÕs a pretty impressive mark-up.
In fact, that is the kind of inflated
mark-up Western Nations – First World nations – do not have to live with. Increased corporate taxes is one clear
way of legislating unacceptable mark-ups and, at the same time, directing
corporate profits to unwinding the US budget deficit, instead of letting
corporations direct such profits back to their own corporate officers as
million dollar salaries and billion dollar bonuses.
One argument companies might
make as the logic of exporting jobs to low-cost markets is this: a company able
to make shoes (or any product) much more cheaply through foreign production,
could lower domestic costs of the manufactured goods. This does make sense logically. But thatÕs not how it has worked. Business has been able to win on both
ends, with both decreased costs and with increased profits. Why? Because consumers have tended to view
credit as money-in-their-pockets instead of a hand-cuff on their wrists. (In fact, itÕs much closer to the latter
than it is to the former.)
Is There Inflation?
Anecdotal Evidence.
When I was a child in 1966,
my father bought me a new pair of Chuck Taylor Converse All-Star sports shoes
each year so I could play basketball.
These athletic shoes were the best that money could buy at the time; I
think these shoes cost about $3.50 a pair.
If we compare a current cost of Nike Air Jordan shoes today ($250) with
my old Chuck Taylor Converse All-Stars
-- the best sports shoes on the market in their day -- we see that prices have inflated some
7000%. My father worked for the Sinclair Oil Refinery in Sinclair, Wyoming as
an office manager (Payroll, Human Resources, Accounting, et.). I canÕt imagine he was paid more than
$15,000 in 1966 (and that may be high).
The inflation rate implied in this example suggests that my father would
need to be making $1,056,428.57 today, against $15,000 in 1966, in order to pay
for the state of the art basketball shoes.
I admit that this example is somewhat
self-serving. You can argue that
quality of product is much higher today, that raw costs have gone up. Labor costs, in this example, have not
gone up however. I will give other
examples later in this book that will show clearly that we have just passed
through a devastating inflationary cycle – one that has largely been
ignored by governments and economists -- from which we are only now beginning
to unwind, with the deflationary spiral that has just begun in 2007.
>
When I was growing up, I
idolized Willie Mays. He was the
greatest all-around baseball player I ever saw (ahead of Robert Clemente by a
fraction). I remember all the excitement
about Willie Mays becoming the first major league baseball player ever to break
the $200,000 salary barrier. He
never did. His highest payday was
in 1971, when he earned $180,000.
Not bad for a kid from Mobile, Alabama, growing up in a racist nation,
playing a little boyÕs game for much of his life.
Mays could hit for average, hit for
power, run, field, throw – he was one of the best defensive
centerfielders of all time. He is
in the Hall of Fame and will probably be considered by History to be one of the
greatest all-around baseball players of all time, if not the best.
Ok, now for the ÔinflationÕ side of
the story.
Manny Ramirez is a very good hitter
today, a clutch hitter, who does not field well, does not run well. In fact, Manny is a liability
defensively. He doesnÕt have range
to get to balls, he doesnÕt have grace when he does get to balls, and his
throwing arm is mediocre. HeÕs
slow. Willie Mays stole 338 bases
in his career; Manny has stolen 37.
Manny has a higher career batting
averge than Willie Mays (.314 versus .302). Willie stayed in the league a few too
many years; this dragged his batting average down. Willie hit 660 homeruns in 22 years. Manny has hit 527 in 16 years. It is doubtful that Manny will pass
WillieÕs homerun total (Manny has averaged only 19 homeruns his last three
seasons). Manny would need to play
almost 7 more seasons and hit 20 homeruns each year to pass WillieÕs 660.
Manny will not ever be considered one of baseballÕs greatest all around players
and I doubt he will be elected to the Hall of Fame – although he is a
great natural hitter and has given his teams pretty consistent offensive
firepower, as well as fairly consistent reasons to complain over bouts of
laziness and lack of leadership.
Willie Mays made $180,000 in 1971,
when he was the best baseball player in history (or one of the best).
Manny Ramirez recently signed a $25
million contract to play for the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2009.
I have nothing against a man getting
what he can in this life. But donÕt tell me there is no inflation.
Manny is making 125 times what Willie Mays made in 1971. Manny Ramirez isnÕt worth what Willie
Mays was making. (And now Manny has
been suspended for 50 games in the 2009 season for testing positive for drug
use.)
By example, an engineer making $35,000
in 1971 would need to be making $4,375,000 dollars today to keep up with the
inflation rate suggested by Mays/Ramirez gauge and the acceleration of major
league baseball players salaries.
No Inflation? No Salary
Growth?
As I have suggested, the
reason there was Ôno statistical inflationary pressureÕ in America for the last
two decades is because the statistics are stacked to overweight the wage
inflation component. There are several
reasons for this, a primary one being American business has been scrambling to
export jobs to low-wage countries and destroy American unions in the
process. I am not necessarily
pro-union. I understand the
hostility to unions in the business world; and I also understand that mafia
involvement with unions in the 1970Õs helped to destroy the integrity and
decency of unions. (The mafia
involvement with American Business rarely destroys the image of integrity and
decency of non-union businesses – go figure.) But I also understand that without a
prosperous working class in developed countries there will be no prosperity in
the world economy – there will be no one to buy all these ÔwonderfulÕ
products the world economies are currently mass-producing.
China and India are supposed to pick
up the consumer demand, as demand falls in America, Europe and Japan. That is the Ôglobal marketÕ
company line. So far, China and
India are leading the world into depression. Do we really think China and India will
have the consumer spending power to lift the world back up after it has fallen
down? And will China and India have
the political stability to make all this occur? I think not. Civil unrest in both countries seems
highly likely as prosperity vanishes and governments (and the business elite)
are blamed for this.
Why else are world governments
spending so much of taxpayer money to try to fight off the nasty beast of
Deflation? To keep their jobs, of
course.
It is ÔGood Business PracticesÕ When They Win the Class War;
It is ÔThat Old,Ugly Class WarfareÕ When They Are Asked to Pay More
Taxes To Help Erase American Debt.
There is nothing immoral in
profits. Without profits a business
cannot survive, cannot employ citizens, cannot pay taxes that help the
government provide public services.
With significant profit, a company can expand, can hire more people, and
can become even more successful and pay more taxes (although, businesses pay
billions each year in lawyerÕs fees to avoid paying a fair share in taxes), and
can produce more goods, keeping the costs of their products more affordable for
consumers. That is the theory, at
least. Pure capitalism has many
good theories, in fact. Pure
capitalism is even deflationary, in the good sense of the word, helping to keep
products cheaper through competition that drives prices lower.
Good theories are wonderful, in fact.
However, there is a problem with this
theory. Too much capacity, too many
goods produced, tends to drive down the price of the product. Too much supply is a problem for
business. Too much oil drives down
the price of oil products. If the
number of vacuum cleaners produced cannot be absorbed by the market at a given
price, then prices almost always come down to encourage distribution of the
product. So there is a built-in
self-serving limit to expansion.
There are ways around this problem, but production cut-backs (and worker
lay-offs) are a socially unpopular response. Escalating profits that cannot be
ploughed back in to the business (for fear of over-production) often are used
produce conglomerate companies and are ploughed back into salaries and bonuses
of CEOÕs and company officials. It
is obscene to watch banks and financial institutions being given billions of
taxpayer money by their pal Hank Paulson from the U.S. Treasury (who is
supposed to be serving the American public), while salaries rise and huge
bonuses are paid to the very people who engineered their own companiesÕ
bankruptcies.
In fact, this is worse than obscene;
it is criminal.
The 1920Õs in America had
their Robber Barons. The rescued
bankers, mortgage brokers, financiers and insurance men in 2008 – the
worst and the greediest on Wall Street, and their cronies in government –
should be heading to prison instead of heading to the government welfare
banquet.
Republicans, especially those wearing
evangelistic colors, the Rush Limbaugh and the Sean Hannity variety, have
accused Democrats and liberals of raising the Ôclass warfareÕ flag whenever an
increased tax rate on rich Americans is suggested. In fact, the Republicans and their
Business Culture have been waging class-warfare on the working poor in America
for the last three decades, through the destruction of labor unions and the
exporting of high-paying manufacturing and industrial jobs all in the name of
Ôgood business practicesÕ. It is
shameful to hear Republican supporters of this top-down class-warfare policy
now raise the specter of bottom-up class-warfare only after they have been
waging and winning the class war for a quarter of a century. The Republicans (capitalists) have no
problem with class warfare, as long as they are winning the class war.
The rich, in American, should be paying higher taxes. In fact, the rich have a moral obligation to help their fellow
Americans now, especially after the rich had such a free hand for decades to
profiteer locally and globally and, also, have played such a pivotal role in
destroying the American financial structure which is driving many middle-class
families into poverty and many poor in to deeper state of financial despair.
The Judeo-Christian God honors
generosity, kindness, mercy, charity even more than He honors selfish
acquisition, avarice, pride, status, and covetousness of neighborsÕ wives and
goods.
Something is going on here, Mister Jones – and you better find out what
it is, right away. Or youÕll have
people marching in the streets and burning down buildings like they have now in
Greece, England, Italy, Thailand, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Bahrain, and Germany.
We donÕt really believe you,
Mister Blankfein, when you tell us you are Ôdoing GodÕs workÕ. You had better come up with a different
line, and a different approach than arrogance; and you better start hiding your
wealth.
Inflate At The Beginning of the Business Cycle (Think 1983);
Deflate at the End of the Business Cycle (Think 2001).
I repeat: I am not
necessarily pro-union. I am not
anti-business. The Book of
Ecclesiastes is a wonderful statement of how the Day-Cycle, Night-Cycle Wheel
of Time, works, how each polarity is a season in the whole round. Each ÔvirtueÕ or necessity rules in and
for its own time, and then recedes, like the tide.
Free the Ego – the Practical Man
-- during the Day-Cycle (the Day is the vertical axis of the cross, the
North-South orientation) to expand the economy, and to re-create the bubble of
affluence. The Cowboy rules the
Day, with its Individualism, its Business Culture, its ÔGreedÕ, its enforcement
of law and order. Toss in a little
bit of Old BoysÕ Club corruption into the mix if youÕd like. The Indian rules the Night (the
horizontal axis of the cross, East-West orientation) with its emphasis upon the
internal and local, peace, sharing, and the life of the group, the life of the
soul, and the wonders of Nature as a teacher and a provider.
Death and Depression, the coming in of
the economic and spiritual Darkness, the fall of Man from his throne of power
and wealth, involves the cutting off of extremes: the high are lowered and the low
are raised up, all being pulled into the ark, in a metaphorical sense, all
being transformed into the Middle Principle in an attempt to ride out GodÕs
destruction of the world. And that
is the real sense in which the ÔmeekÕ (or the ÔmodestÕ – those who are
ÔwholeÕ) inherit the Earth.
We need the cycle of
deflation (the Dark season) as much as we need (or needed, in 1983) the cycle
of inflation (the Light season).
The crime that the American Ruling Class committed (with their helmsman –
I almost wrote henchman --Mister Greenspan) was to curse the Night and to try
to make believe it would not come if they merely pretended it wasnÕt part of
the Reality quotient. Hubris and
fear guaranteed this denial.
It is very understandable why the Ego
tries to build intellectual systems that reject or deny death. The whole expansion of the economy is a
response to the fear of death and to the conflict set up at Dawn which allows
the Light to rise and forces the Darkness to fall. The desire for Life (the fear of Death)
is the animating force of all creation.
All spiritual thought stems from a
fear of Death and an attempt to understand why Death was added to the equation
of Life. Death is darkness, the
tragic overtaking the heroic. If
the mind can create a mathematic trick which excludes Death from the picture
– such as forced liquid-ization of the economy, in the sense of flooding
the economy with cheap money, not in the sense of forced selling of property to
cover debts, which comes later --
then we could all live for ever.
Alan Greenspan, and his colleagues, thought they had done exactly that
– had saved the world for the good and the decent (and for thesleves and
their loved ones especially).
Inflate the universe for ever: inflate, re-inflate, re-inflate, re-inflateÉ.
But, apparently, one form of
liquidation inevitably leads to the other form of liquidation.
Inflation (Ego Inflation and Economic Inflation) and Karmic Debt
Also, there is a karmic debt
that attaches to each Ego Inflation, as there is an economic debt that attaches
to each economic inflation. ÒSinÓ
begins after the glass has been filled; when the Hero stays too long, and
begins overfilling the full glass.
And the longer the extra-inflation goes on, the more debt is taken on,
the longer and more extreme will be the period of deflation during which that
karmic and economic debt are unwound.
In words that might appeal to the
Republicans (I have written that I am both a Republican and a Democrat), God is
a banker and he gives us credit, packets of Light, if you will. But, in the contract we sign when we
take on this loan from God we also are told that we will have to pay God
back. Deflation is the nature of
Humanity giving back energy to God.
The Darkness in Human Society –
poverty, despair, hopelessness, tragedy – is the process by which
Humanity is drawn back to God.
ÔFalls off its high horseÕ might be another way of expressing this
metaphor.
The ÔwinnersÕ we love so
much in American society, the heroes, the conquerors, the successful and rich,
the famous, the stars, the beautiful people, are those who are farthest from
God. We look at the ÔwinnersÕ in
our society, and what do we see? We
see – along with mansions, expensive cars, glamorous vacations and
sophisticated friends and entertainment -- divorce, addiction, crime,
perversion, excess, loneliness, often early death, sometimes suicide. The ÔwinnersÕ in human society, the
rich, the powerful, the famous, are often Ôthe losersÕ before God calls them home again. The ÔwinnersÕ are Icarus before he
falls. The ÔlosersÕ are Icarus
before he flies.
Psychological or Spiritual Deflation
is the means by which God throws a human being to his knees.
Economic Deflation is the means by
which God throws a society to its collective knees.
Deflation is not the end of
life. Inflation, in fact, is the end of life,.
Most world cosmologies begin with God
Ôbreathing lifeÕ into the world.
But God also breathes life out
of the world.
To ÔexpireÕ means to breathe out, to
dig a hole in space and create a bubble that, ultimately, cuts one off from his
source, the common fabric of life.
This describes the inflation process. ÔExpireÕ also means to die, of course. ÔInspireÕ means to draw breath in, to
call souls back home from the burst bubble of isolated experience. ÔInspireÕ also means to fill oneself
with excitement, knowledge, and revelation.
Deflation is closer in time to the
beginning of life, the seed, the root, whereat and wherein the human soul becomes
a child again, meek with lost pride, with fear and hope and vulnerability all
mixed together. Deflation brings
back community, and brings a human soul back to its roots, racial, national,
and cosmc, back to the origin of its existence.
The Ego does not need
God. The Ego believes he is God,
standing alone above life, above God, above the mass, the king of the hill, a
star centered in its own firmament.
Ahab, in MelvilleÕs masterpiece, Moby-Dick
is the ultimate Ego confronting the world as a demi-god.
Misters Greenspan, Paulson and
Bernanke and all their friends in Washington and on Wall Street were kings of
the world (the ÔLordÕs servantsÕ at Goldman Sachs apparently called themselves
ÔThe Masters of the UniverseÕ – GreenspanÕs nickname was Ôthe MaestroÕ --
graced by God, each a Sun in his own system. Who, given such a high state, such grand
power, a god ruling over men, would accede quietly to the regular, cyclic loss
of power that the Night was demanding?
Who would willingly climb down from a omnipotent throne and fall to his
knees and proclaim: ÔGod, you are higher than I! Your will is my will!Õ
Saddam Hussein didnÕt voluntarily step
down; Hosni Mubarak didnÕt; Colonel Khadaffi did not either. In fact, tyrants almost never step down;
they are almost always have to be thrown down.
Deflation Is the Devil Who Wants to Destroy the Rich
To the minds of AmericaÕs
Ruling Class, Deflation was not God.
In fact, deflation was and is the Devil – as to Ahab, Moby Dick
was the Devil. Death was a Devil
that needed to be fought, needed to be resisted, needed to be defeated! Perhaps technology could defeat the
Devil! Perhaps semiconductors (or
technology generated by superconductors; or knowledge of the human genome)
might do it! (Even better: perhaps
Viagra could do it.) Perhaps Death
was just an accounting trick, something humanity could simply take off the
books – like the Ômark to marketÕ accounting rule -- while everyone was
looking in the other direction (in the direction of their own self-interest),
perhaps no one would even notice that Greenspan had erased Death from the
Cosmic ledger – a kind of reverse Ômark to marketÕ by which we confused
the origin and the destination somehow, reversing TimeÕs flow.
People (almost everyone) would get richer and richer if we just continued
to inflate and inflate – of course some poor people would be left out,
but that was always the case in any Grand Adventure -- and we would all sail
off into the sunset in our collective Ted Hood Yacht. Perhaps, together, the Great Society of
Individuals, could kill the Great White Whale of our finiteness. Perhaps we were the generation God had
designated to finally destroy that form of spiritual Gravity which transformed
Hope to Despair, which transformed Victory to Defeat, which annihilated Beauty
and Bodily Power and terminated Youthful Dreams, and was the tragic denouement
of every play and every existence ever writ!
And perhaps not.
We need deflation; and we
need inflation. Deflation saves
human souls from their isolation, from their self-love, from their manic
disease of pride and inhuman will.
Inflation saves human souls from their self-loathing, from their lost
direction, and from their lonely descent into failure.
The Night is not only our primal
enemy; the Night is, at the same time, our primal spiritual regenerator. The Night is death, but it is also
peace, and the source of our Wisdom.
The Night is terror, but it is also our comfort, our rest. The Night makes us small again, but it
also gives us dreams, which resuscitate us, and carry us back in to the light,
allowing us to become, eventually, large again.
Material wealth is not the only
treasure in life. Material wealth
allows us to become gigantic individuals but it also forces us to become
demonically isolated and dangerous.
Material possessions separate us from life – giving us freedom to
pursue our solitary dreams but also becoming the burden that cuts us off from
our humanity.
Wealth is good and bad; Poverty is
good and bad. Nature is wealthy in
Summer and Autumn; Nature is poor in Winter and Spring. We must experience the entire round of
this cycle in order to gain depth as human beings in human cultures. Something is taken from us in Winter
– but something is also given to us.
We lose our bodily pleasures and our bodily strengths but we gain a
spiritual treasury. We lose power
but we gain perspective. We lose
passion but we gain compassion. We
lose wealth but we gain peace of mind, if we are fortunate. We lose youth but we gain a sense of
completion. We gain wisdom. We gain initiation into a larger frame
of mind, a larger picture of reality, where we fit, and how we are, in truth,
that picture of reality we are seeing.
As we pull up and away from the Earth,
from our Ego obsessions, schemes, and desires, we see, from a greater height,
how all things work together in a system of complex integration.
And, rest assured, deflation
is not the end of all things, is not the last movement of a dying opera. The universe is a seed that expands (as
a bubble expands) driven by the hot, fiery Great Breath and builds great
creations. But Time kills the
universe too. The atomic
alarm-clock goes off. The universe
contracts, crumpling (imploding) matter as it recedes, pulling down great
structures, as matter drawn back down toward the black hole center of
anti-matter, contracting back in to a seed again. It is a never-ending process: a flower
that blooms; a flower that grows corrupt, decays, dies, only to bloom again,
after a period of rest and germination.
The universe is a great tree that
rises up and falls back down again, rises up and falls back down again, an
endless cycle of Day and Night, each time carrying a new dream into
construction, the dream it is given in the Night. The seed is the dreaming time, and the
resting time. So it is with
humanity. So it is with the human
atom, Man.
Do we really need an
economic deflation? Yes.
Inflation --More Anecdotal Evidence:
Higher Education Tuition
Inflates More Than 1600% in Three Decades.
I worked for thirty years in
administration at he University of Oregon.
Each year, as part of my tasks, I developed a statistical study for the
department. One part of this study
centered on the cost of tuition for students.
From 1976 to 2007, University of
Oregon full-time tuition for undergraduate residents of Oregon climbed from
$216 per term to $2107. This is an
increase in thirty years of 875%.
In the same time, full-time tuition
for non-resident graduate students increased from $320 per term to $5447 per
term, an increase of 1602%.
To put this in perspective, a person
earning $20,000 per year in 1976 (a reasonable salary at the time), would need
to be making $320,400 in 2007 in order to keep up with this suggested inflationary
rate.
A person earning $60,000 in 1976 (a
higher administration type salary), would need to be making $961,200 in 2007 in
order to be keeping up with this inflationary rate.
Not many job categories have increased
at this rate. Some have: CEOÕs of
elite American businesses, successful founders of technology or biotechnology
companies, or internet start-ups, Wall Street investment bankers, perhaps
doctors and professional and college football coaches. But most Americans have not seen this
kind of inflation of salary rates.
It is not just higher education which
has inflated so dramatically.
When I was entering college
in 1970, a new Volkswagon bug cost $1700.
Today, a new bug costs $20,000.
This is an increase of 1100%.
A person making $20,000 in 1970 would need to be making more than
$215,000 dollars today to keep up with that ÔsuggestedÕ inflation rate.
Then, of course, there are
housing prices.
My sister-in-law in Portland, Oregon
bought her house in 1988 for $71,000.
This was a modest three-bedroom house in a modest part of Portland. She and her husband had just emigrated
from Vietnam; both she and her husband were working jobs starting at close to
minimum wage. She had $3000 in
savings and borrowed another $4000 from her mother to secure a 10%
down-payment. In 2007, this house
was valued at $700,000. In 2008,
Portland housing declined about 10%.
A house that has increased in value from $71,000 in 1988 to $630,000 in
2008 has increased 787% in twenty years.
A couple making $30,000 in 1988 should be making $236,100 in 2008 in
order to keep up with the suggested inflation rate designated by this gain in
housing.
Talk about Ôglobal warmingÕ!
In 1950, the year I was born, the
median price of a house was $14,500.
Average income was $3,216.
In 2006, average house prices in the U.S. were $232,000. This is a gain of 1500% and suggests
that average income in 2006 should be around $300,000 per year, using 1950 as a
benchmark of normality.
American Bank Profits Are Extracted Directly From the Pockets of
American Consumers. Why Do We Allow
This?
The global economy has been
in a condition of Ômassive, unsustainable animal heatÕ for more than a decade,
with Alan Greenspan leading the charge, cheering on the dogs: ÔGet your dreams
now! Take on more debt! Being deeply in debt is a great thing
for yourself, for your family, and for your country – even for the health
and well-being of the Earth!Õ
(Alan, in this role, appears more like a circus barker than the worldÕs
Number One banker.)
Debt is good. Debt is sustainable. That is the message.
But are high levels of debt
really sustainable? A picture is
worth a thousand words. In 1950,
AmericansÕ debt to income was 20%.
It is currently almost 120%.
Personal savings as a percentage of income was 7% in 1950; today it is
less than 1% (in the chart below it is 1% -- it has grown to about 3% in early
2009), the lowest it has been since the 1930Õs, when it went negative. (This suggests an interesting
relationship of low personal savings and economic depressions.) Of course, who wants to save money when
interest rates are hovering close to zero and speculative bubbles in stocks,
housing, and commodities are making money, apparently, for almost everyone
playing the game?
A second chart
shows current American total debt is 350% of GDP, the highest in history. In 1930 American debt was 300% of GDP;
and we all know what happened to the economy at that point in history. American debt amassed in the late 1920Õs
and 1930Õs did not get unwound until almost 1960. In the late 1990Õs American
debt vs GDP attempted to peak at about 240%. Alan Greenspan to the rescue. To drive off the great leviathan of
recession, Mister Greenspan opened up the waters of liquidity: Americans
responded by taking on more debt, pushing total debt to 350% of GDP in
2008. More debt does not solve the problem of a society
carrying too much debt. Stimulus packages and lower interest
rates will not achieve a renewed American economic might – just more debt
for the taxpayer and more debt for the consumer.
We are in a very
deep hole. And it will take America
almost a generation to get out of the hole we have all dug, with the help of
Misters Greenspan and Bernanke and their Ôfree marketÕ ideology – that is,
keep the markets free of government intrusions and business will police itself
and everyone will be happy.
Another look at
historical household debt as a percentage of disposable income, shows American
consumer debt per household has doubled since 1975. What was Alan Greenspan smoking or
drinking (or reading) that made him believe that this manic assumption of debt
was not a threat to the well-being of the American middle class?
Who benefits
from a high debt environment? Well
just about everyone but the American consumer. Bankers benefit. The entire financial professions
benefits. As Americans became
poorer and poorer (more indebted – because debt is a form of poverty when
it becomes a burden to repay; debt is a form of wealth only when the debt is
invested and returns more than the cost of repayment), banks and insurance
companies became richer and richer.
As American became twice as indebted from 1975 to 2006, financial
companies became twice as rich.
Another chart
demonstrating historical financial company profits seems to be the smoking gun
in my (and many other analystsÕ) conclusion that the banks caused the Great
Depression in 1929-1947 and the banks have also caused the Great Depression of
2007 (2001-2019 actually). ÔCausedÕ
is an odd word, I admit, in a scenario of necessity. I do admit this.
The greater the
profits of the banks, apparently the greater the poverty of the rest of
America. I wish I had a chart
showing the same data for the 1800Õs in America. It would be interesting to see the
position of the financial industry vis-ˆ-vis American industry and services
generally during other Night-Cycles.
How have
financial industry workers compared to other workers in America since Ronald
ReaganÕs revolution to free business from government regulation began in
1982? Not well.
How does this
look if we put it in an historical context?
The two great
depressions of this era (1929-1947) and (2001-2019) both happened when banks
had almost unlimited power to generate wealth – afterall, bankers profits
are not generated out of thin air.
They are taken out of someoneÕs pockets. As the American banks got richer, the
American consumer got poorer, slipping in to poverty and depression.
Looking at this
chart, one might wonder about the 72 year cycles (18 years x 4 = 72 years)
represented by 2001, 1929, 1857, and 1785.
As we will show in this book, each of these eras was accompanied by
pretty spectacular economic depressions.
Again, it is my premise that banker greed has caused the great
depressions in American history, as it has caused the current Great Depression
of 2007. By ÔcausedÕ I mean, of
course, Ôhave acted as a primary agent ofÕ. The real cause is the dualism that
drives the systems, leading to the imbalance that liberates greed, selfishness,
arrogance, elitism, justification of theft, aggression, criminality, and the
spirit of sin.
Analysts might
argue that it took Americans almost 30 years to dig out of debt from the Great Depression
Era because this massive indebtedness caused a depression, which was then
followed by a world war, depriving Americans of an optimum wealth-building
business environment for fifteen years after the crash in 1930. Well, we are entering the depression at
this moment; and the national responses to another great international
depression will make another world war also very likely.
The Era of Fast
Money-Making is over. We have
entered a new reality, one that will not be an optimum business environment for
at least a generation.
A look at one
last chart shows the extent of housing inflation that occurred under Mister
GreenspanÕs watch. The broken line
is the Case-Schiller projection of a housing bottom in 2016 or 2017. My own prediction is that housing will
bottom in about 2019. On the way
down it will overshoot support level establish in the last Night-Cycle
(1965-1983).
Is it any wonder housing
prices have fallen off a cliff?
Fewer and fewer people can afford to buy a house at their current
bloated levels, especially now that Ôcreative accountingÕ banking and exotic
no-money-down, guaranteed-to-fail, interest-only-payments-for-three-years
mortgages (so called Ôliar loansÕ) are no longer in favor at AmericaÕs
insolvent banks.
Also, people have already taken on
maximum amounts of debt.
Also, with unemployment rising,
businesses failing, with further foreclosures coming as variable-rate mortgages
demand significantly higher monthly housing payments throughout 2009, 2010, and
2011, and with commercial real-estate heading down the drain, housing prices
are set to fall at least another 50%.
My sister-in-lawÕs house, which she
brought for $71,000, and which listed at $700,000 in 2006, should be worth
$120,000 when the smoke finally clears, which will mean a gain of about 2.5%
per year, which is the historical average.
It is noteworthy to add that Ben
Bernanke, academic wizard and current Chair of the Federal Reserve, follower in
the CaptainÕs Tower to our Ahab, Alan Greenspan, delivered two incisive public
remarkes at the time that Robert Schiller and others were warning of an
unsustainable Housing Bubble:
WeÕve never had a decline in
house prices on a nationwide basis. So, what I think what is more likely is
that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a
bit. I donÕt think itÕs gonna drive the economy too far from its full
employment path, though. – 7/1/2005
Housing markets are cooling a
bit. Our expectation is that the decline in activity or the slowing in activity
will be moderate, that house prices will probably continue to rise. –
2/15/2006
The man credited with this
incisive views of economics was asked to steer America and help to steer the
global economy through the most treacherous waters it had entered since 1930
– and this man, our new Captain Ahab, could not even see the White
WhaleÕs spout (SchillerÕs Chart) with all the resources (all the Ph.DÕs and all
the research capacity) of the Federal Reserve Bank at his command. Greenspan had warned of a little
frothiness, a little irrational exuberance – and then later, in 2004,
advised Americans holding AAA mortgages that they should junk their
high-quality mortgages and bulk up on bargain-basement sub-prime mortgages. Greenspan said publicly, encouraging
such a trade-up to lower-quality mortgages, the ones that eventually sank the
global economy: ÒMany homeowners might have saved tens of thousands of dollars
had they held adjustable-rate mortgages rather than fixed-rate mortgages during
the past decade."
This was true. When rates are sinking this is
true. But interest rates go both
directions. Or do they?
Such wit, brilliance and sagacity from
the two prime engineers of global monetary policy for the last 30 years.
These men are two of the men
who are leading us through this dangerous world. Greenspan also said about mortgage
derivatives: "Derivatives have been an extraordinarily useful vehicle to
transfer risk from those who shouldn't be taking it to those who are willing to
and are capable of doing so".
Maybe those who ÔshouldnÕt be taking risksÕ really should not be taking risks.
Or did Mister Greenspan
really mean that the banks should not be
taking risks and that they were transferring
risk to the American government and the American taxpayers? If so, this which makes this a visionary
comment, indeed – GreenspanÕs first probably -- because that is just what
happened. Of course that didnÕt
happen until after 2008, when the banksÕ great experiment in No-Fault Loans
cratered and drove Wall Street executives to Washington on their knees for
another chance.
Remember our definition of ÔlootingÕ?
Health-Care Inflation: Insurance Companies Received American WorkersÕ
Pay Increases
For Almost Two Decades As Reward For Inflated Health-Insurance Premium
Costs.
Health-care costs, energy
costs, the cost of food have all spiraled upwardÉhas the cost of anything gone
down in the last thirty years, except for computers and memory chips and some
electronic equipment?
Salaries have moved sideways. Salaries have definitely gone down for a
man or woman who once worked in heavy manufacturing and who is now selling
coffee at Starbucks after his or her job was exported to China.
One of the reasons salaries
are stuck is because of the collusion that has driven health-care costs through
the roof. Doctors, medical
providers, pharmaceutical companies, and insurance companies all have been
having the times of their lives in America. Everybody has been getting rich, at the
expense of the American worker and at the expense of sick and dying
Americans. Businesses that provide
workers with health-insurance benefits have watched insurance premiums rise
nearly 10% per year for more than a decade. Doctors, hospitals, drug companies raise
prices; insurance companies raise premiums. The worker asks his employer for a raise
and the employer says IÕd love to give you a raise – but I already gave
you a 9% raise in your health-care premium. ThatÕs why American salaries have been
stuck in neutral.
A worker making $35,000 a year in 1998
would receive a comparable salary of $90,314.90 in 2009 if health-care premium
increases were excluded from the cost of his salary. The worker is still being paid $30,000 a
year in 2009. All the extra money
is being paid directly to the insurance company. The insurance companies donÕt care if
doctors and drug companies raise prices, in fact they want them to raise prices; they just pass the costs on to the
worker and the employer.
It would be interesting to know if the
rate of paying on claims vs receipt of claims by insurance companies has
increased or decreased over the same time period. A majority of bankruptcies (over 60% in
2009) each year in America are related to a medical catastrophe – and in
the vast majority of these cases the persons in question do have medical insurance.
But the bankruptcy comes out of required medical procedures that the
insurance policy refustres to cover, or covers only partially.
Nothing animates the traditional
American conservative like the claim that medical treatment is or should be a
right that should be guaranteed for each American citizen. This is a perfect pictue of the Rugged
IndividualÕs Day-Cycle mentality, the one fighting for existence, fighting
against the world, living as a tiny isolated atom, surrounded by hostile
forces, sitting in the Judgment Seat, having no sense of Mercy, and certainly
no Soul.
One could ask these types: ÒShould
your long-time neighbor suffering from cancer simply die if she canÕt afford
the exhorbitant costs of medicatl treatment?Õ And he would likely reply: ÒYes!Ó Not much love in this individual.
The Night-Cycle is about Love; the
Day-Cycle is about Power.
The Night-Cycle is about Generosity
and Sharing, real Christian values.
The Day-Cycle is about Hoarding and Willful accumulation for oneÕs self.
In the tribal nature of the
Night-Cycle, the tribes takes care of its own.
In the Jehovistic nature of the Day-Cycle,
itÕs every man for himself, and God against all.
More Anecdotal Evidence: Pharmaceutical Companies and the Government
Collude to Enrich Medical Companies And Empoverish American Consumers.
My wife takes asthma
medication, which costs about $150 per spray-bottle in the US. When we visit friends and family in
Vietnam, the same medication costs $10 per bottle. There is a conspiracy in America between
doctors, medical providers, insurance companies, and politicians to gouge the
American consumer, for their own enrichment. This has been going on for decades. This is a natural side-effect of the
Reagan/Greenspan/Bush doctrine that the business-class can do no wrong, that
the business-class should be allowed to regulate itself, that business profits
are sacred and trickle down through the entire society in a positive way; and
government should simply stay out of the way.
It sounds like the way Banana
Republics are governed in Latin America.
I did not find charts that
show asthma medication; but Americans pay much more for Lipitor and
Plavix. In fact, Americas pay more
for ALL medical operations, all types of operation, visits to doctorsÕ offices;
the American government pays less than all other advanced countries for health
care, and American citizens pay much more.
I can heard proud, conservative Americans reason: ÒOf coure Americans
pay more for health treatment; our medical treatment is the best in the world.Ó Still Americans life-expectancy is lower
than most other first world nations; in the chart below, Americans are expected
to live longer than Mexicans but shorter lives than Australians, French,
Germans, residents of Hong Kong, Italians, Japanese, British, Canadians, Swiss,
the Dutch, and the Greeks. For
paying so much more for health-care ($7300 per capita per year, vs. $4400, the
next highest, in Germany, vs. $2500 in Canada), longevity rates seem to
indicate we are not really getting much back for all we pay. $7,000 a year from a $30,000 salary is
significant.
But does the American Dream
require that individuals be allowed to become rich at the expense of middle
class and poor Americans? I donÕt
think it does. Ingenuity, hard
work, and intelligent risk-taking should be rewarded. But what we have now, in the
health-provider fields, on wall street, and in the banking industry, and in
many other branches of American business, is a form of state-capitalism, in
which the government and businesses work hand-in-hand to enrich themselves,
legally and illegally – and the rest of the crew of our ship of state,
the Pequod, apparently can be damned.
The health-care bubble needs
to be popped to make medical care affordable for all Americans. In 2009, even with all the defaults and
foreclosures connected with the housing crisis, over 60% of all bankruptcies of
American citizens were caused by medical catastrophes. Americans werenÕt only spending beyond
their means – they were being gouged by the health-care providers. Even Americans with health-care insurance
often face insurmountable difficulties in receiving insurance payments when
catastrophic illness strikes.
With all these visual examples of the
inflation in America over the last several decades, how can inflation be
low. ItÕs because the CPI has learned
to ignore inflation where it finds it.
Remember, price volatility is usually excluded from the core rate of
inflation
As costly as insturance
benefits have become over the last 20 years, having insurance is still preferable
to being naked and sick in the land of the health-care cartel. What we have seen in Wisconsin this year
is the Republican holy crusade to strip all state workers of rights, salary and
benefits – which, we are told, are destroying America by making American
Business Ôless competitiveÕ – of course, less competitive when compared
with countries that pay their workers $1 a day without benefits – is that
the real wish of the Republican Conservatives, to make American non-financial
sector compensation competitive with Laos, Mexico, Vietnam and the
Phillippines? This Republican
crusade has been amazingly successful over the last two decades and it is
continuing, the crusade of American Busiiness to cut expenses at the government
level while demanding taxes be cut and the rich be allowed to extend the gap
between the very poor and the very rich.
That is the Republican game-plan.
Humans with no social conscience have
no problem in seeing Ôthe enemyÕ impoverished. ThatÕs how they attain glory and victory
– by humiliating and impoverishing their adversary.
As unemployment rises, so
does the number of American workers who have no health insurance. The fact that President Obama sought to
address this problem has been the rallying cry of the far right – ÔDeath
to the SocialistsÕ – as they see rising health costs and lower wagers and
fewer benefits to workers as the way they want America to go – higher
business profits and less government spending. Higher worker salaries and higher costs
of benefits steal profit away from American Business. Instead of popping the health-care (and
higher education) price bubbles, the far right wants American workers to
Ôtighten their beltsÕ and sacrifice for America. But there is no sacrifice at the top
– only free money from Washington, and more demands for government
austerity.
This can only go so far
before Americans learn from Egyptians and Libyans and demand the ruling class
to abdicate the throne and give the American democracy back to the people of
America.
Of course, this right-wing
conservative terrorist is unconscious, and, therefore, may be deserving of some
of the pity that Jesus Christ directed upon them when he said: ÔForgive them,
Father, for they know not what they do.Õ
When they wake up from this crusade
and this directive to destroy the decent heart of the Soul that believes in
sharing and mercy, they will shrink from shame and wonder what could have
driven them to such an extreme of hate.
And they will then realize that it was again the one so subtle who has
driven them to destruction once again.
How can we be certain that
it is the ÔgreedÕ of health-providers that have caused this massive bubble,
rather than increased cost of treatments and technology, and the shark-invested
legal waters ballooning the cost of malpractice insurance? (Again, the insurance companies! And the lawyers!)
David Schuler, a health-care
researcher and writer, explains where the costs of health-care are rising so
much:
From 1965 to 1981 national
expenditures on health care more than doubled from $201 billion to $507 billion
in real 2009 dollars. Most of the increase in costs in healthcare can be
explained by three factors: increased utilization, particularly immediately
after the enactment of Medicare and Medicaid during the period 1965-1972,
higher prices, particularly during the period 1972-1981, and inflation. Most of
the increases after 1981 can be explained by inflation alone.
In the period 1965-1972 use increases
accounted for 45.8% of the increase in healthcare spending and price increases
accounted for 45%. In the period 1965-1972 57.5% of the increase in spending
for physician services can be accounted for by price increases and 32.2%
accounted for by increased utilization.
Hospital expenses and
physician services account for the majority of healthcare costs and both of
those are other words for peopleÕs incomes. Rent, insurance, equipment, and so
on are a pittance by comparison with wages as components of both of those.
HereÕs my alternative explanation for
what has happened to healthcare costs. In the immediate aftermath of the
enactment of Medicare and Medicaid in 1966 there was an increased utilization
of healthcare. That is what was supposed to happen: old people and poor people
were supposed to get more healthcare. In a fee for services environment, the
model that prevailed at the time and still has considerable force, that means
that physicians and hospitals made significantly more money. Their incomes
increased. When utilization levelled off (as should also have been expected)
they continued to increase their incomes by raising prices. They had become
accustomed to increasing incomes.
In the late 1970Õs and early 1980Õs
the increasing healthcare expenditures capturing of such a quickly rising
proportion of the federal budget finally caught the attention of the Congress
and a number of steps were taken to slow the increase. But the harm had mostly
been done. A high cost basis had been built into healthcare, healthcare was a
major component of total GDP, and inflation alone (of which rising healthcare
costs are one of the largest components) was enough for healthcare costs to
grow unsustainably.
I am not blaming healthcare
providers for acting this way. I believe it was a natural human response and
they responded as anyone else would have under the circumstances.
However, it means that simple cost
control wonÕt achieve what we need to accomplish. The primary components of
healthcare costs are hospital costs and physician services which comprise the
majority of costs, insurance administrative costs which comprise something like
30% of costs, pharmaceutical costs which comprise something like 10% of costs,
and other factors which comprise very small proportions of the whole. All of
these costs are other words for wages, somebodyÕs income. Healthcare costs are
high because wages in the sector are high.
What kind
of civilized, wealthy society, a society that claims it is religious or
spiritual, allows a poor person to die because he or she lacks money for medical
treatment? What kind of
society? An ascetic, Day-Cycle, Old
Testament society – an Ôeye-for-an-eye, a tooth-for-a-toothÕ society. Not a Christian society surely. A society that admires only those who
are on top, those who are successful, only the stars, only the beautiful and
the wealthy, who feed oneÕs own imagined image as world-conqueror, fearless
warrior. If one should somehow
fall, they are no longer admired.
The rich are
admired because one considers oneself
Much Day-Cycle
energy is spent trying to repress the weak elements of the society: women;
racial, ethnic, and religious minoirities.
There is only room for one on top when you are playing ÔKing of the
HillÕ. One must be prepared to
fight everyone in the world, all of whom are trying to take away Ôwhat rightly
belongs to youÕ.
The Day-Cycle is
about Ôfilling upÕ: filling up the glass; filling up the image if not always
the reality of gain; defending the ego; storing up successes, personal
victories, wealth, power, prestige, resisting failure. Resisting failure is the key. One resists failure by keeping people
away who fit oneÕs definition of failure.
Losers are not welcome, and are not to be treated well. If oneÕs picture of oneself is that he
is wealthy, or belongs in the company of wealthy, successful people, or will be
wealthy one day, then poor people are just a drag on his time and his
energy. Poor people (or people with
different skin colors) are just trash that needs to be taken out.
This is the
classical fascist world-view, the world-view of the Roman Empire, the
world-view of the Nazis in Germany.
Jesus Christ Was Not A Conservative.
Americans
claim to be a God-fearing people, a spiritual people – a ÔChristianÕ
nation, in fact -- but they still seek to deny social charity to all except
those who donÕt need it. This moral
stinginess is a sign of Day-Cycle corruption and imbalance. This selfish, small nature must be
understood to be a manifestation of fear, a fear of strangers, a fear of
failure, a fear of death, and a fear of isolation.
In the
dog-eat-dog world, all but one dog gets eaten. And the dog that survives is not really
a dog any longer, he becomes a beast.
The
dog-eat-dog world-view supports generously the building of prisons and the
energetic equipping of armies with cutting-edge and expensive technologies but
does not support food or medical treatment for the poor. This is a chronic and soulless imbalance
typical of Day-Cycle societies.
ÒLet them eat
cake.Ó
ÒLet them eat
dirt,Ó is another expression that is probably closer to the heart.
We
Americans are a tribe, even though we donÕt normally think of it this way. We like to think of ourselves as
competing atoms, struggling to gain the upper hand in the struggle, and
certain, eventually, through talent, brilliance, genius, hard-work – and
an even playing field – to triumph.
Positive energy leads to positive results, we tell ourselves. Sometimes, of course, positive energy
leads to aggression, to theft, to other forms of law-breaking – when the
result or outcome is worshipped (Ôbecoming richÕ is the result that is
worshipped in this instance) and is considered primary to the process (the
moral life, letÕs say, is the process in this example) then all means or nearly
all means can be used to justify the ends.
If Success is the
God, then how one gets to God is really less important than just getting there.
This line of
thinking (the ÔpracticalÕ suit of armor worn over the Soul – Ôeveryone is
doing it!Õ) leads to the every-growing corruption of the Day-Cycle mentality.
We can
choose, as a nation, to change our values.
We are not obligated to support a state-vision through which doctors,
drug company executives, and insurance agents are made millionaires while the
vast majority of Americans cannot afford the costs of their services, except as
ÔbenefitsÕ at work. And how secure
is this ÔbenefitÕ? Lose your job:
lose your right to health-care treatment.
A serious illness then results automatically in bankruptcy –
perhaps in both death and bankruptcy for oneÕs survivors. Is this the way we want to live? Are these the values we want our
children to inherit? Is it reasonable
for us to glorify only the rich in our society; and to discard those who are
not rich, who are not the ÔwinnersÕ, as losers and as expendable?
Jesus Christ
brought a revelation to the Earth 2,000 years ago. God wants humans to build a heavenly
kingdom on the Earth. This means
taking care of one another. This
means not exploiting others for financial gain. These are a set of values religious
Americans need to think about deeply,
This is the message of Jesus Christ. Christians need to remember the meaning
of the message of Christ and perhaps remember less the messages of the Apostle
Paul.
Jesus was
not a conservative. Jesus Christ was a Night-Cycle angel dropped onto the Earth
to bring a new law to humanity.
Jesus Christ was a moral revolutionary who preached that humanity needed
to change its behavior, needed to change the way it interacted with its
brethren. He preached love,
generosity, selflessness, and equality.
He did not preach the virtues of materialism, selfishness, and suspicion
– nor did he espouse the virtue of the rich and the degeneracy of the
poor. Jesus preached generosity to
the unfortunate; Jesus also surmised that the common vices of the rich made
admission of the affluent (Day-Cycle beneficiaries) to the heavenly kingdom
almost impossible.
If the
rich wish to proclaim ÔJesus be damned, weÕll take wealth on the Earth now and nothing in the afterlifeÕ, then
fine. But one canÕt have it both
ways.
We must
understand the symbolism of Jesus driving the money-changers out of the temple
was a very simple observation that God does not
reward piety with earthly pleasures and wealth. This is the false argument used by the
Satanic Force, which justifies its own greed for power by maintaining, in a
subtle manner, Earthly PowerÕs alliance with God. Jesus admonishes this fraudulence, and
commands the bankers to desist in their apparent alliance with Spirit, to leave
the protection of this false justification of their own ÔchosenÕ status.
This is the act
of the Revocation of the Covenant: God the Father, through God the Son, is
announcing the end of the world (as we have known it).
WeÕll also remember
that Satan met Jesus in the wilderness and offered him power over all the
Earth. In the movie version of this
book, Hank Paulson plays Satan.
The
message: God is not the source of ManÕs Earthly power and wealth; the Devil
is. The DevilÕs Contract and GodÕs
Covenant are not the same
document. This is a truth the many
Christians have conveniently forgotten during the feeding frenzy that has
gripped the Earth for so many years.
One cannot serve two masters: both God and money.
The FedÕs Job is to Help Create Inflations At the
Beginning of the Business Cycle (19830 and to End inflations (Pop Bubbles) at
the End of the Business Cycle Growing Season (2001).
The Higher Education bubble
needs to be popped to make education affordable again for all Americans with an
aptitude for university study. This
will require more education support from federal and state governments. It will also require the popping of the
health-care bubble, which has become such a huge burden for universities and
for university students, not to mention non-educational American businesses.
When someone pointed out to Alan
Greenspan the Ôirrational exuberanceÕ of the housing bubble in 2005, Alan
commented: ÔEven if there are declines in prices, the significant run-up
to date has so increased equity in homes that only those who have purchased
very recently, purchased just before prices actually literally go down, are
going to have problems.Õ
Wrong, Alan.
The
American banking system was also going to have problems, as banks careened
toward default, insolvency, bankruptcy.
The American Ruling Class on Wall Street was going to have problems:
Lehman Brothers would be gone; Morgan-Stanley would be going; Goldman-Sachs would
essentially be castrated, until Hank Paulson, the Secretary of the Teasury,
played Isis to Lloyd BlankfeinÕs Osiris and magically re-attached the power to
gore back to the tired old bull, using an inanimate object to which we will no
longer need to refer. Apparently
Lloyd had just been doing too much of GodÕs work and was now petered out and in
need of a quick transfusion.
Without intervention on a massive scale from their former boss, Henry
Paulson -- Paulson made more than $400 million dollars doing GodÕs work for
Goldman-Sachs, before cashing in his stock options to join George BushÕs
government – Goldman Sachs would have been turning to ice.
Paulson
essentially robbed American taxpayers of billions to try save his friends on
Wall Street. ÒTARPÓ money it was
called.
Nothing was more
bizarre than witnessing the bullying Paulson and his trembling shadow Bernanke
appear like magistrates of social reconstitution before Congress, putting an
invisible gun to the heads of unsuspecting congressional leaders, demanding
trillions of taxpayer dollars to ensure the salvation of Western Civilization,
something of which only Paulson was now capable, insisting Congress approve a
scheme whereby Paulson could give money to whomever he chose, and demanding a
guarantee that no one connected in any way with the blatant act of highway
robbery (the ÔbailoutÕ being reconstituted euphemistically as a ÔrescueÕ,
first, and then as a ÔconservatorshipÕ, which would then, under Bernanke,
become reconfigured as Ôquantatative easingÕ) could ever be held legally accountable
after the crime.
Paulson
later told a colleague: ÔIt didnÕt have to be a trillion dollars. It could have been anything! But it had to sound big.Õ
He wanted to
scare legislators and the President into giving him what he wanted. He haunted Congress and George Bush with
the picture of banks collapsing, riots, revolutions, tanks in the streets,
Washington D.C., and New York on fire.
Apparently Hank was having a vision of Greece, London, Egypt and Libya
at the time.
Washington
swallowed its collective tongue (there were resistors) and gave Paulson $500
billion with few questions asked, few strings attached. Later, after giving away his stash,
Paulson refused to divulge to the American public the names of the private
institutions to which the cash grants had been made, concerned that stigma
might attach to institutions so unsubtly graced (and so needing to be graced).
Just how
good did Wall Street have it when Paulson was taking care of them, offering
loans for almost nothing to help the banks get well? It was a sweet deal, no doubt. According to Shahien Nasiripour, wriring
in the Huffington Post:
For the
lucky few on Wall Street, the Federal Reserve sure was sweet.
Nine firms -- five
of them foreign -- were able to borrow between $5.2 billion and $6.2 billion in
U.S. government securities, which effectively act like cash on Wall Street, for
four-week intervals while paying one-time fees that amounted to the minuscule
rate of 0.0078 percent.
That is not a
typo.
On 33
separate transactions, the lucky nine were able to borrow billions as part of a
crisis-era Fed program that lent the securities, known as Treasuries, for
28-day chunks to the now-18 firms known as primary dealers that are empowered
to trade with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The program, called the
Term Securities Lending Facility, ensured that the firms had cash on hand to
lend, invest and trade.
The market was
freezing up. Effectively free money, courtesy of Uncle Sam, helped it thaw.
The
European firms -- Credit Suisse (Switzerland), Deutsche Bank (Germany), Royal
Bank of Scotland (U.K.), Barclays (U.K.), and BNP Paribas (France) -- borrowed
$5.2-6.2 billion in Treasuries 20 different times. The one-time fees they paid
on each transaction ranged from $403,277.78 to $481,110. Deutsche led the way
with seven such deals.
On each
transaction, the fee paid for the 28-day loan is equal to a rate of just 0.0078
percent.
The first
of these sweetheart deals began April 17, 2008. They ended nearly a year later
on March 5. On that day, Goldman Sachs borrowed about $5.8 billion and paid
just $450,000 for the privilege.
Goldman was one of four American firms that also paid that rock-bottom
rate. Citigroup, defunct investment bank Lehman Brothers, and Merrill Lynch,
which was gobbled up by Bank of America in a government-pushed transaction,
benefited from the save-Wall-Street-at-all-costs approach. Goldman and Citi got
the 0.0078 percent rate on five separate occasions, tops among U.S. banks.
The transactions
highlight the extraordinary steps taken by the Fed -- and encouraged by both
the Bush and Obama administrations -- to save Wall Street from its own
mistakes. Households and small businesses have not been as lucky.
Now, after
the first wave of $500 billion of personal Paulson 0% loans and gifts to banks
and financial firms (some at least giving back equity stakes) has not done the
trick, we hear that more taxpayer money will be needed if the American banking
system would survive its own mismanagement.
That is where
Bernanke comes in, with his Quantative Easing, 1.0, 2.0 and perhaps even 3.0.
The Wall Street
banks are the black hole. They just keeping eating more and more
American wealth. The more they eat,
the more they need. Feeding the
beast seems to be a never-ending saga.
Insert>
Alan: you
were wrong. Your policy was
doomed. AIG is gone; Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac are all but gone, all ghosts of their former selves, all shadows
slipping in to nothingness of the sea.
Wall Street is
gone, Alan. The investment banks
you so admired, which helped to fuel the global free-market bubble, and fly
proudly the great American flag of world financial leadership, have vanished or
gone in to hiding, begging the government for money; once proud titans, now
hat-in-hand, begging Congress for their own survival. How the mighty have fallen!
The Ôfree-marketÕ
is gone, too, Alan. We are heading,
inevitably, into an environment of protectionism, of tariffs, of limited trade,
of national responses to an international crisis, to international political
realignment, probably to world war.
And the ideology of the vainglorious Ôfree-market systemÕ, wherein noble
and virtuous corporate leaders and financiers would be wise and capable of
disciplining themselves, will not be mentioned again by serious policy-makers
for at least another half-century or so.
American capitalism has shamed itself on a huge public stage. American capitalism has given back all
it won after a century of battle with Marxist dogma, given it all back and then
some, because greedy bankers and politicians could not discipline themselves
and limit their own obsessive need to win.
Positive thinking,
and cheerleading the business model, is not the same as the moral leadership of
a nation. And it is not in the
nature of wanna-be billionaires (i.e., criminals) to discipline themselves when
no one is watching.
In early
2009, Alan, one in ten mortgages in America were either in foreclosure or under
water (are worth less than what is still owed on the mortgage). ÒUnder waterÓ is a symbol of the stage
of our Night-Cycle also, as we move from the Fire Element in to the Water
Element, the Flood of Chaos, the water rising in a metaphysical and
metaphorical sense.
In 2011, the
situation became even worse. (These
statistics come from The Business Insider.)
Las
Vegas, NV: 69.1% of mortgages under-water
Phoenix,
AZ: 56.55 of mortgages under-water
Orlando,
FL: 55.9% of mortgages under-water
Fort
Lauderdale: 51% of mortgages under-water
Tampa
FL: 49.4% of mortgages under-water
Riverside,
CA: 48.9% of mortgages under-water
Miami,
FL: 48.2% of mortgages under-water
Jacksonville,
FL: 47% of mortgages under-water
West
Palm Beach, FL: 44.3% of mortgages under-water
Sacramento,
CA: 42.8% of mortgages under-water
Warren,
MI: 42.5% of mortgages under-water
Atlanta,
GA: 34.4% of mortgages under-water
Oakland,
CA: 31.2% of mortgages under-water
Washington,
DC: 29.4% of mortgages under-water
Cleveland,
Ohio: 26.6% of mortgages under-water
These are
significant numbers. Many debt
advisors are encouraging home-owners to walk away from their house when it goes
under water as it becomes a losing proposition in terms of an investment. This hurts the borrowers credit rating
but it frees them from an obligation that is losing money – and many
home-owners are choosing to do this.
As the number of homes Ôunder waterÕ increases, these abandoned homes
will have to be added to the number of defaulted homes on the market, meaning
more houses for sale, a heavy backload that will continue to drag down home
prices in most areas in America.
The
Housing Bubble is a global phenomenon, of course. In 2011, the following global markets
had overpriced housing still, and were waiting for the bubble to break.
Australia:
56.4% overpriced housing
Hong
Kong: 53.7% overpriced housing
France:
48% overpriced housing
Spain:
43.7% overpriced housing
Sweden:
39.5% overpriced housing
Britain:
29.6% overpriced housing
Belgium:
23.7% overpriced housing
Netherlands:
20.8% overpriced housing
New
Zealand: 20.6% overpriced housing
Ireland:
19.9% overpriced housing *
Singapore:
18.1% overpriced housing
Denmark:
17.6% overpriced housing
*
After significant housing price corrections already
Although
statistics were not provided, housing bubbles in China, India, Vietnam, South
Africa, Russia, and Canada still existed in 2011, supported by central bank
borrowing, following policies of America and Dr. Bernanke.
In 2011,
the European nations of Greece, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Belgium and
others seemed more and more likely to default on money they had borrowed
through government bond auctions.
EU central bankers were essentially following Bernankes QE strategy to
buy increasingly worthless bonds issues by these countries in an attempt to
keep the interest rates from turning these countires bonds into junk bonds. As investors decline to purchase bonds
of nations in danger of default, such countries are forced to pay higher
interest in an attempt to attract buyers.
As a certain point, the higher interest makes the bond auctions
prohibitive. EU purchasing of these
bonds is an attempt to keep troubled nations from being unable to borrow money
in the publicly-traded bond markets.
If nations cannot borrow, then default is guaranteed. These nations are all struggling with a
constellation of difficulties: toxic bank loans; destroyed economies;
significant outlays for public pensions and social programs; inability to
recover from the 2008 global crash.
All are being instructed to cut back public spending significantly in an
attempt to avoid default – default, of course, hurts the banks most, and
senior bond holders, old money and institutional investyors. Austerity plans to balance budgets
mandated by EU central bankers affects government workers, government pension beneficiaries,
those least able to afford such belt-tightening. In Greece, England, France, Italy and
Germany, such belt-tightening measures have already led to major street
demonstrations and violent confrontations between police and demonstrators.
Of course, the
Night-Cycle is the time of Chaos, the rising of the Waters of Disorder, overt
class warfare between the rich and the poor.
In 2010-11,
floods in Pakistan, Australia, America, South Africa, France, and the
Phillippines have done major damage and killed many people. Major earthquakes in Australia (damaging
Christchurch, and destroying the Christchurch Cathedral) – this feels
like another symbol, in fact) and Japan, 8.9 magnitude – the Japanese
earthquake being accompanied by a huge Tsunami that swallowed up most of
northeast Japan, have displayed again a basic truth: Day-Cycles are about Man
dominating Nature; Night-Cycles are about Nature dominating (and getting even
with) Man.
It is not
just America that has overindulged in the Great Debt Orgy. Other nations in the developed world are
almost as guilty as America in this.
And if one lumps the Euro Area together as a group, Europeans are even
more guilty than Americans in debt-ingestion.
CDS yield
spreads:
The
Day-Cycle Mind believes in the straight line. That is how it works. Stay on point. Use the laws of cause and effect to get
things done, to solve problems. The
short path between two points is a straight line. But space is curved. The Day-Cycle mind is the diameter
inside the circle, the straight line that cuts the circle in two, divides the
world in to Day and Night.
The Night-Cycle
Mind understands cycles. The
Night-Cycle Mind is the circle.
Day-Cycle Minds
reading this book are growing increasingly perplexed and impatient. ÒGet to the point!Ó they are crying. ÒWhat is all this wandering; what are
all these digressions? There are
too many words. Simplify. Get ri of everything that is not to the
point!Ó
Are we in a hurry
to Ôget to the destinationÕ?
Why? So we can do something
else?
The journey, itself,
is the point, not just the destination.
Day-Cycle minds
love Hemmingway, and other writers who focus on story and action, John Grishom,
even Stephen King – they love Hollywood action movies also. Night-Cycle minds love Marcel Proust,
James Joyce, TS Eliot, Dylan Thomas – they love writing that focuses on
ideas;; writing is to educate more than it is to entertain; their favorite
director might even be the great German director Werner Herzog, whose classic
mystical movies of the 1980s were a revelation – who will be despised by
the Day-Cycle minds.
The
Day-Cycle Mind is single-minded, focused, and directed toward results. Poetry? What good is it? Can you sell it? (Anything that ÔsellsÕ is
ÔvaluableÕ. The Day-Cycle Mind was
called ÔPhillistineÓ in the Old Testament.) We want results, we want profits, we
want problems resolved! So, get out
of our wayÉwe want to win! (Or:
ÔFight, fight, fightÉ!Õ)
This is why the
Night-Cycle and Night-Cycle governance is so frustrating for Day-Cycle
types. Everything they do in the
daylight works for them, leads them from one triumph to the next. Everything they try to do in the
moonlight does not work, and leads them in to greater land greater frustration
and disappoiintment. They
desperately need and want someone to blame for their failures. The Scapegoat, as an astrological
symbol, appears at the very apex of the Night-Cycle, which is the very
bottoming of strength, the death-and-rebirth, of the Day-Cycle. Capricorn is the goat.
Business Insider expects many defaults and
lists countries most likely to default.
Of course the US, UK, and Japan have their own currencies and can print
more money to avoid default – or experience default through devaluation
of their currencies. BI bases its Ôcumulative probability of
defaultÕ on a combination of factors, included credit default swaps ( ),
current and projected, economic growth, agency ratings of
credit-worthiness. Credit default
swaps can be thought of as a type of insurance on the loan purchased by a
lender (or by any investor) from an Ôinsurance companyÕ – if the borrower
defaults, then the lender can use the default as a credit to swap the default
in exchange for repayment from the insurance company.
(We will remember
that AIG wrote some $400 billon credit default swaps on bad bank loans and had
no where near enough money to cover the costs of default. Of course, the government came to their
defense. What was our definition of
ÔlootingÕ again? Selling cds
obligations in excess of assets certainly qualifies. Goldman Sachs bought billions of credit
default swaps from AIG to cover mortgage defaults, and billions of CDS from
Citicorp and Lehman Brothers to cover a potential AIG default – both AIG
and Citicorp were bailed-out with tax-payer money; Lehman Brothers, Goldman
Sachs greatest and most bitter rival, was thrown to the wolves by Paulson and
his friends at Goldman Sachs.
Goldman Sachs made billions shorting AIG; and received its billions in
CDS value from the bailout of AIG, winning on both sides of the trade –
thanks to Hank Paulson. Ben
Bernanke went along with Paulson: ÒWe just had to fly by the seat of our
pants,Ó Bernanke explained. ÒJust
make things up as we went along.Ó
ÔMake things upÕ also means to lie.
Bernanke was afraid of Hank Paulson, and all of PaulsonÕs powerful
friends on Wall Street. Some might
even call these two ÔCo-Conspirators in a Trillion Dollar HeistÕ.)
As
expectations of default rise, so do yields on credit default swap –
making them more expensive to buy.
Nations
most likely to default, as calculated by Business
Insider in 2011, are:
Venezuela
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 1170.92
Greece
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 956.27
Argentina
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 646.67
Ireland
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 569.88
Portugal
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 460.88
Ukraine
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 460.75
Dubai
- 5-Year
CDS spread: 455
Bulgaria
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 248.28
Egypt
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 370
Vietnam
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 365
Lebanon
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 360
Bahrain
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 313.65
Hungary
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 304.19
Croatia
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 286.32
Romania
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 285
Bulgaria
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 248.28
Lithuania
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 260
Iceland
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 254.46
Bulgaria
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 248.28
Spain
- 5-Year CDS
spread: 245.91
As these
nations default, banks lose money again, and go looking for more bailouts from
central governments. These
secondary bailouts may not come. If
they donÕt come, banks default.
This is what debt
does. When it reaches a certain
state of density (perhaps a certain % of GDP), it morphs into something
impenetrable and toxic.
America
can always continue with its QE Ômoney printingÕ. It is not literally Ômoney printingÕ of
course – but it does many of the same things that real money printing
does, especially when it is finally unwound – which it must be at some
point. QE destroys the local
currency – that is one of its main goals. QE inflates the price of all commodities
that are trade in US Dollars.
QE allows banks
to borrow money from the Fed at .1% interst and loan it to Brazil, for
instance, at 11% or so. This is the
carry-trade. The massive inflow of
capital to Brazil (and other countries with higher interest rates) pushes up
inflation in these countries – and they usually respond by raising
interest rates, which makes the carry-trade even more profitable. When these nations push up their
interest rates, they also strengthen their currency, which makes American products
even more competitive as imports.
China, India, Thailand, Brazil – Vietnam soon – have raised
interest rates recently because of the Ôimported inflationÕ that American
banks, through BernankeÕs policy, are currently practicing. There is a negative side for Americans
also, as one might expect. The
rising inflation around the world makes goods and services more expensive at
home – food products – commodities – oil. So, not only do American consumers get
to pay more at the marketeplace, they also get to pay back the loans the Fed is
borrowing to make this carry-trade work for the banks. QE is not free. The money it borrows will have to be
paid back int the future. Also,
American consumer cannot pursue the ÔrisklessÕ investment of saving their money,
as the forced interest rate contraction policy forces investors out of safe
savings accounts in to the more volatile stock, commodity, currency, or (this
was BernankeÕs original plan) housing.
If Americans do pile in to the Bernanke Bull Market rally and end up
losing money when the market corrects, much of this will be due to the fact of
the unnatural low interest rates that BernankeÕs plan required.
We emphasize
again the famous quote of John Maynard Keynes, noted economist, upon whose work
Bernanke and the current government claims to be acting:
ÒBy a
continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and
unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.Ó
This, in fact, is
what the Bernanke policy of bubble-creation is doing.
America
desperately needs to increase its savings rate. Bernanke is making sure this cannot
happen by squatting on interest rates like an old woman relieving herself in
the woods.
Stocks are
rallying in 2011 – and many Americans believe that America is back on the
right track, and Dr. Bernanke is the man to thank for this. (Of course, his anti-Dollar policies
were also removing profits from the pockets of American investors trading in US
Dollar-denominated securities. Most
didnÕt realize that they were putting stock market profits in one pocket and
taking stock market profits out of the other pocket.)
But
BernankeÕs policies have caused problems, and are leading to an uncertain, and
perhaps tragic, end. In 2011 food riots
broke out in many places in the world, including China, India, Algeria,
Tunisia, Bangladesh. The Algerian
riots kick-started a series of street riots that led to revolutions in Tunisia
and Egypt and a civil war in Libya, and increasing uneasiness politically
– with major street demonstrations – in nearly every Arab nation in
the Middle East, including Saudia Arabia, something unheard of before
2011. The price of oil rocketed
higher, as speculators stepped in to manipulate unbalanced markets. Emerging market economies and stock
markets in China, Argentina, Indonesia, India, Bangladesh, and Turkey all fell
as higher interest rates took some of the punch out of earlier economic
ÔrecoveryÕ euphoria – that is, the eupohhoria caused by cheap money
Ôextend and pretendÕ tactic that was followed by most of the world.
ÒSaint
AlanÕs Miraculous Debt-MachineÓ
MJClark 2010
Central
bankers seem to know only one button in their arsenal of choices: the ÔINFLATEÕ
button. BernankeÕs policies did ignite
asset prices, which was his plan.
He was trying to buy time with more bubbles. Higher stock prices would
make Americans ÔfeelÕ rich again, even though over a trillion of household
wealth had been torched in 2008.
But BernankeÕs game of bank arbitrage to try to pad American bank
balance sheets and borrow, borrow, borrow had a price.
It was the same
old game Greenspan had played: blow bubbles through inflation and pretend it
was economic growth.
Stocks
went up; the price of every commodity went up; the price of oil went up; and
the US Dollar went down. There was
even talk that the US Dollar would lose its place as the standard fiat currency
of the world. First, American
Business off-shored itÕs high-paying manufacturing jobs; now it is offshoring
its inflaltion.
The price
of gold and other precious metals soared.
Our formula says raise interest rates at the beginning of a Night-Cycle
(1965; now 2001), lower interest rates at the beginning of a Day-Cycle (1947;
1983; 2019É). Our formula also says
buy gold and other commodities and sell the US Dollar at the beginning of a
Night-Cycle (1965; 2001), and sell gold and buy the US Dollar at the beginning
of a Day-Cycle (1983; 2019). The
chart below shows what gold has done since 2001 – it has gone straight
up.
The charts
below show the appreciating Night-Cycle gold prices (and depreciating Day-Cycle
gold prices) for different time sequences: the first chart shows the Dow-Gold
Ratio (Dow Jones Industrial Average divided by the price of gold) for the last
Day-Cycle (1983-2001), and then the beginnings of the Night-Cycle
(2001-current); the second chart shows only the price of gold (in terms of US
Dollars) for part of the Night-Cycle (1965-1983), all of the succeeding
Day-Cycle (1983-2001), and part of the current Night-Cycle (2001-2019). As we noted: gold climbs during the
Night-Cycle and falls during the Day-Cycle. The third chart shows the Dow/Gold ratio
(a chart I have built) over the last century, with very clear demarcations of
Day Cycle growth and Night Cycle contraction.
The fourth chart
below shows an historical chart of the Gold/Dow Jones relationship during
marked Night-Cycles and Day-Cycles.
This chart , like the first chart, will show the ratio declining during
the Night-Cycles – that is, the Dow in terms of the price of gold
declines) – and rallying during the Day-Cycles. The Night-Cycle 1893-1911 seems to be an
anomaly. Otherwise the inverse
relationship of gold and the US Dollar during 18-year cycles of inflation and
deflation seems to hold true historically.
Chart One:
Dow/Gold Ratio last Day/Night Cycle
Chart Two: Gold Prices Last Night/Day/Night-Cycles
Chart
Three: Dow/Gold Ratio 20th Century and current Night-Cycle
(2001-2019)
One will
note in the chart above a very clear breakdown of this price indicator in terms
of Day/Night-Cycles.
Day-Cycle:
1911-1929
Night-Cycle:
1929-1947
Day-Cycle:
1947-1965
Night-Cycle:
1965-1983
Day-Cycle:
1983-2001
Night-Cycle:
2001-2019
NOTE: The
current rally in stocks is not occurring in terms of the Dow/Gold Ratio. It is only occurring in terms of the
Dow/Dollar Ratio. Stocks rallying
while the Dollar declines is a wash, an illusion – money coming in and
money going out at the same time.
Only when stocks and the Dollar rally together are Americans becoming
richer. The Bernanke Rally is an
illusion meant to make Americans feel better about themselves and their government.
Bond Vigilantes Balk at BernankeÕs Inflation Policies
BernankeÕs
Quantatative Easing plans have inflated prices world-wide but have not
successfully inflated housing prices in America or globally. Housing continues to be a drag on
American and global economic growth and on global bank recoveries.
Part of
BernankeÕs plan was to keep interest rates low to spark another housing bubble
to erase the debt contagion that seized global markets in 2008 and rendered
them frozen. QE 1 successfully worked
in terms of keeping mortgage rates low – and government housing
give-aways (free $8,000 grants to first-time home-buyers) did cause a
short-lived rally in American housing.
Now the double-dip in prices is here.
The problem is that there is already too
much debt in the system, American wealth has been shrunk by about a trillion
dollars, and houses in America are still too expensive vis-ˆ-vis ÔrealÕ
mortgages and ÔrealÕ wages. Banks
could continue to issue Ôliar-loansÕ and Ôguaranteed-to-failÕ loans – but
they would only result in more failure, defaults and foreclosures. The more foreclosures, the more
inventory of homes on the market, the more prices would fall.
Also, the
bond vigilantes have stepped into (or out of) the bond markets, refusing to
participate in the Bernanke plan (the depreciation of the US Dollar plan). Interest rates began to rise, in the
face of BernankeÕs announcement of QE2.
The Bank of Tokyo chart below shows a rally in US Treasury yields,
mortgage rates, and oil and commodity prices that began right after BernankeÕs
ambitious QE2 plans to further inflate the world economy.
Remember,
inflation is the way that the government (and the banks) steal your money.
Higher interest
rates would torpedo BernankeÕs QE strategy, slowing the economic recovery,
strengthening (eventually) the US Dollar, and making American debts more
expensive, global defaults more likely.
In 2011,
the government announced that the CCPI, Core Consumer Price Index, went
negative for the first time since 1982.
Remember, our Day-Cycle Inflation/Expansion began in 1983. BernakeÕs QE inflation plans were
failing. Deflation was still a
factor, even as rioting and revolutions around the globe were occurring because
of BernankeÕs carry-trade policy to repair American bank balance-sheets.
This
seemed to suggest that, despite the trillions that the American government (and
and through the Fed) was spending to fight off deflation , the War of Deflation
was being lost.
The Fed used Quantatative
Easing to step into the bond market to make sure US TBonds did not become junk
bonds as potential bond-buyers backed away and bought gold and commodities
instead. The Fed tried to use its
trillions to make it look like everything was still ok in America. American Treaasury Bonds were still
desired when investors retreated toward ÔqualityÕ in the markets. This was an illusion, of course. At some point the Fed was going to have
to stop buying TBonds, and unwind its balance sheet – i.e., sell the bonds
it had bought. Who would be the
buyers then? And, at what
price? Remember, when buyers are
eager to buy bonds, yields remain low.
When no one trusts a sellers bonds, and buyers become scarce, the
issuing entity must pay more to find buyers – interest rates or yields go
up – and the issuer must pay more to secure loans.
The Clusterstock
Chart of the Day below shows: 1) who bought US Treasury Bonds prior to the
Continuing Crash that began in 2008: the Fed bought 10%; US buyers bought 40%;
and foreign buyers bought 50%; 2) who is buying TBonds now: the Fed is buying
70%; foreign buyers are buying 30%; and other US buyers are buying 0%; 3) who
will buy TBonds in the future, when the Fed is forced to unwind its balance
sheet, removing 70% of the current buyers?
Bill
Gross, AmericaÕs Ôbond chiefÕ, who runs Pimco corporation, the worldÕs largest
bond company . In a
strangely-titled article to investors penned in November 2010, Gross announced
that, because of Bernanke and Quantatative Easting, the 30-year bull market in
treasury bonds was over.
Run Turkey, Run
¥The FedÕs
announcement of a renewed commitment to Quantitative Easing has been well
telegraphed and the marketÕs reaction is likely to be subdued.
¥We are in a
Òliquidity trap,Ó where interest rates or trillions in asset purchases may not
stimulate borrowing or lending because consumer demand is just not there.
¥The FedÕs
announcement will likely signify the end of a great 30-year bull market in
bonds and the necessity for bond managers and, yes, equity managers to adjust
to a new environment.
They say a
country gets the politicians it deserves or perhaps it deserves the politicians
it gets. Whatever the order, America is next in line, and as we go to the polls
in a few short days itÕs incumbent upon a sleepy and befuddled electorate to at
least ask ourselves, ÒWhatÕs going on here?Ó Democrat or Republican, Elephant
or Donkey, nothing much ever seems to change. Each party has shown it can add
hundreds of billions of dollars to the national debt with little to show for it
or move our military from one country to the next chasing phantoms instead of
focusing on more serious problems back home. This isnÕt a choice between
chocolate and vanilla folks, itÕs all rocky road: a few marshmallows to get you
excited before the election, but with a lot of nuts to ruin the aftermathÉ.
When Bill
Gross speaks, the bond markets stop and take notice.
In March
2011, Gross announced that he had sold all treasury bonds and would not be
buying more. Gross added: ÒThere is
no way out of this debt trap.Ó
According to
Gross, if the US transitions to a Bernanke-QE3, spending more borrowed money to
defiate the dollar and inflate asset prices, yields on government securities
will increase by at least 150 basis points by 2012, resulting in large gains
for those shorting the 30-year TBond.
Apparently
the only thing that can save America – and save American TBonds from
becoming junk bonds – is a meltdown of Europe, through default and social
chaos – whereby the US TBond again becomes, for reason of political
secturity – the flight-to-quality choice of world investors with no where
else to go.
But could America
be so stupid as to opt for QE3 – to continue the Ahabic hunt for the
White Whale of Perpetual Inflation?
We have shown how Bernanke-QE policies have led to higher prices around
the world, food riots, political eruptions and revolutions in the Middle-East. We have shown how the stealth
devaluation of the Dollar through QEasing drives prices of gold and oil higher.
We understand
that higher oil prices will, if they continue to rise, choke off the
government-sponsored ÔrecoveryÕ in the global market. Higher oil prices will make
manufacturing and transportation cost and consumer expenses rise, causing
another downturn in the global economy.
But how would more QE cure that?
QE would cause oil to rise even higher, would it not? Could anyone really suggest that more inflation of commoditiesÕ prices
would be muted by another round of Quantatative Easing?
Apparently so.
Atlanta Fed
President Dennis Lockhart has suggested that higher oil prices might justify
QE3. We should not assume that Lockhart is not working to prepare the public for
another round of Bernanke insanity.
Lockhart, speaking
before a conference of busniness leaders said: "If [the rising price
of oil] plays through to the broad economy in a way that portends a recession,
I would take a position we would respond with more accommodation.Ó
Does Lockhart not
understand that QE is causing higher
oil prices?
QE, in
truth, is not a stimulus for the
economy as a whole: it is a stimulus for bankers and for bond and stock
markets. What Lockhart is really saying
is that the only card the Fed is currently holding is asset inflation in stocks
and bonds that cannot be allowed to fail, even if it does cause oil to inflate
further.
Lockhart
continued: ÒI think at the $120 rangeÉ.this is a manageable level. Around $150 (a barrel), it becomes a
much more serious concern.Ó
Lockhart is not currently a member of the Fed Open Market Committee.
Not all Fed
members share his view.
Dallas Fed
President Richard Fisher, who is a voting member, stirred up a bit of controversy
earlier in February when he said he
would vote to end QE2. Fisher said:
ÒI remain doubtful enough as to its efficacy that if at any time between now
and June, it should prove demonstrably counterproductive, I will vote to
curtain or perhaps discontinue it (QE1).Ó
There is
disagreement in the Fed camp on Quantatative Easing.
Where does
Bernanke stand on QE3. (QE is the
only card Bernanke is holding.)
In a speech to
the National Press Club in December 2010, Bernanke suggested that QE3 was coming.
"In
the end, we'll just ask the same questions. Where's the economy going, and what
do various inflation indicators look like? We'll ask those questions. If
unemployment is still too low, then we may continue. If we're moving towards
full employment, then we won't need to stimulate more."
Bernanke
is being disingenuous. He knows
that QE3 is a bank bailout, not an economic stimulus. If he was honest he would have said:
ÒWhereÕs the economy going, and what do vaious inflation indicators look like, and do the banks need more capital to
protect themselves against continuing losses from toxic debts.Ó
The real quandary
of Quantative Easing is the unwinding of course. If the banks were actually lending the
money the Fed is giving them, we would have massive inflation. Instead, the banks are profiting off the
ÔfreeÕ money to improve their balance sheets – they are holding the money
instead of lending it. They are making profits playing the
carry-trade game. US inflation is
muted because of this. The only way
to make QE work as a stimulus would be for the banks to start loaning the
money, in order to inaugurate another bubble. QE, as it works now, is not an economic
stimulus process – it is a contuing bank bailout, nothing more. The stimulus – the non-bank
business bailout – which has moved the economy a fraction, has come from
the government, not from the Fed.
Bernanke has
instructed the US government that it needs to provide more stimulus – and
it needs to practice more fiscal restraint. That is the standard conservative line:
government needs to lay o ff government workers and cut government pensions and
it needs to leave taxes alone.
Today, the US
national debt has reached a grand total of $14,137,541,098,8872.71. It is 14 times larger than it was just 30 years
ago. It is the largest single debt
in the history of the world.
The three
charts below show (1) Total Debt vs National Debt; (2) Public Debt (orange
line) and Total Public Debt (black line); (3) Public Debt (orange line) and
Total Public Debt (black line) as a % of Gross Domestic Product. Some may view this final chart as more
positive. However, as GDP shrinks,
because of economic depression, and debt increases, especially Public Debt, via
QEasing, this chart also will deteriorate.
America has other
shocks coming as well.
Commercial Real Estate: the Other Shoe That Is
Droppingn
In
February 2010, a US Congressional Oversight Panel published an 190 page study
of commercial real estate in America. The conclusion:
Executive Summary
Over the
next few years, a wave of commercial real estate loan failures could threaten
AmericaÕs already-weakened financial system. The Congressional Oversight Panel
is deeply concerned that commercial loan losses could jeopardize the stability
of many banks, particularly the nationÕs mid-size and smaller banks, and that
as the damage spreads beyond individual banks that it will contribute to
prolonged weakness throughout the economy.
Between
2010 and 2014, about $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans will reach
the end of their terms. Nearly half are at present ÒunderwaterÓ – that
is, the borrower owes more than the underlying property is currently worth.
Commercial property values have fallen more than 40 percent since the beginning
of 2007. Increased vacancy rates, which now range from eight percent for
multifamily housing to 18 percent for office buildings, and falling rents,
which have declined 40 percent for office space and 33 percent for retail
space, have exerted a powerful downward pressure on the value of commercial
properties.
The
largest commercial real estate loan losses are projected for 2011 and beyond;
losses at banks alone could range as high as $200-$300 billion. The stress
tests conducted last year for 19 major financial institutions examined their
capital reserves only through the end of 2010.
Even more
significantly, small and mid-sized banks were never subjected to any exercise
comparable to the stress tests, despite the fact that small and mid-sized banks
are proportionately even more exposed than their larger counterparts to
commercial real estate loan losses.
A
significant wave of commercial mortgage defaults would trigger economic damage
that could touch the lives of nearly every American. Empty office complexes,
hotels, and retail stores could lead directly to lost jobs. Foreclosures on
apartment complexes could push families out of their residences, even if they
had never missed a rent payment. Banks that suffer, or are afraid of suffering,
commercial mortgage losses could grow even more reluctant to lend, which could
in turn further reduce access to credit for more businesses and families and
accelerate a negative economic cycle.
It
is difficult to predict either the number of foreclosures to come or who will
be most immediately affected. In the worst case scenario, hundreds more
community and mid-sized banks could face insolvency. Because these banks play a
critical role in financing the small businesses that could help the American
economy create new jobs, their widespread failure could disrupt local
communities, undermine the economic recovery, and extend an already painful
recession.
Things can get worse.
The above
chart of delinquency rates shows pretty clearly that all real estate loans are
in trouble. Credit card
delinquencies and defaults began to decline in 2009. Some analysts saw this as a good sign
that Americans were spending less and saving more. No, not really. But the mystery was solved. Banks were writing off about $20 billion
each quarter from early 2009 through early 2010, almost exactly equal to the
amount of the decline in outstanding credit card debt. So the tick-down was really an illusion,
a sort of ÔGet Out of Jail Card EarlyÕ for some borrowers.
The
message is: the Ôloan problemÕ is still getting worse; it is not getting
better. Delinquencies, defaults,
and Ôwalk-awaysÕ are increasing.
Commercial
real estate loans are getting worse by the moment, in all of the categories of
real estate loans.
Rents are
falling; the vacancy rates for apartments are rising; and apartment CRE
borrowers are heading toward default.
This is what deflation is.
Deflation is the forced
balancing of nature, after the imblance of Day-Cycle hyper-activity. The emptying out is the Night-Cycle
balancing act.
National
real-estate values are still crashing.
Delinquencies
and defaults are occurring across the board: real-estate loans, consumer loans,
higher-education student loans; and the picture for housing only gets worse through
2013 as exotic Ôcheater-loansÕ, Ôliar-loansÕ and Ô0-interest adjustable-rate
housing loansÕ through the end of 2013.
Yes, Alan,
it is clearly worse than you (and your successor Ben Bernanke) ever could have
imagined.
Alan Greenspan
once said: " I know you think you understand what you thought I said but
I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant," So, I guess anything is possible.
Another Shoe: How Many US States, Counties, Cities
Will Default?
The Muni-Bond Market Meltdown.
I have
outlined above the worldÕs countries that are most likely to default (using Business InsiderÕs data and
projections). America has a similar
problem. States, counties, and
municipalities all over the country are now confronting the same situation as
are countries of Europe, Eastern Europe and the Middle East: of having not
planned for the Night-Cycle to arrive and reverse economic expansion, of having
too many debts and not enough revenue and savings to pay down its debt, with tax
bases shrinking as citizens lose jobs and become recipients of public
assistance. States, counties and
cities are essentially on the slow train to bankruptcy; and there is not much
they and their governments can now do about it.
What could
they have done about it? They could
have planned for economic downturns as regular, inevitable, natural occurrences
instead of allowing the philosophy of Ôpositive thinkingÕ to lure them into a
belief that it might be Ôdifferent this timeÕ. As home-owners are Ôunder waterÕ, state
governmentÕs are also Ôunder waterÕ.
It is never different this
time.
Meredith
Whitney, a stock analyst who had successfully predicted the collapse of the
AmericaÕs housing market (and the collapse of the big banks on Wall Street),
startled and angered some viewers when she appeared on CBS television in
December 2010 and announced the likelihood that as many as 100 US state and
local governments would default on their debts. She also predicted a massive collapse of
the muni-bond markets.
WhitneyÕs
predictions were soon countered by other analysts, who claimed her predictions
were wrong, too extremes, or even designed to Ôgrab headlinesÕ. One of these analysts wrote the
following response:
Meredith Whitney Is Wrong About Muni Bonds
The Dynamic
Wealth Report
February
17, 2011
by Jay
Chernoff, Editor
Meredith
Whitney is wrong.
Who is
Meredith Whitney? SheÕs a former
Oppenheimer analyst who famously predicted the Banking Crisis of 2008. Since then, Whitney has become something
of a rock star on Wall Street. She
left her old gig and started her own company (creatively named Meredith Whitney
Advisory Group).
Make no
mistake, Meredith Whitney knows banks.
I certainly wouldnÕt bet against any of her banking industry
predictions.
But
municipal bondsÉ now thatÕs a different story.
Whitney
has been all over the news lately with her doom and gloom predictions about
municipal bonds. SheÕs forecasting
nothing less than total Armageddon in the muni bond market. According to Whitney, weÕre on the verge
of collapse in state and local governments.
ThatÕs
a bit much, Meredith. I appreciate
your vigor. YouÕve definitely
stirred up a hornetÕs nestÉ and IÕm sure youÕve picked up a few clients for
your shiny, new, self-named company.
But frankly, itÕs irresponsible for a respected analyst, such as
yourself, to participate in fear-mongering. ThereÕs enough of that going around
already.
Unfortunately,
I donÕt think sheÕs listeningÉ
The
facts simply donÕt support WhitneyÕs catastrophic predictions. Her ÒconservativeÓ estimates call for 50
to 100 large muni bond defaults within the year. WhatÕs more, sheÕs forecasting losses of
a staggering $200 billion or more.
Folks, itÕs simply not going to happen. You can stop stockpiling canned food in
your basement. Your local
government will survive. Chaos will
not reign in the streets of America.
This isnÕt Egypt.
Yes,
there will be some defaults. No
doubt, some muni bonds will fail.
But what Whitney claimsÉ no way.
Check
this outÉ According to municipal
bond experts, in the six weeks since WhitneyÕs proclamation, thereÕs been ONE
default. It was for the grand sum
of $6 million.m For WhitneyÕs
claims to come true, thereÕd have to be over $4 billion in defaults every week
for the rest of year. In fact, if
the 50 largest cities in the US defaulted on their debt, it would only add up
to $83 billion.
Is
$200 billion in muni defaults even possible?
HereÕs
the dealÉ The widespread fear over
municipal bonds (widespread in part because of WhitneyÕs campaign on national
TV) is based on state and local governments seeing lower revenues and higher
expenses. In this case, revenues
are taxes. And tax receipts are down
mostly because property values are depressed. Meanwhile, expenses are rising mostly due
to pensions. Many government
workers are at retirement age and expect to start collecting their
pensions. ItÕs a tough combination
for sureÉ but hardly one guaranteeing mass defaults.
You
see, governments have more options than corporations do. Like corporations, governments have the
option of cutting expenses by reducing the workforce, cutting pay, or halting
projects (such as repaving roads or building a new park).
But
unlike corporations, governments have a virtually guaranteed way to increase revenues. They can raise taxes. If a corporation raises prices,
customers can shop elsewhere. If a
local government raises taxes, people have to move away to avoid those
taxes. And moving is a major
undertaking on many levels.
A
small to medium increase in sales tax or property tax is generally not going to
cause people to make drastic changes to their lives. And I certainly consider relocating to
be a drastic change.
Simply
put, if a government needs to avoid default, they usually can find a way to do
so. It may be unpopular, but it can
and will happen, particularly in larger cities. This isnÕt to say pensions arenÕt a
problem. They certainly are. But itÕs a problem that will occur over
timeÉ and can also be solved over time – especially if the economy
continues to improve.
HereÕs
the bottom lineÉMunicipal bonds arenÕt quite as safe as theyÕve been
historicallyÉ but theyÕre a long way from experiencing a catastrophe. Meredith WhitneyÕs national crusade
against munis is nothing more than a way to gain publicity – and clients
– for her new company.
Fortunately,
thereÕs an opportunity to profit from this situation. Municipal bonds have sold off sharply
since Whitney canvassed the major networks with her anti-muni campaign. Now, fear-based selling has pushed muni
bonds into deeply oversold territory.
So, if youÕre holding municipal bonds in your portfolio already, donÕt
sell. Chances are, your investment
is safe.
And if
youÕre not holding any muni bonds, nowÕs a great time to buy. If you donÕt want to pick and choose
between individual muni bonds, you can always go the ETF route. Funds like iShares S&P National Muni
Bond ETF (MUB) are good, safe ways to invest in diversified baskets of muni
bonds.
Meredith
Whitney had her day in the sun. But
her latest prediction of mass municipal bond failure is over the top. But, we can still make money off of
WhitneyÕs forecastÉ by taking the opposite side. Ignore the fear tactics. And donÕt be afraid to add municipal
bonds to your portfolioÉ.
Mister Chernoff
may be right. But Mister Chernoff
is trying to sell his reader something.
HeÕs trying to sell the reader municipal bonds. He has probably lost money when Ms.
WhitneyÕs prediction led to a steep
correction in the Muni-Bond markets. I have read this kind of defense of the
status quo too often recently from those proclaiming a defense of the system,
accusing critics of Ôfear-mongerersÕ and Ônegative thinkersÕ – almost
enemies of the state. Enemies
standing in the way of their prosperity.
This frustration of the Day-Cycle players, the oneÕs losing money from
the Night-Cycle contract, will grow greater and greater. They will look for someone to blame for
their loss. The Scapegoat Factor
will get stronger. Ultimately, they
will want a sacrificial victim – the Entitlement Factor -- to take on all
their sins and free them from NatureÕs wrath.
We will, of
course, look at this reality and need more closely as we move through the book.
The Ônegative
thinkersÕ always get blamed. The
women, the men with dark skins, the Dark Force – they are the reason the
world is shrinking.
Of course, the
world needs to shrink. The world
regularly shrinks and then expands; and then it shrinks again.
There was a time
in which Meredith Whitney would have been called Ôa witchÕ for making such z
prediction. It is the same
mechanism at work today, only different times we are living in. It is the same mechanism as Joe McCarthy
in the 1950Õs: make a boogy-man of the shadow for political gain.
WhitneyÕs
predictions did cause a stir in the
Muni-Bond markets in fact.
Nouriel
Roubini, so-called Doctor Doom, who also gained fame for predicting the Housing
Bubble collapse and subsequent economic implosion, disagrees with Ms. WhitneyÕs
prediction – disagrees with the scale of the problem in terms of
defaults. He does not, however,
dismiss the problem.
Some people think
we are on the verge of recovery.
These are people without access to Night-Cycle vision – the ÔMagic
GlassesÕ of metaphorical vision which allow one to see into the Future. There will be no recovery until around
2019 – and to get this recovery in 2019, debt-reduction needs to be
accomplished, through higher-interest rates, higher taxes (taxes on wealth) and
focused government spending on social programs that help people survive through
the difficult decade to come.
There will be a
LOT more balancing before the imbalances are sufficiently addressed – and
a HUGE imbalance currencly is the gap between the rich and the poor in America.
The Day-Cycle
increases this gap; the Night-CycleÕs job, duty, in fact, is to reduce the gap
between the rich and poor.
As the
chart below indicates, in 2007, the top 1% of Americnas in terms of wealth
owned 35% of the nations Ônet worthÕ and 43% of the nationÕs Ôfinancial worthÕ. The top 10% owned 73% of the nationÕs
Ônet worthÕ and 83% of the nationÕs Ôfinancial worthÕ. The bottom 80% of American, in terms of
total wealth, owned 15% of AmericaÕs Ônet worthÕ and only 7% of AmericaÕs
Ôfinancial worthÕ.
This is
appalling.
America needs
money to pay off its mounting deficits.
Taxes should also be used to narrow this gap between the nationÕs
richest and poorest – and this should be done during every Night-Cycle.
America is
struggling to pay its bills – and instead of taxing the richest citizens,
the top 10 richest percent, who account for 83% of the nationÕs financial weath
and 73% of the nations net worth we are trying to reduce salaries, benefits and
rights or eliminate jobs altogether on the 80% of Americans who own only 7% of
the nationÕs financial worth and 15% of AmericaÕs net worth.
This is immoral
– and, I will use the word again, this is Ôun-ChristianÕ.
The Devil wants
absolute control. The Devil wants a
return to feudalism – the goal of the Day-Cycle mind is absolute control
and absolute suppression of his personal demon. Ahab, meet Moby Dick.
Roubini
worries that trouble will come from the states, counties and cities because of spending
cuts that reduce jobs and benefits, and this contraction will create more
problems for the federal government.
Roubini writes:
"Whether
or not we have a new financial crisis worse than the last one, or even a
depression, state and local finances
will continue to be a major drag on U.S. economic activity. This is not
because of defaults; rather, to avoid default and pay for past promises,
spending will be constrained, employees will be laid off and taxes will rise.
State and local spending is US$1.8 trillion or one-eighth of U.S. GDP; and
employs over 19 million individuals, almost 15% of non-farm employment. Some
268,000 government jobs have been lost at the state and local level in the past
year, despite federal assistance."
The
Democrats talk about raising taxes of the rich (and they are shouted down by
angry conservatives); the Republicans (the angry conservatives) scream about
cutting spending, especially for
social program, pension, worker rights, worker salaries – the
so-called Ôfree-lunch factorÕ for government workers.
In truth, America
needs to cut spending AND raise taxes.
And it needs to raise taxes on the very rich, and on the very rich
corporations; and it needs to cut spending on military expansion, and other
sacred cows that angry conservatives are not willing to touch.
This
energy for blaming – the Democrats wanting to blame the Big Banks and Big
Business, and the Republicans wanting to blame Big Governsment (Big Government
was ÔsocialismÕ in the minds of most Republican adversaries) – unfolding
dramatically in Wisconsin last month as Republican governor Scott Walker
publicly made state government workers, essentially, the enemies of the state
and the cause of WisconsinÕs fiscal decline, WalkerÕs publicly-stated goal was to
pass legislation that stripped the government workerÕs union in Wisconsin of
its rights to collectively bargain for wages and for benefits. The drama resulted in the capitol being
besieged by thousand of protesting state workers and their families opposing the
governor inside and (mostly) outside the legislative building,
When it was clear
that the Republicans had the votes to pass the legislation, 14 Democratic
senators actually traveled to neighboring Illinois to avoid attending the
session and constituting a quorum so that the lefislation could be passed. They remained in Illinois for 3
weeks. The governor threatened to
send state troopers to forcefully bring the legislators back. In Wisconsin, any legislation approving
spending requires a quorum of 24 senators to vote on the bill.
Democrat Senate
Minority Leader Mark Miller spoke to the press immediately after the vote,
saying: ÒIn 30 minutes, 18 state senators undid 50 years of civil rights in
Wisconsin. Their disrespect for the people of Wisconsin and their rights is an
outrage that will never be forgotten.
Tonight, 18 Senate Republicans conspired to take government away from
the people.Ó
Justin Sargent, a
staffer to Senator Chris Larson (D-Wis.) called the maneuver completely
unexpected. It showed, he added, that this Òobviously wasnÕt about any kind of
financing, it was an attack on working families.Ó
Governor
Walker was overjoyed. ÒI applaud
the LegislatureÕs action today to stand up to the status quo and take a step in
the right direction to balance the budget and reform government,Ó Walker said
in a written statement.
Soon after the
parliamentary maneuver to strip state workers of salaries, benefits and
bargaining rights, the Huffington Post, a liberal news organization, published
the following story:
Wisconsin State Senate Republicans Took
Hundreds Of Thousands In Government Farm Subsidies
WASHINGTON
-- At least three of the Wisconsin state Senate Republicans currently demanding
that public workers sacrifice benefits, wages and even collective bargaining
rights for the sake of the budget have applied for and received hundreds of
thousands of dollars in federal farm subsidies, a Huffington Post review of
state and federal records shows.
From 1995 through
2009, state Sens. Luther Olsen, Dale Schultz and Sheila Harsdorf all had stakes
in farms that received between them more than $300,000 in taxpayer funds.
Those
federal appropriations had no direct impact on the stateÕs current budget woes,
but the cash spent on those subsidies, which went to support a range of
functions -- from soybean production to small hog operations -- could have been
used elsewhere, perhaps even in Wisconsin. More than that, critics say, it
muddles the notion, pushed by these lawmakers and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker
(R), that only they are serious about reining in an overextended, overspent
government.
ÒMembers of both
parties ... preach fiscal austerity all the time, but then when it comes to
farm subsides going to farmers in their districts, they think the spigot should
remain wide open,Ó said Don Carr, a spokesman and policy adviser for the
Environmental Working Group, which tracks and critiques federal farm subsidies.
As the
Night-Cycle takes hold, the Ôclass warfareÕ will become more intense. The Wisconsin struggle will be repeated
all over the country, at state, county and city level, and also at the federal
government level.
Where Did All the Jobs Go
Six
million jobs for American workers have vanished. Even more millions of jobs for global
workers have vanished. Suicides,
mental illness, alcoholism, divorce, crimeÉ.these are all real side effects of
the destruction of our economy.
Where did
all the jobs go?
We know that
millions of jobs were outsourced by American businesses from 1983-2001, sent to
Mexico, South America, China, India, Vietnam.
Why was this
allowed to happen? In order to
increase the gap in America between the richest and the poorest? In order to provide Big Business with
higher profits, greater stock option wealth, and larger bonuses?
This is one of
the places the next war for America will have to be fought.
You say
the loss of jobs through outsourcing is not significant? Pictures suggest a different story.
These jobs
may never be coming back to America, if Big Business has its way. As we speak, American companies are
using stimulus money given by the US government (American taxpayersÕ money) to
hire foreign workers overseas instead of American workers in America. Government welfare to stressed
corporations has been used to continue to shift jobs away from America. Where the Almighty Dollar is the only
concern, then Big Business has no loyalty.
As the chart
below indicates, this is no ordinary recession. This is a depression. And this depression is not over and will
not be over as long as Big Business is telling America what to do and no longer
being told what to do by America.
Jobs are being added by American Business in this so-called recovery
from the 2008 Wall Street Titanic Collapse – but they are not being added
in America, they are being added in foreign countries, they are adding foreign
workers, who cost American business less money and less benefits than American
workers would cost.
One cannot serve
two masters. Either one is an
American and puts Americans first – or one is no longer an American and
should no longer receive the benefits of being an American citizen. Clearly companies that are continuing to
hire foreign workers instead of American workers (and using American taxpayersÕ
money to do so) should be punished for this by being required to pay a higher
tax rate.
Pallavi
Gogoi writes in his article, December 2010: ÒJob Market Booming Overseas for
Many American CcompaniesÓ:
Corporate
profits are up. Stock prices are up. So why isn't anyone hiring?
Actually,
many American companies are – just maybe not in your town. They're hiring
overseas, where sales are surging and the pipeline of orders is fat
More
than half of the 15,000 people that Caterpillar Inc. has hired this year were
outside the U.S. UPS is also hiring at a faster clip overseas. For both
companies, sales in international markets are growing at least twice as fast as
domestically.
The
trend helps explain why unemployment remains high in the United States, edging
up to 9.8 percent last month, even though companies are performing well: All
but 4 percent of the top 500 U.S. corporations reported profits this year, and
the stock market is close to its highest point since the 2008 financial
meltdown.
But
the jobs are going elsewhere. The Economic Policy Institute, a Washington think
tank, says American companies have created 1.4 million jobs overseas this year,
compared with less than 1 million in the U.S. The additional 1.4 million jobs
would have lowered the U.S. unemployment rate to 8.9 percent, says Robert
Scott, the institute's senior international economist.
"There's
a huge difference between what is good for American companies versus what is
good for the American economy," says Scott.
American
jobs have been moving overseas for more than two decades. In recent years,
though, those jobs have become more sophisticated – think semiconductors
and software, not toys and clothes.
And
now many of the products being made overseas aren't coming back to the United
States. Demand has grown dramatically this year in emerging markets like India,
China and Brazil.
Meanwhile,
consumer demand in the U.S. has been subdued. Despite a strong holiday shopping
season, Americans are still spending 18 percent less than before the recession
on furniture, and 10 percent less on electronics, according to MasterCard's
SpendingPulse.
"Companies
will go where there are fast-growing markets and big profits," says
Jeffrey Sachs, globalization expert and economist at Columbia University.
"What's changed is that companies today are getting top talent in emerging
economies, and the U.S. has to really watch out."
With the
future looking brighter overseas, companies are building there, too.
Caterpillar, maker of the signature yellow bulldozers and tractors, has
invested in three new plants in China in just the last two months to design and
manufacture equipment. The decision is based on demand: Asia-Pacific sales
soared 38 percent in the first nine months of the year, compared with 16
percent in the U.S. Caterpillar stock is up 64 percent this year.
"There
is a shift in economic power that's going on and will continue. China just
became the world's second-largest economy," says David Wyss, chief
economist at Standard & Poor's, who notes that half of the revenue for
companies in the S&P 500 in the last couple of years has come from outside
the U.S.
Take
the example of DuPont, which wowed the world in 1938 with nylon stockings.
Known as one of the most innovative American companies of the 20th century, DuPont
now sells less than a third of its products in the U.S. In the first nine
months of this year, sales to the Asia-Pacific region grew 50 percent, triple
the U.S. rate. Its stock is up 48 percent this year.
DuPont's
work force reflects the shift in its growth: In a presentation on emerging
markets, the company said its number of employees in the U.S. shrank by 9
percent between January 2005 and October 2009. In the same period, its work
force grew 54 percent in the Asia-Pacific countries.
American Campaign Reform Needed to Stem Flow of Jobs
Out of America
There was
a coup in America that occurred under Bill ClintonÕs watch, largely because of
the Ôglobalism crazeÕ, which, as I have said, was largely a ploy to destroy Big
Labor in America – and to save Big Business billions in labor costs by
shifting jobs overseas.
Big Labor once
funded the Democratic Party as Wall Street (Wall Street and Main Street
business interests) funded the Republican Party. When Big Labor disintegrated under the
tsumani of Reagan Republicanism, the Democratic Party was left without a
monetary base. Political campaigns
became more and more expensive. And
the Democrats, through Bill ClintonÕs leadership, realized there was only one
thing for them to do, in order to survive: go to Wall Street on their knees and
beg forgiveness. Wall Street gladly
welcomed the Prodigal Son back on board.
Wall Street would gladly fund both parties. This meant that Wall Street would own
America, and direct American political thought and decision-making.
The deruglation
of American banks was the smoking gun
of this betrayal of democracy. The
Democrats had to be practical of course, if they wanted to be more than mere
figureheads of resistance to Wall StreetÕs megalomania. The Democrats wanted to be players too:
Big Boys, Adults.
As long as
the American Election Circus is allowed to become more and more expensive, and
take longer and longer to play out, the power will always be in the hands of
the rich. Decent men and women will
be required to be either very rich themselves or to sell out to the highest
bidder – otherwise they will not be able to compete in the high cost,
long-duration marathon that is currently our ÔtraditionÕ. Of course, the election season once was
long because trains connected the country, and communication was by
telegraph. Ideas could not be
communicated instantly, as they can be today.
Today, we are all
watching reports of the earthquake and tsunami that has devastated Japan. Japan is Ôunder waterÕ and we are
watching live reports of it on televisions, computers and cell phones. We do not need two years to play out our
political drama. We can have
primaries on the same day in all fifty states. We can have a series of debates leading
up to the election, so candidates are well-known to voters.
The long voting
season is a major problem only because it means costs grow substantially over
time, putting Big Money in the driverÕs seat.
We need a
government that is not composed of only rich people pursing rich peopleÕs interests.
We need to
develop a campaign system that is costless to candidates – so that our
governors donÕt enter office with hige IOUÕs to Big and often Dirty Money
hanging over their heads.
Big Money
does not care about the welfare of American workers. They care only about profits. Yes, there are exceptions to this. But the exceptions are inconsiderable.
The Bernanke
Bailout plan is a bail-out for rich people only. He cares only about the survival of
World Banks, the old-money that has been ruling the Earth for centuries,
millennia.
The monetary
feudalism we currently have in America is what Big Money wants, an aristocracy
of wealth. They do not really want
a democracy of wealth. And they
have used all their considerable talent and political and monetary clout over,
especially, the last two decades, to regain the monetary feudalism they desire.
Those who rebel
at this notion should look again at the graphic showing the distribution of
wealth in America. Ten percent of
Americans own 83% of American financial wealth. This is monetary feudalism.
George
Zornick writes in his article ÒOver A Million Jobs Lost In Districts Where
Pro-Outsourcing Chamber of Commerce AdvertisesÓ:
Over A Million Jobs Lost In Districts Where
Pro-Outsourcing Chamber Advertises
Two simple
facts remain irrefutable when it comes to the U.S. Chamber of CommerceÕs
election spending. First, the Chamber accepts foreign money, which by its own
admission goes into a general 501(c)(6) account. Second, the Chamber is buying
massive amounts of political advertising from that account — just this
week, the Chamber spent an unprecedented $10 million on advertising in
competitive House and Senate districts.
The Chamber
has yet to reveal who, exactly, is funding these attack ads, though they claim
we should trust them that foreign money is not being used. While that remains
an open question, the ChamberÕs political agenda is not: it has long advocated
for policies that outsource American jobs to foreign countries. The ChamberÕs
CEO, Tom Donohue, frequently defends outsourcing: for example, in 2004, he said
Òthere are legitimate values in outsourcing — not only jobs, but work.Ó
Recently, the Chamber came out against a Senate bill that would have
discouraged outsourcing.
Today, a
new report by the nonpartisan campaign finance watchdog Campaign Money Watch
found that more than 1.4 million jobs were outsourced since 1994 in the nine
states in which the U.S. Chamber of Commerce is spending significant money. The
group also found that more than 184,000 jobs were lost to outsourcing in the 22
congressional districts in which the Chamber has spent $4.8 million on
political ads in the same time period.
From the
report, hereÕs what the Chamber spent last week in Senate races, and how many
jobs were lost to outsourcing there since 1994:
Senate Race Jobs
Lost Target Beneficiary Chamber
Advert
Spending
CO-Senate 35.838 Michael
Bennet Ken
Buck $500,000
CT-Senate 87,500 Richard
Blumental Linda McMahon $500,000
FL-Senate 144,600 Charlie
Crist Marco
Rubio $1,000,000
IL-Senate 272.017 Alexi
Giannoulis Mark Kirk $500,000
MO-Senate 102.608 Robin
Carnahan Roy Blunt $259.375
NH-Senate 23,107 Paul
Hodes Kelly
Ayotte $1,005,056
PA-Senate 299,508 Joe
Sestak Pat
Toomey $498,500
WI-Senate 81,958 Russ
Feingold Ron
Johnson $248,500
TOTAL 1,433,083 $5,685,056
House
Race Jobs
Lost Target Beneficiary Chamber
Advert
Spending
CA-11 1,765 Jerry
McNerney David
Harmer $262,268
CO-04 6,327 Betsy
Markey Cory
Gardner $250,000
FL-08 1,529 Alan
Grayson Dan
Webster $250,000
FL-24 101 Suzanne
Kosmas Sandy Adams $250,000
IA-03 4,253 Leonard
Boswell Brad Zaun $183.026
IL-10 9,718 Dan
Seals Robert
Dold $100,000
IL-11 5.701 Debbie
Halvorson Adam Kinzinger $300,000
KS-03 1,321 Stephene
Moore Kevin Yoder $172,864
ND-AL 3.850 Earl
Pomeroy Rick
Berg $273,525
NJ-12 8.451 Rush
Holt Scott
Sipprelle $150,000
NM-01 5,592 Martin
Heinrich Jon
Barela $244,598
NM-02 5,852 Hharry
Teague Steven
Pearce $239,739
NV-03 1,150 Dina
Titus Joe
Heck $350,000
OH-15 2,932 Mary
Jo Kiloy Steve
Stivers $261.735
OH-16 12,181 John
Boccieri James
Renacci $172,175
OH-17 17.245 Tim
Ryan James
Graham $102,855
OH-18 11,410 Zack
Spoace Bob
Gibbs $29.245
PA-03 12.376 K.
Dahlkemper Mike
Kelly $248.500
PA-12 22,511 Mark
Critz Tim
Burns $248,556
VA-05 24,171 Tom
Perriello Robert
Hurt $197,002
WI-07 13,814 Julie
Lassa Sean
Duffy $266,593
TOTALS: 184,229 $4,801.181
More data is available at the Campaign Money Watch website
http://campaignmoneywatch.com/chamber/outsourcing
ÒThe
Chamber is raising foreign corporate money and supporting policies that lead to
the outsourcing of American jobs overseas,Ó said David Donnelly, the groupÕs
director. ÒThe 31 Senate and House candidates who are benefiting from political
spending by the pro-outsourcing Chamber should address the controversy
surrounding their foreign funding.Ó
Where is
the new job-creation in America going to come from? Not from American Business, which seems
suddenly allergic to hiring American workers. The right wing conservative screams that
Big Government is standing in the way of American Job Creation by Big
Business. But there would be no
hiring in America if government had
not been hiring. Now conservatives
(and Business Interests) in America want governments to shrink, which means
even a higher unemployment rate.
Conservatives
claim that government spending (and, apparently, government job-creation) keeps
Big Business in America from hiring (apparently taxes are too high for American
Business to hire – although Americans pay MUCH less in taxes than almost
ALL other developed countries in the world. Conservatives apparently want Americans
to pay no taxes, except to support the American military. Americans pay less taxes than any
developed country but Switzerland.
If you are rich, of course you donÕt want to pay more in taxes. The rich set the rules in America
– but this has not always been so.
In the 1960Õs and 70Õs the rich did not make all the rules in
America. In fact, during the Night-Cycle,
average Americans take strides in wrenching political power away from the
rich. ThatÕs what Night-Cycles are
about.
We read
how high American corporate tax is – but cheating on taxes is first
nature to American corporations.
Still, the effective tax rate for American corporations is less than
most other developed countries, no matter how much Wall Street and Main Street
Business Interests complain.
We are
told that jobs are being added
– and the unemployment rate is declining. This is a lie, of course. The unemployment rate goes down if long-term unemployed go off unemployment
and are no longer part of unemployed ledgers and if current layoffs are less
than those going off the unemployed rolls.
We are told that
the unemployment rate is slightly above 9%. If one counts unemployed, underemployed,
and those who ÔdiscouragedÕ workers who have stopped making their weekly
journey to fill out forms with the government Unemployment Office nearly
one-out-of-five American workers cannot find work. Also, the jobs that are being created
are mostly minimum wage jobs without benefits – the so-called Small
Business Factor. This helps the
government statistics, but doesnÕt help American workers much. A little money is better than no money,
this is true. No benefits is not
better than no benefits however.
Strangely,
when the official unemployment rate for American workers was breaking the 10%
barrier in 2009, Goldman Sachs was setting aside $11.36 billion for
compensation and benefits for its 29,400 employees. That was even more compensation than in 2007, the year before the destruction of the global economy. In 2008, Goldman Sachs earned $2.3
billion and paid out $4.82 billion in bonuses, giving 953 employees at least $1
million each and 78 executives $5 million
or more – Blankfein and his top five officers, all declined
bonuses that year).
The U.S.
unemployment rate has risen too, nearing 10%. In stark contrast, Goldman Sachs
has set aside some $11.36 billion so far in 2009 in total compensation and
benefits for its 29,400 employees. That's about on pace with the record payout
the firm made in 2007, at the height of the bubble. Thanks to Andrew Cuomo, the
New York State attorney general, we know that in 2008, while Goldman earned
$2.3 billion for the year, it paid out $4.82 billion in bonuses, giving 953
employees at least $1 million each and 78 executives $5 million or more
(although Goldman's top five officers, including Blankfein, declined a
bonus). This gesture of good-will
by Lloyd Blankfein, foregoing a 2009 bonus, was apparently simply deferred to
2010.
In 2007,
Blankfein was paid a record bonus of $67.9 million; in 2010 he waas on target
to receive a bonus of $100 million – Goldman kept the final number
secret. So, his turning down a
bonus one year seems to be have been merely a Ôrain checkÕ on a larger bonus
later.
Lest it
appear IÕm picking on Goldman and Blankfein only, in 2009 Morgan Stanley set
aside 72% of its second quarter revenue for employee compensation and
benefits. 72% is high even for an
industry that spoils its workers with huge payouts.
July 22
(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley set aside 72 percent of its second-quarter
revenue for compensation and benefits, more than Goldman Sachs Group Inc. or
JPMorgan Chase & Co., amid a Òwar for talentÓ with rivals that generate
more money.
Christine Harper
writes for Bloomberg:
ÒIt was a
very good quarter to be a Morgan Stanley employee,Ó said Brad Hintz, an analyst
at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York. ÒIÕm not so sure it was so good
to be a Morgan Stanley shareholder.Ó
The average ratio
of compensation to revenue at securities firms this decade has been about 48
percent, Hintz said, calling Morgan StanleyÕs figure Òpretty extraordinary.Ó
Chief Executive Officer John Mack, 64, is under pressure to increase pay after
Goldman Sachs set aside a record $11.4 billion for salaries, benefits and
bonuses in the first half and JPMorgan boosted investment-bank compensation by
37 percent.
First-Half Revenue, Compensation and Head
Count:
Revenue Comp Employees Comp/Employee
Morgan
Stanley $8.36
bln $5.91
bln 62,215*
$95,009
Goldman
Sachs $23.2
bln $11.4
bln 29,400
$386,429
The New ÔServiceÕ Economy:
Bubble-Debt-Dependent Service Jobs and McDonalds.
As American
Business was shipping well-paying manufacturing jobs overseas under the
Republican Reagan-induced Day-Cycle (1983-2001), the new glorious
Ôservice-economyÕ was growing in America and replacing the lost manufacturing
jobs. What was this new Ôservice
economyÕ anyway? Sadly, the new
service enconomy was mostly small business jobs for local small businesses (no
or minimal benefits) and well-paying jobs mostly connected to the
Bubble-and-Debt Economy: this heart of this new service economy was dependent
upon the Stock Market Bubble (Finance sector), the Housing Bubble (Finance
sector, banking and Construction), and the Health-Care Bubble, which still has
not popped and must pop if America is
really going to start over when the next Day-Cycle begins.
Jobs (and
well-paying jobs) grew in construction, real-estate, financial services, and
health-care.
But the
debt-bubble that was creating this New Economy was not sustainable, as the debt
of the American worker was accruing faster than the salary-level was
growing. And the debt-bubble needed
to sustain this new economy was making the entire global economy top-heavy and
subject to catastrophe.
The only way for
Wall Street to grow jobs again, using this New Economy Model, is to manufacture
more bubbles through more debt and more destruction of the US Dollar. And Ben Bernanke is apparently convinced
that it is his ÔreligiousÕ duty to do this.
Real
Estate Appreciation For Ever was needed to sustain this New Service
Economy. More malls, more golf courses,
more Super-Mac Mansions, more Elitist High-Rise Condomimums along
waterways. That is the good life
apparently. More
community-creations by philistines with bad taste (I guess that is redundant)
seeking to sell the American Dream of the suburban lifestyle to every human
being on the planet – God forbid.
Nature had
different ideas.
In fact,
throughout the 1980Õs and 90Õs it was not the Old-Guard American companies that
were generating new-job growth. As
I have suggested, it was government; and it was the new start-ups, the new
generation of companies, internet-related start-ups mostly, and others. The Old Guard Companies were actually a
drain on the economy. They were, as
they are now, attempting to preserve a status quo in a new environment with
which they could not keep up, not only because of worker costs but also because
of lack of imagination. The Day-Cycle overlords are disciplined,
efficient, pragmatic, hard-working, shrewd with money, skilled at political
gamesmanship, and and power-accrual.
They are not especially imaginative however. They are good at following
formulas. They are good at
generating straight-line targets and being single-minded (one-dimensional?) at
reaching their goals. But they are
not imaginative – because imagination is the chief characteristic of the
Night-Cycle atoms (sub-atoms) who represent the values that the Day-Cycles
abhor and fear, and seek to oppress, keep down in the dark dungeons, try to
keep as far from the daylight as they can.
They are
positive-minded. But, as I have
said, Day-Cycle positive energy drives the positive thinkers, positive thinkers
do not drive the Day-Cycle positive energy. Day-Cycle minds are along for the ride
and then truly believe that they are the gods creating the expanding world
– and they continue to believe this, even after the expansion has
ended. This is a mistake that
Geeenspan made, misunderstanding that the water was moving the boat instead of
Greenspan himself.
Preserving
the Old Guard Companies (TBTF banks and underperforming automobile companies
– and AIG) during the Financial Collapse was a mistake: more debt thrown
into a black hole whose profession had become eating money. New American job growth in the future will
not come from the Old Money Companies who control America politically and who
seek to keep America from moving into the future with the new technology and
the new vision of business generated by the younger generation, which would
clearly leave the rigid and stratified Old Guard behind if they had the freedom
to move that the Old Guard sought to oppress. The Old Guard Corporations are like the
Type-A successful Father who will not allow his children to be more successful
than he is.
We need to
prune our economic garden. That
means letting the old debt-ladened companies die. Too-Big-To-Fail means
Guaranteed-To-Suffocate-New-Growth.
American genius will lift America up again, not by clinging to an Old
World construction and privilege that is now gone, but by embracing the New
World that is coming, after the current Night-Cycle does its
creative-destruction.
The
debt-destruction of the Night-Cycle is a good thing. If we fear it, we become forces of Evil,
forces of Fear. Like Herod, we
translate this fear into a directive to destroy the New World that is about to
be born.
We should be
supporting the new generation of vehicle-producer (the Old Guard cannot create
the New World because it has no imagination – the Dream is born out of
the Night-Cycle) instead of attempting to keep Ford and GM alive. If they canÕt adapt to the New World
they are confronting, then they will have to die, like an old generation that
is trying to keep change from occurring (political power of the Old Money and
the Wall Street Overlord companies are actually retarding AmericaÕs
growth).
The Old Money
Corporate Aristocracy is not going to save AmericaÕs economy. They have already chosen to save
themselves, to turn their back on American workers, in order to have higher
margins, higher stock prices, more valuable stock options, and higher bonuses
for stock performance. They have
put themselves first: they have joined the side of the Devil. (It is a fixed
game, of course. When their performance
falters, they whine and cry and beg the American government they own to give
them free money or else – and the bonuses and the higher stock prices
just keep coming and keep coming, as the rest of America sinks into a dark
feudalistic zone of despair.)
This despair will
not last for ever. And those who
stand in the way of real progress will be mown down like old grass on harvest
day.
The chart
below shows where American investment should be focused: to allow the
noncreative Old Guard companies who use cheating, stealing and unprincipled
political influence to imitate growth when they can no longer compete without
cheating to be overthrown. The
established companies that have already expanded and are now becoming rigid,
static have become Too-Big-To-Succeed without special favors from Washington. In Nature, the new grasses push out the old. The Too-Big-To-Fail Banks and the old
rigid ÔfixersÕ on Wall Street should be allowed to fail when they fail. Aemrican will always recover from a failed company; but it will not recover from
an obsessive fear of change that rewards corrupt conglomerates to blackmail and
extort by political influence what it cannot create on its own.
Real Despair Caused by Mesers Greenspan and
BernankeÕs Debt-Bubble Policies.
Ervin and Ana
Lupoe both worked as medical technicians at a Kaiser-Permanente hospital in
West Los Angeles. They owed
$850,000 on a mortgage; they both lost their jobs. They were in foreclosure; and they
bounced a check for back-taxes with the IRS. So Ervin shot his five children, his
wife and then himself. They were
trapped; and becoming homeless with five children was not a future they were
willing to confront. This was the
seventh murder-suicide of a family in California since the depression,
generated by the broken housing bubble, hit California.
This type of
despair is happening all over America, all over the world, in fact.
More than
just a few late-comers to the global housing Gold Rush, the bank and
government-sponsored low-interest rate party, are going down in flames, Mister
Greenspan. Some of your friends are
probably going down too. Your own
wonderful reputation is also going down in flames. In the future we will reading about
Herbert Hoover and Alan Greenspan in the same breath. And you, too, Mister Greenspan, Captain
Ahab, will be going down in flames.
1,500 farmers commit mass suicide in India
Wednesday, 15 April 2009
Over 1,500
farmers in an Indian state committed suicide after being driven to debt by crop
failure, it was reported today. The
agricultural state of Chattisgarh was hit by falling water levels.
"The
water level has gone down below 250 feet here. It used to be at 40 feet a few
years ago," Shatrughan Sahu, a villager in one of the districts, told Down
To Earth magazine
"Most
of the farmers here are indebted and only God can save the ones who do not have
a bore well."
Mr Sahu
lives in a district that recorded 206 farmer suicides last year. Police records
for the district add that many deaths occur due to debt and economic distress. In another village nearby, Beturam Sahu,
who owned two acres of land was among those who committed suicide. His crop is
yet to be harvested, but his son Lakhnu left to take up a job as a manual
labourer. His family must
repay a debt of £400 and the crop this year is poor.
"The
crop is so bad this year that we will not even be able to save any seeds,"
said Lakhnu's friend Santosh. "There were no rains at all."
"That's
why Lakhnu left even before harvesting the crop. There is nothing left to
harvest in his land this time. He is worried how he will repay these
loans."
What Can the Obama Government Do About The Second
Great Depression? Not Much
What can
the Obama government do to solve the problems of economic collapse during this necessary
period of deflation? Not much
really. (Neither could a real
Republican president – Obama has become a kind of fake Republican
president, like Bill Clinton was -- do much of anything to change the direction
of history during a Night-Cycle.)
Although auditing the Fed to see if we really need or want to have a Fed
would be a good place to start reforms. We also need to see if the Fed has been
breaking the law all these years in their allocation of public money to private
interests – we might have to make arrests and proceed with public
prosecutions and and trials.
In a very real
way, depression is ÔmatterÕ being drawn into a black hole, matter being
destroyed through a growing proximity to anti-matter. Government can provide support systems
for its citizens, extend unemployment benefits, generate government jobs to
help reconstruct the infrastructure, protect savings in the self-destructing
banking system – and let the old dying companies go down.
The government
should raise taxes, pay off its debts, take on no new debt, raise interest
rates to encourage Americans to save.
We do not need more borrowing now.
We have had too much borrowing and we need to act responsibly and stop
spending as though spending, itself, might
save us. Spending will not save us.
We need to begin
to demolish debt with the same single-minded (absent-minded?) glee we took on
debt: through repayment where possible, through default and bankruptcy where
necessary. We do not need to
protect banks who made loans without careful consideration of risk. Banks must pay for their mistakes in
life like all of the rest must also.
No one bails the rest of us out when we make a bad decision that hurts
us. We need to all live by the same
rules. We need a world when the
rich donÕt get special treatment because they can pay bribes and corrupt those
handing out ÔGet Out of Jail FreeÕ cards.
If a bank goes down, another bank will rise up in its place.
There is
no easy way out of this dark forest we have entered. We did this to ourselves, through
decades of self-indulgence and deification of the prerogative of lack of
discipline. We have to take the
pain of our rehabilitation. The
Depression is given to us so that we can sober up from a materialistic orgy
that may have been fun while it lasted but which can never go on for ever.
We have been
living in the DevilÕs camp, believing that the Devil was God. We are heading in to a darker
environment. One watches the throes
of birth occurring in the Arab world in the Middle East. The Arab World is waking up. It is their Dawn. We are going to sleep. It is our Dusk.
We are entering
the Night-Cycle. The Arab Word is
entering the Day-Cycle. We are
changing places. They are rising
and we are falling.
This will not be
an easy time for us – but we need to go through hardship so that we can
be more than superficial suburban consumers. We have philosophy and art to created;
we have new worlds of knowledge to experience, knowledge of the inner
dimension.
The European
right is rising to face the Arab rising.
American leadership will be overthrown in Europe. More spending and more debt – the
Bernanke Doctrine – will destroy the European Union, state by state. Europe wonÕt follow America. Europe will have to follow Germany.
France is now
moving into the nationalism/austerity cycle of the Le Pen leadership and will
be GermanyÕs ally in this. European
social survival will be threatened; European identify will be challenged by
Arab and Muslim militancy both inside Europe and in the Middle East. GermanyÕs austerity will breed austerity
through all of Europe. Social chaos
– based on bankruptcy -- will divide these societies into class warfares,
and in to religious uprisings
– and fascist movements.
Day-Cycles are
about ManÕs glory through machinery and civlization. Night-Cycles are about the death of the
machine, and a fall the Earthly reality, as the Heavenly world of abundance
disappears. Night-Cycles are about
GodÕs glory, a new-born plant rising up out of the Darkness.
All the trillions
of dollars the government is now throwing or is planning to throw at the
collapsing financial balloon of the global economy will not stop the ship from
sinking. This depression will not
bottom out until that alarm clock goes off again, signaling the Midnight of the
Time Wheel (2019) – when the light is actually re-born as a weak force --
leading to a New Dawn of strength (2028), when the necessary deflation will
have finally been accomplished. The
Next Dawn-to-Dusk Day-Cycle will run from 2028 to 2046 – the next Greed
Crisis and wounding of the Sun Hero will occur at approximately 2037, at the
apex of Day-Cycle energy expansion.
The Day-Cycles
implies the Ôweak forceÕ transforming into the Ôstrong, binding forceÕ, the
transition from the sub-atomic force (subjective in nature) to the atomic-force
(objective in nature). The
Night-Cycle, in contrast, implies the strong, secure atomic force being
transformed again into the Ôunder waterÕ weak sub-atomic force.
We will look at
this question more deeply later.
STARTHERE
Alan Greenspan Knows the Importance of Stock Market Bubbles to
AmericaÕs Sense of Well-Being.
QE: Qualludes (for) Everyone.
Ben Bernanke Blows Another Bubble.
How important is it for
American business to have American consumers profiting from a surging stock
market? Very important, if you
believe Alan Greenspan. Interviewed
by Reuters in September 2007, Greenspan said: "Unless stock prices resume
their pace of increase of earlier this year, U.S. consumer spending and GDP
will be under pressure from declining household wealth."
Then, again, in 2010, speaking on Meet the Press, Greenspan echoed this
message: ÒIt's important to remember that equity values, stock prices, are not
just paper profits. They actually have a profoundly important impact on
economic activity. And if stock prices start continuing down, I would get very
concerned.Ó
It was as though Greenspan was sending
a rather pointed message to Ben Bernanke, through the press. Bernanke needed to make sure that stocks
gained and that Americans got back into stocks so that this secondary pipeline
income did not dry up along with the mortgage refinance pipeline. Both knew there was a mechanism in place
by which the Fed and the Treasury and the White House could help engender stock
market rallies.
Of course, thatÕs one of
things that QE (baby version, second-generation version, third-generation
versionÉwill QE ever end?) is all about.
Yes, we know that QE is primarily a back-door continuing bank bailout,
one that can be done with euphemisms and tricks and convoluted-sounding
financial concepts to complex for most Americans to comprehend, unlike obvious
government ÔbailoutsÕ where American citizens send money directly through their
congressional servants to banks for repair of bank budget sheets and more debt
for the rest of Americans.. Oh,
yes, Americans did get something back from the banks. What do you get back when the government
loans banks money from the US Treasury at less than 1% interest? Yes, it wasnÕt much.
So, first, QE is about saving the
banks (and the bankers). In fact,
the Federal Reserve works for
international bankers, not for America, and certainly not for Americans. It is, as this system is currently set
up, the responsibility of the Congress to protect Americans from abuse of power
by the Fed. Congress did not
protect Americans from the many billions taken from the US Treasury by Henry
Paulson and redistributed to Wall Street banks and bankers. Redistribution of wealth to the richest
Americans, and to many rich forieigners also, European bankers.
Congress is not protecting Americans
today from BernankeÕs continuing bailout, Quantative Easing – that is,
welfare for Wall Street and Wall StreetÕs friends continues – and most
Americans simply smile and say: ÒItÕs not a bail-out, itÕs that ÔquantatativeÕ
something or otherÉ.Ó
Most Americans donÕt realize why
Quantative Easing and 0% interest rates and +0% loans to American banks are
actually forms of theft from the public treasury and are designed to force
unsuspecting American citizens to take their life-savings out of the banks and
throw the money into dangerous stock markets, commodity markets, or into real
estate.
IsnÕt saving money for the future what
Americans should be doing today, a smart thing to do to re-build the strength
of the American nation? Yes, it
is. Common sense knows that saving is good. But the Wall Street vultures canÕt get
their hands on AmericansÕ money if it is tucked safely away in a savings
account paying a decent rate of interest.
Wall Street does not want you to put your money in to a safe bank that pays you interest to borrow your
money. ItÕs a LOT better for
bankers to have you borrow their money and have you pay them to use their (is
it really their?) money. ItÕs
a lot better for Wall Street if you are chasing dreams of making big money and
paying Wall Street fees to use their premises – or giving Wall Street all
of your money and asking them to make you a rich, aristocrat like they have
done for themselves. Of course, one
must remember the Bernie Madoff Factor, which is more widespread on Wall Street
than people believe.
Madoff, in an interview from his
prison cell in 2010, said that banks and hedge funds Ôwere complicitÕ in his
ponzi scheme to steal billions from Wall Street investors, that the Òwhole new regulatory reform is a jokeÓ,
and that the Ôentire government is a gigantic ponzi scheme.Õ
One needs to be very careful who they
trust apparently.
So, returning to the central
idea of this section, the first point of QE is to save the banks. Second, the Fed wants to put a ceiling
on interest rates, by being the buyer of last resort of US Treasury Bonds, to
keep interest rates from rising, which would choke off borrowing, and, thereby,
strangle the imaginary ÔrecoveryÕ of the global economy, and force up mortgage
rates, which, over time, would cause house prices to sink even more, causing
American consumers Ôwealth quotientÕ to evaporate even more rapidly, causing
more defaults on loans, and more losses forÉyou guessed it, the banks.
Bernanke had a plan to quietly devalue
the US Dollar. But if he did this,
the market for US Treasuries might respond, fewer buyers might appear, and
rates would rise – it was even possible that the markets in US Treasury
Bonds might suddenly – as the Dollar sank through more and more
government borrowing to feed the bank-bailout beast – skyrocket, becoming
junk bonds, like what happened in Europe with Greek, then Irish, then Spanish,
then PortugueseÉgovernment bonds.
The government needed to be the TBond
buyer of last resort to keep T-Bonds from becoming junk bonds, and having
buyers desert the markets even faster.
So he played Ôextend and pretendÕ.
His goal was to use massive amounts of borrowed money (which immediately
became more tax-payer debt) to extend
the window on facing the truth about debt-default and pretend that there really was no depression, just a garden-variety
recession, out of which America and the global economy would eventually grow
making the debt crisis simply evaporate in the face of greater and greater
profits. Becoming richer and
richer would make the large debts today become smaller and smaller tomorrow, in
contast. To do this, of course, the
world needed inflation.
How would this work exactly? Well, it would not work unless the
economy could enter again a cyclical growth period, expand again and make
AmericaÕs bloated debt structure shrink set against an expanding Gross Domestic
Product. Growth would render the
debt unimportant because growth would allow debtors, with profits expanding
again, pay-off debts and refinance back to continuing lower interest
rates. More cash takes care of all
our problems, doesnÕt it?
There was the missing piece to this
puzzle however, one that Dr. Ben apparently did not see – or, perhaps,
refused to recognize or admit publicly -- from studying JapanÕs extend and
pretend policy. Perhaps there was
an incontrovertible law that Doctor Bernanke had left out of his formula. Perhaps the economy could not grow until the suffocating debt-level was É
mitigated. Perhaps debts are the
weeds that suffocate the gardenÕs new growth.
Afterall, in my own vernacula: Debt is
the full cup that needs to be emptied out before real growth can begin
again. The full cup acted like
weeds in the garden.
Political Agenda: Transfering Both ÔToxic DebtÕ and Guilt For the
Financial Collapse from Wall Street To Washinton – Then Blaming the
Catastrophe on Too Much ÔSocialistÕ Spending By the Government: Joe McCarthy
Would Be Proud
Transferring worthless bank
debt (bad mortgage, commercial property and consumer loans, which are currently
hidden on bank books, hidden by games like extend and pretend, squatting on
interest rates, and the elimination of mark-to-market accounting rules so that
banks could appear solvent and not report current losses when loans were scaled
to the actual markets of the day) to the government has clearly made it appear
that banks are at least limping toward solvency. (Of course, this sleight-of-hand magic
act did not make the debt go away; the banks simply transferred bad loans to
the government. And, suddenly,
governments became insolvent.) And
suddenly, political gamesmanship changed the blame-game 180 percent: instead of
having Americans turn on banks and bad capitalism, they were instructed to turn
on bad government and ÔsocialismÕ – thesse were the true causes of all
the banksÕ and the global economyÕs
problems. Government was
spending too much – thatÕs why the world was suddenly broke – not
because the banksÕ greed had mis-fired, and suddenly sank the system in
2008. Not because billions of
dollars of real wealth (what does real
mean in such a context) was essentially given to the banks so that they might
pretend they were again healthy, even as governments suddenly got to inherit
the toxicity that the banks had created.
The reason the governments
of Greece and Ireland and Spain and
Portugal and America and England and Japan (earlier) were suddenly incompetent
was because they had all taken on the bad decisions made by the bad capitalists
who actually owned and ran their respective countries, through the auspices of
supposedly democratic governments.
Now, suddenly again, instead of banks laying off people who made massive
amounts of money annually and going into bankruptcy (banks did lay off some
people in fact, mostly entry-level types), governments were being forced to
lay-off people who made very little money and face the monster of default they
had absorbed from the terrified and threatening bankers – governments
were required to perform austerity rituals: mea
culpa, mea culpa, mea culpa, I am sorry for these sins and for the sins of my
brothers.
Conservative politicians could not believe
their good fortune when governments actually agreed to eat the banksÕ mistakes
instead of simply letting the banks fail and letting new, smaller, perhaps more
ethical banks rise up in their place.
Instead of voters screaming for the heads of bankers and greedy
capitalists, voters were being convinced, through a form of mirror logic, that
government, not Wall Street, was responsible for the collapse -- voters should
be screaming for the heads of imcompetent governors, senators, Congressmen and
woman, presidents (if they were Democratic presidents), and especially
government workers, with their unrealistic pension plans, and their gravy-train
jobs that made a mockery of the lives of hard-working Americans who made an
ÔhonestÕ living. We were broke because
government simply spent too much.
Another half-truth of course. Government did spend too much. And
government did not tax the rich enough.
The Republicans avoided the second truth in this full equation, as the
Democrats avoided the first truth.
Instead of being in the hot
seat, which is where they belonged, conservative capitalists not only
transferred bad loans from private banks and corporations to the government,
they also transferred guilt for the crisis from themselves to the same governments
that were trying to save the banks and bankers by taking responsibility for
their mess.
Government workers became the
sacrificial lambs, the scapegoats.
The Day-Cycle bullies had found someone to whom they could outsource
their own guilt, and attempt to maintain their political power. If they bullied hard enough (remember
Tail-Gunner Joe McCarthy) maybe they could put everything on Obama and make a
sacrificial lamb out of him, out of all liberals – hell, all they had to
do is call them all ÔsocialistsÕ and America screamed and the liberals looked
for a hole in which to crawl. It
had worked that way before for the Republicans; it could probably work that way
again.
So government workers lost their jobs,
lost their benefits, lost their union rights to bargain for a better future
– and nothing happened to the banks and bankers – a few lost their
jobs -- except being given more free money to play with in the currency-markets
playing the carry-trade – which, let us not forget, is a risy trade --
who continued to give themselves billions of dollars in bonuses, presumably
because they were doing such a wonderful job – doing GodÕs work as we had
all been told before, by GodÕs own emissary, the bloated Lloyd Blakfein, who is
playing Beelzebub in the movie version of this book.
Satan, Beelzebug, and the DevilÕs Apprentice Neil Kashkari (what a name:
Ôhe who kneels and carries the cashÕ)
When
did the Devil begin marking his servants with shaved heads and with dramatically-bent
fingers?
Did government workers
really cause the financial meltdown in 2008? To hear conservative defenders of
capitalism speak, those who successfully transferred both Ôtoxic loansÕ and
toxic guilt for the massacre of trillions through blatant gambling for huge
fees and profits to Big Government: yes, one would have to conclude that
government worker, with their undeserved pensions and Ôentitlement philosophyÕ
did cause the crash. Public entitlements
(Ôsocialist doctrineÕ – Obama was another Lenin, if not a black Karl
Marx) became the obvious cause of the crash – not
Wall Street greed, and bubbles manufactured by banks working with the Federal
Reserve.
Surprising to me, suddenly, magically,
it was government spending that had bankrupted the capitalist system and broken
the back of capitalism. Capitalism
was the victim, not the perpetrator of the fraud, the ponzi scheme that had
collapsed. Not only that: it was
the home owner, the borrower, the fraudulent borrower, who had committed fraud
on the banks by not revealing their own guilt in misleading honest bankers as
to their qualifications to buy a home --- and honest bankers, who had been
tricked by dishonest borrowers, and even more so bullied by liberal government
socialists to lend to blacks and Mexicans and immigrants (legal and especially illegal) and other poor non-white
Protestants – attempting to force some kind of material equality down the
throats of real Americans – this is what sank the ship of America, not
the crimes of the rich and the greed of the rich.
Big Government, again, was the villain
– even though Big Government was absorbing the crimes, the sins, and the
obvious stupidity of Big Business, and deflecting public attention away from
the fraud and criminality on Wall Street, with which Big Government was also
complicit. Yes, Big Government was
not innocent in all of this: Big Government working with Big Business was a
form of State Capitalism, economic fascism – and there was much to hide,
on all fronts, from the cognizance of the American public – because both
sides of the equation had blood money on their hands, and millions of corrupt
dollars hidden in some offshore bank account.
The solution: letÕs drag the
government worker to the whipping post and punish him for his Ôgravy trainÕ
values, for his lazy Òover-tax, over-spendÓ socialist philosophy, his ÔIÕm
entltledÓ mindset – Wall Street could turn this negative into a positive
if it was creative enough (read ÔduplicitousÕ) – they might even be able
to destroy the last refuge of labor unions in America – those
representing government workers.
Why were the government workers picked
for this role as sacrificial animal?
They were poor, they had no real power – any power they did have,
to bargain collectively for wages and benefits – and because labor unions
had always been the target of the Republican Conservatives. Destruction of the Labor Unions in
America meant more money – higher profits – for Aemrican Business.
More devils peering out on their enemies.
Did these people really cause the Great Depression of 2008?
Wall Street had been on the
ropes, having caused the worst economic collapse in global history – and having engineering the greatest
looting of public moneys in the history of the world in view of everyone -- but
they, the DevilÕs brood, could still turn the tide of public opinion if they
could convince the public to blame AmericaÕs perennial Ôwhipping boyÕ –
the Night-Cycle elements, the females, the losers, the dark-skinned races who
didnÕt speak English well, and the working poor, the laborers in America, who
were mostly no better than slaves as far as their abilities and intelligence
went – if they had any talent they would be rich, right?– blame
them for all the troubles in the world: letÕs blame the socialists.
If America would take the bait, then
everything would be alright in the world again: the capitalists, the crooks,
the winners, would be off the hook again.
This was an unbelievable escape
act – engineered by Bernanke and his friends on Wall Street, and the
Republican National Committee, and the budding political right, the so-called
ÔTea PartyÓ revolutionaries who blamed Big Government for everything and
promised that Big Business free of intrusions from Big Government, would make
everything right again -- an escape act that would have made Houdini
proud.
Indeed, hadnÕt Big Government free of
intrusions by Big Government (with whom Big Business was now in bed) just
crashed the Pequod into the Great White Whale they mistook for an imaginary
iceberg?
Instead of being blamed for
the crisis they had caused, Wall Street (who said Bernanke was not a magician?)
made the public look somewhere else while they transferred all their losses from
their own books to the government books, and then insisted on blaming the
government for their own irresponsible gambling and destruction of AmericaÕs
future. Social security? That was what had destroyed the global
financial system in 2008. ObamaÕs
national health plan? That was the
real cause of the 2008 economic meltdown.
The great American Capitalist System could not recover until the Obama
Health Plan was repealed because ObamaÕs Health Plan had added so much burden
to American Business that they just had
to (they had no other choice if they
wanted to keep competitive and keep
earning those billion dollar bonuses) keep sending jobs to Mexico or Vietnam or
China. American Business just could
not complete under the existing burden of excess government spending on
socialist social programs, given ObamaÕs expropriation of corporate wealth and
redistruction of capital to the poor
– profits that were,
by Natural Right and by Natural Selection, the ÔpropertyÕ of the capitalist
business owners who had made America great. The socialists would not be satisfied
until they stolen all the property of those in society who were actually
winners, actually successful, the ones who generated wealth. ObamaÕs Ônatural constituencyÕ (the
losers) could not generate wealth; they could only absorb wealth made by
societyÕs winners, the capitalists themselves.
LetÕs just blame the
socialists – thatÕs what weÕve always done – itÕs almost always
worked before – except for the damn Sixties and Seventies. Something went terribly wrong then.
Such lies, misdirections, felonies and
misdemeanors would not not only have made Houdini proud, they would have also
have made Joe McCarthy proud.
Was America going to become polarized
again, the rich (and the religious poor) against the non-religious Middle Class
which was becoming poorer by the second.
All the rich had to do was appeal to the religious or patriotic
emotional natures of AmericaÕs working class – and then both the rich and
the poor would stand against AmericaÕs weakening Middle Class. The rich could also start a war and have
AmericaÕs frustration burn against some external enemy, transferring guilt to
an outside shadow, as they had transferred guilt to an inside shadow in
Wisconsin.
Day-Cycle Mechanism:Blame the Socialists For Everything.
BernankeÕs Mechanism: Let the Government Engineer Another Stock Market
Rallly To Relieve Pressure in the Anti-Matter Balloon That Was Now Growing and
Getting Stronger.
Capitalists blaming
Socialists is the operating mechanism that triumphs during the Day-Cycle. Socialists getting even with Capitalists
(Revolution) is the operating mechanism that gains power during the
Night-Cycle.
The Light blames the Shadow for all
the problems of the world. Overfilling
the full glass is a contuation of this ethic – blaming the poor; blaming
government workers, and blaming Ôtoo generousÕ liberal government policies --
the ÒEntitlement FactorÓ -- which keeps the eyes of the Conservative Poor
firmly locked on their supposed enemy, the Liberal Middle Class Poor, instead
of on the real cause of their misery, the Conservative Rich who have shipped
all their jobs overseas, and who keep starting wars that the Conservative
Religious Poor get to fight for them.
Keeping the blame focused on the societyÕs weaker elements –
scapegoating – has always worked for those in control of a society
The Rich are not to be blamed for
greed and corruption. It is the
Poor who are lazy, the Poor who are corrupt and weak and talentless and drug-addicted, made that
way because of reliance on government programs supporting welfare, oversized
pensions, unemployment benefits – government give-aways -- which
entitlements were ruining America.
(And donÕt point out again the trillions in government give-aways to
Wall Street! IÕm tired of hearing
about it! Wall Street are
winners! The poor in America are
losers! They will always be
losers! They will always be more
trouble than they are worth! Hard
work and cunning and innovation turn poor people into rich people –
government welfare does not do this!)
I have said before that I, myself, as
a form of balance, am on both sides, at different times – and I will
explain what I mean by this and illustrate this through autobiographical
material in the second part of this book.
Darwin rightly understood
that the weak species need to die out, and the successful species need to be
supported byÉgovernment welfare.
Bank bailouts were right and proper because the Rich were the Ôchosen
peopleÕ, the Ôfittest to surviveÕ: the Poor, in truth, were expendable, proper
ÔabsorbersÕ of public shame and little more than slave-matter for the rich, the
famous and the talented to use as they saw fit.
The color Black absorbed all
colors. The Black Night-Cycle Shadows
should absorb all of societyÕs shame, blame and humiliation. That was their role afterall; that was
their job.
And one good turn deserves
another. If Bernanke was giving
almost-free money to banks, he required that the banks and bankers return the favor. He wanted stocks to appreciate. A good old fashioned bull market in stocks might be just what the doctor
ordered. He still had plans to
continue to suffocate mortgage rates and try to force another asset bubble in
housing to save the world from price deflation and subsequent debtor and
creditor destruction. If this
didnÕt work, then both the government (current co-holder of bad bank debts) and
the banks would be suddenly (again) insolvent – as the economy would
crash and more and more unemployment would lead to more and more debt defaults
– and, this time, the government might not be so foolish to buy/absorb
these Ôtoxic loansÕ and agree to store these (as Warren Buffett called them)
Ôfinancial instruments of mass destructionÕ within their own Washington DC
compound.
Bernanke needed stocks to rise –
and Greenspan was counseling him that this was where he needed to focus his
energy – since consumers needed (1) to believe the depression was over, a
huge psychologic hurdle had been formed, through a darkening sense of a future
with diminishing opportunity; (2) more money to spend (profits from investment
in stocks) so that real growth could
lead to a real recovery, government stimulus being only a bridge to the New
Future, not the New Future itself.
Banks wanted to sell their
toxic debt to the government; sell it at face-value. That is, not marked-to-market, its
current vale, but at mark-to-fantasy market: what it would be worth once the
market came back and continued making new highs.
Bernanke wanted stocks to go up;
Bernake insisted that the banks re-invest the free-money the banks received
from Bernanke (profits on the sale of toxic loans at higher asking prices; and
+0% loans from the government) in American stocks. Bernanke promised to fix the stock
markets (privately promised this, I believe) as he had promised to fix the bond
market (this he promised publicly, with his description of the policy of
Quantative Easing). Bernanke
guaranteed, through QE, profits for anyone buying US T-Bonds, because he,
Bernanke, would personally (through Fed policy) buy all the bonds on the market
that no one else wanted, keeping a ceiling on interest rates – a floor
under bond prices.
Did he make a similar promise about stocks? Not publicly. But suddenly the stock market started
behaving like it was also fixed.
The markets began to rally on very weak volume. That is, there was just enough buying to
keep stocks advancing. No one,
suddenly, was selling. Large
program buying occurred when market tops began to appear, short-circuiting
corrections.
Was the Fed managing the stock market,
buying just enough to keep stocks appreciating?
Andy Kessler, in his article
ÒWhatÕs Really Behind BernankeÕs EasingÓ, figured out what QE was really all
about and wrote about it in the Wall
Street Journal in November 2010..
Mr.
Bernanke claimed earlier this month in a Washington
Post op-ed that "higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and
help increase confidence, which can also spur spending." But, as Mr.
Bernanke must know, the Japanese have been trying to influence their stock
market for 20 years, with little effect on their economy. It is also unlikely,
as some claim, that the Fed chairman is whipping up a stealth stimulus or
orchestrating a currency devaluation [I believe he is orchestrating a currency
devaluation by stealth, by QE]. He knows these have been tried and are more
likely to destroy jobs than create them [and I also think he does know this,
but he has other interests at the moment].
In
a normal economic recovery, the stock market rises in anticipation of higher
corporate profits. Companies then use their higher stock prices to raise
capital and hire workers, who buy homes and remodel kitchens.
Before
growth can occur, however, we have to fix what caused a recession in the first
place. Often that means drawing down inventory that built up in the last boom,
or tightening credit to whip inflation, as then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker did
in 1981. In late 2010, though, we still have banks overstuffed with toxic real
estate loans and derivatives. But what about the trillion in bank reserves
sitting at the Fed and earning 0.25% interest? Why isn't it being lent out?
Perhaps because it's needed to offset unrealized losses on these fouled loans.
I
have a different explanation for the Fed's latest easing program: Without
another $600 billion floating through the economy, Mr. Bernanke must believe
that real estate (residential and commercial) would quickly drop, endangering
banks.
Mr.
Bernanke is clearly buying time with our dollars. If real estate drops, we're
back to September 2008 in a hurry. On Wednesday, the Fed announced that all 19
banks that underwent stress tests in 2009 need to pass another one. This suggests
central bankers are nervous about real-estate loans and derivatives on bank
balance sheets. In 2009, even with TARP money injected directly into their
balance sheets, banks faced a $75 billion capital shortfall. Mr. Bernanke
orchestrated a stock market rally so they could sell equity for much needed
capital.
Kessler says it oh so
calmly: ÔMr. Bernanke orchestrated a stock market rallyÉÓ – for the
banks, of course; and for American spiritual sustenance. Can the Chair of the Federal Reserve
orchestrate a stock market rally any time he wishes? Is that legal? Is it legal to tell friends in the
banking industry to invest in stocks, and that the Chair of the Federal Reserve
will guarantee stocks go up? Is
that how business works in the US, in the world, in the Ôfree marketÕ
system? Is that how Big Money
becomes Big Money: by fixing the game?
Could the Fed control the
undisciplined flow of capital markets, with a partnership set up with, letÕs
say, large investment banks, insuring stocks appreciate, even if it was not
illegal? (Was that what Lloyd
Blankfein meant when he said that he (and presumably other bankers) were Ôdoing
GodÕs workÕ? Is that what Tim
Geitehrner was doing calling Lloyd Blankfein )
Could someone ÔfixÕ the stock
market? Is there a simple mechanism
to do this?
Former Federal Reserve Board member,
Robert Heller, says yes, there is; this could be done. Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Heller suggested:
"Instead of flooding the entire economy with liquidity, and thereby
increasing the danger of inflation, the Fed could support the stock market
directly by buying market averages in the futures market, thereby stabilizing
the market as a whole.Ó
The Fed Buys Another Stock Market Rally
Following the first stock market rally after the 2008
crash, Alex Dumortier wrote an article for the Motley Fool financial web site entitled ÒIs Fed Buying Behind the
Stock Rally?Ó In January 2010,
Dumortier wrote:
Do we have the Federal Reserve to thank for the recent stock
rally? The only logical answer is yes, according to TrimTabs, a research
firm that tracks money flows in and out of the stock market. As I read the
title of their report, I thought it might be a mad-hatter conspiracy theory,
but the analysis is rather compelling. If they are correct, it could have
significant implications for the longevity of the powerful rally that lifted
the market from its March lows last year.
Following the cash
. Here's the line of
reasoning: U.S. stocks gained $6 trillion in aggregate market value starting in
mid-March. According to TrimTabs, historically, increases in stock market value
require a net cash inflow into stocks equivalent to 10% of the increase, or $600 billion in this instance.
However, the firm couldn't trace the origins of anything close to that sum from
among traditional market participants
TrimTabs analysis claimed that
(1) corporations were net sellers of stocks during the period of the rally; (2)
the inflow from individuals was insignificant ($17 billion); (3) foreign
investors did puchas $109 billion of US stocks; (4) pension funds bought no
more than $100 billion of US stocks during this rally; (5) hedge funds suffered
an outflow of $12 billion of their own from April through November of that same
period.
Dumortier concluded: ÒIf
TrimTabs is right, we're far short of the $600 billion needed to fuel the rally
we witnessed. But would a central bank intervene directly in its equity
markets? Although unorthodox,
this has occurred (at least) three times -- in two advanced economies, no less
-- since 1998.Ó
Ron Paul, Congressman from
Texas, has been pushing for years for the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee
to open up its accounting books to public scrutiny. He has written and sponsored bills to
audit the Fed. The Fed, of course,
has vocally resisted this.
Why? Because the Fed can
spend money – and give away money apparently – wherever and to
whomever and whenever it wants. And
the Fed likes it that way.
Has the Fed been pumping up markets
since 1987? That is one allegation
against the Fed. Did the Fed give American
taxpayersÕ money to foreign banks after the 2008 financial meltdown? That is another claim by adversaries of
the FedÕs unlimited authority.
A Fed audit would answer these
questions quickly, putting such accusations to rest once and for all, if they
are unfounded. Of course, if proven
to be true – this could easily be a hornetÕs nest leading to political
reorganization – then outrage of American citizens might lead to the
complete destruction of the Federal Reserve System. The Fed is fighting against disclosure
because the Fed is also fighting for its life. Secrecy is the only weapon the Fed has
at the moment giving it an advantage.
America either needs to overthrow the
Fed or to make it more transparent, and limit its power. The Fed is now an invisible government,
stronger in many ways than the democratically-elected US government. The US government can declare war and
vote to wage war; but can they get the money to pay for the fighting of the
war? If there is no money to fight
a war, then a war really canÕt be declared and waged, can it?
Which brings up, inevitably
I guess, the ÒPlunge Protection TeamÓ.
The Plunge Protection Team is a governmental committee made up of the
top Washington officials, including the US President, the stated goal of which
is the manipulate the stock markets and to make sure that stocks donÕt
collapse, thereby ruining the whole Tea Party.
Steve Christ, writing in WealthDaily
in 2009, penned an article, ÒThe Plunge Protection Team: How the Invisible Hand
Moves the MarketsÓ.
To the
millions of tourists who have driven down San Francisco's Lombard Street, it is easily the "crookedest street in the
world." Steep and full of
sharp turns, it's an oddity as recognizable as the city's Golden Gate Bridge.
But
as familiar as that street is to everyone who has driven it or seen it in a
movie, Lombard Street has nothing on the winding road that has been built
between Washington and Wall Street.
Bailouts
and back-room deals— it's as crooked as it gets.
And
in a financial crisis that is by all accounts the worst of our generation, the
deep connection between the two has become even more tightly twisted. It's pretty obvious that the survival of
one depends wholly on the survival of the other. And while I've never been a big fan of
conspiracy theories, this twisted alliance of power and greed has made me
reconsider at least one... It's called the Plunge
Protection Team.
The Plunge Protection Team Is No Myth
And
according to the lore, it has been propping up the markets for the last 20
years. And the truth is, if it
didn't already exist, the current crisis is big enough to give birth to it, in
my opinion. But before I go any
further, let me get something straight. . .
The
Plunge Protection Team (PPT) is not some urban myth or Oliver Stone-style
conspiracy theory. The truth is
it's hidden in plain sight, even though the U.S. Government prefers to be tight
lipped about it.
Born
out of the 1987 crash, the team is formally known as the Working Group on
Financial Markets. It was created by Executive Order 12631, signed on March 18,
1988 by President Reagan.
And
under Sec. 2 of the order, its "Purposes and Functions" were stated
as follows:
(2) Recognizing
the goals of enhancing the integrity, efficiency, orderliness, and
competitiveness of our Nation's financial markets and maintaining investor
confidence, the Working Group shall identify and consider:
¥
the major issues raised by the numerous studies on the events (pertaining to
the)
October
19, 1987 (market crash and consider) recommendations that have the
potential
to achieve the goals noted above; and
¥
governmental (and other) actions under existing laws and regulations. . . that
are
appropriate
to carry out these recommendations.
Working
in secret, the group consists of
¥
the President
¥
the Treasury Secretary as chairman;
¥
the Fed chairman;
¥
the SEC chairman;
¥
and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission chairman.
The seeds
of the Plunge Protection Team were first planted by Robert Heller, a former Fed
governor (see above, for the same Mr. HellerÕs explanation of how Ôfixing the
marketsÕ could be easily and quietly accomplished). Heller was a first-hand witness
to the '87 crash, later writing:
ÒEverybody's
attention was tightly focused on containing the damage and preventing a spread
of the financial disruptions throughout the financial system. Do not forget
that at that time we were also dealing with a severe S&L crisis and almost
200 bank failures per year. Without swift supportive action on behalf of the
Fed, the stock market crash could well have been the straw that broke the back
of an already weak camel. Ò
Now, if
that doesn't sound a wee bit familiar, then you just haven't been paying
attentionÉ Heller's plan, in short, was really quite simple— the government could simply bid up the
futures until the market plunge reversed.
Since then,
the PPT has been the number-one suspect in generating one "stick
save" after another, especially at moments when all seemed lost.
Keep
in mind, this type of manipulation is entirely possible if the bid beneath
these futures is strong enough. Moreover, just imagine the type of reversal Goldman
Sachs and JP Morgan could generate with a concerted effort to buy S&P 500
index futures late in the day.
[Keep in mind that three of the last 6 Secretaries of the Treasury --who
does sit on the Plunge Protection Team – worked for and have strong ties
to and roots with, Goldman Sachs investment bank. This puts the ears of Goldman Sachs at
the table when the PPT is discussing goosing the markets and/or pulling back
and letting a correction happen.]
Needless
to say, it would be more than enough to turn the markets from red to green in
the blink of an eye— which is an outcome that would undoubtedly work for
both parties if it headed off a total collapse.
And
if it buries a few shorts along the way, so be it.
The (In)Visible Hand
Given the
dramatic bounce off of the March lows, the latest crisis has only raised
more suspicions. In fact, as
recently as April, a number of observers noticed some unusual patterns in the
"program trading" on the New York Stock Exchange, suggesting someone
may indeed be working to "prop up" the market with large amounts of
buying.
Even
more suspicious was the fact that the largest trader — with a volume
5 times higher than anyone else — was none other than Goldman Sachs.
. . a firm that shares an extremely cozy relationship with the boys in D.C.
Never
mind that unemployment is headed higher, foreclosures are still skyrocketing, and housing is nowhere near the bottom. That
would only put a damper on things.
Instead, the markets have been sent higher on very light volume. Any
trader will tell you that makes them even more susceptible to manipulation.
All
of which bring us back to the Bernanke Fed and the current crisis. All along
the way, the Fed has promised to "employ all available tools to promote
economic recovery and to preserve price stability." Is it really that hard to believe they
would stick their hands into equities, after attempting to jawbone everything
in their path in an effort to "fix" the crisis? I don't think it
is— even though no one has proven it. After all, desperate times call for
desperate measures. And for these folks, the end justifies the means.
This became a rather long
digression I admit, but not without its point.
Many Americans might argue: whatÕs so
wrong with fixing the markets so they can only go up? Most Americans benefit from a stock
market only when stock prices go up.
Only speculators and dark elements without loyalty willing to short
American companies seem to benefit when the stock market falls. This is a half-truth, but one that has a
lot of emotional support and one that can be and is used by politicians when it
is in their interest to do so.
Painting the Shadow with a brush of disloyalty and criminality is a very
old human trait – some may even say that I have been doing this, and it
is true – but I will paint both sides with a brush of disloyality and
criminality before I am through -- and has left a long ugly trail through
American political history, showing the racism inherent in the Day-Cycle when
Day-Cycle energy attempts to resist the end of the Day and transition into the
less competitive Night-Cycle. Blame
the Socialists. Blame the American
Indians. Blame the Blacks. Blame the women. Blame the Jews.
Is the market rigged? Does someone, or some type, or some specific
firm of people have an unfair advantage?
This is another digression – I will warn the reader ahead this
time.
Goldman Sachs seems to run a fixed
game. They get alumnae put in place
to run the US Treasury Office, with three of the last five Treasury Secretaries
men who have made billions while working for Goldman, and who made need a job
to go back to someday. The
Secretary of the Treasury sits on the Plunge Protection Teach with the US
President and the Fed Chair, where they apparently decide if stocks need a
supercharge in order to keep from going down.
Lloyd Blankfein seems to have a loyal
protŽgŽ in place as the current Treasury Department Secretary, Tim Geithner,
who made
BUSINESS INSIDER
Goldman Traders Did Not Have A SINGLE Losing Day Last Quarter... So Why
Are Partners Freaking Out About Tons Of Demotions?
Courtney Comstock | May 10,
2010
GOSSIP: Today's Wall Street Buzz In 60 Seconds
¥KKR Just Tapped This
Goldman Prop Trading
Superstar To Run Its Real
Estate Business
¥Morgan Stanley Is Laying
Off 200-300 Junior Employees
This morning there is both
good and bad news for Goldman.
The good news is that
Goldman traders turned in a mind-boggling perfect quarter, according to
Bloomberg, meaning Goldman profited every day last quarter for the first time
ever. That's got to feel awesome after all that happened last month, though
really it just makes it seem like the game is rigged.
Couldn't they have purposely lost
money on a couple of days?
Meanwhile there's also a report in the
Financial Times saying that Goldman execs are freaking out about Goldman's
cutting back the number of employees named partner this year or demoting a
number of people.
A year later, Goldman Sachs
would be floundering, relatively speaking.
For the quarter ending June 2010, Goldman actually had ten days of
trading when they lost money. On
the bright side, Goldman had seventeen days during which they made profits of
more than $100 million.
Did Goldman have a secret formula, or
did they just part their car near the back door of the Stock Exchange and raid
the primises when everyone else was on a lunch break? Well, in a way, they were doing both.
An issue that concerns this
writer at this moment, of course, is who
knows when the Fed and PPT is going
to give markets a stimulus booster-shot?
And who doesnÕt know? And who knows when the booster shot is
going to be removed – when the
ritual goosing is coming to an end?
If the market is fair, we should all know at the same time, shouldnÕt
we?
Do the small clique of leaders sitting
on the PPT committee keep all of this information absolutely secret? We have pointed out why Goldman Sachs
probably has a clear advantage – and their trading over the last decade
seems to indicate they have had an (invisible) advantage. Which other individuals or family
members or friends of friends are also trading with the Fed, because of an
unnamed source telling them when to get in to the market, when to stay in, and
when to leave?
Is it important that the
equities markets be fair? We know that Big Money has an advantage in
everything they do. Is that ok with
us, that Big Money gets to cheat to become more successful? Is that ok with those of us who are
Small Money? If it is ok with us,
we are probably on our way back to feudalism again – apathy will cost us
dearly in historical time. Big
Money will cheat and steal, if they are allowed to do it. ThatÕs one of the ways they got their
money, and how they got big in the first place – and we risk a lot if we
forget this.
Big Money wonÕt police
themselves. One of the necessary
jobs of governmentÕs is to police Big Money. The bigger Big Money is, the larger Big
Government has to be. This is a
very strong argument in favor of pruning both Big Business and Big Government
at the same time.
Goldman Perfection: Is the Game Fixed?
If ÔFront-RunningÕ is Illegal, Why IsnÕt Computerized Front-Running
Illegal?
Unconnected to the
criminality of the Housing Bubble and the theft of billions of government
taxpayer money by Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner for the (largely)
White Protestant Mafia Wall Street, there is another crime on Wall Street that
has been perfected by Goldman Sachs – hence there near-perfect record as
traders in high finance.
High-Frequency
Trading it is called – and most people had never heard of it until a
Russsian math-whiz immigrant working for Goldman Sachs was arrested in July
2009 at the Newark Liberty International Airport trying to leave the country
with a Goldman Sachs HFT computer
algorithm in his possession.
On July 3, 2009, Sergey
Aleynikov was arrested by FBI agents at Newark Liberty International Airport
after Goldman raised the alarm over a suspected security breach. He was alleged to have downloaded
GoldmanÕs Ôsecret softwareÕ used to direct large volume, high-speed trades in
stock and commodities markets often as markets are closing. At a bail hearing for Aleynikov, U.S.
Assistant District Attorney Joseph Facciponti said Goldman Sachs could lose
millions of dollars in the trading algorithm were to fall into the wrong
hands. In an official court
proceeding, federal prosecutor Joseph Facciponti told a federal judge that
"[Goldman Sachs] has raised the possibility that there is a danger that
somebody who knew how to use this program could use it to manipulate markets in
unfair ways."
Goldman Sach obviously knew how to use
the program. Does this mean that
this program made it possible for Goldman Sachs to Ômanipulate the markets in
unfair waysÕ? Why did this not
raise a red flag? Why was
Facciponti not investigating Goldman SachÕs use of the program in US and
foreign markets? Were we supposed
to believe that Goldman Sachs had a computer program that could allow them to
make, say $100 million a dau seventeen times in a given quarter, but were not
using it because of concern for ethical markets?
In her elaborately detailed
article ÒTax the Traders! Make Wall Street Pay its Share With a "Tobin
Tax", Financial Writer Ellen Hodgson Brown describes what HFT and
front-running are, and how they work.
While the
SEC is busy investigating Goldman Sachs, it might want to look into another
Goldman-dominated fraud: computerized front running using high-frequency
trading programs.
Market
commentators are fond of talking about Òfree market capitalism,Ó but according
to Wall Street commentator Max Keiser, it is no more. It has morphed into what
his TV co-host Stacy Herbert calls Òrigged market capitalismÓ: all markets
today are subject to manipulation for private gain.
Keiser
isnÕt just speculating about this. He claims to have invented one of the most
widely used programs for doing the rigging. Not that thatÕs what he meant to
invent. His patented program was designed to take the manipulation out of
markets. It would do this by matching buyers with sellers automatically,
eliminating Òfront runningÓ – brokers buying or selling ahead of large
orders coming in from their clients. The computer program was intended to
remove the conflict of interest that exists when brokers who match buyers with
sellers are also selling from their own accounts. But the program fell into the
wrong hands and became the prototype for automated trading programs that
actually facilitate front running.
Also
called High Frequency Trading (HFT) or Òblack box trading,Ó automated program
trading uses high-speed computers governed by complex algorithms (instructions
to the computer) to analyze data and transact orders in massive quantities at
very high speeds. Like the poker player peeking in a mirror to see his
opponentÕs cards, HFT allows the program trader to peek at major incoming
orders and jump in front of them to skim profits off the top. And these large
institutional orders are our money -- our pension funds, mutual funds, and
401Ks.
When
Òmarket makingÓ (matching buyers with sellers) was done strictly by human
brokers on the floor of the stock exchange, manipulations and front running
were possible but were against the rules, which were strictly enforced. Front
running by computer, using complex trading programs, is an entirely different
species of fraud. A minor potential for cheating has morphed into a monster.
Keiser maintains that computerized front running with HFT has become the
principal business of Wall Street and the primary force driving most of the
volume on exchanges, contributing not only to a large portion of trading
profits but to the manipulation of markets for economic and political ends.
The ÒVirtual SpecialistÓ: the Prototype for High
Frequency Trading
Until
recently, most market making was done by brokers called Òspecialists,Ó those
people you see on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange haggling over the
price of stocks. The job of the specialist originated over a century ago, when
the need was recognized for a system for continuous trading. That meant trading
even when there was no ÒrealÓ buyer or seller waiting to take the other side of
the trade.
The
specialist is a broker who deals in a specific stock and remains at one
location on the floor holding an inventory of it. He posts the ÒbidÓ and ÒaskÓ
prices, manages ÒlimitÓ orders, executes trades, and is responsible for
managing the uninterrupted flow of orders. If there is a large shift in demand
on the ÒbuyÓ side or the ÒsellÓ side, the specialist steps in and sells or buys
out of his own inventory to meet the demand, until the gap has narrowed.
This
gives him an opportunity to trade for himself, using his inside knowledge to
book a profit. That practice is frowned on by the Securities Exchange
Commission (SEC), but it has never been seriously regulated, because it has
been considered necessary to keep markets Òliquid.Ó
KeiserÕs
ÒVirtual Specialist TechnologyÓ (VST) was developed for the Hollywood Stock Exchange
(HSX), a web-based, multiplayer simulation in which players use virtual money
to buy and sell ÒsharesÓ of actors, directors, upcoming films, and film-related
options. The program determines the true market price automatically, by
comparing ÒbidsÓ with ÒasksÓ and weighting the proportion of each. Keiser and
HSX co-founder Michael Burns applied for a patent for a Òcomputer-implemented
securities trading system with a virtual specialist functionÓ in 1996, and U.S.
patent no. 5960176 was awarded in 1999.
But
things went awry after the dot.com crash, when KeiserÕs company HSX Holdings
sold the VST patent to investment firm Cantor Fitzgerald, over his objection.
Cantor Fitzgerald then put the part of the program that would have eliminated
front-running on ice, just as drug companies buy up competing patents in order
to take them off the market. Instead of preventing front-running, the program
was altered so that it actually enhanced that fraudulent practice. Keiser (who
is now based in Europe) notes that this sort of patent abuse is illegal under
European Intellectual Property law.
Meanwhile,
the design of the VST program remained on display at the patent office, giving
other inventors ideas. To get a patent, applicants must list Òprior artÓ and
then prove that their patent is an improvement in some way. The listing for
KeiserÕs patent shows that it has been referenced by 132 others involving
automated program trading or HFT.
Since
then, HFT has quickly come to dominate the exchanges. High frequency trading
firms now account for 73% of all U.S. equity trades, although they represent
only 2% of the approximately 20,000 firms in operation.
In
1998, the SEC allowed online electronic communication networks, or alternative
trading systems, to become full-fledged stock exchanges. Alternative trading
systems (ATS) are computer-automated order-matching systems that offer
exchange-like trading opportunities at lower costs but are often subject to
lower disclosure requirements and different trading rules. Computer systems
automatically match buy and sell orders that were themselves submitted through
computers. Market making that was once done with a ÒspecialistÕs bookÓ --
something that could be examined and audited -- is now done by an unseen,
unaudited Òblack box.Ó
For over a
century, the stock market was a real market, with live traders hotly bidding
against each other on the floor of the exchange. In only a decade, floor
trading has been eliminated in all but the largest exchanges, such as the New
York Stock Exchange (NYSE); and even in those markets, it now co-exists with
electronic trading.
Alternative
trading systems allow just about any sizable trader to place orders directly in
the market, rather than routing them through investment dealers on the NYSE.
They also allow any sizable trader with a sophisticated HFT program to front
run trades.
Flash Trades: How the Game Is Rigged
An integral
component of computerized front running is a dubious practice called Òflash
trades.Ó Flash orders are permitted by a regulatory loophole that allows
exchanges to show orders to some traders ahead of others for a fee. At one
time, the NYSE allowed specialists to benefit from an advance look at incoming
orders; but it has now replaced that practice with a Òlevel playing fieldÓ
policy that gives all investors equal access to all price quotes. Some ATSs,
however, which are hotly competing with the established exchanges for business,
have adopted the use of flash trades to pull trading business away from the
exchanges. An incoming order is revealed (or flashed) to a trader for a
fraction of a second before being sent to the national market system. If the
trader can match the best bid or offer in the system, he can then pick up that
order before the rest of the market sees it.
The
flash peek reveals the trade coming in but not the limit price – the
maximum price at which the buyer or seller is willing to trade. This is what
the HFT program figures out, and it is what gives the high-frequency trader the
same sort of inside information available to the traditional market maker: he
now gets to peek at the other playerÕs cards. That means high-frequency traders
can do more than just skim hefty profits from other investors. They can
actually manipulate markets.
How
this is done was explained by Karl Denninger in an insightful post on Seeking Alpha in July 2009:
LetÕs say
that there is a buyer willing to buy 100,000 shares of BRCM with a limit price
of $26.40. That is, the buyer will accept any price up to $26.40. But the
market at this particular moment in time is at $26.10, or thirty cents lower.
So
the computers, having detected via their Ôflash ordersÕ (which ought to be
illegal) that there is a desire for Broadcom shares, start to issue tiny
(typically 100 share lots) Ôimmediate or cancelÕ orders - IOCs - to sell at
$26.20. If that order is ÔeatenÕ the computer then issues an order at $26.25,
then $26.30, then $26.35, then $26.40. When it tries $26.45 it gets no bite and
the order is immediately canceled.
Now
the flush of supply comes at, big coincidence, $26.39, and the claim is made
that the market has become Ômore efficient.Õ
Nonsense;
there was no Ôreal sellerÕ at any of these prices! This pattern of offering was
intended to do one and only one thing -- manipulate the market by discovering
what is supposed to be a hidden piece of information -- the other sideÕs limit
price!
With
normal order queues and flows the person with the limit order would see the
offer at $26.20 and might drop his limit. But the computers are so fast that
unless you own one of the same speed you have no chance to do this -- your
order is immediately ÔrapedÕ at the full limit price! . . . [Y]ou got screwed
for 29 cents per share which was quite literally stolen by the HFT firms that
probed your book before you could detect the activity, determined your maximum
price, and then sold to you as close to your maximum price as was possible.Ó
The
ostensible justification for high-frequency programs is that they Òimprove
liquidity,Ó but Denninger says, ÒHogwash. They have turned the market into a
rigged game where institutional orders (thatÕs you, Mr. and Mrs. Joe Public,
when you buy or sell mutual funds!) are routinely screwed for the benefit of a
few major international banks.Ó
In
fact, high-frequency traders may be removing liquidity from the market. So
argues John Daly in the Canadian Globe
and Mail, citing Thomas Caldwell, CEO of Caldwell Securities Ltd.:
Large
institutional investors know that if they start trying to push through a large block
of shares at a certain price – even if the block is broken into many
small trades on several ATSs and markets -- they can trigger a flood of
high-frequency orders that immediately move market prices to the institutionÕs
disadvantage. . . . ThatÕs why institutions have flocked to so-called dark
pools operated by ATSs such as Instinet, and individual dealers like Goldman
Sachs. The pools allow traders to offer prices without publicly revealing their
identities and tipping their hand..
Because
these large, dark pools are opaque to other investors and to regulators, they
inhibit the free and fair trade that depends on open and transparent auction
markets to work.
The Notorious Market-Rigging Ringleader, Goldman
Sachs
Tyler
Durden, writing on Zero Hedge, notes
that the HFT game is dominated by Goldman Sachs, which he calls Òa hedge fund
in all but FDIC backing.Ó Goldman was an investment bank until the fall of
2008, when it became a commercial bank overnight in order to capitalize on
federal bailout benefits, including virtually interest-free money from the Fed
that it can use to speculate on the opaque ATS exchanges where markets are
manipulated and controlled.
Unlike
the NYSE, which is open only from 10 am to 4 pm EST daily, ATSs trade around
the clock; and they are particularly busy when the NYSE is closed, when stocks
are thinly traded and easily manipulated. Tyler Durden writes:
[A]s the
market keeps going up day in and day out, regardless of the deteriorating
economic conditions, it is just these HFTÕs that determine the overall market
direction, usually without fundamental or technical reason. And based on a few
lines of code, retail investors get suckered into a rising market that has
nothing to do with green shoots or some Chinese firms buying a few hundred
extra Intel servers: HFTs are merely perpetuating the same ponzi market
mythology last seen in the Madoff case, but on a massively larger scale.
HFT rigging
helps explain how Goldman Sachs earned at least $100 million per day from its
trading division, day after day, on 116 out of 194 trading days through the end
of September 2009. ItÕs like taking candy from a baby, when you can see the
other playersÕ cards.
Reviving the Free Market
So what can
be done to restore free and fair markets? A step in the right direction would
be to prohibit flash trades. The SEC is proposing such rules, but they havenÕt
been effected yet.
Another
proposed check on HFT is a Tobin tax – a very small tax on every
financial trade. Proposals for the tax range from .005% to 1%, so small that it
would hardly be felt by legitimate Òbuy and holdÓ investors, but high enough to
kill HFT, which skims a very tiny profit from a huge number of trades.
That
could work, but it might take a tax larger than .005% or even .1%. Consider
DenningerÕs example, in which the high-frequency trader was making not just a
few pennies but a full 29 cents per trade and had an opportunity to make this
sum on 99,500 shares (100,000 shares less 5 100-lot trades at lesser sums).
ThatÕs a $28,855 profit on a $2.63 million trade, not bad for a few
milliseconds of work. Imposing a .1% Tobin tax on the $2.63 million would
reduce the profit to $26,225, but thatÕs still a nice return for a trade that
takes less time than blinking. A full 1%, on the other hand, would pretty well
wipe out the profit and kill the trade.
Better
yet, however, would be to fix the problem at its source -- the price-setting
mechanism itself. Keiser says this could be done by banning HFT and installing
his VST computer program in its original design in all the exchanges. The true
market price would then be established automatically, foreclosing both human
and electronic manipulation. He notes that the shareholders of his former firm
have a good claim for voiding out the sale to Cantor Fitzgerald and retrieving
the program, since the deal was never consummated and the investors in HSX
Holdings have never received a penny for the sale.
There
is just one problem with their legal claim: the paperwork proving it was
shipped to Cantor FitzgeraldÕs offices in the World Trade Center several months
before September 2001. Like free market capitalism itself, it seems, the
evidence has gone up in smoke
So much for doing ÔGodÕs
WorkÕ.
Why was there no investigation of
Goldman SachsÕ use of the Ôdoomsday boxÕ (which is apparently what Goldman
called the program).
Remember, Goldman argued that the Russian immigrant could have destroyed
financial markets with potential misuse of this program.
Tobin
HarshawÕs article, ÔIs Wall Street Picking Our Pockets?Õ looks at the Denninger
example (above) and comments:
Karl Denniger at the Market TickerÉthinks that the tradersÕ
computer speed isnÕt most important advantage they have. Rather, he says, the Òalgos,Ó
rather than providing liquidity as they are supposed to, intentionally probe
Òthe market with tiny orders that were immediately canceled in a scheme to gain
an illegal view into the other sideÕs willingness to pay.Ó He explains:
With normal order queues and
flows the person with the limit order would see the offer at $26.20 and might
drop his limit. But the computers are so fast that unless you own one of the
same speed you have no chance to do this – your order is immediately
ÒrapedÓ at the full limit price É as the fill price is in fact 30 cents a share
away from where the market actually is.
A couple of years ago if you entered a
limit order for $26.40 with the market at $26.10 odds are excellent that most
of your order would have filled down near where the market was when you entered
the order – $26.10. Today, odds are excellent that most of your order
will fill at $26.39, and the HFT firms will claim this is an Òefficient
market.Ó The truth is that you got screwed for 29 cents per share which was
quite literally stolen by the HFT firms that probed your book before you could
detect the activity, determined your maximum price, and then sold to you as
close to your maximum price as was possible.
Even if such trading isnÕt
illegal or inherently vile, Brett Steenbarger of TraderFeed notes, it certainly makes life hard for day-traders and
others with slower access to data.
Because the high-speed algos
are buying and selling quickly as a rule, their effects on the markets
longer-term are unclear. A stock may still travel from point A to point B, but
the computers will affect the path from A to B. This may help explain why
traders I work with who are more selective in their intraday trades and who
tend to hold for longer intraday swings on average have been doing better than
very active daytraders.
When
up to half of all stock market volume consists of these algorithmic trades, one
has to wonder about the edge of very active traders. Interestingly, those that
are successful may be trading new patterns that have emerged since the
onslaught of the high-frequency computers. My hunch is that these new patterns
would involve a keen reading of order flow, catching the shift in the
bidding/offering and the location (bid/offer) of transactions in real time.
Two weeks ago, Tyler DurdenÕs
Zero Hedge blog posted a white paper
by Sal L. Arnuk and Joseph Saluzzi of the brokerage Themis Trading that clearly
spelled out some big concerns about the ÒHFTs.Ó
1. HFTs provide low quality
liquidity.
In the old days, when NYSE
specialists or NASDAQ market makers added liquidity, they were required to
maintain a fair and orderly market, and to post a quote that was part of the
National Best Bid and Offer a minimum percentage of time. HFTs have no such
requirements. They have no minimum shares to provide nor do they have a minimum
quote time. And they could turn off their liquidity at any time. When an HFT
computer spots a real order, the HFT is not likely to go against it and take
the other side. The institution is then faced with a very tough stock to trade.
2. HFT volume can generate
false trading signals.
This can cause other
investors to buy at a higher price, or sell at a lower price, than they would
otherwise. A spike in HFT volume can cause an institutional algorithm order
based on a percentage of volume to be too aggressive. A spike can attract
momentum investors, further exaggerating price moves. Seeing such a spike,
options traders can start to build positions, which, in turn, can attract risk
arbitrage traders who believe thereÕs potential news that could affect the
stock.
3. HFT computer servers are
faster than other trading systems.
Because most HFT servers are
co-located at exchanges, they can beat out institutional or retail orders,
causing them to pay more or sell for less than they should have for a stock.
As if that werenÕt worrisome
enough — the pair also raise some Òwhat ifÓ problems that HFTs could
confront us with down the line.
1. What if a regulation like
the uptick rule were enacted?
Volumes could implode and
stocks that appeared highly liquid could become extremely difficult to trade
with wide spreads and no depth in the quote.
2. What if a ÒrogueÓ
algorithm entered the market?
Many HFTs are hedge funds
that enter their orders into the market through a Òsponsored accessÓ
arrangement with a broker. Many of these arrangements do not have any pre-trade
risk controls since these clients demand the fastest speed. Due to the fully
electronic nature of the equity markets today, one keypunch error could wreak
havoc. Nothing would be able to stop a market destroying order once the button
was pressed.
Durden himself has been
sounding the warning for a while, likening the rest of us to Vegas suckers:
As the market keeps going up day in and day out, regardless of the deteriorating economic conditions, it is just these HFTÕs that determine the overall market direction, usually without fundamental or technical reason. And based on a few lines of code, retail investors get suckered into a rising market that has nothing to do with green shoots or some Chinese firms buying a few hundred extra Intel servers: HFTs are merely perpetuating the same ponzi market mythology last seen in the Madoff case, but on a massively larger scale. When it all blows up, the question is whether the SEC will go after the perpetrators of this pyramid with the same zeal that it pursued Madoff himself. We think not
Some have speculated that
the ÔDoomsday BoxÕ that Goldman employs to amass fractional gains per trade
that generate profits of more than $100 million a day seventeen times in a
quarter and the governmentÕs Plunge Protection Team are connected, if not the
same thing. The Durden quote ÒAs
the market keeps going up day in and day out, regardless of the deteriorating economic
conditions, it is just these HFTÕs that determine the overall market direction,
usually without fundamental or technical reasonÓ seems to be an accurate
description of the ÔBernanke Bull RunÕ market rallies that have been gaining
steam over the last two years.
Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge speaks of how HFTÕs use
Ôquote stuffingÕ to make a stock (and, consequently, a market) move higher or
lower, depending upon which side of the market the ÔtraderÕ is situated. Durden indicates that over the last 18
months – the Bernanke Bull Run era – they have rarely seen stocks
Ôwalked downÕ through quote-stuffing, but always Ôwalked upÕ:
Recently we posted a required
reading analysis by Nanex in which the market trading analytics firm presented
irrefutable evidence of quote stuffing by HFT algorithms in tens of stocks, in
which thousands of cancelled quotes would reappear each second with a
definitive periodicity and regularity, around the time of the May 6 flash
crash.
Aside from the fact
that it is illegal to indicate a quote without a trade intent, this form of
quote stuffing is in fact manipulative when conducted by HFT repeaters in
specific "shapes" as it actually moves the NBBO actively higher or
lower, in cases pushing the bid/offer range up to 10% higher without even one
trade ever having occurred, simply by masking a big block order which other
algos interpret as bid interest and pull all offers progressively or step
function higher (or vice versa, although
we have rarely if ever seen the walking down of a stock over the past 18
months).
It is as if the HFT
lobby has been given the green light by the powers that be that it is safe to
activate merely the bid-size quote stuffing algorithms, and not worry: the fact that the market is so one sided in
its quote stuffing patterns is sufficient reason to worry of a concerted effort
to push stocks higher, initiated from the very top, and effected by not
only the Primary Dealer community but by the end-market "liquidity
providers."
Today, courtesy of
Nanex we demonstrate that this type of illegal stock manipulation continues
rampant to this very day, and the SEC still fails to acknowledge that it is
precisely the HFT market participants that persist in destabilizing stock
prices, which have given up responding to fundamentals and merely move up or
down based on quote stuffing interventions by those who plead innocence and
claim to only be providing liquidity.
Well take a look at
the millions in fake, and thus illegal, bids demonstrated below and tell us
just how any of this manipulation is "providing liquidity" - the
second the patterns break, the algos responsible for the churn pattern
disappear, thus eliminating numerous levels of so called bid liquidity below
the NBBO: break enough patterns and you have another flash crash as the market
once again goes bidless.
So while the SEC continues to
pander merely to the interests of the market manipulation lobby, and is now
doing it in more style than ever by refusing to answer to FOIA requests going forward,
here is Nanex with yet more evidence that we no longer have a market, but
merely a daily recurring crime scene.
In our original Flash Crash
Analysis report, we dedicated a section to an observed phenomena we termed
"Quote Stuffing", in which bursts of quotes (at very high rates) with
extremely unusual characteristics were observed.
As we continue to
monitor the markets for evidence of Quote Stuffing and Strange Sequences (Crop
Circles), we find that there are dozens if not hundreds of examples to choose
from on any given day. As such, this page will be updated often with charts
demonstrating this activity.
The common theme
with the charts shown on this page is they are obviously all generated in code
and are algorithmic. Some demonstrate bizarre price or size cycling, some
demonstrate large burst of quotes in extremely short time frames and some will
demonstrate both. In most cases these sequences are from a single exchange with
no other exchange quoting in the same time frame.
And here, for your
viewing pleasure, are the illegal market manipulative churn patterns conducted
exclusively by various HFT algos:
07-29-10
BATS "Flag
Repeater". 15,000 quotes in 11 seconds, dropping the ASK price 1 penny
each quote from $9.36 to $8.58 and back up again.
07-29-10
"The Crown". While
not a large number of quotes, this NASDAQ/BATS Bidsize sequence was just too
unusual to bypass.
07-28-10
BATS "Batsicles".
BATS price cycling through a large price range, each intermittent with a stub
quote, drop it down and start over.
07-27-10
NASDAQ "Blotter".
One of the more unusual repeating Asksize cycles.
07-23-10
BATS "Stubby
Triangles". Drop the quote from a valid price to 0.001 and then back up to
a lower price level. When the new price level hits 0.001 as well, do it all
over again at approx. 380 times a second.
07-23-10
NASDAQ "Flutter".
4000 quotes in 2 seconds, alternating the bid price/size in 3 increments and
effecting the Best Bid along the way.
07-23-10
BATS "Periscopes".
8000 quotes in 3 seconds, alternating the bid price each quote. Pop the size up
1 every second or so.
07-22-10
NASDAQ "Double
Dip". Symbol SH. 10,000 Quotes in 4 seconds, each affecting the Best Bid.
07-19-10
NASDAQ "Racing
Stripe". Symbol WYNN. 2000 Quotes in one second, each affecting the Best
Ask.
07-19-10
PACIFIC "Puzzle
Pieces". Symbol IIC.
07-14-10
NASDAQ "Blue
Bandsaw". Symbol SHG. (760 quotes in 1 second, taken from a total sampling
of 10,000 quotes in 12 seconds)
07-13-10
BATS "60-Step".
Symbol SAH. Take sixty steps up (a penny at a time) and one step down (0.60),
reset and do it all over again (at approx. 700 times per second).
07-12-10
NASDAQ "Ask
Mountain". Symbol IAU. Over 56,000 quotes in 10 seconds, all with same Ask
Price and the Ask Size increasing or decreasing by 1 (to almost 40,000!).
Ben C at the Innoculated Investor explains the crime
in a different way, and highlights some of the dangers of HFT in his article
ÔHigh Frequency Traders are Stealing from YouÓ. Ben writes:
The history and backdrop
Most people are well
acquainted with the stock market crash that occurred on October 19th, 1987 in
which the Dow Jones dropped by 508 points or 22.61%. After the fact, the
largest one day percentage decline in the marketÕs history was mainly blamed on
portfolio insurance. This was a risk management tool that employed stop losses
through automatic, computer-based selling. Unfortunately, the prevalent use of
this strategy caused a cascade of selling once the market started to drop.
Hindsight being 20/20, commentators who opined on the events of the day of
course claimed that the outcome was obvious and predictable. Clearly it should
not have been a surprise that indiscriminate selling by computers could cause
the market to plunge. How could anyone have believed that thoughtless machines
controlling the most important stock market in the world was a good idea?
Now, here we are almost 23 years
later and apparently we have learned nothing from our past mistakes. In fact,
computer trading programs, or algorithms if you will, now dominate the
day-to-day trading on the major exchanges. While it is difficult to quantify
precisely, most estimates suggest that what is known as high frequency trading (HFT) makes up between 50% and 75% of all trades1.
Let us say that again: Robots trading shares in between one another now
accounts for anywhere between half and three-quarters of all market activity on
a daily basis. So much for fundamental, bottomÕs up investingÉ
The hidden HFT tax
The following is the most
technical portion of this analysis. However, we think that if you are willing
to stay with us, you will understand why HFT likely costs you money. The best way
to explain the HFT tax is through an example. LetÕs say you are a mutual fund
that wants to buy one million shares of Microsoft (MSFT). This is such a large
order that you are worried that you may move the market up with your trade.
Therefore, in order to make sure you donÕt pay more than you want per share you
put in a limit order. LetÕs say the stock is trading at $24.95 but you put in a
limit order (i.e. the most you are willing to pay) of $25. Many mutual funds
use what are known as VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Pricing) trading algorithms
to execute these large trades. The problem with these algorithms is that even
if they break up the buy orders in smaller batches (i.e. not all one million
shares in a single trade) they create patterns that the HFT algorithms can
sniff out.
Think of a VWAP kind of like an
18-wheeler trying to switch lanes on the highway. It takes a long time to move
and therefore a quicker vehicle has the opportunity to outmaneuver it. This is
what the HFTs do when they sense a VWAP-based order. By exploiting the
predictable patterns created by the VWAP, the HFT algorithm is fast enough to
sense the limit order of $25 on the MSFT shares, buy the shares at $24.95 and
then sell them to the mutual fund at $25. No harm, right? The mutual fund got
its trade executed at $25 and no one ever thinks twice. Wrong! The problem is
that the HFT basically engaged in what is known as front running by jumping in
front of the VWAP and causing the mutual fund to pay $.05 too much for each
share. If this only happened every once in a while it might not be a big deal.
But imagine the costs to mutual fund shareholders if this dynamic played out
each and every day with thousands of stocks. We are talking about billions of
dollars in potential profits for the HFTs. If you are wondering why the NYSE
pre-sold ALL of its co-location spots for its new data center within a short
period of time, you now have the answer.
Want to know who the major
players are? Well, according to NASDAQÕs website, the top five liquidity
providers for the NYSE as of July 2010 were Wedbush Morgan Securities, GETCO,
Citadel Securities, Merrill Lynch and UBS SecuritiesÉ
If it sounds like these firms
profit from an unfair and uneven market structure, it is because that is
precisely the case. But why is this inequity tolerated and often cited as a
positive thing? Well, the common defense of HFT is that these firms who run
these algorithms are providing liquidity, a measure of the degree to which a
stock can be bought and sold without affecting the price. Generally, the more
liquid a stock is the easier it can be traded without causing huge swings in
the price. As long as the liquidity is real and those who provide it are
committed to it, greater liquidity can be very beneficial to investors.
Specifically, it can lead to lower bid-ask spreads (which can lead to lower
costs of trading) and a greater ability to move into and out of cash when
investors so desire.
However, we believe that the
problems created by HFT are twofold:
1. Increased volatility and the
risk of extreme moves in the markets
2. Increased trading costs through
predatory activities
The market roller coaster
First off, all of the
evidence we find suggests that HFT creates unusual volatility in the markets.
LetÕs go back to the so called ÒFlash CrashÓ on May 6th, 2010. The Dow Jones
dropped 600 points in a matter of minutes, shares of Accenture (ACN) dropped
from over $40 to a penny, and shares of Apple (APPL) rose to over $100,000
each. Even though the exchanges eventually cancelled these outlier trades, how
is it possible that share prices can fluctuate so dramatically? The initial
reaction to this dramatic move in the price of market indexes was the Òfat
fingerÓ theory. This is the idea that some incompetent trader who meant to sell
one thousand shares inadvertently added three extra zeroes and sold one million
shares. However, we believe that such explanations are created in an attempt to
obscure the fact that the markets are broken.
Actually, these are not our
words but basically what Larry Leibowitz, the COO of NYSE Euronext (owner of
the New York Stock Exchange), said during his testimony in front of a House
Financial Services Subcommittee five days after the Flash Crash. Specifically,
this is what he said about the impact of technology on the functioning of our
stock markets:
The May 6 market drop
certainly should inform the SECÕs [Security and Exchange CommissionÕs] current
examination of the changes in the markets, and in particular how certain recent
advances in technology may have fostered trading practices that negatively
impact the entire marketÉAs regulators seek to determine whether regulatory
action is necessary to address the shifts in market structure resulting from
technological change, the events of May 6 make it clear that the regulators
also need to consider steps to avoid the types of extreme volatility our
markets experienced that day.
This indictment of the recent
technological revolution in trading came from a man whose company thrives on
market volatility since fees go up as volume increases. Additionally, NYSE
Euronext jus opened a huge new $500 million data center in order to take
advantage of co-location (where exchanges like NYSE allow traders to plug
directly into their servers and increase their trading speed dramatically)
revenue that is derived solely from firms who want quicker speeds for their
electronic trading. So, despite his vested interest in the increased
proliferation of HFT, Mr. Leibowitz is clearly concerned that the practice is a
threat to the integrity of the U.S. stock markets.
Liquidity dries up
The problem arises when other
market participants depend on liquidity that will only be present when the
market is going up or trading sideways. Unfortunately, as we believe the Flash
Crash proved, when the market declines rapidly the liquidity dries up as the
algorithms shut down to avoid catching a falling knife. Essentially, our
concern is that when the market plunges the HFT algorithms are programmed to
stop trading so that the firms are not caught holding assets that are falling
in value. But, this just exacerbates the drop in the market as there are
subsequently fewer buyers remaining. A true liquidity provider would remain in
the market in order to bid on assets even if they are declining in price and
make an active market (one with both buyers and sellers) in stocks. But, if the
HFTs flee the market at the first hint of weakness, the market can stop
functioning. When this happens, stocks such as Accenture, which usually trade close
to 4 million shares a day but saw volume spike to 10.3 million shares on the
Flash Crash day, can fall from over $40 to $.01. Unfortunately, this type of
volatility can make stocks stray far away from their intrinsic values and cause
retail investors to leave the market because they are unable to stomach the
price swings.
I have tried to approach
this rather technical and rather difficult white-collar crime from different
perspectives in order to illuminate this secondary indictment of the Wall
Street banks for crimes against the world – secondary, in the sense, that
my main indictment will be focused upon the Housing Bubble Deception and the
Great Robbery of the American people that followed .
I wonder, now, having looked at all of
this, whether the HFT was the PPTÕs
initiative to surreptitiously make the markets move up, especially during times
of stress. This is a perfect tool
to manipulate the markets higher.
HFT makes up as much as 70% of daily trading volume. It is easy to use HFT to manipulate
Bid/Ask positions , to provide liquidity when liquidity is needed.
Why is no one trying to stop this
practice? It makes up billions of
profits on Wall Street each year.
Bush was friend of Wall Street; so was Clinton; so was Bush Senior. ObamaÕs largest campaign contributor was
Goldman Sachs. Who is going to
attack the Golden Calf when the Golden Calf is financing oneÕs own political
dreams? Wall Street owns
Washington. Our democracy has been
lost.
What If the Stock Market is not a Fair Market?
If the stock market is not a fair market – and does favor
those with powerful friends and with inequitable technology and inequitable
distribution of information – which, I believe, is the legal definition
of the illegal activity called Ôinsider tradingÕ – and favors those with
more money than the rest of us – may favor those who gave large campaign
contributions to some of those who are now sitting on the Plunge Protection
Team – isnÕt this a flaw in the system that needs to be corrected? I think it needs to be corrected.
In theory, stock prices are supposed
to reflect the real value of a company.
As the value of the company grows, the stock price grows with it. Yes, there will be imbalances as
investors bid up a stock more than it is worth – the emotional factor
coming in to play. But what if the
US government is keeping its finger on the scale so that true value of a
company vis-a-vis. a companyÕs stock cannot be determined? Is that an issue for an investor? I think that it is.
What if investment banks are using
advanced computer technology to steal billions from American and global
investors through shaving bid/ask quotes to pocket millions of fractions of
profits with each trade? Is that an
issue for an investor? I think that
it is.
Back To the Future, Sort Of: Is America in 2011 Where Japan Was in
1996?
Digressions Are Inevitable in Cyclical (Poetic) Story-Telling –
Back to 2001.
So, American stock markets
began to trade sideways beginning in 2001, thus eliminating the primary
secondary income for Americans to keep up with rising prices as the Day-Cycle
expansion began to peak – we will remember that salaries had been trading
sideways for quite some time already (we will provide charts that demonstrate
this). Consumers needed another
secondary stream of income to be able to continue to feed the expansion –
to keep the full glass overflowing.
GreenspanÕs Ôhousing bubbleÕ filled
this role.
In March 2000, the Nasdaq
Stock Exchange crashed. The NDX
Index was trading at a high of
4816, the huge rally being
fueled by the Dot Com stock enthusiasm, which vastly overvalued start-up
internet companies and generated a frenzy among investors to buy stock in 'the
next Microsoft' before it was too late– this was the first bubble of the
Greenspan/Bernanke era.
We have said before that
economic growth is symbolized by the empty glass being filled up. Deflation is symbolized by the full
glass being emptied out. What
exactly – what substance -- is being filled up and emptied out? Debt, of course. Debt; water; prosperity.
In 1983, America began to
re-fill its empty glass. From 1983
to 2001, the empty glass was filled, the country assumed more and more debt,
gained more and more material power.
In 2001, the expansion concluded.
The glass was full -- the growth phase of the Business Cycle was over.
A bubble in financial markets is a
sign that the Economic Glass, already filled, is being overfilled. The water ÔbubblesÕ over the glass and
spills water everywhere, creating a flood, -- the flood being a metaphor, a
bibilical metaphor, for social chaos, monetary panic, and deconstruction of the
plant, the Tree of Life ( or civilization civilization) that the Day-Cycle of
economic growth has built.
Day-Cycles 'build' the dream
of civilization and human achievement.
Night-Cycles 'destroy' this dream, which, to the increasingly negative
perspective, has become corrupt, has failed to measure up to the dream --
Nature gains power in the Night-Cycle and Man loses his power to control
events. Massive over-watering of
the economic garden is a sign of Man's attempts to keep control oveer Nature,
ManÕs frightened attempt to keep Woman in control, using techniques that worked
during the building- or Day-Cycle – inflating the world through lower
interest rates -- but which do not work during the deconstruction-, or Night-,
phase.
The Economic Garden – this is
the Garden of Eden during the growth season and is the season lost but
remembered when the growth season ends -- during the Winter Season, does not
need to be overlooded by man's feeble attempts to preserve what he is afraid to
lose. A garden, after a season of
production, followed by significant flooding, needs to be dried out
(de-leveraged) in order to prepare it for an eventual new planting season
Sadly, this fearful, chronic
'overwatering' is still occurring, a decade later, as Ben Bernanke is still
convinced, apparently, that the only 'fix' for an over-watered garden is more
and more water -- more or more debt.
This bubble-creation policy
of Dr. Bernanke has been characterized by critics as 'extend and pretend' --
suggesting that Bernnanke's policy is based on a stalling tactic in hopes that
economic growth will somehow magiclaly appear to relieve the global economy
which seems to be drowning in its staggering debt burden. Ben apprently thinks he can save this
drowning man by forcing him to drink more water, forcing him to tke on more
debt.
What if growth cannot happen until the
full glass has been emptied out?
What if emptying the glass is the exact, ÔnaturalÕ monetary policy
needed at this stage of our cycle?
As I have written, I believe we should have begun raising interest rates
slowly and steadily in 2001, and should still be raising rates slowly. Lowering interest rates fills the Economic
Glass, but only when the glass is empty.
Lowering interest rates when the glass is full floods the world with
unwanted and unneeded (destructive, in fact) liquidity.
Raising rates will empty out the
glass. We need to raise rates,
confront and destroy our debts – taking our real medicine -- and dry out the garden to begin preparing it for
the next growth season, scheduled to begin in 2019.
However, as Japan has so vividly shown
us -- growth will not return on time if we do not understand that growth and
the empty glass must go together – understand this, and act on this
understanding.
BernankeÕs Ôextend and
pretendÕ policy has been described by some critics as Japan 2.0. Japan tried to hide its bad bank loans
also -- also after experiencing a disastrous real estate bubble -- and tried to
borrow its way out of debt. This
did not lead to a recovery, but to a continuing deflationary economic
environment that has lasted for more than two decades – unable to grow
out of stagnation, amassing more and more debt in an attempt to stabilize asset
prices, Japan's decline continues today.
Is America, by following Japan's game plan, creating a future for itself
of similar sorrows?
ÔWe are
not Japan!Õ This cry is one often heard from defenders of BernankeÕs
policies. Yes: America is not Japan
– this is an obvious truth.
But two men, one Japanese, and one American, one 5Õ6Ó 165 pounds, 50
years old, the other 6Õ5Ó 265 pounds, 30 years old, both suffering from
pancreatic cancer, are probably going to show common symptoms as their disease
takes over their lives.
Furthermore, if the medication used to fight the disease is the same,
then patterns of decline might be similar, might they not?
Japan and America both have the same disease:
ÔtoxicÕ debt being hidden from public view to protect their banking system
– the Ôextend and pretendÕ disease.
If the disease is the same, and the medication used to fight the disease
is the same, which they seem to be, then the symptoms, and the results stages
of the disease may very likely also
be similar.
Japan has been refilling its
full glass for nearly 20 years – and it has not escaped itÕs
deflaltionary, no-growth trap.
Japan will not be able to grow its economy until it finally empties the
glass – and begins to make a real effort to destroy its bad debts, no
matter how many banks and how much Old Money overlords go down the drain in the
process.
In March 2000, the Nasdaq
Stock Exchange crashed. The NDX
Index was trading at a high of 4816. The NDX, today is trading at 2400, still
50% lower than its top in 2000. In
fact, the Nikkei Index and the US NDX Index charts look very much alike,
although staggered in time. The
NDX, in early 2001, seems to be right where the Nikkei was in 1996.
The Nikkei Index crashed in
1989, dropping from a high of 39,000 to its current price, 10,500. That's a whopping loss of shareholder
value.
The resemblance between
charts of NDX, the Nasdaq 100 Index, which topped in 2000, and the Nikkei
Index, which topped in 1989, is quite striking.
The initial decline of the Nikkei
Index, from its top to its first bottom, was 25,000 points, or 64%. The intial decline of the NDX Index in
2000 was 3480 points or 81%. The
Nikkei had gained 300% is the five years leading up to 1989. The NDX had gained a remarkable 700% in
the five years leading up to its crash in 2000. Both charts describe graphically what a
'bubble' looks like, Mister Greenspan, in case you still don't know how to
recognize a bubble.
For both indexes, these
first bottoms proved to be a reversal trading point, and generated what
appeared to be, for a time at least, the major bottom in the crash.
This is still
appears true for the NDX, which has recouped 1600 points of itÕs initial 3500
point loss, a recovery of some 45.7143%.
The Nikkei rallied back from its 1992
low of 18,800, gaining 4800 points in the process, a recovery of, believe it or
not, 45.7142857%. Both indexes
successfully tested these new lows, and then put in new highs. This process usually indicates a
successful bottoming and usually ÔpredictsÕ further advances.
Let's look at charts of both
indexes, and look at similarities.
The NDX chart runs from 1995 to 2011 The Nikkei chart runs from 1986 to 2011.
The NDX has put in a trading
bottom, has ralied off its lows, tested those lows successfully in 2009, and is
now taking out resistance, making a new high. This chart looks quite positive, in
fact.
The Nikkei Index did almost exactly
two decades ago what the NDX is doing today. But then it could not sustain its rally.
The Nikkei, after
successfully building a trading bottom in 1992, and tessting that bottom in
1996, breaking an old high in 1996, subsequently broke through the old low
(14,296) in 1998, failed to break through resistance to make a new high in 2000
(20,328), and then collapsed, all the way down to 7000 in 2009. This represents a loss of 82% from 1989
to 2009.
Is this a picture of where the NDX is
heading?
If we assume, for the sake of mental
exercise, that the NDX will mirror the fall of the Nikkei, this would suggest a
decline in the NDX to roughly 770 from its current 2350 level, a decline of
another 33%. But why would we
assume this ÔinevitableÕ mirror relationship of the Nikkei and the NDX? America is not Japan afterall.
Yes. America is not Japan. I keep forgetting this.
Japan did not have illiegal
front-running through high-speed computer trading that can predispose markets
in favored directions. I keep
forgetting this also.
Perhaps all the rules of understanding markets can be thrown out the window
now that we have Goldman Sachs and other Walls Street bankers watching out for
us so well by bending the rules a bit to keep financial markets assets
expanding. ArenÕt we all on the
same side, on the side of more wealth, more power, and more conquest of
limitations for America?
Well, the thesis of this book is that
Nature will eventually level every system designed for perpetual
expansion. There is a tsunami out
there with every one of our names on it.
it comes to us to empty us out, when we need emptying. Ours is coming, and will continue to
raise its head up, until its work is done and the Night-Cycle has run its
course.
Reading the Main Indictment
What is Obama Waiting For?
Obama Claimed He Was the One to Reform America
– But He Has Become, Instead, the Protector of Wall Street Corruption.
One thing
government can and must do, however, is to raise taxes on
the very rich Americans to provide social support systems for those who have
been impoverished by errors, sins, and misdeeds committed mostly by AmericaÕs
rich, those Ômasters of the universeÕ.
As I have
suggested, I believe in EcclesiasteÕs wisdom: to everything there is a
season. Let the rich generate
personal wealth during the Day; and let the rich give back this wealth during
the Night. It is a mechanism we can
follow. Competition by Day; and
Cooperation by Night. Lower
taxes during the Day-Cycle; higher taxes during the Night-Cycle.
The danger the
richest class faces, if they resist such collective sharing of the wealth
during the Night-Cycle, is that they might lose everything in a social
revolution, which is always a possibility during a deflationary
Night-Cycle. History shows many
examples of inflexible arrogant rich classes being stripped of their wealth and
driven in to exile during Night-Cycles, when the moral imperative changes
sides, joins forces with the weak.
One
wonders why Alan Greenspan has not joined the monastery by now after his Ôfree
marketÕ doctrine and policy has helped to turn the American and global
financial gargantua into a paper junkyard; and has turned the financial
promises of AmericaÕs once-proud corporations into a kaleidoscope of shrinking
visions, corporate corruption, and a rattled pyramid of junk-bonds.
The ÔI made a
mistakeÕ statement – i.e., ÔI made an error in judgmentÕ – is not
enough, Alan. Admit that you are a
kind of Ahab! Admit that you
unintentionally torpedoed the Pequod, the boat in which all Americans are
riding! Admit that you sank the
American Ship of State because you were trying to destroy Death, trying to
defeat the Shadow; you were trying to exterminate the Great White Whale of
philosophical and financial and physical mortality!
Tell us that your
ambition was great, even as your judgment was flawed, as your management skill
was É much less than advertised! A
good education, and mediocre understanding, almost always lead to tragic
results.
ÒI continue to believe the U.S. economy is
healthy. We have had a significant housing correction in the U.S. You
canÕt have a correction like that without causing some dislocations. ItÕs too
early to tell whether itÕs bottomed. I believe it hasÉÉ.shouldnÕt be a
surprise to anyone that thereÕs some fallout in the subprime mortgage market É
but itÕs largely contained.Ó
~Henry Paulson March
2007
There are two fundamental
reforms we need: adequate capital and to get far higher enforcement of fraud
statutes – existing ones – IÕm not even talking about new
ones. Things were being done which
were certainly illegal and clearly criminal in certain cases. If you cannot
trust your counterparties, it [capital markets] wonÕt work. And indeed we saw
that it didnÕt.
- Alan Greenspan
The brash way that this scam (High-Frequence-Trading) is carried off is
beyond belief. The deep-pocket bank/brokerages actually pay the NYSE and the
NASDAQ to "colocate" their behemoth computers ON THE FLOOR OF THE
EXCHANGES so they can shave off critical milliseconds after they've gotten a
first-peak at incoming trades. It's like parking the company forklift in front
of the local bank vault to ease the transfer of purloined cash.
Wall Street High Technology
Highway Robbery, Mike Whitney
What is the difference between a Banker and a Mafioso?
The Banker is the Mafioso at the end of his career. The
Mafioso is the Banker at the beginning of his career.
Colloquial Proverb
CHAPTER FOUR.
APOLLO AND DIONYSUS.
THE COWBOY AND THE INDIAN.
"Practical men who believe themselves to
be quite immune from intellectual influences are usually the slaves of some
defunct economist."
John Maynard Keynes
The German philosopher
Friedrich Nietzsche re-discovered in Greek mythology the ancient classical
ideas of the divine manifestations of Day and Night. In his book, The Birth of Tragedy, Nietzsche draws a clear distinction between
the Day brother, Apollo, and his shadow, the Night brother, Dionysus.
In The
Consequences of Ideas, R.C. Sproul writes:
ÔWhile working on his
doctoral dissertation, Nietzsche studied classical Greek art and
philosophy. He noted the ancient
conflict seen in the images of Apollo and Dionysus. In these images, Nietzsche discovered
the visceral antagonism within himself, and antithesis between the mind and the
will. In Apollo, the rational and
the orderly are incarnated. Apollo
represents the Greek ideal of order and harmony. Apollonian art displays perfect symmetry
and proportionality. Its sculpture
displays no warts. The figure of
Dionysus, on the other hand, represents the element of the chaotic. Dionysus was worshiped in the ancient
Bacchanalia, named after Bacchus, god of the grape or of wine. In the ancient ritual, one attains
mystical release from the inhibition of reason by entering into a drunken,
orgiastic stupor. In this Dionysian
frenzy, a person loses his individual identity as he merges into mystical union
with a transcendent ÔoneÕ or ÔoversoulÕ.
For Nietzsche, the Apollonian idea is
realized in HegelÕs intellectualism, the Dionysian mood in Arthur
SchopenhauerÕs voluntarism. The
Dionysian model offers entrance into a dynamic stream of life-force marked by
passion and expressed in music that creates a feeling of abandon.
Historical movements
representing the Day and Night cycles would later be called Rationalism and
Romanticism. Of course, the advent
of the Wagnerian Dionysus imperative was an intimation of the rise of National
Socialism in Germany. We will note
that the manifestation of Dionysus will always be associated with destruction.
George S. Williamson, in his book The Longing for Myth in Germany, would
write:
The stated purpose of The Birth of Tragedy was to set forth
the Ôsecret doctrinesÕ of Greek aesthetics. Greek culture, Nietzsche argued,
originated from the interaction of two antagonistic forces, represented by the
deities Apollo and Dionysus. Apollo
was the power that created the images of dreams and fantasy. The beautiful forms of Greek sculpture,
the coherence of the individual psyche, even the ordered veneer of the phenomenal
world, were all products of Apollonian illusion. Dionysus, by contrast, was the formless
abyss of suffering that coursed underneath these tranquil surfaces. The Dionysian reached its perfect
expression in music, an art form without images. According to NietzscheÕs scheme, the
cultural flowering of Greece depended on the continual tension between Apollo
and Dionysus, just as procreation depended on a dualism of the sexes, with
Ôcontinuous strife and only periodic reconciliation.Õ
It was the Apollonian impulse that had
given rise to the bright Homeric deities, whose serene images had led
Winckelmann and Schiller to praise the blessedness and naivete of Greek
life. But, now, Nietzsche
contended, Ôthe Olympic magic mountain opens up for us and shows us its
roots.Õ For the Apollonian images
did not reflect Greek happiness but, rather, compensated for a darkly
pessimistic [and recognizably Schopenhauerian] worldview. From time to time this world of
appearances would fall away, as the hard-won individuality of the Greeks
collapsed in a torrent of Dionysian ecstasy. On such occasions social distinctions
were overturned, Ôthe slave became a free manÕ, and neighbor was reconciled
with neighbor in an ecstatic celebration of unity. ÔMan is no longer an artist, he has
become a work of art. The aesthetic
power of all nature, to the highest satisfaction of the primordial unity,
reveals itself here in the tremblings of intoxication.Õ
Apollo was thoughtful;
Dionysus was willful. Apollo was
dreamy; Dionysus was worldly.
Apollo was saintly and artistic.
Dionysus was devilish and materialistic. Apollo wrote about life, described it in
sculpture or painting.
Dionysus lived life, in all its brightness and darkness. ApolloÕs expression touches on
perfection. Dionysus is the birth of the tragic. Apollo is a ÔdetachedÕ man of
reflection, governed by intellect.
Dionysus is an ÔattachedÕ, passionate man of action, governed by body
and by the life-instinct. Apollo
expressed the subjective; Dionysus expressed the objective. Apollo was concerned with GodÕs laws;
Dionysus was more concerned with manÕs laws.
H.L.Mencken wrote in The Philosophy of Friedrich Nietzsche:
In ancient
Greece, he pointed out at the start, Apollo was the god of art - of life as it was
recorded and interpreted - and Bacchus Dionysus was the god of life itself - of
eating, drinking and making merry, of dancing and roistering, of everything
that made men acutely conscious of the vitality and will within them. The
difference between the things they represented has been well set forth in
certain homely verses addressed by Rudyard Kipling to Admiral Robley D. Evans,
U. S. N.:
Zogbaum
draws with a pencil
And I do
things with a pen,
But you
sit up in a conning tower,
Bossing
eight hundred men.
To him
that hath shall be given
And that's
why these books are sent
To the man
who has lived more stories
Than
Zogbaum or I could invent.
Here we
have the plain distinction: Zogbaum and Kipling are apollonic, while Evans is dionysian.
Epic poetry, sculpture, painting and story-telling are apollonic: they
represent, not life itself, but some one man's visualized idea of life. But
dancing, great deeds and, in some cases, music, are dionysian: they are part
and parcel of life as some actual human being, or collection of human beings,
is living it.
Nietzsche
maintained that Greek art was at first apollonic, but that eventually there
appeared a dionysian influence - the fruit, perhaps, of contact with primitive,
barbarous peoples. Ever afterward there was constant conflict between them and
this conflict was the essence of Greek tragedy. As Sarcey tells us, a play, to
hold our attention, must depict some sort of battle, between man and man or
idea and idea. In the melodrama of today the battle is between hero and
villain; in the ancient Greek tragedy it was between Apollo and Dionysus,
between the life contemplative and the life strenuous, between law and outlaw,
between the devil and the seraphim.
Nietzsche, as we
shall see, afterward applied this distinction in morals and life as well as in
art. He called himself a dionysian and the crowning volume of his system of
philosophy, which he had barely started when insanity overtook him, was to have
been called "Dionysus."
I write that Nietzsche re-discovered the meaning of Apollo and
Dionysus. The metaphysical meaning of Apollo and Dionysus dates
back to the most ancient philosophies of Assyria and Babylon, and began as a
concept connected to the Moon.
Moon-worship developed before Sun-worship. Moon cycles were easy to observe from
the Earth, as the Moon moved through a very distinct 28-day cycle divisible in
to 4 equal segments of 7 days each.
Seven was a sacred number of most early religions because of the MoonÕs
easy divisibility. The creation of
the Week as a division of time came from the observation of the Moon cycle.
Also moon-worship developed in the
southern climates where, quite literally, the Sun was experienced as an
oppressive force, the Moon as a soothing sanctuary from the deadly heat of the
day.
The North worshipped the Sun because
the Sun saves the North from the killing cold of Winter (Night daily embodiment
of its larger cyclic brother Winter).
The South worships the Moon because the Moon saves the South from the
killing heat of Summer (Day is, of course, the small-cycle counterpart of
Summer).
There is this built-in duality of
Earth: when it is Day in the East it is Night in the West; when it is Summer in
the North, it is Winter in the South.
This, in part, explains the conflict built-in to Earth cycles. Each of the four quarters of the Earth
is experiencing life at a different stage of the cycle and through a different
perspective of reality. Each
perspective, in this sense, is ÔtrueÕ – yet, also, at the same time,
adamantly contradictory.
When civilizations developed
more advanced sciences in astrology/astronomy (and when civilization moved more northward), Sun-Worship supplanted
Moon-Worship; but Sun-Worship presented a similar time-structure as Moon-Worship,
this time over the term of One Year as the Moon did over the term of One Month.
The Time Structure of the single Day
also evinced a similar structure: two forces in opposition; two forces in
balance.
Three time elements were seen to have
a common archetypal structure.
The trinitary Time divisions
into four ÔseasonsÕ were:
Dawn Noon Dusk Midnight
Waxing Half Moon Full Moon Waning
Half Moon New
Moon
Spring Equinox Summer Solstice Autumn
Equinox Winter
Solstice
Ernest Busenbark writes in
his (unfortunately-titled 1949 book) Symbols,
Sex and the Stars:
In addition to the myths
derived from the ancient belief that the moon was a Generator of Life, Goddess
of Motherhood and Regulator of Fate, the moon was the subject of another type
of myth, in which her monthly changes were thought to be the result of a
conflict between deities. It was a
contest between the God of Light, or the Overworld, and the God of Darkness, or
the Underworld, in which each contestant triumphed, in turn, over the
other. With the growth of sun
worship, the myths, which were based upon this theme, began to partake of a
solar character.
The underlying motifs of the Light and
Darkness myths were growth and decay, life and death, day and night, summer and
winter, which seemed to constitute systems of pairs of opposites by which all
life and activity in the universe was maintained in a state of balance by the
opposition of natural forces.
The Mother Goddess cults generally
deteriorated gradually into sex worship, and finally passed from the worldÕs
stage, leaving only a mass of myths and superstitions; but the Light-Darkness
myths contained the germ from which developed the great ÔethicÕ religions which
now, for upwards of 2500 years, have played a great part in molding
civilizationÉ.
Light was not, in itself, a complete
entity: it required the Darkness to make it whole, just as the Male required
the Female. As a positive current
of electricity is without force unless accompanied by a negative current, so,
in early times, the God or Power of Light was considered incomplete without the
power of Darkness to give it contrast, opposition, force, and completeness.
Opposition or apparent conflict
between the ascending and descending phases of the Moon provided
the underlying motif for the story of the Two Brothers, called the ÔpartedÕ,
which, in various forms, is found in mythology all over the world. In the zodiac, they are thought to be
represented as Gemini, the
Twins. In China, they appear as Oph
and Shichim; in India they are Cristna and Balarama; in Egypt, Set and
Horus. Some students of comparative
religion see similar motifs in the conflicts between Abel and Cain, and Jacob
and Essau.
The descending half of the Moon was often depicted as the Dark One, the
Deceiver. In another type of myth,
the descending Moon becomes the
Manifester, the Precursor or the Sacrificial Type; and the ascending half is portrayed as the Bringer of Light, the Savior or
Redeemer.
The Full Moon is, of course, the Virgin Mother, the Queen of Heaven.
In Egyptian mythology, the ascending phase of the Moon, as the
reflector of the SunÕs Light is represented by the God Horus, who is portrayed
as the Eye of the Sun. The dark phase is caused by Set, the demon
of Darkness, who steals or wounds the Eye of Horus. On ancient monuments, Set is shown with
the head of a jackal, which fact proclaims him as the Night Prowler and the
Thief of Light.
Graphically, this dual
representation of Light Brother/Dark Brother, overlaid on our Time diagrams,
appears below. Apollo, of course,
in this context, represents the Bringer of Light; Dionysus represents the
bringer of Darkness, whose power grows from nothing at Noon or the Summer
Solstice, when there is no shadow, to all-powerful at Midnight or the Winter
Solstice – at which point Light is weakest, almost non-existent. Of course, the Winter Solstice
represents the birth of light, the birth of Christ, the re-birth of the Solar
Hero, the re-birth of Apollo.
This discussion is
complicated by the fact that the perception from the material universe is
exactly reversed from the perception from the anti-material universe (the
spiritual universe). In the
material universe, white (Day) is good and black (Night) is bad. In the anti-material universe, Day is
bad – the arena or ring of conflict, where sins are committed, and where
karma is accrued-- and Night is good, a place of rest and reflection –
also a realm of judgment for those who have sinned during the Day. At Night the soul approaches his
God. Day is the time when the
material world expands – riches, powers, temptations are given to the
soul. Night is the time when the
spiritual world expands. But in the
anti-matter world, expanding materialism is the darkness, the Night, not the
Light, the Day.
Both perceptions are illusions, as I
have written. Illusions being
part-truths. But both illusions are
very potent; and both illusions power the world into action and re-action, back
into Day and back into Night.
The material world relates to the
anti-material world as the photograph relates to the photographic
negative. Light relates to darkness
in this same manner. Without
darkness there is no light. Without
the photographic negative, there is no photograph.
I realize I have awkwardly complicated
these ideas, ideas which were somewhat complex even before I added the mirror reflection.
For my own purposes, the
myth of Apollo and Dionysus seems too classical and too European. To more clearly present this structure
in the American context I believe the ÔupdatedÕ concept of Cowboy and Indian
might be more useful. I will also
use the expressions Day-Force and Night-Force, as well as the expressions
Culture and Counter-Culture. I have
a slightly different take on the essences of these two ÔbrotherÕ natures, in
fact.
Who is the Cowboy? The Cowboy is the White Man who is
attracted to his opposite, the Dark Woman (the Earth). We will see that the Indian is the Dark
Man who is attracted to his opposite, the White Woman (the Moon). The White Man is the Spirit Force
materializing, falling to Earth.
The Dark Man is the Matter Force spiritualizing, rising into Heaven. As the Spirit Force falls, it becomes
darker. As the Matter Force rises,
it becomes lighter. The Hebrew
diagram for the Star of David incorporates some of these same ideas.
I have written that the
White Man (the ÔwinnerÕ, the ÔsuccessfulÕ force) will become, in time, the Dark
Man (the ÔloserÕ, the ÔdefeatedÕ force) – and, when the White Man becomes
Dark (ÔDark with sinÕ) he will be rejected by the Dark Woman, the Earth –
this is a basic law of physics, opposites attract; like forces repel. And this White Man-become-Dark Man will
then be saved by the White Woman, the Moon, the Virgin Mary in Christian
terminology. The Dark Man becomes
the Messiah, the Soul, that is given birth by the Wisdom of the Night, the
Virgin Moon, shining in the Night Sea.
The Cowboy is the force of the Day,
the Physical Sun, the force of ManÕs Law that supports city-building and
civilization. The Cowboy is the
fertility force, the Sun that magnetically inspires the growth of crops, the
building of wealth, procreation, empire, material expansion.
The Indian is the force of the Night,
the Metaphysical Sun, the force of GodÕs Law that destroys city-building and
civilization through the force of inactivity, the force of the Dream-Time. The Cowboy is Human nature; the Indian
is the human-in-Nature.
The Cowboy is the Hero, who seeks to
defend the innocent Community from the forces of Evil. The Indian is an Anti-Hero, who seeks to
defend the innocent and the poor from the evil forces of the corrupt overlord
community.
How all this hidden symbolic
structure relates to history has been pursued and presented by some historians,
Oswald Spengler, Gambattisto Vico, and, in a different sense, Marsilio Ficino
have all written morphological studies of history. These approaches have been met with
admiration at certain cycles of history, and with ridicule at others. Clearly these historians are Indian
types, whose visions are generated through the symbolic mind, not the Cowboy
rational mind. Science comprehends
the straight line of causality but not the curved line of cyclicality, which it
considers superstition.
Freud was a Cowboy (read ÔpracticalÕ);
Jung was an Indian (read Ôother-worldlyÕ).
Confucius was Cowboy (read ÔwillfulÕ); Lao-Tse was an Indian (read
ÔselflessÕ). Aristotle was a Cowboy
(read Ôa physician of the Real WorldÕ); Plato was an Indian (read Ôa
metaphysician of the Ideal WorldÕ).
Negentropy (an unfortunate name for
the increasing complexity of organization of information) is a Day-Force;
Entropy (increasing complexity of disorganization of information) is a
Night-Force – i.e., the physical world runs down. The Lone Ranger was a
Cowboy, obviously; and Tonto was an Indian. Tom Sawyer was a Cowboy;
Huckleberry Finn was an Indian.
(Huckleberry Finn was a Cowboy; and Jim the Slave was an Indian. This shows how complex this structure
is, and how roles shift depending upon the attendant elements participating in
the atom.)
A contemporary Jungian scholar (it may
have been James Hillman or Edward Edinger, both of whom I admire) described the
difference between Freud and Jung as being (and I am paraphrasing) that Freud
sees the world through the eyes of a youth approaching the world of men seeking
life, success, and well-adjusted conformity to manÕs social structure; whereas
Jung sees the world through the eyes of an adult approaching old age and death,
seeking knowledge of the future life (Eternal Time) and a well-adjusted
conformity to GodÕs more esoteric spiritual structure.
The diagram (above) of the
Apollo/Dionysus polarity is not very exact. In a more real sense, the Light rules
from Dawn to Dusk (the Overworld); the Darkness rules from Dusk to Dawn (the
Underworld). But the diagram above
does show an aspect of the two brothersÕ relationship: Light is weakest at
Midnight (Winter Solstice) – i.e., the days are shortest -- but begins
gaining strength at this point until Noon (Summer Solstice), when days are
longest, nights are shortest. At
Summer Solstice, Light begins to lose its battle with Darkness – nights
begin to get longer, days shorter.
Darkness is weakest at Noon (Summer Solstice), after which Darkness begins
to win the battle with Light.
Then the children of Israel did evil in the sight of the Lord, and
served the Baals and the Astoreths, the gods of Syria, the gods
of Sidon, the gods of MolochÉ So the anger of the Lord was hot
against Israel; and he sold them into the hands of the Phillistines
and into the hands of the people of Ammon. From that year they
harassed and oppressed the children of Israel for eighteen yearsÉ
Book
of Judges,: 10, 11
CHAPTER FOUR.
DAYS AND NIGHTS IN AMERICAN HISTORY.
(If There Is Precision Inherent in Matter, Is There Not Also an Implied
Precision in MatterÕs Behavior?)
ÔAll things from eternity are
of like-forms and come round in a circle.Õ
Marcus Aurelius
Ronald Reagan was a Cowboy;
Jimmy Carter was an Indian.
Barack Obama is an Indian.
The illusion is that the Cowboy and
Indian, the Culture and the Counter-Culture, are two separate forces, two
separate natures and personalities.
In fact, these two forces are a unity. The Cowboy is the youth approaching the
world of men seeking life, success, and well-adjusted conformity to manÕs
social structure; the Indian is that same force at a different point in the
Time Cycle, as an adult approaching old age and death, seeking knowledge of the
future life (Eternal Time) while seeking a well-adjusted conformity to GodÕs
more esoteric spiritual or anti-material structure.
The Cowboy carries the world out of
anti-matter (the Dream Time, Eternal Time) in to the world of matter (Time);
the Indian carries the world out of matter back in to the black hole of
anti-matter. The Ôblack holeÕ of
depression is a kind of womb in which we germinate, dream, in and from which we
find the ÔmaskÕ or vision our re-birth.
The Cowboy represents the Life of the
Body, the life of Form, Formality, Reason, Law, Civilization, Scientific
Intellect The Indian represents the
Life of the Soul, the Life of Mind (Spiritual Intellect), Informality, Dreams,
Creativity, Culture, Art, Community.
Every culture, nation, individual needs
to develop both sides of this ÔpersonalityÕ, the Day Personality and the Night
Personality.
The Cowboy builds the physical world
and provides security and rules of behavior in which the society can
develop. The Cowboy brings law to
the world, order, civilization. The
Cowboy ÔengineersÕ the world, building structures in the external world,
houses, cities, nations, specializing in technology, expanding its influence on
a truly global scale. The Indians
(the Indians are Asiatic in origin) are more passive in the physical world,
view Nature as a divinity, rather than a resource to be appropriated or
ÔdevelopedÕ (which is an interesting word, as though Nature were not
developed. The ÔdeveloperÕ is
clearly one of the more interesting euphemisms that materialism has
imagined.) The Indians build
structures, understandings, in the internal world, develop relationships with
gods, spirits and ancestors who live now in the dream world.
Cowboys are Solar-Worshippers. Indians are Lunar-Worshippers.
Cowboys abhors the Indian, think the
Indian is insane. (The Culture
generally feels the same for the Counter-Culture.) The Indian feels the Cowboy is crude and
materialistic, soulless. Donald
Trump is a Cowboy, the conqueror of the world. Bill Gates is a Cowboy, a scientist
conquering the world. Napoleon and
Hitler were Cowboys. Bach,
Rembrandt, Melville, and James Joyce were Indians. My thesis is that we need both. America, speaking generally, has given
more credence to the Entrepreneur, the Cowboy, over the last thirty years. Sadly, I think most Americans would
rather have their son grow up to be Donald Trump than Johannes Bach. I think this is explained by our
overemphasis on the practical Daylight side of life – devotion to the
so-called Ôreal worldÕ -- and the religion of Materialism that has dominated
the world since the Scientific world-view dethroned the Religious world-view in
the West, especially over the last 200 years or so.
That is not to say that the Donald
Trumps of the world have no value.
Donald Trump plays his role, as do all of the builders of the physical
world. ItÕs just that for every
million Donald Trumps the world creates, the world creates only one Johannes
Bach.
America, speaking generally,
gave more credence to the Artist, the Musician, the Poet, from 1965-1982
however. At least the youth of
America did, which is the machine that drives Western culture.
I believe AmericaÕs future will be
great in terms of cultural developments.
I will discuss, in a later chapter, the American civilization vis-ˆ-vis
the Roman civilization.
Intellectuals, especially European intellectuals, enjoy despising
American culture by equating it to ancient Rome. Ancient Romans were skilled as warriors
and engineers, as city-builders, and empire-makers, as the ÔPolicemen of the
WorldÕ. The Day-Force, the Cowboys,
in other words. In this view,
Greece was the culture of the world and Rome was the body, the uncultured force
of will. In the same way, today,
Europe is the culture of the world, the Greece of today. Rome was a nation of materialistic
bullies. Many, today, view America
in this same way.
Hinduism speaks of a Father-Mother
principle, the Unity split into two, before the duality splits into adversarial
manifestation.
Rome was a Father-Mother principle,
manifesting, first, as the Father, the militarist, the force of earthly order,
business, pragmatism. Later, after
corrupt ancient Rome was overrun by Germanic barbarians, Rome manifested as the
Mother, giving birth -- after a long-period of dormancy (the Dark Ages) -- to
Renaissance European city states, which later developed in to the independent
countries, cultures and languages of Europe and England.
To judge Rome fairly, one must view
Roman history in both parts: the Day world of the powerful Patriarch, with his
powerful army, his business acumen, who dominated the physical universe –
the civilization stage -- and the
Night world of the powerful Matriarch who gave birth to Modern Europe –
the culture stage. Julius Caesar
transformed in to Jesus Christ, at Midnight; and, then, at Dawn, in to
Michaelangelo, Leonardo, Dante, Shakespeare, Bach, GoetheÉand all of the great
artists and thinkers that grew up from RomeÕs rich animated diffuse soil.
America will have a similar period of
cultural greatness. But America
will also need to go through a Dark Age to get to the stage of cultural
rebirth. Economic depressions
(Night-Cycles) are Dark Ages in miniature form (36-year cycles in toto). Historical Dark-Ages are Winter-Cycles,
enduring for hundreds of years.
If the life on Earth does
not end in 2012, then we can expect American history to mirror roughly RomeÕs
own history, with an eventual collapse of democratic government (the Republic
Stage), an advent of government by an autocratic family or families (the Empire
Stage, even more dramatically executed than today, with even greater failures),
and a final collapse into corruption and fall to a barbarian invading culture
(or, perhaps, a great civil war through which the powers of East-Coast American
cities are overthrown.).
According to this scenario, current
American regions (New England, Northeast Corridor, Atlantic Coast, Deep South,
Midwest, Rocky Mountains, Southwest, Pacific Northwest, and California) will,
over time, and through a Dark Age stage of isolation, germination, and
spiritual regeneration, develop independent national cultures with languages
and dialects rooted in English, much as Europe developed cultures and languages
from the root of RomeÕs Latin world-language.
If the lens IÕm using is accurate, a
messiah figure is also scheduled to appear in America during this next
century. A messiah figure who is
both lion and lamb, and may manifest the lion aspect of his character 2,000 years
after having manifested the lamb side of his nature. We will look at this more closely later.
The ÔCultureÕ comes from the
inner world and creates the outer world, the Civilization; and the ÔCounter
CultureÕ destroys the civilization and re-creates the inner world, the
Culture. The Counter-Culture flows
in to the Culture (when there is Unity) and flows out of the Culture (when the
Father-Aspect and the Son-Aspect begin to disagree).
The ÔCultureÕ largely ignores the
inner world, and, in so doing, allows the Dream-Body to wither. The ÔCounter-CultureÕ largely ignores
the outer world – hence, degeneration of the physical world occurs,
economic depression being an aspect of this – and focuses on regeneration
of the cultureÕs Dream-Body. Hence,
the orthodox ÔCultureÕ must focus on
re-ordering the external world when it re-ascends to power, because the
ÔCounter-CultureÕ has allowed the Physical Body to become weak and disordered
(the Night has abandoned the physical body).
ÔEternal lifeÕ depends upon the
vitalization of both bodies – the Physical Day Body and the Dream Night Body.
When Day comes, we inhabit the Physical Form. When Night comes, we inhabit the Dream
Body.
Building civilization is a
Day activity. Building culture is a
Night activity. The Sun is the
great builder of Nature during the Day.
The Sun, through the vehicle of the Moon, is the great builder
(nurturer) of Nature during the Night.
The Sun powers the Mind through the brain. The Moon powers the Soul through the
heart. The Day is ruled by the Fire
of the Sun. The Night is ruled by
the Water of the Soul.
Generally speaking, the Republicans
are Cowboys, and Democrats are Indians.
The Republicans are the male-energy; Democrats are the
female-energy. Generally speaking. The most recent manifestation in
American politics of the Cowboy spirit began in 1982 with the advent of Ronald
Reagan, the ultimate Cowboy Archetype, and ran through 2008. George Bush and John McCain were also
manifestations of the Cowboy Nature.
Reagan was the Cowboy Archetype re-born after a long retreat,
disappearance and germination – the Cowboy again rising at the beginning
of a Day Cycle. Bush and McCain
were manifestations of the Cowboy Nature at the end of the Day cycle, worn out,
defeated, declining.
Obama is a manifestation of the Indian
Nature after a long period of Cowboy Rule.
Obama is a symbol of the refreshed Indian, as Jimmy Carter was a symbol
of the enervated, defeated Indian Nature.
Franklin Roosevelt as a manifestation
of the re-born Indian Nature also after a long period of Cowboy Rule
(1911-1929).
Abraham Lincoln was a manifestation of
the re-born Indian Nature also after a long period of Cowboy Rule (1839-1857).
John Kennedy, very similar to Lincoln,
was a manifestation of the re-born Indian Nature after a long period of
Cowboy/Businessman Rule (1947-1965).
Later we will discuss complications both Kennedy and Lincoln present
when looking at our dual historical time-scale.
During the Day Cycles, the
polarization tends to be external, the country is united; during the Night
Cycles, the polarization tends to be internal, the country is divided.
Democrats nearly always
preside over the Darkness in American history, the defeat of the material
nature. I write this with some hesitation,
understanding that there is some disagreement among historians as to the
definition of an economic depression, about where the barrier between a
recession and a depression can be drawn; there is also the problem with an
historical definition of Democrat and Republican. A Democrat today is much different than
a Democrat in Abraham LincolnÕs time (when the ÔDemocratic RepublicansÕ were
the ÔDemocratsÕ of today). I might
attempt to illuminate this latter problem by defining ÔDemocratÕ as the party
that cares more for racial and economic equality and by defining ÔRepublicanÕ
as the party that uses Biblical references to justify racial and economic
inequality through individual destiny and freedom. In one sense, the Republicans use Old
Testament Biblical references to justify racial and economic inequality in the
interests of national exceptionalism (a Ôchosen nationÕ status as defined by
the national monotheistic God); and the Democrats use New Testament references
to justify policies of racial and economic equality as penance for sins
(ego-inflation) committed during the Day Cycles through an excessive sense of
exceptionalism.
In fact, Day-Cycles are manifestations
of the Old Testament; and Night-Cycles are manifestations of the New Testament.
The ÔRepublicansÕ also focus
their philosophy on the opportunities for and the freedom of the individual;
ÔDemocratsÕ focus their attention on what is good for the nation as a
whole. ÔRepublicansÕ defend the corporation, which is both an individual
entity, and a symbol of ÔbodilyÕ existence, a noun, a manifestation of ÔI amÕ
-- the life as the Ego. ÔDemocratsÕ
defend co-operation, a verb, an
(moral) activity, a manifestation of the Self and the collective experience.
I am not making moral judgments in
this description. The Cowboy
responds to an external threat – and to the re-polarization of life that
occurs as the Darkness is ending.
The Cowboy defends the laws that define the life of the
civilization. The Cowboy drives off
the criminal darkness, the dangerous storm clouds, which have aggregated during
the Night, with real intentions of suffocating the society through violence and
revolution.
Reagan ÔsavedÕ America from the
self-hatred of Jimmy Carter, as the Dawn returned and Ôre-incarnationÕ was
demanded. Re-incarnation, in this
sense, happens every day when the human awakens from sleep, and resurrects the
ÔpersonalityÕ of the Ego which has lost its structure during a night of sleep. (Reincarnation also works on larger
scales of manifestation.)
Reagan re-introduced the structure of
the American personality after that personality had been crucified during the
Darkness of the 1960Õs and especially 1970Õs.
I believe Jimmy Carter saw himself as
a messiah figure, a shadow of Christ (his initials J.C. perhaps helping to
illuminate this destiny to him).
Jimmy Carter put himself upon the cross in order to pay for American
sins of the Indian Wars, slavery, racial discrimination and persecution,
inequality in American society, immoral foreign intrusions in Latin America and
Asia, most recently in Vietnam.
The Darkness is a time of
self-judgment, self-condemnation, as the sins of the Day are visited upon the
nation, illuminated in the Soul by the pure light of the Moon. Each incarnation brings more sins the
society must face during the Night.
That is why the Wheel of Incarnation (Re-Birth) is considered the
vehicle of Karmic Debt.
Our Cowboy defends freedom in the
world. That is the positive
side. But there is a shadow side to
this also. Our Cowboy defends freedom
in the world so that American corporations can do business in foreign
countries, enabling Americans can enjoy a higher standard of living –
this often involves the suppression of legitimate political goals of foreign
countries and foreign nationals, even to the point of the U.S. injecting
marines in foreign countries to ensure the freedom of American corporations to
profit from foreign enterprises.
The U.S. military is the ÔmuscleÕ of
American business. Nations who
follow the capitalist model – and which allow American business to
operate and profit – become our allies. In this we are not so different than
most nations of the world, during their expansionary, civilization, empire
stage. But there is a moral cost to
all this. Karmic debt accrues. Much of the social and moral chaos that
occurs during the Dark Phase of the Winter months in a society is caused by the
selfish, isolated Ego acting out its survival instincts during the Day. The Soul judges the Body, and condemns
the Body as being immoral. Civil
War often becomes the result of this Karmic self-judgment. Revolutions are the children of the
Night. Religious re-births are also
the product of the Night cycle.
The Soul is pure, perfect,
because it is the principle of Life, taking the shape of the body that contains
it. The Body is not pure or
perfect. The Body despises the Soul
during the Day for its weakness and ineffectuality. The Soul cannot get things done, and is
literally helpless in the practical world.
The Soul despises the Body during the Night for its immorality, and its
aggressive selfishness, and lack of imagination and spiritual essence.
During the Day, white judges
black. During the Night, black
judges white.
During the Day, white becomes black
with sin. During the Night, black
becomes white through an alchemical purification process, by washing itself
white in the light of the Moon and through the fire of its own empyrean
suffering and ÔemptyingÕ condition.
The soul returns to its source, to its original condition.
Day Energy is hierarchical
since it is fighting a real or perceived war against the Darkness in an attempt
to live, in an attempt to suppress the Darkness, and create a sanctuary that
excludes the darkness. Michael the
Archangel is a Christian form of Apollo when he drives the Darkness out of
heaven and chains Satan in the underworld.
As Spring winds drive away Winter storm clouds, so do the Cowboys drive
away Night-world pessimists after re-birth.
Reagan drove away Carter pessimists
(self-destructive passive moralists) through the sheer power of his positive
energy, after the Democrats had ruled the Darkness in America from 1965 through
1982. The positive energy has to build, has to generate forms.
Of course, there are democratic
presidents who rule during the Day phase (Bill Clinton was a recent example of
this). And republican presidents
also rule during the Night phase (Richard Nixon was an example of this).
I remember a few years ago
when my elder brother scoffed -- when recalling NikeÕs motto: ÒJust do it! -- ÔThatÕs right! Just do it! DonÕt think about what you are doing!Õ My brother was in the grip of Apollonian
reflective, inactive energy. My
response was: ÔJust do it! DonÕt
talk about it!Õ I was in the grip
of Dionysian energy of will and activity.
Dionysus must act. The external world is his
playground. Apollo must think and
talk. The world of ideas is his
playground.
As I have written earlier, the
illusion is that these are two separate entities. Apollo is Dionysus (anti-Apollo) at an earlier stage of his life. Dionysus is Apollo (anti-Dionysus) at both an earlier and a later stage in
his life. Human life begins in
Apollo, becomes Dionysian, and then re-becomes Apollonian once again. The child is Apollo; the adult is Dionysus;
the defeated adult is Apollonian once again.
These three steps relate to the
Christian Trinity, and also to the Ôthree steps of VishnuÕ in Hindu mythology,
and the three aspects of divinity: Brahma, who creates through the mind,
Vishnu, who preserves through the body, and Siva, who destroys again through
the mind (or Spirit).
So, we have concluded that,
indeed, there are cycles in Human
Manifestation. Can we measure these
historical cycles accurately?
Can we even get historians to agree on
when economic depressions occurred in America? I donÕt think we can. Part of the problem is distinguishing a
ÔrecessionÕ, matter approaching a small black hole, from a ÔdepressionÕ, matter
approaching a large black hole.
I believe the astronomical metaphors are appropriate. Others may find this representation of a
metaphorical truth as a physical reality to be troubling. The Day World is ruled by literalism,
linear rationality, and causality.
The Night World is ruled by metaphor, analogy, and symbolism. In the Day World: ÔThis is caused by
thatÕ. This is a description of the
straight line: Time running from Past through Present to Future, sequentially.
In the Night World: ÔThis is related
to that. (And everything, indeed, is related.)Õ This is a description of the circle,
with a network of connecting lines – more like a spiderÕs web: a matrix,
with connections running from all directions. This is a view of simultaneity: all
Times (past, present and future) existing in the same container, connected through
the graces ofÉmetaphor, analogy, through a kind of optical overlay, with
patterns inside of patterns. We
will look at this again later.
An economic depression is a large
entity, state or systems of states, collapsing in on itself. A black hole is a large astral entity (a
massive star) collapsing in on itself.
The gravity is so strong in a black hole that no mass falling in to
perimeter of its influence can escape the gravity of its downward pull. No amount of matter thrown at the black
hole will escape the gravity, the downward pull of the black hole.
What is the white hole, then? A maddening kind of symmetry seems to
exist in Nature. A black hole is a
region of space from which nothing can escape. A white hole (a time-reversed version of
a black hole) is a region of space into which nothing can fall. A black hole can only suck things in; a
white hole can only spit things out.
The Black Hole is the Force of Night; the White Hole is the Force of
Day.
Is it possible, using TimeÕs symmetry
as a model, that a black hole could evaporate into a white hole over time,
recycling energy back in to the system through this inner transformation? This model of energy recycling seems to
have been very ably anticipated by an age-old Asian glyph that also represents
the relationship between Apollo and Dionysus, and between the Solar Day Force
with its weakened Lunar Night Force
and the Lunar Night Force with its weakened Solar Day Force.
How many depressions has
America experienced in the Twentieth Century? We can all agree on one, although
historians will argue when it began and when it ended. For argumentÕs sake, letÕs say it
started in 1929 and ended in 1947 – many economists, I trust, would
accede to this. This may be right
or wrong – but we can live with it at the moment.
Ok. We are now experiencing perhaps the
second depression in the last 100 years.
Did this begin in 2001, with the bursting of the dot com bubble? Or did it begin in 2007, with the
breaking of the housing bubble?
For argumentÕs sake, letÕs say 2001
(despite Alan GreenspanÕs best intentions).
Recessions? Some historians also claim there was a
recession in the U.S. from 1965 – 1983, during the long years of democratic
rule, with unemployment rates as high as 9% nationally and an inflation rate of
13.5% in 1980. That sounds like a
depression to me. There is no
question that America was experiencing a spiritual depression in the 1970Õs and
early 80Õs. America was undergoing
an Ego-death Night experience then, with racial riots, unrest generated by an
unpopular (many said racist-) war; this period was also distinguished by a huge
growth in interest in Asian mysticism, a sign of Night-Cycle inundation.
In my mind, economic
recession/depressions/stagflations are not measured by GDP growth and decline,
but are Ôspiritual deathsÕ in much the same way that economic expansions are
national Ego inflations (symbolized by the erect male sexual organ)Éthe man
taking Ôheaven by forceÕ, expanding its influence, realm of law,
business-interest imperative.
ÔSpiritual deathsÕ – using the same metaphor – represent the
male imperative in its flaccid state, impotent in the world. It is interesting that the Ôviagra eraÕ
has swept over the entire earth.
This is, when seen in its unconscious meaning, an attempt by the
masculine Ego-Force to short-circuit the approaching Night through the use of
mind/technology and pharmaceutical magic.
This wonÕt work, of course.
Nature is very demanding; and Nature wins during the Night-Cycle. I would not be surprised to see use of
Viagra be linked to some form of health plague eventually. Sixty-year-old men are not supposed to
be sixteen. The fact that
sixty-year-old men want to be sixteen says much about the spiritual vacuum in
which we live today – the pleasures of life are linked to the sex organs
and to the sex organs alone.
Interestingly, if we take
the following years as starting points for American recessions/depressions
since 1900:
1929
1965
2001
Éwe find that there are
exactly 36 years between the start of each depression. Being an amateur mathematician, I assume
that a full cycle (from recession to recession) of 36 years implies a Day cycle
of 18 years and a Night cycle of 18 years.
Is there that much symmetry in economic history?
Perhaps. (As I have written, reasonable
historians can argue about the starting and the ending dates of something as
nebulous as a depression, as they can also argue the characteristics and real nature
of an economic depression. But, for
the sake of argument, letÕs proceed.)
1929 - 1947: 18 years
1965 – 1983: 18 years
2001 – 2019: 18 years
If there is truth in these
numbers, and there is some kind of sacred discipline involved in historical
manifestation, then the following years should have also displayed such peaks
and valleys of American economic expansion and contraction.
1713 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1731 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1749 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1767 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1785 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1803 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1821 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1839 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1857 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1875 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1893 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1911 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1929 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1947 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
1965 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 1983 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
2001 Night Cycle
Ego Deflation begins – 2019 Day Cycle Ego Inflation begins
Since
American history is relatively short, it is difficult to test this
hypothesis. However, judging from
the century of so existence of the American Stock Exchange (Dow Jones Industrial
Average), and using this as a gauge of economic expansion and contraction, it
is apparent the stock market did
follow the inflation-deflation cycles almost perfectly.
By being in the
Dow Jones Industrial Average only during the Ego-Inflation or Day Cycles, one
would have amassed profits of more than 1700%, or 41% per year. By being out of the Dow Jones Industrial
Average during Ego-Deflation or Night Cycles, one would have missed losses of
51%, or 1.15% per year.
f
STOCK
MARKET RETURNS
1923* DJIA
@ 75.23 - 1929 DJIA @ 331.65: EGO INFLATION CYCLE: Positive 400% - 67% per year.
1929 DJIA @
331.65 - 1947 DJIA @ 175.66: EGO DEFLATION CYCLE: Negative 47% : -3% per year.
1947 DJIA @
175.66 - 1965 DJIA @ 854.36: EGO INFLATON CYCLE: Positive 386% : +22% per year.
1965 DJIA @
854.36 - 1983 DJIA @ 1045.07: EGO DEFLATION CYCLE: Positive 22%: +1% per year.
1983 DJIA @
1045.07 - 2001 DJIA @ 10,604.59: EGO INFLATION CYCLE: Positive 915%: +51% per
year
2001** DJIA
@ 11,000+ - 2019: EGO DEFLATION CYCLE (through 2/09 DJIA @ 7850.41): Negative
26%: -3% per year.
* Could not
find DJIA prices back to 1911.
** Current
deflation from 2001 to February 2009.
Of all the
charts available, the index of the S&P 500 measured in terms of goldÕs
appreciation and depreciation seems the most accurate in pinpointing these 18
year cycles. A picture of the
Day-Cycle of 1983 – 2001, and the Night-Cycle that is running from
2001-2019, is very clear in the following chart, provided by Clusterstock at
BusinessInsiders:
Comparing
the chart datapoints, the current level in 2010 compares with the 1973
level. The bottom of the earlier
Night-Cycle was reached in 1983, 10 years later. Our current Night-Cycle is scheduled to
end in 2019, nine years from now.
All three
Bull Markets (Dow Jones vs Gold) and all three Bear Markets (Dow Jones vs Gold)
have corresponded almost exactly to our Day-Cycle/Night-Cycle Twentieth Century
schedule – Day-Cycle: 1911-1929; Night Cycle 1929-1947; Day-Cycle: 1947 –
1965; Night-Cycle: 1965 – 1983; Day-Cycle: 1983 – 2001;
Night-Cycle: 2001 – 2019É
Many will
argue that this kind of precision in NatureÕs manifestations in the Human
Kingdom is untrue and even ridiculous, an example of man seeking to impose
order on NatureÕs chaos. This may
be true about everything humanity thinks.
That is a separate issue.
Of course,
scientists do not argue with the precision shown in NatureÕs Time structures
(Day, Month, Year, Sidereal Year, Cosmic Year). No one argues with the geometric precision
of material structures: a common snowflake (a hexagonal crystal), a water
molecule, an ice crystal, or methane.
If Nature manifests geometrically, then why would NatureÕs Time-Patterns
not manifest with geometric precision?
Snowflake crystal Water molecule Ice
crystal Methane
Sunspot
cycles apparently happen each 11+ years.
Each 28+ years Saturn returns to the same place in the heavens. Each 28+ days the Moon makes a complete
cycle. Each 365+ days, the Sun
makes a complete cycle. Jupiter
returns to the same place in the heavens each 12+ years. Solar eclipses come in patterns that lay
a lattice of light/shadow on the Earth running north to south or south to north
every 18 years and 11 days, called the Saros Cycle. A catalog of Solar Eclipse Saros 127 shows a return of the eclipse
in line with our Day-Expansion Night-Contraction cycles: (running from the
future back in time, expected or documented) 2055, 2037, 2019, 2001, 1983,
1965, 1947, 1929, 1911, 1893, 1875, 1857, 1839, 1821, 1803, 1785, 1767, 1749,
1731, 1713É
In ancient myth,
the wounding of killing of the Sun-Hero or Sun God signaled the decline of the
Day and the manifestation of the Night-cycle – in effect, the power of
the Sun was eclipsed.
There clearly
seems to be order in NatureÕs seemingly random manifestations.
The human
calendar is a monument to the human understanding of NatureÕs repeating
patterns.
Ok, so
Nature does work in repeating patterns.
Even exacting patterns. Take
the phenomena of Mautum (bamboo tree death) in Mizoram, a remote state in
India. Every 48 years brown rats
appear out of no where and destroy the rice fields in the area. This 48 year cycle stretches far back
into history. What is the cause of
this? The immediate cause is that for
47 years of the cycle there is not enough food in the forest to sustain the
indigenous brown rat population.
But every 48 years the bamboo forests in this region die; all the bamboo
trees linked by an elaborate root structure die together. Each 50 years the bamboo trees flower;
after the flowering, 2 years later the Melocanna bamboo drops a massive amount
of bamboo fruit on the forest floor.
Suddenly the forest has a huge amount of excess fodder. The rat population explodes, overruns
the forest and the neighboring fields, destroying crops, leaving the
inhabitants without subsistence rice for the year. Starvation ensues. Forty-eight years ago, this phenomenon
led to an armed revolt against India, as the people of Mizoram felt their calls
for help were ignored by Indian politicians.
So, the death and
re-birth of the Melocanna bamboo forests cause the 48 year cycle of brown rat
pests. But what causes the 50-year
life-cycle of the Melocanna bamboo forests? Scientists have transplanted Melocanno
bamboo trees from Southeast Asia half-way around the world, only to find that
the South American transplants die at exactly the same moment that their
siblings do in Mizoram or Thailand.
But what
gives credence to the authorÕs 18-year cycles of American history? Do these cycles ÔworkÕ? They seem to work with the stock
market cycles, in a very imprecise sort of way.
I am no expert on
American history. I wish I
were. It would make this study much
easier for me to complete.
My intent is to
look at the perceived importance and stability of numbers (as emanations of
God, or GodÕs thoughts) throughout history and then to attempt a deciphering of
AmericaÕs very short history in light
of these 18-year cycles.
1785 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
1794 - Dusk -
Deconstruction wins
1803 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
1812 - Dawn -
Construction wins
1821 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
1830 - Dusk-
Deconstruction wins
1839 - Midnight -
high point of economic contraction
1848 - Dawn -
Construction wins
1857 - Noon-
high point of economic expansion
1866 - Dusk -
Deconstruction wins
1875 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
1884 - Dawn -
Construction wins
1893 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
1902 - Dusk -
Deconstruction wins
1911 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
1920 - Dawn -
Construction wins
1929 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
1938 - Dusk - Deconstruction wins
1947 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
1946 - Dawn -
Construction wins
1965 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
1974 - Dusk -
Deconstruction wins
1983 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
1992 - Dawn -
Construction wins
2001 - Noon -
high point of economic expansion
2010 - Dusk -
Deconstruction wins
2019 - Midnight
- high point of economic contraction
2028 - Dawn -
Construction wins
I do
remember from my Catholic education, that the history of Jesus Christ had a gap
missing between his early education and his latter ministry, a gap of 18 years,
during which time it is assumed he may have traveled to India to study mystical
philosophy (and cycles) with the Hindus.
Constantly regard the universe as one living
being, having one substance and one soul; and observe how all things have
reference to one perception, the perception of this one living being; and how
all things act with one movement; and how all things are the cooperating causes
of all things which exist; observe too the continuous spinning of the thread
and the contexture of the web."
- Marcus Aurelius
CHAPTER FIVE.
NUMBERS – AND THE NUMERICAL MANIFESTATION OF HISTORY
(Where Do Numbers Come From?
What Do They Mean?)
ÔYou know, the difference
between you and me is that I think
the world Is a circle, and
you think the world is a straight line.Õ
Richard E. Nesbett, quoting a
Chinese student: The Geography of
Thought: How Asians
and Westerners Think Differently,
And Why
Many readers may find this
clear, exact numerology embedded in history (indeed, is the law of historical
manifestation) impossible to fathom or believe. If this precision were inherent in
Nature, why didnÕt everyone know about it?
Why was it such a mystery?
Of course, scientists do know about the precision of
numbers. ThatÕs what allows them to
project a rocket into space for thousands of miles and have the rocket land on
a dime. We know there is a precision of numbers in the physical world. Why would there not be a similar
precision of numbers in the metaphysical world.
Pythagoras, the first great
philosopher in classical Western culture, believed in the sacredness of
number. To Pythagoras, God was number. Pythagoras claimed: ÔNumber is the ruler
of forms and ideas, the most ancient and ruling Deity. Number is the canon, the reason, the
intellect and the most undeviating balance of the composition and generation of
all things.Õ According to
Pythagoras, Number was the first essence of Nature. Pythagoras claimed that between men and
numbers there was a science of correspondence.
Plato later wrote that ÔGod is ever
geometrizingÕ. Deity is Number;
Number is Deity. Plato taught his
students that Ôthe Soul is a NumberÕ.
He would also write: ÔGeometry is the knowledge of the eternally
existentÕ – reminding me of what I wrote earlier about symbolic,
scriptural, poetic language.
According to Orpheus: Ôthe eternal
essence of number is the most providential principle in the universe; it is the
root of the permanency of divine things, of Gods and daemons.Õ
Porphyry writes that numerals were
Ôhieroglyphic[al] symbols by means of which he taught ideas concerning the
nature of thingsÕ.
These ideas of Number did
not start with the Greek philosophers.
The Greeks learned much from the Hindus in India and from the
Egyptians. The Hindus had a
highly-developed system of numbers and geometric symbolisms. For the Hindus, the universe begins in
Darkness, the Unmanifest Unknowable Deity, Unchanging, Primordial Chaos, Zero,
the Circle. The Zero transforms
itself into One when the universe manifests, when the Night phase transforms
into the Day phase. At the basis of
all existence lies the binary system of zero and 1.
As the alarm clock of Manvantara
(Day-Phase Activity) sounds, Deity transforms itself into 1, the Unity, the
contained Universe, the Circle with a central point. This Deity then divides itself into 2 parts,
the Duality, Light and Darkness, Day and Night, Activity and Rest, a Circle
with a central diameter. Deity then
manifests as the 3, the Mediating Middle Principle, Life, the Synthesis
mediating the opposites, the Thesis and the Antithesis. The 3 then reflects itself below,
creating the 4, the Sacred Square – or the Cube when taking on
dimensionality – upon which model the entire universe is created. This BuilderÕs Square, of course, is
again composed of a duality: two triangles offset as reflections.
The Hindus built an
elaborate chronological exegesis based on the first four numbers of their
cosmology: 4320, which acted as a numerical foundation-stone in Indian
philosophy. The Hindus divided the
duration of their four seasons (or Yugas) of Spring (Golden Age) Krita Yuga,
Summer (Silver Age) Treta Yuga, Autumn (Bronze Age) Dwapara Yuga, and Winter
(Iron Age) Kali Yuga into different lengths, their sum being 4,320,000 moral
years.
Mortal
years.
360 days
of mortals make a year
1
Krita Yuga contains 1,728,000
Treta Yuga
contains
1,296,000
Dwapara
Yuga contains 864,000
Kali Yuga
contains
432,000
The total
of the said four Yugas constitute a
Maha Yuga 4,320,000
432,000 x 2 = 864,000.
432,000 x 3 = 1,296,000
432,000 x 4 = 1,728,000
The 4320 is truly the (smallest)
building block of these time phases (432,000), and also the sum of the whole
(4,320,000), both microcosm and macrocosm.
Interestingly,
if one adds these Ôbuilding blockÕ digits together, one arrives at one of the
primary Ôbuilding block numbersÕ of time.
4 + 3 + 2 + 0 = 9.
Our 18 and 36
year cycles of American economic inflations and deflations are numbers that
are, of course, divisible by 9.
Many ÔrationalistsÕ
will dismiss this type of analysis as mystical hocus-pocus. The mathematician, however, will
recognize immediately that these Ômagic numbersÕ (magic years) are all
ÔelementsÕ of the circle with its 360¡.
One will
notice quite quickly that the above Yuga numbers break down into interesting
component sums:
4 + 3 + 2 + 0 = 9
8 + 6 + 4 = 18
1 + 2 + 9 + 6 =
18
1 + 7 + 2 + 8 =
18
Christian
mystics assigned the Number 7 to the Virgin Mary since its was the only number
among the numbers of the sacred dekad
that could not divide the 360¡ of the circle as a whole number. The number 7 was Ônot touchedÕ (could
not be divided) by the world.
1 360
2 180
3 120
4 90
5 72
6 60
7 51.4285
8 45
9 40
10 36
Deity, in
every culture, has been represented by the circle, an emblem of unity and
totality. Deity is the Being inside
of which/whom we have our being.
Deity is the bubble, the universe, inside of which we have our
life. It is a leap, but not an unreasonable leap, to comprehend
that each human soul or being is a cell in GodÕs Body – i.e., a circle
inside a larger circle. Of course,
we cannot know the being within whom
we are living anymore than the cell in our own body can comprehend us, the
totality, they help compose and animate.
This universe, of
course, may be only a cell in a larger being. And this process may repeat for ever,
smaller circles composing larger circles, and larger circles composing smaller
circles, running for ever in both directions. Maybe for ever; maybe not forever.
Clearly, humanity
can perceive larger circles than itself: the family is a larger circle, the
town is a larger circle, the county is a larger circle, the state or district
is a larger circle, the nation is a larger circle, the continent is a larger
circle, the hemisphere is a larger circle, the planet is a larger circle, the
solar system is a larger circle, the universe is a larger circle.
Humanity can also
perceive smaller circles: the human organism is composed of cells, which is composed
of molecules, which are composed of atoms, which are composed of a sub-atomic
reality science does not fully understand at present.
Perhaps there are
foundation stones on each end which cannot be split. This is possible. Poles which create a real boundary,
inside of which lives or souls ascend and descend --JacobÕs Ladder seems to be
the most common metaphor of this movement between poles. JacobÕs Ladder seems, in a metaphoric
sense at least, very much like the chromosomal tree of life which informs all
living matter.
Humanity can look
through a telescope to see the larger circles of life; humanity can look
through a microscope to see the smaller circles of life. This makes it appear that humanity is
somehow in the middle between the two poles. This may or may not be true.
Jewish
mythology represents Jehovah (Jod, the masculine, and Hovah, the feminine)
– the duality instead of the unity – that is, the Creative God, the
second manifestation of Deity, or Elohim -- as the ratio of the circumference
of the circle to the diameter, or mathematically, Pi, 3.1415.
The circle is the
bubble environment inside of which the Day-Phase activity takes place, the
empty atom of Ego existence, which seems full, until the bubble breaks, and the
Day-Phase inflation ends, and contraction or deflation begins.
ALHIM, Elohim, has the following
symbolic numerical correspondence:
(A) = 1
(L) = 3
(H) = 5
(I)
= 10 or 1
(M) = 40 or 4 =
13514,
which, by transmutation, becomes 3.1415, or Pi. (In Jewish Gematria, or number
symbolism, numerals and letters in a system can be re-ordered and read in
different patterns as a way of metaphorically linking similar ideas or
phenomena.)
Adding the
numbers together (1 + 3 + 5 + 1 + 4)
equals 14, which relates this to the Hebrew words for ÔgoldÕ, ÔloveÕ,
ÔhandÕ, ÔgarmentÕ, ÔbeginningÕ, ÔBelovedÕ, ÔDavidÕ, ÔvalleyÕ, ÔenoughÕ, and
ÔafraidÕ. (Interestingly, in the
context of this book, the Hebrew word for ÔloveÕ is Ôahab, which connects us back to our theme of megalomaniac
light/darkness and MelvilleÕs prophecy concerning the destiny of America.)
Reading the above
number (13514) geometrically, we have a point, a triangle, a pentagram, a
point, and a square. The 354 of
this number-glyph describes the number of days there are in a lunar year,
connecting Jehovah as Elohim to the Lunar or Night-Phase of the cycle.
It is during the
Night, after the deflation, that God
visits the Soul and offers the covenant of Life, the contract of physical
re-birth.
Jehovah (Yah – Father, He – Mother, Vau
– Son, He – Daughter)
also corresponds to Saturn. Hence,
the Jewish Sabbath is Saturday, SaturnÕs Day. And the Sabbath is the 7th
and last Day of Creation, at which time all activity ceasesÉthe perfection of
creation is reachedÉand the bubble of Day-Activity is popped. This is the point at which Humanity must
once again face its creator and be judged.
Saturn is known
as Father Time, the Great Harvester, the Father Who Eats His Own Children. Saturn presides over the end of the
world, the deflation of the Day-world back to the Nothingness of Night, back to
God, or to Zero, formlessness (pre-atomic bodilessness).
Jehovah-Saturn is
the God who both gives and takes away – that is, gives when He blows the
bubble and creates Time-Space as we know it – the Day Cycle -- and takes
away when He pops the bubble and brings about the Darkness of the naked soul
standing before Eternity without a shell or a body and with no where to hide.
Saturn, the
planet, returns to the same position relative to the Earth (approximately)
every 28 years. Because the MoonÕs
cycle is (approximately) 28 days, Saturn is considered intimately connected to
the Lunar Cycle; Saturn was always considered a Lunar God, governing the advent
of both the Day and Night Cycles.
Significantly,
Tetragrammaton, IHVH, the symbolic glyph for Jehovah-Saturn, has the
corresponding numerical values:
I: 10
H: 5
V: 6
H: 5
=
26
I: 10
I + H: 15
I + H + V: 21
I+ H + V +
H: 26
=
72
4-fold
components of 72:
72
54
36
18
As should
be readily apparent, ancient religious thought and numbers have always had an
intimate connection.
The great
Chinese philosophical system, The Book of
Changes – I Ching – also indicates the importance of the number
9 and its building-block qualities (especially in its form of 9 x 4 = 72). W, K. Chu and W.A. Sherrill translate
and comment upon the ÔHo Map Lo Map Rational Number ManuscriptÕ in their books The Astrology of the I Ching:
Daily Calculation Cycles
The
several aspects of the yearly hexagram control the daily cycles for the entire
year. These are closely associated
with the five elements: water, wood, fire, metal and earth. Each of these five elements is
considered dominant for about 72 days each year, with the exception of the earth,
which is given as the principal influence for 77 days a yearÉ
Earth is believed
to interact with the other elements at all times, and to come into dominance
over its associated element during the last stages before each of the solstices
and equinoxes. In calculating the
length of time between seasons, it is found that, between the autumnal and the
vernal equinox, the number of days is more or less exactly 180 days, whereas
between the vernal and the autumnal equinox are 185 days plus. With this astrology being largely based
on the influences of the sun and the earth, the extra days beyond 360 (5
elements multiplied by 72 day) are considered to be under the dominance fo the
element earth. Hence, as will be
seen subsequently, the hexagrams representing the element earth will influence
these extra days. Compensation is
thereby made for the fact that the winter solstice varies in its time of
commencement during the appropriate days.
In connection
with the foregoing, when one is analyzing any particular day one should also
examine the preceding and succeeding days, as the cycles are not precisely
defined as to where one begins and another ends, but, rather, represent a
continuum of change.
An astrological
year (beginning with the winter solstice) is cominated by the five elements
approximately as follows:
(a) Water 72
days
(b) Earth 18
days
(c)
Wood 72
days
(d) Earth 20
days
(e) Fire 72
days
(f) Earth 21
days
(g) Metal 72
days
(h) Earth 18
days
Seventy-two
days (72) is the length of time it takes for a hexagram to change to its
opposite and then return to its original state, allowing each line to be the
controlling line for a day. The
days start at the bottom line and move upwards. Thus each hexagram controls a six-day
period, before changing into the next hexagram (the changes entering at the
bottom and continuing to the top) when another six-day cycle takes place. A hexagram goes through its complete
cycle of evolution in seventy-two stages, during which the controlling element
(water, wood, fire or metal) goes through its seventy-two day cycle and exerts
its controlling influence for that period of time, according to its stage of
evolution on any given day.
The
Heavenly Ideal of the Circle apparently translates to the moving earth as a
365-day orbit, not the 360 day orbit an Ideal Geometer might expect. Apparently the Earth is not traveling
fast enough. If it were traveling at
30.23379 kilometers per second, then there would be 360 days in the year;
instead it is traveling 29.79 kilometers per second. This difference is about 20 minutes per
day. It seems that the Earth is a
bit overweight.
I guess this is
just one of the many imperfections on Earth. (Afterall, Heaven is the plane of
perfection and perfect archetypes; Earth the plane of imperfect approximations
of the archetypes. An architectÕs
blueprints may be perfect but this apparently does not mean that the building
will be perfect.)
Joseph E.
Mason, in his article ÔThe Cycle of Time Number 432Õ quotes mythologist Joseph
CampbellÕs ÔThe Inner Reaches of Outer SpaceÕ in which Campbell draws a
comparison between the Babylonian
and the Jewish Flood Myths (Genesis). Campbell shows that the ten kings living
in Babylon from creation to the time of the flood lived a total of 432,000
years.
Sumerian
King List
King City Year
Aloros Babylon 36,000 (3
+ 6 = 9)
Alaparos Unknown 10,800 (1
+ 8 = 9; 10 + 8 = 18)
Amelon Pautibiblon 46,800 (4
+ 6 + 8 = 18)
Ammenon Pautibiblon 43,200 (4
+ 3 + 2 = 9)
Amegalaros Pautibiblon 64,800 (6
+ 4 + 8 = 18)
Daonos Pautibiblon 36,000 (3
+ 6 = 9)
Euedorachos Pautibiblon 64,800 (6
+ 4 + 8 = 18)
Amempsinos Laragchos 36,000 (3
+ 6 = 9)
Otiartes Laragchos 28,800 (2
+ 8 + 8 = 18)
Xisouthros Unknown 64,800 (6
+ 4 + 8 = 18)
Total
years = 432,000 (4
+ 3 + 2 = 9)
The
Babylonians viewed a natural division of time and space (360¡) from units of
both 6 and 10, the hexi-decimal system.
In the
Book of Genesis, there are also 10 Patriarchs between Adam and Noah (the
Flood). These also each live many
years. Noah was 600 years old when his Ark landed on Mount Ararat.
Dates in
Genesis
Antediluvian
Patriarch
Adam (Gen
5:3-5) 130
Seth (Gen
5:6-8) 105
Enosh (Gen
5:911) 90
Kenon (Gen
5:12-14) 70
Mahalalel
(Gen 5:15-17) 65
Jared (Gen
5:18-20) 162
Enoch (Gen
5:21-24) 65
Methuselah
(Gen 5:25-27) 187
Lamech
(Gen 5:28-31) 182
Noah (Gen
7:6) 600
Total
years until Flood = 1,656 (1 + 6 + 5 + 6 = 18)
16
+ 56 = 72
These 1656
years, multiplied by JehovahÕs gematrial number, 26, (Jod = 10; He = 5; Vau =
16; He = 5) is 43,200. Also 1656
years equals 86,400 weeks, which, when halved, equals 43,200.
Joseph
Campbell also points out that in the Viking Eddas,
on the Day of Ragnarok, the ÔTwilight of the GodsÕ, 800 divine warriors
appeared out of the 540 Doors of Valhalla.
800 x 540 = 432,000.
The Rig
Veda, the most ancient of Vedic texts in India, is composed in 10,800
stanzas. Each stanza is composed of
40 syllables. This means that the
entire composition contains 432,000 syllables.
Where does
this number 4320 come from in Nature?
From astronomy, which was linked with astrology in ancient cultures,
since ancient societies did not rigidly separate external (measurable) and internal
worlds. As above, so below. As within, so without. The inner and the outer worlds were
reflections of each other.
The earth wobbles
1¡ every 72 years. This wobble is
caused by the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon about the
equator. This causes the precession
of the equinoxes, the slow retrograde, or westward motion of equinoctial points
along the ecliptic and the resulting earlier occurrence of equinoxes in each
successive sidereal year. The
ecliptic is the great circle on the celestial sphere representing the sunÕs
apparent path during the year. The
ecliptic gets its name from the fact that lunar and solar eclipses can occur
only when the moon crosses this line.
If the earth
wobbles 1¡ every 72 years, how much does it wobble in 360 years, the full cycle
of the circle? 72 x 360 = 25,920
years. This is the Great Year,
called by some a Platonic Year.
25,920 years divided in to 12 constellations (analogically comparable to
our months on earth) = 2,160 years.
(Incidentally,
adding this number internally, 2 + 1 + 6 + 0 = 9, the same as magic number
4320.)
25,920 years
divided by 6 = 4320.
Of course, 360¡
times 12 also equals 4320.
Ancient
astronomers reasoned that it took 2,160 years for the Sun to pass through each
constellation in the sky during this 25,920 years of the Platonic Year. By back-dating Time, they concluded the
division of solar years spent in each zodiacal sign and devised the myth of the
Solar Hero passing through 12 houses each Platonic Year cycle:
Sun Sign Eras
Leo (Lion) 10,800 -
8,640 BC (10
+ 8 = 18) (8 + 6 + 4 = 18)
Cancer (Crab) 8,640 -
6,480 BC (8 + 6 + 4 = 18) (6 + 4 + 8 = 18)
Gemini (Twins) 6,480 -
4,320 BC (6
+ 4 + 8 = 18) (4 + 3 + 2 = 9)
Taurus (Bull) 4,320 -
2,160 BC (4
+ 3 + 2 = 9) (2 + 1 + 6 = 9)
Aries (Ram) 2,160 BC
– 0 (2
+ 1 + 6 = 9)É
Pisces (Fish) 0 - 2,160
AD
Aquarius (Water jug) 2,160 -
4,320 AD
Capricorn (Goat) 4,320
– 6,480 AD
Sagittarius (Archer) 6,480
– 8,640 AD
Scorpio (Scorpion) 8,640
– 10,800 AD
The much-discussed Aquarian
Age, which will begin in 2160 AD, is part of a mathematical division of the
circle and observations of astronomers viewing the sunÕs passage through the
heavens from the perspective of the earth.
Whether there is any ÔtruthÕ to this mythological view of the Solar
Journey is a much different issue than it being superstitious nonsense. It is based on a form of reason and on
mathematics, seen through the metaphorical lens I mentioned as being the
ÔlogicÕ of the Night Cycle, as opposed to the causal lens which views Day Cycle
phenomenon.
Astrology is
built upon an illusion, the illusion that the Sun travels through ÔhousesÕ of
the zodiac. This illusion only
seems true from the perspective of the Earth. However, this does not negate the value
of the metaphorical truth of the zodiac, which is, afterall, a record of the
human journey on earth through life stages contained within the eternal circle
of birth – maturity – decay – death. If this journey is told in a
metaphorical or symbolic language then one must understand that symbolic
language to be able to comprehend the true meaning of the story. This language describes the journey
through the Night, when the body has been lost. The Night is the Sea of the
Unconscious. It is the world upon
which Noah travels (Ahab too) when darkness has fallen upon the world.
The Zodiac is
actually the description of a human life system on Earth (physical,
psychological, and spiritual) that is projected through the Sun (the symbol of
the Soul) into the heavens. The
illusion is that the Sun ÔmovesÕ through these astrological houses in the
heavens. That does not, however, render the symbolic description of stages and
joys and conflicts of human life on earth invalid. The ancients studied themselves, their
own transformations and trials in life – and ascribed these same episodes
and logics to the Sun (the Oversoul) as a metaphorical allusion, linking Heaven
and Earth.
In the previously-mentioned
Rig-Veda: ÔThe 12-spoked wheel (of
time) in which the 720 sons of Agni are establishedÉÕ 12 x 720 = 8640. Which is our 4320 multiplied by 2; and
which appears prominently in the division of the Sun Seasons above.
The Mayan Ôlong
countÕ is also based upon similar heavenly observation. 1 Tun
= 360 days; 1 Katun = 7,200 days (360
x 20); and 15 Katuns = 2,160,000
(6000 x 360) days. Their great
cycle was believed to last for 13 Baktuns
or 1,872,000 (5200 x 360). It is
the present Baktun which is set to end on 22 December 2012. Many people are convinced that the world
will actually end in 2012.
Interestingly, from our
earlier example, showing that 7 is the only number in the dekad that does not divide the circle evenly (360¡ divided by 7 =
51.4285): Matthew 1:17 states that there were 42 generations (3 groups of 14) from
Abraham to Christ. From Abraham to
Jesus Christ is a total of 2,160 years.
If you divide 2,160 by 42 you get 51.4 years as being the time
signifying a generation.
72 hours contain 4,320
minutes.
54 hours contain 3,240
minutes.
36 hours contain 2,160
minutes.
18 hours contain 1080
minutes.
Luis Miguel Goitizolo, in
his book The Wheel of Time writes:
Now, in
connection with these two key numbers, 72 and 25,920, there are extremely suggestive
coincidences that evidence a perfect correspondence between the life of man,
the Ômicrocosm,Õ and that of our universe, or Ômacrocosm.Õ
For one thing, 72
corresponds to the average number of beats of the human heart in a minute, and
a quarter of 72, or 18, to the human breathings in the same period, so that in
one day a man will have breathed 18 x 60 x 24 = 25,920 times.
On the other
hand, after 72 years, which is the average length of life of man at present, a
man will have lived a total 25,920 days (assuming an ideal year of 360 days),
while the EarthÕs axis will have barely traveled a degree of the equinoctial
circle of 360 degrees or 25,920 common years. In other words: from a cosmic view, manÕs life lasts only
one day.
The
number 72 appears frequently in connection with cosmic cycles. For example, it
appears in the Chinese magical square and corresponded, in the
Far–Eastern tradition, to the division of the year in five parts (5 x 72
= 360), out of which three (3 x 72 = 216) were ÒYangÓ or masculine, and two (2
x 72 = 144) ÒYinÓ or feminine.
I will mention,
in passing, that this division of the year was also used by the ancient Incas.
Among the ancient Egyptians, in turn, 72 are the plotters who stand by Seth in
his scheme to kill Osiris.
Again,
remember that 72 were the disciples of Jesus (12 apostles and 72 disciples), 72
the members of the Jewish Sanhedrin and, in the Middle Ages, the articles of
the Rule of the Order of the Temple were also 72.
So, the
ancient Babylonians, Mayans, Egyptians, Chinese, Indians, Greeks, and Jews
generated philosophers and philosophies that calibrated philosophical truths --
and their historical shadows -- on the basis of geometric archetypes. It is also interesting to note that the
Chinese division of the year into 5 parts, 3 Yang and 2 Yin all add up, through
internal addition, to 9. (3 + 6 + 0
= 9; 2 + 1 + 6 = 9; 1 + 4 + 4 = 9.)
LetÕs complete
the Hindu cosmology:
Mortal
years.
360 days
of mortals make a year 1
Krita Yuga
contains 1,728,000
Treta Yuga
contains
1,296,000
Dwapara
Yuga contains
864,000
Kali Yuga
contains
432,000
The total
of the said four Yugas constitute a
Maha Yuga
4,320,000
Seventy-one of such Maha-Yugas
form the
period of
the reign of one Manu 306,720,000
The reign of 14 Manus embraces the
duration
of 994
Maha-Yugas, which is equal to 4,294,080,000
Add Sandhis, i.e., intervals
between the reign
of each Manu, which amount to six
Maha-Yugas, equal to 25,920,000
The total of these reigns and
interregnums of
14 Manus,
is 1,000 Maha-Yugas, which
constitute
a Kalpa, i.e., one day of Brahma 4,320,000,000
As Brahma's Night is of equal
duration, one Day
and Night
of Brahma would contain 8,640,000,000
360 of such days and nights make
one year of
Brahma
make 3,110,400,000,000
100 such years constitute the
whole period of
Brahma's
age, i.e., Maha-Kalpa 311,040,000,000,000.
All of these numbers are divisible
by 9. Cycles of 9, 18, 36 and 72
years are all part of the smaller cycles manifesting as history.
Luis
Goitizolo writes about this 311 trillion number of duration:
The
immensely vast length of 311,040,000,000,000 common years that the texts implicitly
assign to the great cycle of cosmic manifestation, accommodates indeed
comfortably the 15 billions of years estimated by modern physics as the age of
the universe; and even if such length were deemed exaggerate – say it was
a thousand times lesser, i.e. the actual figure was only 311,040,000,000 years,
which is certainly not impossible if we stick to the foregoing considerations
– even so the 15 billions of years would fit comfortably within that
period. At any rate, it would mean that our universe is still very young and
that we are now, within the immense cycle of universal manifestation, virtually
at the beginning of an expansion period.
And
indeed, it is amazing that it took literally millennia for the modern
scientific circles to again conceive this ancient notion of a universe that
Òbreathes,Ó i.e. a universe that has two phases, one in which it expands and
the other in which it contracts; two phases which, by virtue of the
correspondences to which cycles of any order of magnitude are subject, can be
respectively assimilated to a BrahmaÕs Day and its corresponding NightÉboth
phases of what the Hindus call (one) Manvantara.
The Greeks gave a different
perspective to this same cosmic cycle number: 311,040,000,000,000. In Greek Gematria (number/alphabet
symbolism), ÔPythagorasÕ = 864. Of
course, 864 is implicit in and very apparent the Hindu system also. 432 x 2 = 864. (8 + 6 + 4 = 18.)
If we multiply 24
(hours in the day) times 60 (minutes in an hour) times 60 (seconds in a minute)
we get 86,400 (seconds in a day).
So this number has rather deep roots – and is not simply pulled,
like a rabbit, out of a hat.
In terms of
astronomical science, 864,000 is also the calculated diameter of the Sun in
miles.
Along these same
lines, the calculated diameter of the Moon is 2160 miles.
8640 (the Sun) is
our magic 4320 number doubled.
2160 (the Moon)
is our magic 4320 number halved.
Again, in our
ÔSun Sign ErasÕ we see these numbers being repeated rather significantly:
Sun Sign Eras
Libra (Balanced Scales) 12,960 – 15,120
BC
Virgo (Virgin) 12,960
– 10,800 BC
Leo (Lion) 10,800 -
8,640 BC
Cancer (Crab) 8,640 -
6,480 BC
Gemini (Twins) 6,480 -
4,320 BC
Taurus (Bull) 4,320 -
2,160 BC
Aries (Ram) 2,160 BC -
0
Pisces (Fish) 0 - 2,160
AD
Aquarius (Water Jug) 2,160 -
4,320 AD
Capricorn (Goat) 4,320
– 6,480 AD
Sagittarius (Archer) 6,480
– 8,640 AD
Scorpio (Scorpion) 8640
– 12,960 AD
Libra (Balanced Scales) 12,960 – 15,120
AD
Since there are 2,160
minutes in 36 hours, and since these zodiacal cycles above are built in 36 hour
segments (each with 4 seasons, making the numbers 9, 18, 27, 36 – note, 1
+ 8 = 9; 2 + 7 = 9; 3 + 6 = 9) the totality of the small circle, representative
of a complete ÔmonthÕ of the zodiac), 36 ÔhoursÕ per segment x 12 ÔmonthsÕ =
432 (again).
An interesting
correspondence with the number 36: if you add numbers 1, 2, 3É.36, you get the
number 666, the legendary number of the Anti-Christ (and the end of the world).
Interestingly, the diameter of the planet of Mars is
4320 miles.
We
will look at all the planets in our solar system and their relation to the
Ideal Circle later in this book.
In Greek
mathematics, the two sacred forms were the Circle, the female principle, and
the tetraktys, the male principle (the Triangle composed of 10 dots). Multiply ÒPythagorasÓ (846) x the Circle
(360¡) x the Tetraktys (10) and you get 3,110,400. Adding additional zeroes will get us to
the magic Hindu cosmology number.
Taking the
original gematria number for ÔPythagorasÕ, 864 and adding this to 864 multiplied by the Circle (360¡),
gives us 311,040 (3 + 1 + 1 + 4 = 9.).
Then multiplying 311,040 by the Tetraktys (10, with an additional 0
added, or 100), gives us 31,104,000.
Adding all three numbers together equals:
864 +
311,040 +
31,104,000
= 31,415,904. When we then move the
decimal point 7 spaces (the perfect, indivisible number), we get 3.1415904
– which brings us back to the idea of pi,
the relationship of the circumference of the circle to the diameter.
3 + 1 + 4 + 1 + 5
+ 9 + 4 = 27. All of these numbers
seem to be divisible by 9.
Which
brings us to the mystery of the number 9.
WeÕll, first, need to remember that 9 is, in some ways at least, the
last number. Zero is the first
number, although some will argue that zero is not a number. And 10 is the zero on the next scale,
one ÔorbitÕ removed from the inner sanctum of numbers. 9 is the number of resolution. Pythagoreans called 9 the ÔoceanÕ and
the ÔhorizonÕ, as all numbers are comprehended by and revolve within the number
9.
What does this
mean: all numbers are comprehended by and revolve with the number 9? Well, itÕs a bit complex.
The number 9 has
a Ôspecial natureÕ, a mysterious character, which we will show in the following
table.
What is so
mysterious about the number 9.
Well, first letÕs look at the number sequence of 9 times the numbers 1
– 10.
9 x 1 = 9
9 x 2 = 18
9 x 3 = 27
9 x 4 = 36
Not much
mystery there, right? It is intriguing that each of the products,
when added together as individual numbers, also equals 9. 9 x 4 = 36 and 3 + 6 = 9. This is just the beginning.
LetÕs look at a
larger number:
9 x 13 = 117. Add the three individual components
together: 1 + 1 + 7 = 9. Also add
the larger two-number components together: 11 + 7 = 18. 1 + 17 = 18. And, running in reverse: 71 + 1 =
72. And 7 + 11 = 18. All sums are divisible by 9.
This is true of
every whole number multiplied by 9.
This is strange
enough. But then we begin to look
at the patterns that are woven together by this process. One begins to see numbers acting a bit
like atoms in different obits, each creating its own unique pattern and
permutation of movements (laws). To
see the pattern we must look at a large block of numbers.
Note how these
numbers behave differently depending upon which direction the numbers of the
product run: Tier 1 (product of 9 times x added left to right)
results in the number 9 for every calculation except when the number enters a
new decade, at which the number catapults forward to 18, then reverts back to 9
for the remainder of the decade.
For example, 9 x 2 = 18 and 1 + 8 = 9; 9 x 3 = 27 and 2 +7 = 9É9 x 10 = 90 and 9 + 0 = 9. This all changes, however, with 9 x 11 = 99, at which 9 + 9 = 18; then 9 x 12 = 72 and (reverting back to) 7 + 2 = 9. This 9 holds true until the next decade ends,
at which two numbers trigger 18
instead of one as in the earlier transition: 9 x 19 = 171 and 1 +7 + 1 = 9; 9 x 20 = 180 and 1 + 8 + 0 =
9; but 9 x 21 = 189 and 1 + 8 + 9 suddenly = 18 AND 9 x 22 = 198 and
1 + 9 + 8 = 18; THEN 9 x 23 = 207 and we again have the
reversion: 2 + 7 = 9. This continues again until the third
decade, at which time the said summing of the three numbers (left to right)
results in three blocks of 18, instead of two at happened at the transition to
the numbers 21 and 22. Now the
numbers 31, 32, and 33 each result in 18, before the reversion to 9 again takes
place. At the transition past 40,
the numbers 41, 42, 43, and 44 result in 18, before the reversion back to
9. This is the kind of magic in
numbers that thrilled Greek philosophers like Pythagoras and Plato. Plato wrote: ÒGod is NumberÓ and also
ÒGod geometrizes.Ó
The Tier 1 pattern continues at the gate of
50, 51-55 return 18; 56 reverts back to 9.
At 60, 61-66 return 18; 67-90 revert to 9. At 70, 71-77 return 18; 78 reverts back
to 9, the foundation stone. At the
gate of 80, 81-88 return 18; 89 reverts to 9. At 90, 91-99 return 18; 100 reverts to
9.
Now what: we have
reached 100. 9 x 100 = 900 and 9 + 0 + 0 =
9. Are we going to repeat the
pattern of 1-100? No. 9
x 101 = 909 and 9 + 0 + 9 = 18. In fact, numbers 101-109 return 18. Will 110 revert to 9? No.
9 x 110 = 990 and 9 + 9 + 0 = 18. Is 18 in place now permanently? No.
9 x 111 = 999 and 9 + 9 + 9 = 27. We have leaped to a new family group or
orbit. Sort of.
Number 112-120
revert back, inconceivable as it seems, to 9. And 121 and 122 (like 21 and 22) give
18; and 123- 130 revert back to 9.
Tier 2 is a different beast altogether,
with a different set of behavior.
Tier 2 (product of 9 times x added right to left) shows every branch
of 10 numeral-groups sectioned into groups ÔorbitingÕ together equidistance
from zero. For example: 0 + 9 = 9; 1 + 8 = 9; 2 + 7 = 9;
suddenly, after the first decade, there is a change of orbit; in this second
orbit or group, all combinations equal 18; in the third group, all combinations
equal 27; in the fourth group, all combinations equal 36. É This apparently goes on ad infinitem Numbers 1-10 = 9; 11-20 =
18; 21-30 = 27; 31-40 = 36; 41-50 = 45É.
Tier 3 has a
different set of behaviors. There
is no tier three until the twelfth operation in our set: 9 x 12 which produces a three-number product: 108. Tiers 3, 4 and 5
all are produced from the interaction from a minimum of 3 numbers.
Tier 3 results from the adding the two
numbers on the right side of the product to the 1 number on the left side (in
our example of 9 x 12 = 108) from right to left 08 + 0 + 1.
Tier 4 results from adding the first two
numbers on the right side of the product to the 1 number on the left side but
reading the numbers right to left;
(for 108) 80 + 1.
Tier 5 results from adding the first
number on the right of the product to the two numbers on the left, but again
reading the numbers right to left; (for 108)
8 + 0 + 1.
Tier 3 and Tier 5 both result in a ÔrationalÕ sequential reading of 9,
18, 27, 36, 45É to 99 (9 x 11) before returning to 9 and repeating this sequence ad infinitem. It is interesting that multiples of 11 act as the end-point in this system,
reverting the readings back to the beginning for another round of readings.
Tier 4 reads this ÔrationalÕ sequence
in reverse order: 99, 90, 81, 72, 63, 54,
45, 36É with one very important change. In each group of declining values one
value is left out. For example, in
the first family (9 x 11 = 99 through
9 x 20 = 180) there is no 90 reading; in the next group (9 x 21 through 9 x 30), 81 is missing;
in the next group, 72 is missingÉ
Constant |
Sequence |
Product |
Tier 1 |
Tier 2 |
Tier 3 |
Tier 4 |
Tier 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
1 |
9 |
0 + 9 = 9 |
9 + 0 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
2 |
18 |
1 + 8 = 9 |
8 + 1 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
3 |
27 |
2 + 7 = 9 |
7 + 2 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
4 |
36 |
3 + 6 = 9 |
6 + 3 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
5 |
45 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
6 |
54 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
7 |
63 |
6 + 3 = 9 |
3 + 6 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
8 |
72 |
7 + 2 = 9 |
2 + 7 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
9 |
81 |
8 + 1 = 9 |
1 + 8 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
10 |
90 |
9 + 0 = 9 |
0 + 9 = 9 |
|
|
|
9 |
11 |
99 |
9 + 9 =
18 |
9 + 9 =
18 |
|
99 = 0 =
99 |
|
9 |
12 |
108 |
1 + 0 + 8
= 9 |
10 + 8 =
18 |
8 + 0 + 1 = 9 |
80 + 1 =
81 |
8 + 1 = 9 |
9 |
13 |
117 |
1 + 1 + 7
= 9 |
11 + 7 =
18 |
17 + 1 =
18 |
71 + 1 =
72 |
7 + 11 =
18 |
9 |
14 |
126 |
1 + 2 + 6
= 9 |
12 + 6 =
18 |
26 + 1 =
27 |
62 +1 =
63 |
6 + 21 =
27 |
9 |
15 |
135 |
1 + 3 + 5
= 9 |
13 + 5 =
18 |
35 + 6 =
36 |
53 + 1 =
54 |
5 + 31 =
36 |
9 |
16 |
144 |
1 + 4 + 4
= 9 |
14 + 4 =
18 |
44 + 1 =
45 |
44 + 1 =
45 |
4 + 41 =
45 |
9 |
17 |
153 |
1 + 5 + 3
= 9 |
15 + 3 =
18 |
53 + 1 =
54 |
35 + 1 =
36 |
3 + 51 =
54 |
9 |
18 |
162 |
1 + 6 + 2
= 9 |
16 + 2 =
18 |
62 + 1 =
63 |
26 + 1 =
27 |
2 + 61 =
63 |
9 |
19 |
171 |
1 + 7 + 1
= 9 |
17 + 1 =
18 |
71 +1 =
72 |
17 + 1 =
18 |
1 + 71 =
72 |
9 |
20 |
180 |
1 + 8 = 9 |
18 + 0 =
18 |
80 + 1 =
81 |
8 + 1 = 9 |
0 + 81 =
81 |
9 |
21 |
189 |
1 + 8 + 9
= 18 |
18 + 9 =
27 |
89 + 1 =
90 |
98 + 1 =
99 |
9 + 81 =
90 |
9 |
22 |
198 |
1 + 9 + 8
= 18 |
19 + 8 =
27 |
98 + 1 =
99 |
89 + 1 =
90 |
8 + 91 =
99 |
9 |
23 |
207 |
2 + 7 = 9 |
20 + 7 =
27 |
7 + 0 = 9 |
70 + 2 =
72 |
7 + 2 = 9 |
9 |
24 |
216 |
2 + 1 + 6
= 9 |
21 + 6 =
27 |
16 + 2 =
18 |
61 + 2 = 63 |
6 + 12 =
18 |
9 |
25 |
225 |
2 + 2 + 5
= 9 |
22 + 5 =
27 |
25 + 2 =
27 |
52 + 2 =
54 |
5 + 22 =
27 |
9 |
26 |
234 |
2 + 3 + 4
= 9 |
23 + 4 =
27 |
34 + 2 =
36 |
43 + 2 =
45 |
4 + 32 =
36 |
9 |
27 |
243 |
2 + 4 + 3
= 9 |
24 + 3 =
27 |
43 + 2 =
45 |
34 + 2 =
36 |
3 + 42 =
45 |
9 |
28 |
252 |
2 + 5 + 2
= 9 |
25 + 2 =
27 |
52 + 2 =
54 |
25 + 2 =
27 |
2 + 52 =
54 |
9 |
29 |
261 |
2 + 6 + 1
= 9 |
26 + 1 =
27 |
61 +
2 = 63 |
16 + 2 =
18 |
1 + 61 =
63 |
9 |
30 |
270 |
2 + 7 = 9 |
27 + 0 =
27 |
70 + 2 =
72 |
7 + 2 = 9 |
0 + 72 =
72 |
9 |
31 |
279 |
2 + 7 + 9
= 18 |
2 7 + 9 =
36 |
79 + 2 =
81 |
97 + 2 =
99 |
9 + 72 =
81 |
9 |
32 |
288 |
2 + 8 + 8
= 18 |
28 + 8 =
36 |
88 + 2 =
90 |
88 + 2 =
90 |
8 + 82 =
90 |
9 |
33 |
297 |
2 + 9 + 7
= 18 |
29 + 7 =
36 |
97 + 2 =
99 |
79 + 2 =
81 |
7 + 92 =
99 |
9 |
34 |
306 |
3 + 6 = 9 |
30 + 6 =
36 |
6 + 3 = 9 |
60 + 3 =
63 |
6 + 3 = 9 |
9 |
35 |
315 |
3 + 1 + 5
= 9 |
31 + 5 =
36 |
15 + 3 =
18 |
51 + 3 =
54 |
5 + 13 =
18 |
9 |
36 |
324 |
3 + 2 + 4
= 9 |
32 + 4 =
36 |
24 + 3 =
24 |
42 + 3 =
45 |
4 + 23 =
27 |
9 |
37 |
333 |
3 + 3 + 3
= 9 |
33 + 3 =
36 |
33 + 3 =
36 |
33 + 3 =
36 |
3 + 33 =
36 |
9 |
38 |
342 |
3 + 4 + 2
= 9 |
34 + 2 =
36 |
42 + 3 =
45 |
24 + 3 =
27 |
2 + 43 =
45 |
9 |
39 |
351 |
3 + 5 + 1
= 9 |
35 + 1 =
36 |
51 + 3 =
54 |
15 + 3 =
18 |
1 + 53 =
54 |
9 |
40 |
360 |
3 + 6 = 9 |
36 + 0 =
36 |
60 + 3 =
63 |
6 + 3 = 9 |
0 + 63 =
63 |
9 |
41 |
369 |
3 + 6 + 9
= 18 |
36 + 9 =
45 |
69 + 3 =
72 |
96 +3 =
99 |
9 + 63 =
72 |
9 |
42 |
378 |
3 + 7 + 8
= 18 |
37 + 8 =
45 |
78 + 3 =
81 |
87 + 3 =
92 |
8 + 73 =
81 |
9 |
43 |
387 |
3 + 8 + 7
= 18 |
38 + 7 =
45 |
87 + 3 =
92 |
78 + 3 =
81 |
7 + 83 =
90 |
9 |
44 |
396 |
3 + 9 + 6
= 18 |
39 + 6 =
45 |
90 + 3 =
99 |
69 + 3 =
72 |
6 + 93 =
99 |
9 |
45 |
405 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
40 + 5 =
45 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
50 + 4 =
54 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
9 |
46 |
414 |
4 + 1 + 4
= 9 |
41 + 4 =
45 |
14 + 4 =
18 |
41 + 4 =
45 |
4 + 14 =
18 |
9 |
47 |
423 |
4 + 2 + 3
= 9 |
42+ 3 =
45 |
23 + 4 =
27 |
32 + 4 =
36 |
3 + 23 =
27 |
9 |
48 |
432 |
4 + 3 + 2
= 9 |
43 + 2 =
45 |
32 + 4 =
36 |
23 + 4 =
27 |
2 + 34 =
36 |
9 |
49 |
441 |
4 + 4 + 1
= 9 |
44 + 1 =
45 |
41 + 4 =
45 |
14 + 4 =
18 |
1 + 44 =
45 |
9 |
50 |
450 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
45 + 0 =
45 |
50 + 4 =
54 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
0 + 54 =
54 |
9 |
51 |
459 |
4 + 5 + 9
= 18 |
45 + 9 =
54 |
59 + 4 =
63 |
95 + 4 =
99 |
9 + 54 =
63 |
9 |
52 |
468 |
4 + 6 + 8
= 18 |
46 + 8 =
54 |
68 + 4 =
72 |
86 + 4
= 90 |
8 + 64 =
72 |
9 |
53 |
477 |
4 + 7 + 7
= 18 |
47 + 7 =
54 |
77 + 4 =
81 |
77 + 4
= 81 |
7 + 74 =
81 |
9 |
54 |
486 |
4 + 8 + 6
= 18 |
48 + 6 =
54 |
86 + 4 =
90 |
68 + 4 =
72 |
6 + 84 =
90 |
9 |
55 |
495 |
4 + 9 + 5
= 18 |
49 + 5 =
54 |
95 + 4 =
99 |
59 + 4 =
63 |
5 + 94 =
99 |
9 |
56 |
504 |
5 + 4 = 9 |
50 + 4 =
54 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
40 + 5 =
45 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
9 |
57 |
513 |
5 + 1 + 3
= 9 |
51 + 3 =
54 |
13 + 5 =
18 |
31 + 5 =
36 |
3 + 15 =
18 |
9 |
58 |
522 |
5 + 2 + 2
= 9 |
52 + 2 =
54 |
22 + 5 =
27 |
22 + 5 =
27 |
2 + 25 =
27 |
9 |
59 |
531 |
5 + 3 + 1
= 9 |
53 + 1 =
54 |
31 + 5 =
36 |
13 + 5 =
18 |
1 + 35 =
36 |
9 |
60 |
540 |
5 + 4 + 0
= 9 |
54 + 0 =
54 |
40 + 5 =
45 |
4 + 5 = 9 |
0 + 45 =
45 |
9 |
61 |
549 |
5 + 4 + 9
= 18 |
54 + 9 =
63 |
49 + 5 =
54 |
94 + 5 =
99 |
9 + 45 =
54 |
9 |
62 |
558 |
5 + 5 + 8
= 18 |
55 + 8 =
63 |
58 + 5 =
63 |
85 + 5 =
90 |
8 + 55 =
63 |
9 |
63 |
567 |
5 + 6 + 7
= 18 |
56 + 7 =
63 |
67 + 5 =
72 |
76 + 5 =
81 |
7 + 65 =
72 |
9 |
64 |
576 |
5 + 7 + 6
= 18 |
57 + 6 =
63 |
76 + 5 =
81 |
67 + 5 =
72 |
6 + 75 =
81 |
9 |
65 |
585 |
5 + 8 + 5
= 18 |
58 + 5 =
63 |
85 + 5 =
90 |
58 + 5 =
63 |
5 + 85 =
90 |
9 |
66 |
594 |
5 + 9 + 4
= 18 |
59 + 4 =
63 |
94 + 5 =
99 |
49 + 5 =
54 |
4 + 95 =
99 |
9 |
67 |
603 |
6 + 0 + 3
= 9 |
60 + 3 =
63 |
3 + 0 + 6
= 9 |
30 + 6 =
36 |
3 + 6 = 9 |
9 |
68 |
612 |
6 + 1 + 2
= 9 |
61 + 2 =
63 |
12 + 6 =
18 |
21 + 6 =
27 |
2 + 16 =
18 |
9 |
69 |
621 |
6 + 2 + 1
= 9 |
62 + 1 =
63 |
21 + 6 =
27 |
12 + 6 =
18 |
1 + 26 =
27 |
9 |
70 |
630 |
6 + 3 + 0
= 9 |
63 + 0 =
63 |
30 +
6 = 36 |
3 + 9 = 9 |
0 + 36 =
36 |
9 |
71 |
639 |
6 + 3 + 9
= 18 |
63 + 9 =
72 |
39 + 6 =
45 |
93 + 6 =
99 |
9 + 36 =
45 |
9 |
72 |
648 |
6 + 4 + 8
= 18 |
64 + 8 =
72 |
48 + 6 =
54 |
84 + 6 =
90 |
8 + 46 =
54 |
9 |
73 |
657 |
6 + 5 + 7
= 18 |
65 + 7 =
72 |
57 + 6 =
63 |
75 + 6 =
81 |
7 + 56 =
63 |
In terms of sexual symbolism, the Circle
is the Womb (or Zero), the Diameter in the Circle is the Male Unit (number One
-- the 1 inside the zero, or 10 the number of completion, male and female
unified), which diameter divides the Circle in half, indicating polarity, or
the Day-Cycle. Pictorially, the
Male Principle starts at one point on the circle and draws a diameter to the
other side of the circle: when the diameter (as an imagined entity) moves from
one side of the circle to the other side: the Day ends. It is tantamount to having an
orgasm. When the digit is rigid, it
enters the womb; after orgasm it disappears; then the circle re-absorbs the
male element for a period of rest, or pralaya. The womb is impregnated; 9 months later
the world is re-born.
Of course, when
the reader asks ÔWhat has this to do with the authorÕs major concept of cycles
being of 18-years?Õ I would reply that the Day-Cycle of the Male Principle
dividing the Circle in half (with his Diameter) = 180¡ of the complete Circle
360¡. The Day-Cycle is 18(0)¡, the
Night-Cycle is 18(0)¡ and, together, they make up the 36(0)¡ of a completed
cycle.
God breathes spirit or
energy into matter, creating the bubble that is and becomes physical existence
(the physical, emotional, mental trinitary unit). God extracts energy from matter,
breathing in, collapsing the bubble; and light vanishes. Light that is trapped in the bubble
evaporates. Matter transitions into
dark background matter. Background
matter comes to the foreground in material form; and material form then recedes
back into this background source radiation.
The Hindus call
the Night of Brahma ÔPralayaÕ.
Pralaya is the period between two incarnations, two periods of activity,
two Day-Cycles. In A Treatise on Cosmic Fire, Alice Bailey
writes: ÔFrom the point of view of any unit involved, a pralaya is a period of
quiescence, of cessation from a particular type of activity, involving
objectivity; yet, from the point of view of the great whole with which the unit
may be involved, a pralaya may be considered merely as a transference of force
from one direction into another.
Though the unit may be temporarily devitalized, as regards its form, yet
the greater Entity persists, and is still active.Õ
A metaphor for this
process of Ôa transference of force from one direction into anotherÕ is
provided by electricity.
Electricity changes direction.
Electricity flows from negative to positive during the Day Cycle;
electricity flows from positive to negative during the Night Cycle. It is not possible to eliminate either
part of this circuit (circle) without eliminating the phenomena of electricity
entirely.
ÔThough the unit
(number 1) may be temporarily devitalizedÕ – the male organ, the Straight
Line, the Diameter – Ôthe greater Entity persists, and is still activeÕ
– the female organ, the Circle.
Day
activity ceases; form-building ceases; forms disappear as light disappears;
human forms can no longer see the large world outside, and are forced to turn
their vision inside, to their home, their family, their cave. They sleep. They become active in their dream
body. They experience quiescence. They experience rest.
When the human
wakes up the next morning, humans begin form-building again, picking up where
they left off at the end of the previous day. Day-Time never goes backward. Night-Time is not the same as and does
not comprehend Day-Time. Night-Time
dissolves Day-Time; and, then, ineluctably, resurrects Day-Time. Day-Time feeds the Dream-Time; and
Dream-Time feeds the Day-Time.
This is
not a warm, fuzzy process, of course, where all oppositions are worked out
amicably and without pain.
The Day and the
Night are apparent enemies; and their ÔcombinationÕ at Dawn and Dusk can
produce the monstrous. The Day is
Christianity; the Night is Islam.
The Day is Capitalism; the Night is Communism. The Day is Tammuz, who gets eaten by a
wild boar (the Night). (Attis and
Adonis, also Sun Heroes, both fall from power at the Summer Solstice and get
eaten by a wild boar). Set, the
Egyptian Dionysius, is out hunting wild boar when he finds the body of Osiris
(his brother, the Sun Hero, the Egyptian Apollo), whose body he then tears into
14 pieces and scatters across the land.
Why a wild
boar? In Babylonia, the month of
Haziran (June) derived from the
Chaldean word ÔHazirÕ or ÔHaziraÕ, which also signified porcus or hog. Interestingly, Temmuz was the Babylonian word for the month of July.
In all ancient
mythology we see an esoteric reference to Time and to TimeÕs cyclical
structures – an archetypal structure or blueprint that exists on many
different, alternating, and overlapping scales.
The Chinese
believe in constant change, but with things always moving back to
some prior
state. They pay attention to a wide range of events; they search for
relationships
between things; and they think you cannot understand the part without
understanding
the whole. Westerners live in a
simple, more deterministic world;
they focus
on salient objects or people instead of the larger picture; and they think
they can
control events because they know the rules that govern the behavior of objects.
Richard E. Nesbett: The Geography of Thought:
How Asians and Westerners
Think Differently, And Why
CHAPTER SIX.
TIME CYCLES IN HISTORY
(Looking at the Prototype in Microcosm)
A hero is devoured by a
water-monster in the WestÉ The
animal travels with him
(inside) to the EastÉ Meanwhile
the hero lights a fire in the
belly of the monsterÉand, feeling
hungry, cuts himself a piece
of the heart. Soon, afterwards, he
notices that the fish has
glided on to dry land; he immediately
begins to cut open the animal
from within; then he slips out.
It was so hot in the fishÕs
belly that all his hair has fallen out.
The hero may, at the same
time, free all those who were
previously devoured by the
monster.
-- Frobenius, Das Zeitalter des Sonnengottes
The
academic study of Western History has an implicit (agreed-upon) Time structure
currently in place although current usage probably is more habitual than
enlightening today in terms of both structural complexity and complicity. Terms such as Ômiddle agesÕ,
ÔrenaissanceÕ, and Ôdark agesÕ refer to times of the day and seasons of the year
– although current usage rarely, if ever, translates these descriptions
as elements in a time-centered historical metaphysic.
In my
interpretation of these terms, the Dark Ages are the Nights or the Winter
season in Western Civilization, times during which the Ôlight of civilizationÕ
has vanished. The Dark Ages in
Western History began essentially with the gothic destruction of Rome as the
capital and symbol of Western Civilization, the world-city 2000 years ago. The Dark Ages rule for approximately
1,000 years, from the fall of Rome until the rise of the Renaissance city
states of northern Italy (Florence, Siena, Venice).
The Renaissance
is nested within the Middle Ages (Medieval period) – the Middle Ages is
often connected by historians with the Dark Ages, which, in my mind, is
erroneous -- the Middle Ages being, as a Time location, Dawn or Spring, and the
historical reflection of the Middle Principle I discussed earlier in Chapter
One. The Middle Ages are the Dawn,
in one aspect (light rising out of darkness), wherein the forces of Light and
Darkness are balanced in terms of strength, where the world-view unites the
opposites, unites, for example, the Religious and the Scientific perspective,
the Female and the Male perspective of reality.. There two principles are ÔunitedÕ in
certain individuals – but they are also locked in deadly battle. If one views nature, Spring is the
season of a ferocious battle between the new idea (in this case, Reason rising)
and the old idea, the darkness (in this case Religion falling).
The human race,
from here, will move in to the Age of Reason, or the glorification of the human
intellect – leaving behind the ÔmysteryÕ of nature, the darkness of the
clouded female mystery, taking this development to the pathological stage
(repression and ridicule of the Ômystery of natureÕ as insane or superstitious)
at Noon, precedent to manÕs fall.
ÔRenaissance
MenÕ, the great artists/scientists of the Medieval era, are symbols of the
complete man, uniting Light and Darkness, Male and Female, Reason and Dream,
Mathematics and Art or Poetry. In
historical manifestation, this temporary balance is lost. During the deep part of the Day Cycle, Science, Technics, the Male
Mind, dominates; and during the deep part of the Night Cycle, Religion, Poetry,
the Female Mind, dominates.
In my system,
there are two Middle Age periods: the Dawn and the Dusk. At the Dawn, the Artist joins the side
of Science, rational enlightenment (the light of the object), man, humanism,
city-building, drawing away from the Religious world-view. At Dawn, the Artist is supported by the
rich classes. At Dawn, the
Renaissance Man supports the rich classes, supports the building of the city,
supports the separation of the light and the dark. (City-building, raising the edifice, the
monument of civilization, is a symbol of the male erection, raised up out of
dormancy, a magic wand by which Nature becomes fecund, prosperous, matter
filled with light.)
At the Dusk, the
Artist essentially re-joins the side of Religion, mysticism, Nature, turning
his back on the city as a den of iniquity, turning away from Science (which now
seems sterile), turning away from Materialism (which now seems empty), turning
away from the abstract Father and back toward the Natural Mother. At Dusk, the Artist is hated by the
rich, and hates the rich in return.
The hero at Dawn becomes the Anti-Hero at Dusk, the Revolutionary. The Angel of Creation at Dawn becomes
the Daemon of Destruction at Dusk, enemy of the existing power structure. The religion that the Romantic Anti-Hero
(as Prophet) joins is not the
orthodox old religion of the establishment that he has created (under an
earlier persona, guise, or mask), but the mystical dark religion of Death, the
kabbalistic hidden magic religion of depth, the Wisdom Religion. Sterile orthodox literal religion cannot
engender re-birth of the soul. It
oversees the death of the soul, freezing the soul with reason. It is only the Living God, found on the
mountain in darkness, which can resurrect the soul to a new life.
We remember that
the ÔromanticÕ idealizes and moves toward an Ideal through the power of love,
away from a corrupted ideal which he no longer trusts or values. The Spring-Time Renaissance-ManÕs love
for the Earth in her virginal spring flowers and pure scents becomes, in Autumn,
the Romantic-ManÕs rejection of a corrupt Earth, in her colorful fallen leaves
and fully-born fruits and bounty, an Earth used-up, in a sense, past her
youth. As beautiful as the New
Earth was to the Renaissance Man of Spring, the Old Earth is a corrupt and as
disturbing to the Romantic Man of Autumn – and he looks to a new woman
for inspiration, the Moon, the White Woman, for a love that is not Earthy, for
a love that is emotional and spiritual and less material.
The De-Naissance
Man of Dusk is, at one stage, a romantic anti-religious revolutionary, a
Marxist. As he goes deeper into his
solitude, he will leave behind this secular rebellion (which is a final form of
materialism) and re-enter the water element and experience what Oswald Spengler
calls the Ôsecond religionÕ, a re-birth of wonder at lifeÕs richness (found in
deprivation, darkness, and a re-discovery of primitive Nature, and his
Non-Self), a personal reawakening of the genuine religious experience.
In Hinduism,
Vishnu takes three steps across the universe. There are many meanings to this three
steps Vishnu takes. One meaning is
the description of human life as (1) Religious Life, in which the human believes
in God as he is told to do by his parents (this is the childhood of the man);
(2) Anti-Religious Life, in which the man rebels against the instructions of
his parents, individualizes, resists the common perceptions (this is the
adolescence of the man); and (3) the Second Religious Life, in which a man
synthesizes the oppositions (establishment and anti-establishment, culture and
counter-culture), and sees God with his mind and heart fused – seeing
GodÕs Mind through NatureÕs Laws -- as he saw God in the first stage only with
his heart, only with his faith.
The loci
of the Dawn is in mercantile
City-States, rising up out of NatureÕs dark water. The loci of the Noon is urban, the city,
the megalopolis. The loci of the
Dusk is the academic City-States
(university towns), where the Ôback to nature movementsÕ are born and bred, and
where the Counter-Culture thrives.
The loci of Midnight is the Earth, the soil, the land, where the roots
are found; where Gothic nature builds great monumental churches to God, a
philosophy, a theology, that is written in stone.
It is possible
for a man to feel gigantic in the City.
It is not possible for a man to feel gigantic in Nature. This tells us something about the Ego of
the human, and the illusions between which ÒManÓ moves.
The
Renaissance Artist symbolizes the Dawn, the growth of Culture. Julius Caesar and the Roman Legions
symbolize the Noon-Time, with its Neo-Classicism. The Romantic Artist symbolizes the Dusk,
the growth of the Counter-Culture (the decay of Culture), and with its two
paths, Marxist rebellion and Mystical Death and regeneration. Both of these paths romanticize
martyrdom. Jesus Christ and his
Gnostic and then his Gothic followers symbolize the time of Midnight, with its
Mysticism. The Renaissance Man
marries Religion, Science, and Art.
The Romantic Man divorces Science from Religion and Religion from Art
and marries himself to the poor, generating Democracy, first, then a more
totalitarian proletariat government, then a rejection of life entirely and an
embrace of death with leads to either suicide or spiritual rebirth.
Theocracy is born
at Midnight, with the rebirth of the Religious Idea. The Aristocracy appears, first, as the
military arm of the Church. But,
over time, the Aristocracy grows weary of the tyranny of the Priesthood. The Aristocracy rebels against the
Church, creating a feudalistic Spring Season in human culture. The Romantic Aristocracy rebels against
the Renaissance Aristocracy, bringing a republican Summer Season to human
culture (Dionysus kills Apollo; Tammuz is gored by the bull in June). It is this Summer-to-Autumn season that
sees the creative fruition of the human plant in the form of individual talent
on its largest scale (in the form of freedom and equality, symbolized by the
astrological sign of Libra). We will note that Dawn and the Dusk are
times of great artistic and philosophical ferment. In the Democratic Era, the greatest
human freedom occurs – and this corresponds to the harvest season, the
culmination of the seed of human culture planted back during the darkness.
The Romantic,
leading the Middle Class, rebels against the corrupt Aristocracy and joins the
Working Class to create the great Democratic Era. The Working Class ultimately rebels
against the Middle Class to bring about the Winter era (the Marxist era?) of
Chaos and sterility. Greater
freedom, in each case -- freedom from God's Law, freedom from Natural Law,
freedom from Society's Laws -- leads, eventually, to a state of Chaos, an age
in which each individual seeks to live by laws that he or she creates. The health of the group, the strength of
tradition, weakens as the strength of the individual grows. When the society has destroyed itself
through freedom, and has indulged itself in chaos and darkness, it returns to
God; and a new form of Theocracy rises when the Working/Peasant Class allies
itself with the Church seeking order.
The Romantic
anti-hero at Autumn rebels against academic technique as much as the
Renaissance Man of Spring let himself be defined by the precisions of academic
technique.
The Renaissance Man
(the Dawn) is a figure of balance between the two forces of Light and Darkness,
as is the Romantic Man (the Dusk), each standing with one foot in light and one
foot in darkness. The Renaissance
Man is moving toward an imbalance of enlightened reason (Scientific thought)
which leads to a kind of apocalypse; the Romantic Man is moving, instead,
toward an imbalance of unenlightened reason (Metaphysical thought) which also
leads to a kind of apocalypse.
The Materialistic
apocalypse is experienced at Noon, and this is why so many Noon-Cycles erupt
into economic depressions.
The Religious
apocalypse is experienced in Midnight-Cycles – recent religious
apocalypses include the murder-suicide binge led by Jim Jones of the PeopleÕs
Temple, in Guyana (with nearly 1,000 church members poisoned by their leader,
who then committed suicide) and the spectacle of disillusioned American and
European middle-class children joining the religious commune in central Oregon
led by Osho (Bagwan Shree Rajneesh) an Indian Guru who proclaimed the following
as part of his religious doctrine: ÔSex is fun; Materialism is good; and Jesus
was a madman.Ó Osho owned 93 Rolls
Royce cars, while his followers live in relative poverty. He had sex with many of his followers;
and several leaders of his cult were arrested when they intentionally spread
salmonella food-poisoning in ten local restaurants, sickening more than 750
residents of the Dalles, Oregon, in an attempt to take over city government by
diminishing voter turnout during the 1984 voting season. Followers were also arrested on
conspiracy to commit murder changes for plotting the murder of a United States
Attorney. (Osho was also a very open
anti-semite, one of his favorite sayings being: ÒI will have to wash my mouth
out; for I have just eaten a Jew.Õ)
Too much reason
is a form of ÔNoon-MadnessÕ, rendering life arid and sterile; and not enough
reason is a form of ÔMidnight MadnessÕ, turning life in to a flood of emotion,
a death by drowning, or, in historical epochs, death by ice.
Dusk 1974
1978
– Jim Jones PeopleÕs Temple Mass Suicide, Guyana
1981
– Establishment of Rajneeshpuram in Oregon.
Midnight 1983
It is not
only religious apocalypses that occur at Midnight, but also secular horrors.
Dusk 1938
1939
– Nazis invade Poland, starting World War II
1941
– Japan bombs American fleet at Pearl Harbor
1943
– Auschwitz main Nazi extermination camp
1945
– Atomic bomb dropped on Japanese cities
Hiroshima
and Nagasaki by Americans
Midnight 1947
Also
Dusk 1974
1975 Khmer
Rouge takes power in Cambodia
1979
Khmer Rouge genocide ends; up to two million Cambodians
killed
Midnight 1983
The above
is all painted in rather broad strokes.
I do not intend to fully elaborate this view in this book, since it is
quite intricate and will need much development. This book presents a blueprint of ideas,
with a primary focusing on the Great Tribulation now facing the Earth as we
slip in to the Night-Cycle (the Waking-Dream Deflation) The Day-Cycle is the Waking Dream and
the Night-Cycle is the Sleeping-Dream.
A few more
basic premises. The Summer/Noon
represents a peaking of economic cycles; and a fall, as the future essentially
contracts and darkens when the Sun-Hero, the Ego, is wounded; internal strife,
war and civil war, rebellion of the Son against the Father Force (the Sky),
economic panics, are all part of this declining Summer Season. Winter/Midnight represents the bottoming
of an economic death, the slow rising of Masculine Spirit again after a period
of Darkness.
The Female
element (the Dark Brother, the Pessimist, The Loner, The Loser, the
Revolutionary, in some myths, the one who kills or wounds the Sun) begins to
win in the Summer/Noon, gains strength through the Autumn/Dusk and Winter/Midnight;
and her/his strength is absolutely broken in the Spring/Dawn when the new-born
Sun-Hero wars with the darkness, ultimately driving the Night (the Storm
Gods/Clouds) out of heaven, back in to the Deep Darkness below (the Primordial
Ocean).
Michael the
Archangel is Judeo-ChristianityÕs new-born Sun-Hero, on one level, who drives
Satan out of Heaven and chains him in the underworld. In fact, the myth of the rising Sun-Hero
marries the figures of Jesus Christ and Michael the Archangel. Jesus Christ is Michael the Archangel
when he is an angel in Heaven; Michael the Archangel is Jesus Christ when he is
a man on Earth. We will look at
this more later.)
Another way of
looking at this duality is that of Private versus Public activity. The Private activity corresponds to the
Day-Cycle, the Ego-driven cycle, where each private individual is allowed to
pursue his/her fortune at the expense of everything else. The Public activity corresponds to the
Night-Cycle, when the Private Enterprise (the male private parts, in keeping
with the earlier metaphor of the Circle and the CircleÕs Diameter) is
re-absorbed back in to the whole.
During the Public activity phase, the individual is often not allowed to
pursue private dreams, as the survival of the whole is put to the test. Wars, financial crises, political and
social dislocation, are often a part of this picture.
During the
Day-Cycle, the emphasis is upon the Private Sector providing opportunities for
citizens. During the Night-Cycle,
the emphasis shifts to the Public Sector.
(Some Business Culture voices claim that the Public Sector causes the economic depression. This is pretty clearly not so. As we can see in our most recent and
continuing financial debacle, excesses of the Business Culture have brought the
economy to its knees. This was also
true in 1929. The Public Sector
Culture (liberalism) tries to respond to the condition in which it finds
itself. Simply cheerleading
Business will not work; lowering interest rates will not work, especially when
citizens are already over-leveraged and worried about bankruptcy and loss of
jobs. Hunkering down, saving money,
self-protection, becomes the order of the day.
I am aware of the
paradox of this private-public dichotomy.
During the Day-Cycle, the private man works in the public sphere (the
external world); and during the Night-Cycle, the public man works in the
private sphere (the internal world).
During the Day-Cycle, the public man appears from his house to perform
rituals of social service and exploitation; during the Night-Cycle, the pubic
man disappears back in to his private residence in order to refresh himself
from the stress of his public life.
As he dreams he journeys back into his dream world, which is,
paradoxically, both private (composed of individual wishes and fears) and
public at the same time (when viewed as JungÕs Collective Unconscious).
JungÕs Self is a paradox, a unity of opposites. So we should not be surprised to see
this paradox being the primary law of nature. Splitting the whole into parts precedes
and defines the process of incarnation and life; fusing the parts into the
whole again defines the process of pralaya,
the period of rest subsequent and precedent to incarnation or Day-Cycle
activity.
This is
why economic protectionism is inevitable. Historians argue that protectionism
caused the Great Depression in the 1930Õs.
This notion is silly.
Protectionism is not a cause but an effect. The contraction causes world concerns to shrink back to the local. Each nation begins to put its own
citizens first, instead of just its business executives. Globalism (the expansion of capitalismÕs
open markets) becomes moot. Open
markets shrink back toward the center – this is what contraction
means. Competition between nations
for economic survival generates animosities and conflicts that often lead to
outright warfare.
Does
protectionism makes the situation worse?
Perhaps. Perhaps that is the
wrong question to ask. Perhaps we
should ask if the recovery of the deflated Ego of the culture is possible
without a phase of protectionism.
If the life-instinct is dependent upon a threat to life in order to
experience resurrection, then perhaps nationalism/protectionism cannot be avoided,
even if it does a disservice to the profits of multi-national corporations in
the short-term. We will look at
this phenomenon more completely later when we devote a chapter to the process
of protectionism. We will also note
that the term ÔRomantic NationalismÕ, used to describe a kind of art movement
in Eighteenth Century Europe, also describes an historical process as the Tree
of Life moves back toward its folk-component, its soil, and its roots. As the world becomes increasingly dark,
it also becomes increasingly ÔnationalÕ as opposed to ÔinternationalÕ during
the periods of enlightenment.
The worship of
wealth (which is a form of body-worship) is not the only value that defines a
culture and a people. What really
defines a people is how they respond to adversity, much more than how they respond
to prosperity.
In one
sense we have already looked at a microcosmic scale of this organic whole in
historical manifestation. The
Renaissance is the Spring; the Empire is the Summer; the Fall is the Autumn;
and Rebirth of the Sun Hero is the Winter.
In any historical analysis, we should look for these symbols as being
clues to the time-position of the historical manifestation.
In European
(Roman) history, the Renaissance was clearly marked by the city-states of
Italy: such historical figures of Michalengelo, Leonardo, Dante, Vico,
Botticelli, the Medici, all mark this time as the time of Spring and rebirth.
We look for some form of political
tyranny at Noon, absolute power wielded in the name of Empire. Napoleon comes to mind immediately. We know that there are cycles within
cycles (Hitler appears as a German Noon-Symbol as well.) At Noon there is no shadow. (ÔItÕs all good.Õ) In other words, the shadow has been
beaten down so badly as to appear almost non-existent. The loyal opposition has essentially
come to agree with the masculine force of will so much so that there appears to
be absolute unity in the country.
(Or the opposition has been killed, driven underground, or driven into
exile.)
The Noon is also
a time of the tyranny of ideas, with Science being at its highest arc in the
circle. Social Darwinism was
emblematic of this tyranny of an idea: Ôthe survival of the fittestÕ, the
implication being that the people on top were the most skilled and most
talented, the fittest of the human species, while those on the bottom were
considered expendable failures of the human species. It is a short jump from this to the
fascist racism which put white Aryans as the super-race or yellow Japanese as
the direct descendants of the Sun-King, destined by the gods to ruthlessly
dominate life on Earth.
Noon represents
the apex of the expansion of the self-made man.
When we
think of the Romantics of Europe, many names come up: Goethe, Beethoven,
Nietzsche, Lord Byron, William Blake, Goya, Delacroix, Schubert, Liszt, Wagner,
Turner, Constable, Friedrich, Shelley, Keats, Coleridge, Schiller, Novalis,
Delacoix, Hugo. One thinks of
Caspar David FriedrichÕs ÔWanderer Above the Sea of FogÕ is a symbol of this
anti-heroic retreat from society, retreat into the subjective. There is a well-dressed (urban) man
standing on a high peak, alone, in Nature, contemplating other high peaks.
The
subject in the painting is essentially turning his back on man, on manÕs
creations, on the city, now viewed as corrupt beyond repair. He is going back to Nature. He is turning his back on human society
and on objectivity, returning to the subjective reality, the dream, and the God
hidden in the dream, in the soul.
The Hero protects
clean and helpless society from the dangers of diabolical and criminal forces
of nature. The Anti-Hero turns
against an unclean, corrupting society, choosing the dangers of a life of
solitary wandering as superior to the life of greed, decay and human decadence
which the city has come to represent to the Anti-Hero. The Anti-Hero demonizes man and the
city, idealizes Nature and the Primitive Life, much as the Hero demonizes
Nature and idealizes man and manÕs power to create. These two forces are essentially the
same, but at a different time, and with a different perspective. The Dawn is pure and fresh, the light of
illumination becoming more golden as it rises up out of the dark womb,
Nature. The Dusk is dark, cold,
jaded, used-up, the light of illumination becoming more saturnine as it sinks
into the dark womb, Nature. (Many
historians speak of the Romantic Era as the Counter-Enlightenment, a period of
reaction against the age of deductive reasoning (Science), during which the
ÔfeminineÕ mind-qualities of intuition, feeling, and imagination are once again
discovered and elevated, having been demonized or ridicules during the period
of masculine scientific will, or Enlightenment.)
The Hero at Dawn
believes in the objective world, which comes more and more in to view as the
Day expands. The Anti-Hero at Dusk
believes in the subjective world, which comes more and more in to view as the
Night expands (as the Day contracts).
Midnight, of
course, is the time of Jesus Christ in Europe. From the cradle of the Moon, Jesus rises
up out of the darkest night, becoming the Renaissance Man, Michaelangelo,
becoming the Empiricist tyrant, Julius Caesar, becoming the Romantic ÔSturm un
DrangÕ Rebel, Goethe, then re-becoming himself, the Scapegoat in Capricorn, the
New Sun born in Capricorn, in the endless cycle, endlessly turning.
The
implication here, apparently, is that the 2 becomes 4. This is a complication of the picture,
at least in one sense. We have
largely been talking about two forces in opposition. But these two forces are also dual, each
with a dominant nature and each with its own shadow. We know these dominant natures as the
circle and the circleÕs diameter, the Darkness and the Manifested Light, the
Feminine and the Masculine, the Womb and the Penis, the Zero and the One. But each force casts a shadow, each has
a nature it keeps in the background, suppresses, attempts to diminish.
(This
complication may seem to be an unnecessary digression here. But, since the idea of the Shadow
implies a dominant principle, which implies a subordinate principle, a dominant
principle that receives more light (and has a more substantial body,
technology, of course, being an extension of the body), the idea of race is
inherent in this concept. Race is
an integral part of American history, as it is of world history. And clearly race is something that must
be addressed as we speak about historyÕs sins and historyÕs redemptions. Also, with the apparent risings of
fundamental Islam (I believe that is a redundancy at present) also raises
issues of substance/shadow that will manifest and is manifesting on the
historical stage today in a very dramatic fashion. It might be interesting to look at the
Muslim phenomenon through this lens also, which we will do later.)
We re-begin,
geometrically-speaking, in the Sea of Primordial Darkness, Night, Pralaya; then, at the appointed time,
the 1, the Seed of Light, the Universe, appears and begins to expand. The 1 divides into 2 (Demiurgos). The 2, in opposition and cooperation
(the paradox) create the 3 (the triangle), which, in reflecting itself in the
world below, creates the 4 (the square).
This
square is the essence of these two sets of opposites and their shadows, for the
masculine force and its shadow are the Vertical Force (North and South), while
the feminine force and its shadow are the Horizontal Force (East and
West). Thus the cross is born, or
illuminated, in its essence, as a totality.
(This
diagram is drawn from the perspective of the West. I do not believe that the sun actually
rises in the west and sets in the east.
It is intended to represent a set of ideas focused in Western history
only. The Southern perspective is
the exact reverse of the Northern perspective. The Eastern perspective is the mirror
image of the Western.)
The NorthÕs
shadow is the South; the SouthÕs shadow is the North. The WestÕs shadow is the East; the
EastÕs shadow is the West. (We must
remember that the Sun, in its Day-Cycle, journeys East to West; and,, during
its Night-Cycle, journeys West to East – in a boat or casket on the
water. Hence, the myths of Nuah and
Noah and Dagon and Gilgamesh and Osiris and Deucalion and Vaivasvata Manu and
Jaik-Khan and Kezer-Tshingis and Lif and Noj and Pairekse and Schal-Jime and
Utnapishtim all relater to the Flood, when the world is swallowed by Water or
Darkness and the Night-Journey begins.)
These dynamisms
make up the World Lotus in Eastern religious philosophy; and the Rosy Cross in
Western religious thought.
In mythology,
the Four Directions and Four Seasons are connected with the Four Elements (Air,
Fire, Water and Earth), the Four Archangels, the Four Horsemen of the
Apocalypse, the Four Rivers in Paradise, the Tetragrammaton (the Four Parts of
the Sacred Names of Jehovah, YHVH), the Four Worlds of KabbalismÉ.all refer to
material totality and solidity, completeness.
It is a
short step, graphically speaking, from this rendering of the Ôfour principles
of natureÕ to a much more modern (scientific) rendering of the same principles,
with added secondary directions of Northwest, Northeast, Southeast and
Southwest, a floral octagon structure.
In much
the same way that the oak tree is implicit in the acorn, it might also be true
that the planet (and the planetary life) is, itself, implicit in the material
seed, the atom.
By the same token, the solar system may also be implicit in the atom, as
prototypes repeat through large and small scales, and scales in-between.
CHAPTER SEVEN.
A LITERARY DIGRESSION
(Numbers and Structure in the Microcosm Seen Through the Lens of
MelvilleÕs Moby-Dick)
In his
masterpiece MelvilleÕs Moby-Dick –
An American Nekyia, Edward Edinger writes about the symbolism of numbers,
that reflect on the above, and also on what we wrote earlier about the ÔThree
Steps of VishnuÕ. Edinger writes in
Chapter 14, ÔThe Pact With the DevilÕ:
As the
Pequod approaches the cruising ground where it is expected Moby-Dick will be found, Ahab has the blacksmith make him a special
harpoon of the hardest steel to use against the white whale. For the final tempering, Ahab asks [his
special] three harpooners for some of their blood, and into this he plunges the
heated barbs:
ÔEgo non
baptizo te ill nominee patris, sed in nominee diaboli! [I baptize you not in the name of the
father but in the name of the devil],Õ deliciously howled Ahab, as the
malignant iron scorchingly devoured the baptismal blood. [p. 532, chapter 113)
This
ritual confirms what has been suspected all along, that AhabÕs pact with Fedallah
is a pact with the devil. First of
all, we note that Ahab does not use the full formula of Christian baptism. The complete ritual statement is ÔI
baptize you in the name of the Father and the Son and the Holy Spirit.Õ Ahab omits the reference to the son and
the Holy Spirit. This suggests that
his psychological state corresponds symbolically to the pre-Christian
period. AhabÕs image of deity is
the Old Testament Yahweh.
The Christian
trinity of Father, Son and Holy Spirit is one of many threefold images
symbolizing the developmental stage of psychic growth. The first three numbers have important
psychological symbolism. Number
one, as the first and original number, is not, strictly speaking, a number at
all. One, us unity and totality,
exists prior to the awareness of numbers, which requires a capacity to
distinguish between separate, discrete entities. Thus, one corresponds symbolically to
the original state of wholeness prior to creation and the separation of things.
Two is the first
real number, since with it is born the possibility of discriminating one thing
from another. Two symbolizes the
act of creation, the emergence of the ego from the original state of unity. Two causes opposition; it represents a
state of conflict. Three, however,
is the sum of one and two, and unites them both within itself. It is the reconciling symbol that
resolves the conflict state of two.
The three terms
in the Christian trinity, considered as phases of psychic development, can be
equated with the symbolical meanings of numbers one, two and three just
presented. The Age of the Father
(one) is the state of original oneness with life, without doubt or doubleness
of mind. The Age of the Son (two)
is a state of inner conflict in which the ego is separated from its original
ground of being. It is a state of
alienation which longs for redemption or salvation. The Age of the Holy Spirit (three) is
the stage of reconciliation. The
opposites Father and Son have been connected by a third, the Holy spirit, which
provides reciprocal communication and a release from the irreconcilable
conflict of opposites in stage two.
Ahab omits the
Trinitarian formula of baptism because it does not correspond to his
psychological state. He is in stage
two, the state of conflict and alienation.
He experiences himself as the Son of the Father who can maintain his
identity only through defiance, by insisting that two exist, not just one. Like Job, Ahab is rebelling against the
Age of the Father.
EdingerÕs
insights also take in the notion of the number 4.
The monomaniacal
patriarchal figure of Moby-Dick is
Ahab, the damaged and damned captain of the Pequod, a man who has lost one leg
to Moby-Dick, the Great White Whale, and who has had his face, indeed his
entire body, nearly cut in half during hand-to-hand combat with the monster
– he has a long scar that neatly divides the left half of his face from
the right half, in fact divides his body in half. Ahab is the titan, the giant, who is
divided against himself. AhabÕs
holy quest, and the whole purpose of his life now, is revenge on
Moby-Dick. Moby-Dick represents to
Ahab all the darkness in the world, all the madness of the world, all the
violence of Nature and all the malevolence God had thrust upon Humanity, in the
form of its mortality. Ô[Ahab]
piled upon the whale's white hump the sum of all the general rage and hate felt
by his whole race from Adam downÉÕ
The soul element
of Moby-Dick is the Son-aspect of the
novel, Ishmael, who has taken his place on the Pequod out of boredom,
alienation from city-life, and out of a longing for adventure.
In fact, Ahab is
the Father-Figure who has risen from the balance, the Dawn, out of the ocean of
non-being, to become the tyrannical Force of the King at Noon, the man divided
against himself and also divided against the world, the builder of the Tower of
Babel. Ishmael is the Son, the
Dusk, the Anti-Hero, who has turned his back on the city, on civilization, and,
ultimately, turned against the rule of the White Man, the emblem of this rule
being Ahab, his symbolic father.
The
whale-boat captain is an emblem of a guardian of civilization. Sperm oil from the whale lit the
lanterns in the West during the 19th Century, generating the light
that defeated the darkness of Night.
Ahab, in a symbolic sense, is a protector of civilization. He fights the dark monsters of the
primordial ocean in deadly battle, with very real consequences, loss of limb
and life, in order that the women and children on land (in the cities) can live
with more comfort, and less fear during the Night.
Ishmael is the
son in rebellion against civilization, in rebellion against the father
figure. Ishmael is on the Pequod
almost by accident. He has stumbled
in to AhabÕs circle, without understanding the grimly serious nature of AhabÕs
quest.
Ishmael, on the
first night of his adventure, shares a bed with Queequeg, a huge terrifying
primordial dark-skinned ÔsavageÕ, with tattoos all over his body. A pagan; a devil, in the eyes of most
Christians at the time.
Jung writes, as
if describing Ishmael (and as if describing the Romantic Anti-Hero as a class,
the Autumn Middle-Age types, who turn their backs on the orthodox rules of the
city and civilization):
There have
always been people who, not satisfied with the dominants of conscious life, set
forth – under cover and by devious routes, to their destruction or
salvation – to seek direct experience of the eternal roots, and,
following the lure of the restless unconscious psyche, find themselves in the
wilderness where, like Jesus, they come up against the son of darknessÉ Thus an
old alchemist prays: ÔPurge the horrible darkness of our mind, light a light
for our senses.Õ The author of this
sentence must have been undergoing the experience of nigredo, the first stage of the work, which was felt as
ÔmelancholyÕ in alchemy and corresponds to the encounter with the shadow in
psychology.
Queequeg
is IshmaelÕs shadow. Ishmael is the
West; Queequeg is the East. Ishmael
is Civilization; Queequeg is Nature.
Ishmael is alienated Consciousness; Queequeg is the original unconscious
state, at home in Nature, at home with lifeÕs paradoxes. Queequeg is the dark ÔNatural ManÕ, the
shadow the white man both fears and admires, both despises and secretly envies.
Edinger writes:
Ishmael
first meets the savage harpooner in chapter 3 and is frightened by the alien
appearance, his strangely tattooed skin and his pagan religious ritual. He is the very opposite of IsmaelÕs
civilized, Christian consciousness. Characteristically, Ishmael expects to be
attacked by Queequeg. The ego
usually assumes the shadow has a hostile intent. This is a projection. The ego feels hostile toward the shadow
and expects hostility in return, which, under the circumstances, is quite
likely. As a rule, the unconscious
shows the ego the same face that the ego shows to itÉ.
After sharing
QueequegÕs bed for the night, Ishmael reawakens next morning in the heavy
embrace of the dark manÕs arms, ÔThis arm of his tattooed all over with an
interminable Cretan labyrinth of a figureÉÕ Later this same association with the
labyrinth of the Minotaur in the myth of Theseus appears in a description of
the [inside of the] whale, Ôsupplied with a remarkable involved Cretan labyrinth
of vermicelli-like vesselsÉÕ
One thinks
immediately of the biblical story of Jonah, who was swallowed by a whale, and
who lived inside the whale for three days, before being safely deposited on
land again, after a period of death-instruction, or pralaya. It is my thesis that AmericaÕs (America
being an emblem of the Sun-Hero) fall from power through the recently-begun
financial collapse is essentially entering the whale again, and must undergo an
initiation into death, into the images of failure, self-hate, self-reproach,
very similar to the biblical imprisonment of Jonah in the belly (lower regions)
of the whale (the king of the ocean).
We will remember that Jonah was commanded by God to preach the end of
the world to a corrupt Ninevah, a command Jonah feared and attempted to escape,
by sea. Jonah, on-board his own
version of the Pequod, was thrown overboard when the crew considered him a
pariah; he was then swallowed by the whale and initiated into the secrets of
GodÕs laws.
America, too,
will be initiated into the secrets of GodÕs laws, as will the whole world. We remember the biblical doctrine: ÔIt
is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle than for a rich man
to pass into heaven.Õ A rich
society has no need of God. A rich
society is God, is bigger than God;
and this leads to the sin of pride, which leads to the fall, which leads to the
re-discovery of God. A man must be
small to pass through the eye of a needle.
We will find,
also, that the Night-Cycle world we are entering is like a labyrinth, a
structure in which only a small extent can be seen at any one time. During the Day, the eyes can see for
miles. But during the Night, the
eyes become much less useful.
Vision is reduced dramatically.
The labyrinth implies a prison for the senses, an experience of loss, many
stops and many false starts, a reality for which a map is needed in order to
ensure progress. Metascience, of
course, religious, scriptural writing, the symbolic language, is the map tht has been prepared for
humanity to help them survive the test of the labyrinth, which is built in to
the system as the Night-Cycle experience, the experience that re-awakens the
presence of God is society.
Edinger
continues:
The
labyrinth or the maze is a symbol of the unconscious, particularly its
dangerous aspect, which threatens confusion and disorientation. Theseus could dare to enter it only with
the orientation of AriadneÕs helpful thread. Ariadne is an anima figure; her thread
signifies a connecting link between the ego (Theseus) and the anima, or feeling
life. In the Cretan labyrinth lived
a masculine monster, the Minotaur, representing undifferentiated male
instinctuality. The myth suggests
that one may dare to confront oneÕs unregenerate lust and power urge only when
holding on to the guiding thread [Sutratma in Hinduism] of human
feeling-relatedness, which gives orientation and prevents dismemberment and
dissolution in the chaos of instinctive drives. If Queequeg is the labyrinth, he is also
an Ariadne. As we shall see
shortly, he evokes in Ishmael a capacity for love and human feeling, which will
redeem him, and, ultimately, save him from the catastrophe of the PequodÕs
voyage.
So Queequeg, the
primitive, is IshmaelÕs shadow; but he is more than a personal shadow; hhis
roots go deep. He is a piece of primeval
nature itself, a personification of thee original Whole Man [Adam Kadmon] at
home with nature and himself. A
close, indeed, inseparable relationship quickly develops between Ishmael and
Queequeg. This is the theme of the
primitive brother or friend, the heroÕs necessary counterpart, who provides
[the hero] with a certain balance.
For instance, in the Epic of Gilgamesh, the dark brother Enkidu helps
the hero to overcome the cosmic bull.
The wholeness
Queequeg embodies is alluded to by the fact that he has black squares [the
four] tattooed on his body and that his mark is the Maltese cross [the
four]. Many other descriptive
passages about Queequeg indicate this wholeness. He had a Ôcertain lofty bearingÕ and
Ôlooked like a man who had never had a creditorÕÉ.
Queequeg
is the Ônoble savageÕ. Ishmael
speaks about Queequeg:
Savages are strange beings;
at times you do not know exactly how to take them. At first they are overawing; their calm
self-collectedness of simplicity seems a Socratic wisdom. I had noticed also that Queequeg never
consorted at all, or but very little, with the other seamen in the inn. He made no advances whatever; appeared
to have no desire to enlarge the circle of his acquaintances. All this struck me as mighty singular; yet,
upon second thoughts, there was something almost sublime in it. Here was a man some twenty thousand
miles from home, by the way of Cape Horn, that is --which was the only way he
could get there --thrown among people as strange to him as though he were in
the planet Jupiter; and yet he seemed entirely at his ease; preserving the
utmost serenity; content with his own companionship; always equal to
himself. Surely this was a touch of
fine philosophy; though no doubt he had never heard there was such a thing as
that. But, perhaps, to be true
philosophers, we mortals should not be conscious of so living or so
striving. So soon as I hear that
such or such a man gives himself out for a philosopher, I conclude that, like
the dyspeptic old woman, he must have broken his digester. As I sat there in that now lonely room;
the fire burning low, in that mild stage when, after its first
intensity has warmed the
air, it then only glows to be looked at; the evening shades and phantoms
gathering round the casements, and peering in upon us silent, solitary twain;
the storm booming without in solemn swells; I began to be sensible of strange
feelings. I felt a melting in
me. No more my splintered heart and
maddened hand were turned against the wolfish world. This soothing savage had redeemed
it. There he sat, his very
indifference speaking a
nature in which there lurked no civilized hypocrisies and bland deceits. Wild he was; a very sight of sights to
see; yet I began to feel myself mysteriously drawn towards him. And those same things that would have
repelled most others, they were the very magnets that thus drew me. I'll try a pagan friend, thought I,
since Christian kindness has proved but hollow courtesy. I drew my bench near him, and made some
friendly signs and hints, doing my best to talk with him meanwhileÉ.
As Edinger points out,
Ishmael is saved from his sense of isolation and shame by his association with
Queequeg. Edinger writes: ÔIshmael has
been redeemed from his initial state of alienation through his encounter with
Queequeg, who is a composite of Shadow and Self. The [alchemical] ÔmeltingÕ within
[Ishmael] indicates that a reconnection with the Self is accompanied by an
awakened capacity to love.Õ
We know a few things about Queequeg:
he is the native of a primitive south sea island, the son of a king, a royal
man who risked his life to cross a great ocean to visit the West and see
first-hand the glories of civilization.
Queequeg needs the civilization that
Ishmael rejects.
Edinger writes:
[QueequegÕs] urgent need to
make contact with civilization is important. It represents the striving of the shadow
for consciousness. QueequegÕs
heroic efforts to go to sea [he stowed away on a visiting whaleboat, resisted
threats to throw him overboard, pleaded with the captain for a chance to visit
Christendom] and learn about the white manÕs civilization is a movement in the
unconscious reciprocal to the depressive escapism which sent Ishmael to
sea. It is as though Ego and Shadow
were running toward each other from their appointed positions. Ishmael leaves his sterile life on land,
Queequeg leaves his primitive, unconscious island paradise, each in search of
the other.
The ShadowÕs striving for admission to
consciousness is a common theme in psychotherapy. It is often represented in dreams by
primitive or uncouth figures who are attempting to break into a house. Such dreams, like QueequegÕs urge to
visit civilization, indicate the shadowÕs urge to participate and realize
itself in consciousness. The Shadow
carries aspects of the personality rejected by the Ego because they do not fit
its ideal self-image. The Shadow
is, thus, branded as inferior and unacceptable. At a certain point in development,
psychological growth cannot proceed until this attitude is change, and the
Shadow is welcomed in to consciousness.
Queequeg must leave his unconscious paradise isle and be accepted at the
conscious level if the capacities he represents are to be realized in actual
life.
The electoral victory of
Barak Obama, for many reasons, but for this reason also, marks a victory in the
psychic struggle in America for wholeness, for healing, after many centuries of
racial warfare, and of a divided psychic nature – the American political
process has opened up enough to allow the Shadow full participation in the
mechanism of civilization. Of
course, there remain many elements of white-only conservatism that want, again,
to exile the Shadow back to the bottom of the society. Fundamental Christianity, which connects
dark skin with dark virtue (evil), another half truth, prepares always for a
regeneration of a religious hierarchical order placing the white race in heaven
– the northern hemisphere -- (and in control of Earthly society) and the
black race in hell --the southern
hemisphere.
Edinger continues:
It is by no means easy to
accept the Shadow. It usually
involves facing oneÕs most serious weaknesses and fears. It is commonly thought that the
acceptance of a weakness gives it a reality that it would not otherwise
have. The Ego operates on the false
assumption that it can decide which aspects fot he psyche may be permitted
existence. Acceptance of a weakness
is equated with the condoning of it; that is, the Ego acts as a judge which
approves or condemns various wholeness of the personality. This is the repressive attitude which
split the original wholeness of the psyche and created the Shadow in the first
place. However, for the adult, the
psyche, in all its aspects, is a given fact. Since it exists and has its effects,
whether consciously accepted or not, it is greatly to the individualÕs
advantage to be conscious rather than unconscious of his or her own reality.
After Ishmael gets over his initial
horror at the prospect of sleeping with a savage, he sees Queequeg chiefly in
positive terms. This is commonly
the effect of facing the Shadow; it turns positive, at least in part. In addition, Ishmael represents an Ego
which is acutely ware of its own inadequacies. In such a case, much of the potential
strength of the personality sinks into the unconscious, where it is carried by
the Shadow, making this figure more positive. We then speak of a Positive Shadow. Queequeg is such a Positive Shadow, carrying
major strength and assets as yet unrealized by consciousness. His positive character is particularly
evident in the prominent masculine attributes he embodies [and which Ishmael
lacks]. In contrast to Ishmael, who
is moody, depressive and subject to regressive tendencies, Queequeg is full of
strength, dignity and purposefulness, a harpooner who has his harpoon with him
constantly: ÔThat barbed iron was in lieu of a scepter nowÉÕ
The harpoon, as a variant of the spear
[and scepter], belongs to the whole body of masculine libido symbols –
sword, arrow, ray, phallus, staff, torch, etc. Those images all refer to the masculine
principle which, on the instinctive level, is manifested by aggressive, self-asserting
power and, on the psychological level, by initiative, disciplined
purposefulness, penetrating, discriminating rationality, and the clarifying,
creative power of the Logos. The
figure of Queequeg carries these capacities in a primitive, undifferentiated
form.
Ishmael is
the West traveling to the East; Queequeg is the East traveling to the
West. Ishmael is seeking to become
Primitive and Whole again, in Nature; Queequeg is seeking to become a man of
civilization, a man of the City, a man of Light and Reason.
Ahab also has a
Shadow. His name is Fedallah. Ahab is High Noon, a man of Law,
fighting the outlaw nature of the White Whale. No one on the Pequod can stand up to
Ahab. AhabÕs Shadow is not even
seen at first, because he is kept hidden in the Pequod until the boat has
sailed and the calling has been announced and clarified.
I have
written that Alan Greenspan is AmericaÕs most recent Ahab, and that his ÔsinÕ
is his inflated nature, his pride: he came to believe that he was God. Therefore he was setting himself up to
be overthrown by God, thrown out of Eden (he ate the forbidden fruit so that he
could become as powerful as God), cast into death and darkness and labor
(ÔlaborÕ, in this instance, constituting at least a dual meaning: work and a symbolic maternal pain of
re-birth).
Alan Greenspan is
not the only Ahab in America at this moment. But he was the leader (in many ways more
a leader, longer, than George Bush) of the expanding Ego in America, the
inflated state of America. His
nickname Ôthe MaestroÕ indicates the level to which his Ego had been elevated
by friends and colleagues. The
Maestro. The Genius. The Fuhrer. The Man Without a Shadow. The Man Who Walks On Water. The Sun-King. The Magnificent. With his staff, the Sceptre, the new
Pope of modern global capitalism, King Alan, brought wealth and health and
happiness to common people all over the globe. With his finger on the magic button, he
could expand or contract the world economy at will, simply by inflation or
deflating the wonderful Credit Machine (note: he did much more inflating than
he did deflating). He was a
mountain of a man. A man from the
mountain.
And, like Ahab,
none of his crew on the Pequod questioned his judgment, even those who tacitly
understood that his policies would lead to the eventual destruction of the
Pequod, of home and hearth, of city and industry.
As the
death-voyage begins, Ahab appears with his officers and crew on the deck of the
Pequod, and hammers a gold coin, a doubloon, to the main mast and announces that
the first crew-member to sight Moby-Dick will receive the coin as a
reward. The coin, a circle,
represents the whale, the Self, the Earth, and the Zodiac in the heavens above,
connecting Ahab to God and to the Devil through the White Whale.
Edinger writes:
The
circular golden doubloon is a mandala, and, hence, an image of the Self. It is stated that the doubloon is Ôthe
white whaleÕs talismanÕ, thereby establishing an organic connection between the
symbolic meaning of the coin and that of the whale. This provides added evidence for the
conclusion previously reached that the white whale is a symbol of the
SelfÉ. On the coin is seen:
the
likeness of three AndesÕ summits; from one a flame; a tower on another; on the
third a crowing cock; while arching over all was a segment of the partitioned
zodiac; the signs all marked with their usual cabalistics, and the keystone sun
entering the equinoctial point at LibraÉ
Libra, of
course, marks IshmaelÕs point on the Wheel of Life, the Autumn, and the first point
in the Underwater journey, from which point the dark quarter of the Winter is
begun to be experienced. Libra is
the balance; but the balance is about to be lost, plunging the entire crew of
the Pequod into the confrontation with NatureÕs darkness. Officers and mates and crew approach the
coin, consider it, and illustrate their own reaction to the talisman and to the
God the object represents symbolically.
Edinger writes:
The zodiac
is, itself, a mandala Self-image projected on the heavens and divided into the twelve archetypal
zones or houses. Within this
zodiacal circle on the coin there are three mountains. Mountains have always represented the
abode of the sky or spirit gods, and the place where man and God meet [Moses on
Sinai, for instance]. The Cosmic
Mountain occupies the Center of the world, and, hence, is called the World
Navel. The number three suggests
the masculine trinity; and the other images reinforce the masculine emphasis:
Fire, tower, cock and sun are all alternative expressions of the masculine
spirit principle.
First to approach
the coin is Ahab, who says:
There's something ever
egotistical in mountain-tops and towers, and all other grand and lofty things;
look here, -- three peaks as proud as Lucifer. The firm tower, that is Ahab; the
volcano, that is Ahab; the courageous, the undaunted, and victorious fowl,
that, too, is Ahab; all are Ahab; and this round gold is but the image of the
rounder globe, which, like a magician's glass, to each and every man in turn
but mirrors back his own mysterious self.
Great pains, small gains for those who ask the world to solve them; it
cannot solve itself. Methinks now
this coined sun wears a ruddy face; but see! aye, he enters the sign of storms, the
equinox! and but six months before
he wheeled out of a former equinox at Aries! From storm to storm! So be it, then. Born in throes, 't is fit that man should
live in pains and die in pangs! So
be it, then! Here's stout stuff for
woe to work on. So be it, then.
If we did not already know
it, AhabÕs inflation would not stand revealed. [ÔIÕd strike the sun if it insulted
me!Õ] He identifies himself with
the three proud mountain peaks; the Ego is identified with the Self [the man
believes he is God]. Such a psychic
condition is, indeed, a stormy one; and, so, Ahab sees the storms to come.
Birth pangs and death pains
Ahab associates with our Middle Ages – the astrological signs of Aries
and Libra (the Ôtime of stormsÕ) – Dawn and Dusk – Spring and
Autumn.
We will look more closely later at the
significance of the Tower (and of the Twin Towers), as a symbol of Ego
Inflation, Civilization, Male Power of Erection (Freud would probably smile)
and the insinuated rise and decline of a civilization.
Ahab also has a shadow. But this Ahab-Fedallah unity is not the Positive Shadow, as in the case
of the Ishmael-Queequeg unity.
Judging from his name, FedÕallah is a Muslim. Dorothee Metlitsky Finkelstein writes in
MelvilleÕs Orienda that the name
Fedallah is an Islamic compound from Feda,
ÔsacrificeÕ, or ÔransomÕ and Allah,
ÔGodÕ. Fedallah, thus, means Ôthe
sacrifice of GodÕ
Edinger shows that the cognate term Fedai means Ôhe who offers up his
lifeÕ. Fedai refers to a medieval sect of Islamic mystics who were also
called the ÔAssassinsÕ. Edinger
writes:
These were
avenging ministers or destroying angels of God who were pledged to commit
murder in the service of Allah. The
word ÔassassinÕ derives from ÔhashishÕ, or ÔhempÕ, the source of marijuana, and
was applied to these religious killers because they consumed hashish in order
to induce an ecstatic state of communion with the deity. These connections are most interesting
in the light of FedallahÕs prophecy to Ahab that Ôhemp only can kill theeÉÕ
FedallahÕs name,
thus, suggests that he is the avenging agent of God, FateÕs assassin, sent to
punish Ahab for his hubris. The
weapon of assassination is hemp or hashish, which causes intoxication and loss
of reason.
While it
is not the hemp of hashish that ultimately kills Ahab – nor is it the
hemp of the hangmanÕs noose, which Ahab ultimately fears – this hashish
allusion is, indeed, food for thought, especially when considering the Romantic
Counter-CultureÕs love of hashish (the Dusk-Force) and its role in the temporal
destruction of the Ôhouse that the father builtÕ.
Finkelstein
writes of the Fedai:
The Fedais
or assassins were sent to all parts of the world on missions of assassination
as a religious duty. They were
distinguished by the determination with which they exposed their lives in order
to destroy their victims, the voyages which they undertook to achieve their
purpose, and the calmness with which they waited for the moment favorable to
their design.
Fedallah
is a kind of Judas, a traitor, sent to oversee the crucifixion of Ahab –
a kind of Trojan Horse slipped on to the Pequod during cover of night,
manifested onboard only after the ship has sailed.
As the horizontal
axis (East-West) of the Ishmael-Queequeg unity represents a humanistic dualism
– a polarization of human ideals -- the vertical axis (North-South) of
the Ahab-Fedallah unity represents a religious dualism, the Christian at one
pole and the Muslim at the other.
The East-West duality is a smaller, daily cycle. The North-South duality is a much
larger, yearly cycle, a millennial cycle.
(In the classical idiom, there are 360 – or 365 to be more
scientifically, less geometrically, accurate -- East-West duality cycles in
every one North-South duality cycle.)
Fedallah pretends
to be AhabÕs amiable shadow. In
fact, he is present on the Pequod in order to carry out AllahÕs fatwah (death-sentence) on Ahab. There is not a great difference between
assassins like Fedallah who give their lives to assassinate enemies of Islam
and suicide-bombers who do the same today or those who commandeer civilian
planes and fly them into buildings as avenging angels of their GodÕs cry for
vengeance.
Edinger
writes:
Unknown to
the others, Ahab had secretly brought on board the Pequod his own whaleboat crew
with its leader, Fedallah. When
whales were first sighted and the boats were being lowered, these strange
stowaways suddenly make their appearance.
ÔWith a start all glared at dark Ahab, who was surrounded by five dusky
phantoms that seemed fresh formed out of air.Õ Fedallah, their leader, was the most
striking one.
The figure
that now stood by its bows was tall and swart, with one white tooth evilly
protruding from its steel-like lips.
A rumpled Chinese jacket of black cotton funereally invested him, with
wide black trowsers of the same dark stuff. But strangely crowning his ebonness was
a glistening white plaited turban, the living hair braided and coiled round and
round upon his head. Less swart in
aspect, the companions of this figure were of that vivid, tiger-yellow
complexion peculiar to some of the aboriginal natives of the Manillas; --a race
notorious for a certain diabolism of subtilty, and by some honest white
mariners supposed to be the paid spies and secret confidential agents on the water
of the devil, their lord, whose counting-room they suppose to be
elsewhere. While yet the wondering
ship's company were gazing upon these strangers, Ahab cried out to the
white-turbaned old man at their head, All ready there, Fedallah? Ready, was the half-hissed reply. Lower away then; d'ye hear? shouting across the deck. Lower away there, I say. Such was the thunder of his voice, that
spite of their amazement the men sprang over the rail; the sheaves whirled
round in the blocks; with a wallow, the three boats dropped into the sea;
while, with a dexterous, off-handed daring, unknown in any other vocation, the
sailors, goat-like, leaped down the rolling ship's side into the tossed
boats
below. Hardly had they pulled out
from under the ship's lee, when a fourth keel, coming from the windward side,
pulled round under the stern, and showed the five strangers rowing Ahab, who,
standing erect in the stern, loudly hailed Starbuck, Stubb, and Flask, to
spread themselves widely, so as to cover a large expanse of water. but with all their eyes again riveted
upon the swart Fedallah and his crew, the inmates of the other boats obeyed not
the commandÉ
FedallahÕs hair coils like a
snake; he hisses like a snake; his race is notorious for a certain diabolism of
ÔsubtiltyÕÉa characteristic that also distinguished the biblical Satan. Swart
(a word used three times in this passage to describe Fedallah) means
ÔdirtyÕ, ÔblackishÕ, ÔmalignantÕ.
Edinger writes:
Fedallah
is clearly related to the devil; if he is not the devil himself, at least he is
one of his subordinatesÉ. Stubb
says of him: ÔI take that Fedallah to be the devil in disguise.Õ
Although it is
not described with the same clarity, it is evident that AhabÕs relation to
Fedallah has a certain infernal parallel to IshmaelÕs relation to
Queequeg. Just as Ishmael concluded
a pact of eternal friendship with Queequeg, which had its external symbol in
the monkey rope that connected them, so Ahab was in some way bound to Fedallah:
But be all
this as it may, certain it is that while the subordinate phantoms soon found
their place among the crew, though still as it were somehow distinct from them,
yet that hair-turbaned Fedallah remained a muffled mystery to the last. Whence he came in a mannerly world like
this, by what sort of unaccountable tie he soon evinced himself to be linked
with Ahab's peculiar fortunes; nay, so far as to have some sort of a
half-hinted influence; Heaven knows, but it might have been even authority over
him; all this none knew. But one cannot
sustain an indifferent air concerning Fedallah.
In
addition, Fedallah carried for Ahab something of the same characteristics of
primal natural man and original wholeness, as did Queequeg for Ishmael:
He was such a creature as
civilized, domestic people in the temperate zone only see in their dreams, and
that but dimly; but the like of whom now and then glide among the unchanging
Asiatic communities, especially the Oriental isles to the east of the continent
– those insulated, immemorial, unalterable countries, which even in these
modern days still preserve much of the ghostly aboriginalness of earth's primal
generations, when the memory of the first man was a distinct recollection, and
all men his descendants, unknowing whence he came, eyed each other as real
phantoms, and asked of the sun and the moon why they were created and to what
endÉ
Just as Queequeg revealed
his relation to the original wholeness of the Primordial Self by his square tattoos
and his mark, a Maltese cross, so FedallahÕs similar meaning is indicated by
his being associated with the Ôprimal generationsÕ and with the
Ôfirst-manÕ. The image of the
primal man, the Anthropos, has been extensively described by Jung. It is a symbol of the Self, the
integrated whole person. Totality
and the union of opposites is also implied by FedallahÕs clothes, which combine
the opposite colors [or non-colors] black and white. Queequeg and Fedallah, being
part-personalities rooted in the unconscious, both carry intimations of the
primal wholeness. They are the
shadows respectively of Ishmael and Ahab.
This is specifically stated at one point:
And Ahab chanced so to
stand, that the Parsee occupied his shadow; while, if the ParseeÕs shadow was
there at all it seemed only to blend with, and lengthen AhabÕs.
Having noted the
correspondences between Queequeg and Fedallah, we must also mention the
differences. In a sense, they are a
pair of opposites paralleling the opposite natures of their corresponding
partners, Ishmael and Ahab.
Queequeg is largely a positive figure, embodying strengths and
fortitudes that complement the weakness of Ishmael. He represents the noble savage. Fedallah, on the other hand, is the
diabolical savage. He conveys a
sense of darkness and evil. He does
not complement AhabÕs conscious sense of heroic strength by weakness the way
QueequegÕs strength complements IshmaelÕs weakness. (That particular shadow function is
reserved by Pip [the tiny half-mad black cabin boy]. However, FedallahÕs evident moral
inferiority does compensate AhabÕs conscious sense of nobility, just as
QueequegÕs nobility compensates IshmaelÕs ignoble escapism.
With the voyage well under way, we
have, then, a pair of mutual assistance pacts, together making a
quaternity. Ishmael is bound to
Queequeg in mutual love; and Ahab is bound to Fedallah in their mutual quest
for vengeance.
Edinger
identifies the number 4 with the four psychic functions of human
consciousness. The two primary
modes of perception, which are validated by causality and rational, scientific
thinking: (1) thinking; and (2) intution; and the two modes which have been
devalued, or invalidated, by empirical reasoning: (3) sensation; and (4)
feeling.
Edinger suggests
that these four psychic functions are embodied in Ahab and his officers on the
Pequod: Ahab, the captain, represents the dominant function: Thinking. First Mate Starbuck represents the
auxiliary function: Intuition.
Stubb is third in command, the Second Mate, and represents the Sensation
function. Flask is the Third Mate;
he represents the Feeling function.
An argument can
be made, also, that these four psychic functions are embodied in our four
emblems of totality, our earthly cross of axes: Ahab-Fedallah; Ishmael-Queequeg.
The human being
who is able to manifest this quaternity, to discover in himself all four
psychic functions, assigning none to the habitat of a psychic shadow-land down
under, exhibits wholeness. Ahab is
not interested in wholeness, however.
He is not interested in well-adjusted, mundane existence. This is shown by his destruction of the
shipÕs quadrant near the end of the novel, which also represents a kind of
quaterity of presence in the Now.
A ship is largely
blind without a quadrant. By using
a quadrant (the root of which means Ôthe fourth partÕ), measuring the elevation
of the sun, a seaman can determine a shipÕs current placement on the earth,
existing latitude. Ahab dismissed
the usefulness of the quadrant since it can only tell him where he is now, not
where he will be in the future (by implication, that it works only during the
Day, with the Sun, and not during the Night: it has no ÔmetaphysicalÕ vision).
Surprisingly,
Ahab instructs the quadrant (in one of his many mad soliloquies) that manÕs
view was meant to be horizontal (East-West); that if God had expected man to be
proud, gazing into the heavens – i.e., vertically oriented, a climber) --
he would have put manÕs eyes in the top of his head. In this, Ahab is taking a step toward
Ishmael, striking back at science, striking out at the limits and the isolation
of the inflated king, the king who has climbed the Tree of Knowledge in Eden
and who surely, one day, must fall back toward the earth.
Then Ahab smashes
the quadrant on the shipÕs deck, essentially choosing to be lost in the
heavens, rather than to be ÔknownÕ on earth. Ahab knows he is not coming back.
Foolish
toy! babies' plaything of haughty
Admirals, and Commodores, and Captains; the world brags of thee, of thy cunning
and might; but what after all canst thou do, but tell the poor, pitiful point,
where thou thyself happenest to be on this wide planet, and the hand that holds
thee: no! not one jot more! Thou canst not tell where one drop of
water or one grain of sand will be to-morrow noon; and yet with thy impotence
thou insultest the sun!
Science! Curse thee, thou
vain toy; and cursed be all the things that cast man's eyes aloft to that
heaven, whose live vividness but scorches him, as these old eyes are even now
scorched with thy light, O sun!
Level by nature to this earth's horizon are the glances of man's eyes;
not shot from the crown of his head, as if God had meant him to gaze on his
firmament. Curse thee, thou
quadrant! dashing it to the deck,
no longer will I guide my earthly way by thee; the level ship's compass, and
the level dead-reckoning, by log and by line; these shall conduct me, and show
me my place on the sea. Aye,
lighting from the boat to the deck, thus I trample on thee, thou paltry thing that
feebly pointest on high; thus I split and destroy thee!
Ahab consults Fedallah (AhabÕs
predeterministic prophet) as to the parameters of AhabÕs own fate. Fedallah promises Ahab success in his
quest – and this can be read as a prophecy for America (Ôthe sound like
the moaning in squadrons over [Lake] Asphaltites of unforgiven ghosts of
GomorrahÕ):
These last
three [dead whales] were brought alongside ere nightfall; but the windward one could
not be reached till morning; and the boat that had killed it lay by its side
all night; and that boat was Ahab's.
The waif-pole was thrust upright into the dead whale's spout-hole; and
the lantern hanging from its top,
cast a troubled flickering glare upon the black, glossy back, and far out upon
the midnight waves, which gently chafed the whale's broad flank, like soft surf
upon a beach.
Ahab and all his boat's crew
seemed asleep but the Parsee [Fedallah]; who crouching in the bow, sat watching
the sharks, that spectrally played round the whale, and tapped the light cedar
planks with their tails. A sound
like the moaning in squadrons over Asphaltites of unforgiven ghosts of
Gomorrah, ran shuddering through the air.
Started from his slumbers, Ahab,
face to face, saw the Parsee; and hooped round by the gloom of the night they
seemed the last men in a flooded world.
I have dreamed it again, said he.
Of the hearses?
Have I not said, old man,
that neither hearse nor coffin can be thine?
And who are hearsed that die
on the sea?
But I said, old man, that ere
thou couldst die on this voyage, two hearses must verily be seen by thee on the
sea; the first not made by mortal hands; and the visible wood of the last one
must be grown in America.
Aye, aye! a strange sight that, Parsee: -- a
hearse and its plumes floating over the ocean with the waves for the
pall-bearers. Ha! Such a sight we shall not soon see.
Believe it or not, thou canst
not die till it be seen, old man.
And what was that saying about thyself? Though it come to the last, I shall
still go before thee thy pilot.
And when thou art so gone
before --if that ever befall -- then ere I can follow, thou must still appear
to me, to pilot me still? --Was it
not so?
Well, then,
did I believe all ye say, oh my pilot!
I have here two pledges that I shall yet slay Moby Dick and survive
it.
Take another pledge, old man,
said the Parsee, as his eyes lighted up like fire-flies in the gloom, -- Hemp
only can kill thee.
The gallows, ye mean. --I am
immortal then, on land and on sea, cried Ahab, with a laugh of derision; --
Immortal on land and on sea!
Both were silent again, as one man. The grey dawn came on, and the
slumbering crew arose from the boat's bottom, and ere noon the dead whale was
brought to the ship.
Fedallah,
as Ahab admits, is AhabÕs ÔpilotÕ, his leader – is the daemon driving
AhabÕs soul. Ahab is the captain,
the pilot, of the Pequod – however Fedallah is the Ôcaptain of AhabÕs
soulÕ.
What is AhabÕs
fate? What is FedallahÕs fate? The fates of each are fused.
Ahab
pilots the Pequod to the Ôvery latitude and longitudeÕ (the cross) at the
equator at which point he first saw, and battled Moby-Dick and lost his leg to
the monster. Sighting the whale,
the crew of the Pequod undertakes the fighting of the Great Whale, which
fighting continues for three days.
On the first day of the fighting, Moby-Dick attackÕs AhabÕs harpoon boat
and destroys it. On the second day,
the harpoon boats are again lowered; Ahab wounds the Great Whale; but the whale
again attacks AhabÕs harpoon boat.
Fedallah is trapped in the harpoon line, and is dragged overboard to his
death in the deep.
Lashed
round and round to the fish's back; pinioned in the turns upon turns in which,
during the past night, the whale had reeled the involutions of the lines around
him, the half torn body of the Parsee was seen; his sable raiment frayed to
shreds; his distended eyes turned full upon old Ahab. The harpoon dropped from his hand. Befooled, befooled! --drawing in a long
lean breath -- Aye, Parsee! I see
thee again. --Aye, and thou goest before; and this, this then, is the hearse
that thou didst promise. But I hold
thee to the last letter of thy word.
Where is the second hearse?
Away, mates, to the ship!
those boats are useless now; repair them if ye can in time, and return
to me; if not, Ahab is enough to die --Down, men! the first thing that but offers to jump
from this boat I stand in, that thing I harpoon.
Moby-Dick,
the Great White Whale, is the first hearse, the only not built by mortal
hands. This shall be AhabÕs hearse
also, as he joins Fedallah the next day, carried by the whale into the deepest
part of the sea. The whaling ship
Pequod shall be the second hearse, built of American wood. And the hemp that kills Ahab shall be
neither hashish nor the hangmanÕs cord, but the harpoon rope attached to
Moby-Dick which catches Ahab about the neck and pulls him underwater, to a
death similar to Fedallah, coiled about the body of the whale.
On the third day
of battle (the biblical symbolism of Ôthree daysÕ echoes throughout the Old and
New Testaments), Ahab and his crew again battle the Great Whale. Moby-Dick, wounded, turns and attacks
the Pequod, staving in the huge whaling ship,sinking the Pequod in a massive
whirlpool, scattering crewman down into the sea.
In unrelentingly
beautiful writing, Melville describes the scene:
From the
ship's bows, nearly all the seamen now hung inactive; hammers, bits of plank,
lances, and harpoons, mechanically retained in their hands, just as they had
darted from their various employments; all their enchanted eyes intent upon the
whale, which from side to side strangely vibrating his predestinating head,
sent a broad band of overspreading semicircular foam before him as he
rushed.
Retribution,
swift vengeance, eternal malice were in his whole aspect, and spite of all
that
mortal man could do, the solid white buttress of his forehead smote the ship's
starboard bow, till men and timbers reeled. Some fell flat upon their faces. Like dislodged trucks, the heads of the
harpooneers aloft shook on their bull-like necks. Through the breach, they heard the
waters pour, as mountain torrents down a flume.
The ship! The hearse! --the second hearse! cried Ahab from the boat; its wood could
only be American!
Diving beneath
the settling ship, the whale ran quivering along its keel; but turning under
water, swiftly shot to the surface again, far off the other bow, but within a
few yards of Ahab's boat, where, for a time, he lay quiescent. I turn my body from the sun. What ho, Tashtego! Let me hear thy hammer. Oh!
ye three unsurrendered spires of mine; thou uncracked keel; and only
god-bullied hull; thou firm deck, and haughty helm, and Pole-pointed prow,
--death-glorious ship! must ye then
perish, and without me? Am I cut
off from the last fond pride of meanest shipwrecked captains? Oh, lonely death on lonely life! Oh, now I feel my topmost greatness lies
in my topmost grief. Ho, ho! from all your furthest bounds, pour ye
now in, ye bold billows of my whole foregone life, and top this one piled
comber of my death!
Towards thee I
roll, thou all-destroying but unconquering whale; to the last I grapple with
thee; from hell's heart I stab at thee; for hate's sake I spit my last breath
at thee. Sink all coffins and all
hearses to one common pool! and
since neither can be mine, let me then tow to pieces, while still chasing thee,
though tied to thee, thou damned whale!
Thus, I give up the spear!
The harpoon was darted; the stricken whale flew forward; with
igniting
velocity the line ran through the groove; --ran foul. Ahab stooped to clear it; he did clear
it; but the flying turn caught him round the neck, and voicelessly as Turkish mutes
bowstring their victim, he was shot out of the boat, ere the crew knew he was
gone. Next instant, the heavy
eye-splice in the rope's final end flew out of the stark-empty tub, knocked
down an oarsman, and smiting the sea, disappeared in its depths. For an instant,
the
tranced boat's crew stood still; then turned. The ship? Great God, where is the ship? Soon they through dim, bewildering
mediums saw her sidelong fading phantom, as in the gaseous Fata Morgana; only
the uppermost masts out of water; while fixed by infatuation, or fidelity, or
fate, to their once lofty perches, the pagan harpooneers still maintained their
sinking lookouts on the sea.
And now,
concentric circles seized the lone boat itself, and all its crew, and each
floating oar, and every lance-pole, and spinning, animate and inanimate, all
round and round in one vortex, carried the smallest chip of the Pequod out of
sight. But as the last whelmings
intermixingly poured themselves over the sunken head of the Indian at the
mainmast, leaving a few inches of the erect spar yet visible, together with
long streaming yards of the flag, which calmly undulated, with ironical
coincidings, over the destroying billows they almost touched; --at that
instant, a red arm and a hammer hovered backwardly uplifted in the open air, in
the act of nailing the flag faster
and yet faster to the subsiding spar.
A sky-hawk that tauntingly had followed the main-truck downwards from
its natural home among the stars, pecking at the flag, and incommoding Tashtego
there; this bird now chanced to intercept its broad fluttering wing between the
hammer and the wood; and simultaneously feeling that etherial thrill, the
submerged savage beneath, in his death-gasp, kept his hammer frozen there; and
so the bird of heaven, with archangelic shrieks, and his imperial beak thrust
upwards, and his whole captive form folded in the flag of Ahab, went down with
his ship, which, like Satan, would not sink to hell till she had dragged a
living part of heaven along with her, and helmeted herself with it. Now small fowls flew screaming over the
yet yawning gulf; a sullen white surf beat against its steep sides; then all
collapsed, and the great shroud of the sea rolled on as it rolled five thousand
years ago.
The rough,
theological North-South alliance/opposition leads to death and sinks both the
substance and its shadow into the deep waters of the Flood. The Sun-Hero goes down with the boat and
begins a protracted journey through through the underworld which is represented
in the Solar Hero myths of all ancient cultures.
In a very real
sense, Ahab becomes Ishmael, Ishmael becomes Fedallah, Fedallah becomes
Queequeg, and Queequeg becomes Ahab, as the wheel keeps turning, and Time keeps
creating manifestations in line with the Law of Time.
What
becomes of the East-West alliance/opposition, the humanistic duality of
Ishmael/Queequeg?
Queequeg, earlier
on the journey, certain of his own death, requests his coffin be prepared (a
third hearse of sorts). When he
recovers, he turns the coffin into his bed, carving primordial hieroglyphics
into the wood of the casket as talismans similar to the tattoos Queequeg bears
on his skin. Later, when the shipÕs
standard-buoy is lost, QueequegÕs coffin is caulked and sealed with pitch to
ensure it will float, and is used as a substitute for the shipÕs standard-buoy.
When Moby-Dick
rams the Pequod, ship-mates are scattered overboard, all about the sea; they
are all drawn into the PequodÕs spiral death-dance as the ship sinks out of
sight pulling everything and everyone below in the whirlpool. Everyone but Ishmael. Alone among all the crew, Ishmael is
thrown far from the Pequod, avoiding the grave concave centripetal pull of the
dying ship as it goes under.
As the ship sinks
to its southern limits, and all the men of the Pequod with her, QueequegÕs
re-finished coffin (with its magical carved incantations), breaks free of its
tether and pops again to the surface of the sea. Ishmael climbs aboard the coffin and
floats atop the life-buoy, saved by QueequegÕs coffin, upon which he is
discovered a day later by the whaling boat The
Rachel.
According
to Edinger, the Rachel connects to
the biblical passage Jeremiah 31,
promising the Jews a return from exile:
15 Thus says the Lord:
ÒA voice is
heard in Ramah,
lamentation
and bitter weeping.
Rachel is
weeping for her children;
she
refuses to be comforted for her children,
because
they are no more.Ó
16 Thus says the Lord:
ÒKeep your
voice from weeping,
and your
eyes from tears,
for there
is a reward for your work,
Ó
declares
the Lord,
Òand they
shall come back from the land of the enemy.
17 There is hope for your future,
Ó
declares
the Lord,
Òand your
children shall come back to their own country.Ó
Jeremiah 31 also contains GodÕs promise of a
Ônew covenantÕ, a new ÔchosenÕ status, and a new Day-Cycle expansion.
31 ÒBehold, the days are coming,
declares the Lord, when I will make a new covenant with the house of Israel and
the house of Judah, 32 not like
the covenant that I made with their fathers on the day when I took them by the
hand to bring them out of the land of Egypt, my covenant that they broke,
though I was their husband, declares the Lord. 33 But this is the covenant that I will make with the
house of Israel after those days, declares the Lord: I will put my law within
them, and I will write it on their hearts. And I will be their God, and they
shall be my people. 34 And no
longer shall each one teach his neighbor and each his brother, saying, ÔKnow
the Lord,Õ for they shall all know me, from the least of them to the greatest,
declares the Lord. For I will forgive their iniquity, and I will remember their
sin no more.Ó
Implicit
in surviving the Great Flood (the great catastrophe or World Destruction) is a
status of being ÔchosenÕ by God for this New Covenant – as the New Sun
replacing the Old Sun and casting Darkness back down into the pit or into the
ocean. It is interesting that
Ishmael, the primary narrator of Moby-Dick,
is the only person to survive this specific Holocaust. As the primary narrator, he is the
story-teller; and the story-teller is the writer, the heavenly scribe, who must
live so that the story gets told.
We will
remember that Ishmael, in our gallery of types, corresponds to the Romantic
Artist, the Medieval Autumnal Artist, who turns his back on civilization and
returns to nature, returns to the abyss, returns to Death and survives to be
re-born again, not as himself, but as the Renaissance Artist, the one who
believes in life, light, reason and community.
CHAPTER EIGHT.
TIME CYCLES IN AMERICAN HISTORY
(Making Sense of the Senseless – The Logic of the Irrational Time
Cycle)
Readers
may wonder why such a long digression into the symbolic intricacies of Moby-Dick (an opaque jeremiad as it is) is
necessary to consider AmericaÕs current financial disorders. Be reminded that we are looking at the real cause of this world-destruction
– and by real I mean the
underlying metaphysical causes -- a
task which, by definition, excludes surface conditions as being anything more
than a chain of effects generated by the Law itself. Moby-Dick
is a novel about the Laws of Nature – about both the Laws of NatureÕs
Body and the Laws of NatureÕs Mind.
That is why we look at reality through this metaphorical lens.
It is my belief,
also, that the American Ship of State, analogically the Pequod, has just been
struck by the whale we have been stalking for several decades (or perhaps, on a
larger scale, describing Western Civilization, several millennia). The whale has turned on us, has staved
in our hull; and our survival as a nation is now being threatened. Learning to speak the symbolic language
(in which scriptural texts, and all serious literature, like Moby-Dick, are written) will help us to survive
this coming catastrophe.
Ishmael had a
natural virtue that protected him.
Ishmael had a powerful Guardian Angel protecting him. America must also find her own natural
virtue and her own Guardian Angel to protect her from the holocaust we are currently
entering.
In our
model of history, which has much is common with and owes recognition to the
views of Giambattista Vico, the 18th Century romantic critic of pure
reason and re-discoverer of antique wisdom, speaks of the birth of an idea
coming in the Winter, in the form of an animating theological idea.
If we look at
American history, excluding for the moment the long history of tribal America
and its tribal native inhabitants – we will not exclude the Indian
history from our picture however, for the tribal history, whether it be the
tribal Goths or the tribal Hopi or tribal Shoshoni or tribal Romans lays a bed
in which the spiritual seeds reside, germinate, and finally take root when
awakened – we see the (transplanted) Puritan Theological State in America
taking root from 1492 until the dynamics of the American revolution shook the
state loose from its theological root and separated church and state
dramatically.
From the Puritan
roots evolve the aristocratic Renaissance Men of the Revolution, Jefferson,
Franklin, Washington, Hamilton. In
a very broad sense we have two pieces of our ÔAmerican microcosmÕ puzzle in
place. The tyrant part of the
puzzle (the Ahab at Noon, the All-Powerful Father Figure) is harder to place,
with its non-mystical rational religion and the triumph of business and the
material god. The Romantic Autumn
is rather clear: there have been several of these. Clearly, the Melville era – the
1830Õs -- with romantic writers such as Henri David Thoreau, Nathaniel
Hawthorne, Walt Whitman, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Edgar Allen Poe, and Emily
Dickinson marks a romantic turning away from Calvinistic materialism which had
dominated America for the first half of her existence.
Ann Woodlief
writes in American Romanticism:
Politically
the time was ripe. The 18th century left a heritage of optimism about man's
possibilities and perfectability. The lofty ideals of democracy asserted the
value of individuals, regardless of class, and education. Of course, these
values primarily applied to white males. In fact, tensions were building which
cried out for creative release. Inequality, not equality, was the rule for
many, especially women and slaves. The clash of these realities with the
idealistic rhetoric led writers to take extremes, championing individualism yet
also seeing the darker sides of a fragmenting society.
Economically
America had never been wealthier. But the rising materialism and focus on
business at the cost of the mind and the spirit was spawning reform movements
all over America. Over 150 intentional communities -- from the Shakers to
Oneida to Brook Farm -- were formed by people disillusioned by the
materialistic values and inequities of American society.
Yet there was
enough affluence for people to develop and appreciate writing and reading, and
a growing leisure class with cultural pretensions. There was one period of
crisis -- the Panic of 1837 -- but that only increased the drive toward
material values.
Religion, always
a basic concern for Americans, was also ready for romanticism and its kind of
pantheistic religion. The stern dogmas of Calvinism had been replaced by
rationalistic Unitarianism and Deism. However, they were so rational and so
determined to avoid the emotional excesses of the Great Awakening that they
seemed dry and cold, unable to satisfy deep spiritual yearnings. People,
especially Emerson, were looking for new spiritual roots, personally involving
and meaningful, but not traditional.
Connected to this
was the rise and professionalization of science, which seemed to many to
conflict with religion. Many felt a psychic dislocation, that the bottom had
dropped out of their world since traditional values and conventional reality
were just not enough for them. They tried to impose meaning individually, for
institutions and dogmas seemed to possess little truth. Philosophically, they
reacted against the materialistic educational theories of Locke and
rationalism. They found Truth more a matter of intuition and imagination than
logic and reason. They rejected the mechanistic view of the universe so dear to
Franklin and Deists and opted for a more organic view, seeing the world more as
dynamic and living.
Aesthetically,
the romantics were also in a state of revolt, primarily against the restraints
of classicism and formalism. Form, particularly traditional literary forms,
mattered much less than inspiration, enthusiasm, and emotion. Good literature
should have heart, not rules, although it is never so simple as that.
There were
specifically American components to the romanticism of our authors. They were
particularly aware of nature, especially its wild aspects, and were beginning
to comprehend that it was being lost as fast as they were appreciating it. The
physical frontiers were being conquered in this time of "manifest
destiny" and there was little wilderness to explore (and exploit). They
turned to artistic, metaphysical, and intellectual frontiers to recapture the
ecstasy of exploration and discovery.
Reaction was a
major, but not the only, mode for these romantics. They confronted the
distinctively American pressures for conformity and definitions of success in
terms of money. They spoke out, to some degree, against slavery, promoting the
ideals of Jacksonian democracy, that "any man can do anything" (if
he's white and educated). They sought to creative a distinctive American
literary voice; it was time for the cultural revolution to follow the political
one. They felt compelled to declare cultural and individual independence from
Europe, even though they had little idea of what form that could take.
This could as well be describing
the 1960Õs in America as the 1830Õs.
Of course, the 1960Õs represented another Autumn in AmericaÕs cyclic
manifestation. Hippies, with their loud
colors and loud music and loud politics, were the colorful leaves falling from
AmericaÕs Tree of Life. Intentional
communities – hippie communes – dotted the American landscape (and
spread all over the world, in fact).
The Artist, as a type of American Hero, replaced the
Businessman/Entrepreneur, who had replaced the Warrior. Inequality was no longer
acceptable. The Soul joined the
dark races and women in an act of moral solidarity. Communism rose up as a force of order
antagonistic to ÔselfishÕ capitalism.
Some historians,
including Woodlief herself, speak of the terms ÔrenaissanceÕ and ÔromanticismÕ
interchangeably. From my view, of
course, this is not accurate. The
ÔrenaissanceÕ moves away from Nature, away from mystical Religion, toward reason
and empire and materialism, with its concurrent blessing by a rationalist
Religion – embracing the pure, unsullied, perfected forms of
classicism. ÔRomanticismÕ moves
away from Empire, away from materialism, and toward Nature, the wisdom of
antiquity, embracing ÔnativismÕ (and nativity)
and rejecting classicism (universalist idealism) in favor of nationalism, a
form of localism.
In modern
political terms, the ÔrenaissanceÕ moves toward fascism and the racism of white
over black; ÔromanticismÕ moves away from fascism, moves toward democracy,
communism, and toward the integration (interweaving) of white and black, light
and dark. The ÔrenaissanceÕ leads
to the separation of men and women in society, white and black in the world;
ÔromanticismÕ leads, eventually, to the mystic marriage (re-marriage) of light
and darkness, man and woman, in the deep part of the Night.
One can speak of ÔromanticismÕ as a period
of Ôcultural re-birthÕ, for the artist, as an archetype, is very important in
both the manifestation of the Dawn (the renaissance, the creation of the
culture as civilization) and the Dusk (romanticism, the creation of
counter-culture as anti-civilization).
In one sense, the Renaissance Hero seeks to re-create classical, foreign
high Apollonian culture, while the Romantic Hero rebels against the classical
and seeks to (re-) create a nationalist, nativist, locally-organic Dionysian
counter-culture.
Few
counter-cultures in recent history have expressed the ÔDionysian cultureÕ with
such adamantine vigor as the 1960Õs counter-culture. We will remember that Dionysus (as
Bacchus) was the god of wine, the god of revelry and intoxication (as opposed
to the god of sobriety, represented by Apollo), the god of orgies, the god of
free love, the god of drugs, the god of romance, the god of rebellion against
the established order. Sex, drugs
and rock and roll. Anti-war. Anti-material. Anti-urban. Sense over abstract description of the
senses. Naturalness; as opposed to
the artificial quality of the urban civilization. The hippie counter-culture of the 1960Õs
was the perfect manifestation of Dionysian spirit.
There was a
similar romanticism that occurred in the 1930Õs, on the heels of the last major
international deflation. Marxism
became the official rebellion of the intellectual class during that phase of
romanticism. That is,
the soul chose to side with the poor, after the body-soul relationship had
ended so badly with the international financial collapse in 1929.
During the
Renaissance (the Dawn), the Son sides with the Father (and becomes the Father)
becoming the Word Made Flesh, expanding Light and Life and Wealth and Masculine
Power, describing only the virtues of the world, expressing a Unity with the
Father that makes Him/Them (and his society) all-powerful, and
irresistible. During the Romantic
Fall (the Dusk), the Son turns against the Father, becomes a rebellious angel,
condemns the rich, champions the poor, pulls the Sky down (metaphorically),
describing only the evils of the world, becomes a revolutionary.
During the
Renaissance, the Hero eats from the Tree of Life. Life allows a certain moral paradox, a
duality of character. One is both
good and evil, because Life demands this.
During the
Romantic Autumn, the Anti-Hero eats from the Tree of Knowledge of Good and
Evil. He condemns his father,
condemns himself, condemns his society, since he now confronts the shadow side
of the incarnation, the roots of the Tree of Life he finds beneath the Earth,
the roots of the Tree of Life being, themselves, the limbs of the Tree of
Knowledge, that have been reflected into the underworld.
1929 Night
Cycle Ego-Deflation begins –
1947
Day Cycle Ego-Inflation begins --
1965 Night
Cycle Ego-Deflation begins –
1983
Day Cycle Ego-Inflation begins --
2001 Night
Cycle Ego-Deflation begins –
2019
Day Cycle Ego-Inflation begins –
So, we
have periods of Romantic Ego Deflation (emanations of the anti-hero) in the
1930Õs, the 1960Õs, and we have intimations of a similar Romantic Ego Deflation
occurring with the election of Barak Obama in 2008.
We know that we
had a very clear inflation of Ego (manifestation of the Cowboy Masculinity) in
1982, with the election of Ronald Reagan.
Did we have a similar manifestation of Cowboy Masculinity in 1947? This is not clear to me. We did have a re-polarization of East
and West, Capitalist and Communist after World War II, as the Cold War was
kicked into high gear, after a period of East-West alliance during World War
II.
In fact, a
similar ÔfriendlinessÕ between Western intellectuals (counter-culturists) and
the East (communism, first, and Eastern mysticism, next) occurred in both the
1930Õs-40Õs and in the 1960Õs-70Õs.
My prediction is that we will see a similar re-connection between East
and West as we sink more deeply into the current economic catastrophe that too
much capitalism has brought on.
The 1920Õs and
30Õs saw another explosion of artistic production in the world and in
America. Some of AmericaÕs greatest
writers appeared on the scene: Sinclair Lewis, Edith Wharton, F. Scott
Fitzgerald, Ezra Pound, T.S. Elliot, Ezra Pound, Eugene OÕNeill, Robert Frost,
John Dos Passos, Sherwood Anderson, Ernest Hemmingway, Willa Cather, Theodore
Dreiser, Gertrude Stein, Hart Crane, Langston Hughes, Edna Ferber, Kathrine
Anne Porter, Nelia Larsen, Countee Cullen.
The novel reached its apex as an art-form, in the experimental works of
genius produced by James Joyce, Thomas Mann, Marcel Proust, William Faulkner, and
D. H. Lawrence.
The 1960Õs saw a
similar regeneration of artistic experimentation and flowering in literature
(Joseph Heller, J.D. Salinger, Thomas Pynchon, and many others), the plastic
arts, cinema and especially music – rock music, which spawned a
revolution in thinking that spread like a wild fire across the globe. Music became a kind of literary
act. Music and poetry were
married. Rock albums became
conceptual novels, with sustained narrative dramatic themes containing messages
of morality, political rebellion, spirituality, messages that transcended race
and culture.
A similar
fertilization of art will also occur over the next generation, if my
calculations are correct. Art as a
device for entertainment characterizes the Ego-Expansion phase; and especially
art as a device for the generation of wealth. Art as a commodity. There is no real meaning to the art
during these phases. The art is
essentially throw-away art. The art
generated in America since the advent of Ronald Reagan in 1982 has been largely
throw-away art. Art has become a
profession. There is not really
much difference between artists and insurance salesmen. Each is Ôin itÕ for the profit –
and meaning is really an unnecessary (or even a problematic) element in this
life procedure. The artist needs
money for his family; so does the insurance salesman. That is the Tree of Life, watered by
surface needs. The Daylight grows a
weaker and weaker shadow; and, hidden in the shadow, is the meaning of the
act. There is no polarization
between Soul and body during the Daylight.
Without polarization, meaning disappears.
During the
Daylight, society is one big corporation, all working for the same ends, all
parties part of the team. Life is a
kind of sport. The strongest body,
the strongest will, wins the prize.
And the losers should not complain.
But as the shadow
grows, animating the Romantic Anti-Hero, art becomes filled with meaning. Polarization between the Corporation
(the Body) and the Soul and Spirit sends the society into the Chaos of
disunity. Materialism becomes a
problem. The life of the Body is no
longer trusted. There is some other
dimension that is illuminated.
Morality appears. The
society meets its better angels and the angels are angry about what has been
done in their name. This is the Law
of Karma.
Since the
Sun-Hero (the masculine Cowboy energy of expansion) is killed or wounded by the
darkness at the apex of its climb into heaven, we should expect to see some
form of symbolic death or wounding occur at or near the beginning of each
Ego-Deflation period.
We do see this in
2001, with the Muslim attack on America on September 11, 2001. The destruction of the Twin Towers was
clearly a wounding of the masculine spirit in America, the energy of business,
expansion, internationalism, construction/erection and the propagation of a
single language, and a universal Earth culture. This attack was a knife in the bubble,
in fact; air began seeping from the American (and Western) derigible, a loss of
momentum that inflated monetary supply did not cure but only made worse.
It is interesting
to note that the first Muslim attack on the Twin Towers (1993) – an
attack by Earth, by Ground, car bombs set off in the basement parking structure
– did not work, because the Day-Cycle was in full force – 1992
being the Dawn of the Day-Cycle – the Night-Cycle forces being too weak
to effect a disaster. I will show
diagrams illustrating the transition of primary elements from Eartth to Air
occurring in 1992 and from Air to Fire in 2001. In 1993 it was not time yet for the
force of Night-Cycle destruction to successfully destroy the Twin Towers, the
symbol of Global Material Expansion.
Of course, in
2001, Air and Fire met graphically in the Twin Tower destruction. The Night-Cycle was announcing its
presence once again.
The tower
is a very graphic phallic symbol; and we will remember that castration is an
image of the mythological wounding of the masculine Sun-Hero. In Greek myth, Castor and Pollux were
the Light and Dark Brothers – the Gemini Twins. Pollux was immortal (the Darkness is not
born and does not die); but Castor had to die. Castor shares the root with the word
ÔcastrationÕ – the act of ÔcastrationÕ in the context we are using it may
be an actual assassination or it may be merely increased regulation of the
business class after it engineers its own destruction by (ÔbullishlyÕ) running
amok in the financial china closet.
Regulation is a form of (Ôsnip-snipÕ) the female force working to take
away some of the wildness and risk and unpredictability of the masculine
bull. Taxes are a form of
castration. Also, a cut in military
is a form of castration.
Was there a
Sun-Hero murdered or wounded in America in or around 1965? Yes. Clearly John F. Kennedy was a Sun-Hero,
cut down in his prime: the beautiful Sun God, destroyed by his own shadow. Kennedy was very clearly assassinated by
the CIA or some shadow form of a domestic intelligence group, perhaps with the
assistance of the mafia, both of which wanted Cuba back from the communists for
further American business exploitation.
Who was the
Sun-Hero murdered or wounded in the world in or around 1929? This is not clear to me. Perhaps Wall Street was the emblem of
death in 1929: the collapse of Capitalism (the Tree of Life) under the weight
of greed and selfish corporate and personal opportunism.
The Seventh Day
of Creation again: when everything stops.
When the world ends and sinks out of sight. Something falls, even if we cannot hear
it clearly.
I
mentioned the Romanticism of Melville, Whitman, Emerson, Thoreau in the
1830Õs. To fit our picture, the
Romanticism would have to be gauged a little earlier than 1830. However, in the example below, 1803
marks the Midnight Hour, as the New Idea of Manifestation and Will is born in
the soil of the Mother Principle, at the darkest hour, with Physical Light and
hope almost nonexistent (which corresponds, of course, to the period of rule of
Jimmy Carter, 1977 – 1981 – in our most recent Midnight
Experience. Jimmy Carter represents
the saintly side of the American soul. He is not worldly – he is moral,
inwardly directed, educated, noble, gentle, concerned with the saving of the
American soul, a friend to women, blacks, the poor, the underprivileged.)
The Sun defeats
the Darkness in 1811. The Sun peaks
and begins its decline in 1821 – but the Sun is not truly overthrown
until 1830. In 1830, the Romantic
Angel wins and essentially rules until 1848. The Angel of Light then rules, first as
the Son, from 1857, and then as the Father who falls, from 1866.
1803
Day Cycle Ego-Inflation begins --
1821
Night Cycle Ego-Deflation begins –
1839
Day Cycle Ego-Inflation begins –
A way of
looking at this same information in a slightly different way, would be:
Midnight 1803
Dawn 1812
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
Dawn 1848
Noon 1857
Dusk 1866
Midnight 1875
As a
reminder, we would expect to see a significant increase in manifest masculine
power (business strength, reproduction strength – more births per capita
– and foreign military intrigue) from, in the above example, 1803 through
1821. Of course, we see exactly
that in the Monroe Doctrine (1823, a bit later than we would have expected
vis-ˆ-vis our time cycle schedule) which essentially threatened war with an European
or foreign nation attempting to colonize or threaten any state or area of
continental America. The Monroe
Doctrine was a secondary declaration of independence, and a precursor of the
doctrine of Manifest Destiny that surfaced in the early 1840s.
We would expect
to see an economic downturn beginning around 1821, with more civil and social
unrest, a growth in feminist and underclass consciousness – perhaps in
this case exemplified by more sympathy with the plight of the American Indian
– and a higher death rate – from 1821 through 1839.
The storms come
(the wind begins to blow, bringing storms and combat between the Light and the
Dark) at Dawn and at Dusk. So we
should expect wars and/or civil wars at 1812, 1830, 1848, 1866.
We should expect
arrogance and economic depression at 1821 and 1857.
We should expect
introspection, an otherworldly sense of detachment at 1803, 1839 and 1875.
Does the
year 1803 really represent the Midnight
of this cycle of American history?
Thomas Jefferson is elected president in 1800. Jefferson is an educated southern
aristocrat, a farmer, a gentleman, a friend of the poor, a man with a rich
interior life, uninterested in worldly political entanglements. A democratic Republican (the Democrats
of this era) who virulently opposed the Federalists (the Republicans of this
era) and their schemes for a National Bank, for government of, by and for the
Business Class, by bankers, and by a European-looking East Coats (urban) monied
aristocracy. Jefferson is a
prototype for Jimmy Carter, a man who described himself as a ÔWashington
outsiderÕ, a man suspicious of the power establishment and the centralized
power of the imperial presidency in Washington. Carter later described Jefferson in his
memoirs as Ôa great humanitarian who love the common peopleÕ. The same could be said of Carter. It could not be said of Ronald Reagan or
George Bush Senior however.
Did
ÔEgo-ExpansionÕ begin in 1803? Yes,
in a manner of speaking. In May of
1803, Jefferson purchased the Louisiana Territory from the French (we will
remember that Jefferson trusted the French more than he trusted the British;
the Federalists trusted the British, some even wanting a king in American, and
did not trust the French, the breeding ground of mob democracy and revolution)
for ÔinwardÕ expansion. One need
not look back too many years to see a similar virulent alliance/oppositon
between Republicans-England against Democrats-French. During the Iraq War, a vengeful
anti-French atmosphere rose in American, nourished by the Bush Administration
– nourished also by French arrogance and self-satisfied
hyper-nationalism. We will see
quite clearly that the British represent the Male Principle (reason, will,
strength, fire) in the International order; the French represent the Female
Principle (emotion, love, softness, water, fickleness). The Dawn is the force of resurrection (a
rose erection – that is, a hard, disciplined, fertilizing penis); the
Dusk force has less interest in raping the world, and has more interest in finding
completion through a resolved emotional wholeness, to overcome a recent
fragmented condition – the woman represents home and hope to him at this
stage, rather than a something above which he must stand.
The Dawn
and Dusk, as I have written, usually represent conflict, the Dawn a triumph of the
manifest destiny of business expansion and the Dusk, quite often, social and
civil strife, with emphasis on fairness, equality, and help for poor
citizens. The Dawn loves power and
wealth; all citizens, given the rife optimism, begin to imagine themselves
either directly or indirectly potential royalty, potential millionaires and
aristocrats. The Dusk hates the
rich, hates the aristocracy, hates privilege, hates injustice, hates
realization of their own failure, fears for its own survival (Death is heavy in
the air), and seeks a social system which offers aid to those who have fallen.
1812 should be a
time of a revolution against an outside power, similar to 1776, the revolution
for independence against British Imperialism in America. And it was. America declared war on England in 1812,
after Great Britain impressed American seamen and blockaded American
ports. Interestingly, the New
England and Mid-Atlantic states did not support the resolution of war in the
Congress, since their cultural and trade ties were more clearly tied with
England than were those of the other regions of America. British troops invaded many American
cities, including Washington D.C., where they set the Congress and the White
House on fire. This war lasted two
years, before the British signed the Treaty of Ghent, ending the second war
between these two nations in less than fifty years.
Do we find an
expansion of the American Empire, business wealth and science, technology and
political will between 1803 and 1821?
And do we find a economic depression around 1821?
1817 is dubbed
the ÔEra of Good FeelingÕ. This is
comparable to the ÔRoaring TwentiesÕ and ÔHappy DecadeÕ of the 1990Õs in
America, before the economy imploded and left millions out of work and with
little hope.
The Panic
of 1819 was, according to historian David Reynolds, Ôthe first great American
depressionÕ. Reynolds writes
in Waking Giant: American in the Age of
Jackson:
All the
way back during the Presidency of James Monroe, American workers got a harsh lesson
in the vicissitudes of capitalism when the economy crashed. The Panic of 1819
initiated the nationÕs first major depression.
As in the case
today, that crash, too, resulted from a confluence of national and
international events. In the heady atmosphere after the War of 1812, both U.S.
imports and exports surged.
This was the
first of several severe downturns that would tarnish AmericaÕs otherwise
vigorous economy throughout the 19th century.
European
demand for American goods, especially agricultural staples like cotton,
tobacco, and flour, increased. To feed the overheated economy, state banks
proliferated, and credit was easy.
The federal
government offered for sale vast tracts of western lands, fueling real estate
speculation funded by bank notes. Reserves of specie, or hard money, plummeted,
especially in the West and the South.
As early as 1814,
Thomas Jefferson warned, ÒWe are to be ruined by paper, as we were formerly by
the old Continental paper.Ó Two years later, he asserted that Òwe are under a
bank bubbleÓ that would soon burst.
The Second Bank
of the United States was supposed to steady the economy, but gross
mismanagement in its early phase sapped its effectiveness.
The bankÕs first
president, William Jones, instead of taking steps to regulate the nationÕs
currency, doled out huge loans that fed speculation and inflation. He also kept
lax watch over state banks, where fraud and embezzlement created chaos.
A congressional
committeeÕs proposal to terminate the nearly insolvent Bank of the United
States had little backing — because 40 members of Congress held stock in
the bank.
The bankÕs
problems arose at precisely the wrong moment, when the economy needed a firm
rudder during its postwar expansion. Jones resigned and was replaced by the
South Carolina congressman Langdon Chews — and later by the Philadelphia
lawyer Nicholas Biddle.
Although the bank
sharply contracted loans in 1818, the damage had been done. The Bank of the
United States, far from helping the economy, was among the destabilizing forces
that led to the depression of 1819.
At the same time,
swelling crop yields in Europe reduced the demand for American farm products,
whose prices plunged. An economic contraction in Europe led banks there to
reduce credit. The crisis abroad, coupled with the contraction at home, forced
American banks to call in their loans as well.
By early 1819,
credit, once so easy, was unavailable to many Americans. With specie reserves
depleted many American banks failed, and other businesses followed. Sales of
public lands plummeted. Unemployment soared, and in some regions food and other
basic necessities were difficult to come by.
Especially hard
hit were cities outside of New England like Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and
Cincinnati. Farmers suffered too, though many survived by resuming a
subsistence lifestyle.
With insolvency
rife, prisons were overcrowded with debtors. The depression lingered for two
years. It was the first of several severe downturns that would tarnish
AmericaÕs otherwise vigorous economy throughout the 19th century.
The Panic of 1819
fostered mistrust of banks, bankers and paper money. The volatile Tennessee
politician Davy Crockett spoke for many when he dismissed Òthe whole banking
systemÓ as nothing more than Òa species of swindling on a large scale.Ó
The aging Thomas
Jefferson complained that the new generation, Òhaving nothing in them of the
feelings or principles of 1776, now look to a single and splendid government of
an aristocracy, founded on banking institutions, and money incorporations...
riding and ruling over the plundered ploughman and beggared yeomanry.Ó
The Second Bank
of the United States was supposed to steady the economy, but gross
mismanagement in its early phase sapped its effectiveness. This mistrust of corporations was
aggravated by landmark decisions handed down in 1819 by the Supreme Court under
Chief Justice John Marshall. In
Dartmouth College v. Woodward, the Supreme Court protected private corporations
against interference by the state governments that had created them. In McCullough v. Maryland, it ruled that
the Bank of the United States, though privately run, was a creation of the
federal government that could not be touched by the states. These pro-capitalist court rulings aggravated
class divisions, which escalated over the next decade. The 1820s saw the
meteoric rise of Andrew Jackson, who defended working-class Americans against
what he characterized as the oppression of a wealthy elite epitomized by the
central bank.
The recession of
1819-1822, which was blamed largely on bankers, was one of the economic forces
that made many Americans look to Jackson as the savior of the working class.
Reynolds
speaks of the 1819 Panic creating a recession that lasted through 1822. But this does not fit our picture of an
18-year Night Cycle experience.
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
Using our
logic, the ÔdepressionÕ should have lasted from about 1821 to about 1839. In fact, this is what we do see.
Panic and Depression, 1832. In 1832, President Andrew Jackson
refused to renew the charter of the Second Bank of the United States; and
Jackson transferred government monies to state banks. Nicholas Biddle, head of the National
Bank, called in all outstanding commercial loans. A panic followed; and then a
recession. Eight hundred banks
closed; and the national banking system collapsed. One third of manual laborers were out of
work in New York City alone. And
the national unemployment rate was over 10%.
Panic and Depression, 1836. President Andrew Jackson comes to
recognize that his defeat of the National Bank in 1832 might present long-range
problems for the country. In an
effort to short-circuit the inflationary consequences of unlimited printing of
money by unregulated state banks, Jackson issued the Specie Circular, which law
required all public lands be paid for in gold or silver, hard currency. Land sales and prices collapse. The hoarding of precious metals. Land and metals speculation explodes.
Panic and Depression, 1837-1843. Historian Reynolds writes that five
weeks after Martin Van BurenÕs election, national pessimism and erratic bank
policies sank the economy and triggered Ôthe worst depression that the United
States had knownÕ. Reynolds writes
that this fourth panic since 1819 lasted from 1837 through 1843:
The [1837]
downturn resulted from various international and native economic developments.
In 1836, the Bank
of England, fearing a run on its deposits of specie (silver and gold), sharply
contracted credit. British companies curtailed their business with the United
States. Foreign demand for U.S. cotton plummeted, cutting cotton prices nearly
in half.
Southern planters
suffered and many northern companies associated with the cotton trade failed.
The Specie Circular, which mandated that speculators could purchase public land
only with hard money, caused a drain of specie from eastern to western banks.
In April 1837,
world prices suddenly collapsed, creating a run on banks. On May 10, 1837, all
banks in New York suspended specie payments — that is, they refused to
redeem paper currency in silver or gold. Banks in New Orleans and other cities
soon did the same.
The specie
suspensions caused panic, which in turn led to widespread bank failures. The
New York diarist George Templeton Strong said, of the banks, ÒSo they go
— smash, crash. Where in the name of wonder is to be the end of it?Ó
All told, around
40% of AmericaÕs 850 banks soon were out of business. Most sectors of the
economy slumped. Business failure brought unemployment. By January 1838, half a
million Americans were jobless.
The economy then
briefly rebounded, but another contraction abroad brought on a second panic in
October 1839, leading to four more years of depression. Wholesale prices tumbled, and the
nationÕs money supply shrank. Imports plummeted, as did property values.
America would not again see such deep, prolonged economic malaise until the
Great Depression of the 1930s.
Predictably, President
Van Buren was blamed for the downturn. Whigs insisted that JacksonÕs reckless
policies, carried forward by Van Buren, had wreaked havoc on the economy.
What was needed,
they argued, was government-sponsored stabilization of the economy through a
new national bank. As the ÒoutÓ party, the Whigs profited politically from the
depression, gaining in state elections at moments when it was especially
bad. Still, as the 1840 election
approached, Van Buren had reason to be confident of re-election.
He had
consolidated the Democratic Party. He had averted war and subdued sectional
tensions. He had run a tight financial ship with the assistance of generally
skilled administrators. In his
view, he had put the nation on a course toward economic recovery by divorcing
the government from banking. He did
not seem to recognize the depth of the nationÕs crisis. A much later Democratic
presidential candidate would heed advice that should have been shouted in Van
BurenÕs ear: ÒItÕs the economy, stupid!Ó
Despite the small
upturn of the economy in the middle of Van BurenÕs term, the nation had never
seen such hard times as it did under him.
It was
difficult for many Americans to fathom the withdrawal of the governmentÕs money
from many banks at a time when money was in such short supply. The Whig arguments for an expanded
currency, relaxed credit and governmental participation in everyday finance
made sense at a time when scarcity reigned.
The DemocratsÕ
largest base was among rural and urban workers. The Whigs appealed mainly to
business interests in the North and plantation owners in the South, but also to
some sectors of the working class.
Neither party was wholly Òthe peopleÕs party,Ó though the Democrats had
seized this image.
The Whigs
believed in government control of the economy through some version of the
American system. They tended to be affiliated with movements like temperance,
prison reform, nativism and anti-prostitution.
The turnout on
election day was exceptionally strong. Voter participation, which had stood at
58% of eligible voters in 1836, reached an astonishing 80% in 1840, setting a
pattern for high turnouts that continued through the 19th century. Although the Log Cabin hoopla
contributed to the excitement, recent historians have shown that it was the
mass hunger for economic reform that brought out voters in unprecedented
numbers. The Whigs surged to victory.
ReynoldsÕ
description of the differences between the Democratic and Whig party principles
shows the difficulty in assigning fixed labels to political parties, since
these two parties tend to adjust to one another over time. The Whigs Ôappealed mainly to business
interests in the North and plantation owners in the southÕ. The Democrats largest base Ôwas among
rural and urban workersÕ. This
seems pretty clear. The Democrats
were on the side of the poor; the Whigs (Republicans) were on the side of the
rich. The Whigs Ôbelieved in
government control of the economy through some version of the American systemÕ
– this really means, I think, the Whigs wanted a National Bank; and they
wanted the banks in control of the economy. This does not really sound like
Republicans of today, who want private banks to run the world; and want
government ÔinterferenceÕ reduced.
Whig excitement
over ÔmoralÕ (almost biblical) issues like temperance, anti-prostitution,
prison reform sounds largely like today, where Republican outrage over gun
control, abortion rights, prayer in school, stem-cell research rings somewhat
hollow when compared to the overwhelming silence connected to outright business
theft of private and taxpayer funds.
The Republican outrage seems more directed at the government giving
failing businesses bail-out money rather than at corrupt and criminal
businesses for engineering their own demise. Remember, the businessman is the hero of
the Republicans – they cannot very well crucify their own hero, so they
have turned their anger, instead, on the messenger.
We will remember
that a basic tenet of early Republicanism (Federalism, Whigism) that a strong
federal government was needed to protect the monied interests in America from
the tendencies of state governments to be too populist or too democratic. Early Democrats (democratic Republicans)
argued for statesÕ rights, for local autonomy, for a weak central government,
and for a non-imperialistic federal government and foreign policy. These principles have flipped several
times in history, most notably in the 1950Õs, when democrats began arguing for
a strong federal government to enforce federal civil rights laws, protecting
the Underclass (nonwhite) from domination by the Overclass (white). A split in the democratic party then
occurred, with southern democrats aligning more with northern and western
Republicans in arguing for states rights, against federal mandates. The new alliance of Republican and
southern white Democrat carried Nixon to victory in 1968 – and became the
New Republican Party of the late twentieth century.
StateÕs rights
meant one thing to Democrats in the 1800Õs, protection from the Big Business
and Banking Class of northeast America and their drive for an America that was
urban, industrialized and imperialistic (world trade is imperialistic by
nature); whereas, stateÕs rights for the New Republican Party of the twentieth
century was founded in racism (opposition to federal civil rights laws) and
old-time Bible-thumping anti-humanism (abortion, school-prayer, gun-control,
stem-cell research issues).
If Dusk is 1830 in our picture of cyclical
American history, we should expect a Romantic, anti-hero to appear on the scene
at approximately this time, a fighter for the poor, the working classes, armed
against the rich aristocrats.
In 1828, Andrew
Jackson is elected President of the United States. Jackson is a southern populist, friend
of the working class, enemy of big business and banking, and decidedly not an aristocrat.
It is interesting
that Jackson was nearly elected in 1824, but southern aristocrat Henry Clay
threw his support away from Jackson, to East Coast aristocrat John Quincy
Adams, for which support Clay was appointed as Secretary of State in AdamsÕ
administration. Regional alliances
meant less than class alliances and personal fortunes apparently. The southern aristocrats viewed Jackson
suspiciously as his supporters among the working poor in the north and south
smacked too much of Ômob-democracyÕ, feared equally by southern
plantation-owners (and slave owners) and northern (or more accurately
north-eastern) businessmen. Andrew
Jackson opposed the National Bank, as had Thomas Jefferson – and Jackson
abolished it when president. Andrew
Jackson writes:
It is to
be regretted that the rich and powerful too often bend the acts of government
to their own selfish purposes. Mischief springs from the power which the moneyed
interest derives from a paper currency which they are able to control, from the
multitude of corporations with exclusive privileges... which are employed
altogether for their [mutual] benefitÉ. No American should have to live under
the oppression of a sprawling oversized central government; or suffer the loss
of personal autonomy and liberties to perfunctory bureaucrats; or endure the
invasion of privacy by officious functionaries; or struggle through a life
trying to stay ahead of inflation; or endure the nightmare of over regulation
and criminalization; or tolerate mass corruption and fraud by self serving
elected officials; or to grind out a living only to be ravaged by labor-wage
taxes while Federal Reserve Bankers get rich off baseless currency; or die
fighting in some needless war.
We recall, of course, that
American wars, especially today, but earlier as well, were almost always fought
by the working poor Americans for the sake of American business interests. That is, the poor fought and died and
were maimed and crippled while the rich sat home and cheered from the shore,
living in safety and comfort, largely in disdain of the American working
poor. Many of the poor, working
class soldiers returning from war did not have jobs waiting for them when the
returned.
Andrew
Jackson was a friend of the white working poor in America. He was not a friend to the slave or the Native
American however. He openly ignored
federal policy and contracts signed with the Cherokee Nation and forcibly
evicted them from ancestral homelands in Oklahoma, freeing up more land for
white ownership and westward expansion of southern plantations. Jackson seemed to share JeffersonÕs
vision for America, of a peaceful Greek-like agrarian republic stretching
westward over the North American continent: an Ôextensive Republic, studded
with cities, towns, and prosperous farms, occupied by more than 12 million
happy people, and filled with the blessing of liberty, civilization and
religion.Õ
In the romantic
literature of this time, we do see, however, in the writing of Melville and
James Fennimore Cooper, Mark Twain, and in the newspapers of William Lloyd
Garrison, a growing intellectual opposition to the institution of slavery, and
a more positive portrayal of Ôsavage culturesÕ (the EgoÕs shadow) in popular
culture.
In 1831, with
darkness settling in, Nat Turner, an educated slave in Virginia, led an insurrection
of slaves on a killing spree of white residents near Southampton. In all, 70 whites were killed. Over 100 slaves were killed in
retaliation.
We should
note that at Dawn in our time-cycle
of historical developments, white domination of black (and hatred of the
shadow) wins out and carries through until Noon,
when the shadow is thoroughly defeated.
By the same token, Dusk is a time when black defeats white,
and dominates white through Midnight
when black hatred of white also finds its peak. Dusk should be a time when black
violence against whites escalates, when Black Panthers, Black Muslims, ÔBlack
PrideÕ movements manifest and become strong forces of anti-law, seeking
anti-hero justice for past injustice.
Black power generally should be growing from the killing of the White
Father Figure, Light, at or shortly
after Noon, through the re-birth of
Light, at Midnight.
The 1831 killing
of whites in the Nat Turner insurrection fits in to this time frame.
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
The Black
Panther Party was founded in Oakland in 1966.
Dawn 1956
Noon 1965
Dusk 1974
The Nation
of Islam (Black Muslims) was founded in Detroit in 1930.
Dawn 1920
Noon 1929
Dusk 1938
Noon is where Adolph Hitler triumphs, with
his shadow and adversary, the Jew, nearly eradicated. Likewise, Midnight is the point in our time-cycle of historical development
when black hatred of whites should also find its peak. Whites (light) have almost no power at Midnight.
The Soul is on
the side of the Blacks at Night; and on the side of Whites during the Day. This is a balancing mechanism. Jehovah gives and Jehovah takes away. The Soul is the female (Water)
element. The Soul attaches herself
to the Body and to the Mind sequentially.
LetÕs
remember also that when we speak of White and Black we are not only speaking
about racial types and skin colors.
White is Daylight and is the Sun and is Positive Electrical Energy
(generative). Black is Nightlight
and is the Moon and is Negative Electrical Energy (receptive). In any given relationship, the black man
could be the white force (more positive) and the white man could be the black
force (more negative). The black
man could be white and the black woman could be black. The white woman could be white and the
black man black. The black woman
could be white and the white man black.
All racial types fit this descriptions: the Asian man can be the yang
force and the white man the yin force.
The Asian woman can be the yang force (although most Asian men will
probably debate this) and the Asian man the yin force. The same is true for Hispanic, American
IndianÉ.all racial or ethnic types.
Each individual
is made up of all four types of force we describe in our historical cycle
blueprint. I am Michael the
Archangel at Dawn, driving Satan (my own darkness, pessimism, longing for death
and destruction) down as I utilize positive energy to regain my sense of hope
and the strength of willful activity.
I am also Julius Caesar at Noon, seeking to enslave the world to my own
sense of what is right and needs to be done. I am Melville and James Joyce and Marcel
Proust and W.B. Yeats at Dusk, when I turn my back on my own creation and
abstract my will from the material world and pray for its demise. I am also the darkened face of the Dark
Monster Siva who lives down at the bottom of the well, seeking to kill myself
and the entire world with me, seeing only the negative values of the world,
seeing only darkness. I am also
Jesus Christ, Horus, Apollo, and every other Sun-Hero born of the virgin Moon
who re-discovers value in life and rises up out of the darkness to ascend the
Magic Mountain (Aetna, Olympus, Sinai, Ararat) to find the Father again in his
Heaven.
It is a complex
task to simplify all the complex compositions of dark and light into elemental
symbols that define a stage in the cycles of history.
When I
speak of the Black Strength Movements (Night Cycles) I must also pay close
attention to the rise and fall of feminist movements. The most recent feminist movement will
be born at Noon (1965), will achieve
a kind of battlfield victory at Dusk
(1974), will be at their greatest extent of power at Midnight (1983), and will be cast down and defeated at Dawn (1992).
Noon 1965
Dusk 1974
Midnight 1983
Dawn 1992
In some
ways, symbolically-speaking, we can see the Black Movement of the 1960-70 era
defeated at Dawn in 1992 in the
guise of an incident somewhat similar to the insurrection of Nat Turner in
1831. In 1993, an unemployed Jamaican
black man named Colin Ferguson, living in New York, boarded a Long Island
Railroad Line car in Garden City, New York and pulled an automatic pistol and
began shooting as many white people as he could. He killed six and wounded 19. He said something about wanting to kill
as many white people as he could.
His original trial lawyers proposed a very innovative argument: that
Ferguson suffered from a psychotic condition of black rage when he committed the crime. Ferguson fired his lawyers in order to
represent himself. His argument was
that he had not done the shooting, that he was being framed by white people for
the crime. Notorious liberal
attorney William Kuntsler tried to defend Ferguson before the trial began,
attempting to argue that Ferguson had been driven to mental illness through
years of living in an oppressive, racist society.
Of course, this
argument, if believed, would logically have done away with all human laws. This argument would provide legal
justification for any black person, any minority, any oppressed person (from
any race), anyone feeling he or she was oppressed (from any race or ethnic
group), any human being in other
words, to kill any person or persons that the aggrieved party (the accused)
thought might represent the oppressors, through actual personal oppression, or
by way of ancestral complicity.
That argument, if accepted, would have essentially reduced humanity once
again to the jungle, with a law of only kill or be killed, oppress or be
oppressed.
Kunstler argued
that FergusonÕs refusal to follow KunstlerÕs advice (to plead insanity on the
basis of sustained racism) proved
FergusonÕs insanity and proved FergusonÕs psychological incompetence. (Only a lawyer would be able to phrase
an argument proving sanity was linked to the gospel being sold by that lawyer
himself.)
Clearly Ferguson
was a murdering racist. He was a
black racist, who killed people because they were white. He killed six and wounded almost 20
others and he would have killed many more if he had not been wrestled to the
ground by his intended victims. Now
if a white man had done the same to a group of blacks in a Selma Church for
instance (which a white man or men had done, in fact), a great chorus of distress
would have been raised by both black and white people. But when Colin Ferguson killed and
wounded white people riding home on a train, very few voices of outrage were
heard, and almost no black voices.
Black racism was apparently acceptable, understandable, justifiable as
retaliation for past sins by the white race. The fact that Kunstler and other white
liberals, and blacks, might argue that such generic racial profiling by a black
man with a gun in his pocket should be allowed under the law, based on past
slights or sins or oppressions, essentially
opened the door to all crimes potentially based on the rationale of righteous
indignation or vengeance.
There are White
racists at Noon and there are Black racists at Midnight and both are unbalanced
and dangerous. Murder of innocents
by White racists or murder of innocents by Black racists is both unacceptable
and must be resisted. The
illusion is that one side is right and good; and the other side is wrong and
evil. When a being is polarized,
they believe this illusion; and they are willing to kill and be killed for this
truth.
The Dawn Force,
becoming Whole again, understands that all things are a composite of dark and
light, of good and bad, of heaven and earth. The Dawn Force is neither White nor
Black, but both White and Black, both Day and Night, both Man and Woman. In Jewish Kabbalistic writing, the first
man is Adam Kadmon, Day and Night, Man and Woman, High and Low, Angel and
Devil, all things compressed into one complex being.
White guilt had
ebbed; and was now flowing. The rationale
of Night that all blacks were good because they were victims of the whites; and
that all whites were bad because they victimized blacks was vanishing as all
half-truths eventually vanish. Life
is complex. Life almost never
conforms to easy, simplex ideals based on either stereotypes or
anti-stereotypes.
In the
1990Õs I wrote a collection of short-stories entitled The Death of a Liberal.
This series of stories examine, as I describe it, Ôthe legacy of the
liberalism of the 1960Õs from the perspective of the 1990Õs – a
middle-aged eye being cast back on the shadows of the idealisms of youth. One story -- ÔThe ProfessionalÕ -- a
about a friend of mine, Jeff Smith, who moved to Seattle after finishing
architecture school. Jeff was a
very talented student, a gifted designer.
One early morning, walking to work, Jeff was attacked by a black man who
hit him over the head with a baseball bat and stole his wallet. This was essentially the end of JeffÕs
life. He could not recover from the
attack. He lost his passion for
architecture. He lived in
fear. He finally bought a gun and
began looking for his attacker.
Jeff learns the attacker goes by the street name ÔBatmanÕ. Here is an excerpt from the story:
Jeff
didnÕt give up. He performed his
new ritual aggressively, becoming, in his own mind, a citizen policeman. People in the ghetto didnÕt bother
him. They probably sensed that he
was armed, perhaps with a weapon and more obviously with rage, and so they kept
their distance.
Jeff went into
JakeÕs store each morning, when he had finished his patrol. He tried to get the old man to talk with
him. The old man took his money,
said nothing. Jeff usually left
with donuts and coffee.
One day Jeff
showed up in the middle of the afternoon.
It was almost Thanksgiving.
Three old men, including Jake, were sitting together near the back of a
store, near a wood-stove. They were
talking and laughing. Jake was
surprised to see Jeff so late in the day.
He didnÕt like seeing the white man come into his store.
Jeff bought a
coke. Then he followed Jake back to
the wood-stove and pulled up a folding chair to sit with the men.
Jake said: ÒI
didnÕt hear anyone invite you to this party, mister.Ó
Jeff said
nothing. He sat down with the old
men. He warmed his hands at the
stove. Smiled. And said: ÒAny of you men know a young
black man named Batman?Ó
The three old men
became silent.
ÒBatman hit me in
the head with a baseball bat a few months ago,Ó Jeff said. ÒI was walking down the street on my way
to work. He smashed me in the head,
so he could take my wallet. I donÕt
have my job anymore. I had to give
it up. I have pain all the time in
my head now. I want to find the man
who did this to me. Do you people
condone what this man does? Is it
alright with you if he hits people in the face with a baseball bat? Are you so filled with hatred that you
tolerate such behavior...?Ó
ÒWait a minute,Ó
replied Jake. ÒWhat do you
think? You think we support such
behavior...?Ó
ÒAs long as itÕs
a white man heÕs hitting, I suppose you do,Ó Jeff said.
ÒMaybe thatÕs
just the payback you get, after so many years of brutalizing the black man....Ó
another man said – his name was Gerald. He wore blue coveralls, and wore a Los
Angeles Dodger baseball cap.
ÒI didnÕt brualize
any black man,Ó Jeff replied.
ÒYeah, but your
ancestors probably did,Ó Gerald said.
ÒI donÕt know
about that,Ó Jeff said. ÒI know
that I had ancestors who died in the Civil War fighting against slavery. Whites didnÕt create black slavery, you know. Black Africans enslaved other black
Africans and sold them throughout north Africa long before the whites ever came
along. ThereÕs always someone to
blame for your problems. ThatÕs an
easy way out. Just blame the whites
and accept your role as a victim in this world. In fact, black people have been
victimized by other black people for centuries. Do you think Batman harms only white
people? If he harms white people,
then he probably harms black people too.
In fact, the last person he attacked was a black man, not a white
man. HeÕs a gang member. Gang members prey on their own
race. Why do you feel that you have
to protect a murderer? If a white
man is a murderer, I donÕt have any allegiance to him because heÕs white. If a white man is a murderer, then letÕs
put him to death, and get rid of him, so the rest of us wonÕt have to live with
the pollution of his presence. If a
white man had hit me in the face with a baseball bat, then IÕd be hunting him
down too. We have to get rid of the
criminals, so that the rest of us can live decent lives...!Ó
ÒThose are just
words,Ó Jake replied. ÒYou want to
do away with black criminals. Why
are black people criminals? Because
theyÕre poor...!Ó
ÒNot everyone who
is poor is a criminal,Ó Jeff replied.
ÒThere are a lot of poor black people in Seattle who arenÕt
criminals. During the Great
Depression, crime went down.
Criminals make life in your neighborhood even worse than it is in my
neighborhood. You protect thugs and
killers because they have black skin.
To hell with them. If they
are criminals, then they pay for their crimes, no matter what color they are!Ó
ÒYou think
thereÕs no such thing as persecution of the black man...!Ó Otis said, the third
man. He looked as if he had been an
athlete, still trim, wearing a Seattle Seahawk jersey.
ÒRacism comes
from thinking of a man as being part of a race instead of as an individual,Ó
Jeff replied. ÒThe black race will
never be raised as a race out of poverty.
Individual black people will have to raise themselves up, through
education, against bigotry. The
blacks seem to believe that the government will use a magic wand and create
equality through some special law.
But equality is something that is achieved through the efforts of
individuals. No race is raised
magically into the heavens. There
are poor whites and ill-educated whites and criminal whites too. Each race has good and bad. So, when we understand that, then we
move to the point where the individual is what matters. We judge a tree by its fruit, not by its
bark. If an evil black man is
punished, that is not to say that all black people are punished. Individuals commit crimes; and
individuals must be punished for their crimes. You should be less concerned with the
color of a manÕs external skin than with the color of his internal skin. The quality of his soul. Ò
ÒIÕm asking you
to leave my store,Ó Jake replied.
ÒWe did not ask you to come here.
We really donÕt want you being here with us...Ó
Jeff had nothing
more to say. But he wrote out his
phone number and left it with Jake.
ÒIf you want to tell me anything about this Batman, just call me and
leave a message.Ó
Then Jeff left
the store and stepped back into the cold wind, moving toward home.
Jeff
continued to perform his patrol twice daily. One Tuesday in December, having returned
home after a day out, Jeff turned on the television to see a special news
report: a disgruntled black man, Colin Ferguson, had turned a handgun on a
group of commuters in a train outside of New York City. The man calmly shot 23 people before
being overpowered by three men on the train. He carried over 100 rounds of ammunition
and bits of a journal in his pocket in which he described his hatred for
whites, Asians, and conservative blacks.
The report showed a young woman being carried on a stretcher from the
train. She was beautiful, in her
mid-twenties. She had worked as an
interior designer in New York.
Colin Ferguson had shot her through the neck, muttering ÒYouÕre all
going to die! YouÕre all going to
die!Ó Only whites and Asians had
been shot.
Jeff was
furious. It seemed to him that acts
of brutality were occurring daily.
Racially motivated brutality.
It was the end of the world.
The criminal race had rose up from the dead and had found no
resistance. The courts had
failed. Justice for crime must be
quick and exacting. Murder could
not be tolerated, or civilization would die. Each citizen should be carrying a gun,
Jeff decided. He considered buying
a six-gun and holster, similar to the old west, as a visible sign that he had
armed himself and would not be taken without a fight. His head began to throb. He had headaches almost every day,
whenever he became agitated. He
looked at himself in the mirror.
His jaw was now permanently twisted to the right of center. His hair seemed frail and frightened
into old age. The structure above
his left eye was dented visibly in toward his brain. He had become ugly. Yes, he was ugly. He rarely thought about his
appearance. But his beauty had been
stolen from him, his charm, his glow.
He had a dark soul now. The
night had descended upon him.
Nothing was illuminated.
Nothing was alive, except his anger, and his desire to be liberated
through retribution.
The phone rang.
ÒJeff Simms?Ó the
voice asked. The voice was deep and
old and sounded like a black manÕs voice.
ÒYes,Ó Jeff
replied.
Ò1307 Jefferson
Street, in the back. ThatÕs where
Batman lives.Ó
The phone went
dead.
I include
this excerpt to demonstrate the kind of rationality and individuality (the
opposite of the group awareness of the Night Cycle tribalism) that typifies the
appearance of the Dawn and regeneration of the world of form at a time of
cultural renaissance, when Law, Reason, Civilization are again valued –
and when Lawlessness, Chaos, Tribal Logic, and Emotional Righteousness are less
valued, in fact, get cast out.
I was a bona-fide liberal throughout my college
years (1970-74) and throughout the Carter presidency. That is, I was a white man on the side
of the Shadow. In my mind, while in
college, the dark races were the victims of the white races. My fatherÕs world was absolutely evil
and corrupt. I supported the civil
rights movement; I marched against the war in Vietnam; I supported the Dark,
Female, pacifist force against the capitalistic, militaristic Father. I was even a communist for a few years
during the 1970Õs. But this all
began to change slowly.
I remember
sitting on a hill in Oregon some time during the early 1980Õs, with my brother and
some friends from college. We all
shared a similar world-view. Above,
a jet plane passed, leaving a vapor trail in the sky. I said: ÔIsnÕt it amazing, there is a
highway in the air just like there is a highway on the earth.Õ This comment was met with a stunned
silence. Then I said: ÔItÕs pretty
amazing what humans have been able to do.
Look at this plane. It
weighs tons – and itÕs able to fly people all over the earth.Õ
My friends were
anti-man, anti-machine, anti-technology, anti-human growth. And I had been too. But the earth turns; and we turn with
it.
I had been on the
side of the black race in America for several decades. All blacks were good; all whites were
bad. Blacks had the right to kill
whites, since their violence against whites was a form of political retribution
for past injustices.
But my
perspective was changing. The
middle principle was changing sides, moving toward the light, away from the
dark. The illusion is that one side
(either side) is right, and the other wrong. The ideal, moral perspective gets
lost. The paradox replaces it. There are good blacks and bad blacks;
there are good whites and bad whites; there are good and bad poor people, and
good and bad rich people. Life is
more complex than black and white.
Colors began to be born (Spring and Autumn, Dawn and Dusk, are times for
colors to appear in nature, afterall).
Individual judgment began to replace political/religious/scientific
dogmatism.
I began to
forgive my father for not having been perfect. And I began to forgive myself. I did not have to be martyred by the
dark race for past sins committed by assumed ancestors. I was responsible for myself. I was responsible for my own crimes, not
my raceÕs crimes. I was not willing
to allow Nat Turner to come in to my house and murder my family because Nat
Turner had been abused by white landowners in Virginia more than 100 years
earlier.
I was white. If there were to be a racial apocalypse
in America, and races were to kill races, blacks would kill me. I was white. In choosing death (and tragedy), I would
align myself with the poor dark races and see my own death as martyrdom for
past sins. In choosing life (and
comedy, levity), I would align myself with the rich white races, and see my own
life as an expression of JehovahÕs will that I live.
The Dark Clouds,
the Storm Gods, the Negative Floodwaters, are driven away at Dawn by the Wind
and the Will and by the heat of the Sun.
CHAPTER NINE.
TIME CYCLES IN AMERICAN HISTORY, CONTINUED: THE MASCULINE IDEA OF
MANIFEST DESTINY
(Looking at the Magic Lantern as a kind of Magical Quadrant)
We were
working our way through the Nineteenth Century, with at least some limited
success, until my digressions led us slightly adrift.
This type of
typological historical analysis in which we are engaged is a bit like trying to
describe the images reflected on a wall by light being cast through a magic
lantern. Shapes are sometimes
grasped, glimpsed, then lost, as the turning lantern suggests allusive
connections, new interpretations.
My intent is to avoid describing these images as rorschach designs only,
as simple shapes cast up out of my own mind, without relevance to the phenomena
they are fashioned by.
The main premise
of this book is that we have recently entered an 18-year economic downturn
– and that the economic recovery will not occur until about 2019. So my main focus, again, is on the Noon-Midnight experience of Dionysus,
the peaking of the expansion, and the succeeding descent into negative,
discordant matter, as a way of trying to imply what lies ahead for America as a
nation and as part of a larger world community.
I apologize that
my style of investigation is not as linear as some readers might like. There is really very little that is
truly linear in my subject matter; and I am reading this landscape (and
recording it) more like I might build a sketch or a painting, than as if I were
recording a mathematical proof.
We would
expect a seed idea of re-born masculinity to appear around the Midnight hour, at about 1839. This masculine re-birth expresses the
desire to live, to expand, to grow, to increase, counteracting the economic
contractions of the recent Night Cycle – the desire to die, to shrink, to
escape oneÕs shame -- expressed in the depressions of 1819 and 1837. A new sense of national mission –
of a covenant with God – would be expected as an inherent compact within
this rebirth. Manifest Destiny was
just such a seed-idea.
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
Essentially
Manifest Destiny was a second Declaration of Independence from European powers
(and Mexico). The doctrine of
Manifest Destiny stated that the North American continent south of Canada and
north the Rio Grande River belonged to the United States of America; and any
attempt by a foreign power to abrogate this right of ownership would be met by
the use of American military force.
It was AmericaÕs destiny to expand westward. Not only was westward expansion required
for social, political and commercial reasons, but God was also calling on the
people of the United States to expand Ôthe borders of freedomÕ, to impart their
ideals and belief in democratic institutions to other people capable of
self-government.
The covenant with
the New Jerusalem, which we will discover as a seed-idea in Puritan and
colonial America, appears again and again as justification for American
expansion, a call to American expansion, American empire. God has chosen America to be the bringer
of light and civilization to the world, even to those parts of the world that
may not yet appreciate the gift of light and civilization (this includes, of
course, to the immediate west, a wide variety of Native American tribes and
possibly outposts, fortifications and provinces of Mexico).
The first
appearance of the expression ÔManifest DestinyÕ, as far as I can tell, was in
1845, in The United States Magazine and
Democratic Review in an article by John L. OÕSullivan, who wrote Ôthe
fulfillment of our manifest destiny to overspread the continent allotted by
ProvidenceÉÕ The term ÔManifest
DestinyÕ became popularized by politicians and journalists after that as the
religious duty for America to spread her influence throughout the world.
The Soul
born at Midnight, which becomes the
Renaissance Man at Dawn, is the
ÔAnnointedÕ of God, the miraculous New Sun, the purveyor of GodÕs laws over the
Earth. The ÔChosen OneÕ. The force of a New Order overthrowing
the Dark Element of an Old Idea.
Dawn is a warrior for order, light and
the spread of civilization.
In 1846, the
Mexican-American War begin With the Battle of Palo Alto. In this process, Texas was ÔfreedÕ from
Mexico, New Mexico was annexed from Mexico, and American settlers in California
proclaimed an independent Republic of California, which was annexed in to the
United States in august of that same year.
Midnight 1839
– Business Expansion begins.
Dawn 1848
– Business Bubble accelerates.
Noon 1857
– Business Expansion ends: Chaos Begins.
Expansion
of light begins at Midnight; but it begins
very quietly. Light is a child at
Midnight, weak, vulnerable, protected by the Darkness. But this expansion gains momentum and
runs like a train, eventually, to its maximum extension, Noon – at which time it falls back to earth.
Donald J. Mabry, in
his article ÔEconomic History, 1843 -1857Õ describes the vigorous American
expansion of this Day-Cycle. The
inflation of the masculine Ego bubble brings inflated prices, an inflated sense
of national mission, and an inflated masculine power that brings conflict to
the world. (As the symbolism of the
erection indicates, the power of this type of erotic expansion is periodical
and limited.)
From 1843
to 1857, the market economy showed what it could do without a major economic
depression. The results were impressive. In the 1844-1854 period, the total
value of all commodities rose 69%. In the 1840s, output per worker rose an
average 10% in the 1850s, 23%. In part, it was simply a further acceleration of
the market economy after the 1837-1843 depression.
Commercial
agriculture grew faster than ever. By 1846, the formerly protectionist
Northwest was exporting so much wheat to foreign markets that it became a free
trade area and voted for low tariffs in 1846. By 1850, the Northwest exceeded
the Northeast in wheat production with as the wheat growing areas moved into
Wisconsin, Iowa, eastern Kansas and Nebraska. The use of the mechanical reaper
pushed wheat production from 30 million bushels in 1850 to 100 million in 1860.
Meat packing and the production of corn and hogs was almost as spectacular. In
the South, in the 1840s, cotton production increased 60% and, in the 1850s,
increased 100%. The increasing productivity and profitability brought an
increase in slave prices as plantation owners, faced with labor shortage,
competed with each other for workers. In the 1790s, a prime field hand sold for
$300; by 1840, the amount was $1,000; and by 1860, $1,500. Some of this price
increase was simply inflation but the figures indicate that the prices were
climbing.
The growth of
regionally-specialized commercial agriculture was closely tied to the
development of a national
system of transportation and communication. The railroad
network created in the 1850s brought the railway system to full efficiency. In
the 1840s, there were only 6,000 miles of track in the nation, by 1852, there
were 12,000 miles; and, by 1860, there were 30,000 miles. By 1857, one billion
dollars had been invested in railroads, two-thirds during 1850-1857. By the
early 1850s, the completion of 5 trunk lines connecting Boston, New York,
Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Charleston with Ohio and Mississippi by way of
Albany, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Wheeling, Atlanta, Chattanooga and on to Chicago,
St Louis, and Memphis. One could go from the Atlantic Coast to Chicago or St
Louis in two days for $20. Numerous feeder lines meant that even more locales
could use railroad transportation.
American exports
grew from $144 million dollars in 1850 to $334 million in 1860, but imports
were greater than exports . The trade deficit grew from $5 million in 1850 to
$58 million in 1860 and was met by the exportation of gold.
Immigration surged
upwards, especially from Ireland and the German-speaking parts of Europe.
Before 1825, there were 10,000 immigrants yearly. By the mid-1840s, ten times
as many or 100,000 a year were coming. By the early 1850s, the number had
reached 400,000 a year. In the 1844-1854 period, 3 million immigrants came.
They did factory work, the dirty work in railroad and canal construction,
domestic service, and any other jobs that they people who were already in the
US would not do them. The Germans tended to settle in the Mid West; the Irish
tended to stay in the Northeast. The Irish started displacing the women who
worked in New England and other Northeastern factories. So many came that
strong resentment against them grew in many places. A common expression about
the Irish was "it's a good thing the wheelbarrow was invented; it taught
the Irish to walk on their hind legs."
Their coming to
the United States helped grow the economy. Immigration is a subsidy of the
receiving country. Most people do not realize this. From the time a child is
born until he or she immigrants, people had to pay to raise that child. In
other words, a capital investment is made. When the person immigrates, then the
country to which the person goes gets the benefit of that capital investment
while the sending company loses it. So immigration represents a source of
wealth for the receiving country. That immigrants tend to be healthy, ambitious
people means that the investment is worth a great deal to the receiving
country.
The rounding out
of the vast and lucrative market set the stage for the Industrial Revolution to
occur in the US. From the 1850s on, industry was the motor for economic
expansion. Large-scale factory production had been developing since the War of
1812. There was such growth in the 1840s that, by 1850, the value of
manufactured products exceeded the value of agriculture. From 1850 to 1860, the
value of manufactured goods went from just over $1 billion to just under $2
billion. The value added by manufacture rose 157% from 1839-1849. From
1844-1854 it rose 134%.
Cotton textiles
were the pioneer industry. Samuel Slater learned in his native Britain about
Arkwright's spinning and carding machines; he immigrated to the US in 1789 and
built similar machines from memory. In 1793, he created the first US cotton
mill in Pawtucket, Rhode Island. The industry boomed during the War of 1812
because demand increased and imports were difficult to obtain. Successful
merchants saw the profits and began investing money in manufacturing. In
Massachusetts in 1813, Francis Cabot Lowell headed a group who founded the
Boston Manufacturing Company in Waltham, Massachusetts with $600,000. It used
an efficient power loom and spinning machine he had created with another man.
His mill was probably the world's first mill in which were performed all
operations converting raw cotton into finished cloth. This system spread to
wherever water power was available. It used the assembly line techniques
developed by Eli Whitney of Connecticut. The assembly line technique spread to
other products, hog butchering and packing being one example.
The iron industry
grew to meet the demand for new machines. Railroads were big consumers as the
locomotives and railroad cars were made of iron and ran on iron rails. Iron was
strong and malleable as increasingly was used in machines.
By the 1840's ,
manufacturing was not as dependent upon waterfalls; stationary steam engines
allowed the location of factories in cities. With that development, cities began
to grow rapidly as working families flocked to them and others went to sell
them products. By 1860, greater New York City had over one million people.
Sizable cities such as St Louis and Cincinnati had come on the old frontier.
With the rise of
industry came a new working class. Lowell hired farm and small town girls to
work in his factory. These Waltham Girls were carefully supervised at work and
at leisure so their parents would let them leave home. Many sought to earn
enough for a dowry; others supplemented the family income. For most industrial
workers, wages were low, hours were long, employment was tenuous, working
conditions were hard, and living conditions were bad. Some workers tried to
organize unions to improve the situation but the constant stream on immigrants,
who would accept any condition, meant that unions were rarely effective.
As a greater
percentage of men were working in factories rather than on farms, the ability
of men to raise their children declined. Farming allowed men to raise children,
for he could keep an eye on them, but, unless his child worked in the same
factory, a father had little opportunity to see his child. Often, the child
worked under a foreman in a different place than the father. Industrialization,
although it had many social and economic benefits, meant that men who loved
their children had to leave them to others to raise.
Men, women, and
children were willing to pay the price for the economy was the most prosperous
the country had ever seen. Farm work involved very long hours for everyone,
hours shortened only by darkness. Children had chores. One of the reasons to
have children was that they consumed less than they produced. Factory work
differed because the work day did not shorten or lengthen with the seasons.
Here, too, most members of a family, if not the entire family, worked. The
payoff was a higher standard of living. Immigrants flocked to factories and
mines; the jobs that had to be done did not require much English. They also
flocked to farming communities which used free labor; they tended to stay away
from the South since they did not want to compete with slave labor.
With prosperity,
people were generous; there seemed to be more than enough to go around.
Sectional tensions were at a low ebb. The US Congress gave away 18 million
acres of land to railroad companies between 1850 and 1860 to get
transcontinental railroads built. The South, which believed cotton was king,
supported railroad construction because it wanted to get cotton to markets.
Industrial expansion did well even under the low tariff of 1846, which had been
supported by agrarian interests. Settlement was expanding as Americans went
westward, some across the Oregon Trail. The Mormons had to leave the US in
1846-47 to find refuge in Mexico but the Mexican War (1846-48) swallowed Utah
as part of the Mexican Cession. The gold strike in 1849 near San Francisco
encouraged thousands to go to California. The cotton frontier was expanding
westward into the Mississippi Delta region and further westward into eastern
Texas.
As we have stated before, Noon represents the ultimate outward expansion (materialization) of
an idea (manifest destiny, for instance) or an energy (positive, externalized),
followed by the loss of momentum, and the collapsing back toward earth
(gravity). We expect economic
crisis to mark this fall of the Solar Hero, as expansion turns in to
contraction. (The diameter of the
circle runs from one side to the other side, dividing the circle in half, and
then disappearing back in to the unified circle when the bubble expansion has
created ultimately pops.)
Midnight 1839
– Business Expansion begins.
Chaos begins to end.
Dawn 1848
– Business Bubble accelerates.
Noon 1857
– Business Expansion ends: Chaos begins.
Dusk 1866
– Business Contraction accelerates.
Midnight 1875
– Business Expansion begins.
Chaos begins to end.
The Panic of 1857. America did have an economic panic that
began in 1857; this led into the Dark Half of the 18 year cycle (the
Night-Cycle) which led, shortly thereafter, into the American Civil War.
J.S.
Gibbons writes in The Banks of New York,
Their Dealers, the Clearing-House, and the Panic of 1857.
The major financial catalyst
for the panic of 1857 was the August 24, 1857, failure of the New York branch
of the Ohio Life Insurance and Trust Company. It was soon reported that the
entire capital of the Trust's home office had been embezzled. What followed was
one of the most severe economic crises in U.S. history.
Almost immediately, New York bankers
put severe restrictions on even the most routine transactions. In turn, many
people interpreted these restrictions as a sign of impending financial collapse
and panicked. Individual holders of stock and of commercial paper rushed to
their brokers and eagerly made deals that "a week before they would have
shunned as a ruinous sacrifice." As the September 12, 1857, Harper's
Weekly described the scene on the New York Stock Exchange, "Éprominent
stocks fell eight or ten per cent in a day, and fortunes were made and lost
between ten o'clock in the morning and four of the afternoon."
The Report of the Clearinghouse
Committee, produced in the years following the panic of 1857, found that
"A financial panic has been likened to a malignant epidemic, which kills
more by terror than by real disease." Yet behind the reaction of New
York's bankers to the closing of a trust company lay a confluence of national
and international events that heightened concern:
The British withdrew capital
from U.S. banks; grain prices fell; Russia undersold U.S. cotton on the open
market; manufactured goods lay in surplus; railroads overbuilt and some
defaulted on debts; land schemes and projects, dependent on new rail routes,
failed.
To compound the problem, the
SS Central America, a wooden-hulled steamship transporting millions of dollars
in gold from the new San Francisco Mint to create a reserve for eastern banks,
was caught in a hurricane and sunk in mid-September. (The vessel had aboard 581
persons—many carrying great personal wealth—and more than $1
million in commercial gold. She also bore a secret shipment of 15 tons of
federal gold, valued at $20 per ounce, intended for the eastern banks.)
As banking institutions of the day
dealt in specie (gold and silver coins instead of paper money) the loss of some
thirty thousand pounds of gold reverberated through the financial community.
Howell Cobb, secretary of the treasury, encouraged not only the placement of
vast amounts of such government gold on the market, but also redemption of
government bonds at a premium. At his suggestion, President James Buchanan
proposed to Congress that the Treasury be authorized to sell revenue bonds for
the first time since the Mexican American War.
Although bankers showed the first
signs of concern, depositors soon followed. On October 3 there was a marked
increase of withdrawals in New York, and over the next two weeks withdrawals
nearly quadrupled. Reports of financial instability, perhaps exaggerated, were
quickly carried between cities by the new telecommunications medium, the
telegraph.
As the public's faith in soundness of
financial institutions continued to plummet, the nation's banks began to
collapse. Although the East Coast was hardest hit—with bank closures in
New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and elsewhere, bank failures also reached
across the Missouri River to cities such as Omaha. The climax came on October
14, ÓSuspension Day, when banking was suspended in New York and throughout New England.
The term panic refers to the worst
moments of a financial crisis. What follows is frequently a recession (a period
of reduced economic activity) or a depression (a more serious and prolonged
period of low economic activity, marked especially by rising unemployment). The
contraction of the economy that followed the panic of 1857 was profound and had
parallels in Europe, South America, South Africa, and the Far East causing it
to be held as the first worldwide economic crisis.
In the U.S., the setback caused
significant job loss; a major slowdown in capital investment, commerce, land
development, and the formation of unions, as well as in the rate of
immigration. The effects of the "revulsion," as it was referred to at
the time, lasted a full eighteen months and reverberated until the onset of the
Civil War.
Harper's
Weekly, for September 12, 1857, took a dim view of dealings on the New York
Stock Exchange. They claimed that the greed of speculators underlay the panic
and gave examples that included the following:
ÉJones believes that we are
going to have a "crisis," a "revulsion," and
"panic." Or Jones is treasurer of the New Gauge Railway, and having
access to the books, knows that it is insolvent. In both these cases Jones
directs his broker to sell for his account so many shares of the New Gauge
RailwayÉretaining the right of delivering the stock on any day he pleases prior
to the conclusion of the contract. Of course, Jones doesn't own the stock he
sells; he intends to buy it at a reduced price at the time he delivers. Now, if
Jones has been right in his prognostications — if the panic and crisis do
come, or if the New Gauge Company does turn out to be insolvent, of course the
stock goes down, and Jones buys in for delivery at the reduced price, realizing
the difference between that price and the one at which he sold. But if Jones
has been wrong — if the crisis don't come, or is unduly postponed —
such things have been known to occur — if the New Gauge concern should
prove profitable, and not insolvent, why then the stock might go up, and at the
end of the contract Jones might be forced to buy for, say $50, that which he
sold at $45 — netting a loss of $5 per share.
In the late 1880s the wreck
of the SS Central America was located about 8,000 feet under water. One ton of
extraordinary riches surfaced including the world's largest bar of gold ingot,
weighing more than eighty pounds, and thousands of 1857-S Liberty Double Eagle
twenty-dollar gold pieces, each of which contained nearly a full ounce of gold.
Gibbons speculates the
world-wide financial crisis lasted for18 months (again the number 18). My thesis, of course, is that the period
of chaos and depression lasted much longer, from 1857 – 1875: 18 years. Historians tend to think of history as a
succession of unconnected (or loosely-connected) events. Discrete happenings: here today, gone
tomorrow. A connecting theory or
structure of history will enable historians to organize isolated incidents into
a fabric of causes for better understanding cycles in history.
Historians seem to agree that there
was a Panic of 1857, a Panic and Depression of 1869-1871, and a Panic of
1873. My argument is that these
depressions were all part of the same general phenomena: the Night-Cycle of the
deflating Masculine Ego bubble.
Life expands; Death contracts.
Heat expands; cold contracts.
Life constructs the Tree of Life; Death de-constructs the Tree of Life,
returns energy to the soil, returns to its Winter roots.
ˆ 1873
The Long
Depression was a worldwide economic crisis, felt most heavily in Europe and
the United States, which had been experiencing strong economic growth fueled by
the Second
Industrial Revolution and the conclusion of the American Civil War. At the
time, the episode was labeled the Great
Depression, and held that title until the Great Depression of the
1930s. Though a period of general deflation and low growth
began in 1873, (ending about 1896) , it did not have the severe "economic
retrogression [and] spectacular breakdown" of the latter Great Depression.[1]
Because of the large increases in U.S. industrial
production, GNP and real product per capita, economic historians have
questioned whether there was really a U.S. depression in anything other than
profits.[2]
It was most notable in Western Europe and North America, at least in
part because reliable data from the period is most readily available in those
parts of the world. The United Kingdom
is often considered to have been the hardest hit; during this period it lost
some of its large industrial lead over the economies of Continental Europe.[3]
While it was occurring, the view was prominent that the economy of the United
Kingdom had been in continuous depression from 1873 to as late as 1896 and some
texts refer to the period as the Great
Depression of 1873–96.[4]
In the United States, economists
typically refer to the Long Depression as the Depression of 1873–79, kicked off by the Panic of 1873, and
followed by the Depression of
1893, book-ending the entire period of the wider Long Depression[1].
The National Bureau
of Economic Research dates the contraction following the panic as
lasting from October 1873 to March 1879. At 65 months, it is the
longest-lasting contraction identified by the NBER, eclipsing the Great
Depression's 43 months of contraction.[5][6]
After the panic, the economy entered a period of rapid growth, with the U.S.
growing at the fastest rates ever in its history in the 1870s and 1880s.[7]
Miriam Medina writes in her
article ÔThe Panic and Depression of 1869-1871Õ:
The New
York Stock Exchange rose to a position of real prominence only after the Civil
War. In the 1860Õs the United States
was not on the gold standard.
Monetary values were expressed in terms of paper money.
Gold was
scarce, and the scarcity resulted in high interest rates. By 1869 the federal
treasury held in reserve $95,000,000 in gold, but only $15,000,000 worth of the
precious metal circulated throughout the country. Even at that time the fact
that it did not deal in gold as a commodity threw a great part of the
community's highly speculative business over to the Gold Exchange, which was
formed for that purpose exclusively.
The Gold Exchange
was established in 1864 on the corner of Broad Street and Exchange Place. The
dramatic incident of this period was the gold panic on Black Friday in
September, 1869, when a combination of several unscrupulous speculators, among
them James Fisk, Jr., and Jay Gould, attempted to corner and put to extravagant
figures the gold supply of the market. Operations on the Stock Exchange proper
at that time were largely made up of the personal struggles of rival
capitalists, notably in connection with the Erie and New York Central
railroads.
The completion of
the Pacific Railway (1869) caused extensive speculation in shares of the two
transcontinental railways, and as capital increased and the railway mileage of
the country extended the transactions of the Exchange became of a national
rather than provincial character. The leading operators of that time were
Gould, Fisk, Daniel Drew, Cornelius Vanderbilt and their associates. None of
the capitalists named was accustomed to trade personally on the Stock Exchange;
indeed, such a practice has always been the rare exception among active
financiers.
BLACK FRIDAY: The term
is often used to designate a dark financial day. September 24, 1869, is
sometimes referred to as Black Friday in the United States. On this day a
syndicate of New York bankers advanced the price of gold to 162 1/2, causing a
panic. It sold at 143 1/8 the previous evening. The Grant Administration dumped
$4,000,000 in gold on the market, the price falls in fifteen minutes from 162
to 133, and many investors were ruined. Fortunes were lost. Wall Street
brokerage houses failed. Railway stocks shrank. The nation's business was
paralyzed. Another such day was Friday, Sept. 19, 1873, when Jay Cooke &
Co., leading American bankers, failed. A great crash ensued in Wall Street, the
center of financial operations in America, and the historic panic of 1873
began. Credit generally was impaired and many financial institutions were
forced into bankruptcy.
Ms Medina also writes about
the ÔPanic of 1873Õ.
The Panic
of 1873 begins another period of [American] depression. The economy is in fact over-expanded,
particularly in railroad construction, and the weak link turns out to be the
banking house of Jay Cooke and Company, which helped the U.S. Government
finance the Civil War and also underwrote the construction of the Northern
Pacific Railroad. Jay Cooke and Company, a large and respected banking house
declares itself bankrupt, and announces its failure on September 18, 1873. (The bank's collapse precipitates the
"Panic of 1873" and the ensuing three year depression during which
more than 10,000 businesses fail.)
The basic
economic problems are overproduction, a declining market and deflation.
Investors in Europe, where a depression is already underway, begin to call in
American loans. The New York Stock Exchange closes its doors for 10 days; other
businesses fail; and railroad construction is curtailed, with some railroads
defaulting on their bonds. The unemployed begin to move about the country
seeking jobs, and bread lines appear in the cities. The hard times drove
numbers of laboring people and those in humble circumstances to the West and
other portions of the country, to seek the rewards which the stagnation of
business in the great commercial centre denied them.
This does not mean that the
depression was the only reality from
1857 through 1875, or in any Night-Cycle experience. Light (the energy of erection –
anti-entropy) and Darkness (the energy of de-construction – entropy
– or impotence, if a lack of energy can be expressed as a type of
introverted energy) always exist together.
But from 1857 through 1875, the energy of deconstruction was stronger
than the energy of construction.
Light struggles with Darkness during
the Night – but Darkness wins.
Darkness struggles with Light during the Day – but Light
wins. Ego-Deflation cycles are not
without attempts at Ego-Inflation.
Ego-Inflation cycles are not without attempts at Ego-Deflation. Gravity is stronger than Levity during
the Night cycle. Levity is stronger
than Gravity during the Day cycle, when man flies above the earth.
Words are limited in expressing these
concepts clearly (since the spirit has more levity during the Night that during
the Day, but the body has more levity during the Day that during the
Night). Words are tools for
sketching this process; but words can be misunderstood. Words also have a substance and a shadow
side.
I also do not want to give
the impression that economic panics happen only during the Night-Cycle of
history, during the decline of the Male Principle. One of the greatest ÔpanicsÕ in American
history occurred in 1987, during the heart of the ÔReagan MiracleÕ. In one day in 1987, ÔBlack MondayÕ, the
Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 22% of its value. But, within a week, the market had
bottomed, and buyers had returned to the market, pushing prices back up
again. There are negative incidents
in Day-Cycle bullish periods, panics, sell-offs – but these incidents do
not end the larger trend. There was
negative growth in the economy in 1953-54; but the overall electric-energy of
the era was positive.
There are ÔnightsÕ during the
Summer-Cycle; but these nights are weak and short. There are ÔdaysÕ, during the
Winter-Cycle; but these days are also weak and short.
The American Civil War,
which began in 1861 and ran into 1865, was the ultimate act of de-construction,
in that it pitted brother against brother (Apollo against Dionysus), over the
issue of secession, or divorce, or dismantlement of a country. De-construction. Civil War is the ultimate chaos a
society can experience.
The Civil War had many surface causes
– urban trade of northern cities versus agrarian systems of the south
– England against France again – Civilization against Culture again
– but it also had at its heart the ÔromanticÕ issues of racial
inequality, slavery, and feminism.
ÔEqualityÕ are always issues that move the Romantic – and ÔequalityÕ,
the balanced scales, is the sign of Libra in the zodiac, which occupies the
position of the Dusk, the Romantic
Autumn.
The 1850Õs and 1860Õs were very
fertile times for AmericaÕs emerging national ÔRomanticÕ culture. Literature saw the rise of Melville,
Hawthorne, Thoreau, Whitman. Harriet
Beecher StoweÕs book Uncle TomÕs Cabin
moved people all over the world to the plight of AmericaÕs slaves.
The expansion of Life (the Day Phase)
is about GodÕs Will – what the Bible says. The contraction of Life (the Night
Phase) is about HumanityÕs Will, about Humanism, ManÕs sense of justice.
The Day is
monotheistic at heart, tyrannical in the extreme, and autocratic by
nature. Why is this so? The Day is ruled by One Heavenly Force,
the Sun. Occasionally a dim image
of the Moon can be seen floating by, seemingly dead, ghostly, incomplete,
without power or presence.
If one studies
the heavens at Night, in contrast, one sees a whole range of planetary and
stellar forces (described as divinities by ancient cultures). The Moon is the closest and the largest
of the heavenly bodies; but there are myriad stars in the sky, all demanding
recognition. There is a heavenly
circle of constellations which the human mind conceived as a girdle, or circle
of houses, through which the Sun passed in its annual journey through the
heavens. Man was blind of the
heavens during the Day; man had no soul during the Day. The Sun was so blinding that man lost
his sense of the magnificent expanse of Nature. ManÕs own nature expanded so much during
the Day that it blotted out God and the heavens. Man actually believed he was God during
the Day, his pride making of him reflection of the Sun God – and this was
his great sin, this pride – from which he must eventually fall. Mister Greenspan became a symbol of
this, of course. It is my thesis
that he has been our Ahab, that America is the Pequod, that God manifests as
the Great White Whale (White and Black by turns, as the yin-yang symbol
portrays it); and that we are all heading down to the bottom of the sea, after
the White Whale has stove-in the Ship of State, punishing the crew (all of us)
for the transgressions of its captain.
The Day is
monotheistic, reflecting belief in the Great One God, the Sun. It is a time of the Outer Body, animated
and ÔexpandedÕ by the Spirit. It is
the time of the Chosen People, the Covenant, Conquest, Triumph, Wealth. The Day ultimately desires a monarchy,
desires a government not of equal men, but of a replica of the Sun, itself, a
Man-God-King who rules with an iron hand, the archetype of the Patriarch. This rule is based in the worship of
Man-above-Nature, in the ManÕs conquest of Nature, and in the Worship of
Material Reproduction (the conquest of land and gold). The Sun is generally the only (easily
visible) heavenly body during the Day.
The Night is
polytheistic and pantheistic (pagan, if you will), reflecting belief in a
plurality of gods, the Moon and Stars, the cosmic forces of Nature. Orthodox Christianity dismisses this
sequence as Paganism, which is demeaned as a kind of Nature-Worship (female
gods). It is a time of the Inner
Body, the Dream Body, animated and contracted into Spirit. It is the time of the death of the Outer
Body, Judgment Day, Man Meeting His Maker, Crucifixion, Purification, Holiness,
and, ultimately, of Rebirth. The
Night, ultimately, at its extreme, also desires a monarchy (Moon Ark Key),
desires a government not of equal men, but of a replica of the Moon, a
Matriarchal rule, based in the worship of Nature and in the Worship of Sexual
Reproduction, with the woman on top and the man a weakened (impotent)
accessory. (As I have written, we
will also find ÔfeminismÕ as a radical culture also at its most power at this
stage of Midnight, Capricorn, Winter
Solstice.)
The Night is
ÔreligiousÕ is the mystical sense, a living God moving among tribal societies,
imparting laws and lessons of wisdom through GodÕs manifestation through
Nature. Shamen, priests, prophets,
poets and artists are all considered close to God, messengers of God, and are
honored in the Night-Cycle society.
The Day is
ÔreligiousÕ in the non-mystical sense of a written code of Law and a priesthood
that enforces a relatively rigid code of comprehension of this written
Law. The living religion of Night
is replaced by the historic religion (the written text) of an ancestral
reality. Prophets are scorned,
arrested or labeled lunatics during the Day-Cycle of empire.
Prophets, shamen,
mystic priests, artists and poets lead the society back to God in the Dusk; and they lead the society into
the light, away from the darkness at Dawn. But, like Moses, they do not enter the
Promised Land themselves, the Land of Light and Wealth and Milk and Honey. They wait behind at the place where the
two worlds meet, their work never done, leading some to light and some to
darkness, depending on their deeds and on the trajectory of their arcs.
The Dawn is
essentially the same ÔmanÕ as the Dusk
but with the difference that the Dawn
has his back to the Darkness (the Moon) and his face to the Light (the Sun) and
is moving toward the Father Light; the Dusk
has his back to the Light (the Sun, the Father) and his face to the Darkness
(the Moon) and is moving toward the Darkness, the Mother, the Source of his
Life and the seedbed of his new life through Re-Birth.
The Dawn is a Republican in the pure sense
of the word – a believer in the Republic. The Dusk
is a Democratic in the pure sense of the word – a believer in the
Democracy.
The Republic
– i.e, democracy of, for, and by the aristocracy -- is the domain of the
Renaissance Man (the ÔenlightenedÕ Mercantile Renaissance Man at Dawn moving away from Religion and
toward Science, embedded in Humanism.
Democracy (considered ÔMob-ocracyÕ by many republican aristocrats)
– i.e., democracy of, for, and by the equal masses of men and women
– is the domain of the Romantic Renaissance Man at Dusk, also embedded in Humanism, moving, in his mind at least, away
from the City, from Civilization, back toward Nature, moving back toward
Religion, back toward the Earth).
Democracy only exists when the two primordial forces exist in a
relatively balanced state of wholeness as the middle principle – the
Human Principle, and Humanism -- between the two extremes of Sun or Male
Monarchy (Patriarchal Fascism) and Moon or Female Monarchy (Matriarchal
Communism).
To the
extent that the monotheists (monarchists) persecute the pagans (peasants,
Goths) (those who have no physical body to defend themselves, technology also
being an extended form of the body) indicates just how much suffering the
monotheists will have to endure once they lose their bodies and become,
themselves, now defenseless, residents in the land of the Night, the
polytheists, as karmic law animates the piper who plays a love song for the
Goddess Nemesis.
Note in the
diagram, the number 7 is the end of manifestation in matter (spirit
materializing) at Noon (in Cancer) and also the end of
manifestation in spirit (matter spiritualizing) at Midnight (in Capricorn). 7 of course is the last Day of Creation,
the Sabbath, the Great Day of the Lord (Saturn-Jehovah) at which time all
activity stops.
I do not
wish to leave this time period without saying something about the great Abraham
Lincoln. I have said that a Father
Figure almost always dies or is wounded at or near the Noon Hour of the Time-Cycle.
John Kennedy is martyred near the Noon-Hour in 1963.
Noon 1965
Dusk 1974
Midnight 1983
Abraham
Lincoln is martyred near the Noon-Hour
in 1865 (actually closer to the Dusk-Hour).
Noon 1857
Dusk 1866
Midnight 1875
Dawn 1884
Our
earlier characterization of the Positive-Electric Time Periods as being
ÔCowboyÕ periods and the Negative-Electric Time Periods as being ÔIndianÕ
periods, makes the phenomena of Lincoln and Kennedy (as symbols) somewhat hard
to place. Was Abraham Lincoln a
Cowboy or an Indian? Which was John
F. Kennedy?
Another way of
looking at this – with less onus on individuals and the place(s) they
inhabit on the electrical arc – is to look at both sides of the cycle in
terms of the journey of the Sun
Hero, whose ascension is to provide light and life for the world and whose
descent creates discord, poverty, political conflict and social chaos.
John Wilkes Booth
is clearly an emanation of the Dark Brother, Set in Egyptian mythology, who
murders his brother Osiris and sends Egypt into an era of loss, mourning and
prayers for resurrection.
Lee Harvey Oswald
is a similar figure, dark, lonely, alienated. It is not clear to me that Lee Harvey
Oswald did kill John Kennedy. It
seems much more likely to me that rogue forces of the FBI, the CIA, in
collusion with the mafia killed John Kennedy. Perhaps some day we will know the truth
about this.
Both
Lincoln and Kennedy appear as Sun Heroes, both murdered by the forces of chaos
and disintegration. Lincoln devoted
his life (and gave his life for) the concept of the Union – Unity, the
mystical marriage of the two opposing forces. The Civil War was a graphic picture of
the symbolic rupturing of that mystical marriage by the forces of chaos.
John Kennedy was,
in many ways, the archetypal Sun Hero.
Handsome, young, intelligent, a bright light in the world, who was
killed by the forces of polarization.
KennedyÕs death threw America in to the most polarized chaotic time it
had experienced since the death of Lincoln.
There is
an odd phenomena at work in the biography of North and South, Heaven and Earth,
Heaven and Hell, Light and Darkness.
We know that when it is Summer in the North it is Winter in the South;
and when it is Winter in the North it is Summer in the South. These forces are not stationary but are
in constant movement, pulling away from one another for a time; then drawn
toward one another by the law of attraction.
Spring (Dawn) and
Autumn (Dusk) are the two times during the SunÕs annual journey that these
forces of Light and Darkness meet.
The Northern Autumn is the Southern Spring – and, as such, at this
time the Southern force kills the Northern force and takes his place in Heaven,
although moving in a counter-direction through the heavens. When the North becomes dark, the South
becomes light. When the North
becomes light, the South becomes dark.
The North moves
ever in a clockwise direction; the South ever in a counter-clockwise
direction. It is proclaimed,
through this Law of Nature, that North and South will ever see the world from
both different perspectives and also from different angles of momentum.
Interpretation
of reality will always be trained through a different lens because of this
dynamic of polarity.
When the East
says: ÒItÕs DayÓ, the West will counter ÒNo, itÕs Night.Ó When the North says: ÒItÕs SummerÓ, the
South will always counter ÒNo, itÕs Winter.Ó These four forces will always run from
counter directions, with counter perceptions. A truly unified Earth will never be
possible because of this.
Myth never happened but always is.
Sallust, Gods and the World
CHAPTER TEN.
TIME CYCLES IN AMERICAN HISTORY, CONTINUED
(The Falcon cannot hear the Falconer)
Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best
lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full
of passionate intensity.
W.B. Yeats
– ÔThe Second ComingÕ
I have
written that my main focus in this book is on the predictable contraction periods
when structures collapse or come under attack by the forces of chaos (entropy)
– or, in W.B. Yeats famous words: ÔThings fall apart: the centre cannot
hold.Õ
But that is not
our only focus. We also expect to
see significant evidence of national modes of expansion and unity during the
Day-Cycles of American history.
Expansion is
supposed to occur in the Cowboy Cycle (Midnight
– Noon), it might be interesting to see in which phases the majority
of expansions of the American borders have occurred over the last 250 years.
Dawn 1776
– Original expansion: American Declaration of Independence.
1782-3:
Treaties with Britain to establish the United States. as an independent country
being bound on the north by Canada, on the south by Spanish Florida, on the
west by the Mississippi River, and on the east by the Atlantic Ocean.
Noon 1785
Dusk 1794
Midnight 1803:
The Louisiana Purchase (bought by Thomas Jefferson from France) extends the
western
boundary
of the United States to the Rocky Mountains. The Purchase doubles the territory
of the United States.
1810:
President James Madison declares West Florida a U.S. possession.
1810:
Tristan de Cunha first overseas possession claimed by the U.S.
Dawn 1812
1818: A convention
with Great Britain established the northern boundary of the Louisiana Purchase
at 49 degrees north.
1819:
Florida was ceded to the United States and purchased from Spain.
1820:
Maine became a state, carved out of the state of Massachusetts. The northern
boundary of Maine was disputed between the U.S. and Canada so the King of the
Netherlands was brought in as an arbiter and he settled the dispute in 1829.
However, Maine refused the deal and since Congress requires the approval of a
state legislature for boundary changes, the Senate could not approve a treaty
over the border. Ultimately, in 1842 a treaty established the Maine-Canada
border of today although it provided Maine with less territory than the King's
plan would have.
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
1845: The
independent Republic of Texas (1836-1845) is annexed to the United States. The
territory of Texas extended north to 42 degrees north (into modern Wyoming) due
to a secret treaty between Mexico and Texas.
1846:
Oregon Territory is ceded to the U.S. from Britain following an 1818 joint
claim on the territory. The Treaty
of Oregon establishes the boundary at 49 degrees north.
Dawn 1848: The
Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo following the Mexican War between the U.S.
and Mexico
resulted in the purchase of Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, Texas,
Utah, and western Colorado.
1853: With
the Gadsden Purchase of 1853, the land acquisition that resulted in the area of
the 48 contiguous states today was completed. Southern Arizona and southern New
Mexico were purchased for $10 million and named for the U.S. minister to
Mexico, James Gadsden.
1856:
Guano Islands Act. U.S. claims
Baker Island, Howard Island, and Navassa Island.
Noon 1857
Dusk 1866
1867:
Alaska was purchased from Russia for $7.2 million in gold. Some thought the
idea was ridiculous and the purchase became known as Seward's Folly, after
Secretary of State William Henry Seward. The boundary between Russia and Canada
was established by treaty in 1825.
Midnight 1875
Dawn 1884
Noon 1893
1898:
Hawaii was annexed into the United States.
Puerto Rico, Guam, the Philippines and Cuba ceded from Spain at end of
Spanish-American War.
1899:
Dusk 1902
Midnight 1911
1917:
United States Virgin Islands bought from Danes.
Dawn 1920
1925: The
final treaty with Great Britain clarifies the boundary through the Lake of the
Woods (Minnesota), resulting in the transfer of a few acres between the two
countries.
Noon 1929:
American Samoa made a formal territory of the U.S.
Dusk 1938
Midnight 1947:
Marshall Islands, Federated Islands of Micronesia, Northern Mariana Islands,
and Palau
Formalized
under U.S. trusteeship.
Dawn 1956
Noon 1965
Clearly
more physical expansions in American history have occurred during the 18-year
cycles I have called Day Cycles or Cowboy expansions. I would also expect to see higher birth
rates during these Midnight-Noon
cycles. But finding statistics on
this is not always easy. The
statistics I did find do indicate a
higher per-capita birthrate during the expansion cycles than during the
contraction cycles, although the birth-rates during the expansion cycle from
1983 – 2001 seem very low.
Midnight 1911 – Noon 1929: 511
Noon 1929 - Midnight 1947: 385.5
Midnight 1947 - Noon 1965: 455
Noon 1965 – Midnight 1983: 310
Midnight 1983 – Noon 2001: 290
I would
also expect to see a higher marriage rate and a lower divorce rate during
Expansion Cycles. I would expect
lower crime rates during Expansion Cycles.
This has nothing to do with good and evil in the
world. This has everything to do with creative forces in
Nature, or types of energy: the breathing process in Nature that balances
growth, expansion, and development (and over-development) in equal cycles of
Activity and Rest.
Each soul spends
time on both sides of this mountain, the bright expansive side, and the dark
contractive side. The bright
expansive side corresponds to the victory of the Ego in the world; the dark
contractive side corresponds to the defeat of the Ego in the world. Every soul experiences both sides. The polarity that divides one side
against another is not accidental, but it is also programmed. When the Soul (the Middle Principle)
attaches itself to the Body (the Material World), then the Body defeats the
Spirit. When the Soul attaches
itself to the Spiritual World, the Material World is defeated, and
declines. Human character requires
that souls experience defeat.
Without defeat, a soul develops no depth, staying on the surface of ego
victory, skimming on the surface of life where the senses rule but where
wisdom, understanding, and human values of the soul are almost impossible to
find. Life provides each soul with
some victories, but also with some tragedies, since the point of life seems to
be the development of the soul, the development of character, the deepening of
oneÕs nature. Too much obsession
with the surface leads to Botox City, leads to Viagra Nation. Too much obsession with the surface
leads to adults seeking to remain teenagers for ever. Plastic Surgery is a symbol of the
hollow life, the plastic life, spent skipping on the surface of convention,
amassing meaningless material possessions, seeking status, and titles. The soul uses up both worlds eventually
and needs both worlds (fire and water) in order to stay refreshed
and new.
When Ego-defeat
does come, the soul needs to drink deep from the dark water of sorrow and
disappointment. Alchemists say that
the Elixir of Life is found in the darkest part of oneÕs defeat. Mystics say the Fountain of Youth is
found in the most hidden parts of oneÕs soul, in the void, in the quiet lonely
spot on the inside of life. Time is
precious. One needs to cultivate
both the light and the darkness.
Worldly status, fame, riches are a part of life, but not the entire
story. These all turn sour if one
stays on the surface too long. One
needs to know when it is time to pull back, to take the plunge, to turn inside
and seek the refreshment of the spiritual world, the refreshment of loneliness,
depth, philosophy, poetry, the Night, the wisdom of dreams and quietude, found
only in the shadow. Convention
makes the world materially rich; eccentricity makes the world spiritually rich.
When the Male
Principle is wounded and sinks in to the Feminine Element, a period of rest and
germination results. But that is not the end.
In the same way
that Osiris, the Fire, the Sun, dies and sinks into the Female Element, Water,
Osiris travels on the dark water of death in a lonely boat of self-judgment,
self-condemnation, and self-renewal.
When he is born again, he is born as Horus, a new Sun, refreshed,
re-made, and ready again for his journey into the heavens.
A few years ago
Mikhail Gorbachev commented that AmericansÕ obsession with winning was
pathological. Clearly, it is
schizophrenic – because it denies the value of one half of
existence. Victory is
everything. But victory is not
everything. Schizophrenia describes a split psyche: the broken
nature rejecting the dark side of its own nature, the side the psche needs to
make itself whole, to heal itself.
So, we
have discovered that economic deflation and the Noon-Hour have been companions through much of the 1800Õs in
America. This was clearly the case
from 1857 through the Civil War until about 1875. What about the next Night Cycle, 1893
– 1911?
Noon 1857
– Business Expansion ends: Chaos begins.
Dusk 1866
– Business Contraction: Chaos accelerates.
Midnight 1875
– Business Expansion begins.
Chaos begins to end.
Dawn 1884
– Business Expansion accelerates.
Noon 1893 -
Business Expansion ends: Chaos begins.
Dusk 1902
– Business Contraction: Chaos accelerates.
Midnight 1911
– Business Expansion begins.
Chaos begins to end.
Right on
time, 1893 marks the beginning of a period of world recessions. Not only was the depression on time, but
social chaos also replaced the relatively prosperous period of the preceding
Day-Cycle, 1875 – 1893. David
O. Whitten writes in his article ÔThe Depression of 1893Õ about both the
depression and the impressive growth of the preceding Day-Cycle (1875 –
1893):
The Depression of 1893 was one of
the worst in American history with the unemployment rate exceeding ten percent
for half a decade. This article describes economic developments in the decades
leading up to the depression; the performance of the economy during the 1890s;
domestic and international causes of the depression; and political and social
responses to the depression.
The Depression of
1893 can be seen as a watershed event in American history. It was accompanied
by violent strikes, the climax of the Populist and free silver political
crusades, the creation of a new political balance, the continuing
transformation of the country's economy, major changes in national policy, and
far-reaching social and intellectual developments. Business contraction shaped
the decade that ushered out the nineteenth century.
Unemployment Estimates
One way to measure the severity of
the depression is to examine the unemployment rate. Table 1 provides estimates
of unemployment, which are derived from data on output -- annual unemployment
was not directly measured until 1929, so there is no consensus on the precise
magnitude of the unemployment rate of the 1890s. Despite the differences in the
two series, however, it is obvious that the Depression of 1893 was an important
event. The unemployment rate exceeded ten percent for five or six consecutive
years. The only other time this occurred in the history of the US economy was
during the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Timing and Depth of the Depression
The
National Bureau of Economic Research estimates that the economic contraction
began in January 1893 and continued until June 1894. The economy then grew
until December 1895, but it was then hit by a second recession that lasted until
June 1897. Estimates of annual real gross national product (which adjust for
this period's deflation) are fairly crude, but they generally suggest that real
GNP fell about 4% from 1892 to 1893 and another 6% from 1893 to 1894. By 1895
the economy had grown past its earlier peak, but GDP fell about 2.5% from 1895
to 1896. During this period population grew at about 2% per year, so real GNP
per person didn't surpass its 1892 level until 1899. Immigration, which had
averaged over 500,000 people per year in the 1880s and which would surpass one
million people per year in the first decade of the 1900s, averaged only 270,000
from 1894 to 1898.
Table 1
. Estimates of Unemployment during the
1890s
Year Lebergott Romer
1890 4.0% 4.0%
1891 5.4 4.8
1892 3.0 3.7
1893 11.7 8.1
1894 18.4 12.3
1895 13.7 11.1
1896 14.5 12.0
1897 14.5 12.4
1898 12.4 11.6
1899 6.5 8,7
1900 5.0 5.0
Source: Romer, 1984
The
depression struck an economy that was more like the economy of 1993 than that
of 1793. By 1890, the US economy generated one of the highest levels of output
per person in the world -- below that in Britain, but higher than the rest of
Europe. Agriculture no longer dominated the economy, producing only about 19
percent of GNP, well below the 30 percent produced in manufacturing and mining.
Agriculture's share of the labor force, which had been about 74% in 1800, and
60% in 1860, had fallen to roughly 40% in 1890. As Table 2 shows, only the
South remained a predominantly agricultural region. Throughout the country few
families were self-sufficient, most relied on selling their output or labor in
the market -- unlike those living in the country one hundred years earlier.
Table 2
.
Agriculture's Share of the Labor Force by Region, 1890
Northeast 15%
Middle Atlantic 17%
Midwest 43%
South Atlantic 63%
South Central 67%
West 29%
Economic Trends Preceding the 1890s
Between
1870 and 1890 the number of farms in the United States rose by nearly 80
percent, to 4.5 million, and increased by another 25 percent by the end of the
century. Farm property value grew by 75 percent, to $16.5 billion, and by 1900
had increased by another 25 percent. The advancing checkerboard of tilled
fields in the nation's heartland represented a vast indebtedness. Nationwide
about 29% of farmers were encumbered by mortgages. One contemporary observer
estimated 2.3 million farm mortgages nationwide in 1890 worth over $2.2
billion. But farmers in the plains were much more likely to be in debt. Kansas
croplands were mortgaged to 45 percent of their true value, those in South
Dakota to 46 percent, in Minnesota to 44, in Montana 41, and in Colorado 34
percent. Debt covered a comparable proportion of all farmlands in those states.
Under favorable conditions the millions of dollars of annual charges on farm mortgages
could be borne, but a declining economy brought foreclosures and tax sales.
Railroads opened
new areas to agriculture, linking these to rapidly changing national and
international markets. Mechanization, the development of improved crops, and
the introduction of new techniques increased productivity and fueled a rapid
expansion of farming operations. The output of staples skyrocketed. Yields of
wheat, corn, and cotton doubled between 1870 and 1890 though the nation's
population rose by only two-thirds. Grain and fiber flooded the domestic
market. Moreover, competition in world markets was fierce: Egypt and India
emerged as rival sources of cotton; other areas poured out a growing stream of
cereals. Farmers in the United States read the disappointing results in falling
prices. Over 1870-73, corn and wheat averaged $0.463 and $1.174 per bushel and
cotton $0.152 per pound; twenty years later they brought but $0.412 and $0.707
a bushel and $0.078 a pound. In 1889 corn fell to ten cents in Kansas, about half
the estimated cost of production. Some farmers in need of cash to meet debts
tried to increase income by increasing output of crops whose overproduction had
already demoralized prices and cut farm receipts.
Railroad
construction was an important spur to economic growth. Expansion peaked between
1879 and 1883, when eight thousand miles a year, on average, were built
including the Southern Pacific, Northern Pacific and Santa Fe. An even higher
peak was reached in the late 1880s, and the roads provided important markets
for lumber, coal, iron, steel, and rolling stock.
The post-Civil
War generation saw an enormous growth of manufacturing. Industrial output rose
by some 296 percent, reaching in 1890 a value of almost $9.4 billion. In that
year the nation's 350,000 industrial firms employed nearly 4,750,000 workers.
Iron and steel paced the progress of manufacturing. Farm and forest continued
to provide raw materials for such established enterprises as cotton textiles,
food, and lumber production. Heralding the machine age, however, was the
growing importance of extractives -- raw materials for a lengthening list of
consumer goods and for producing and fueling locomotives, railroad cars,
industrial machinery and equipment, farm implements, and electrical equipment
for commerce and industry. The swift expansion and diversification of
manufacturing allowed a growing independence from European imports and was
reflected in the prominence of new goods among US exports. Already the value of
American manufactures was more than half the value of European manufactures and
twice that of Britain.
Whitten
claims there were two depressions, 1893-1894 and 1895-1897. Of course, these two depressions were
probably the same depression, with separate surface appearances, but with a
common root system.
There was also a
depression in 1901. And there was
also a bank panic caused recession/depression in 1907 – the so-called
J.P. Morgan bank panic, caused by AmericaÕs leading banking family for the
benefit of AmericaÕs leading banking family. We are seeing, as we have seen in the
other Night-Cycle periods, a sustained
de-construction of matter lasting for very close to 18 years. There are bull rallies in the stock
markets during periods of economic deflation. There are companies that thrive. There are attempts made by the masters
of money to turn the tide of the economy in the direction of prosperity. These rallies are bear traps. The bears control the markets, with
their negative energy: a combination of dread, sense of righteous
self-martyrdom, appreciation of the tragic (the tragic view belongs to the
Romantic) – and a real terror of sudden poverty which leads to
tight-fisted saving as an ethic, which new Puritanism sinks the world further
into inactivity, as the currency dries up in bank accounts, no longer
circulating, which cripples the body politic. Banks refuse to lend, since fewer and
fewer people become credit worthy.
Fewer and fewer people want to borrow, as borrowing is viewed by the
suddenly self-sufficient natures as foolish, at best, or part of a criminal intrigue they wish
to avoid. Bankers are viewed as
satanic accomplices. The capitalist
is equated with the slave-owner and the heartless landlord.
Depressions are a
moral reaction in the heart of the culture to an aggregate business corruption,
greed, and spiraling inflation that makes life become or seem dreadful. In the same way that light is born as a
seed at Midnight (Winter), as represented by the
Christ-child in the Christian system, so darkness is born as a seed at Noon (Summer)Éand this Darkness came be represented simply by the word
ÔNoÕ in terms of the question of ÔIs Life good?Õ. The Sun-Hero, at birth, assents to this
question: ÔYes, life is good.Õ But
the light is different at Noon; and
the world is jaded, tired, corrupt, used up – entropy sets in.
I have written
that the two forces, Light and Darkness, Man and Woman, Positive and Negative
energy, meet twice during the annual journey of life, once in the Spring (March
21) and a second time in the Autumn (September 21). If you add the 9 months of gestation to
the Spring conjunction of the Masculine and Feminine (battle or conjunction or
mutual destruction), you get a birth time for the child of this conjunction of
December 21, the birth-time of Jesus Christ. If you add the 9 months of gestation to
the Autumn conjunction of the Masculine and Feminine forces, you get a birth
time for this second child, the child of Autumn, as June 21, the birth-time of
John the Baptist. John the Baptist
comes first; prophecies the coming of Jesus; and is killed. Jesus comes after, and redeems the world
through his own death.
We will remember
that John the Baptist brought ÔwaterÕ to the Earth, the water of baptism,
purification, the flood. Where
Jesus brought ÔfireÕ to the Earth, the fire of the Masculine Principle, the
fire of Day-Light.
John the Baptist
brings the ÔwaterÕ when the Night-Cycle begins to gain power, at Noon or at the
Summer Solstice, June 21.
Jesus Christ
bring the ÔfireÕ when the Day-Cycle begins to gain power, at Midnight or at the
Winter Solstice, December 21.
The
1901-1903 depression was brought on by more greed and corruption on Wall
Street. The smoking gun was the
struggles between E.H. Harriman, Jacob Schiff and J.P. Morgan (allied with
James J. Hill) in their bid for financial control of Northern Pacific
Railroad. The cornering of Northern
Pacific stocks was organized by James Stillman and William RockefellerÕs First
National City Bank – financed with Standard Oil money. A compromise between these financial
titans resulted in the formation of the Northern Securities Company – but
the damage to Wall Street was already done. On May 17, 1901, the New York Stock
Exchange crashed with a terrible suddenness. Harriman, president of Union Pacific
Railroad Company, had been purchasing Northern Pacific shares in an attempt to
monopolize the Chicago railroad market.
Miriam
Medina writes about the panic/depression of 1901-1903:
The break started shortly before 1
o'clock, and when the market closed, some two hours later, quotations had
slumped in the interval anywhere from 1 to 20 points. Many fortunes that had
been made in the last six months by men who never before had a dollar, and who,
encouraged by their great successes in the phenomenal market since Mr.
McKinley's election had "pyramided" their accounts, were in some
cases wholly wiped out as a result of the crash, and others so considerably
reduced that little remains. Even some of the so-called "big" men
have been badly hit, and there was talk also of serious trouble on the part of
some brokerage houses.
So threatening,
indeed, is the situation that conferences of important bankers and banking
interests were held late last evening to discuss the matter and to consider
ways and means to prevent a far-reaching financial catastrophe.
Hence is was that
after the market's close last night there was gloom in many parts of the
financial district, where for some months past only smiling faces have been
seen. The youths and others, who, elated by their new-found fortunes, have been
slapping one another on the back and half playfully, half in earnest, referred
to themselves as "financiers," were chewing the "bitter cud"
of despair and disaster, and wondering how it all happened. These are the men
of whom before election Wall Street had never heard. Of many of them Wall
Street will probably never again hear.
When the Break Came
The break itself came as out of a
clear sky. All speculative eyes on the Street had in the early dealings been
centered upon a further phenomenal rise in Northern Pacific common stock,
which, the "corner" in it still operating, had jumped up by leaps and
bounds to 180, as compared with Tuesday's close of 143 1/2- a gain of 70 full
points in three days had then reacted to 145, only again to advance from that
figure a dozen points or more, with $200 bid for it after the close of the
market, and $70 a share paid for the use of it over night by the shorts. It was
all so spectacular, all so interesting, all so phenomenal, that concerning the
rest of the market the Street, generally, gave little serious heed and
certainly saw little prospect or probability of the collapse that came so soon
afterward.
Here and there
some of the more conservative in the Street shook their heads ominously and
declared that any such "corner" was always disastrous to the general
market. But the rank and file paid no attention to these warnings and went
blithely ahead buying stocks and sending them higher.
Of a sudden,
Burlington stock, which had been more or less heavy all the morning, began to
show unmistakable signs of weakness, while almost coincidently the Erie issues
were depressed. The rank and file watched and wondered, and as they watched,
the prices of the issues went lower still. Then in the general list, prices
also began to fall. First it was St. Paul, then it was Missouri Pacific, and
then it was Union Pacific. Finally the whole market was declining. Some holders
of stocks not knowing the why and the wherefore of it and thinking it only one
of the many ordinary reactions that have from time to time appeared in the
market since election, "sat" on their stocks and looked for a
recovery. Other holders, more timid if might be more conservative, of even less
able to hold proceeded, however, to part with their holdings. Soon the
contagion spread, the professional bears on the floor of the Exchange the while
aiding in this by hammering the whole list.
Quotations
thereupon began to break, not quarter or half points between sales, but one and
two points. That settled it. The entire Street proceeded to sell. Where before
the cry had been only. "Buy, buy, buy," it became, "Sell, sell,
sell." Stocks were literally tumbled out sold without rhyme or without
reason-anything "to get out."
The Affected Stocks
And so it was that every prominent
stock on the list broke badly with the one conspicuous exception of Northern
Pacific, which held its head so well above the storm that at the close of the
day it showed a net advance of 16 1/2 points. In contrast, St. Paul sold down
from the high figure 20 points, and closed with a net loss of 15 1/2. Union
Pacific from its high figure, dropped 17 1/2 points and closed for a net loss
of 9 3/4 points. Missouri Pacific broke 14 1/2 points, closing with a net
decline of 8 1/2. Amalgamated Copper broke over 12 points; Sugar, 7; Atchison,
8; United States Steel, 7; and the preferred 12; Pullman Palace Car on one sale
of 100 shares, 11 1/4, and many other conspicuous stocks from 3 to 5 points.
The break,
indeed, was the biggest single-day general break the Street has seen since
1893-greater even, so far as the general list is concerned, than the decline
following the death of Roswell P. Flower. When it was in progress the scene on
the floor was one of the wildest excitement. The mad struggle to buy and to
sell Northern Pacific stock at the opening had been startling enough; that in
the late afternoon was unparalleled in recent years. Brokers acted as insane
men. Men, rational and responsible, fairly fought with one another in the
execution of their orders. Big men lightly threw little men aside, and the
little men, fairly crying with indignation, jumped anew into the fray-using
hands, arms, elbows, feet-anything to gain their point.
And, all the
while, there was such yelling and shouting as had not been heard even on the
recent "wildest" days in the street. Stocks were going down points at
a time, and a second's delay might mean thousands of dollars.
To the spectators
in the distant gallery of the Produce Exchange it was something
incomprehensible, almost, demoniac- this struggle, this Babel of voices, these
wild-eyed excited brokers, selling and buying, buying and selling. But to the
brokers themselves it was serious business indeed. Fortunes were in their hands
in trust for their customers who watched, eager-eyed, in the brokerage offices,
the pulsating of the tickers as they told what was being done on the floor-as
they ticked out how fortunes, easily made, being more easily lost.
Northern Pacific Corner.
As for the market
itself, the rise in Northern Pacific being the opening feature, comes logically
first. And such a rise it was, proving beyond all question that the stock was actually
cornered. On the day previous it had closed at 143 1/2, this marking a net gain
in two days of no fewer than 33 1/2 points, the stock at the same time
commanding a premium of 7 per cent over night. Yesterday it opened up at 155,
on transactions involving 2,000 shares a gain of 12 1/2 points, and then fairly
jumped up to 180. From there it declined to 145, only later to go to 167, and
to close at 160, a net gain of 16 1/2 points on dealings in 50,000 shares.
Who these
Northern Pacific losers are is only a matter of conjecture, but rumor is busy
with many names. John W. Gates is credited with being short no less than 60,000
shares of the stock 50 points below the close of last night, while a number of
Western " plungers" are also declared to be rather heavily involved.
Mr. Gates smiles when asked about these stories, and declares that he is not
short of the stock, and in fact, was never short a share of stock in his life,
except some Sugar, which he was glad to cover without profit. In the meantime,
however, he has postponed his European trip.
Isidor Wormser,
also credited with being short of the stock, was seen by a New York Times
reporter yesterday. "They say you are heavily short, Mr. Wormser,"
ventured the reporter. "Oh, do they? You don't mean to say so!" was
the answer. And then, as he turned to go away, "I have nothing to
say."
As for the
stories of fortunes made, they are many. According to one report, ex-President
Cleveland through a "tip" from Mr. Lamont, had rounded out a cool
half million of dollars, while other of Mr. Lamont's friends had also done
well. If this is so, it does not agree with the report that the Hill people had
sold their stock, for Mr. Lamont is very close to Mr. Hill. However, all this
is more or less gossip and cannot be verified. One certain gainer is known. He
is John Manning, a well-known broker on the floor, who sold the 2,000 shares of
stock yesterday at 180-sold it short, at that-and in less than a minute had
bought it back at 160, a clear gain of $20,000.
The amount of
money lost by the short side in the stock is variously estimated at from
$40,000,000 to $75,000,000. As for actual figures, these will not be obtainable
for some time, if ever. Mr. Keene is credited with having enriched himself to
the extent of $3,000,000 by the corner. To what extent the syndicate have
profited nobody ventures an opinion. Some idea of the added worth of the shares
may be gained when it is pointed out that they have enhanced just $50 per share
since last Saturday. At a conservative estimate 600,000 shares have been traded
in the first three days of this week, so that with an increase of $50 per share
the long side of the market finished business yesterday about $30,000,000
richer than on Saturday.
Great Fight For Control
As
for the talk telling of a great fight for control of the stock between the
Morgan-Hill interests on the one side and the Harriman-Kuhn-Loeb-Standard Oil
people on the other, nothing definite can be learned. In some parts of the
Street the talk of a fight and of a great clash between these powerful
interests is credited. In other parts it is ridiculed. One story has it that
over 100,000 shares more than the actual capital stock of the company have been
bought by the opposing syndicates, and that it is as yet uncertain where
control lies.
In this
connection a Wall Street news bulletin yesterday published the following as
"on authority." " The Northern Pacific situation is this: The
Morgan Hill interest some time ago sold a considerable amount of stock. The
Harriman syndicate gradually acquired a very large amount of stock, nearly, if
not quite, control. Notice was given that this stock had been bought not for
war, but to promote harmony. The Morgan-Hill interests did not accept the
proposition, but immediately began to buy and have bought in the last few days
a very large amount of stock.
"The two
interests, Hill-Morgan on one side and Harriman syndicate on the other, have
bought more than 100,000 shares more Northern Pacific than there is in
existence. It is impossible to tell with certainty which interest has control
until it is known which party gets most certificates, and which gets most of
settlement of contracts. Obviously one has voting power and one has not.
"Pending
developments, stock is being loaned to legitimate borrowers and assurances are
given that the books will not be closed immediately, giving time for arbitrage
dealers to adjust their balances. Large arbitrage settlements have been made in
London, which will materially reduce the borrowing demand from that
source."
This, however, is
altogether in conflict with the statement of Robert Bacon, a partner of J.
Pierpont Morgan, who to a reporter of The New York Times said yesterday:
"The Hill-Morgan interests in Northern Pacific are intact." Mr. Hill
himself, seen coming out of J. P. Morgan & Co's office at half past 1
o'clock yesterday, and asked about Northern Pacific, replied: " I have not
bought a share of Northern Pacific in six months.
Asked as to the
reported differences between the Harriman syndicate and the Morgan-Hill
interests, he said: "That has been magnified a thousand times." On
the same subject a partner in the firm of Kuhn, Loeb & Co. said: "It
would not be wise to make any statement today because not tending to promote
the securing of that harmony which we all desire." Asked whether this
meant that there actually was a fight on the gentleman in question merely
laughed. James R. Keene, who is credited with having engineered the
"corner," is the Street declares, "sawing wood and saying nothing."
Appeal To Mr. Morgan
However,
whatever the situation, several conferences were held yesterday and late last
night, attended by Mr. Hill, Mr. Harriman, James Stillman, Vice President
Lamont of Northern Pacific, and several other gentlemen. What transpired was
not disclosed. It is said that Mr. Morgan, now abroad, has been appealed to
settle all matters in dispute, and that a reply from him in answer to a
cablegram sent last night is expected at any time.
As to what will
happen to the stock today that is only a matter for conjecture. Brokers sum the
situation up thus: "Either the shorts will fail on it, or they will be
given the stock by those who have cornered it."
Coming now to the
general market, which broke so badly in the face of this great rise in Northern
Pacific, it may be said that in large measure this very "corner" was
responsible for the break. It showed, first, that in some respects, at least,
certain of the advances in prices had been brought about artificially and
without regard to real values. But, above and beyond this, particularly when
the stories of a conflict between leading financial interests became so
persistent, it led to many reports that certain, far-reaching consolidation
schemes planned and planning would never be carried through. Specifically it
may be said that it was declared with some positive ness that the Burlington
deal was among those that would never be completed, principally because of the
Northern Pacific development.
From Burlington
the story of "clashes" spread to other railways-to St. Paul, to
Missouri Pacific and so on all through the list. Then, again, it was declared
that some of the larger financiers were "selling out" on one another.
And so the disturbing rumors went on, while the uneasiness was added to by a
sharp rise in call money rates, at one time to 20 per cent. Where it closed,
and by the announcement of an engagement of gold for export. London also was
reported to have received the "cue" to sell, and this in a measure
was borne out by the much lower prices sent over by London at the opening here,
all the international stocks being down anywhere from one to ten points, the
big drop being, strangely enough, in Northern Pacific.
But, as already
pointed out, in the early trading Wall Street operators gave little heed to any
of these disturbing reports or to the lower figures. Instead they went gaily in
and bid the general market up from one to five points, Union Pacific leading
always excepting Northern Pacific. Burlington, however, lagged, but not Erie,
the latter being understood to be in the Burlington deal. Soon Burlington
developed actual weakness: but still the market held. Then Erie began to fall
off, and then the rout of the bulls began. They ran slowly at first, but as the
decline grew greater they ran faster, and thus accelerated their own downfall.
In the end they were in full flight and throwing over their stocks, though the
nature of the purchases suggested that some of the stronger people were buying
at the sacrifice figures.
Fluctuations In Prices
Prices
broke and rose frequently a point and two points at a time. An extreme case was
where one sale of Brooklyn Rapid Transit was made at 73 and the next at 77-a
clear gain of 4 full points. So great, indeed, was the rush to sell that in the
last hour the total transactions for a single hour probably established a new
record. It is a fact that the tape did not "tick off" the last
transaction until 3:16 o'clock, being a full sixteen minutes behind. Not only
that, but then came the Government bond sales, which usually are printed at
2:15 o'clock, but which yesterday were absolutely ignored until after the
market's close. The last transaction in them was not recorded until 3:25
o'clock.
What Brokers Say
What some representative
Stock Exchange brokers think of the market will appear from these expressions
of opinion. S. V. White- What do I think? Why, what is there to think? The
Northern Pacific "corner" has killed the market, has sickened it unto
death.
Bayard Dominick
of Dominick & Dominick-. This market was the result of over-speculation.
Men, women, and children have had more on their hands than they could take care
of, and the sequence was natural. It was not unexpected by brokers with any
experience in Wall Street. The market has had a splendid decline, and the
atmosphere has been greatly cleared. A revival will come after the belated
liquidation is over.
H. H. Hollister
of Hollister & Babcock- "The Street feels that there is a battle of
giants for the Northern Pacific, and that if either side got it the Burlington
deal would be jeopardized. That is the reason for the nervousness. At the same
time today there was a kind of bargain counter here for people who had the
money to avail themselves of a good opportunity. É
At that
time all precedents of every kind in Stock Exchange history were broken. Where
a few years before, transactions of 200,000 shares a day had been regarded as
constituting a large market and half a million shares as a day of extreme
activity, scarcely a day now elapsed in which the volume of business did not
run from one to two million shares, culminating on April 30, 1901, in
transactions of 3,200,000 shares. Prices in the meantime were advancing at a
rate which brought the entire financial public into the field as a
speculator.
The real force
underlying the movement was the purchase of stock companies by other companies
which pledged their credit to raise the funds requisite to provide for the
purchase. This movement culminated in the famous Northern Pacific corner of May
9, 1901, when the efforts of two rival groups of capitalists to get hold of
that railroad property forced its shares to the price of $1000, the stock
having never touched $100 until three weeks before. Apprehension that operators
who were unable to deliver stock which they had pledged would be dealt with
summarily, caused one of the most violent collapses of values in the Stock
Exchange's History.
Recovery was prompt,
and both 1901 and 1902 were characterized by numerous sensational movements for
the advance, the second of those years scoring as a rule the higher values. In
general, however, it was recognized that high-water mark in Stock Exchange
activity had been reached. In the autumn of 1901 and in the fall of 1902 and the
early part of 1903 severe reaction in values supervened.
The noteworthy
characteristic of the period was the employment of enormously wealthy
syndicates to sustain prices for the newly issued shares on the Stock Exchange
until the public could be induced to buy. Such syndicates were remunerated at
first by large allotments of stock and later by heavy cash payments, the
syndicate formed in March, 1901, to "underwrite" the billion-dollar
stock issued by the United States Steel Corporation to take up the shares of
other steel and iron combinations, pledging itself, in case of necessity, to
advance $200,000,000 capital for the purpose.
The stock issue worked
out so successfully, however, that only a small fraction of the guarantee was
called for, and two years later the original capital subscribed was returned to
subscribers, with an additional cash allotment sufficient to raise profits to
200 per cent. A second syndicate, formed in 1902 to underwrite a $50,000,000
bond issue by the same corporation and the conversion of $200,000,000 of its
stocks into bonds, fared less fortunately, being obliged to perform the whole
of its guarantee at a time of falling prices. In the spring of 1903 it was
generally recognized that the extensive employment of the syndicate underwriting
plan had "tied up" immense amounts of capital which were usually
available in the general market. The investing public having bought very
sparingly and the syndicate banking interests being unable to support prices, a
very severe and general decline on the Stock Exchange ensued.
This long, colorful description of the Crash of 1901
and the subsequent depression, serves to reiterate the lessons one must learn
about the nature of popped economic (ego) bubbles. In many cases, the destruction of the
economy is triggered by a few men who have been best served by the lax economic
regulations limiting their crimes and shenanigans, allowing them to line their
own pockets at the expression puts it.
But how much money is enough?
Is a billion enough? Is ten
billion enough? J.P.Morgan was one
of the richest men in the world.
But he apparently wasnÕt rich enough. The mode of thinking/reacting of the
type-A personalities which characterizes most successful
entrepreneurs/businessmen and businesswomen is that the world is a jungle, that
life is a war for survival, that the weak die and the strong survive –
economic darwinism. This is a form
of schizophrenia, or course – because this type believes in the
half-truth they are perceiving – that the world has no heart and no soul
and no decency, and that only the fool and loser believes it does. This form of schizophrenia may make for
explosive business successes; but it does not make for a sane society. These schizophrenics are not good role
models for our children – look at their own lives, which are often
scarred with crimes, divorces, injured children, twisted values, loneliness,
and self-destructive behavior.
Relatively, a very few VERY rich men
pulled the Global Economy down to its knees in a matter of months. Why? Because they could not control
themselves. The spirit of Greed and
the quest for Power was such that they could not help themselves. Like Ahab, they had to kill the White
Whale, they had to chase the White Whale, life on land was not enough for them,
they had to make that final deal, the one that turned billions into
trillions. And now the average
American citizen will be paying for their failure, their insanity, for at least
a generation – until the Spirit of Greed takes over the world again and
we race off a cliff, believing that money is the only thing worth chasing in
this world.
The same story happens over and over
again.
If I have been able to discover
18-year half cycles (36 year cycles) that define the day-night cycles of the
economy, does the reader think that professional, nightly educated economists
are not aware of this? I find it almost unbelievable that Allen
Greenspan and Ben Bernanke are not aware of these cycles. My view is that Mister Greenspan
probably did know that economic cycles in America did run in 36-year cycles,
top to top, and that 2001 was the end of the American expansion, in terms of
NatureÕs (or GodÕs) plan – but that Mister Greenspan, like Ahab, believed
he could cheat the devil, trick God, overpower Nature with his advanced
intellect. He would break the
cycle. He had been studying the
problem his whole life; and he had a solution to this encroaching power of the
negative. He would flood the world
with money. He would make
everything float if he flooded the world with cheap money. If the Federal Reserve Board had just
flooded the world with cheap money in 1929, darkness would have been banished
from the world. We now knew how to
strip the world (and history) of all its negativity. And he was just the man to do it.
Call it arrogance, hubris, pride,
genuine faith, optimismÉif Mister Greenspan had been acting in accord with
Nature, he would have seen the Dot Com bubble bursting in 2001 as the first
step toward a necessary deflationary
season – and he would have begun to raise rates and protect the
dollar. Yes, this would have caused
recession. People would have lost
jobs. Companies would have
failed.
To have done this would have required
an amazing political will – one that usually is missing from democratic
systems, where Ôbeing likedÕ means being elected, where being a kind of Santa
Claus, spreading gifts and good news all around, is the road to political
power.
Because Greenspan (and the Federal
Reserve Board) fought Nature will all its might – and is still doing so,
claiming that making it easy for people and companies to borrow will save the
nationÕs economy – still not understanding that we are heading over a
cliff because we abandoned all borrowing discipline as a nation (high to low,
wall street to main street) for the better part of two decades. Borrowing is what created this
mess. Being a debtor nation, a
debtor society, slaves of the banks, is what led to our demise. Living on borrowed time. Borrowing more – whether the U.S.
government or the U.S. consumer – is the absolutely wrong approach. We need
deflation; we need a painful readjustment; we need a new set of values that
looks at easy money with suspicion, that looks at corrupt business practices as
immoral and self-destructive.
I am not ignoring the decent side of
Alan Greenspan, his desire for light, for wealth for all the worldÕs citizens,
for an ever-expanding economic well-being.
There is that side, IÕm sure.
But Mister Greenspan is also part of the 1% of the American rich who
control everything in this country and many things in the world. This is the American Ruling Class. These are the people the U.S. government
is now bailing out with gifts of trillions of dollars. The Ruling Class insists of having the
freedom to succeed; but they apparently donÕt insist on having the freedom to
fail. They insist of being allowed
to keep the fruits of their labors; but they beg (literally BEG) for the
government to save them when they fall flat on their collective face. When this American Ruling Class
consciously chooses risk over reason, when they intentionally walk down the
path of self-destruction, with a complicit understand from the power sources in
Washington, that they are too big to fail, that Washington will not allow them to fail because it will
be too devastating to the country if they were to fail, then what is their
incentive to obey the law, to protect AmericaÕs money and financial structure,
to act like sane guardians of AmericaÕs future?
All these companies that broke the law
to gain the illusory, forbidden Golden Apple, that failed to protect their
investors with sound monetary practice, if they truly are too important to
America for to be allowed to fail, should be nationalized by the government –
and when profit returns to these institutions, if it ever does, these profits
should thereafter fund national health, education, and public service projects
(police, fire, natural disaster relief) that will benefit all qualified
Americans.
America does not lose its covenant
with God as the New Jerusalem if it puts the welfare of all of its citizens
above the ÔfreedomÕ for a few citizens to become billionaires by stealing and
cheating. Criminals always get rich,
or die trying to get rich. The
welfare of all Americans comes before any legal or moral obligation to provide
avenues for a handful of billionaires to thrive on their own ability to bend
the law, to overwhelm competitors, or to bribe government officials to grease
their road to riches.
The (negative) Night-Cycle – the
Dionysian Cycle – is defined by anger at the Father, anger of the Son at
the Father for the FatherÕs imperfection (and corruption); anger of the
Daughter at the Father for his perceived lack of love (feminist movements as
anger at the Patriarchy). During
the Day-Cycle, the Dark Son is at odds with the Father; but the Light-Son
defends the Father, becoming the Father for a time. When the Light-Son falls, he joins the
Dark Son in insisting on a revolt against the heavens. But the Light-Son eventually finds Jesus
in the Darkness, Jesus being a path that transcends political revolution and
leads back to light, back to an atonement with the Father – and Light
returns to the world in this re-born alliance between Father and Son.
Where are we now? The Light-Son has fallen in to the
Darkness and his alliance now is with De-Construction, with pessimism, with
tragedy and against the mansions of the Father.
The Anti-Hero views the Establishment,
the Power Center, as the force of Evil.
He does not defend the Law which he now finds as being a corruption
designed to preserve the power of the corrupt Ruling Class.
The Hero defends the law to defeat the
criminal class that threatens civilization. The Hero is the Guardian Angel of
Civilization. When the Hero falls,
there is no powerful moral force left behind to defend civilization. War comes to the world. Civilization is admonished. The sanctuary is lost.
The Hero phase resembles the Lone
Ranger (with his amiable shadow companion Tonto) defending the town and
civilization from the criminal barbarians.
The Anti-Hero phase resembles John
Lennon defending Eldridge Cleaver (his giant menacing shadow) and his right to
lead a revolution against the White ManÕs injustice; or John BrownÕs raid at HarperÕs
Ferry. (We remember that the
ÔscourgeÕ of Marxism/Communism in Asia was the brain-child of disaffected,
romantic, rebellious white youth punishing their rich fathers by pulling their
materialistic empire down to the ground.
Lenin, Marx, Trotsky were all children of affluence siding with Ôthe
enemyÕ – the poor, the dark skinned, the rejected -- in order to punish
their fathers.)
The Panic of 1907 was also known as Ôthe BankersÕ PanicÕ. The Panic of 2007 also was a kind of ÔBankersÕ PanicÕ. In fact, almost all financial panics are
ÔBankersÕ PanicsÕ. The bankers kill
the goose that lays the golden egg.
IsnÕt that the lesson that we are learning in this study? The bankers kill the goose; and the
government bails out the bankers, because the society cannot survive (and
thrive) without the bankers, without capital.
During 1907, the New York Stock
Exchange lost 50% of its value, this as the nation struggled with recession,
and banks and trust companies failed, one by one, after bank-runs (deposit withdrawals)
by fearful citizens. The Panic of
1907 started in New York City, but soon spread across the country, as local
banks failed and businesses sank in to bankruptcy. Various causes of the panic have
been suggested by historians: a credit crunch; a depositorÕs loss of confidence
in the banking system; the lack of a central bank to inject capital into the
financial markets.
The economy turned nasty in the summer
of 1907. U.S. Steel, the largest
industrial corporation in America, reported a sharp drop in earnings and
orders; railroad earnings followed suit.
The Charles W. MorseÕs Shipping Corporation then collapsed, sending a
sign to America that more hard times were approaching. In the Autumn, New York City had trouble
selling its municipal bonds on Wall Streets. There were no buyers. In October, the Heinze-Morse chain of
banks failed. And runs on
Knickerbocker Trust Company, the Trust Company of America, the Lincoln Trust
Company and more than ten other financial institutions forced them out of
business. By late October, panic
was widespread.
Trust companies were required to
maintain cash reserves of only 2-3% -- and could afford to pay higher rates of
return than ordinary banks because of this. However, when runs on trust companies
happened, with so little reserves on hand, these companies were hard-pressed to
cover depositorsÕ demands.
The Panic of 1907 occurred
(reminiscent of the Panic of 1901) after the October 1907 failure of Otto
Heinze, whose family owned a major stake in United Copper Company, to corner
the market on the stock of the company.
This Heinze Family failure drove OttoÕs brokerage house, Gross &
Kleeberg, into bankruptcy. Soon thereafter,
the State Savings Bank of Butte, Montana (owner by OttoÕs brother F. Augustus
Heinze) was insolvent. Soon, all
the banks that had funded the scheme suffered depositor demands for
withdrawals, as fear of another contagion of widespread bank failures
grew.
Within a week, the
Knickerbocker Trust Company (New YorkÕs third largest trust) collapsed. Soon, all of the banks in New York City
were under attack. Soon after,
panic spread throughout the nation as rumors of bank vulnerability traumatized
bank depositors.
J.P. Morgan used much of his own
money, and convinced many other New York bankers to follow his lead, to shore
up the banking system. This helped
to stem the tide of decline.
In November of that same year, a large
brokerage firm borrowed heavily using stock of Tennessee Coal, Iron and
Railroad Company as collateral.
Collapse of TCI stock price was averted only when President Theodore
Roosevelt approved an emergency takeover of the company by U.S. Steel, much to
the delight of the executives of U.S. Steel.
These incidents eventually led to the
creation of the Federal Reserve System as a centralized authority to address
monetary imbalances in the markets.
And it was the Federal Reserve System, headed by Alan Greenspan, that
triggered the Great Depression of 2007 through incautious inflation of the
monetary supply.
We will look at the cycles
of the Twentieth Century with much less pleased astonishment than we looked at
the Nineteenth Century.
The Twentieth CenturyÕs economic
cycles are pretty generally recognized.
When the depressions start, and when they end – exact years -- is
not always agreed upon. The
Night-Cycle 1965-1983 is almost never called a depression by the experts,
although the agreed upon phrase, ÔstagflationÕ, a paradoxical phenomenon in
which recession and inflation live side by side, sucking life out of the economy
with both high unemployment (low growth) and a high inflation rate (a declining
value of local currenty), is pretty widely acknowledged.
There is no question that the
1965-1983 period was a Ôspiritual depressionÕ. Rebellion against the white establishment,
Son against Father, civil-rights rebellions, sex-drug-rock and roll culture
(Dionysian or Bacchic ritual Ôrediscover of NatureÕ), an intellectual
condemnation of Western Civilization and a romantic embracing of Eastern
religion (the Rajneesh commune springing up in the desert outside of Antelope,
Oregon is symbolically significant).
Communism is attractive to Dionysus:
shared property, shared love, an end to possession (Ôimagine thereÕs no
possessions, I wonder if you can, no need for greed or hunger, a brotherhood of
manÕ). This is a horizontal
world-view, a world-view of equals.
Ideals of growth and
progress are no longer believed – an Eternal Now, unchanging,
undifferentiated, a state of Being seems the new Ideal. There is no growth or progress in the
Night, in the Winter. Growth and
progress are a result of the Sun.
The 1971 anthem of the New World Order
– the world of the dreamer, the sleeper, the idealist, the Son rejecting
his FatherÕs world – was an attack on the Orthodox religious structure,
materialism, and nationalism, the three-pronged ideology which had raised
America to the status of Super Power after World War II. The shadow side of ÔvictoryÕ was now
being exposed to a generation on the downhill slope, a shadow which displayed
greed, arrogance, racism, brutal suppression, and self-
Imagine there's no
heaven
It's easy if you try
No hell below us
Above us only sky
Imagine all the
people
Living for today...
Imagine there's no
countries
It isn't hard to do
Nothing to kill or
die for
And no religion too
Imagine all the
people
Living life in
peace...
You may say I'm a
dreamer
But I'm not the only
one
I hope someday
you'll join us
And the world will
be as one
Imagine no
possessions
I wonder if you can
No need for greed or
hunger
A brotherhood of man
Imagine all the
people
Sharing all the
world...
You may say I'm a
dreamer
But I'm not the only
one
I hope someday
you'll join us
And the world will
live as one
Of course, John
Lennon is a manifestation of the Romantic Autumn child. As is Bob Dylan, and the whole Ôrebel
with many causesÕ materialization of a new ideal of justice that defined a
generation of ÔdreamersÕ founded in the horizontal (female) principles of human
equality.
Noon 1965
– Male Ego Deflation begins.
Female Ego Inflation
begins.
1965
– Bob Dylan album ÔBringing It All Back HomeÕ released.
1971
– John LennonÕs ÔImagineÕ released.
1972
– ÔI Am Woman (Hear Me Roar)Õ released by Helen
Reddy.
Dusk 1974
1974
– Elton JohnÕs ÔGoodbye Yellow Brick RoadÕ released.
1979
– AC/CD ÔHighway to HellÕ album released.
Midnight 1983
– Ego Inflation begins.
1983
– Men-At-WorkÕs ÔLand Down UnderÕ released.
Duran-DuranÕs
ÔHungry Like a WolfÕ released.
Hall
and OatesÕ ÔMan-EaterÕ released.
TotoÕs
ÔAfricaÕ released.
Marvin
GayeÕs ÔSexual HealingÕ released.
Thomas
DolbyÕs ÔShe Blinded Me With ScienceÕ
released.
Lionel
RitchieÕs ÔAll Night LongÕ released.
Duran-DuranÕs
ÔUnion of the SnakeÕ released.
Every
physical manifestation, every event, every historic figure, every popular song
is also a symbol describing an arc of time on TimeÕs 360¡ wheel. But one must understand the symbolic
language in order to place the phenomenon.
The Day-Cycle spends much energy suppressing and belittling the symbolic
language as not being ÔrealityÕ.
The Day-Cycle views art, poetry, mysticism, psychology as so much
ÔfemaleÕ hocus-pocus – Time is money afterall – only a fool wasteÕs
time pursuing dreams and languages that donÕt put money in his pocket.
Noon 1965
– Ego Deflation begins.
Dusk 1974
Midnight 1983
– Ego Inflation begins.
Dawn 1992
Noon 2001- Ego
Deflation should have begun.
Dusk 2010
Midnight 2019
– Ego Inflation begins.
Returning to our present:
our most recent Ôgrowth eraÕ has also ended. The false over-inflation stimulus
designed by Alan Greenspan to keep the man on top indefinitely has
crashed. No more Ôcash influsionÕ
of Viagra will turn the mole-hill into a mountain again. The Man of Money is spent. The Era of Greed has been (literally)
stood on its head.
Viagra is a very significant symbol of
this era. Old men who have passed
their (re)productive peaks are desperate to have a technological fix to their
problem – a waning vigor – or, more explicitly, a running out of
time. In fact, Nature is the
problem; old age is the problem.
Death is the problem, which can be fixed by science.
But the desire to be a teenager for
ever is a spiritual problem. Fear of the adulthood, fear of the
grave, fear of age and wisdom, fear of losing oneÕs physical power – that
is a profound spiritual problem, one that leads to all kinds of perversions,
aggressions, and sins against Nature.
The Viagra Age which is another aspect
of the Age of Greed (ÔI want my pleasure!
And I always get what I want!Õ) has ended (at least for this round, at least for
this moment.) The Ego always
returns, in one form or other.
Resurrection comes (rose erection); and the rainbow signals this
re-birth.
Real fertility is once again possible.
If only one positive comes
from the present deflation we have entered let it be the end of the worldÕs
obsession with Ôplastic surgeryÕ, with fake breasts, pumped lips, padded butts,
and false erections. Few things are
more obscene that a world filled with rich plastic surgeons and children
starving to death in Africa, South America and Asia. The cultureÕs moral values are clearly
askew. Appearances matter too
much. The compulsion to belong, to
live in magazines, to follow trends, to give credence to images over substance,
is a sign of being Ôlost in a web of illusionsÕ. The desire to be eighteen-years-old for
ever is a symptom of a culture resisting deeper development, a culture living
on the surface, a culture frightened of the deep. And the deep is frightening. The
deep is full of personal and archetypal monsters. These monsters must be faced and
defeated or calmed. Substance and
shadow must become integrated in the underworld in order for fears to be mitigated.
Financial
analysts and other intellectuals have been studying cycles for many years now,
from Sir William Herschel who around 1800 found a connection between sunspots
and wheat prices, Clement Juglar, William Stanley Jevons, the Rothschild
family, W.D. Gann, Joseph Kitchin, Alexander Chizhhevsky, Roymond Wheeler, R.N.
Elliott, Joseph Schumpeter, Simon Kuznets, Edward R. Dewey, and J.M. Hurst
(computer cycle research.)
One of the most
famous cycle adherents was Nikolai Kondratieff, a Soviet economist who was
imprisoned in one of StalinÕs gulags when his theories were considered
politically incorrect. He was later
murdered on StalinÕs order.
KondratieffÕs theories were later developed by American economist Joseph
Schumpeter (ÔKondratieff wavesÕ) and French economist Francois Simiand. Simiand named KondratieffÕs ÔAscendant
PhaseÕ (our Day-Cycle, or Ego-Inflation) ÔPhase
AÕ and KondratieffÕs ÔDescending PhaseÕ (our Night-Cycle, or Ego-Deflation)
ÔPhase BÕ. Other economists later expanded
KondratieffÕs Day-Night cycle into a four-season cycle: Spring (Improvement
– Plateau); Summer (acceleration –prosperity); Autumn (recession
– plateau); Winter (acceleration –depression). Kondratieff argued for a 50-54 year
cycle in economic processes.
Fred
Harrison, in his book, Boom Bust –
Housing Prices, Banking, and the Depression of 2010 – argues that the
land market follows an 18 year cycle, with a short recession at the mid-point
of each cycle, and a longer recession at the ending point. His prediction is that the world will
experience a major depression in 2010.
Michael Alexander
writes in his Generations and Business
Cycles – Part I:
Prior to
industrialization the Kondratiev cycle reflected biological generations. It's
economic effect was at least partially induced by the generational war cycle, with its impact on government finances. Shorter economic cycles did not
reflect the longer K-cycle, but rather operated on their own schedule, possibly
also generational in nature. Hence financial panics followed a real estate
cycle of about 18 years, denoted as the Kuznets cycle.
In 2002, Gareth Morgan, in ÔThis Great
Global Bear Market Historical ContextÕ, wrote:
Post Word
War II the market can be considered as having three eras.
(a) The 18
years from 1946 to 1964 were the era of the Great
Upside Correction from the depression-battered market of the 1930s.
(b) The
next 18, 1964-82, covered the period of the Inflation-Battered
Market, total annual returns on the S&P were a little more than 7%
during this period, slightly better than the galloping inflation rate.
(c) There followed
the 17 years, from 1982 to 1999, of the Grand
Upside Inflation Over-Correction,
which has led to the bear years of 2000-02.
Although we disagree by a
year or two, here and there, our view is definitely compatible. Morgan charts the stock market inflation
flash points (based on Price/Earnings ratios, that indicate how much inflation
there is in stocks) that are almost identical with my ÔtopÕ readings:
Noon 1893
Noon 1929
Noon 1965
Noon 2001
One clear
gauge of economic ÔinflationÕ, one that is often dismissed or forgotten by
economists, is inflation of stock prices.
Overpriced stocks are an
indication of an overheated (overbubbled) economy. Of course, no one says: ÔLook, stocks
have gone up too far too fast.
LetÕs raise interest rates to drive the prices down and make people
poorer.Õ However, overpriced stocks
are a symptom of an overdone feeding frenzy or bubble-production that will
ultimately end badly.
Morgan goes on to write:
Maybe the
new century has ushered in another era of modest returns. Signs abound that the
current stock-market downturn is no typical slump. For starters, stock prices
remain mired at levels around 50% below their highs of more than two years ago.
More ominous, perhaps,
is the fact that the stock-market funk has seemed impervious to all the usual
remedies. The Federal Reserve has administered repeated adrenaline jolts of
monetary easing since January of 2001 and yet the S&P today is more than
35% lower than it was when the Fed began lowering interest rates. Typically,
stocks rebound once the economy begins to recover. Yet prices are down more
than 25% from this January, when most economists felt the recession of 2001
ended. And recently the stock market has drifted ever lower, back to the panic
lows it set in September 2001, just 10 days after the terrorist attacks
Nor does history
offer any comfort to today's stock investors. The last three stock-market
manias that ended in 1901, 1929 and 1966-68 were followed by 15 to 20 years of
horrible average annual returns, ranging between 2% and 5% -- or zero to a
negative 1.8% after adjusting for inflation. And no prior market mania saw
anything resembling the magnitude and excesses of the most recent stock-market
bubble. Nine years of uninterrupted gains with the S&P 500 rising six-fold
from trough to peak is testimony to phenomenon of freak show proportions.
ÔNo prior market mania saw
anything resembling the magnitude and excesses of the most recent stock-market
bubbleÕ – and he writes this prior to the housing mania that followed on
the heels of this unparalleled stock market mania.
Morgan continued:
Yet most
investors, according to recent polling, expect annual stock-market returns
ultimately to resume their recent 15%-20% pace. History, regulatory backlash,
misunderstood market fundamentals and the continuing stock-market overvaluation
all argue that such investor expectations will be brutally dashed. Post-Enron
the number of large corporates getting ensnared continues to grow. Even
stalwarts like General Electric whose share price is now almost 60% down are
coming more closely under the microscope for "over-managing" its
earnings through the nineties.
The
"Morning-After" effects - Investors, so accustomed to 15%-20% annual
gains before 2000 should consider the S&P's performance during the long
hangover periods following the previous bubble peaks 1901, 1929 and 1966.
Average annual returns slipped to 4.3% from August 1901 to August 1920, 2.27%
from September 1929 to September 1949 and 5.09% from January 1966 to August
1982. Real annual returns, removing the effect of inflation during World War I,
World War II and the 'Seventies, sank to paltry levels of 0.10%, 0.63% and
minus 1.79% during the respective three periods. In other words, investors faced 15 to 20 years of torture after each
fall.
Morgan
concluded:
We're
witnessing the unwinding of an era. The 'Eighties and 'Nineties bore
unmistakable similarities to previous eras of rampant plutocracy and excess
such as the first Gilded Age, which included the closing three decades of the
19th century, and the fabled Roaring 'Twenties. In all three periods wealth
became increasingly concentrated at the highest reaches of the income scale
even if some of it trickled down to working stiffs in the form of some rise in
real wages. In just the past several decades, for example, average CEO
compensation has soared from just 40 times the wages of median workers to over
400 times. In New Zealand this has been championed by the Far Right as
'correcting' decades of suppressed wage disparities. Such claims look pretty
trashy in light of the failure of these corporate luminaries to deliver
shareholder value.
The
price/earnings ratio of the S&P 500 has slipped back to 19. But if past bubble
peaks offer any guide, multiples still have years, and many points, of further
decline. The issue is whether this correction will be via further stock price
falls or whether it will come as earnings rise.
Other
similarities exist. The wanton creation of new trading instruments (today's
equivalents being the stock and trade of so-called hedge funds); the conviction
that economic cycles can be controlled; celebration of new business models;
deification of revolutionary technologies; belief in the lusty pursuit of
self-interest; exaltation and the showy display of wealth, and, of course,
rampant self-dealing and corruption.
Such periods
invariably give rise to anti-business sentiment and spasms of severe
regulation. The excesses of the first Gilded Age, for example, provoked the
Progressive Era and trust-busting of Presidents Teddy Roosevelt and Woodrow
Wilson. The resulting environment of stiffer regulation, legal attacks and
higher taxes, however necessary, is rarely salubrious for either big business or
financial markets.
It is not
far-fetched that such a sea change develops again. Enron and its aftermath has
created an atmosphere reminiscent of the 'Thirties, when a great deal of
securities regulation was passed and the Securities Exchange Commission was
created in the US. Even the Bush administration, though dominated by a
pro-business ethos, now understands in the wake of 9/11 that there are many
things like security that government can do better than the private sector.
No institution
but the stock market registers with such precision the seismic swings in
emotion between pie-eyed optimism and abject disillusion or insensate greed and
grinding fear. By this measure, the post-1982 bull market dwarfed all of its
predecessors by a wide margin. The Dow and S&P both rose more than
eleven-fold between 1982 and 2000 -- nearly three times the magnitude of their
rise during the 'Twenties. The five years in a row from 1995 to 1999 that the
S&P jumped 20% or more each year was unprecedented.
It can certainly
be argued that some of this move was justified by improving economic
fundamentals such as declining inflation and strong corporate earnings growth,
at least during the 'Nineties. But not
all of it.
Surely some revelation is at hand;
Surely the Second Coming is at hand.
The
Second Coming!
Hardly are those words out
When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi
Troubles my sight: a waste of desert sand;
A shape with lion body and the head of a man,
A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,
Is moving
its slow thighs, while all about it
Wind shadows of the indignant desert birds.
The darkness drops again but now I know
That twenty centuries of stony sleep
Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,
And what
rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?
W.B. Yeats
– ÔThe Second ComingÕ
Much of the
book is devoted to reviewing and evaluating evidence about the impact of
monetary forces, fiscal policy, and bank lending on economic activity during
the recovery. A separate chapter examines the depression of 1937-38, which
occurred before the economy had fully recovered from the contraction of
1929-33. As with the recovery that began in mid-1933, Steindl concludes that
monetary forces were paramount in the contraction of 1937-38 and subsequent
recovery. He finds that neither fiscal policy nor an exogenous component of
bank lending contributed to the recovery. Whereas his analysis of monetary and
fiscal policy is largely a review of previous work, Steindl presents new
empirical tests of the credit channel.
In his
review of the role of monetary forces in the recovery, Steindl identifies an
apparent puzzle in the behavior of output, money, and the price level during the
recovery from the depression of 1937-38. From May 1938 to August 1940, both the
money stock and real output grew rapidly while the price level fell. Steindl
argues that the occurrence of deflation alongside vigorous growth of output and
money cannot be explained by the behavior of aggregate demand, nor by any
identifiable series of shocks to aggregate supply. He finds it puzzling that no
prior studies examined this period.
Frank G.
Steindl, Understanding Economic Recovery in the 1930s: Endogenous Propagation
in the Great Depression. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 2003. xi
+ 228 pp. $52.50 (hardcover), ISBN: 0-472-11348-8.
Reviewed
for EH.Net by David C. Wheelock, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
The
Night-Cycle of 1929 - 1947 is the prototypical Great Depression. But this was not one long depression,
without attempts at expansion.
There were stock market rallies during the Great Depression. In fact the stock market bottomed in
1933, even though the economy did not really recover fully until (according to
our thesis) 1947.
Frank G.
Steindhl, in his book Understanding Economic Recovery in the 1930s: Endogenous
Propagation in the Great Depression writes that there were a series of
depressions, not one depression.
After a partial recovery in 1934-37, Steindhl writes there was another
depression from 1937-38, and a deflation from 1938-1940. American involvement in World War II ran
from 1941-1945, during which time massive deficit spending directed nearly all
industrial production to the war effort. But was there a depression through
1947.
In their
article 'The Great Depression of 1946', Richard K. Veddar and Lowell Gallaway
argue that there was. Quoting from
this article:
It seems inevitable that
some Ph.D. student in economics wome time soon will pick up a recent copy of
the Economic Report of the President looking for a dissertation topic and learn
that there was a Great Depression in 1946, a topic which he or she will then
analyze using all the tools of modern economic analysis. The student will read that real groww
national product in 1946 fell 19%, the largest single decrease in annual output
in the century of recorded annual GNP data. He or she will also learn quickly that
from 1944 to 1947, real output fell by 22.7%. Looking up population figures, the
stuent will observe that per capita output actually declined by more than
one-fourth in real terms over the three years of conversion from war to peace,
and did not regain the pre-depression (1944) level again until 1964.
From all this the student will no
doubt conclude that the heretofore neglected Great Depression of 1946 was the
worst cyclical downturn in modern American economic history, and that, by some
measures, it had a greater disruptive impace of the American economy than the
earlier, more celebrated Great Depression of 1929 - 1941. For example, in the earlier downturn,
real per capita BNP surpassed the 1929 peak levels with 12 years, compared with
20 years it took to surpass the 1944 peak after the 1946 depression. Moreover, while the 1929-33 downturn wa
quantitatively a bit larger (30% vs 23%), no single year exhibited a decline of
the magnitude of that witnessed in 1946.
|
Steve Verdon | Monday,
January 19, 2009 |
Alex Tabarrok has a post on the Intrade markets
depression contract which indicates that it really isnÕt a contract
for a depression. Here is the key clause from the contract,
For expiry purposes a depression is defined as a
cumulative decline in GDP of more than 10.0% over four consecutive quarters.
This is calculated by adding together the published (annualized) GDP figures
(as detailed below). If these annualised figures add up to more than -10.0%
over four consecutive quarters then the contract will expire at 100.
Alex points to this explanation from Donald Luskin
of why this doesnÕt quite signal a depression,
The problem is that if you add four quarterly
change-figures that are already each annualized, you will get a far larger
cumulative result than the actual change over a four-quarter period. Suppose
there are four successive quarters each showing an annualized 2.5% decline in
GPD. Intrade will add those together and get 10%. But over the year, the annual
decline in GDP will acually be 2.5%.
That is quite right. During the
Great Depression GDP declined by 8.6% in 1930, 6.4% in 1931 and 13% in 1932.
Far larger drops in GDP than 2.5%. Of course, a 2.5% drop in GDP over the
course of an entire year would make such a recession a bad recession. Of
course, we donÕt need 2.5% each quarter for 4 quarters. In the last quarter of
1981, and the first three quarters of 1982 the annualized changes in GDP were
-4.9%, -6.4%, 2.2% and -1.5%. Those sum up to -10.6% using the Intrade method
whereas actual decline in real GDP over that time was 1.49%.1 So even though the intrade
contract is up to 59% it doesnÕt mean we are going to see the kind of GDP
declines one might normally associate with a depression.
CHAPTER ELEVEN.
TIME CYCLES IN AMERICAN HISTORY, CONTINUED
(Considering Origins and Roots: The First of Many National Banking
Crises)
Let me issue and control the moneys supply
of a nation and I care not
who makes its laws.
Mayer Amschel Rothschild, 1790
How do we evaluate
our structural time system in light of American history? First, American history is a very short
phenomenon. America has only been a
consolidated unit, a political entity, for a little over 200 years. 200 years, divided by cycles of 36
years, means that there have only been approximately 6 ½ cycles
experienced as American History, 6 ½ days.
Also, it is hard
to draw a line that separates and distinguishes early American History from
European History on the one hand, and early American History versus American
Indian History on the other hand.
When does America (as we know her) begin having a unique independent
history? We could choose the
Declaration of Independence as a likely starting point. Clearly the Revolutionary War against
England is a noteworthy mark of individualization. But how do moments like ColumbusÕ
discovery of America (1492), the settlement of the first colonies in Florida
under Ponce De Leon (1513) or at Jamestown (1606), or the First Thanksgiving (1619) fit in
to this picture? It is not clear.
Midnight 1479
Dawn 1488
Noon 1497
Dusk 1506
Midnight 1515
Dawn 1524
Noon 1533
Dusk 1542
Midnight 1551
Dawn 1560
Noon 1569
Dusk 1578
Midnight 1587
Dawn 1596
Noon 1605
Dusk 1614
Midnight 1623
Dawn 1632
Noon 1641
Dusk 1650
Midnight 1659
Dawn 1668
Noon 1677
Dusk 1686
Midnight 1695
Dawn 1704
Noon 1713
Dusk 1722
Midnight 1731
Dawn 1740
From the Midnight of 1659, for instance, to the Noon of 1677 much probably did happen
in America but perhaps not much of real historical significance. And trying to fit events in to my
36-year straight-jacket seems to make little sense. So, for the sake of our study, I will
begin with what IÕve suggested to be the moment of American individualization,
the signing of the Declaration of Independence and the War of Independence as
the starting point of American history.
On a
larger scale, it is clear that the time of the American Revolution was a time
of Renaissance in the United States – Dawn -- with the founding fathers
of the American government being Renaissance Men in the traditional, historical
sense, much as those who appeared in Florence, Italy in the Middle Ages. The Renaissance Man is a complete
person, a whole person, undifferentiated, containing all the contradictory elements
of Day and Night: reason, science, mathematics; poetry, philosophy, music. Being, at the same time, Scientists,
Accountants, Lawyers, Engineers, Architects, Warriors, Orators, Statesmen,
Gardeners, Men of Letters. The Dawn
is a time of Heroic aristocrats, much like the Knights of the Round Table,
soldier-leaders in defense of nation or king.
Noon 1749
Dusk 1758
Midnight 1767
Dawn 1776
Noon 1785
Dusk 1794
Midnight 1803
By our time
calculations, we would expect 1767 to be a low-water mark in terms of economic
strength and self-confidence among American citizens – and we would
expect to see a surge from 1767 and 1785 is self-actualization and expansive
ego strength.
In 1775, AmericaÕs
war for independence was initiated against England. We remember that British troops had
fired on crowd of American rock-throwers in 1770 (the so-called ÔBoston
MassacreÕ). You would expect the
Day-Cycle Ego-Inflation to begin with an act of defiance, and a statement of
independence. The ÔBoston Tea
PartyÕ occurred in 1773, at which time American colonists (disguised as Indians
significantly) threw crates of English tea into Boston Harbor.
In 1775, George
Washington was appointed Commander-in-Chief of the Continental Army. Later in
that same year, King George III of England declares a state of open rebellion
in the American colonies. On July
4, 1776, the United States of America declares its independence from Britain.
These are all
acts of rising ÔmasculinityÕ one would expect to see in an Ego-Inflation
period. ÔRising MasculinityÕ has a
symbolic connection to an erection, in the sense of sexual vitality, and also
in terms of the primary act of the Day-Cycle masculinity: erecting a city;
erecting towers, building, expanding; erecting edifices to the ego (which,
itself, as a concept, is a manifestation of an erect digit).
ÔI am Number OneÕ
is a rather tiresome sports phrase signifying world conquest, independence,
defeat of an adversary, military triumph.
In 1778,
American ÔstatesÕ begin the process of ratifying the Articles of Confederation,
signaling the voluntary creation on a new political entity, the United States
of America.
In 1781, the
American colonial army, with their ally France, defeat the British at the
Battle of Yorktown, in large part signaling the end of British rule in
continental America.
In 1783, The
Treaty of Paris is signed by Britain and the United States, declaring victory
for the American colonists over the British forces in America.
In 1787, George
Washington presided over the Constitutional Convention that drafted the U.S.
Constitution that replaced the dissatisfactory Articles of Confederation.
And this is, in
large part, the end of the first ÔDayÕ.
Noon 1749
Dusk 1758
Midnight 1767
We must
remember, issues that sparked the American revolution were mainly economic in
nature. England made it
increasingly difficult for the American colonists to make a living. English Navigation Acts generally involved
heavy tariffs on goods imported from the colonies to protect EnglandÕs balance
of trade. This meant colonistsÕ
costs increased, and profits decreased.
Britain also determined that the American colonists would be required to
pay a significant amount of the cost of having British troops garrisoned in
America to ÔprotectÕ colonists against French and Indian provocations.
In 1764, the
English Parliament passed the Sugar Act, taxing molasses used in America for
the making of rum. Then came the
Currency Act, which prohibited the American colonies from issuing any form of
paper currency.
A severe
financial crisis in Britain from 1762- 1772 caused British merchants to call in
colonial debts. A credit crisis in
1772 caused the American bankruptcy rate to double. The inability of the American colonists
to issue paper money, and generate liquidity, made the monetary contraction
even more severe. Benjamin Franklin
said later that he felt the Currency Act had created the war of independence.
The Stamp Act of
1765 was the first direct tax ever levied by Parliament on her colonies. All newspapers, books almanacs,
pamphlets, civic documents, needed to have an affixed stamp, which showed that
the tax had been paid to Mother England.
The Stamp Act sparked the Ôno taxation without representationÕ slogan of
American rebels; and a boycott of British merchandise, triggered by the Stamp
Act, caused British exports to America to fall nearly 15% in 1765.
In 1767, British
Parliament passed the Townshend Act, which taxed essential goods, such as tea,
paper and glass. When American
colonists protested, British troops opened fire on the crowd, killing three,
and wounding 8 others. This became
known as the Boston Massacre – and quickly became a rallying point for
colonial revolutionaries.
In 1773,
Parliament passed the Tea Act, which was designed to shift the tax burden on
imported tea away from the East India Company, which was hurting financially,
onto the colonies. This led
directly to the Boston Tea Party, a destruction of a tea shipment by American
patriots disguised as Indians as a British ship moored in Boston Harbor.
England
responded with the so-called Intolerable Acts, four different laws designed to
punish American colonists: The Massachusetts Government Act, which modified the
Massachusetts charter and banned town meetings; the Administration of Justice
Act, by which British soldiers accused of committing crimes in America would be
arraigned and tried in Britain, not in America; the Boston Port Act, which closed
Boston Harbor until the British had been reimbursed for the American
destruction of the tea shipment during the Boston Tea Party; and the Quartering
Act, which allowed British governors to house British troops in American
citizensÕ houses without the permission of the owner of the house.
These last acts
made the revolutionary war inevitable.
We should
expect to see a strong military presence in the leadership of the country
during the Day-Cycle Ego-Inflation.
We should also expect to see presidents with a will to empire, to expand
the scope of civilization, as opposed to Night-Cycle presidents exhibiting a
will to virtue (agrarian virtue even).
WeÕll remember
that the first Republicans in American politics were the ÔFederalistsÕ, who
were Ôurban nationalistsÕ favoring a strong central government, a national
bank, a standing national army, and a strong presidency (or even a king)
– and the first Democrats were the ÔDemocratic RepublicansÕ who favored a
weaker Presidency, stronger statesÕ rights, and argued for an agrarian republic
as a loose confederation of city-states, more on the Greek model.
The Federalists
were the Romans (as the Republicans of today also are); the Democratic
Republicans were more the Greeks, if I can use such an historical metaphor. There are reports that the Federalists
sought out George Washington, after his generalship had led the American
colonists to victory against the British, to accept a kingship to rule America. Washington refused, returning to his
farm in Virginia like the great Cincinnatus of Rome, who, after serving as a
dictator during a period of Roman crisis, withdrew from public office to return
to his farm, out of respect for the Roman republic.
George Washington
was a supporter of the republic also; talk of making Washington a king in
America fell on WashingtonÕs deaf ears.
The
Federalists were the party of merchants and bankers and were strongest in the
new cities being formed along the coast of eastern America. The most notorious Federalist was
Alexander Hamilton, who after being George WashingtonÕs chief of staff during
the war, became his Secretary of the Treasury after Washington became AmericaÕs
first president. Hamilton made many
powerful enemies quickly, much as Henry Paulson would 200-some years later.
If there
is usually a ÔwoundingÕ of a Sun-Hero present at the end of this period of
Ego-Expansion, it is difficult to find this in 1785. Perhaps the disbanding of the
Continental Army is the closest act to this ÔwoundingÕ of the Male Principle,
which occurred in 1783, since this wounding is often a form of castration, a
reduction of male virility, either self-inflicted (this was often the case in
ancient myth) or castration perpetrated by the Dark Brother, bringing on
Darkness. Perhaps George WashingtonÕs
refusal to consider being AmericaÕs king might also be considered a kind of
symbolic self-wounding. But this is
somewhat dubious.
One thing we want
to remember is that the Day-Cycle Ego-Inflation is, by definition, a taking on
of debt (financial debt, as well as karmic debt) while the Night-Cycle
Ego-Deflation is a coming to terms with the debt accrued by this Day-Cycle
expansion of the will. And by
Ôcoming to terms with debtÕ I mean this in a metaphorical or metaphysical
sense, but also in a very real concrete sense.
The
successful war against England resulted in a new, virile, proud nation
appearing suddenly on the world stage.
It also cost a lot of money to fight England, money the American
colonists did not really have. When
the war ended, American states were deeply in debt.
Ego-Inflation
often involves the fighting of a foreign war; Ego-Deflation always involves
financial depression, social chaos, and disunity brought on by debts accrued
during the Ôliving largeÕ that occurs during Ego-expansions.
Noon 1785
Dusk 1794
Midnight 1803
As such,
we expect to see a financial and spiritual depression occurring between 1785
– 1803.
Robert A.
Becker writes in A Companion to the
American Revolution:
The states
ended the war, as did Congress, with massive debts to pay. VirginiaÕs public debt stood at
4,250,000 pounds in 1784; MassachusettsÕ (debt) at about 1,500,000 pounds in
1785. The state debts included
money owed for supplies, their old depreciated war currencies, some of which
still circulated, and debts owed to soldiers for back pay. The post-revolutionary states regularly
allocated 50% to 90% of their revenues to pay the interest they owed on their
revolutionary debts. To raise it,
and some principal, the states levied heavy new general taxes, and tried where
possible to collect indirect taxes, such as imposts – the very revenues
Congress wanted to appropriate for the national debt. The politics of postwar finance and
taxation in every state was, then, a matter of vigorous an occasionally violent
disputeÉ.
The legislatureÕs
refusal to relent on its deflationary debt policy in the midst of the postwar
depression was in part responsible for the outbreak of rioting in western
Massachusetts known as ShaysÕ Rebellion.
Throughout the new republic, as taxes rose to sink the statesÕ debts in
the midst of deflation and depression, angry taxpayers began demanding relief
– tax abatements and postponements, the right to pay in virtually any
sort of outstanding ste or federal notes or certificates, or to pay in
commodities and produce. Most state
(Massachusetts excepted) adopted extensive tax relief programs in the
mid-1780ÕsÉ
General Henry Knox, the Commander of U.S. forces who opposed
tax rebels in 1786, wrote:
As the
situation worsened in 1786 armed bands of impoverished debtors forcibly
prohibited courts from sitting including the Court of Quarter Sessions in
Worcester County. Violence was most intense in New England and the Northeast,
where population pressures combined with depleted soil to press subsistence
[sp] farmers to desperation. Rioting mobs intent on preventing the enforcement
of judgements [sp] against debtors struck in many areas, including New York,
Connececut [sp], Vermont, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts.
In Massachusetts,
Connececut [sp], and Rhode Island the discontent was organized along military
lines. thousands of men, commanded by continental army Veterans and current
officers of the Massachusetts state militia, were organized into rebel
regiments."
The most
important military engagement of these revolts was Shays' Rebellion, a battle
for a Federal arsenal at Springfield, Massachusetts, on January 25, 1787.
Their Creed is,
that the property of the United States has been protected from the
confiscations of Britain by the joint exertions [sp] of all, and therefore out
to be the common property of all; and he that attempts opposition to this creed
is an enemy to equality and justice and ought to be swept from the face of the
Earth.
ÔCommon
propertyÕ being one of the key words here.
The driving ethic of the Night-Cycle is the Ôpublic goodÕ, the Ôcommon
wealÕ. The driving ethic of the
Day-Cycle (and we must remember that individual souls cycle between the Day and
the Night, becoming the things/ideas they once hated, and hating the ideas that
once composed and embodied them – gave them a body of expression) is
Ôprivate enterpriseÕ, the Ôrights of the individualÕ, Ôpersonal destinyÕ.
War against a
foreign enemy is a keystone of the Day-Cycle expansion. Civil war between the rich and poor is a
keystone of the Night-Cycle contraction.
Another key to
understanding this duality is that, like Prometheus, the Day-Cycle elementals
(Federalists and Nationalists in this context) are forward-looking, with an
overriding will to re-create the future.
Like Epimetheus, the Night-Cycle elementals (the Anti-Federalists and
Democrats) are backward-looking or reflective, romantic. They want time to stop, because, in the
Night-Cycle, time, in a sense, does stop.
The Night-Cycle takes over when the future begins to look dark and
threatening. The Day-Cycle takes
over when the light illuminates the future, making it appear bright and
hopeful. The eyes takes over again
(the ÔIÕsÕ take over); after the ears have ruled through the Night.
Night-Cycle
elementals are pessimistic because there
is no light: the mind is darkened.
The Future is gone; the Future is black and threatening. Night-Cycle elementals have to feel
their way through the labyrinth of darkness by touch and by sound.
Day-Cycle
elementals are optimistic because, suddenly, there is light again.
The positive vision of the Future re-appears.
As I have
suggested, the Federalists were wedded to the Roman model, empire through the
power of the modern city-state become a megalopolis, which is a
cultural/political form of the body.
The Anti-Federalists were wedded to the Greek model, agrarian in nature,
where the power resided in the city-states and not in any megalopolitan capital
city. The Anti-Federalists did not
want a powerful capital in Washington; they did not want a standing federal
army; they did not want a centralized national bank. The Federalists wanted all of this.
The Federalists
wanted money, glamour, power, on an international stage. They wanted to actualize their ego, in
psychological terms. They wanted to
manifest their daemon, their inner, driving will to power. The Federalists were endowed with
outward manifestation. The
Anti-Federalists wanted to follow the more humble path. The Anti-Federalists were endowed with
inward-manifestation.
The
Federalists, like the good Westerners they were (Cowboys, if you will),
believed in the straight line. The
Federalists were driven more by the ideal of Freedom – freedom of
expression of the private individualÕs will to power. The Anti-Federalists, taking a much more
Eastern view (Indians were, of course, originally rooted in the East), believed
in the circle. Anti-Federalists
were driven more by the ideal of Equality – a republic of equal citizens
wherein the public well-being trumped the individualÕs desire to become
gigantic. Of course, everything is
relative. Most of the
Anti-Federalists wanted a public utopia based on equal white land-owning male
citizens. In practice, there
was almost no equality in the realm of the Anti-Federalists. Peasants (white, black, brown, yellow or
red), women or slaves had no claim to equal rights in this system. This was a fantasy carried around in the
minds of the Anti-Federalists, based on a distant memory of life in classical
society (Greek more than Roman).
It is very
easy to judge the past from the moral high-ground of the present (which may
also appear as a moral travesty to historians in the future). It is not, however, very
instructive. The moral high-ground
is an easy hilltop to command. It
is commanded by religious racists on one polar extreme, and by anti-religious
snobs on the other.
The truth, in
terms of seeing the world clearly and accurately, in so much as there can be
any truth at all, is found in the center of the world, where the Renaissance
Men stand with one foot in each world, part scientist, part mystic, part
engineer, part artist, part accountant, part poet. The Renaissance Man is the first man,
and also the last man, in his transformation in to the Romantic Man. The Renaissance Man is the whole man,
the perfected man. The world, in
its historical cycle, journeys away from the Dawn, away from completion, away
from the balance, deeper and deeper into Day or Night. The Renaissance Man stands for ever in
the center, with feet in both world.
He does not move; but he waits for Time to draw back toward him; and to
draw him back toward his opposite, the Romantic Man, the Dusk.
The
paradox of American worship of the concepts of Freedom and Equality has been
and will always be a problem for the country. Freedom implies, even necessitates, a
lack of equality. If a man is free
to succeed, another is free to fail.
Equality, unless it is modified by attaching the modifier Ôof
OpportunityÕ, takes us back more to our roots in Puritan times, wherein all
members of the congregation lived in a kind of communal semi-paradise of equal
souls devoted to the worship of God.
Communism is a form of enforced equality (the horizontal view, the
flatline) that cannot last simply because it resists the law of nature to
expand when expansion is required.
Freedom is the
Vertical Axis, the Masculine, Day-Cycle Axis.
Equality is the
Horizontal Axis, the Feminine, Night-Cycle Axis.
The
original Anti-Federalists resisted the vision implicit in the birth of America,
resisted the English model of manifestation (King, mercantile republic, and
empire) because they feared the ultimate outcome of such a masculine
life-cycle. What happened to Rome,
after the fire of will (expansion) died out? Barbarians are implicit in this picture
of history. Goths,
peasant-warriors, dark-skinned agents of the Night over-running the decadent
World-City is a frightening nightmare that haunts the edges of the Daylight.
This nightmare
arms the Day-Cycle Energy to drive the periphery back, to expand the circle
through an expansion of empire.
But the nightmare
doesnÕt leave. Day-Energy expires;
and the heathens, huns, and barbarians appear again, in pagan attire, like Nat
Turner in the moonlight.
The new terror in
the Western mind is the Islamic terror that lives on the border, a black light
thrown up by the crescent moon, a heathen worshipping the God of destruction,
the creator of deserts, the defiler of civilization and the proponent of
eternal poverty and self-enslavement.
The
struggle between Cowboy and Indian, Day and Night, Federalist/Nationalist and
Democratic/Republican/Anti-Federalist was nicely symbolized in the furious
rivalry displayed between Alexander Hamilton (urban empiricist plutocrat) and
Thomas Jefferson (agrarian democrat ).
Here we see Dionysus standing toe-to-toe with Apollo. The practical intellectual Hamilton
going out toward the Sun, seeking to build the world of forms, bank towers,
edifices of manÕs virile will, seeking as Man to become a god of creation, and
the dreamy intellectual Jefferson going back toward the Moon, seeking to
preserve the world of form as it was, as Nature had made her, implicit in
NatureÕs sense of modesty and balance.
Hamilton was a
republican only in the broadest sense of the word: republican, with a strong
taste for monarchy. He believed
that the rich should rule the world; that the poor had no place in government
and no aptitude for governing the world.
He felt that the bankers should guide the world. And that government should work with the
banks to establish an empire that controlled the world in orderly progress and
enlightenment. This was a white
manÕs world, of course.
Hamilton
was a complex man, with a craving for knowledge, and a hunger for power. He was born in the British West Indies
as a bastard child to Rachel Lavien (from a ÔrespectableÕ family who had
abandoned her husband and children) and James Hamilton (the fourth son of a
Scottish nobleman, who was described later by his son, Alexander, as ÔunluckyÕ
and ÔindolentÕ). By the time
Alexander was 16, he had graduated from being a clerk in a St. Croix office to
managing the firm while the two owners traveled on business. Hamilton fell under the influence of
Hugh Knox, a Scotch-Irish Presbyterian minister, who became AlexanderÕs
intellectual mentor. Knox collected
money from his congregation to send 17-year-old Alexander to America to study
formally. Hamilton, who had mastered
both Greek and Latin, petitioned Princeton (the College of New Jersey) for
admittance and for the right to accelerate his education at his own pace. This second request was denied. Hamilton then enrolled at KingÕs College
(now Columbia University) in New York City, where he did accelerate his
education. Hamilton, while
attending college, became embroiled in the colonial struggle against England,
participating by writing articles and broadsides supported colonial rights
against the English imperative. HamiltonÕs 1774 pamphlet, A Full Vindication of the Measures of the
Congress, was recognized by AmericaÕs revolutionary thinkers as a
significant new contribution demanding rights for American colonists. A year later Hamilton joined the New
York State Militia; and the following year, he was appointed the captain
commander of a New York artillery company.
Hamilton saw considerable action in the battles of New York and New
Jersey, including George WashingtonÕs surprise attack on Trenton and the
subsequent Battle of Princeton.
Soon, Hamilton had a new mentor, Commander-in-Chief George
Washington. Washington appointed
Hamilton as his aide-de-camp, and later promoted him to lieutenant colonel in
the Continental Army.
Hamilton wished an
independent military career; Washington would not let him go; Hamilton provoked
a confrontation with Washington in 1781, which forced Washington to finally
accept his resignation. Hamilton
returned to his artillery division in New York – and, in October 1781,
Hamilton helped to lead a successful attack on the British fortifications at
Yorktown.
In 1780, Hamilton
married Elizabeth Schuyler, from one of the first families of New York –
an exceedingly successful marriage for Hamilton, but one that would indirectly
cost him his life. They would have
eight children together.
After the war,
Hamilton studied law, served in the New York legislature, and served as a
delegate to the Congress, where he met and worked with James Madison. Hamilton returned to New York, opened a
legal firm, and continued to participate in the intellectual life of the new
country through his regular political writings. He criticized New York laws that
punished British loyalists who had fought with the British against the
revolution; he defended loyalists against these laws in the courtroom; and he
also helped found the Society for Promoting the Manumission (Emancipation) of
Slaves. In 1784, he helped to
establish the Bank of New York and became a director of this bank.
Hamilton abhorred
the Articles of Confederation, the
original U.S. Constitution, that had been ratified in 1781. Hamilton felt the Articles were weak, inapplicable for a rising power, said too
little or nothing about the minting of a currency and about interstate trade
– in other words, they weighted authority in the new nation too much
toward the impotent state governments and not enough toward a united central
government in Washington DC.
Charles
Putnam Nettels, in his The Emergence of a
National Economy, 1775-1815, writes:
The men
who deplored the weaknesses of the postwar economy ascribed them to certain
features of the central government under the Articles of Confederation. Congress lacked the power to tax and
therefore suffered the inadequacies of poverty. Since the states alone could levy duties
on imports and exports, Congress could not create a national free-trade area or
put pressure on foreign powers by means of concessions or reprisals. The states possessed the decisive powers
over money and credit and did not use them to provide the country with a
uniform and stable currency. The
Articles did not equip the Union with the money or the authority essential for
sustaining a national army. Lake of
military force and of diplomatic prowess enfeebled Congress in its efforts to
deal with the formidable problems of the West.
The men who
wished to strengthen the central government and who took an active part in the
movement for the Constitution were designated in 1787-89 as both ÔnationalistsÕ
and ÔfederalistsÕ. Neither word
describes accurately the opinions of all the leaders who then supported the
cause of Ôa more perfect unionÕ.
If only one word is used, ÔnationalistÕ is preferred, for the majority
of the unionists then sought to devise a government that would be national to
scope and character. However, most
of the ÔnationalistsÕ did not advocate a central government of unlimited
power. Most of them preferred to
leave extensive powers with the states.
The kind of government which the ÔnationalistsÕ wanted becomes evident
when one reviews the purposes they sought to attain, since the essential nature
of a thing is indicated by the objectives it is designed to realize.
The original aim
of the ÔNationalistsÕ was to provide for the payment in specie of the wartime
debts of the Union. The depression
of 1785 then [led to the emphasis of] other interests. These included the creation of a single,
stable, national currency based on coin – a reform that called for the
surrender by the states of their power to issue paper money. The nationalists also wished to deprive
state legislatures and state courts of their then uninhibited power of favoring
debtors at the expense of creditors.
In addition, the nationalists desired to make the central government
equal to the task of enlarging foreign markets for the exports and the shipping
of the Union. A comparable interest
was also that of enabling the central authority to foster domestic
manufactures. Also, many
nationalists regarded a strengthened Union as essential to the defense of the
West and to the effective development of its resources. Finally, the social unrest of the 1780Õs
convinced apprehensive men that a potent national government was needed for the
suppression of domestic insurrections that might menace the owners of private
property.
The rich
were not being effectively protected under the Articles of Convention. Debtors were favored over creditors
(banks). Private property was not
being protected (there was no army to
protect private property) against the angry poor who were being imprisoned and
having property foreclosed for being unable to pay the tax designed to pay off
the heavy debt burden caused by the Revolutionary War.
Nettels
concludes:
To achieve these
objectives the nationalists deemed it necessary to endow Congress with several
additional powers, of which the most fundamental was the power of
taxation. The central government
should also be vested with the supreme authority over money. To the end that the diplomacy of the
Union might be invigorated, the states should give up the right to levy duties
on imports, and Congress should be granted the exclusive power to regulate both
foreign and interstate trade.
Congress should also be empowered to maintain a national army that would
function independently of the states.
For efficient action in the West, the central government needed the
authority to supervise the Indians and to regulate the territories of the
Union.
The nationalists
anticipated that such powers might be used both to stimulate economic activity
and to protect established interests.
The grant to Congress of adequate powers over commerce and money would
make possible the establishment of a single trading area to which every American
merchant would have free access; the abolition of the confusing currencies,
commercial codes, and tariffs of thirteen individual states would so simplify
and facilitate business as to give a vigorous spur to enterprise. Once the states had lost the right to
impair commercial contracts, interstate commerce – dependent as it was
upon credit – would receive a fresh impetus from an enhanced feeling of
security among traders. If the
Union should provide for the payment in specie of the interest on the national
debt, public securities would acquire a durable value, and would, in effect,
increase the supply of currency, thereby giving new life to production and
exchange.
Who could
not support such a change?
Alexander Hamilton supported these changes, championing a strong
centralized government, with a professional military, and a national bank to
enrich American citizens and American business and to finance AmericaÕs
debt. But was Hamilton, at heart, a
loyalist himself, a supporter of monarchy, an opponent of a democratic America?
On June 16, 1787,
Alexander Hamilton spoke for 6 hours as a member of the Constitutional
Convention, speaking for a strong national government, with state governments
being tributaries of the powerful centralized Sun in Washington. He spoke openly of his admiration of the
British government, an admiration that left many fellow delegates wondering if
he wished the strong federal government to be overseen by a form of
monarchy. Hamilton stated his
desire that state governments be extinguished, for Ôthey are
not necessary for any of the great purposes of commerce, revenue or
agriculture.Õ Better would be
"district tribunals: corporations for local purposes."
Madison wrote: ÔHe sees evil in the
states that must soon cure the people of their fondness for democracies.Õ
Hamilton
spoke to the Convention:
All the
passions we see, of avarice, ambition, interest, which govern most individuals
and all public bodies, fall into the current of the states and do not flow into
the stream of the general [national] government .... How then are all these
evils to be avoided? Only by such a
complete sovereignty in the general government as will turn all the strong
principles and passions [to] its sideÉ. Take mankind in general, they are
vicious - their passions may be operated upon. Take mankind as they are, and
what are they governed by? Their
passions. There may be in every
government a few choice spirits, who may act from more worthy motives [but] one
great error is that we suppose mankind more honest than they are. Our
prevailing passions are ambition and interest. Wise government should avail
itself of those passions, to make them subservient to the public good.
Hamilton
did not trust putting power in the hands of human beings. He later wrote: "It has been
observed that a pure democracy, if it were practicable, would be the most
perfect government. Experience has proved that no position is more false than
this. The ancient democracies, in which the people themselves deliberated,
never possessed one feature of good government. Their very character was
tyranny: their figure deformity.Ó
Hamilton feared
anarchy even more than he loved freedom.
Hamilton desired order even more than he feared the tyranny of a
centralized government.
Thomas Jefferson,
on the other hand, put freedom ahead of order. His fear of a federal tyranny was
greater than his fear of anarchy brought on by a weak central government. That is, he trusted the common man more
than he trusted the rich.
Hamilton returned
to New York after the Constitutional Convention and began (with James Monroe
and John Jay) writing a series of Federalist
Papers, which argued emphatically for the ratification of the newly
proposed U.S. Constitution, which would deliver more power to the federal
government. The Federalist
political party took its name from these political broadsides.
We will remember
that the Day-Cycle Force is monotheistic at heart, tyrannical in the extreme,
and autocratic by nature. Why is
this so? The Day is ruled by One
Heavenly Force, the Sun. The
Day-Cycle Force admires a king, desires a form of king, despises committee
discussions and lack of will demonstrated as democratic compromise. The Day-Cycle Force sees the world
clearly, knows what it wants, and doesnÕt want people standing in his way.
Jefferson
did not trust HamiltonÕs sympathy for monarchies. He was opposed to HamiltonÕs centrifugal
philosophies. (Centrifugal, had the latin root, ÔfugereÕ: to flee, fugitive; centripetal, in contrast, had the Latin
root ÔpetereÕ: to go, to seek. One
implies criminal activity; the other implies an intellectual quest.)
The reader can
see from this example the duality (and misunderstanding) built in to all
creation. HamiltonÕs philosophy is
centrifugal in the sense that he seeks to draw himself as an individual,
through power, away from his human center, into the heights of an inflated
God-like persona, fulfilling a personal destiny, such as Ahab did. In another sense, Hamilton argues for
the centripetal philosophy of the scattered political forces of America to be
drawn back in to a centralized power core in Washington DC. Nothing is ever as simple as it first
appears, especially when considering abstract (and often paradoxical)
metaphor-structures.
When George
Washington was elected President in 1787, he nominated Jefferson to be his
Secretary of State; and he nominated Hamilton to be his Secretary of the
Treasury – in much the same way that Gandhi wanted IndiaÕs first
government to be composed of Muslims and Hindus, implacable adversaries. Sure enough, Jefferson and Hamilton soon
were in full-scale opposition.
HamiltonÕs
philosophy embraced a concentration of power in the hands of the elite few; and
held humans to be innately flawed.
JeffersonÕs philosophy embraced a decentralized power that was spread
among many people and at many levels through many institutions; honored the
human spirit; and believed that education could perfect flawed human
beings.
HamiltonÕs vision
embraced success founded upon business and through the wealthy old-money
aristocracy; he admired the class system based on the English model; he wanted
to make America into a new Europe; he desired to advanced into the new
technological age; and he saw the American future fixed in Atlantic coastal
cities whose power expanded through business and international trade. JeffersonÕs vision was founded in the
farming community; he favored mild laws and equal opportunity and an
Ôaristocracy of abilityÕ rather than an old-money aristocracy; he envisioned
American as an asylum for the worldÕs oppressed; he desired to preserve
AmericaÕs simplicity and equality and desired an expansion westward, away from
Europe; he wanted America to avoid the corruptions and the political antagonism
and snares of Old World Europe.
In foreign
policy, Hamilton favored Britain, and opposed the ideas of the French
Revolution. Jefferson favored
France, and supported the ideas of the French Revolution.
The
opposition of these two ÔbrothersÕ (the Light and Dark Brothers) finally came
to a head over HamiltonÕs proposal to create a National Bank to finance
AmericanÕs debt and create an American money supply (that would ultimately be
controlled by the old-money American Ruling Class along the East Coast
seaboard).
Robert R.
Blain writes in his paper ÔUnited States public and private debt: 1791 to 2000Õ:
One
problem was Revolutionary War debt . . .
The
problem faced by the First Congress was Revolutionary War debt. Under the
Articles of Confederation, Congress had been unable to collect the taxes needed
to pay interest on that debt, so the debt had grown by compounding interest
from about $40 million to $75 million. The Constitution strengthened the
central government precisely to collect taxes to pay interest on the debt.
Abraham Lincoln at Gettysburg may have said that the new nation was
"conceived in liberty" but the Constitution was conceived in debt.
The other
problem was no money supply . . .
As a new nation,
the United States needed to create a money supply. Congress could have created
that money by the authority given it in the new Constitution: "to coin
money and regulate the value thereof." It chose instead to use the
authority also given it in the Constitution to borrow money. The choice was
fateful. It shifted control of the country's money from Congress to its
creditors, private bankers.
Hamilton's
"funding" plan . . .
The
funding system that was adopted was recommended to the First Congress by the
first US Secretary of the Treasury, Alexander Hamilton. He was a banker and a
plutocrat. He believed that wealthy people should rule the country. He
distrusted the common people. So Hamilton recommended a "funding
system" -- an odd name because no funds were created -- that put the
wealthy in control of the money supply and, therefore, the country. The first
step was that Congress pass a law obligating itself to pay interest to holders
of Revolutionary War debt certificates. By so doing, Hamilton argued that
people would consider the debt certificates valuable and would exchange them
for goods and services, thus the debt certificates would circulate as money.
Hamilton's
Bank plan . . .
The second
part of Hamilton's recommended plan was to allow holders of debt certificates
to use them to buy stock in a national bank that Congress was also to charter,
The Bank of the United States. That bank would create the country's money as
loans costing interest. By putting these two parts of the plan in place, the
$75 million debt would become the base for a growing money supply, but all of
it as debt.
Interest
causes debt to compound . . .
The
problem with Hamilton's plan was that interest had to be paid on the
debt-circulating-as-money. If the debt certificates were used to pay the
interest, the money supply would shrink and money shortages would cause
economic recessions. To maintain debt-money in circulation, owners of the debt,
the creditors, would add more debt to what was already owed. So debt would grow
at about the rate of interest forever. After 200 years of debt money, total
public and private debt has grown to about $20,000,000,000,000. That's $20
trillion, and it will continue to grow, like a snowball rolling downhill, by
ever-larger amounts.
Why did
they do it?
If such a
system had caused bankruptcy is so many cases in Europe [Florence, Genoa,
Venice, Spain and England] why did members of the First Congress adopt it? On January 28, 1790, a few days
before his speech to the First Congress predicting a debt explosion,
[Congressman] James Jackson gave another speech in which he accused [certain]
congressmen of sending agents throughout the country to buy up the depreciated
debt certificates before Hamilton's plan became known to the public. In this
way, these congressmen would own the certificates when the Funding Act was
passed into law and the value of the certificates appreciated to their face
value. Then, they and their friends would become stockholders in the new Bank
of the United States and profit from interest and growing debt.
Some
people protested . . .
At the
time, James Callender, reporter for the Philadelphia Gazette, wrote: "The
funding law was passed through Congress by the influence of a majority, who
purchased certificates from the army at under value: and who voted for the law,
with the single view of enriching themselves. It is firmly believed and loudly
asserted, by at least one half of the citizens of America, that the funding
system was devised, not for the sake of paying the real creditors but of
wronging them. Hamilton planned. Congress voted. The president approved."
In a letter to the
editor, a 'farmer' protested: "Such injustice and oppression may be
colored over with fine words; but there is a time coming, when the pen of
history will detect and expose the folly of the arguments in favor of the
proposed system, as well as the iniquity."
The
precedent became practice . . .
After
warning that, "A funding system will be highly dangerous to the welfare of
the RepublicÉ[that] it must hereafter settle upon our posterity a burden which
they can neither bear nor relieve themselves from," James Jackson added:
"It will establish a precedent in America that may, and in all probability
will, be pursued by the Sovereign authority, until it brings upon us that ruin
which it has never failed to bring." That is exactly what happened.
Why didn't
someone stop it?
Thomas
Jefferson tried to stop it. He warned, "If the American people ever allow
the banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and
then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them
will deprive the people of all property until their children will wake up
homeless.... The issuing power of money should be taken from the banks and
restored to Congress and the people to whom it belongs. I sincerely believe the
banking institutions (having the issuing power of money) are more dangerous to
liberty than standing armies. My zeal against these institutions was so warm
and open at the establishment of the Bank of the United States (Hamilton's
foreign system), that I was derided as a maniac by the tribe of bank mongers
who were seeking to filch from the public."
Hamilton
argued that Ôa national debt attaches many citizens to the government who, by
their numbers, wealth and influence, contribute more perhaps to its
preservation than a body of soldiers.Õ
In other words, if the wealthiest citizens have a stake in the
preservation of the government, the government will probably be preserved. If the government is good for the rich,
then the government is good for everyone.
Jefferson
answered: "I have sworn upon the altar of God, eternal hostility
against every form of tyranny over the mind of man."
When President
Washington asked his cabinet to speak on this issue, Jefferson argued that the
National Bank proposal was unconstitutional; the Constitution did give Congress
the power to tax U.S. citizens and to provide for the general welfare of
Americans. But these powers needed
to be interpreted narrowly. ÔTo
provide for the general welfareÕ said nothing about a National Bank.
Hamilton argued
for a very broad reading of the Constitution. He wrote: ÔIt is conceded that implied
powers are to be considered as delegated equally with express ones. Then it
follows, that as a power of erecting a corporation may as well be implied as
any other thing, it may as well be employed as an instrument of means of
carrying into execution any of the specified powers, as any other instrument or
mean whatever... A bank has a natural relation to the power of collecting taxes
- to that of regulating trade - to that of providing for the common defense...
[Therefore] the incorporation of a bank is a constitutional measure...Õ
Washington was
convinced by neither argument. But
he took HamiltonÕs side. The Bank
of United States opened its doors in Philadelphia in 1793.
In 1793,
Congress investigated corruption in the financial dealings of Alexander
Hamilton. Hamilton admitted making
illegal payments to James Reynolds, a convicted swindler whose release from
prison had been hastened by HamiltonÕs Treasury Department. Hamilton admitted to members of Congress
that he had made bribery payments to Reynolds to prevent him from publicly
disclosing an adultery Hamilton had committed with ReynoldsÕ wife Maria. The matter died in the Congress. Many historians believed that Hamilton
concocted the story of the affair to cover-up illegal insider-selling of
information that profited HamiltonÕs friends. A private indiscretion was easier for
the public to forgive than a banking scandal perpetrated by the Secretary of
the Treasury.
In 1801,
Alexander HamiltonÕs son Philip exchanged insults with George Eacker, a 27-year
old lawyer who had proclaimed in a speech that Alexander Hamilton was a traitor
who would be willing to try to overthrow a Thomas Jefferson presidency by
military force. The two met in a
duel on November 23. Eacker shot
Philip Hamilton, who died one day later.
In 1804, after
years of bitter acrimony with New York state rival Aaron Burr (Thomas
JeffersonÕs Vice-President, 1800-1804), the man who had unseated HamiltonÕs
father-in-law Philip Schuyler as senator of New York, Hamilton fought a fatal
duel with Burr. On the morning of 11 July, Burr mortally wounded Alexander
Hamilton, who died the next day.
With the death of
Hamilton -- Federalist leader George WashingtonÕs had died in 1799 – and
with the retirement of John Adams, the Federalist party essentially withered,
never regaining the presidency nor control of Congress. The only real influence of the
Federalist party from 1816 through 1824 was through Supreme Court Justice John
Marshall.
In 1824,
the Democratic-Republican party collapsed when Speaker of the House Henry Clay
essentially stole the election from Andrew Jackson (the political descendant of
Thomas Jefferson), using his position and influence in the House of
Representatives to throw the election to John Quincy Adams, even though Jackson
had received the majority of electoral votes in the general election. Most surviving members of the Federalist
Party soon after joined with Clay and other anti-Jackson Democratic-Republicans
to form the National Republican Party, which soon thereafter morphed in to the
Whig Party.
Democrats
dominated the national American political landscape from Thomas JeffersonÕs
first election as president in 1800 until the election of Whig candidate
William Henry Harrison in 1841. But
not all was well in the Democratic party.
Ideological divisions like the division between Jackson and Adams first
appeared in the early 1820Õs. The
rift between the northern Democrats and southern Democrats also became a
fissure in the 1850Õs as the issue of slavery divided the nation. Democrats fought over the nomination of
who should succeed James Buchanan as President. Northern anti-slavery democrats left the
part to join the new Republican National Union Party, headed by Abraham
Lincoln. As the war dragged on,
northern Democrats divided into War Democrats (who supported Lincoln) and Peace
Democrats (who did not support Lincoln); southern Democrats formed their own
party.
The new
Republican Party controlled the White House until 1884.
The Democratic
Party was split into two factions: the first and the dominant faction, was the
pro-business Bourbon Democrats, led
by Samuel Tilden and Grover Cleveland, representing mercantile, banking and
railroad interests, opposed imperialism and overseas expansion, supported the
gold standard, fought against tariffs, high taxes and corruption. (This all sounds very much like the
current Republicans, except for the imperialism issues.) The second faction, Agrarian Democrats, were more connected to the original party of
Jefferson, and eventually overthrew the Bourbon
Democrats in 1896. The Agrarian Democrats vigorously attacked
Eastern moneyed interests, demanded ÔFree SilverÕ – unlimited silver coin
minting sought by the poor, indebted classes of the West and opposed by the
hard money Eastern conservatives -- and nominated William Jennings Bryan to run
for the presidency in both 1900 and 1908 – which elections he lost to
Republican William McKinley.
An attempt to
replace the Democratic Party by an alliance of north, south, and western
farmers – the Populist Party – failed to gain significant following
in the later 1880Õs.
The Democrats
gained control of the House of Representatives in 1910; and Woodrow Wilson, a
leading intellectual progressive, was elected president in 1912 and 1916
– and Wilson helped passed progressive tax, antitrust, tariff laws, and
the creation of the Federal Reserve.
WilsonÕs election in 1912 became possible because Theodore Roosevelt and
William Howard Taft divided the Republican vote.
The Republicans
regained national power in 1921, electing Warren G. Harding as president. Harding promised Ôa return to normalcyÕ,
which meant a return to the laissez-faire
policies of the William McKinley era, rejecting the progressive policies of the
Wilson democrats. Laissez-faire meant pro-business, lower taxes,
repeal of wartime Ôexcess profitsÕ legislation, reduction in railroad
rates. Harding also called for the
abolition of lynching – but, not eager to make enemies in his own party,
or with southern Democrats – he did not fight for this issue. Harding is regularly ranked by
academicians as one of AmericaÕs worst presidents.
The Republicans
dominated the White House through the Roaring Twenties; and Republican Herbert
Hoover was president in 1929 when
the economic bubble burst in 1929.
After that, voters wanted nothing to do with Republicans for almost 25
years. Franklin Roosevelt served as
AmericaÕs president throughout the Great Depression and World War II; and his
New Deal liberal policies meant the promotion of social welfare, labor unions,
civil rights and regulation of business.
The opponents of these liberal policies began to call themselves
ÔconservativesÕ, stressing support for long-term economic growth, low taxes,
support for business. It took an
entire generation, however, for Americans to forgive Republicans for having
demolished the American economy in 1929 – I expect a similar type of
reaction to the destruction of the economy in 2007.
Republicans
eventually hammered together a coalition between conservatives and white
southerners who opposed big government, civil rights, JohnsonÕs Great Society
liberalism – the so-called ÔSouthern StrategyÕ – to push Richard
Nixon to power in 1969 – but, in fact, Democrats dominated the White
House from 1933 through 1981 with little Republican resistance.
Only with Ronald
ReaganÕs revolution in 1981 did power shift in America back to Republican
business coalitions. This business
culture has dominated American politics since 1981, until the election of Barak
Obama in 2008.
We can not go back to endless cycles of bubble and bust.
We can't continue to base our economy on reckless speculation
and spending beyond our
means. I did not come here to pass
our problems on to the next president or to the
next generation. I'm here to solve them.
Barack Obama 2009
CHAPTER TWELVE.
TIME CYCLES IN AMERICAN HISTORY: CONCLUSIONS
(Who Are the Chess-Pieces; and What Moves the Chess-Pieces)
Our aim is not to do away with corporations; on the contrary,
these big aggregations are an inevitable development of modern industrialism,
and the effort to destroy them would be futile unless accomplished in ways that
would work the utmost mischief to the entire body politic. We can do nothing of
good in the way of regulating and supervising these corporations until we fix
clearly in our minds that we are not attacking the corporations, but
endeavoring to do away with any evil in them. We are not hostile to them; we
are merely determined that they shall be so handled as to subserve the public
good. We draw the line against misconduct, not against wealth.
Teddy Roosevelt, 1902
When I first began writing this book I was quite certain that
political/economic cycles would show a pretty clear definition of political
alignments showing Republican political power (Pro-Business, low-tax,
anti-government) connected with Day-Cycles (Ego-expansion) and Democratic
political power (pro-workers, high-tax of the rich, government support of
welfare services) connected with Night-Cycles (Ego-contraction). I believe this is so, for the large
part. However, the history of
AmericaÕs political parties, fragmented, shape-shifting, issue-oriented, makes
this somewhat difficult to show.
What
is clearest to me, now, is that the individuals or even the parties in power
during the Day/Night cycles of American history matter much less than do the
Day/Night cycles themselves. The
atmosphere and events created by the Day/Night cycles, themselves, dominate the
political scene much more than do the chessboard figures who are elected and
who govern.
In
a very real sense, I see Apollo and Dionysus (we know these two forces by many
names) moving pieces
For instance, looking at the Twentieth
Century:
1901
– Theodore Roosevelt, Republican, elected President
Dusk 1902
1909
– William Howard Taft, Republican, elected President
Midnight 1911
1913
– Woodrow Wilson, Democrat, elected President
Dawn 1920
1921
– Warren G. Harding, Republican, elected President
1923
– Calvin Coolidge, Republican, President
Noon 1929
– Herbert Hoover, Republican, elected President
1933
– Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Democrat, elected President
Dusk 1938
1945
– Harry Truman, Democrat, President
Midnight 1947
1953
– Dwight David Eisenhower, Republican, elected President
Dawn 1956
1961
– John F. Kennedy, Democrat, elected President
1963
– Lyndon B. Johnson, Democrat, President
Noon 1965
1969
– Richard Nixon, Republican, elected President
Dusk 1974
– Gerald Ford, Republican, President
1977
– Jimmy Carter, Democrat, elected President
1981
– Ronald Reagan, Republican, elected President
Midnight 1983
1989
– George Bush, Senior, Republican, elected President
Dawn 1992
1993
– Bill Clinton, Democrat, elected President
Noon 2001
– George Bush, Junior, Republican, elected President
2009
– Barak Obama, Democrat, elected President
It is clear to me that the Republicans dominated the Day Cycle 1983
– 2001. Yes, Bill Clinton was
elected as a Democrat in 1993.
However Bill Clinton was the most Republican-like of Democratic
presidents since Woodrow Wilson. He
kept his hands off U.S. Business interests, he did not pass any significant
social legislation or tax heavily the countryÕs rich, and he did not alienate
Wall Street with regulations to safeguard investors from cannibal Wall Street
operators. In fact, he helped to
dismantle restrictions on Wall Street that had been in place since FDR. Clinton backed off early attempts to
pass a national health system when Republicans resisted and the public seemed
indifferent.
By
the same token, the Night-Cycle of Democratic rule (1965-1983) was interrupted
by Richard NixonÕs administration – but not really. What kind of Republican was Richard
Nixon really? This is the man who traveled
to ÔRed ChinaÕ and recognized diplomatically the communist leadership of Mao
Tse Tung and his followers. Nixon
is also the man who tried to manage the marketplace with price controls and
deficit spending to try to achieve Ôfull employmentÕ.
Clinton
and Nixon were alike in many ways, political animals of great capability,
willing to do almost anything to be elected and to stay in power. Chameleons; charmers; intelligent
survivors who were both in power while swimming against HistoryÕs current.
The Day-Cycle 1947 – 1965 is a
Republican phase, defined more by Eisenhower than by anyone else in that
period. The 1950Õs was AmericaÕs
most conservative, conventional decade.
The fact that a Democrat, Harry Truman, kicked off the cycle, and
another Democrat, John Kennedy, closed it, does not really change the nature of
the cycle. John Kennedy was not too
clearly a liberal; he did not run as a liberal, but as a handsome prince who
made American seem like Camelot.
And when Kennedy began to show his liberal nature, first through support
of civil rights legislation, and then through a perceived weakness in Cuba and
the overthrow of Fidel Castro, well the conservative Ruling Class in America
had him murdered. Then all hell
broke loose – which is another way of saying that Dionysus took over,
Night fell, and the Democrats took over the country and managed it through the
ego-death boat ride into the Underworld by Moonlight.
The
Night-Cycle 1929 – 1947 was, again, all Democratic. The Republicans, and their laissez-faire policies with regard to
business graft, collusion, price-fixing and stock market manipulation created
great paper wealth in the 1920Õs but, as before, and as after, they ran the
ship into a rock.
The
Democrats managed the country through the chaos of the Great Depression and
World War II. Republicans now argue
that the Democrats created the Great Depression by trying to over-regulate
business after the crisis and by not flooding the system with enough money when
the depression first started (now they seem to be saying that Obama is creating
a crisis because he is trying to flood the system with more
money through government spending) – itÕs all quite confusing.
The Day-Cycle 1911-1929 is, again, clearly a
Republican phase. The presence of
Woodrow Wilson in this 18 year cycle is almost irrelevant. Wilson was elected by a fluke and then
retained during a time of war – but the back half of the cycle was
dominated by three Republican presidents, including the notorious Herbert
Hoover, a mining engineer who had never been elected to any public office
before becoming president of the United States. Hoover was an advocate of the
ÔEfficiency MovementÕ, which argued that a technical solution existed for every
social and economic problem.
Day-Cycle
leaders are technicians by nature.
They believe in technology, machinery, problem-solving through
formulas.
Hoover
was also a deeply-committed humanitarian, who was raised as a Quaker. During World War I, Hoover gave up his
mining career and devoted his life to issues of food distribution in Europe,
working 14 hours a day, crossing the North Sea 40 times to meet with German
officials about distribution of food to hungry European war refugees. He also helped feed starving Russians,
for which he was heavily criticized by Republicans, including Senator Henry
Cabot Lodge, as Ôaiding the Bolshevik governmentÕ. To this he replied: ÔTwenty million
people are starving! Whatever their
politics, they shall be fed!Õ
When
Hoover returned home, he was greeted with warm enthusiasm by Democratic
politicians, including President Woodrow Wilson (Wilson referred to Hoover as
Ômy successorÕ) and Franklin D. Roosevelt, rising star from New York. The Democrats wanted Hoover to join
their team. Hoover considered it,
felt the 1920Õs to be a Republican decade, and didnÕt want to join a Ôlosing
sideÕ. The Great Depression turned
Hoover into one of the greatest losers in American political history.
If the Day-Cycle 1911-1929 belonged to the
Republicans, then the preceding Night-Cycle 1893-1911 had to belong to the
Democrats. But is that
possible? We must remember that a
strange morphing of American political parties began in the 1860Õs, when
Abraham LincolnÕs Republican party started out looking more like todayÕs
Democratic Party, especially in terms of civil rights, and the Democrats
started splitting into conservative old-money aristocratic branches and angry
agrarian working class fire-brand branches. It all gets quite confusing, in fact.
Was
Teddy Roosevelt really a Republican; or was he a Democrat? We know he was a dedicated trust-buster,
an enemy of corporate monopolies.
We know that he was also a ÔcowboyÕ president if ever there was one
– a cowboy and an eager militarist, heart and soul. Teddy Roosevelt was a passionate man,
with a hunger for making a better world.
Roosevelt is not your normal Republican in todayÕs context surely. From RooseveltÕs speeches:
Probably
the greatest harm done by vast wealth is the harm that we of moderate means do
ourselves when we let the vices of envy and hatred enter deep into our own
natures.
But there is
another harm; and it is evident that we should try to do away with that. The
great corporations which we have grown to speak of rather loosely as trusts are
the creatures of the State, and the State not only has the right to control
them, but it is duty bound to control them wherever the need of such control is
shown.
We wish to
control big business so as to secure among other things good wages for the
wage-workers and reasonable prices for the consumers. Wherever in any business
the prosperity of the businessman is obtained by lowering the wages of his
workmen and charging an excessive price to the consumers we wish to interfere and
stop such practices. We will not submit to that kind of prosperity any more
than we will submit to prosperity obtained by swindling investors or getting
unfair advantages over business rivals.
Political
parties exist to secure responsible government and to execute the will of the
people. From these great tasks both of the old parties have turned aside.
Instead of instruments to promote the general welfare they have become the
tools of corrupt interests, which use them impartially to serve their selfish purposes.
Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing
no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people. To destroy
this invisible government, to dissolve the unholy alliance between corrupt
business and corrupt politics, is the first task of the statesmanship of the
day.
We stand
equally against government by a plutocracy and government by a mob. There is
something to be said for government by a great aristocracy which has furnished
leaders to the nation in peace and war for generations; even a democrat like
myself must admit this. But there is absolutely nothing to be said for
government by a plutocracy, for government by men very powerful in certain
lines and gifted with "the money touch," but with ideals which in
their essence are merely those of so many glorified pawnbrokers.
There is
no room in this country for hyphenated AmericanismÉ. The one absolutely certain
way of bringing this nation to ruin, of preventing all possibility of its continuing
to be a nation at all, would be to permit it to become a tangle of squabbling
nationalities.
A heavy
progressive tax upon a very large fortune is in no way such a tax upon thrift
or industry as a like would be on a small fortune. No advantage comes either to
the country as a whole or to the individuals inheriting the money by permitting
the transmission in their entirety of the enormous fortunes which would be
affected by such a tax; and as an incident to its function of revenue raising,
such a tax would help to preserve a measurable equality of opportunity for the
people of the generations growing to manhood. We have not the slightest
sympathy with that socialistic idea which would try to put laziness,
thriftlessness and inefficiency on a par with industry, thrift and efficiency;
which would strive to break up not merely private property, but what is far
more important, the home, the chief prop upon which our whole civilization
stands. Such a theory, if ever adopted, would mean the ruin of the entire
country--a ruin which would bear heaviest upon the weakest, upon those least
able to shift for themselves. But proposals for legislation such as this herein
advocated are directly opposed to this class of socialistic theories. Our aim
is to recognize what Lincoln pointed out: The fact that there are some respects
in which men are obviously not equal; but also to insist that there should be
an equality of self-respect and of mutual respect, an equality of rights before
the law, and at least an approximate equality in the conditions under which
each man obtains the chance to show the stuff that is in him when compared to
his fellows.
We must
ever bear in mind that the great end in view is righteousness, justice as
between man and man, nation and nation, the chance to lead our lives on a
somewhat higher level, with a broader spirit of brotherly goodwill one for
another. Peace is generally good in itself, but it is never the highest good
unless it comes as the handmaid of righteousness; and it becomes a very evil
thing if it serves merely as a mask for cowardice and sloth, or as an
instrument to further the ends of despotism or anarchy. We despise and abhor
the bully, the brawler, the oppressor, whether in private or public life, but
we despise no less the coward and the voluptuary. No man is worth calling a man
who will not fight rather than submit to infamy or see those that are dear to
him suffer wrong. No nation deserves to exist if it permits itself to lose the
stern and virile virtues; and this without regard to whether the loss is due to
the growth of a heartless and all-absorbing commercialism, to prolonged
indulgence in luxury and soft, effortless ease, or to the deification of a
warped and twisted sentimentality.
Spoken
like a true man of the Twilight, a man who sees both sides of the world, and
chooses the middle path (the soulÕs path) which is a very thin road between the
two false extremes. He certainly does not sound like a modern-day
Republican. Tax the rich; protect
the poor from the corrupt corporations.
Sounds like a modern-day Democrat.
William
McKinley? In 1876, thirty-three
striking miners at the Hanna Mines in Ohio were imprisoned for rioting after
industrialist Mark Hanna brought in strikebreakers to replace striking workers. McKinley defended the miners in court,
attained acquittals for all but one, and refused to take the minersÕ money as
legal fees.
Does this sound
like the Republicans that we know?
What about Grover Cleveland,
the Democrat? Cleveland was the
only president to serve non-consecutive terms (1885-89 and 1893-97). He was the winner of the popular vote
for president three times (1884, 1888, and 1892) – and he was the only
Democrat elected for president in the era of Republican political domination
(1860 – 1912). Cleveland,
weÕll remember, was a Bourbon Democrat,
supporting mercantile, railroad and banking interests. So the Democrats were more like todayÕs
Republicans?
Noon 1893
– Grover Cleveland, Democrat, elected President
1897
– William McKinley, Republican, elected President
1901
– Theodore Roosevelt, Republican, elected President
Dusk 1902
1909
– William Howard Taft, Republican, elected President
Midnight 1911
1913
– Woodrow Wilson, Democrat, elected President
Dawn 1920
1921
– Warren G. Harding, Republican, elected President
1923
– Calvin Coolidge, Republican, President
Noon 1929
– Herbert Hoover, Republican, elected President
But then
things get confusing. If the
Night-Cycle (1893-1911) belonged to the modern-day Democrats (the old Lincoln
Republicans), then the preceding Day-Cycle (1875–1893) should belong to
the modern-day Republicans – and that is not the case. We have Republicans
(Lincoln-Republicans) dominating the presidency from 1860 – 1912.
Midnight 1875
1877 –
Rutherford B. Hayes, Republican, elected President
1881
– James Garfield, Republican, President - assassinated
1881
– Chester A. Arthur, Republican, President
Dawn 1884
1885 - Grover
Cleveland, Democrat, elected President
1889
– Benjamin Harrison, Republican, elected President
1890
_ Sherman Anti-Trust Act
Noon 1893
– Grover Cleveland, Democrat, elected President
More and
more IÕm believing that Ôparty affiliationÕ means less and less. The time of ÔdayÕ (or ÔnightÕ) molds the
man, the leader, in the same way that water takes the shape of the container it
fills.
What kind of
Republican (current-day Democrat) was Rutherford B. Hayes as president? Here is a Republican living in LincolnÕs
shadow who, in order to be elected, guaranteed southern Democrats the removal
of federal troops from the defeated south and an end to reconstruction. In 1877, as president, Hayes used
federal troops to control striking workers for the Baltimore and Ohio
Railroads. Labor disputes
degenerated into riots in several cities; and strikes spread across the country
in support of the workers. Hayes
sent in federal troops, who fired on the striking workers, killing more than 70
men. This action caused concern on
both sides of the political spectrum: workers feared this signal a permanent
anti-union posture for Washington – the Republicans in the 1800Õs had
been generally pro-union. Rich
Industrialists feared an open revolt against the Ruling Class like the European
revolutions of 1848.
Who was James A
Garfield, really? His claim to fame
as president was in attempting to heal factional schisms in his own party; and
being assassinated by a disaffected seeker of an official post in GarfieldÕs
government and defender of corrupt political patronage, Charles Guiteau. What was this factional rift between
Republicans. The main rift between
Republicans in the late 1800Õs was between ÔStalwartsÕ and ÔHalf-BreedsÕ: the
ÔStalwartsÕ supported U.S. GrantsÕ run for a third term of presidency, opposing
Rutherford B. Hayes who proposed major civil service reform. Since the Republicans had held power in
Washington for so long, all government jobs went to Republicans. The ÔStalwartsÕ supported this cronyism;
the ÔHalf-BreedsÕ desired to reform the so-called ÔSpoils SystemÕ.
James Garfield
was a ÔHalf-BreedÕ. As a part
of the deal to get the nomination, Chester A. Arthur, a ÔStalwartÕ, was chosen
as GarfieldÕs vice-president.
Guiteau, who called himself Ôthe Stalwart of the StalwartsÕ, in killing
Garfield, passed the presidency on to his political ally, Chester A. Arthur.
Arthur, as
president, to everyoneÕs surprise, broke ranks with his former ÔStalwartÕ
cronies and joined the ÔHalf-BreedsÕ in push civil service reform, winning
passage of the Pendleton Civil Service Reform Act and winning for himself the
title ÒFather of the Civil ServiceÕ.
He was clearly a man whose character rose with the authority of the
office of the Presidency. Mark
Twain wrote: ÔIt would be hard, indeed, to better President ArthurÕs
administration.Õ
ArthurÕs honesty
and integrity as president apparently made enemies, even in ArthurÕs own party
– and he was not nominated for the party to run for re-election in 1884.
I am
reminded of scientific experiments about which I read several years ago: scientists
studied five groups of 20 children and observed the children in these groups
and tested them for social skills, leadership and native intelligence. Each group self-divided into a
hierarchy. Each group had a core of
leaders, a large group of followers, a few shy isolationists, a few
rebels. Next, these original groups
were re-divided to create new groups.
All the children showing above-average leadership skills were grouped
together; those who appeared to be followers were grouped together; rebels and
loners were grouped together.
Remarkably, the new groups broke down into groups similar to the
composition of the first groups.
The new group with all ÔleadersÕ demonstrated a few leaders, a large
group of followers, some isolationists, and some rebels. The new group with all Ôrebels and
lonersÕ divided into a hierarchy with a few leaders, a large group of
followers, a few isolationists and a few rebels.
Individuals
seemed to re-compose themselves to the new context in order to fill roles in some
archetypal arrangement. A leader in
one group became, quite easily, a follower in the next. An outlaw, in a group of outlaws, became
the force of order and organization.
Each human being has potentials and capacities which are uncovered by
necessity, by opportunity, and by confrontation of voids that must be filled if
harmony in nature is to be maintained or established.
There is nothing
permanent in our natures and behaviors that is not influenced by context or
Time. It is as if we are all made of
water, water than takes different shapes to fill a reality with different
containers that need to be filled.
The world of
politics also works this way.
Political parties are constantly shifting, filling, re-filling,
re-shaping, splitting, coagulating, filling TimeÕs containers as Time requires,
sometimes up, sometimes down, sometimes dark, sometimes light, flowing between
poles, fulfilling necessities.
My earlier
metaphor also works: the electron beam is composed of milliards of electrons,
each free to follow its own path or arc provided that some other electron in
the beam (which electron acts and which reacts can never be predicted)
ÔbalancesÕ the other, so that the nature or definition of the electron beam is
never destroyed.
In human society,
roles prescribed by TimeÕs laws are filled by particles in much the same way.
If the two political parties do not balance one another to comply with the
manifestation of TimeÕs Law, then the dominant party might grow factions in
order to help achieve the balance, the Law.
Clearly we
must look beyond the figure of the president to understand an age. Did Grover Alexander really define the
culmination of the Day-Cycle (1875-1893)?
Was Grover Alexander really a manifestation of the Sun-Hero? I think not.
However, there was a castration close to the Noon-Hour
in this cycle. Remember that the
act of castration can be legislation designed to impede the Ômasculine
expansionÕ of the circle of influence, affluence, and political and military
power.
In 1890, the Sherman
Anti-Trust Act was passed by the congress.
This act was an attempt to excise the power of private corporations to
monopolize an industry through restraining trade of competitors. The Act provided:
Every
contract, combination in the form of trust or otherwise, or conspiracy, in restraint of trade
or commerce among the several States, or with foreign nations, is declared to
be illegalÉ. Every person who shall monopolize, or attempt to monopolize, or
combine or conspire with any other person or persons, to monopolize any part of
the trade or commerce among the several States, or with foreign nations, shall
be deemed guilty of a felonyÉ.
This act required government attorneys and district
courts to pursue and investigate trusts, companies, corporations and
organizations suspected of violating the Act. (To some, the Sherman Anti-Trust Act was
another word name for the ÔGet John D. Rockefeller ActÕ – for Standard
Oil soon became the target of government lawyers seeking punishment of illegal
restraint of trade through complex, even fraudulent restructuring of a
companyÕs organization.
What is a ÔtrustÕ anyway?
In 1879, C.T.
Dodd, a lawyer for Standard Oil Company of Ohio, created a new type of Ôtrust
agreementÕ in an effort to by-pass Ohio state laws against corporations owning
stock in other corporations. The
trust itself was not new. The trust
had existed for several centuries as a form of legal contract wherein one party
entrusted their property to a second party. The property was then used to benefit
the first party. In a corporate
trust, such as the one designed by Dodd, various corporations could assign
their stock to a board of trustees.
The trust then could issue trust certificates to the stockholders, who
received financial compensation and benefits while operational control was
maintained by the board of trustees.
By consolidating control of most companies in any one industry under one
controlling board of trustees, the industry was essentially monopolized.
Interestingly, Alan
Greenspan, in his essay entitled ÔAntitrustÕ, attacked the Sherman Anti-Trust
Act as damaging innovation, aiding weak competitors and, generally, harming
society. Greenspan writes:
No one
will ever know what new products, processes, machines, and cost-saving mergers
failed to come into existence, killed by the Sherman Act before they were
born. No one can ever compute the
price that all of us have paid for that Act which, by inducing less effective use
of capital, has kept our standard of living lower than would otherwise have
been possible.
Corporate monsters that thrive on cannibalistic
business practices can also lower the communal standard of living by forcing wages
lower and by destroying local competition – look at Walmart today for
instance. Monopolies hurt by the
Sherman Anti-Trust Act were not fair-playing companies hamstrung by government
regulation, unable to develop new technologies or innovative business practices
by government interference, but law-breaking carnivores destroying competition
by hook, by crook, and through government payoffs, so they could drive down
costs (injure workers) and increase profits (soak the consumer).
Look around today. Look at the medical industry, where
price-fixing is rampant, and competition is hamstrung by Congressmen who are
owned by insurance companies, drug companies, and the AMA. Where is the Sherman Anti-Trust Act now,
when we need it?
Are we surprised to see Alan Greenspan
defending monopolistic corporate titans who make up the core of the American
Ruling Class? Defending the giants
and dismissing the Ôlittle manÕ, the insignificant Ônickels and dimesÕ? No, we are not.
Are we surprised to see Alan Greenspan
siding with the Standard Oil Companies of the world? No.
Is the Ôstandard of livingÕ the only
yardstick we use to measure the quality of our nation as a great
civilization? Is the Ôbottom lineÕ
in achieving our maximum potential as a civilization measured only by how many
boats we have, how many snow-mobiles we own, how many houses, how much our
portfolios are worth?
Do not store up for yourselves
treasures on earth, where moth and rust destroy, where thieves break in an
steal.
The government finally sued
Standard Oil in 1909 under the Sherman Anti-Trust Act for Ôrestraining
interstate commerce by using the following illegal methods:
Rebates,
preferences, and other discriminatory practices in favor of the combination by railroad
companies; restraint and monopolization by control of pipe lines, and unfair
practices against competing pipe lines; contracts with competitors in restraint
of trade; unfair methods of competition, such as local price cutting at the
points where necessary to suppress competition; [and] espionage of the business
of competitors, the operation of bogus independent companies, and payment of
rebates on oil, with the like intentÉ.
The general
result of the investigation has been to disclose the existence of numerous and
flagrant discriminations by the railroads in behalf of the Standard Oil Company
and its affiliated corporations. With comparatively few exceptions, mainly of
other large concerns in California, the Standard has been the sole beneficiary
of such discriminations. In almost every section of the country that company
has been found to enjoy some unfair advantages over its competitors, and some
of these discriminations affect enormous areas.
The
government cited four illegal patterns of activity on the part of Standard Oil
Company:
Almost
everywhere the rates from the shipping points used exclusively, or almost
exclusively, by the Standard are relatively lower than the rates from the
shipping points of its competitors. Rates have been made low to let the
Standard into markets, or they have been made high to keep its competitors out
of markets. Trifling differences in distances are made an excuse for large
differences in rates favorable to the Standard Oil Company, while large
differences in distances are ignored where they are against the Standard.
Sometimes connecting roads prorate on oil—that is, make through rates
which are lower than the combination of local rates; sometimes they refuse to
prorate; but in either case the result of their policy is to favor the Standard
Oil Company. Different methods are used in different places and under different
conditions, but the net result is that from Maine to California the general
arrangement of open rates on petroleum oil is such as to give the Standard an
unreasonable advantage over its competitors
The evidence is,
in fact, absolutely conclusive that the Standard Oil Company charges altogether
excessive prices where it meets no competition, and particularly where there is
little likelihood of competitors entering the field, and that, on the other
hand, where competition is active, it frequently cuts prices to a point which
leaves even the Standard little or no profit, and which more often leaves no
profit to the competitor, whose costs are ordinarily somewhat higher.
On May 15,
1911, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled against Standard Oil, declaring Standard Oil
Group to be an ÔunreasonableÕ monopoly under the Sherman Antitrust Act, and
ordering Standard Oil broken up into 34 independent companies, each with
different boards of directors.
ÔCastration
complexÕ and Ôpenis envyÕ. We leave
Jung for a moment or two, and return to JungÕs alter ego Sigmund Freud (Freud
is Day-Cycle prophet and Jung is the Night-Cycle prophet) to set our bearings again
with regard to the destruction of the Day by the envious, angry knife-wielding
Night.
Freud connected
the Ôcastration complexÕ to early psycho-sexual development issues as the male
child became aware of his primitive sexual desires as they came into conflict
with the social norms, conventions and laws governing acceptable behavior. Lacan developed this concept further and
defined it Ôthe Law of the FatherÕ.
ÔPenis envyÕ was
the Freudian female counterpart to the male Ôcastration anxiety complexÕ. Girls soon discover that boys have a
position of advantage in society and link this advantage to the presence of an
additional sexual advantage. (In
fact, this is less FreudÕs interpretation than my own.)
Thus begins a
long, complex, often hostile relationship between complexes.
Boys do not, in
fact, worry about fathers (and the FatherÕs Law) castrating them. Boys worry about their mothers
castrating them. Social
disciplining of boys is often done by mothers; and such behavioral correction
carried out along gender lines carries with it castration overtones. Sons are attracted to their mothers
along this same gender axis (as daughters are attracted to fathers). A mother correcting a son carries with
in the implication of a sexual/emotional/love rejection, which is a form of
castration. When a brutal father
beats his son into submission, it is not a form of castration, it is a form of
competition. The son is not being
rejected by a threatened father, he is being suppressed: the father is
recognizing his penis, and challenging it: the boyÕs power is being recognized,
and opposed. Only the female can
castrate the male, through a rejection of the maleÕs power and, most
importantly, the declaration that the male is not worthy to receive love.
Feminism is
a very obvious manifestation of the Ôcastration compulsionÕ (and, of course, of
the Ôpenis envyÕ mentality), which is a built-in time factor in human
history. The woman wants her chance
to drive the car. She resents the
manÕs power, his fame, his notoriety, his wealth-making magicÉhis excesses, his
war-making compulsion, his corruption, his injustice. There are two sides to this, of course.
Women cutting
their hair, dressing in business suits, focusing on careers, climbing the
corporate ladder, rejecting the role of motherhood, honoring a sexually
promiscuous lifestyleÉ.everything is equal, except, of course, the presence of
the penis. The only way to really
make the genders equal, on the physical plane, is to drag man down from the
sky. The only way to do this is to
wound him, to castrate him, to make him docile and domestic.
The problem, of
course, is that by doing this one eliminates the shadow side of the man –
the violent, the overly-physical, the uncultured, the obsessively
one-dimensional – but one also loses the positive side, the force of
organization, the wealth-builder, the city-protector, the practical
problem-solver. The country sinks
into despair (depression is a ÔfemaleÕ disease), poverty, crime, fearÉthe Dark
Ages. The Egyptian story of Osiris
is one of the older examples of this mythology.
As Camille
Paglia, as self-proclaimed feminist, pointed out in the 1990Õs, if all the men
of the world were sensitive academic female types (i.e., castrated men), who
would fix her car when it broke down.
Paglia stands out as a kind of voice of sanity during the rabid hyper
castration phase that was the
Ôdeath danceÕ of feminism in this last passing of Darkness. Paglia broke ranks with orthodox
feminism, rejected absolutist politically correct feminist ideology (there is a
masculine ideology which is just absolutist and rigid in its extreme).
We remember that
the Dawn/Spring (the Northern and Western Dawn/Spring) perspective, the Light
(masculine) Principle overthrows the Darkness (feminine) Principle and escapes
the underworld of darkness for the 18 years (the hemisphere) running from Dawn
to Dusk.
Noon 1965
– Fall of the Patriarch (Castration). Growth of Feminist power.
Dusk 1973
– Darkness defeats light.
Midnight 1981 –
Apex of Feminism, racial politics season.
Rebirth of Masculine.
Dawn 1992
– Defeat of Feminist cycle; victory of Masculine Imperative.
Noon 2001 -
Dusk 2010
When we
speak of the Ôcastration factorÕ in our Time-Cycle structure, we must remember
that the Male Principle (expansion, Ego, rigid sense of self as ÔIÕ), at the
end of its performance, is castrated by the Dark (Female) Principle. The Liberals (the female part) castrate
Business through regulation, castrate the Military through budget restrictions,
castigate Sports as macho tribalism that encourages aggression.
The Sherman
Anti-Trust Act was an act of castration carried out by the Female Principle in
American society against the Male Principle in American society.
Castration (which
is a form of Patricide or Regicide or Fratricide) is, of course, always
followed by darkness, the loss of energetic organization, infertility, social
upheaval, financial chaos. The
penis is the magic wand that carries the electrical charge that lights up the
world, that raises a tent up into the sky inside of which people can live,
soaring high into the atmosphere above the earth. When the tentÕs central pole is
collapsed, the tent falls back to earth; then the circus, the party, is over. Survivors on the earth hide in the caves
as the world becomes dark.
We would
expect Night Cycles of American History to show more and more consistent gains
in rights of women and rights of non-white men. Also, we would expect Night-Cycles to
demonstrate an increase in power of labor unions, and workersÕ rights
generally.
We have entered
another Night-Cycle now. We expect
the Democrats to dominate the political scene for some time in to the future;
because of this we expect to see much more regulation of business, contraction of
military spending, more legal prosecution of white collar business criminals,
more emphasis on soul values, culture values (art, poetry, philosophy, music,
humanistic values), and much more attention being given to the needs of
workers, rather than, as today, to the pleasure of the superrich and the
vanities of the superstars in sport, society-pages, and Hollywood.
Since the human
rights of non-white races and women in the West is a very recent development,
one intent on developing research along these lines (Night-Cycle progress,
Day-Cycle regress) might focus on the cycles of class warfare, on the growth of
plebian rights and the diminishment of patrician powers as they manifest in
historical cycles.
Growing up
in the 1960Õs, most students in college felt that there was no need to study
practical subjects at the university since there were no jobs waiting after
graduation – so most people simply pursued true interests. This meant that study of humanities was
dominant. I remember then also that
membership in fraternities and sororities was passŽ – the classical,
white, practical, materialistic values of the Day-Cycle were diminished to
almost nothing. They came back with
a vengeance during the Reagan Era onward.
But they will once again be seen as a form of political unconsciousness
in the next cycle.
As this
depression deepens and broadens, the initial panic we see now of students
rejecting a humanities education for a practical vocational training education,
to compete for diminishing jobs, will be lessened. The cost of a university education will
be reduced. Loans will be made
available to finance education.
Students will again pursue soul interests, instead of just body
interests, as has been the major focus since the last bottom in 1983.
A real, a deep,
society needs to respect both the Father and the Mother, needs to produce the
fruits of both the Day (material processes) and the Night
(intellectual/spiritual/cultural processes). A great society produces epics and
monuments to both the Day and the Night, seeks physical and material advantage
for its own tribe, but also seeks dreams and visions for all the peoples of the
world. Shakespeare and Tolstoy and
Pushkin and Melville and Dante and Goethe and Yeats and Joyce and Faulkner all
gave gifts to the entire world, regardless of tribe or race: each generated
photographs of the soul; maps through the darkness, back to God, through the
labyrinth of loss and fear and desolation.
In the
Egyptian myth, Osiris, the Day-Cycle, is dismembered by the Dark Principle,
this dark brother Set. Set
originally, with his 72 fellow conspirators – there is that number again,
72 (4 x 18 = 72) – tricks Set into a coffin-like chest which has been
made to fit only him, which coffin is then sealed and set afloat in the Nile
River. Osiris drowns in the
coffin.
Upon the death of
Osiris, Egypt falls into darkness, death, poverty and chaos. Isis, the sister and wife of Osiris,
seeks to find his body, thinking a proper burial might help alleviate the
misery of her country. Set, on a
hunting trip, recovers the coffin with the god Osiris inside: he dismembers the
body of the Sun God, cutting him in 14 pieces (7 steps up, 7 steps down?), and
scatters the 14 pieces across Egypt.
Isis finds 13 of these pieces, mummifies the remains, and seeks to build
a replica of Osiris as a sacred talisman to try to restore order to her
kingdom. She cannot find the
phallus, however, which has been thrown into the sea and has been eaten by a
fish (a whale?).
Isis understands
that she cannot lift the gloom that has fallen over Egypt without the missing
magic wand of Osiris. She wanders
in darkness throughout Egypt seeking the missing phallus, accompanied by 7
scorpions (this is a time-reference to the zodiacal sign Scorpio, the first
Underworld stop in the dark half of the circle of life) that protect her. The tears of Isis, mourning her lost
husband, overflowed the Nile and brought the Great Flood to Egypt. When Isis realized she would never
recover OsirisÕ lost penis, she fashioned a token penis out of gold, sang a
love song to her mummified husband, arousing him momentarily, at which time the
lovers united and Isis conceived Horus, the New Sun Hero,. Horus, after growing slowly in secret
obscurity, eventually came to power, avenged the murder of his father by
killing his own deceptive uncle, Set, thereafter bringing light, the Day-Cycle,
and fertility, back to Egypt.
Another note
about SetÕs 72 fellow conspirators: legend recorded that 1/72 of the MoonÕs
light was supposedly won by the Great God Thoth (Hermes/Mercury) for the birth
of the five major gods of Egypt: Set, Nepthys, Osiris, Isis and Horus. Divide the 360¡ year by 72 and you get
5. These 5 days are added to the
old Egyptian calendar of 360 days per year to get the 365 days of the new
Egyptian calendar. The extra 5 days
are essentially days of the gods, each of whom gets a day of their own.
In an
admittedly very modern interpretation of the Set/Osiris/Isis myth, the killing
and dismemberment of the Light Brother by the Dark Brother presents an image of
civil war. The myth describes a
civil war in Egypt, one in which the Principle of Material Light is murdered by
Darkness. This pretty much
describes America before the advent of Abraham Lincoln.
As we have
written, the titans of Business, Ego-Development, and Military Expansion (the
Masculine image of straightforward literalism and the ÔdevelopmentÕ of
civilization) should dominate from every Midnight
to every Noon period. This corresponds to the New Moon to the Full Moon phase. In
Asia, the belief is that it is a good omen when girl babies are born at the
Full Moon and when boy babies are born at the New Moon. This is a carry-over of the belief that
the New Moon to Full Moon cycle is
masculine, and the Full Moon to New Moon
cycle is feminine.
While this may
seem like a dubious description for the Day-Cycle from 1875 - 1893, it looks
more reasonable as a description of the Day-Cycle from 1839 -1857, just
preparatory to the American Civil War.
Midnight 1839
1841
– William Henry Harrison, Whig, elected President
1841
– John Tyler, Whig, President
1845
– James K. Polk, Democrat, elected President
1846
– Mexican-American War
Dawn 1848
1849
– Zachary Taylor, Whig, elected President
1850
– Millard Fillmore, Whig, President
1853
– Franklin Pierce, Democrat, elected President
Noon 1857
– James Buchanan, Democrat, elected President
1861
– Abraham Lincoln, Republican, elected President
1861
– American Civil War
1865
– Andrew Johnson, Democrat, President
Dusk 1866
1869
– Ulysses Grant, Republican, elected President
Midnight 1875
1877
– Rutherford B. Hayes, Republican, elected President
1881
– James Garfield, Republican, President
1881
– Chester A. Arthur, Republican, President
Dawn 1884
1885 - Grover
Cleveland, Democrat, elected President
1889
– Benjamin Harrison, Republican, elected President
Noon 1893
– Grover Cleveland, Democrat, elected President
We
remember that the Whig Party in America was largely an anti-Andy Jackson
party. Jackson was the populist
Democrat who essentially cancelled the National Bank, polarized America in a
class war between rich and working poor, Eastern urban and rural
Americans. Jackson was a disciple
of Thomas Jefferson, supporting JeffersonÕs ideal of a Ôagricultural
republicÕ. Jackson opposed the
(Second) National Bank for many reasons that Jefferson opposed the (first)
National Bank: too much national financial strength concentrated in one
institution; exposed the country to control by foreign interests; main result
was to make the rich richer; through implicit corruption, had too much
influence over Congress; gave political precedence to northeast states over
rest of nation. The Second National
Bank had been authorized during James MadisonÕs presidency (1816) for a 20 year
tenure. Jackson, as president,
worked to rescind the BankÕs charter.
To Jackson (and to Jefferson before him), the National Bank benefited an
Ôelite circleÕ of industrial and business ÔentrepreneursÕ at the expense of
farmers and working poor.
The Whig Party
was formed of anti-Jackson National Republicans and surviving Federalists, as
well as some anti-Masons. Whigs
viewed Jackson as a romantic anti-Modern, an idealist who favored class
warfare. (The Day-Cycle favors
polarization on the basis of race; the Night-Cycle favors polarization on the
basis of class.) Jackson was
described as a ÔreactionaryÕ opposed to the forces of social, economic and
moral modernization. In fact,
JacksonÕs opposition to economic modernization was most responsible.
Whigs had argued
earlier (in the form of Federalists) that the president should be a kind of
king, with a full set of centralized powers. When JacksonÕs power as president became
threatening to the commercial power centers of the northeast – ÔKing
AndrewÕ they called Jackson in derision – they began to argue that real
constitutional federal authority should lie with Congress instead of with the
presidency. Ideals are often less
permanent than the needs of self-interest.
Remember, the
Day-Cycle is ruled by the Hero, who protects the civilization from chaos, and
protects the rich from the poorÕs manifest revolutionary disorder. The Day-Cycle separates classes into a
hierarchy, high to low. The Night-Cycle is ruled by the anti-hero, who protects
the poor and despises the corrupt rich who run the civilization (run the
civilization mostly for the benefit of themselves). The Night-Cycle resolves the hierarchy
back toward the center, pulling the high down, and raising the low up, in a
very Biblical perspective.
Chaos is the
Biblical description of all elements reduced to the same plain or central
container, a primordial soup, a primeval ocean, from which the forces of
Creation evolve.
In the imagery of
modern physics, the expanding universe reaches its maximum perimeter of
expansion, then experiences what modern science describes as a ÔBig CrunchÕ (a
kind of Ôcredit crunchÕ, in fact) -- the ÔBig CrunchÕ being the in-breathing of
the Universe, the opposite of the ÔBig BangÕ, the out-breathing of the
Universe. After this ÔBig CrunchÕ,
the universe and begins contracting, falling back in on itself. All the matter in our universe then
contracts to absolute density, the size of a point –- all matter resolves
back to a super-dense state, a chaos point, an unimaginably massive black
hole.
Is this
really what happens? Scientists
agree that if there is enough matter in
the universe gravitational forces will stop its expansion. When that happens, gravity will cause
the universe to reverse its direction and begin to collapse under its own
weight. There is no better
description of what happened financially under the guidance of
Greenspan/Bernanke than this scientific metaphor.
This process goes
on forever (a very long time, at least), over and over again, Day-Cycle
(expansion) followed by Night-Cycle (contraction). Out of Black-Hole Chaos when the
breathing creates bubbles of matter; back to the Black-Hole Chaos when the
material bubbles collapse and depress.
The Whig
cycle Ego Expansion (White Light Expansion – the Whigs were also known as
ÔWhite HeadsÕ) from 1839-1857 contains many ear-marks of what adversaries call
Fascist Imperialism. Whigs appealed
most to professional and business classes: bankers, doctors, lawyers,
merchants, shop-keepers, industrialists, large plantation owners: the moneyed
classes. Whigs did best in
elections in manufacturing centers and commercial cities. Protestant religious revivals attempted
to whip up a high-minded religious commercial morality linked with Whig
principles.
This we would
also see later in the rise of a new commercial Protestantism when Ronald Reagan
led the modern-day Whigs back to power in 1983.
The excesses of
Andrew Jackson are, in many ways, reminiscent of the excesses of the democrats
in the 1960Õs and 70Õs. Good
intentions often pave the Road to Hell.
JacksonÕs
nullification of the Second National Bank was not a panacea for the
economy. Instead of a National Bank
lending money, countless state and local banks took up lending. As lending grew (paper promised not
backed by gold), inflation exploded; and state debt soared. Jackson then issued the ÔSpecie CircularÕ
in 1836, requiring all buyers of government-owned lands must pay for the land
in gold or silver. But the banks
did not have enough supply of precious metals to exchange for their notes. The banks collapsed. The Panic of 1837 was on. Economic depression resulted, which
lasted for many years.
Of course, the
Night-Cycle is defined by spiritual/economic depression and social chaos, so
this is not surprising.
There was another
nullification battle during JacksonÕs presidency (also called the Ôsecession
crisisÕ of 1828-1832). National
secessions (divorces) are part of the Night-Cycle: 1828-1832; 1857-1875; and
1965-1983 all have shown manifest evidence of the entropic energy to
disorganize, to pull away from the center.
Noon 1821
1825
– John Quincy Adams, Democratic-Republican, elected President
1829
– Andrew Jackson, Democrat, elected President
Dusk 1830
– First Secession Crisis
(Nullification Crisis)
1837
– Martin Van Buren, Democrat, elected President
Midnight 1839
É.
Noon 1857
– James Buchanan, Democrat, elected President
1861
– Abraham Lincoln, Republican, elected President
1861
– Second Secession Crisis (American
Civil War)
1865
– Andrew Johnson, Democrat, President
Dusk 1866
1869
– Ulysses Grant, Republican, elected President
Midnight 1875É
Noon 1965
1969
– Richard Nixon, Republican, elected President
Dusk 1974
– Gerald Ford, Republican, President
1975
– Publication of Ecotopia
published, author Ernest Callenbach
1977
– Jimmy Carter, Democrat, elected President
1981
– Ronald Reagan, Republican, elected President
1981
– Ecotopia Emerging published,
author Ernest Callenbach
1981
– The Nine Nations of North America
published, author Joel Garreau
Midnight 1983
One might
snicker at the suggested Ôthird secessionist crisisÕ I have listed – but
we must remember that the Spirit of Chaos (the energy for self-destruction)
reached fever pitch during the civil-rights/Vietnam War rebellion – and
we are heading into another manifestation of this energy today.
As I see it,
there are two main paths into the American future, one – the current
Republican path – which sees America as the ÔrightfulÕ heir to the
historical inheritance of the Roman Empire, with a slight twist, a religious
covenant with Israel and a God-given command to dominate the world, to defeat
an incipient Islamic rising, the implications of this being more economic and
military dominance of the world, and a military march down the same path Rome
took 2,000 years ago. I do not
speak of this vision with disrespect.
I see the historical logic of this march – and I am not sure it
can be avoided, in fact. This seems
to be the Ôelectron beamÕ path that his being lighted into the future. While we may have the freedom, as
individual electrons, to oppose or to ignore the trajectory of this beam, we
may not be able to avoid this reality.
A second path
will be the Night-Cycle path, which will call on America to withdraw from the
world, to exercise that old historical root-based isolationist spirit, to
return home, to break apart as an Ôimmoral empireÕ, to fractionate into
ÔEuropeanÕ nations and Ôself-castrateÕ for the good of the world. The novel Ecotopia, written by Ernest Callenbach portrays a secessionist
ecologically-correct independent country in a declining America,
Washington-Oregon-Northern California that shows the rest of the world how to
live correctly. Callenbach followed
this hugely successful novel (successful with the counter-culture), with a
sequal (funny how that works) Ecotopia
Emerging in 1981. That same
year Joel Garreau took Ecotopia as a
seed pod to develop, publishing The Nine
Nations of North America, which portrays a defunct America reconfigured
into a European-style dismembered empire into 9 separate,
geographically-delimited nations, each developing unique cultures, languages,
and histories.
These are the two
visions that will be fighting for dominance. More of the same from the Republicans, a
military march into the future, with new technology, new economies, new wars to
be won; and less of the same from the Democrats, a turning within, a fortress
mentality, a rejection of the objective world.
Day-Cycles
dismiss subjective realities as being fantasies, forms of madness. Only the Ôreal worldÕ matters, which
means money, status, family, death.
Night-Cycles inevitably de-value objective realities as the culture
essentially goes to sleep. ItÕs not
that one view is good and the other view is bad. One view, carried on the out-breath of
deityÕs bubble-making travels at high speed in to the objective world, the
future; the other view, carried in the in-breath of deityÕs matter-contraction
travels at reduced speed back in to the subject world, back in to the Black
Hole of destruction-creation, the source from which all life and matter comes
and to which it returns.
The middle path
is always best (Plato said that I believe). The objective world is real. Money does
matter; we do need to protect ourselves from adversaries that are forming on
the horizon; technology does help to free us (slavery ended because of
technology not simply because of well-meaning politicians and humanists
drafting high-sounding logics about GodÕs intentions for humanity –
without technology we would slip back in to slavery, barbarism, and an even
more unequal social structure). But
the subjective world is also real. The Night World is just as real as the
Day World. The logic and language
of the Night World is just as real and as important, as vital in fact, as is
the Day World logic and language. A
culture that wishes to attain immortality (i.e, to live a long life) must learn the language of both worlds,
and apply each language as it is needed, to described and master the realities
of each opposite landscape, an expanding positive landscape on one hand, and a
contracting negative landscape on the other.
I will write more
about the middle path between the two competition visions of Empire and
Dismemberment later in this book.
As I have also
written, political parties are not
static. When I speak of Republican
vision being for expansion of the
empire, this is a half-truth.
Republicans are historically isolationist and conservative. Republicans are not historically
careless with money and proponents of excess lending and credit.
The party in
power always has a desire born in
self-interest to expand welfare and material benefits for its citizens. The Democrats, when in power, manifest
masculine military expansiveness also.
Each party gets
its new identity, in pieces of course, from the party that it opposes. If the right hand is raised by the
Democrats, the left hand is raised by the Republicans. If the Democrats throw trillions of
dollars into the Black Hole of the Depression, the Republicans develop a
straight-faced position of Ôfiscal responsibilityÕ. However, if the Republicans were in
power, needing to fix the crisis they created, they would probably being standing
in line volunteering to throw the money into the vacuum, as did George Bush,
the great Nosferatu Paulson, and other ÔleadersÕ across the aisle.
So,
JacksonÕs economy was in the shambles.
The Ôfirst nullification crisisÕ came about because of so-called
protectionism. Jackson supported
high tariffs on manufactured goods shipped to America from England. These tariffs helped northeast
manufacturing states undercut English prices and sell their goods throughout
America. But whatÕs good for Tit is
also good for Tat. High foreign
tariffs on American goods made southern agricultural products less competition
in Europe.
There was already
intense regional tensions connected with the issue of slavery. The North was a manufacturing economy;
so, the North did not need slaves.
In fact, the North paid ÔfreeÕ workers in factories and mills almost
nothing to produce finished products (and killed union organizers who sought
higher wages) – so the Northern industrial titans had the best of both
worlds at the time: cheap labor; and a cleaner moral image vis-ˆ-vis plantation
owners in the South who made no pretense of their Day-Cycle greed and lack of
conscience.
The South now
also had the tariff issue to add resentment. In 1828, South Carolina argued that any
state had the right to ÔnullifyÕ any federal act (such as the creation of
tariffs – the ÔTariff of AbominationÕ) or law that produced unfair
hardship for any state in the union.
JacksonÕs vice-president, John C. Calhoun, sided with his home state of
South Carolina. At the ÔJefferson
Day dinner in 1830, Jackson toasted Calhoun with ÒOur federal union. It must be preserved! Calhoun countered with his toast: ÔThe Union: Next to our
liberty, the most dear.Õ
Once again, Ôstates
rightsÕ was used a a lynchpin ideology of deconstructionists. This ideology would be used by
Republicans and Democrats both throughout the history of America. Democrats donÕt trust the imperial
presidency when they are out of power; Republicans distrust ÔBig GovernmentÕ
when they are out of power.
Ideologies get recycled, massaged, re-configured, re-cast,
re-interpreted, and given a new face.
Time changes everything.
Time changes also all politically ideologies.
Jimmy Carter and
Bill Clinton were elected by running Ôagainst WashingtonÕ. And so was Ronald Reagan.
Within a
year Jackson and Calhoun had broken politically.
When South
Carolina insisted on its nullification claim, Jackson vowed to send federal
troops to the state to enforce the federal law. In 1832, Jackson issued a proclamation
against all and potential nullifying states: ÔThe power to annul a law of the
United States, assumed by one State, [is] incompatible with the existence of
the union, contradicted expressly by the letter of the Constitution,
unauthorized by its spirit, inconsistent with every principle on which it was
founded, and destructive of the great object for which it was formedÉ [South Carolina] stood on the brink of
insurrection and treasonÉ. The
ConstitutionÉforms a government not a
league. To say that any State may, at pleasure, secede from
the Union is to say the United States is not a nationÉÕ
Jackson asked
Congress to pass a Ôforce billÕ authorizing the use of federal troops to
enforce the tariff. It was a
presentiment of things to come.
Calhoun worked a compromise (reduced) tariff, which neutralized the
crisis.
In January 1835,
after attending the congressional funeral of South Carolina representative
Warren R. Davis, Jackson was attacked by an unemployed house painter from
England, Richard Lawrence. Lawrence
stepped out from hiding behind an architectural column, raised a gun at
Jackson, and fired. The gun
misfired. Lawrence pulled out a
second gun; but the second gun also misfired.
When interviewed,
Lawrence blamed Jackson for his lost job (JacksonÕs struggle with the Second
National Bank); finally, after further questioning, Lawrence admitted that he,
Lawrence, was actually the deposed English King, Richard III, and that Jackson
was merely his clerk.
After a
long stretch of Democratic rule, the Whigs (the ÔWhite HeadsÕ) finally came to
power in 1841, with the election of William Henry Harrison. But Whig presidents couldnÕt keep from
dying while in office.
Midnight 1839
1841
– William Henry Harrison, Whig, elected President
1841
– John Tyler, Whig, President
1845
– James K. Polk, Democrat, elected President
Dawn 1848
1849
– Zachary Taylor, Whig, elected President
1850
– Millard Fillmore, Whig, President
1853
– Franklin Pierce, Democrat, elected President
Noon 1857
– James Buchanan, Democrat, elected President
Harrison
was elected largely because of voter dissatisfaction with the chaotic dynasty
of Jacksonian Democrat rule, with its economic collapse. Harrison defeated JacksonÕs hand-picked
successor, Martin Van Buren, to whom the Whigs referred as ÔMartin Van
RuinÕ. Another reason Harrison won
the election was his pledge to serve only one term if elected. The issue of a constitutional term-limit
was valued by voters, many of whom felt Andrew Jackson had held too much power
for too long in Washington.
Harrison kept his promise by dying only 31 days into his
presidency. John Tyler, the Whig
Vice President, replaced Harrison in office.
Then, in 1849,
Zachary Taylor was elected as the next Whig president. But he also died in office. Millard Fillmore, his Vice-Present,
succeeded Taylor as the president.
In 1844, the
Democrats, led by James K. Polk, supported westward expansion and free trade; the
Whigs (led by Henry Clay) supported protectionism through national tariffs and
opposed annexation of Texas. Not
exactly what one might expect, when viewing the 19th Century through
the filter of 20th Century political party ideals. Demonstrating an amazing capacity for
political survival, however, Whigs in 1848 abandoned their criticism of the
Texas war issue and nominated Zachary Taylor, Mexican-American War hero, as
their candidate for the presidency.
Taylor was elected.
The Whig glory
didnÕt last long. The Compromise of
1850, an attempt to neutralize and balance the slave question by piece-mealing
new land acquisitions (Texas, New Mexico, Caifornia, etc.) into designated
Ôfree stateÕ or Ôslave stateÕ
categories -- an attempt to avoid stepping on toes – became the death of
the Whig Party. The Whigs largely
split in two, northern Whigs being against slavery, southern Whigs supporting
slavery.
In 1854, the
Kansas-Nebraska Act allowed citizens of Kansas and Nebraska territories to vote
to determine their own laws with regard to slavery – that is, whether
they would be a ÔfreeÕ or a ÔslaveÕ state.
Northern Whigs viewed this development as a sell-out to southern slave
interests – they insisted that slavery be stopped in its tracks. Most northern Whigs bolted from the Whig
party – Abraham Lincoln changed his affiliation that same year –
joining the new anti-slavery Republican Party. Some northern Whigs joined the
ÔKnow-Nothing PartyÕ, which delighted in crusades against Irish and German
immigrants. The Whig party in the
south simply vanished, being absorbed mostly by the pro-slavery Democrats as
the national sank into civil war.
Because of
the complexity of the organic metamorphosis of political parties, it isnÕt
possible to link current political ideologies (Republicans and Democrats)
backward in time as guiding symbolic signposts of historical time-telling. In other words, I donÕt feel I can prove
that current-day Democrats are not always in power during the deflationary
negative-energy trip down the mountain into the sea of dreams. Likewise, I cannot prove that
current-day Republicans are always in power during incarnation of the Egoic
positive-electricity expansion phase.
This may be true – and seems to be true using only Twentieth
Century data – but I donÕt feel I can prove this.
I have
stated that wars should come at or near the twilight times of the Day or the
Year, depending upon the scale you are using. The Light-Darkness is perfectly balanced
(at equal strength, and ready to fight) at Dawn (Spring) and Dusk
(Autumn). The suggestion is that a
war in the Midnight-Dawn range precedes a climb into egoic light; and a war
that occurs in the Noon-Dusk period presages a decline in power and a descent into
chaos. The Noon-Dusk war should involve a great deal of civil
discord, or even be a full-fledged civil war. The Dawn Wars should display more
unified national harmony and shared vision.
Spring and Autumn
are the ÔtimesÕ in Nature when the most violent storms appear. Tornado season in America is March
– June. Hurricane season in
America is July – October.
Is
this premise proven by historical data?
Somewhat, perhaps; but not absolutely.
The
American War of Independence was a Dawn War. The War of 1812 was a Dawn War. The Mexican-American War was a Dawn
War. The American Civil War was a
Noon-Dusk war. The Spanish-American
War does not really fit the picture, it being a Noon-Dusk war (closer to Noon). It was almost not a war – more
like a skirmish – ending in four months. The aim was to wrest foreign territories
away from Spain (Cuba, the Philippines, Guam, and Puerto Rica) for
incorporation in to the expanding American Empire. It does not really happen when we would
expect it to.
World War I was a
Dawn War. World War II was a Dusk
War (which defies our reasoning).
The Korean and Vietnamese Wars were both Dawn Wars (although, when did
the American-Vietnam War actually begin?
This answer is somewhat elusive.)
The Persian Gulf War was a Dawn War and the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars
were Noon-Dusk Wars.
Not every nation
is synched to AmericaÕs 18 year/36 year cycle. My intuition is that every nation has
its own 18/36 year cycles, like gears turning in a very large clock, each
running from and toward different cardinal points on the clock. One nationÕs dusk or dawn is not every
nationÕs dusk or dawn. GermanyÕs
ÔDuskÕ may have occurred in 1939 – I donÕt know. I have not studied German history using
this concept as a microscope.
Can we predict
wars using this pictorial system? I
donÕt know. My intuition tells me
that the next great world war may have already begun, and that we are in the
shallow edge of the water moving out toward the deep. But the truth of this remains to be
seen.
1775
– American War of Independence
against Great Britain
Dawn 1776
Noon 1785
Dusk 1794
Midnight 1803
Dawn 1812
– War of 1812, against Great
Britain
Noon 1821
Dusk 1830
Midnight 1839
1846
– Mexican-American War
Dawn 1848
Noon 1857
1861
– American Civil War
Dusk 1866
Midnight 1875
Dawn 1884
Noon 1893
1896
– Spanish-American War
Dusk 1902
Midnight 1911
1917
– World War I
Dawn 1920
Noon 1929
Dusk 1938
1941
– World War II
Midnight 1947
1950
– Korean War
Dawn 1956
1959 - Vietnam War
Noon 1965
Dusk 1974
Midnight 1983
1991
– Persian Gulf War
Dawn 1992
Noon 2001- Afghanistan
War
2003
– Iraq War
This
method of describing the processes of history is a bit like trying to describe
a chessmatch by predicting which pieces will land on which squares at what time
(the squares are black and white also).
We understand fairly clearly what the pieces represent, what directions
the different pieces move, what the board looks like (the board as a kind of
timepiece). We also understand that
the true reality is not the player-figurines in the game, on the surface of the
board, but the two players playing the game, the two principles behind the
scenes: Day and Night, Dionysus and Apollo, Cowboy and Indian, Reagan and
Carter, Hamilton and Jefferson, Castor and Pollux, Cain and Abel, Christian and
Muslim, Tom Sawyer and Huck Finn,
Lincoln and Jefferson Davis, Nixon and KennedyÉ..Sun and Moon. Man and Woman.
At Noon we have
the King; and at Midnight we have the Queen. We have the pawns who almost never
appear in the telling of history, except in strange situations, such as Lee
Harvey Oswald (who apparently was a pawn or patsy in real life – and not
the first or last), or as the millions of peasants and working poor who fight
and die and are mutilated and crippled in wars to keep the Kings and their
Bishops and their Bankers in power.
The Rooks are the Knights, the Aristocrats, who lead the peasants into
battle for the King and his Bishops and his Bankers and who become, with the King,
and the Church (the Bishops/Bankers) the Ruling Class of the Society.
These are the
Day-Cycle symbolic manifestations of the Ego in advancement. More modern versions of these roles
include the artist (architect), the engineer, the banker, the scientist, the
mathematician, the entrepreneur (that magician who makes money appear from
nothing but hot air, ÔconceptsÕ, and other peopleÕs money), the soldier, the
lawyer, the husband, the pope, the minister or the prime minister, the
president (as a form of king).
Clearly, the Ego-Expansion side of the board is being played by the
White Pieces.
Marsilio Ficino,
medieval Italian philosopher, writes of four ÔpersonalitiesÕ (personas) who
play for the Dark Team and can save the Ego-centered man from destruction
through the loss of his soul.
FicinoÕs four Ôchess piecesÕ are based, at least partially, on PlatoÕs
notion of the ÔFour FrenziesÕ – masks assumed by Dionysus, or embodiments
of Orpheus as he descended into the Underworld of Death. FicinoÕs four personas of the decline
are (1) poet; (2) priest; (3) prophet; (4) lover. These four roles – inducing a kind
of Ônecessary madnessÕ, and working sequentially
-- frees the personality from the arid death the Ego inflicts upon the Soul
through its insistence on shadow-free rationality, on literalness, on viewing
and measuring reality from the outside only.
An old Sufi tales
tells of the man who lost his glasses at night and is searching under a
street-lamp for his lost glasses.
Another man comes along and asks what he is doing. The man explains that he is looking for
his glasses. ÔDid you lose them
here?Õ the man asks. ÔNo,Õ the
first man answers. ÔI lost them
over there somewhere, where it is dark.
But itÕs so bright over here – so IÕm looking here in the light.Õ
In many ways this
describes the enlightened, rational, scientific method. One cannot find what has been lost (the
lost glasses, or the soul, for instance) when one insists on looking where this
lost quality is not to be found (simply because itÕs easier to see where the
light is).
We remember
that the Romantic Man (Dusk/Autumn) idealizes the Past, much as the Renaissance
Man (Dawn/Spring) idealizes the Future.
Why is this so? The
Renaissance Man moves out of Past (which is becoming increasingly dark) into
the Future; for him the light is shining on the Future. The Romantic Man moves out of the Future
(the vision of the Future – which is becoming increasingly dark for him)
into the Past; for him the light is shining on the Past, on a Golden Age in his
memory. Disillusionment with life
(the Future) forces a man to reflect, to look back on his life, seeking truths.
When a man thinks
he is going to be rich and successful, he throws all his heart in to the energy
of ego expansion. When the man
realizes this has been an illusion, for whatever reason, the illusory bubble
collapses; and the man is forced back on the resources of his past. This reflection begins in the
contemplation of oneÕs personal past – but reflection also can lead back
past the personal past, back into the collective consciousness, or intot he
Mind of the Universe – impersonal memories of the universal archetype.
It is interesting
to note that the Romantic Man idealizes the Past – and the Poet and
Priest often idealize the past – but the Prophet and the Lover display an
awakened ardor for the Future, the Prophet seeking to ÔpredictÕ it, and the
Lover seeking to make a place within it for himself and his beloved. Somehow, in these latter two figures, we
see the soul ÔroundingÕ out of the darkness of the Past and again seeking the
light of forms, body and the Sun in the Future.
Thomas
Moore, in his book on FicinoÕs philosophy, The
Planets Within, writes:
The
feeling of nostalgia might even appear in memories of past episodes, of a
Golden Age in the personal past.
The past often serves as a metaphor for authenticity, whether it is the
personal past or cultural history.
We think back sometimes in order to feel deeply and to recover something
which seems to be lost. A tone of
melancholy sometimes colors cherished memories, a feeling-tone Freud defined as
a Ôsense of lossÕ.
What is lost, its
absence felt in these moments of nostalgia, is the soul itself, a state of
being animated and spirited, filled with anima (soul) and spirit. The soul is asleep and needs to be
awakened. But the soulÕs sleep is
supported not only by materialism but also by a commitment to ideals of sanity
and stability. It is not only the
fluff of materialism that soothes the psychological unconscious, the steady,
monotonous hum of the sane, adjusted life gives it support as well.
It follows, then,
that the awakening of the soul may entail some kind of insanity and
instabilityÉ. FicionoÕs theory is
built upon PlatoÕs Ôfour frenziesÕ, and idea discussed and expounded throughout
the Platonic traditionÉ The interesting point in this theory of ÔmaniaÕ is the
suggestion that, in order to transcend Ego concerns and materialistic
unconsciousness, we require inner figures associated with specific kinds of
nonrational consciousness. These
are: poet, priest, prophet and lover.
Each of these
figures personifies a mode of consciousness sufficiently different from
ordinary ego-awareness as to seem mad.
Yet, we need these figures constellated within our consciousness; they
provide necessary madness. As I
have said: this madness is not the same as psychosisÉ Ego is not coterminous with the
soul. Some states of consciousness
transcend ego-awareness , and, for that reason, they are beneficial to the
soulÉ In Platonic madness, the soul
is free of body and ego and may be quite creative in that state. As Ficino writes: ÔMany poets compose in
madness and, afterwards, do not know what they have said, as if God had used
them as musical instrumentsÕÉ
This
ÔPlatonic madnessÕ is a lunar perception, a response to an environmental
darkness that limits the perceptive powers of the eyes (physical vision –
linked to rational modes of thinking) and emphasizes the perceptive powers of
non-visual senses (with ÔhearingÕ as primary). The poet, the priest, and the
prophetÉlistens to God. The lover
listens to his heart.
ÔRealÕ religion
comes in the Night-Cycle. The
Night-Cycle draws the defeated soul back toward God, on his knees, having been
humbled. The Inflated Ego is the
winner. The Deflated-Ego is the
loser. The Deflated-Ego is
spiritually impoverished, abandoned by almost everyone, and sinks into the
depths of sorrow, loss, fear, abandonment, poverty, terrorÉthis is a kind of
purification that prepares the soul to meet God again.
ÔRealÕ religion comes
to a nation when its citizens are on their collective knees. This is the reason that ÔdarknessÕ is
built-in to the system. ÔRealÕ
religion springs from the soulÕs confrontation with Death and re-discovery of
GodÕs majesty. ÔRealÕ religion is not literal. ÔRealÕ religion goes much deeper than
rigid moralism. Moralism is part of
religionÉbut it is the surface of ÔrealÕ religion. ÔRealÕ religion involves the individual
soul becoming a timeless biblical persona who faces the Ôliving GodÕ and
discovers him own soul (Universal Soul) – and in this soul his own
God-like principle.
The Day-Cycle
begins with its roots in ÔrealÕ religion but ossifies into rigid formalism,
life wrung out of the body, replaced by a rigid code governing behavior and a
fixed concrete polarity founded upon racial and/or national exceptionalism.
ÔRealÕ religion
is founded in humility. Humility
allows for atonement between the Father (the Day-Cycle) and the Son (the
Night-Cycle). And Atonement between
the Father and the Son is the moment of spiritual rebirth.
The Son assuming
the roles of poet, priest, prophet and lover allows for the Son to descend
deeper and deeper into the Night-Element of Soul (Water) and to be
re-introduced to the ÔlivingÕ God, the Mystery God, ÔWisdomÕ, the God living on
the High Mountain in the desert in the Darkness.
Of course,
the Ôdivine madnessÕ of Dionysus in his Night-Cycle (religious frenzy) can be
compared with the Day-Cycle madness of Ahab (or Allen Greenspan, in this
instance), or Adolph HitlerÕs Germany, or the American ÔbankingÕ sector that
decided that Ôfilthy richÕ was not rich enough, and torpedoed the worldÕs
economic welfare out of insatiable lust for more money and more power. The Day-Cycle madness is a more
conventional form of madness apparently – as such, it is a more
acceptable psychosis to the masses.
Nearly everyone can find a place in themselves that is compatible with
the egoic fantasy of dominating the world like the King-Son dominates life on
the Earth, like the Donald Trumps, the Hank Paulsons, the Bernie Madoffs
dominate the ÔrealÕ world of daylight.
Midnight Madness
and High-Noon Madness are both dangerous to oneÕs health; both represent Ôman
out of balanceÕ, one entranced by the seductive powers of the subjective, the
other transfixed by the megalomaniac powers of the objective. Both offer the soul a kind of godhood,
one in the realm of anti-matter (spiritual omniscience and omnipotence –
remember Jim Jones), the other in the realm of anti-spirit (material
omniscience and military omnipotence).
Would one choose
to live in the Day-Madness of Hitler and Pinochet and Hirohito or in the
Night-Madness of Pol Pot and Mao Tse Tung and Stalin? This is not a very attractive choice,
clearly. Having a political
mechanism for ÔcastrationÕ of the Masculine Day-Force and a Ôreligious
elevationÕ mechanism for the Female Night-Force – an Ôassumption of Jesus
into heavenÕ and atonement with the Father
-- helps us to escape a political fixed-idŽe
and fixed fatality at either of the lamentable extremes of Day or Night and to
achieve ÔimmortalityÕ, which is the design of the Ôspiritual questÕ – the
magic elixir of life written about with such reverence by the
philosopher/alchemists from the European Middle Ages.
Magnetism does
wonders for us when we have lost our way with either too much Sunlight or
Day-Power (Ego Intoxication) or too little Sunlight or Night-Power (Anti-Ego
intoxication) by drawing us back toward the center of our being, back toward
the balance, the nucleus of our being, back toward the Equator, back toward
Ôlife on the EarthÕ.
In terms of this
goal, Immortality, Materialism is a sin (too much Self-Indulgence) and
Spiritual Materialism is also a sin (too much Self-Denial). By ÔsinÕ, I mean merely a lack of
balance, a lack of perspective, a fusion to the ÔskinÕ of an extreme, and the
diminishment of oneÕs soul, which is, itself, this balance.
The Sun, as the
eternal light of the world, keeps moving.
The Sun lights, first, the Day-Houses, the mansions of the sky; then the
Sun lights the Night-Houses, the mansions of the Earth. The Zodiac represents this same idea:
The Sun resides in 12 houses each year, 12 months, spending 6 months in the
Day-World and 6 months in the Night-World.
The Twelve Labors
of Hercules is a glyph for the challenges and struggles the Sun encounters in
each of the 12 months of the year, a full annual cycle. We will look at this later.
During the
Night-Cycle, ÔmeaningÕ matters, since what the world really ÔmeansÕ (how it really works) can help one overcome the
deep depression that is destroying the world-form. During the Day-Cycle, ÔformÕ matters,
how the world ÔappearsÕ (ÔconformityÕ being the rule), because ÔformÕ and
ÔimageÕ and Ôconformity to the imageÕ helps one to get ahead, helps one to ride
the corporate (body) current of expansion.
Remember Dress For Success,
John T. MolloyÕs rebellion against the anti-corporate ÔSixtiesÕ, published in
1975, at the bottom of the Night-Cycle. Clothes make the man. Appearances do matter. Give me
music that is fun to dance to; I donÕt give a damn what the lyrics mean.
The movie
ÔAmerican BeautyÕ has another take on this theme: ÔIn order to be successful I
must always project an image of success.Õ
Surface life is material life – the creed of life centering on
Ôhow do I look to the rest of the worldÕ.
Surface life is ÔegoÕ life, fast, active, full of schemes for
advancement, wealth, empire. But
this life is only half the story – or 1/3 of the story I guess. For those who think the surface life of
appearances – the so-called Ôreal lifeÕ of matter – is the only life, the decline into darkness
promises to be a savage, horrifying, deadly descent.
The middle
path -- between these two types of madness -- ÔbalancesÕ the two adversarial
principles, much as democracy, as a form of government, balances the two forces
of fascism and communism -- providing both forces with a share of ÔresistedÕ
power while insisting that neither force gains power absolutely. If either force gains power absolutely,
then ÔlifeÕ is lost, and rigor mortis
(rigid moral test) sets in.
The
Night-Cycle worships the Ôliving GodÕ – i.e., God-in-Nature. The Day-Cycle worships GodÕs Holy Book,
a man-made object, instead.
Night-Cycle prophets communicate directly with God. Day-Cycle ministers communicate with the
word of God, for they are not allowed to approach the throne of God directly as
were the prophets of old.
Poetics dissolves the body, that is, the
materialistic, egoistical attitude.
New images given the soul in poetic reverie and work
stand over against
established images of the world and self, exploding
them, dissolving them,
more fully exposing their inferiority. Through poetic madness the opaque,
brittle sheaths of meaning we have built and
protected egoistically
shatter and become visible as images themselves. That is to say, they are seen
through, and perceived psychologically, from the
perspective of the soul.
Thomas
Moore, The Planets Within
CHAPTER THIRTEEN.
TWO PATHS INTO THE FUTURE: LET THE DISMEMBERMENT BEGIN
(Bank-Kings on the Chessboard Fall. Anything Ôtoo big to failÕ is Ôtoo big
to existÕ.)
ÔWhatÕs good for General Motors is good for America.Õ
Charles E. Wilson, General Motors President, then EisenhowerÕs
Secretary of Defense
When I began writing this
book I was under the impression that America was governed, alternately, by two
different parties, Republicans (the male principle) and Democrats (the female
principle) – and that these political parties ÔrepresentedÕ eternal
hidden principles that divided history into Day periods of material activity
and spiritual dormancy and Night periods of material dormancy and spiritual
activity. I have come to revise my thinking
in that the political parties now seem rather insignificant – puppets not principles -- and tend to take the
form of the spirit (zeitgeist) that
is moving them and moving within them.
Matter (and political parties) are
like water that takes any shape that contains it. The Ôspiritual containersÕ are the
archetypes or patterns in the invisible world which give history its shape,
described through the forms and the behaviors of material crystallizations of
the invisible ideas which motivated and maneuvered them in space-time.
Today, as we sink further
and further into economic chaos, it becomes clearer to me that recent America
(Day-Cycle America) has been governed not by two adversarial political parties
but by AmericaÕs bankers and their financial godfathers (banking, investment,
insurance ÔprovidersÕ) – the American Ruling Class – who lately
have owned both parties and for whom
both parties are essentially the same, the servants of the lords of the manor.
It should not surprise us that Bill
Clinton helped to grease the wheels for a bankerÕs coup, the deregulation
imagined under Reagan but not fully achieved until the democrats jumped
aboard.
The rich in America simply
finance political campaigns for both parties, all candidates. No
matter who is elected, these silent ÔbackersÕ have an open door to Washington
and to state capitols where laws are debated and enacted. Only laws are passed which are approved
by the banking establishment. How,
otherwise, could credit card companies legally become loan sharks, charging
over 20% interest for some remiss debtorÕs accounts? I guess insolvency and bankruptcy are
better than broken legs and bodies in the East River. But these principles are not altogether
different.
The two principles, as I have said,
are actually one. The two forces
are one. The two political parties
are apparently one as well.
In
Simon JohnsonÕs brilliant May 2009 article for The Atlantic, ÔThe Quiet CoupÕ, Johnson writes:
The crash
has laid bare many unpleasant truths about the United States. One of the most alarming,
says a former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, is that the
finance industry has effectively captured our government—a state of
affairs that more typically describes emerging markets, and is at the center of
many emerging-market crises. If the IMFÕs staff could speak freely about the
U.S., it would tell us what it tells all countries in this situation: recovery
will fail unless we break the financial oligarchy that is blocking essential
reform. And if we are to prevent a true depression, weÕre running out of time.
Johnson, a
professor at MITÕs Sloan School of Management, was chief economist at the
International Monetary Fund in 2007-8.
Johnson writes about the IMFÕs role in international economic collapse:
the Ukraine (1994, hyperinflation), Russia (1998, debt refinancing), Indonesia
(1997, currency collapse), South Korea (1997, foreign credit withheld): Ôto IMF
officials, all of these crises looked depressingly similarÕ.
Typically,
these countries are in a desperate economic situation for one simple
reason—the powerful elites within them overreached in good times and took
too many risks. Emerging-market governments and their private-sector allies
commonly form a tight-knit—and, most of the time, genteel—oligarchy,
running the country rather like a profit-seeking company in which they are the
controlling shareholders. When a country like Indonesia or South Korea or
Russia grows, so do the ambitions of its captains of industry. As masters of
their mini-universe, these people make some investments that clearly benefit
the broader economy, but they also start making bigger and riskier bets. They
reckon—correctly, in most cases—that their political connections
will allow them to push onto the government any substantial problems that arise.
In other
words, the Masters of the Universe get to keep all the profits they make
(millions of dollars in bonuses, in addition to stock options and inflated
salaries); and the government uses taxpayer money to bail them out when they
fall on their collective face. ItÕs
a nice arrangement, if you can get it.
How do they get this arrangement?
Bribery, sweet-heart deals, campaign contributions, jobs after
congressional or senate tenure expires or is withdrawn.
Corruption. The American government is clearly
corrupt beyond description. The
corporations have taken over control of the American body politic – the
Day-Cycle affirms the ÔbodyÕ, the corporate/corporeal nature, so this should
not surprise us – and now the government is looting the American treasury
– stealing on a level never before seen – in order to preserve the
lucrative system the mutual admirers have built together for each other.
Johnson
continues:
But
inevitably, emerging-market oligarchs get carried away; they waste money and
build massive business empires on a mountain of debt. Local banks, sometimes
pressured by the government, become too willing to extend credit to the elite
and to those who depend on them. Overborrowing always ends badly, whether for
an individual, a company, or a country. Sooner or later, credit conditions
become tighter and no one will lend you money on anything close to affordable
terms.
The downward
spiral that follows is remarkably steep. Enormous companies teeter on the brink
of default, and the local banks that have lent to them collapse. YesterdayÕs
Òpublic-private partnershipsÓ are relabeled Òcrony capitalism.Ó With credit
unavailable, economic paralysis ensues, and conditions just get worse and
worse. The government is forced to draw down its foreign-currency reserves to
pay for imports, service debt, and cover private losses. But these reserves
will eventually run out. If the country cannot right itself before that
happens, it will default on its sovereign debt and become an economic pariah.
The government, in its race to stop the bleeding, will typically need to wipe
out some of the national champions—now hemorrhaging cash—and
usually restructure a banking system thatÕs gone badly out of balance. It will,
in other words, need to squeeze at least some of its oligarchs.
Squeezing the
oligarchs, though, is seldom the strategy of choice among emerging-market
governments. Quite the contrary: at the outset of the crisis, the oligarchs are
usually among the first to get extra help from the government, such as preferential
access to foreign currency, or maybe a nice tax break, or—hereÕs a
classic Kremlin bailout technique—the assumption of private debt
obligations by the government. Under duress, generosity toward old friends
takes many innovative forms. Meanwhile, needing to squeeze someone, most
emerging-market governments look first to ordinary working folk—at least
until the riots grow too large.
We see
from this picture where we Americans are headed. We are heading for riots, killed
demonstrators, shamed politicians, political resignations, more suicides, and,
inevitably, more and more regulation of business. (As I write this thousands of protestors
are gathering in London to demonstrate against corruption and theft at the G-20
Conference. Violence and rioting
seems very likely to be a central part of this conference.)
What is the best,
most natural, relationship between business and government? Lovers? Protectors? Mutual back-scratchers? Stealthy allies in the rape of the home
country?
During the Day-Cycle
this seems inevitable. Money
doesnÕt talk it swears. Who can
resist the lure of maximum comfort and the (relative) exile of death. Money gives the illusion of safety, the
illusion that Death and Darkness have sent out to sea, and no longer threaten
wonderful life on the magic island.
It is an illusion of course.
Rich people die. Rich people
get divorced. Rich people have
children who get leukemia. But the
illusion is very powerful. When
chasing the great whale of material ambition – during the chase itself,
which cannot end, because absolute wealth is never attained – the
illusion of power, the illusion of really being Masters of the Universe, weaves
a dream of god-like golden omnipotence.
How far the
mighty can fall!
What comes
next? According to Johnson, some
sacrificial lambs among the avaricious entrepreneurs have to be sacrificed,
offered up for public wrath if nothing else.
Eventually,
as the oligarchs in PutinÕs Russia now realize, some within the elite have to
lose out before recovery can begin. ItÕs a game of musical chairs: there just
arenÕt enough currency reserves to take care of everyone, and the government
cannot afford to take over private-sector debt completely.
So the IMF staff
looks into the eyes of the minister of finance and decides whether the
government is serious yet. The fund will give even a country like Russia a loan
eventually, but first it wants to make sure Prime Minister Putin is ready,
willing, and able to be tough on some of his friends. If he is not ready to
throw former pals to the wolves, the fund can wait. And when he is ready, the
fund is happy to make helpful suggestions—particularly with regard to
wresting control of the banking system from the hands of the most incompetent
and avaricious Òentrepreneurs.Ó
Of course,
PutinÕs ex-friends will fight back. TheyÕll mobilize allies, work the system,
and put pressure on other parts of the government to get additional subsidies.
In extreme cases, theyÕll even try subversion—including calling up their
contacts in the American foreign-policy establishment, as the Ukrainians did
with some success in the late 1990s.
Many IMF programs
Ògo off trackÓ (a euphemism) precisely because the government canÕt stay tough
on erstwhile cronies, and the consequences are massive inflation or other
disasters. A program Ògoes back on trackÓ once the government prevails or
powerful oligarchs sort out among themselves who will govern—and thus win
or lose—under the IMF-supported plan. The real fight in Thailand and
Indonesia in 1997 was about which powerful families would lose their banks. In
Thailand, it was handled relatively smoothly. In Indonesia, it led to the fall
of President Suharto and economic chaos.
Johnson compares
the United States to the Emerging Market countries and economies the IMF has
bailed out: ÔBanana RepublicsÕ Johnson calls them. In his view, because of greed,
corruption, bad judgment, lack of necessary regulation, too much power
concentrated in too few hands in the financial community, and the financial
industryÕs incestuous relationship with their supposed regulators, the U.S.
Government, America has become a kind of super-sized Ôbanana republicÕ, albeit
one with, admittedly, the worldÕs most advanced economy and government, and
also with the worldÕs most sophisticated oligarchy.
As Night-Cycle
disillusionment with the ÔestablishmentÕ sets in, energy is abstracted from the
edifice of empire; unity is lost; fragmentation occurs. The perception that Ôwe are all in this
togetherÕ changes into something like this: ÔThe laws are made by and for the
rich.Õ This is a first step toward
the divorce or dismemberment that characterizes the Night-Cycle. The Proud (Ego) is heading for a fall, a
fatal fall – ÔfatalÕ suggesting a periodical disappearance -- that will
send him to hell for judgment, disgrace, self-abhorrence, and, perhaps,
eventually, rebirth. (This Ego wins
back his self-respect – and the respect of his community – by some
heroic act, often a war, often by defeating a hideous monster who is lurking,
waiting for him in the Darkness. We
will speak more about this later.)
Once the Son
rebels against the Father, there is a guaranteed
long and strange journey into the Underworld before the Holy Spirit again
appears and raises the Son back into Heaven and back into a state of Atonement
with the Father.
In its
depth and suddenness, the U.S. economic and financial crisis is shockingly
reminiscent of moments we have recently seen in emerging markets (and only in
emerging markets): South Korea (1997), Malaysia (1998), Russia and Argentina
(time and again). In each of those cases, global investors, afraid that the
country or its financial sector wouldnÕt be able to pay off mountainous debt,
suddenly stopped lending. And in each case, that fear became self-fulfilling,
as banks that couldnÕt roll over their debt did, in fact, become unable to pay.
This is precisely what drove Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy on September 15,
causing all sources of funding to the U.S. financial sector to dry up
overnight. Just as in emerging-market crises, the weakness in the banking
system has quickly rippled out into the rest of the economy, causing a severe
economic contraction and hardship for millions of people.
But thereÕs a
deeper and more disturbing similarity: elite business
interests—financiers, in the case of the U.S.—played a central role
in creating the crisis, making ever-larger gambles, with the implicit backing
of the government, until the inevitable collapse. More alarming, they are now
using their influence to prevent precisely the sorts of reforms that are
needed, and fast, to pull the economy out of its nosedive. The government seems
helpless, or unwilling, to act against them.
Top
investment bankers and government officials like to lay the blame for the
current crisis on the lowering of U.S. interest rates after the dotcom bust or,
even better—in a Òbuck stops somewhere elseÓ sort of way—on the
flow of savings out of China. Some on the right like to complain about Fannie
Mae or Freddie Mac, or even about longer-standing efforts to promote broader
homeownership – the Ôhome-ownership is not a rightÕ group. And, of
course, it is axiomatic to everyone that the regulators responsible for Òsafety
and soundnessÓ were fast asleep at the wheel.
But these various
policies—lightweight regulation, cheap money, the unwritten
Chinese-American economic alliance, the promotion of homeownership and the
demotion of rigorous loan eligibility requirements—had something in common.
Even though some are traditionally associated with Democrats and some with
Republicans, they all benefited the financial sector. Policy changes that might
have forestalled the crisis but would have limited the financial sectorÕs
profits—such as Brooksley BornÕs now-famous attempts to regulate
credit-default swaps at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, in
1998—were ignored or swept aside.
The financial
industry has not always enjoyed such favored treatment. But for the past 25
years or so, finance has boomed, becoming ever more powerful. The boom began
with the Reagan years, and it only gained strength with the deregulatory
policies of the Clinton and George W. Bush administrations. Several other
factors helped fuel the financial industryÕs ascent. Paul VolckerÕs monetary
policy in the 1980s, and the increased volatility in interest rates that
accompanied it, made bond trading much more lucrative. The invention of
securitization, interest-rate swaps, and credit-default swaps greatly increased
the volume of transactions that bankers could make money on. And an aging and
increasingly wealthy population invested more and more money in securities,
helped by the invention of the IRA and the 401(k) plan. Together, these
developments vastly increased the profit opportunities in financial services.
Not surprisingly,
Wall Street ran with these opportunities. From 1973 to 1985, the financial
sector never earned more than 16 percent of domestic corporate profits. In
1986, that figure reached 19 percent. In the 1990s, it oscillated between 21
percent and 30 percent, higher than it had ever been in the postwar period.
This decade, it reached 41 percent. Pay rose just as dramatically. From 1948 to
1982, average compensation in the financial sector ranged between 99 percent
and 108 percent of the average for all domestic private industries. From 1983,
it shot upward, reaching 181 percent in 2007.
The great
wealth that the financial sector created and concentrated gave bankers enormous
political weight—a weight not seen in the U.S. since the era of J.P.
Morgan (the man). In that period, the banking panic of 1907 could be stopped
only by coordination among private-sector bankers: no government entity was
able to offer an effective response. But that first age of banking oligarchs
came to an end with the passage of significant banking regulation in response
to the Great Depression; the reemergence of an American financial oligarchy is
quite recent.
Of course, the
U.S. is unique. And just as we have the worldÕs most advanced economy,
military, and technology, we also have its most advanced oligarchy.
In a primitive
political system, power is transmitted through violence, or the threat of
violence: military coups, private militias, and so on. In a less primitive
system more typical of emerging markets, power is transmitted via money:
bribes, kickbacks, and offshore bank accounts. Although lobbying and campaign
contributions certainly play major roles in the American political system,
old-fashioned corruption—envelopes stuffed with $100 bills—is
probably a sideshow today, Jack Abramoff notwithstanding.
Instead, the
American financial industry gained political power by amassing a kind of
cultural capital—a belief system. Once, perhaps, what was good for
General Motors was good for the country. Over the past decade, the attitude
took hold that what was good for Wall Street was good for the country. The
banking-and-securities industry has become one of the top contributors to
political campaigns, but at the peak of its influence, it did not have to buy
favors the way, for example, the tobacco companies or military contractors
might have to. Instead, it benefited from the fact that Washington insiders
already believed that large financial institutions and free-flowing capital markets
were crucial to AmericaÕs position in the world.
Clarity is a dangerous
thing. Clarity makes it impossible
not to see the truth (or the half-truth), which limits oneÕs ability to love
oneself indefinitely without recognizing the shadows that begin to grow in
oneÕs own expanded atmosphere.
We all move between the poles of
self-indulgence and self-denial, self-love and self-hateÉNoon and Midnight,
Body and Spirit, into and out of sin, into and out of salvation from sin.
It is telling that Dwight D.
Eisenhower, when serving as President of the United States, nominated Charles
Wilson, former president of General Motors Company as his Secretary of
Defense. Afterall, the military,
over which the Secretary of Defense keeps watch, is the police force of AmericaÕs corporations, a power wielded by
AmericaÕs government. ItÕs job is
to make sure that foreign nations respect AmericaÕs business enterprises, and
open markets to AmericaÕs exports.
This helps Americans maintain the highest standard of living on the
planet.
When Charles Wilson says: ÒWhatÕs good
for General Motors is good for America, and vice versaÓ he is speaking a very
deep commitment that AmericaÕs destiny (destiny as meaning its only ÔidentifyÕ) is in getting rich
through business. But America is
more about more than just getting rich.
America is about political and religious freedom; America is about
supporting the moral position, which often means supporting the underdog
politically and socially.
Business almost always supports the
ÔoverdogÕ. Business supports the status quo – abhors change that
threatens its ability to make money.
Materialism is part of the picture of
the American Dream, surely. But it
is not the entire picture. The
American Dream is about America being a lifeboat, a sanctuary, for world
refugees, those who have been squeezed out of other nations for political or
religious reasons. I hesitate to
write for ÔeconomicÕ reasons. IÕm not
sure that we should consider material success to be an Ôeconomic rightÕ,
especially considering – as this book proclaims – cycles of
economic expansion and contraction to be inherent in God and NatureÕs Earthly
design.
Do I like the fact that the
American government uses its military to bully smaller countries into bending their
own laws, customs and politics to conform to the will of AmericaÕs business
culture? No, I donÕt. Is America alone in using its political
and military might for the benefit of its own citizens? No, it is not. All countries – except in very
rare instances -- put self-interest first.
Adam Smith – the 18th
century economist of the Scottish Enlightenment -- the Gordon Gecko of his era (to be
fair to Adam Smith, he did say more than just that ÔGreed is goodÕ and he said
much more about morality than Gordon Gecko ever did) wrote that the pursuit
of Ôself-interestÕ served the
society best. America has honored
this doctrine, from its Calvinist beginnings, through its most recent Calvinist
manifestation – Ronald Reagan – as the meat and potatoes philosophy
of its Day-Cycle incarnations.
SmithÕs Ôtrickle downÕ theory
delivered in his magnum opus An Inquiry
Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations was an early shot
across the bow for Western Ego expansion and diminishment of non-Western shadows
throughout the world. SmithÕs
encouragement to empire – much like DarwinÕs Ôthe survival of the
fittestÕ doctrine – made a virtue of dominant bullying economic
expansion. The survival of the
fittest meant that those who rose to power and wealth were doing the will of
God; and those these men of action trampled, killed, stole from were NatureÕs
ÔlosersÕ in an evolutionary sense.
ÔMoral judgmentÕ and Ômoral livingÕ was for weak-willed losers: artists,
poets, priests, prophets, lovers, women, negroids, and other forms of
ÔdegeneracyÕ.
The will to power was a gift through
which GodÕs majesty was proclaimed.
Of course, many Nazis (and fascist philosophers) felt this also.
Adam Smith presaged Ayn Rand, Alan
Greenspan, Ronald Reagan. Ayn Rand
writes:
Until and
unless you discover that money is the root of all good, you ask for your own
destruction. When money ceases to become the means by which men deal with one
another, then men become the tools of other men. Blood, whips and guns--or
dollars. Take your choice--there is no other.
Ms. Rand
also wrote:
Thanksgiving
is a typically American holiday...The lavish meal is a symbol of the fact that
abundant consumption is the result and reward of production.
This is a half-truth of
course. In the year 2006 –
when Americans had ceased to be known for their powers of production but more
for their powers of consumption, which rendered them sick with a moral case of
arrogant obesity – abundant consumption was the result and reward of
debt, debt, debt.
The Ôinvisible handÕ that Adam Smith
premised protected society energized by the relentless expansion of ego
ambitions became, hundreds of years later, the nonexistent hand on the button
of business regulation that was supposed to protect the American (and world)
public from unscrupulous financial practices. Maybe itÕs time for a visible hand, a
substantial hand, to press the button now.
My criticism of the
Enlightenment (Science, Science, Science) is not absolute. I understand that the ÔFatherÕs visionÕ
is part of the whole; and that the political manifestation of this vision
(which is always a form of racism and fascism) is also part of the equation of
the whole. I have embraced this
vision myself – in my own post-Jimmy Carter era reincarnation, which I
will describe more fully later – and I admire the power of individual
creative will that springs from this source. Much good for the world does come out of
selfishness and self-centered Ego-Mania.
But there is a shadow side also, a dark side which cannot be perceived
during the incarnation itself, when the illusion of god-like greatness, power
and righteousness lead to injustice, meanness, crime and acts of
oppression.
The Master of the Universe is a
Day-Cycle figure that is, some might say sadly, not omnipotent, not
omniscienct, and certainly not eternal.
Kings fall – even KingÕs on the chessboard fall. King-Makers fall. The King of the Hill is always replaced
by another. An empire falls. Wall Street falls.
God punishes those who make money
their god. Nothing is more clear in
the bible than this.
ÔThou Shalt Not Put False gods Before
Me.Õ
Is it na•ve to wish for a
ÔmoralÕ national foreign policy that does not seem too often to mimic a season
of the Sopranos? Perhaps it
is. The truth is that AmericaÕs
foreign policy is imperfect. The
other side of this truth is that the world is a dangerous place, with many
injustices, many terrors, many horrors about to happen; many war-lords ready to
rise; many wars on the verge of breaking out.
Greed and violence are not American
creations, although they are dramas with which America seems obsessed as a
culture and from which America, today, seems to derive her identity.
Competition is part of the world. But it is not the entire world.
War is part of human existence. But it is not the only part.
As a culture we have become obsessed
with the reality-game-show ÔKing of the HillÕ. Many of us played this game as
children. We might be walking with
a group of four or five other boys, one of whom spied a knoll or rise in the
landscape. He assaulted the ÔhillÕ,
declared himself ÔKing of the HillÕ – and the fight was on. It was all against the king until he was
overthrown, cast down the side of the hill by his competitors. Finally, the ÔtoughestÕ boy inherited
the hill, when everyone else was tired or became disinterested. Two lessons I learned from this game:
(1) It was no fun to be Ôking of the hillÕ, since this status meant one would
have to fight the entire world to stay in power; (2) there was no inherent
value in the hill. When others lost
interest in conquering ÔyourÕ hill, the hill reverted back to its original
state of material nullity.
If the ÔFatherÕs visionÕ
– capitalism, individualism, militarism, racism, scienceism – is
imperfect, itÕs opposite, the ÔMotherÕs visionÕ – communism, tribalism,
pacifism, classlessism, mysticism – is also imperfect. Each are half-truths. NatureÕs design is that each extreme
might rule for a period of time, but must evolve in to its opposite in the
interest of evolutionary progress.
America has acted as the
ÔworldÕs policemenÕ – Pax Americana
being very reminiscent of Pax Romana
of Roman Empire domain-- in her own interest since World War II but also in the
interest of much of the world.
Clearly America has protected Western Europe from the cannibalism of
Russian ÔsovietismÕ for nearly 60 years.
No matter how you cut this picture, the Eastern European block during
that time was noted for poverty, backwardness, gulags, shock-treatment of
political prisoners, oppression of dissent, racism, cronyism, corruption,
ecological destruction, political terror and assassinationÉit is really
impossible to put a good spin on Russian communism and its failed ÔmoralÕ
alternative to capitalism. Perhaps
it was just Russia? No, not
really.
China had the horrors of ÔMaoismÕ:
mass starvation after Mao decided to Ôcorner the market on steelÕ, ordering
every Chinese citizen to donate every steel implement to the mission: pans,
farm implements, shovels, picks, discarded machinery were dutifully smelted in
backyard barbecue style low temperature stovesÉ. This campaign was a dismal failure, the
steel was worthless, and common Chinese were left without basic utensils needed
for cooking and farming and building.
This helped to lead to a half-decade of mass starvation – people
eating tree bark until they died -- while Mao entertained himself with
13-year-old boys and girls every evening after dinner. Then, of course, there was also the
ÔCultural RevolutionÕ, wherein MaoÕs spectacular insight led to his call for a
Ôperpetual revolutionÕ. Middle aged
party functionaries were led through the streets of towns and cities throughout
China, proclaimed ÔEnemies of the RevolutionÕ, were beaten, humiliated and
sometimes killed, were actually eaten by Chinese citizens in several incidents,
especially in southern China, as a sign of the ultimate public
humiliation. Well, maybe Russia and
China were not the best testing grounds for the communist experiment.
Cuba then. Cuba, following Fidel Castro, decided to
corner the market in sugar. Every
plantation in Cuba was order to plant sugar – Castro apparently foresaw
himself as the master of the Sugar Cartel similar to the Arab Oil Cartel,
whereby he would bring western capitalist countries to their collective knees,
especially the arch-enemy America.
But overproduction of sugar drove down prices. And over-planting of sugar damaged the
Cuban soil since sugar is apparently very hard on the nutritional capacity of
the soil. It was the same old story
in Cuba: the worse the planned economy performed, the more the government found
indigenous scapegoats to blame for the governmentÕs failures.
Cambodia, then. No, letÕs not even bring up Cambodia.
It would be nice to have a
ÔsaintlyÕ government. But it seems
not really possible, unless one is willing to endure absolutely horrible moral
returns during the process.
(Communism was supposed to be a ÔsaintlyÕ government, was it not: fair,
just, with equal social classes, etc.)
All humans, all governments,
everything in Nature, is good and bad at the same time. That is the paradox. America is good and bad, dark and light,
masculine and feminine. Often the
conscience, seeing imperfection in one extreme of the continuum – Noon,
for instance, capitalism – runs to the opposite pole, seeking
purification and truth, moral identity, by embracing the anti-thesis of the
most recent form of imperfection..
But both poles are incomplete by nature – that is, both poles are
sinful.
Is America really required by history
to fulfill the Material Pole at this time and space (the ÔAntipodeÕ according
to Hinduism)? Perhaps America
is. One potential path into the
future, for America, is to follow this destiny of the Material Giant of the
world. It is not a very attractive
destiny. Rome tried it. And Rome was eventually destroyed by
this role.
The greatest danger facing America
over the coming decade will be the loss of her democracy. The stress being put on Americans and on
AmericaÕs government today will only get worse as the economy de-materializes
and international anxiety (and international political and military chaos)
increase exponentially.
We know we do not want to
sink too deeply into the mistake of the southern pole extremism of Self-Denial
after having recently rose so triumphantly (and much too proudly) to the
northern pole extremism of Self-Infatuation.
We do
need to dismember the Banking Cartel that is now ushering America to
ruin. We need to detach the
Financial Kingdom on Wall Street from the government – and this is a form of castration. I understand this. This is not a moral obligation –
but is a dictate of Time. (Saturn
is the god of Time – and Saturn has ended Time by bringing us the Ôend of
the worldÕ, the sabbatical, the 7th Day of Creation.)
The Night is coming on; and there is
nothing we can do about it – except swim with the tide the best that we
can. To do this, we need to learn
how to speak the Ôlanguage of the nightÕ – the metaphoric or symbolic
tongue embedded in poetry, high-level literature, mysticism, and dreams. We need to understand how to navigate
through the very different ÔsubjectiveÕ landscapes that appear in the
Night-Light, so different than the objects we encounter in daylight during the
Sun-Cycle.
We have no choice. We are going in to the Darkness. Men have lost their power and the Night
is winning. Will and Science and
Reason have lost their ascendancy.
CanÕt we just go back to
pretending that everything is ok in America? WerenÕt we all doing so well just a
decade ago, before the Twin Towers were hit? WasnÕt everything just about perfect
then? Well, not really. The great global economic boom as a
bubble, an illusion, blown by bankers to make us feel good – like we were
all getting rich – but, in fact, some people were getting rich; but most
people were living way beyond their means, becoming debt-slaves.
The debt is the bubble. One
canÕt solve a debt problem by taking on more debt. We must, as a nation, go through the
painful process of unwinding this debt – and no one in power is willing
to tell Americans this because it would be political suicide to say so. The illusion that all the politicians
are destined to try to perpetuate is that we can keep living as weÕve always
lived, we can keep spending as weÕve always spent, and we can keep ignoring the
negative as we have always ignored the negative. There is only the phrase: ÔI CANÕ in
American; not: ÒI CANÕTÓ. Positive
thinking will carry us through. No
one can stop us if we Ôfight, fight, fightÕ. No one can stop us if we ignore the
doom-sayers, and Ôwork, work, workÕ – or, more likely: Ôspend, spend,
spend.Õ
Republican (or Democratic)
cheerleading will not get us out of this crisis. They are the ones who got us in to this
crisis.
LetÕs look again at our debt bubble:
This chart, as telling as it
is, shows total U.S. debt as a percentage of GDP – the greatest debt
ratio in the history of the U.S.
Corporate debt is less than 1930 – but corporate debt will grow as the economy sinks and corporate
profits decline. A chart showing
U.S. debt as a percentage of Income would look even worse. Debt is growing; GDP is shrinking. The picture is actually worse today as
government debt is now exploding upward, with Barak ObamaÕs attempt to defeat
deflation by re-bubbling America.
I donÕt really blame Obama for doing
this. He canÕt really sit on his
hands and wait for the bottom to drop out.
Republicans are offering such ÔcreativeÕ alternatives as lower taxes and
(what?) less business regulation. In fact, thatÕs always the Republican
solution; at least it has been over the last half century. This works when matter is expanding. It does
not work when matter is contracting.
And with collapsing housing
prices, the picture gets even worse, if we factor in evaporating personal
wealth. Personal income is shrinking and debt is still growing.
Maybe if Bernanke buys enough Treasury
Bonds, driving investors out of bonds as yields shrink, just maybe we can
ignite another stock market bubble and get everyone to forget about how bad the
map really works.
One in 7 Oregonians is now on Food
Stamps. Over 11% of the working
populace has lost their jobs. It
will be interesting to see how long it takes before ObamavilleÕs begin
springing up across the country.
(Again, Obama inherited this problem – he did not create it. The corruption of both parties, and the
intellectual (?) leadership of the Republicans is what brought this catastrophe
to a head, a doctrine which handed the keys to Fort Knox to the crooks on Wall
Street who had fed Americans the myth of the ÔCult of the FinancierÕ, an
idealization of greed and of cannibalistic commerce.)
So, no, we cannot go
backwards, back in Time. History
will not allow it.
Johnson continues his autopsy of the
financial collapse:
A whole
generation of policy makers has been mesmerized by Wall Street, always and
utterly convinced that whatever the banks said was true. Alan GreenspanÕs
pronouncements in favor of unregulated financial markets are well known. Yet
Greenspan was hardly alone. This is what Ben Bernanke, the man who succeeded
him, said in 2006: ÒThe management of market risk and credit risk has become
increasingly sophisticated. É Banking organizations of all sizes have made
substantial strides over the past two decades in their ability to measure and
manage risks.Ó
Of course, this
was mostly an illusion. Regulators, legislators, and academics almost all
assumed that the managers of these banks knew what they were doing. In
retrospect, they didnÕt. AIGÕs Financial Products division, for instance, made
$2.5 billion in pretax profits in 2005, largely by selling underpriced
insurance on complex, poorly understood securities. Often described as Òpicking
up nickels in front of a steamroller,Ó this strategy is profitable in ordinary
years, and catastrophic in bad ones. As of last fall, AIG had outstanding
insurance on more than $400 billion in securities. To date, the U.S.
government, in an effort to rescue the company, has committed about $180
billion in investments and loans to cover losses that AIGÕs sophisticated risk
modeling had said were virtually impossible.
Wall StreetÕs
seductive power extended even (or especially) to finance and economics
professors, historically confined to the cramped offices of universities and
the pursuit of Nobel Prizes. As mathematical finance became more and more
essential to practical finance, professors increasingly took positions as
consultants or partners at financial institutions. Myron Scholes and Robert
Merton, Nobel laureates both, were perhaps the most famous; they took board
seats at the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1994, before the fund
famously flamed out at the end of the decade. But many others beat similar
paths. This migration gave the stamp of academic legitimacy (and the
intimidating aura of intellectual rigor) to the burgeoning world of high
finance.
As more and more
of the rich made their money in finance, the cult of finance seeped into the
culture at large. Works like Barbarians at the Gate, Wall Street, and Bonfire
of the Vanities—all intended as cautionary tales—served only to
increase Wall StreetÕs mystique. Michael Lewis noted in Portfolio last year
that when he wrote LiarÕs Poker, an insiderÕs account of the financial
industry, in 1989, he had hoped the book might provoke outrage at Wall StreetÕs
hubris and excess. Instead, he found himself Òknee-deep in letters from
students at Ohio State who wanted to know if I had any other secrets to share.
É TheyÕd read my book as a how-to manual.Ó Even Wall StreetÕs criminals, like
Michael Milken and Ivan Boesky, became larger than life. In a society that
celebrates the idea of making money, it was easy to infer that the interests of
the financial sector were the same as the interests of the country—and
that the winners in the financial sector knew better what was good for America
than did the career civil servants in Washington. Faith in free financial
markets grew into conventional wisdom—trumpeted on the editorial pages of
The Wall Street Journal and on the floor of Congress.
From this
confluence of campaign finance, personal connections, and ideology there
flowed, in just the past decade, a river of deregulatory policies that is, in
hindsight, astonishing:
¥ insistence
on free movement of capital across borders;
¥ the
repeal of Depression-era regulations separating commercial and investment
banking;
¥ a
congressional ban on the regulation of credit-default swaps;
¥ major increases
in the amount of leverage allowed to investment banks;
¥ a light
(dare I say invisible?) hand at the Securities and Exchange Commission in its
regulatory enforcement;
¥ an
international agreement to allow banks to measure their own riskiness;
¥ and an
intentional failure to update regulations so as to keep up with the tremendous
pace of financial innovation.
The mood
that accompanied these measures in Washington seemed to swing between
nonchalance and outright celebration: finance unleashed, it was thought, would
continue to propel the economy to greater heights.
Johnson mentions Brooksley
Born. For the record, Brooksley
Born sat on the Commodities Futures Trading Commission from 1996 – 1999
and was chairperson from 1998-9. In
1998, Born Ôsought commentsÕ on the need to regulate derivatives, specifically
the Ôdark marketsÕ of SWAPS, which traded through no national market or central
exchange but between two agreeing parties only. BornÕs request for comments (ÔConcept
ReleaseÕ) stated that the uncontrolled growth of derivatives trading was,
perhaps, cause for the CFTC to reconsider regulation of this market. The request for comments was an attempt
to discuss the need for regulation;
and this was opposed by Alan Greenspan, Federal Reserve Chairman, Treasury
Secretary Robert Rubin, Bill ClintonÕs financial advisor Lawrence Summers (who
is now Barak ObamaÕs Chief Economic Advisor). In May of that same year, SEC Chairman
Arthur Levitt joined the other dissenters in opposing the release of BornÕs Ôconcept
releaseÕ. Their argument was that
the Ôconcept releaseÕ, focusing on the risks inherent in this Ôdark marketÕ,
might de-stabilize what had become a huge, lucrative global financial market. These men argued that the potential
turmoil caused by such a report – and concerns about the imposition of
new regulatory costs might stifle innovation and push transactions offshore (we
will remember the Ôstifle innovationÕ comments by Greenspan also as reasons for
his theoretical opposition to the Sherman Anti-Trust Act). Born, in 2008, commented: ÔThe market
grew so enormously, with so little oversight and regulation, that it made the
financial crisis much deeper and more pervasive than it otherwise would have
been.Õ The adversarial relationship
set up by Greenspan against Born essentially suppressed BornÕs recommendations
and led to the refusal of regulators to even discuss modest reforms.
Johnson continues in his
chapter ÔAmerican Oligarchs and the Financial CrisisÕ:
The
oligarchy and the government policies that aided it did not alone cause the
financial crisis that exploded last year. Many other factors contributed,
including excessive borrowing by households and lax lending standards out on
the fringes of the financial world. But major commercial and investment
banks—and the hedge funds that ran alongside them—were the big
beneficiaries of the twin housing and equity-market bubbles of this decade,
their profits fed by an ever-increasing volume of transactions founded on a
relatively small base of actual physical assets. Each time a loan was sold,
packaged, securitized, and resold, banks took their transaction fees, and the
hedge funds buying those securities reaped ever-larger fees as their holdings
grew.
Because everyone
was getting richer, and the health of the national economy depended so heavily
on growth in real estate and finance, no one in Washington had any incentive to
question what was going on. Instead, Fed Chairman Greenspan and President Bush
insisted metronomically that the economy was fundamentally sound and that the
tremendous growth in complex securities and credit-default swaps was evidence
of a healthy economy where risk was distributed safely.
In the summer of
2007, signs of strain started appearing. The boom had produced so much debt that
even a small economic stumble could cause major problems, and rising
delinquencies in subprime mortgages proved the stumbling block. Ever since, the
financial sector and the federal government have been behaving exactly the way
one would expect them to, in light of past emerging-market crises.
By now, the
princes of the financial world have of course been stripped naked as leaders
and strategists—at least in the eyes of most Americans. But as the months
have rolled by, financial elites have continued to assume that their position
as the economyÕs favored children is safe, despite the wreckage they have
caused.
Stanley OÕNeal,
the CEO of Merrill Lynch, pushed his firm heavily into the
mortgage-backed-securities market at its peak in 2005 and 2006; in October
2007, he acknowledged, ÒThe bottom line is, we—I—got it wrong by
being overexposed to subprime, and we suffered as a result of impaired
liquidity in that market. No one is more disappointed than I am in that
result.Ó OÕNeal took home a $14 million bonus in 2006; in 2007, he walked away
from Merrill with a severance package worth $162 million, although it is
presumably worth much less today.
In October, John
Thain, Merrill LynchÕs final CEO, reportedly lobbied his board of directors for
a bonus of $30 million or more, eventually reducing his demand to $10 million
in December; he withdrew the request, under a firestorm of protest, only after
it was leaked to The Wall Street Journal. Merrill Lynch as a whole was no
better: it moved its bonus payments, $4 billion in total, forward to December,
presumably to avoid the possibility that they would be reduced by Bank of
America, which would own Merrill beginning on January 1. Wall Street paid out
$18 billion in year-end bonuses last year to its New York City employees, after
the government disbursed $243 billion in emergency assistance to the financial
sector.
In a
financial panic, the government must respond with both speed and overwhelming
force. The root problem is uncertainty—in our case, uncertainty about whether
the major banks have sufficient assets to cover their liabilities. Half
measures combined with wishful thinking and a wait-and-see attitude cannot
overcome this uncertainty. And the longer the response takes, the longer the
uncertainty will stymie the flow of credit, sap consumer confidence, and
cripple the economy—ultimately making the problem much harder to solve.
Yet the principal characteristics of the governmentÕs response to the financial
crisis have been delay, lack of transparency, and an unwillingness to upset the
financial sector.
The response so
far is perhaps best described as Òpolicy by dealÓ: when a major financial
institution gets into trouble, the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve
engineer a bailout over the weekend and announce on Monday that everything is
fine. In March 2008, Bear Stearns was sold to JP Morgan Chase in what looked to
many like a gift to JP Morgan. (Jamie Dimon, JP MorganÕs CEO, sits on the board
of directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which, along with the
Treasury Department, brokered the deal.) In September, we saw the sale of
Merrill Lynch to Bank of America, the first bailout of AIG, and the takeover
and immediate sale of Washington Mutual to JP Morgan—all of which were
brokered by the government. In October, nine large banks were recapitalized on
the same day behind closed doors in Washington. This, in turn, was followed by
additional bailouts for Citigroup, AIG, Bank of America, Citigroup (again), and
AIG (again).
Some of these
deals may have been reasonable responses to the immediate situation. But it was
never clear (and still isnÕt) what combination of interests was being served,
and how. Treasury and the Fed did not act according to any publicly articulated
principles, but just worked out a transaction and claimed it was the best that
could be done under the circumstances. This was late-night, backroom dealing,
pure and simple.
Throughout
the crisis, the government has taken extreme care not to upset the interests of
the financial institutions, or to question the basic outlines of the system
that got us here. In September 2008, Henry Paulson asked Congress for $700
billion to buy toxic assets from banks, with no strings attached and no
judicial review of his purchase decisions. Many observers suspected that the
purpose was to overpay for those assets and thereby take the problem off the
banksÕ hands—indeed, that is the only way that buying toxic assets would
have helped anything. Perhaps because there was no way to make such a blatant subsidy
politically acceptable, that plan was shelved.
Instead, the
money was used to recapitalize banks, buying shares in them on terms that were
grossly favorable to the banks themselves. As the crisis has deepened and
financial institutions have needed more help, the government has gotten more
and more creative in figuring out ways to provide banks with subsidies that are
too complex for the general public to understand. The first AIG bailout, which
was on relatively good terms for the taxpayer, was supplemented by three
further bailouts whose terms were more AIG-friendly. The second Citigroup
bailout and the Bank of America bailout included complex asset guarantees that
provided the banks with insurance at below-market rates. The third Citigroup
bailout, in late February, converted government-owned preferred stock to common
stock at a price significantly higher than the market price—a subsidy
that probably even most Wall Street Journal readers would miss on first
reading. And the convertible preferred shares that the Treasury will buy under
the new Financial Stability Plan give the conversion option (and thus the
upside) to the banks, not the government.
This latest
plan—which is likely to provide cheap loans to hedge funds and others so that
they can buy distressed bank assets at relatively high prices—has been
heavily influenced by the financial sector, and Treasury has made no secret of
that. As Neel Kashkari, a senior Treasury official under both Henry Paulson and
Tim Geithner (and a Goldman alum) told Congress in March, ÒWe had received
inbound unsolicited proposals from people in the private sector saying, ÔWe
have capital on the sidelines; we want to go after [distressed bank] assets.ÕÓ
And the plan lets them do just that: ÒBy marrying government
capital—taxpayer capital—with private-sector capital and providing
financing, you can enable those investors to then go after those assets at a
price that makes sense for the investors and at a price that makes sense for
the banks.Ó Kashkari didnÕt mention anything about what makes sense for the
third group involved: the taxpayers.
Even leaving
aside fairness to taxpayers, the governmentÕs velvet-glove approach with the
banks is deeply troubling, for one simple reason: it is inadequate to change
the behavior of a financial sector accustomed to doing business on its own
terms, at a time when that behavior must change. As an unnamed senior bank
official said to The New York Times last fall, ÒIt doesnÕt matter how much Hank
Paulson gives us, no one is going to lend a nickel until the economy turns.Ó
But thereÕs the rub: the economy canÕt recover until the banks are healthy and
willing to lend.
ThereÕs
the rub. There is another rub
also. Which American citizens, who
are currently maxed out with debt, and perhaps facing a job loss in the family,
are going to be interested in taking on more debt to buy cars and houses and
boats and second homes they donÕt need?
Which American citizens who are now watching their mortgage go Ôunder
waterÕ are going to be eager to take on debt rather than sock away savings in
local banks for emergencies that seem certain to arise? Is the consumer life-style to which
weÕve grown so accustomed in the last century in America really viable as a
sustainable economic model?
Are we really
going to be comfortable as Americans in the future to accept the role of idle
consumers of junk (some, admittedly, very
sophisticated) to provide tiny gains in salary to Third World workers (the
global industrial peasant class) and huge (should I use the adjective ÔobsceneÕ
again) returns to the worldÕs business oligarchy, which we mortgage our
childrenÕs futures to Chinese and Saudi Arabian investors, who thereby gain
control of our government through financial extortion?
This is a very important
question for us to ask and answer?
Is there really such a thing as a global economy? And if there is, we need to find a way
to take the oligarchs out of the picture.
At the
risk of sounding shrill and repetitive: the problem is that weÕve taken on too
much debt. And taking on more debt does not cure the disease.
The first step we
need to take to begin recovering from our problem is to let failing companies
fail. Banks that fail should be
nationalized and run for profit and the profit generated by the nationalized
banks should be directed into general government funds to pay for education,
health care and other domestic programs.
Banks that fail
should not be allowed to return to private hands, at least during the
Night-Cycle. Return of bank
ownership and control to private hands might be advisable during the Day-Cycle
(2019), with the understanding that more corruption in banking would be guaranteed in the decade 2027-2037 and
another banking crisis would most likely lead to another depression in
2037.
What our
knowledge of cycles indicates is that government/central bank authorities
should expect to see and should help bring about would be the periodical
lowering of interest rates as Night-Cycles evaporate and the raising of
interest rates as Day-Cycles head into exhaustion.
Does this mean
that Mister Greenspan should have begun raising interest rates before 2001, as
a way easing in to the Night-Cycle of debt contraction smoothly? Yes. But this would have been political
suicide, would it not? IÕm sure
President Clinton would not have smiled gently on the opposition Fed Chairman
seeking to suffocate the economy during his watch. That is why the Fed Chairman is supposed
to be independent of politics, so he can make the tough call regardless of
political needs. But Maestro
GreenspanÕs ideology was that the Great Depression was caused by an error in
monetary policy – not by the inherent gravity/levity mechanism by which
Nature avoids extremes.
If we look at a
chart of 10-year bond yields from 1962 – 2004, we see quite clearly that
bond yields did begin rising about
1965 and topped out about 1983 (September 1981 was the historic top), and that
yields fell from 1983 through 2001, at which point they should have begun
rising again – had Mister Greenspan not resisted this logic and sought to
become a god in opposition to NatureÕs rules, a god very much like MelvilleÕs
Ahab.
There is
proof that Alan Greenspan did
recognize his error of force-feeding the system with too much cheap money from
2001-2004 (currency devaluation is another form of inflation) in the chart
below. Greenspan realized his policy was an error, and
sought to correct it, by raising the Fed Funds Rate thirteen times, from
December 2004-June 2006. But it was
too late at that point. Moby-Dick
had already broadsided the Pequod;
and the Global Economy was already taking on too much water for AhabÕs cabin
boy, ÔPipÕ Bernanke, to bale out the water. The damage was already done. The Pequod
was already under-water.
Some people
got rich and got off the boat. Most
people got soaked. Many people lost
their houses and their jobs and their retirement. Some lost their families; some lost
their lives.
Greenspan got off
the Pequod in 2006, when he realized
the boat he had ÔmiscaptainedÕ (ÔCall me Meastro, donÕt call me IshmaelÕ) had
capsized and was going down.
Greenspan jumped ship right at the market peak and found his way in to
the firm of John Paulson, an English hedge-fund speculator, where he apparently
advised Paulson on Ôshort-sellingÕ strategies – how to make money on a
collapsing economy, sock and credit markets -- collecting millions of dollars a
year (IÕm assuming), as PaulsonÕs firm made billions while everyone else was
losing half their assets. Very nice
maneuvering, Alan. And we thought
honor was dead.
No one ever
suggested that Alan Greenspan was a samurai. At least MelvilleÕs Ahab had the decency
to go down with his whale.
In 2009,
Greenspan admitted that the economy head had captained, as the ÔMaestroÕ for
three decades, was Ôthe worst he had ever seen, by far.Õ Greenspan added: ÔThere's no
question that this is in the process of outstripping anything I've seen and it
still is not resolved and still has a way to go and, indeed, it will continue
to be a corrosive force until the price of homes in the United States
stabilizes. That will induce a series of events around the globe which will
stabilize the system.Õ
How close
is this Ôhome price stabilisationÕ?
I am predicting that this will not happen until around 2019. Charles Hugh Smith predicts, in his
chart below, that this will not happen before 2014 at the earliest. I would not argue with a bottom in 2014,
with a bounding along the bottom for several years.
This picture coincides
with our 18-year cycle quite clearly.
What
should be done? Failing banks
should be taken over through share purchase in the open market where this is
feasible – or pressured into bankruptcy proceedings where share purchase
and control is not feasible -- and,
ultimately, should be owned and controlled by the public. We can talk later about the mechanisms
for this national control and national directorship.
Every depression
that has happened in America has been caused by banker greed or by corrupt
dealings between private capital centers and private financiers that has
demolished wealth on Wall Street and pushed America into a painful Night
Season.
Clearly, the
Night-Cycle calls for the dismemberment of corporate arrogance and greed
– not a permanent
dismemberment, but a periodical one.
Nationalization is not permanent
state ownership. But what needs to
become permanent is effective oversight of all
corporate mechanisms that lead or might lead to another political coup in which
the financial titans take over American policy through the corruption and
outright ownership of American politicians (government officials).
Police
investigation of white collar crimes committed over the last fifteen years
should be pursued vigorously as acts of Ôorganized crimeÕ and guilty officials
should be prosecuted with RICO provisions and guilty verdicts should result in
criminal sentencing AND absolute confiscation of all wealth and property
amassed by the guilty parties. This
wealth and property should be returned to the taxpayer either directly or
through subsumed into the federal budget to fund taxpayer obligations for
domestic, military or foreign government expenditures.
Failure to
ÔcastrateÕ the suddenly monstrous hero, the financial sector – that is,
to add an Ôadversarial roleÕ to the Business-Government love affair -- could result in the growth of
revolutionary movements in America for political reform that could, in fact,
destroy our democracy.
We should not
take democracy for granted. No
nation in history has remained democratic for very long (Indian, Spartan,
Athenian, Romans, Weimar RepublicÉ.).
Democracy is not
guaranteed. In fact, democracy is
the exception in historical development – short in duration, rare in
manifestation -- not the rule.
When democracy
goes, civil war results. Civil war
and political authoritarianism, either Day-Cycle corporate fascism, or the more
recent Night-Cycle collective fascism.
Johnson
writes in his chapter: ÔThe Way OutÕ:
Looking
just at the financial crisis (and leaving aside some problems of the larger
economy), we face at least two major, interrelated problems. The first is a
desperately ill banking sector that threatens to choke off any incipient
recovery that the fiscal stimulus might generate. The second is a political
balance of power that gives the financial sector a veto over public policy,
even as that sector loses popular support.
Big banks, it
seems, have only gained political strength since the crisis began. And this is
not surprising. With the financial system so fragile, the damage that a major
bank failure could cause—Lehman was small relative to Citigroup or Bank
of America—is much greater than it would be during ordinary times. The
banks have been exploiting this fear as they wring favorable deals out of
Washington. Bank of America obtained its second bailout package (in January)
after warning the government that it might not be able to go through with the
acquisition of Merrill Lynch, a prospect that Treasury did not want to
consider.
The challenges
the United States faces are familiar territory to the people at the IMF. If you
hid the name of the country and just showed them the numbers, there is no doubt
what old IMF hands would say: nationalize troubled banks and break them up as
necessary.
In some
ways, of course, the government has already taken control of the banking
system. It has essentially guaranteed the liabilities of the biggest banks, and
it is their only plausible source of capital today. Meanwhile, the Federal
Reserve has taken on a major role in providing credit to the economy—the
function that the private banking sector is supposed to be performing, but
isnÕt. Yet there are limits to what the Fed can do on its own; consumers and
businesses are still dependent on banks that lack the balance sheets and the
incentives to make the loans the economy needs, and the government has no real
control over who runs the banks, or over what they do.
At the root of
the banksÕ problems are the large losses they have undoubtedly taken on their
securities and loan portfolios. But they donÕt want to recognize the full
extent of their losses, because that would likely expose them as insolvent. So
they talk down the problem, and ask for handouts that arenÕt enough to make
them healthy (again, they canÕt reveal the size of the handouts that would be
necessary for that), but are enough to keep them upright a little longer. This
behavior is corrosive: unhealthy banks either donÕt lend (hoarding money to
shore up reserves) or they make desperate gambles on high-risk loans and
investments that could pay off big, but probably wonÕt pay off at all. In
either case, the economy suffers further, and as it does, bank assets
themselves continue to deteriorate—creating a highly destructive vicious
cycle.
To break this
cycle, the government must force the banks to acknowledge the scale of their
problems. As the IMF understands (and as the U.S. government itself has
insisted to multiple emerging-market countries in the past), the most direct
way to do this is nationalization. Instead, Treasury is trying to negotiate
bailouts bank by bank, and behaving as if the banks hold all the
cards—contorting the terms of each deal to minimize government ownership
while forswearing government influence over bank strategy or operations. Under
these conditions, cleaning up bank balance sheets is impossible.
Nationalization
would not imply permanent state ownership. The IMFÕs advice would be,
essentially: scale up the standard Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
process. An FDIC ÒinterventionÓ is basically a government-managed bankruptcy
procedure for banks. It would allow the government to wipe out bank
shareholders, replace failed management, clean up the balance sheets, and then
sell the banks back to the private sector. The main advantage is immediate
recognition of the problem so that it can be solved before it grows worse.
The government
needs to inspect the balance sheets and identify the banks that cannot survive
a severe recession. These banks should face a choice: write down your assets to
their true value and raise private capital within 30 days, or be taken over by
the government. The government would write down the toxic assets of banks taken
into receivership—recognizing reality—and transfer those assets to
a separate government entity, which would attempt to salvage whatever value is
possible for the taxpayer (as the Resolution Trust Corporation did after the
savings-and-loan debacle of the 1980s). The rump banks—cleansed and able
to lend safely, and hence trusted again by other lenders and
investors—could then be sold off.
Cleaning
up the megabanks will be complex. And it will be expensive for the taxpayer;
according to the latest IMF numbers, the cleanup of the banking system would
probably cost close to $1.5trillion (or 10percent of our GDP) in the long term.
But only decisive government action—exposing the full extent of the
financial rot and restoring some set of banks to publicly verifiable
health—can cure the financial sector as a whole.
This may seem like
strong medicine. But in fact, while necessary, it is insufficient. The second
problem the U.S. faces—the power of the oligarchy—is just as
important as the immediate crisis of lending. And the advice from the IMF on
this front would again be simple: break the oligarchy.
Oversized
institutions disproportionately influence public policy; the major banks we
have today draw much of their power from being too big to fail. Nationalization
and re-privatization would not change that; while the replacement of the bank
executives who got us into this crisis would be just and sensible, ultimately,
the swapping-out of one set of powerful managers for another would change only
the names of the oligarchs.
Ideally, big
banks should be sold in medium-size pieces, divided regionally or by type of
business. Where this proves impractical—since weÕll want to sell the
banks quickly—they could be sold whole, but with the requirement of being
broken up within a short time. Banks that remain in private hands should also
be subject to size limitations.
This may seem
like a crude and arbitrary step, but it is the best way to limit the power of
individual institutions in a sector that is essential to the economy as a
whole. Of course, some people will complain about the Òefficiency costsÓ of a
more fragmented banking system, and these costs are real. But so are the costs
when a bank that is too big to fail—a financial weapon of mass
self-destruction—explodes. Anything
that is too big to fail is too big to exist.
To ensure
systematic bank breakup, and to prevent the eventual reemergence of dangerous
behemoths, we also need to overhaul our antitrust legislation. Laws put in
place more than 100years ago to combat industrial monopolies were not designed
to address the problem we now face. The problem in the financial sector today
is not that a given firm might have enough market share to influence prices; it
is that one firm or a small set of interconnected firms, by failing, can bring
down the economy. The Obama administrationÕs fiscal stimulus evokes FDR, but
what we need to imitate here is Teddy RooseveltÕs trust-busting.
Caps on executive
compensation, while redolent of populism, might help restore the political
balance of power and deter the emergence of a new oligarchy. Wall StreetÕs main
attraction—to the people who work there and to the government officials
who were only too happy to bask in its reflected glory—has been the
astounding amount of money that could be made. Limiting that money would reduce
the allure of the financial sector and make it more like any other industry.
Still, outright
pay caps are clumsy, especially in the long run. And most money is now made in
largely unregulated private hedge funds and private-equity firms, so lowering
pay would be complicated. Regulation and taxation should be part of the
solution. Over time, though, the largest part may involve more transparency and
competition, which would bring financial-industry fees down. To those who say
this would drive financial activities to other countries, we can now safely
say: fine.
Johnson is
saying almost everything that needs to be said on these points.
Hedge funds need
to be regulated. France and Germany
are holding out for hedge fund regulation in the 2009 G20 Conference in
London. Obama is resisting too much
regulation. But we should remember:
regulation today means deregulation in 18 years (or so). Nothing is permanent. Re-regulation helps to dismember a
psychotic King Kong who is currently trashing New York, London, Tokyo, Peking,
Berlin, Paris, and Las Vegas, Miami, Los Angeles, and the Seychelles Islands.
Johnson offers us
two paths out of chaos – we will offer a different version of these two
paths at the end of this chapter.
ÔTwo
PathsÕ
To
paraphrase Joseph Schumpeter, the early-20th-century economist, everyone has
elites; the important thing is to change them from time to time. If the U.S.
were just another country, coming to the IMF with hat in hand, I might be
fairly optimistic about its future. Most of the emerging-market crises that
IÕve mentioned ended relatively quickly, and gave way, for the most part, to
relatively strong recoveries. But this, alas, brings us to the limit of the
analogy between the U.S. and emerging markets.
Emerging-market
countries have only a precarious hold on wealth, and are weaklings globally.
When they get into trouble, they quite literally run out of money—or at
least out of foreign currency, without which they cannot survive. They must
make difficult decisions; ultimately, aggressive action is baked into the cake.
But the U.S., of course, is the worldÕs most powerful nation, rich beyond
measure, and blessed with the exorbitant privilege of paying its foreign debts
in its own currency, which it can print. As a result, it could very well
stumble along for years—as Japan did during its lost decade—never
summoning the courage to do what it needs to do, and never really recovering. A
clean break with the past—involving the takeover and cleanup of major
banks—hardly looks like a sure thing right now. Certainly no one at the
IMF can force it.
In my view, the
U.S. faces two plausible scenarios. The first involves complicated bank-by-bank
deals and a continual drumbeat of (repeated) bailouts, like the ones we saw in
February with Citigroup and AIG. The administration will try to muddle through,
and confusion will reign.
Boris Fyodorov,
the late finance minister of Russia, struggled for much of the past 20 years
against oligarchs, corruption, and abuse of authority in all its forms. He
liked to say that confusion and chaos were very much in the interests of the
powerful—letting them take things, legally and illegally, with impunity.
When inflation is high, who can say what a piece of property is really worth?
When the credit system is supported by byzantine government arrangements and
backroom deals, how do you know that you arenÕt being fleeced?
Our future could
be one in which continued tumult feeds the looting of the financial system, and
we talk more and more about exactly how our oligarchs became bandits and how
the economy just canÕt seem to get into gear.
The second
scenario begins more bleakly, and might end that way too. But it does provide
at least some hope that weÕll be shaken out of our torpor. It goes like this:
the global economy continues to deteriorate, the banking system in east-central
Europe collapses, and—because eastern EuropeÕs banks are mostly owned by
western European banks—justifiable fears of government insolvency spread
throughout the Continent. Creditors take further hits and confidence falls
further. The Asian economies that export manufactured goods are devastated, and
the commodity producers in Latin America and Africa are not much better off. A
dramatic worsening of the global environment forces the U.S. economy, already
staggering, down onto both knees. The baseline growth rates used in the
administrationÕs current budget are increasingly seen as unrealistic, and the
rosy Òstress scenarioÓ that the U.S. Treasury is currently using to evaluate
banksÕ balance sheets becomes a source of great embarrassment.
Under this kind
of pressure, and faced with the prospect of a national and global collapse, minds may become more concentrated.
The conventional
wisdom among the elite is still that the current slump Òcannot be as bad as the
Great Depression.Ó This view is wrong. What we face now could, in fact, be
worse than the Great Depression—because the world is now so much more
interconnected and because the banking sector is now so big. We face a
synchronized downturn in almost all countries, a weakening of confidence among
individuals and firms, and major problems for government finances. If our
leadership wakes up to the potential consequences, we may yet see dramatic
action on the banking system and a breaking of the old elite. Let us hope it is
not then too late.
I see two paths also. Democrats will have to divorce
themselves from the Wall Street oligarchy – even though they clearly
donÕt want to. The oligarchy knows
where all the bodies are buried – and a lot of the bodies are covered
with fingerprints of Democrats. The
more investigation there is, the more the government is exposed and
shamed. Also, many in government
are afraid to gore the Wall Street bull because they fear such an act would
injure American prestige, global power, and cash-generation potential. (Everyone likes a Bull Market.)
As well, no one wants an open class
war in America. A class war is a
few small steps from an outright civil war. Obama is obviously aware of the history
of centrist power in America being the captainÕs chair in termÕs of benefiting
re-election. But these are not
ordinary times.
If Obama pushes the power of Wall
Street too hard, too early, he might even invite a coup through political
assassination. Obama is walking on
a very thin tightrope at the moment.
If the Democrats drag their
feet, it may become clearer and clearer to American citizens that there is no
different between Democrats and Republicans. They are really the same organism, each
enjoying their chance to eat the cake, while America drifts into
desolation. This will lead to the
fragmentation of the party, and perhaps the creation of a third party.
Newt Gingrich is warning of a
third-party in 2012, splitting the Republicans into Ôbig governmentÕ and Ôsmall
governmentÕ factions. The Democrats
could split into ÔPro-BusinessÕ and ÔAnti-BusinessÕ factions. We could have four parties in 2012,
instead of two.
To avoid this, Obama needs to pick up
the tradition banner of the Democratic Party, side with the growing poor class
of Americans, and throw the rich class to the wolves. If he does not do this, he will be a
one-term president and America will sink into a kind of open class warfare.
The Republican ideas are not really
relevant until about 2019, so they will not be taken seriously as a political
party for some time now. They have
been smeared with the blood of the lamb, and stand accused of having destroyed
the party, forcing the Democrats to be the ones who have to turn out the
lights.
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6 December 2014